Ton Duc Thang University Finance and Banking Faculty Corporate Finance Department FINTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 0 INTRODUCTION Course Code: B02039 Prepared by: Corporate Finance Department 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 1 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT • The contents of this slide are the supplemental teaching material of the book: • Jeff Madura, [2015], International Financial Management, Cengage Learning, Stamford • The purpose of this teaching material is to serve for the subject “International Financial Management” at Faculty of Finance and Banking, Ton Duc Thang University. 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 2 POLICIES FOR STUDENTS • These contents are only used for students PERSONALLY. • Students are NOT allowed to modify or deliver these contents to anywhere or anyone for any purpose. 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 3 COURSE INTRODUCTION Course Name INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Course Code B02039 No. of credits 3 (3.0) Time allocation 8/8/2020 Theory 45 teaching hours Self – study 90 hours B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 4 REQUIREMENTS Prerequisite: World English 6 INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Priorcompletion: Financial Management 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 5 COURSE OBJECTIVES Objectives 8/8/2020 • This course studies the foreign exchange markets such as the balance of payments, the arbitrage, the purchasing power parity, the interest rate parity, the foreign exchange derivative markets and the international financial market… • This course also studies how corporate make wealth – maximizing decisions. Besides that, this subject study “hot” topics, such as international finance crisis and the problem of sovereign debt…, which are affecting the international finance. B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 6 COURSE LEARNING OUTCOMES No. Outcomes 01 Students can recall the concepts, definitions of the international financial market.. 02 Students should be able to understand the institutional and organizational structure of international financial market. Students will be able to practice various derivative instruments, 03 including futures, forwards, swaps, option to hedge foreign currency transaction exposure. 04 Students can analysis activities dealing with international financial management. 05 Students comply with the principles, ethics in the task and scientific research dealing with international financial management 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 7 COURSE CONTENT Chapter 1: Multinational Financial Management: An Overview Chapter 2: International Flow of Funds Chapter 3: International Financial Markets Chapter 4: Direct foreign investment 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 8 COURSE CONTENT Chapter 5: Multinational capital budgeting Chapter 6: Multinational cost of capital and capital structure Chapter 7: Financing international trade Chapter 8: International cash management 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 9 TEACHING MATERIALS Textbook • [1]. Jeff Madura, [2015], International Management, Cengage Learning, Stamford Financial Supplementary Readings • [2]. Cheol Eun, Bruce Resnick, [2015], International Financial Management, McGraw-Hill, New York. [3]. Nguyễn Văn Tiến chủ biên, [2018], Giáo trình tài chính quốc tế, NXB Thống kê, Hà Nội. 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 10 TEACHING MATERIALS Additional Readings • [4]. Nguyễn Văn Tiến chủ biên, [2013], Giáo trình tài chính quốc tế hiện đại, NXB Thống kê, Hà Nội [5]. Lê Phan Diệu Thảo chủ biên, [2015], Giáo trình tài chính quốc tế, NXB Phương Đông, Tp Hồ Chí Minh. 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 11 ASSESSMENT SCHEME Evaluation Category Weight Type of questions Process evaluation 1 10% Process Exercise Process evaluation 2 20% Process Exercise Mid-term test 20% Multiple choice question 50% Multiple choice question, Constructed response test Final examination 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 12 STUDENT’S TASKS • Being on-time and in your seat when class starts and staying until the end of class; • Being constructive to the learning environment; • Being “present” in the class and focused on class material; • Coming prepared to contribute to the class; • Communicating with the lecturer; • Attending at least 80% of course requirement (if this regulation is not fulfilled, students are not eligible to take their final exam). 8/8/2020 B02039 – Chapter 0: Introduction 13 International Corporate Finance 11th Edition by Jeff Madura 1 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Part 1 The International Financial Environment 2 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 1Multinational Financial Management: An Overview Chapter Objectives 1 2 3 4 3 • Management goal of the Multinational Corporation (MNC). • Organizational structure of the Multinational Corporation (MNC). • The key theories that justify international business • Common methods used to conduct international business • Model for valuing the MNC © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Managing the MNC 1. Managers are expected to make decisions that will maximize the stock price. 2. Focus of this text: MNCs whose parents fully own foreign subsidiaries (U.S. parent is sole owner of subsidiary.) 3. Finance decisions are influenced by other business discipline functions: ◼ ◼ ◼ 4 Marketing Management Accounting and information systems © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Typical Management Decisions Shareholders Customers Suppliers 5 Employees Competitors © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agents and Principals Relationship 1. Who is the real owner of the firms? 2. Why shareholders don’t manage their firms? 6 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agency Problems The conflict of goals between managers and shareholders 7 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Group Activities: Agency Problems 1 2 3 8 • What is the main reasons of agency cost? • Example of agency cost? • Could we completely solve agency costs by firing the manager? © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agency Costs 1. Definition: Cost of ensuring that managers maximize shareholder wealth 2. Costs are normally higher for MNCs than for purely domestic firms for several reasons: ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ 9 Monitoring managers of distant subsidiaries in foreign countries is more difficult. Foreign subsidiary managers raised in different cultures may not follow uniform goals. Sheer size of larger MNCs can create large agency problems. Some non-U.S. managers tend to downplay the shortterm effects of decisions. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Control of Agency Problems Parent control of agency problems Corporate control of agency problems SarbanesOxley Act (SOX) Control Agency Costs 10 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SOX Methods to Improve Reporting ▪ Establishing a centralized database of information ▪ Ensuring that all data are reported consistently among subsidiaries ▪ Implementing a system that automatically checks for unusual discrepancies relative to norms ▪ Speeding the process by which all departments and subsidiaries have access to all the data they need ▪ Making executives more accountable for financial statements 11 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 1.1a Management Styles of MNCs Allows managers of the parent to control foreign subsidiaries and therefore reduce the power of subsidiary managers 12 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 1.1b Management Styles of MNCs Gives more control to subsidiary managers who are closer to the subsidiary’s operation and environment 13 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Group Activity 2: Compare 2 Management Structure of an MNC 14 Centralize Structure Decentralize Structure Pros Pros Cons Cons © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Why Firms Pursue International Business 15 Competitive Advantage • Specialization by countries can increase production efficiency • Some countries focus on production • Some countries focus on services Imperfect Markets Theory • Factors of productions are somewhat immobile • There are costs and restriction related to the transfer of labor and other resources used for production Product Cycle Theory • As firms matures, it may recognize additional opportunities outside its home country • The success of foreign business depends on maintaining competitive advantages against competitors © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 1.2 International Product Life Cycles 16 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. How Firms Engage in International Business 1. International trade 2. Licensing 3. Franchising 4. Joint Ventures 5. Acquisitions of existing operations 6. Establishing new foreign subsidiaries 17 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Trade ◼ 18 Relatively conservative approach that can be used by firms to ◼ penetrate markets (by exporting) ◼ obtain supplies at a low cost (by importing). ◼ Minimal risk – no capital at risk ◼ The internet facilitates international trade by allowing firms to advertise their products and accept orders on their websites. