SCM 605: Supply Chain Management Reporting System Chapter 3: Financial Analysis Week 2 Learning Objectives LO 2-1 Distinguish different supply chain finance solutions. LO 2-2 Describe the advantages and disadvantages of supply chain finance types in business operations. LO 2-3 Develop or assess supply chain finance strategies using synergy and top-down principles. LO 2-4 Identify and explain key components of financial statements. LO 2-5 Describe the key components of financial statements. Introduction • As Goldratt & Cox (2016) elucidated, the primary objective of a firm is to generate profits. Consequently, financial flow is of paramount importance to any business. For instance, when J.C. Penney, a 118-year-old department store, sought Chapter 11 protection on May 15, 2020, amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, it lacked the necessary funds to clear its looming debts. Similarly, when Sears Holdings declared Chapter 11 bankruptcy on October 15, 2018, its assets amounted to $6.9 billion, whereas its liabilities soared at $11.3 billion. • It's intriguing to note that despite its significance, financial flow and cash flow topics often find themselves sidelined in SCM literature. Many firms, when relying on a slew of KPIs, inadvertently let their internal objectives operate in silos, preventing alignment with the overarching aim of profit maximization. Financial Statements • In the U.S., all public companies are required to adhere to the Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) when issuing their financial statements. • In China, firms use the Chinese Accounting Standards (CAS). • European listed companies follow the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). • The core principles across these standards are largely consistent. • We will use financial statements from the Boeing Company as a reference to demonstrate the components of the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Financial Statements Balance Sheet • A balance sheet encompasses three primary categories: Assets, Liabilities, and Equity. Relationship of Assets, Liabilities, and Equity Inventories Other current assets Total current assets Customer financing, net Property, plant and equipment, net Goodwill Acquired intangible assets, net Deferred income taxes Investments Other assets, net of accumulated amortization of $580 and $503 Total assets Liabilities and equity Accounts payable Accrued liabilities Advances and progress billings Short-term debt and current portion of long-term debt Total current liabilities Deferred income taxes Accrued retiree health care Accrued pension plan liability, net Other long-term liabilities Long-term debt Shareholders’ equity: Common stock, par value $5.00 – 1,200,000,000 shares authorized; 1,012,261,159 shares issued Additional paid-in capital Treasury stock, at cost Retained earnings Accumulated other comprehensive loss Total shareholders’ equity Noncontrolling interests Total equity Total liabilities and equity Financial Statements Balance Sheet 76,622 3,106 102,229 2,136 12,502 8,060 3,338 683 1,092 62,567 2,335 87,830 2,418 12,645 7,840 3,429 284 1,087 3,585of 1,826 The Boeing Company and Subsidiaries 2019 Consolidated Statements Financial Position (Income Statement, Source: Boeing.com)$133,625 $117,359 (Dollars in millions, except per share data) December 31, Assets Cash and cash equivalents Short-term and other investments Accounts receivable, net Unbilled receivables, net Current portion of customer financing, net Inventories Other current assets Total current assets Customer financing, net Property, plant and equipment, net Goodwill Acquired intangible assets, net Deferred income taxes Investments Other assets, net of accumulated amortization of $580 and $503 Total assets Liabilities and equity Accounts payable Accrued liabilities Advances and progress billings Short-term debt and current portion of long-term debt Total current liabilities Deferred income taxes Accrued retiree health care Accrued pension plan liability, net 2019 2018 $9,485 545 3,266 9,043 162 76,622 3,106 102,229 2,136 12,502 8,060 3,338 683 1,092 $7,637 927 3,879 10,025 460 62,567 2,335 87,830 2,418 12,645 7,840 3,429 284 1,087 3,585 1,826 $133,625 $117,359 $15,553 22,868 51,551 7,340 97,312 413 4,540 16,276 $12,916 14,808 50,676 3,190 81,590 1,736 4,584 15,323 $15,553 22,868 51,551 7,340 97,312 413 4,540 16,276 3,422 19,962 $12,916 14,808 50,676 3,190 81,590 1,736 4,584 