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Licensing 19 ◼ Obligates a firm to provide its technology (copyrights, patents, trademarks, or trade names) in exchange for fees or some other specified benefits. ◼ Allows firms to use their technology in foreign markets without a major investment and without transportation costs that result from exporting ◼ Major disadvantage: difficult to ensure quality control in foreign production process © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Franchising 20 ◼ Obligates firm to provide a specialized sales or service strategy, support assistance, and possibly an initial investment in the franchise in exchange for periodic fees. ◼ Allows penetration into foreign markets without a major investment in foreign countries. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Joint Ventures 21 ◼ A venture that is jointly owned and operated by two or more firms. A firm may enter the foreign market by engaging in a joint venture with firms that reside in those markets. ◼ Allows two firms to apply their respective cooperative advantages in a given project. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Acquisitions of Existing Operations 22 ◼ Acquisitions of firms in foreign countries allows firms to have full control over their foreign businesses and to quickly obtain a large portion of foreign market share. ◼ Subject to the risk of large losses because of larger investment. ◼ Liquidation may be difficult if the foreign subsidiary performs poorly. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Establishing New Foreign Subsidiaries 23 ◼ Firms can penetrate markets by establishing new operations in foreign countries. ◼ Requires a large investment ◼ Acquiring new as opposed to buying existing allows operations to be tailored exactly to the firms needs. ◼ May require smaller investment than buying existing firm. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Summary of Methods 24 ◼ Any method of increasing international business that requires a direct investment in foreign operations is referred to as direct foreign investment (DFI) ◼ International trade and licensing usually not included ◼ Foreign acquisition and establishment of new foreign subsidiaries represent the largest portion of DFI. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Group Activities 3: Planning your MNCs Create an idea for your own MNC to conduct international business. Your idea should be simplified to the degree that you could possibly implement it someday. However, your idea should also be sufficiently creative to be successful if done properly. Your idea should be for a small MNC instead of a large MNC because even most large MNCs began as small firms. The following questions will help you define your MNC idea: ▪ What is the product that you plan to sell? ▪ What foreign country do you plan to target? ▪ How will you sell the product in that country? (i.e., through a distributor? by mail?) ▪ Is there some evidence that consumers in that country would buy this type of product? ▪ Will any expenses you incur from producing the product be in some other currency? 25 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 1.3 Cash Flow Diagrams for MNCs 26 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 1.3 Cash Flow Diagrams for MNCs 27 ◼ The first diagram reflects an MNC that engages in international trade. International cash flows result from paying for imports or receiving cash flow from exports. ◼ The second diagram reflects an MNC that engages in some international arrangements. Outflows include expenses such as expenses incurred from transferring technology or funding partial investment in a franchise or joint venture. Inflows are receipts from fees. ◼ The third diagram reflects an MNC that engages in direct foreign investment. Cash flows exist between the parent company and the foreign subsidiary. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Valuation Model for an MNC: Domestic Model E (CF$,t ) V = t t =1 (1 + k ) n Where ▪ V represents present value of expected cash flows ▪ E(CF$,t) represents expected cash flows to be received at the end of period t, ▪ n represents the number of periods into the future in which cash flows are received, and ▪ k represents the required rate of return by investors. 28 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Valuation Model for an MNC: Multinational Model E (CF$,t ) = E (CF j ,t ) E (S j ,t ) m j =1 Where ▪ CFj,t represents the amount of cash flow denominated in a particular foreign currency j at the end of period t, ▪ 29 Sj,t represents the exchange rate at which the foreign currency (measured in dollars per unit of the foreign currency) can be converted to dollars at the end of period t. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Example of Expected CF in Foreign Currency FORD exports cars to Japan, it expects to receive 10 mil. Yen in 3 months later Exchange rate today: 1USD= 100Yen 30 3 months later 1USD = 90 Yen Profit / loss = ? USD 3 months later 1USD = 120 Yen Profit /Loss = ? USD © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Valuation Model for an MNC An MNC that uses two or more currencies E (CF$,t ) = E (CF j ,t ) E (S j ,t ) m j =1 ▪ ▪ 31 Derive an expected dollar cash flow value for each currency Combine the cash flows among currencies within a given period © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Uncertainty Surrounding MNC Cash Flows 1. Exposure to international economic conditions – If economic conditions in a foreign country weaken, purchase of products decline and MNC sales in that country may be lower than expected. 2. Exposure to international political risk – A foreign government may increase taxes or impose barriers on the MNC’s subsidiary. 3. Exposure to exchange rate risk – If foreign currencies related to the MNC subsidiary weaken against the U.S. dollar, the MNC will receive a lower amount of dollar cash flows than was expected. 32 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. How Uncertainty Affects the MNC’s cost of Capital A higher level of uncertainty increases the return on investment required by investors and the MNC’s valuation decreases. 33 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 1.4 How an MNC’s Valuation is Exposed to Uncertainty 34 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Summary ◼ 35 The main goal of an MNC is to maximize shareholder wealth. When managers are tempted to serve their own interests instead of those of shareholders, an agency problem exists. MNCs tend to experience greater agency problems than do domestic firms. Proper incentives and communication from the parent may help to ensure that subsidiary managers focus on serving the overall MNC. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Summary International business is justified by three key theories. 1. The theory of comparative advantage suggests that each country should use its comparative advantage to specialize in its production and rely on other countries to meet other needs. 2. The imperfect markets theory suggests that because of imperfect markets, factors of production are immobile, which encourages countries to specialize based on the resources they have. 3. The product cycle theory suggests that after firms are established in their home countries, they commonly expand their product specialization in foreign countries. 36 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Summary ◼ 37 The most common methods by which firms conduct international business are international trade, licensing, franchising, joint ventures, acquisitions of foreign firms, and formation of foreign subsidiaries. Methods such as licensing and franchising involve little capital investment but distribute some of the profits to other parties. The acquisition of foreign firms and formation of foreign subsidiaries require substantial capital investments but offer the potential for large returns. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Summary ◼ 38 The valuation model of an MNC shows that the MNC’s value is favorably affected when its expected foreign cash inflows increase, the currencies denominating those cash inflows increase, or the MNC’s required rate of return decreases. Conversely, the MNC’s value is adversely affected when its expected foreign cash inflows decrease, the values of currencies denominating those cash flows decrease (assuming that they have net cash inflows in foreign currencies), or the MNC’s required rate of return increases. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Corporate Finance 11th Edition by Jeff Madura 1 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 2 International Flow of Funds Chapter Objectives Explain the key components of the balance of payments, Explain the growth in international trade activity over time, Explain how international trade flows are influenced by economic factors and other factors, Explain how international capital flows are influenced by country characteristics, Introduce the agencies that facilitate the international flow of funds. 2 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 2 International Flow of Funds Chapter Objectives 1 2 3 3 3 3 • Key components of the balance of payments • The growth in international trade activity over time • How international trade flows are influenced by economic factors and other factors • How international capital flows are influenced by country characteristics • The agencies that facilitate the international flow of funds © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Balance of Payments BOP is summary of transactions between domestic and foreign residents for a specific country over a specified period of time. Component of BOP: Current account Capital account Investment account 4 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Components of the Balance of Payments Statement: Current account • flow of funds due to purchases of goods or services or the provision of income on financial assets Capital account • flow of funds resulting from the sale of assets between one specified country and all other countries over a specified period of time Investment account • Special types of investment, including FDI and portfolio investment 5 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Current Account 1. Payments for merchandise and services Merchandise exports and imports represent tangible products that are transported between countries. Service exports and imports represent tourism and other services. The difference between total exports and imports is referred to as the balance of trade. 2. Factor income payments Represents income (interest and dividend payments) received by investors on foreign investments in financial assets (securities). 3. Transfer payments Represent aid, grants, and gifts from one country to another. 6 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 2.1 Examples of Current Account Transactions 7 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 2.2 Summary of Current Account in the year 2010 (in billions of $) 8 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Capital and Financial Accounts 1. Direct foreign investment Investments in fixed assets in foreign countries 2. Portfolio investment Transactions involving long term financial assets (such as stocks and bonds) between countries that do not affect the transfer of control. 3. Other capital investment Transactions involving short-term financial assets (such as money market securities) between countries. 4. Errors and omissions Measurement errors can occur when attempting to measure the value of funds transferred into or out of a country. 9 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Events That Increased Trade Volume Removal of Berlin Wall Single European Act of 1987 North American Free Trade Agreement 10 Inception of the Euro Currency Expansion of European Union Other Free Trade Agreements General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Events That Increased Trade Volume 1. Removal of the Berlin Wall: Led to reductions in trade barriers in Eastern Europe. 2. Single European Act of 1987: Improved access to supplies from firms in other European countries. 3. North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA): Allowed U.S. firms to penetrate product and labor markets that previously had not been accessible. 4. General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT): Called for the reduction or elimination of trade 11 restrictions on specified imported goods over a 10-year period across 117 countries. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Events That Increased Trade Volume (cont.) 5. Inception of the Euro: Reduced costs and risks associated with converting one currency to another. 6. Expansion of the European Union: reduced restrictions on trade with Western Europe. 7. Other Trade Agreements: The United States has established trade agreements with many other countries. 12 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. ASEAN Free Trade Area 13 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of Outsourcing on Trade 14 Definition • The process of subcontracting to a third party in another country to provide supplies or services that were previously produced internally. Advantages • Increased international trade activity • Lower cost of operations and job creation in countries with low wages Disadvantages • Outsourcing may reduce jobs in the United States • the possible bad publicity or bad morale that could occur among the U.S. workers © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Managerial Decisions About Outsourcing 1. Managers of a U.S.–based MNC may argue that they create jobs for U.S. workers. 2. Shareholders may suggest that the managers are not maximizing the MNC’s value as a result of their commitment to creating U.S. jobs. 3. Managers should consider the potential savings that could occur as a result of outsourcing. 4. Managers must also consider the possible bad publicity or bad morale that could occur among the U.S. workers. 15 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trade Volume Among Countries 1. The annual international trade volume of the United States is between 10 and 20 percent of its annual GDP. 2. Trade volume between the United States and Other Countries: 1. About 20 percent of all U.S. exports are to Canada, while 13 percent are to Mexico. 2. Canada, China, Mexico, and Japan are the key exporters to the United States. Together, they are responsible for more than half of the value of all U.S. imports. 16 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. The Net Trade Deficits of US in 2017 17 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trading Partners of Vietnam in 2016-2017 18 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 2.3 Distributions of U.S. Exports Across Countries (in billions of $) 19 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 2.4 2008 Distribution of U.S. Exports and Imports 20 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trend in U.S. Balance of Trade 1. The U.S. balance of trade deficit increased substantially from 1997 until 2008. 2. In the 2008–2009 period, U.S. economic conditions weakened and the U.S. demand for foreign products and services decreased. 3. In recent years, the U.S. annual balance of trade deficit with China has exceeded $200 billion. 4. Any country’s balance of trade can change substantially over time. 21 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 2.5 U.S. Balance of Trade Over Time (Quarterly) 22 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. US Trade Deficits and Trade Partners in 20162017 23 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Factors Affecting International Trade Flows National income Government policies Inflation Cost of labor 24 Trade flows Exchange rate © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Factors Affecting International Trade Flows 1. Cost of Labor: Firms in countries where labor costs are low commonly have an advantage when competing globally, especially in labor intensive industries 2. Inflation: Current account decreases if inflation increases relative to trade partners. 3. National Income: Current account decreases if national income increases relative to other countries. 25 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Factors Affecting International Trade Flows (cont.) 4. Government Policies: can increase imports through: a. Restrictions on imports b. Subsidies for exporters c. Lack of Restriction on piracy d. Environmental restrictions e. Labor laws f. Tax breaks g. Country security laws 5. Exchange Rates: current account decreases if currency appreciates relative to other currencies. 