15,323 3,059 10,657 5,061 6,745 -54,914 50,644 -16,153 -8,617 317 -8,300 $133,625 5,061 6,768 -52,348 55,941 -15,083 339 71 410 $117,359 Financial Statements Income Statement • The income statement provides an overview of a firm’s revenue, costs, expenses, and earnings over a specific period. • As one of the three primary financial statements, it offers valuable insights into a firm’s operational efficiency by examining its revenue and costs, thus reflecting the effectiveness of its management. The Boeing Company and Subsidiaries 2019 Consolidated Statements of Operations (Income Statement, Source: Boeing.com) (Dollars in millions, except per share data) Years ended December 31, Sales of products Sales of services Total revenues Cost of products Cost of services Boeing Capital interest expense Total costs and expenses (Loss)/income from operating investments, net General and administrative expense Research and development expense, net Gain on dispositions, net (Loss)/earnings from operations Other income, net Interest and debt expense (Loss)/earnings before income taxes Income tax benefit/(expense) Net (loss)/earnings Basic (loss)/earnings per share Diluted (loss)/earnings per share 2019 $66,094 10,465 76,559 -62,877 -9,154 -62 -72,093 4,466 -4 -3,909 -3,219 691 -1,975 438 -722 -2,259 1,623 ($636) ($1.12) ($1.12) 2018 $90,229 10,898 101,127 -72,922 -8,499 -69 -81,490 19,637 111 -4,567 -3,269 75 11,987 92 -475 11,604 -1,144 $10,460 $18.05 $17.85 Financial Statements Cash Flow Statement • The cash flow statement chronicles the movement of a firm's cash and cash equivalents (CCE). It categorizes the CCE into three main activities: operating, investing, and financing. • This statement illustrates how a firm manages its cash position, generates funds to cover its operating expenses, and meets its debt obligations. • Consequently, the cash flow statement can provide insights into a firm's financial stability (considering liquidity, solvency, and financial flexibility) and inform adjustments to its operations, investment, and financing strategies. Other charges and credits, net Changes in assets and liabilities – Accounts receivable Unbilled receivables Advances and progress billings Inventories Other current assets Accounts payable Accrued liabilities Income taxes receivable, payable and deferred Other long-term liabilities Pension and other postretirement plans Customer financing, net Other Net cash (used)/provided by operating activities Cash flows – investing activities: Property, plant and equipment additions Property, plant and equipment reductions Acquisitions, net of cash acquired Proceeds from dispositions Contributions to investments Proceeds from investments Purchase of distribution rights Other Net cash used by investing activities Cash flows – financing activities: New borrowings Debt repayments Contributions from noncontrolling interests Stock options exercised Employee taxes on certain share-based payment arrangements Common shares repurchased Dividends paid Other Net cash provided/(used) by financing activities Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents Net increase/(decrease) in cash & cash equivalents, including restricted Financial Statements Cash Flow Statement 334 247 603 982 737 -12,391 -682 1,600 7,781 -2,476 -621 -777 419 196 -2,446 -795 -1,826 2,636 568 98 2 1,117 -180 87 -153 120 610 15,322 -1,834 334 -455 464 -1,658 1,759 -127 -13 -1,530 -1,722 120 -3,230 25,389 -12,171 7 58 -248 -2,651 -4,630 -15 5,739 -5 8,548 -7,183 35 81 -257 -9,000 -3,946 -11,722 -53 1,758 -1,074 The Boeing Company and Subsidiaries Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Cash Statement, Source: Boeing.com) (Dollars in millions) Years ended December 31, Cash flows – operating activities: Net (loss)/earnings Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to net cash provided by operating activities: Non-cash items – Share-based plans expense Depreciation and amortization Investment/asset impairment charges, net Customer financing valuation adjustments Gain on dispositions, net Other charges and credits, net Changes in assets and liabilities – Accounts receivable Unbilled receivables Advances and progress billings Inventories Other current assets Accounts payable Accrued liabilities Income taxes receivable, payable and deferred Other long-term liabilities Pension and other postretirement plans Customer financing, net Other Net cash (used)/provided by operating activities