26 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Group Discussion: Can A Strong Dollar a Bad Thing? 27 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Group Discussion: Can A Strong Dollar a Bad Thing? 1 28 • Is it good to have strong currency? 2 • How could trade barrier drive dollar down? 3 • What is the effect of free trade agreement on value of USD 4 • What are possible strategy for USA to weaken its currency? © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of Government Policies 1. Restrictions on Imports: Taxes (tariffs) on imported goods increase prices and limit consumption. Quotas limit the volume of imports. 2. Subsidies for Exporters: Government subsidies help firms produce at a lower cost than their global competitors. 3. Restrictions on Piracy: A government can affect international trade flows by its lack of restrictions on piracy. 4. Environmental Restrictions: Environmental restrictions impose higher costs on local firms, placing them at a global disadvantage compared to firms in other countries that are not subject to the same restrictions. 29 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of Government Policies (cont.) 5. Labor Laws: countries with more restrictive laws will incur higher expenses for labor, other factors being equal. 6. Business Laws: Firms in countries with more restrictive bribery laws may not be able to compete globally in some situations. 7. Tax Breaks: Though not necessarily a subsidy, but still a form of government financial support that might benefit many firms that export products. 8. Country Security Laws: Governments may impose certain restrictions when national security is a concern, which can affect on trade. 30 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of Exchange Rates How exchange rates may correct a balance of trade deficit: When a home currency is exchanged for a foreign currency to buy foreign goods, then the home currency faces downward pressure, leading to increased foreign demand for the country’s products. Why exchange rates may not correct a balance of trade deficit: Exchange rates will not automatically correct any international trade balances when other forces are at work. 31 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Limitations of a Weak Home Currency Solution 1. Competition: foreign companies may lower their prices to remain competitive. 2. Impact of other currencies: a country that has balance of trade deficit with many countries is not likely to solve all deficits simultaneously. 3. Prearranged international trade transactions: international transactions cannot be adjusted immediately. The lag is estimated to be 18 months or longer, leading to a J-curve effect. 4. Intracompany trade: Many firms purchase products that are produced by their subsidiaries. These transactions are not necessarily affected by currency fluctuations. 32 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 2.6 J-Curve Effect 33 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Friction Regarding Exchange Rates 1. All governments cannot weaken their home currencies simultaneously. 2. Actions by one government to weaken its currency causes another country’s currency to strengthen. 3. Government attempts to influence exchange rates can lead to international disputes. 34 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Friction Regarding Exchange Rates 1. All governments cannot weaken their home currencies simultaneously. 2. Actions by one government to weaken its currency causes another country’s currency to strengthen. 3. Government attempts to influence exchange rates can lead to international disputes. 35 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Friction Regarding Exchange Rates 36 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Group Discussion 1 2 37 • What is currency devaluation? • Why countries devaluate their currency? 3 • What are the possible way to counter currency devaluation? 4 • In your opinion, should Vietnam follow China to devaluate its currency? © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Factors Affecting Direct Foreign Investing (DFI) 1. Changes in Restrictions New opportunities have arisen from the removal of government barriers. 2. Privatization DFI is stimulated by new business opportunities associated with privatization. Managers of privately owned businesses are motivated to ensure profitability, further stimulating DFI. 38 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Factors Affecting Direct Foreign Investing (DFI) (Cont.) 4. Potential Economic Growth Countries with greater potential for economic growth are more likely to attract DFI. 5. Tax Rates Countries that impose relatively low tax rates on corporate earnings are more likely to attract DFI. 6. Exchange Rates Firms typically prefer to pursue DFI in countries where the local currency is expected to strengthen against their own. 39 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Direct Foreign Investing In Asean , 2012 40 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Factors Affecting International Portfolio Investment 1. Tax Rate on Interest or Dividends Investors normally prefer to invest in a country where taxes are relatively low. 2. Interest Rates Money tends to flow to countries with high interest rates, as long as the local currencies are not expected to weaken. 3. Exchange Rates Investors are attracted to a currency that is expected to strengthen. 41 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of International Capital Flows 1. The United States relies heavily on foreign investment in: U.S. manufacturing plants, offices, and other buildings. Debt securities issued by U.S. firms. U.S. Treasury debt securities 2. Foreign investors are especially attracted to the U.S. financial markets when the interest rate in their home country is substantially lower than that in the United States. 42 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 2.7 Impact of the International Flow of Funds on U.S. Interest Rates and Business Investment in the United States 43 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agencies that Facilitate International Flows International Monetary Fund (IMF) 1. Major Objectives of the IMF i. promote cooperation among countries on international monetary issues, ii. promote stability in exchange rates iii. provide temporary funds to member countries attempting to correct imbalances of international payments iv. promote free mobility of capital funds across countries v. promote free trade. It is clear from these objectives that the IMF’s goals encourage increased internationalization of business 2. Its compensatory financing facility (CFF) attempts to reduce the impact of export instability on countries. 3. Financing is measured in special drawing rights (SDRs) 44 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agencies that Facilitate International Flows World Bank (International Bank for Reconstruction and Development) 1. Major Objective- Make loans to countries to enhance economic development. 2. Structural Adjustment Loans (SALs) are intended to enhance a country’s long-term economic growth. 3. Funds are distributed through cofinancing agreements: 45 Official aid agencies Export credit agencies Commercial banks © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agencies that Facilitate International Flows World Trade Organization (WTO) 1. Major Objective - Provide a forum for multilateral trade negotiations and to settle trade disputes related to the GATT accord. 2. Member countries are given voting rights that are used to make judgments about trade disputes and other issues. 46 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agencies that Facilitate International Flows International Financial Corporation (IFC) 1. Major Objective - promote private enterprise within countries. 2. Provides loans to corporations and purchases stock 3. It traditionally has obtained financing from the World Bank but can borrow in the international financial markets. 47 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agencies that Facilitate International Flows International Development Association (IDA) 1. Major Objectives - extends loans at low interest rates to poor nations that cannot qualify for loans from the World Bank. 48 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agencies that Facilitate International Flows Bank for International Settlements (BIS) 1. Major Objectives - facilitate cooperation among countries with regard to international transactions. 2. Provides assistance to countries experiencing a financial crisis. 3. Sometimes referred to as the “central banks’ central bank” or the “lender of last resort.” 49 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agencies that Facilitate International Flows Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) 1. Major Objective - Facilitate governance in governments and corporations of countries with market economics. 2. It has 30 member countries and has relationships with numerous countries. 3. Promotes international country relationships that lead to globalization. 50 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agencies that Facilitate International Flows Regional Development Agencies 1. Inter-American Development Bank: focusing on the needs of Latin America 2. Asian Development Bank: established to enhance social and economic development in Asia 3. African Development Bank: focusing on development in African countries 4. European Bank for Reconstruction and Development: created in 1990 to help the Eastern European countries adjust from communism to capitalism. 51 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY The key components of the balance of payments are the current account and the capital account. Current account broad measure of the country’s international trade balance. Capital account - measure of the country’s long-term and short-term capital investments. International trade activity has grown over time. Outsourcing, subcontracting with a third party in a foreign country for supplies or services they previously produced themselves, has increased. Thus increasing international trade activity. A country’s international trade flows are affected by inflation, national income, government restrictions, and exchange rates. 52 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY (Cont.) A country’s international capital flows are affected by any factors that influence direct foreign investment or portfolio investment. Direct foreign investment tends to occur in those countries that have no restrictions and much potential for economic growth. Portfolio investment tends to occur in those countries where taxes are not excessive, where interest rates are high, and where the local currencies are not expected to weaken. Several agencies facilitate the international flow of funds by promoting international trade and finance, providing loans to enhance global economic development, settling trade disputes between countries, and promoting global business relationships between countries. 53 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Corporate Finance 11th Edition by Jeff Madura 1 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 3 International Financial Markets Chapter Objectives Describe the background and corporate use of the following International Financial Markets: Foreign exchange market International money market International credit market International bond market International stock markets 2 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Foreign Exchange Market 1. Allows for the exchange of one currency for another. 2. Exchange rate specifies the rate at which one currency can be exchanged for another. 3 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. History of Foreign Exchange 1. Gold Standard (1876 – 1913) Each currency was convertible into gold at a specified rate. When World War I began in 1914, the gold standard was suspended. 2. Agreements on Fixed Exchange Rates a.Bretton Woods Agreement 1944 - 1971 b.Smithsonian Agreement 1971 - 1973 3. Floating Exchange Rate System Widely traded currencies were allowed to fluctuate in accordance with market forces 4 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Foreign Exchange Transactions 1. The over-the-counter market is the telecommunications network where companies normally exchange one currency for another. 2. Foreign exchange dealers serve as intermediaries in the foreign exchange market 3. A foreign exchange transaction for immediate exchange is said to trade in the spot market. The exchange rate in the spot market is the spot rate. 4. Trading between banks occurs in the interbank market. 5 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Spot Market 1. The U.S. Dollar is the commonly accepted medium of exchange in the spot market. 2. Spot market time zones - Foreign exchange trading is conducted only during normal business hours in a given location. Thus, at any given time on a weekday, somewhere around the world a bank is open and ready to accommodate foreign exchange requests. 3. Spot market liquidity: More buyers and sellers means more liquidity. 6 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Attributes of Banks That Provide Foreign Exchange 1. Competitiveness of quote 2. Special relationship with the bank 3. Speed of execution 4. Advice about current market conditions 5. Forecasting advice 7 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Foreign Exchange Quotations 1. At any given point in time, a bank’s bid (buy) quote for a foreign currency will be less than its ask (sell) quote. 2. The bid/ask spread covers the bank’s cost of conducting foreign exchange transactions Ask rate Bid rate Bid / ask spread Ask rate 8 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 3.1 Computation of the Bid Ask Spread 9 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Factors That Affect the Spread 1. Order costs: Costs of processing orders, including clearing costs and the costs of recording transactions. 2. Inventory costs: Costs of maintaining an inventory of a particular currency. 3. Competition: The more intense the competition, the smaller the spread quoted by intermediaries. 4. Volume: Currencies that have a large trading volume are more liquid because there are numerous buyers and sellers at any given time. 5. Currency risk: Economic or political conditions that cause the demand for and supply of the currency to change abruptly. 10 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Interpreting Foreign Exchange Quotations 1. Direct Quotation represents the value of a foreign currency in dollars (number of dollars per currency). Example: $1.40 per Euro 2. Indirect quotation represents the number of units of a foreign currency per dollar. Example: €0.7143 per Dollar Indirect quotation = 1 / Direct quotation 11 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 3.2 Direct and Indirect Exchange Rate Quotations 12 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Interpreting Changes in Exchange Rates 1. When the euro is appreciating against the dollar (based on an upward movement of the direct exchange rate of the euro), the indirect exchange rate of the euro is declining. 2. When the euro is depreciating (based on a downward movement of the direct exchange rate) against the dollar, the indirect exchange rate is rising. 13 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 3.3 Relationship Between the Direct and Indirect Exchange Rates Over Time 14 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cross Exchange Rates 1. Cross exchange rate is the amount of one foreign currency per unit of another foreign currency 2. Example Value of peso = $0.07 Value of Canadian dollar = $0.70 15 Value of peso in C$ = Value of peso in $ Value of C$ in $ = $0.07 = C$ 0.10 $0.70 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Currency Derivatives 1. Forward Contracts: agreements between a foreign exchange dealer and an MNC that specifies the currencies to be exchanged, the exchange rate, and the date at which the transaction will occur. The forward rate is the exchange rate specified by the forward contract. The forward market is the over-thecounter market where forward contracts are traded. 16 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Currency Derivatives 2. Futures Contracts: similar to forward contracts but sold on an exchange Specifies a standard volume of a particular currency to be exchanged on a specific settlement date. The futures rate is the exchange rate at which one can purchase or sell a specified currency on the specified settlement date. The future spot rate is the spot rate that will exist at a future point in time and is uncertain as of today. 17 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Currency Derivatives 3. Currency Options Contracts a. Currency Call Option: provides the right to buy currency at a specified strike price within a specified period of time. b. Currency Put Option: provides the right to sell currency at specified strike price within a specified period of time. 18 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Money Market 1. Corporations or governments need short-term funds denominated in a currency different from their home currency. 