Cash flows – investing activities: Property, plant and equipment additions Property, plant and equipment reductions Acquisitions, net of cash acquired Proceeds from dispositions Contributions to investments 2019 2018 ($636) $10,460 212 2,271 443 250 -691 334 202 2,114 93 -3 -75 247 603 982 737 -12,391 -682 1,600 7,781 -2,476 -621 -777 419 196 -2,446 -795 -1,826 2,636 568 98 2 1,117 -180 87 -153 120 610 15,322 -1,834 334 -455 464 -1,658 -1,722 120 -3,230 -2,607 -2,607 2,898 -69 -11 -4,621 Profit Margin Profit and Asset Rations • Profit margin is a fundamental indicator of profitability. It can be broadly classified into two types: gross profit margin and net profit margin. • While the Gross Profit Margin calculates the difference between revenues and the costs of goods sold, the Net Profit Margin determines the net earnings (as seen in the Income Statement) after accounting for taxes, administrative expenses, and all other deductions. • Both gross and net profit margins serve as pivotal tools in evaluating a company's fiscal health. The profit margin is quintessential for operations as it not only mirrors the company's pricing strategy but also its competence in managing operating expenses. Profit and Asset Rations Return on Equity (ROE) • For investors and executives, the Return on Equity (ROE) serves as a pivotal metric that gauges a firm’s profitability in relation to its equity. Essentially, ROE evaluates a company's efficiency in leveraging its equity to generate profits. • ROE can also be interpreted as a return on assets minus liabilities. This perspective is derived from the fact that equity is the difference between total assets and total liabilities. • An ROE value ranging between 15-20% is typically deemed commendable. Profit and Asset Rations Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Net Assets • Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Net Assets (RONA) serve as indicators to determine the efficiency of a company in leveraging its assets. • A substantial ROA or RONA ratio is indicative of superior financial performance, reflecting the company's capability to generate significant returns from its assets. Profit and Asset Rations Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) • Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is a tool firms utilize to evaluate their growth potential. NOPAT stands for Net Operating Profit After Tax, calculated as the net earnings/profit plus interest or EBIT minus tax. NOPBT, or Net Operating Profit Before Tax, aligns with the earnings from operations or operating income (before taxes) as listed in the Income Statement. Invested Capital (IC), also known as Cost of Investment or Cost of Capital, represents the capital utilized to run a business. • However, there isn't a standardized method for computing invested capital. Generally, an optimal ROIC should be at least two percent above the cost of capital. Profit and Asset Rations Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Average total assets(1), (2) 2020 $235,277 2019 $211,909 + Average accumulated depreciation and amortization(1), (2) 90,351 85,107 - Average accounts payable (1) 47,017 46,576 - Average accrued liabilities(1) + Rent x 8 Average invested capital 22,228 N/A $256,383 22,141 24,032 $252,331 In millions, Fiscal Years Ended January 31 • For Walmart in 2020: • This value suggests Walmart's commendable performance in operations, investments, and financing in that year. Profit and Asset Rations Economic Value Added • The relationship between operations and finance is vital for measuring the performance of a firm’s supply chain management. One method to assess this is through Economic Value Added (EVA), which evaluates the firm in terms of ROIC and the cost of capital. Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) represents the weighted average cost of capital. • A firm creates value when its ROIC exceeds its cost of capital. • A positive EVA is essential. Without it, a specific investment or the company as a whole is not considered profitable after accounting for its capital costs. Profit and Asset Rations Asset Turnover Ratio • The Asset Turnover Ratio indicates how efficiently a company can utilize its assets to produce revenue. • It's evident that Boeing’s sales saw a significant downturn in 2019 while its inventory increased, suggesting inefficiency in asset utilization. The asset turnover rate, however, fluctuates across industries. • Airbus