2. The international money market has grown because firms: a. May need to borrow funds to pay for imports denominated in a foreign currency. b. May choose to borrow in a currency in which the interest rate is lower. c. May choose to borrow in a currency that is expected to depreciate against their home currency 19 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Origins and Development 1. European Money Market: Dollar deposits in banks in Europe and other continents are called Eurodollars or Eurocurrency. Origins of the European money market can be traced to the Eurocurrency market that developed during the 1960s and 1970s. 2. Asian Money Market: Centered in Hong Kong and Singapore. Originated as a market involving mostly dollar-denominated deposits, and was originally known as the Asian dollar market. 20 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Money Market Interest Rates Among Currencies 1. The money market interest rates in any particular country are dependent on the demand for shortterm funds by borrowers, relative to the supply of available short-term funds that are provided by savers. 2. Money market rates vary due to differences in the interaction of the total supply of short-term funds available (bank deposits) in a specific country versus the total demand for short-term funds by borrowers in that country. 21 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 3.4 Comparison of Money Market Interest Rates 22 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Global Integration of Money Market Interest Rates 1. Money market interest rates among countries tend to be highly correlated over time. 2. When economic conditions weaken, the corporate need for liquidity declines, and corporations reduce the amount of short term funds they wish to borrow. 3. When economic conditions strengthen, there is an increase in corporate expansion, and corporations need additional liquidity to support their expansion. 23 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Risk of International Money Market Securities 1. International Money Market Securities are debt securities issued by MNCs and government agencies with a short-term maturity (1 year or less) 2. Normally, these securities are perceived to be very safe from the risk of default. 3. Even if the international money market securities are not exposed to credit risk, they are exposed to exchange rate risk when the currency denominating the securities differs from the home currency of the investors. 24 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Credit Market 1. MNCs sometimes obtain medium-term funds through term loans from local financial institutions or through the issuance of notes (medium-term debt obligations) in their local markets. 2. Loans of 1 year or longer extended by banks to MNCs or government agencies in Europe are commonly called Eurocredits or Eurocredit loans. 3. To avoid interest rate risk, banks commonly use floating rate loans with rates tied to the London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR). 25 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Regulations in the Credit Market 1. Single European Act: Capital can flow freely throughout Europe. Banks can offer a wide variety of lending, leasing, and securities activities in the EU. Regulations regarding competition, mergers, and taxes are similar throughout the EU. A bank established in any one of the EU countries has the right to expand into any or all of the other EU countries. 2. Basel Accord - Banks must maintain capital equal to at least 4 percent of their assets. For this purpose, banks’ assets are weighted by risk. 26 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Regulations in the Credit Market (Cont.) 3. Basel II Accord - Attempts to account for differences in collateral among banks. In addition, this accord encourages banks to improve their techniques for controlling operational risk, which could reduce failures in the banking system. Also plans to require banks to provide more information to existing and prospective shareholders about their exposure to different types of risk. 4. Basel III Accord - Called for new methods of estimating risk-weighted assets that would increase the level of riskweighted assets, and therefore require banks to maintain higher levels of capital. 27 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Syndicated Loans in the Credit Market 1. Sometimes a single bank is unwilling or unable to lend the amount needed by an MNC or government agency. 2. A syndicate of banks can be formed to underwrite the loans and the lead bank is responsible for negotiating the terms with the borrower. 28 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of the Credit Crisis on the Credit Market 1. The credit crisis of 2008 triggered by defaults in subprime loans led to a halt in housing development, which reduced income, spending, and jobs. 2. Financial institutions became cautious with their funds and were less willing to lend funds to MNCs 29 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Bond Market 1. Foreign bonds are issued by borrower foreign to the country where the bond is placed. 2. Eurobonds are bonds sold in countries other than the country of the currency denominating the bond Partially a result of the Interest Equalization Tax (EIT) imposed by the U.S. government in 1963 to discourage U.S. investors from investing in foreign securities. 30 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Eurobonds 1. Features: Bearer bonds Annual coupon payments Convertible or callable 2. Denominations commonly denominated in a number of currencies 3. Underwriting Process multinational syndicate; simultaneously placed in many countries 4. Secondary Market 31 market makers are in many cases the same underwriters who sell the primary issues © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Development of Other Bond Markets 1. Bond markets have developed in Asia and South America 2. Bond market yields among countries tend to be highly correlated over time. 3. When economic conditions weaken, aggregate demand for funds declines with the decline in corporate expansion. 4. When economic conditions strengthen, aggregate demand for funds increases with the increase in corporate expansion. 32 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Risk of International Bonds 1. Credit Risk - represents the potential for default. 2. Interest Rate Risk - potential for the value of bonds to decline in response to rising long-term interest rates. 3. Exchange Rate Risk - represents the potential for the value of bonds to decline (from the investor’s perspective) because the currency denominating the bond depreciates against the home currency. 4. Liquidity Risk - represents the potential for the value of bonds to decline because there is not a consistently active market for the bonds. 33 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of the Greek Crisis on Bonds 1. Spring 2010: Greece experienced weak economic conditions and large increase in the government budget deficit. 2. Concern spread to other European countries such as Spain, Portugal, and Ireland that had large budget deficits. 3. May 2010: many European countries and the IMF agreed to provide Greece with new loans. 34 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Stock Markets 1. Issuance of Stock in Foreign Markets - Some U.S. firms issue stock in foreign markets to enhance their global image. 2. Issuance of Foreign Stock in the U.S. a. Yankee stock offerings - Non-U.S. corporations that need large amounts of funds sometimes issue stock in the United States b. American Depository Receipts (ADR) Certificates representing bundles of stock. ADR shares can be traded just like shares of a stock. 35 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Non-U.S. Firms Listing on U.S. Exchanges 1. Non-U.S. firms have their shares listed on the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq market so that the shares can easily be traded in the secondary market. 2. Effect of Sarbanes-Oxley Act on Foreign Stock Listings - Many non-U.S. firms decided to place new issues of their stock in the United Kingdom instead of in the United States so that they would not have to comply with the law. 36 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Investing in Foreign Stock Markets 1. Many investors purchase stocks outside of the home country. 2. Recently, firms outside the U.S. have been issuing stock more frequently. 37 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 3.5 Comparison of Stock Exchanges (as of 2008) 38 Source: World Federation of Exchanges © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. How Market Characteristics Vary among Countries 1. Stock market participation and trading activity are higher in countries where managers are encouraged to make decisions that serve shareholder interests, and where there is greater transparency. 