surpassed Boeing in performance for 2019, though both substantially trailed behind Walmart. Profit and Asset Rations The Table recapitulates the financial concepts discussed in this Definition Boeing Airbus Walmart segment. Gross Profit Revenue - Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) $4,466 € 11,766 $129,104 (in million, Year 2019 ) Operating Income Earning from operations (before interest and taxes) ($1,975) € 1,036 $20,568 EBIT Earning Before Interest and Taxes ($1,913) € 1,339 $20,568 $358 € 4,266 $31,555 ($1,241) € 756 $15,201 ($636) (€ 1,362) $14,881 $76,559 € 70,478 $523,964 ($3,945) € 5,990 $80,593 Cost of investment or cost of capital $35,543 € 17,392 $256,383 Total assets - current liabilities $1,404 $133,625 € 52,035 € 114,409 $158,705 $236,495 5.83% 16.69% -0.83% -1.93% 16.12% -22.74% -136.25% 2.57% -0.48% -1.19% -3.49% 4.35% 8.0% 11.6% ($4,084.44) € (1,261.17) 0.57 0.62 24.64% 2.84% 18.46% 12.96% 6.29% 5.93% 4.2% $4,432.91 2.22 EBITDA NOPAT Net Profit Revenue Average Equity Average Invested Capital Capital Employed Total Assets Gross Profit Margin Profit Margin ROE ROCE ROA ROIC WACC EVA Asset Turnover Ratio Earning Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization Net Operating Profit After Taxes Net earning/income after interest and taxes Sales of products and services Average equity of this year and the past year Gross Profit/Revenue Net Profit/Revenue Net Profit/(Average) Equity EBIT/Capital Employed Net Profit/Total Assets NOPAT/Invested Capital Weighted Average Cost of Capital (ROIC-WACC) X Invested Capital Total Revenue/Average Assets The DuPont Analysis The ROE DuPont Model To gain a deeper insight into the various drivers of ROE, DuPont explosives salesman Donaldson Brown devised the following formula for an internal efficiency report in 1912: The net profit margin gauges the firm’s operating efficiency, while asset turnover reflects the efficiency with which assets are utilized. The equity multiplier, defined as assets divided by equity, is also known as financial leverage. In this context, the traditional ROE equation can be broken down as: The DuPont Analysis The ROE DuPont Model • This equation can be visually represented in the following ROE Tree: Net Profit ÷ Operating Efficiency × Sales (Revenue) ÷ Asset Turnover Asset Efficiency Return on Equity × Average Assets ÷ Average Equity Profit Margin Equity Multiplier Financial Leverage • The decomposition of the ROE equation provides insights into the core performance factors of a firm. The DuPont Analysis The ROE DuPont Model • As illustrated in the aforementioned ROE tree, the final ROE value can be derived from the four components on the left: net profit, sales, average assets, and average equity. • Considering the additional financial terms in financial statements, we can further break down the equation as: The DuPont Analysis The ROE DuPont Model This expanded ROE model is commonly referred to as the DuPont Analysis or DuPont Model. This can be further depicted as the DuPont Analysis Net Profit Pretax Income EBIT Revenue ÷ Tax Burden ÷ Interest Burden ÷ × Profit Margin × × Return On Sales (ROS) Revenue Average Assets Average Equity ÷ ÷ Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier Return on Equity The DuPont Analysis The ROE DuPont Model • The DuPont Analysis's breakdown of ROE allows us to pinpoint a company's strengths and weaknesses across essential financial performance metrics. • The impact of supply chain finance can be discerned in all these broken-down factors of ROE. Depending on a firm's role within a specific supply chain finance event, the impact might vary, but typically it's positive, owing to the Pareto effect: The profit margins can benefit from increased supply chain transactions. The asset turnover ratio can see considerable improvement with a higher revenue from more transactions within a specified period. The equity multiplier might decrease since supply chain finance can potentially replace some direct bank financing or at least mitigate a firm's loan borrowing burden, reducing financial risks. The DuPont Analysis The ROA DuPont Model • Using the same logic as in the DuPont analysis for ROE, we can execute a similar decomposition analysis for other financial ratios, such as ROA and ROIC. For private companies that lack equity information, ROA can be broken down as follows: • Compared to the ROE decomposition, it's evident that ROA is not influenced by the