2. Factors that influence trading activity: 39 Voting power Legal protection of shareholders Government enforcement of securities laws Corporate corruption Level of financial disclosure © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 3.6 Impact of Governance on Stock Market Participation and Trading Activity 40 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. How Financial Markets Serve MNCs 1. Corporate functions that require foreign exchange markets. Foreign trade with business clients. Direct foreign investment, or the acquisition of foreign real assets. Short-term investment or financing in foreign securities. Longer-term financing in the international bond or stock markets. 41 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 3.7 Foreign Cash Flow Chart of an MNC 42 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Summary The foreign exchange market allows currencies to be exchanged in order to facilitate international trade or financial transactions. Commercial banks serve as financial intermediaries in this market. The international money markets are composed of several large banks that accept deposits and provide short-term loans in various currencies. This market is used primarily by governments and large corporations. The international credit markets are composed of the same commercial banks that serve the international money market. These banks convert some of the deposits received into loans (for medium-term periods) to governments and large corporations. 43 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Summary (Cont.) The international bond markets facilitate international transfers of long-term credit, thereby enabling governments and large corporations to borrow funds from various countries. The international bond market is facilitated by multinational syndicates of investment banks that help to place the bonds. International stock markets enable firms to obtain equity financing in foreign countries. Thus, these markets help MNCs finance their international expansion. 44 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Corporate Finance 11th Edition by Jeff Madura 1 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 5 Currency Derivatives Chapter Objectives 2 1 ▪ Explain how forward contracts are used to hedge based on anticipated exchange rate movements 2 ▪ Describe how currency futures contracts are used to speculate or hedge based on anticipated exchange rate movements 3 ▪ Explain how currency option contracts are used to speculate or hedge based on anticipated exchange rate movements © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What is a Currency Derivative? Definition • A currency derivative is a contract whose price is derived from the value of an underlying currency. Functions • Speculate on future exchange rate movements • Hedge exposure to exchange rate risk Example • Forwards/futures contracts • Options contracts 3 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Forward Market ◼ A forward contract is an agreement between a corporation and a financial institution: ▪ ▪ ▪ 4 To exchange a specified amount of currency At a specified exchange rate called the forward rate On a specified date in the future © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. How MNCs Use Forward Contracts 1 2 3 3 5 • Hedge their imports by locking in the rate at which they can obtain the currency • Bid/Ask Spread is wider for less liquid currencies • May negotiate an offsetting trade if an MNC enters into a forward sale and a forward purchase with the same bank • Non-deliverable forward contracts (NDF) can be used for emerging market currencies where no currency delivery takes place at settlement, instead one party makes a payment to the other party © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Premium or Discount on the Forward Rate F = S(1 + p) where: F is the forward rate S is the spot rate p is the forward premium, or the percentage by which the forward rate exceeds the spot rate. 6 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 5.1 Computation of Forward Rate Premiums or Discounts 7 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Premium or Discount on the Forward Rate Arbitrage – If the forward rate was the same as the spot rate, arbitrage would be possible. Movements in the Forward Rate over Time – The forward premium is influenced by the interest rate differential between the two countries and can change over time. Offsetting a Forward Contract – An MNC can offset a forward contract by negotiating with the original counterparty bank. Non-deliverable forward contracts (NDF) can be used for emerging market currencies where no currency delivery takes place at settlement; instead one party makes a payment to the other party. 8 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Currency Futures Market ◼ Similar to forward contracts in terms of obligation to purchase or sell currency on a specific settlement date in the future. ◼ Differ from forward contracts because futures have standard contract specifications: a. Standardized number of units per contract (See Exhibit 5.2) b. Offer greater liquidity than forward contracts c. Typically based on U.S. dollar, but may be offered on crossrates. d. Commonly traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). 9 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 5.2 Currency Futures Contracts Traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange 10 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trading Currency Futures ◼ Firms or individuals can execute orders for currency futures contracts by calling brokerage firms. ◼ Electronic trading platforms facilitate the trading of currency futures. These platforms serve as a broker, as they execute the trades desired. ◼ Currency futures contracts are similar to forward contracts in that they allow a customer to lock in the exchange rate at which a specific currency is purchased or sold for a specific date in the future. 11 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 5.3 Comparison of the Forward and Futures Market 12 Source: Chicago Mercantile Exchange © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trading Currency Futures (cont.) ◼ Pricing Currency Futures - The price of currency futures will be similar to the forward rate ◼ Credit Risk of Currency Futures Contracts To minimize its risk, the CME imposes margin requirements to cover fluctuations in the value of a contract, meaning that the participants must make a deposit with their respective brokerage firms when they take a position. 13 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. How Firms Use Currency Futures ◼ Purchasing Futures to Hedge Payables - The purchase of futures contracts locks in the price at which a firm can purchase a currency. ◼ Selling Futures to Hedge Receivables - The sale of futures contracts locks in the price at which a firm can sell a currency. 14 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Closing Out a Futures Position ◼ Sellers (buyers) of currency futures can close out their positions by buying (selling) identical futures contracts prior to settlement. ◼ Most currency futures contracts are closed out before the settlement date. 15 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 5.4 Closing Out a Futures Contract 16 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Speculation with Currency Futures 1. Currency futures contracts are sometimes purchased by speculators attempting to capitalize on their expectation of a currency’s future movement. 2. Currency futures are often sold by speculators who expect that the spot rate of a currency will be less than the rate at which they would be obligated to sell it. 17 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 5.5 Source of Gains from Buying Currency Futures 18 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Currency Futures Market Efficiency 1. If the currency futures market is efficient, the futures price should reflect all available information. 2. Thus, the continual use of a particular strategy to take positions in currency futures contracts should not lead to abnormal profits. 3. Research has found that the currency futures market may be inefficient. However, the patterns are not necessarily observable until after they occur, which means that it may be difficult to consistently generate abnormal profits from speculating in currency futures. 