equity multiplier. The DuPont Analysis The ROIC DuPont Model • While ROE focuses on the return on stock investment, ROIC emphasizes the return on capital investment. Following the ROIC definition, we can further decompose the equation into two primary components: NOPAT/Revenue, indicates the after-tax profit margin per item sold. This represents operational efficiency (cost-saving) and the appeal of the products (brand recognition) the company offers to the market (optimal pricing). Revenue/Invested Capital, gauges the capital turnover and is closely associated with supply chain efficiency. The DuPont Analysis The ROIC DuPont Model Based on Walmart's 2019 data, the corresponding ROIC tree can be illustrated: Earning from Operations - Interest and Debt Expense NOPAT $15,201M ÷ Taxes NOPAT/Revenue 2.90% Revenue × $523,964M Sales Net Working Capital Invested Capital $256,383M Assets in Operations ÷ Revenue/ Invested Capital 2.04 ROIC 5.93% The DuPont Analysis The ROIC DuPont Model • Indeed, we can further decompose the ROIC equation by considering the effective cash tax rate: • NOPAT stands for Net Operating Profit After Taxes, and NOPBT represents Net Operating Profit Before Taxes. Hence, The DuPont Analysis The ROIC DuPont Model • Because NOPAT equals revenue minus costs and tax, and since revenue can be expressed as the flow rate times variable costs, ROIC can also be broken down as: • Intuitively, lower variable costs and tax rates contribute to a higher ROIC, explaining the common practices of outsourcing and seeking tax havens. The DuPont Analysis The ROIC DuPont Model • From another angle, ROIC can elucidate the operational efficiency of an individual investment. For this, we introduce an alternate method to break down invested capital: • The Net Working Capital can be computed by adding account receivables and inventory and then subtracting account payables associated with this specific investment. Typically, an individual investment contributes to the depreciation of fixed assets, which can be estimated based on this investment's proportion to all investments. The assets required for operations could also be subject to judgment. The DuPont Analysis The ROIC DuPont Model • Examples of ROIC DuPont Analysis Firm A Business 1 Business 2 Business 3 NOPAT Account Receivables Inventory Account Payables Net Working Capital Assets in operations Invested Capital 688 2000 2565 3213 1352 1321 2673 688 3000 2565 3213 2352 1321 3673 688 4000 2565 2356 4209 1321 5530 ROIC 26% 19% 12% Chain Aggregated Indexes To gauge the total impact of supply chain finance across all these entities, we might employ the following chain aggregated indexes (CAIs). Chain Performance Indexes • A performance index quantifies the overall efficacy of a supply chain. Consider ROIC as an example. • Acknowledging the relative dominance of each firm in the supply chain, and under the assumption that no firm would engage in a deal with a negative ROIC, the optimal strategy for enhancing the overall performance of the supply chain in a given transaction is to maximize the following weighted geometric mean: Chain Aggregated Indexes Chain Performance Indexes • Similar analyses can be applied to ROE, ROA, RONA, and EVA at the firm level, leading to the following chain aggregated indexes: Chain Aggregated Indexes Chain Performance Indexes • A higher chain aggregated index is more likely to lead to the Pareto effect and the Halo effect in supply chain finance, making the relationship among the involved parties in the supply chain more sustainable. • While the aforementioned chain aggregated indexes capture the combined growth rate of all firms in a supply chain transaction, an extreme value can significantly skew the final result. To mitigate the influence of such outliers, we could employ the weighted arithmetic mean. For instance: Chain Aggregated Indexes Chain Equality Indexes • Essentially, the core tenet of Nash bargaining allows a more dominant firm to reap greater benefits; meaning, a higher 𝜃𝑖 results in more favorable outcomes for firm 𝑖. If “fairness” means that all stakeholders have identical financial ratios or “equality,” then 𝜃𝑖 should be universally set to 1. • To gauge the equity of all firms within a supply chain transaction, consider the following index: Chain Aggregated Indexes Chain Equality Indexes • The subsequent table illustrates how these indexes are computed.
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