19 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Currency Options Markets ◼ Currency options provide the right to purchase or sell currencies at specified prices. ◼ Options Exchanges ▪ ▪ ▪ 1982 - exchanges in Amsterdam, Montreal, and Philadelphia first allowed trading in standardized foreign currency options. 2007 – CME and CBOT merged to form CME group Exchanges are regulated by the SEC in the U.S. ◼ Over-the-counter market - Where currency options are offered by commercial banks and brokerage firms. Unlike the currency options traded on an exchange, the over-the-counter market offers currency options that are tailored to the specific needs of the firm. 20 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Currency Call Options ◼ Grants the right to buy a specific currency at a designated strike price or exercise price within a specific period of time. ◼ If the spot rate rises above the strike price, the owner of a call can exercise the right to buy currency at the strike price. ◼ The buyer of the option pays a premium. ◼ If the spot exchange rate is greater than the strike price, the option is in the money. If the spot rate is equal to the strike price, the option is at the money. If the spot rate is lower than the strike price, the option is out of the money. 21 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Factors Affecting Currency Call Option Premiums The premium on a call option (C) is affected by three factors: ◼ Spot price relative to the strike price (S – X): The higher the spot rate relative to the strike price, the higher the option price will be. ◼ Length of time before expiration (T): The longer the time to expiration, the higher the option price will be. ◼ Potential variability of currency (σ): The greater the variability of the currency, the higher the probability that the spot rate can rise above the strike price. 22 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. How Firms Use Currency Call Options Firms can use call options to: ◼ hedge payables ◼ hedge project bidding to lock in the dollar cost of potential expenses. ◼ hedge target bidding of a possible acquisition. ◼ Speculate on expectations of future movements in a currency. 23 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Currency Put Options 1. Grants the right to sell a currency at a specified strike price or exercise price within a specified period of time. 2. If the spot rate falls below the strike price, the owner of a put can exercise the right to sell currency at the strike price. 3. The buyer of the options pays a premium. 4. If the spot exchange rate is lower than the strike price, the option is in the money. If the spot rate is equal to the strike price, the option is at the money. If the spot rate is greater than the strike price, the option is out of the money. 24 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Factors Affecting Put Option Premiums Put option premiums are affected by three factors: ◼ Spot rate relative to the strike price (S–X): The lower the spot rate relative to the strike price, the higher the probability that the option will be exercised. ◼ Length of time until expiration (T): The longer the time to expiration, the greater the put option premium ◼ Variability of the currency (σ): The greater the variability, the greater the probability that the option may be exercised. 25 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Hedging with Currency Put Options 1. Corporations with open positions in foreign currencies can use currency put options in some cases to cover these positions. 2. Some put options are deep out of the money, meaning that the prevailing exchange rate is high above the exercise price. These options are cheaper (have a lower premium), as they are unlikely to be exercised because their exercise price is too low. 3. Other put options have an exercise price that is currently above the prevailing exchange rate and are therefore more likely to be exercised. Consequently, these options are more expensive. 26 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Speculating with Currency Put Options 1. Individuals may speculate with currency put options based on their expectations of the future movements in a particular currency. 2. Speculators can attempt to profit from selling currency put options. The seller of such options is obligated to purchase the specified currency at the strike price from the owner who exercises the put option. 3. The net profit to a speculator is based on the exercise price at which the currency can be sold versus the purchase price of the currency and the premium paid for the put option.. 27 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 5.6 Contingency Graphs for Currency Options 28 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Conditional Currency Options 1. A currency option can be structured with a conditional premium, meaning that the premium paid for the option is conditioned on the actual movement in the currency’s value over the period of concern. 2. Firms also use various combinations of currency options. 29 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 5.7 Comparison of Conditional and Basic Currency Options 30 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. European Currency Options ◼ European-style currency options must be exercised on the expiration date if they are to be exercised at all. ◼ They do not offer as much flexibility; however, this is not relevant to some situations. ◼ If European-style options are available for the same expiration date as American-style options and can be purchased for a slightly lower premium, some corporations may prefer them for hedging. 31 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY ▪ A forward contract specifies a standard volume of a particular currency to be exchanged on a particular date. Such a contract can be purchased by a firm to hedge payables or sold by a firm to hedge receivables. ▪ Futures contracts on a particular currency can be purchased by corporations that have payables in that currency and wish to hedge against the possible appreciation of that currency. Conversely, these contracts can be sold by corporations that have receivables in that currency and wish to hedge against the possible depreciation of that currency. 32 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY (Cont.) ▪ Currency options are classified as call options or put options. Call options allow the right to purchase a specified currency at a specified exchange rate by a specified expiration date. Put options allow the right to sell a specified currency at a specified exchange rate by a specified expiration date. Currency call options are commonly purchased by corporations that have payables in a currency that is expected to appreciate. Currency put options are commonly purchased by corporations that have receivables in a currency that is expected to depreciate. 33 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. arbitrage action to capitalize on a discrepancy in quoted prices; in many cases, there is no investment of funds tied up for any length of time. contingency graph graph showing the net profit to a speculator in currency options under various exchange rate scenarios. currency call option contract that grants the right to purchase a specific currency at a specific price (exchange rate) within a specific period of time. currency futures contracts contract specifying a standard volume of a particular currency to be exchanged on a specific settlement date. currency option combination the use of simultaneous call and put option positions to construct a unique position to suit the hedger’s or speculator’s needs. Two of the most popular currency option combinations are straddles and strangles. currency put option contract granting the right to sell a particular currency at a specified price (exchange rate) within a specified period of time. exercise price (strike price) 34 price (exchange rate) at which the owner of a currency call option is allowed to buy a specified currency; or the price (exchange rate) at which the owner of a currency put option is allowed to sell a specified currency. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. forward contract agreement between a commercial bank and a client about an exchange of two currencies to be made at a future point in time at a specified exchange rate. forward rate rate at which a bank is willing to exchange one currency for another at some specified date in the future. non-deliverable like a forward contract, represents an agreement regarding a position forward contract in a specified currency, a specified exchange rate, and a specified (NDF) future settlement date, but does not result in delivery of currencies. Instead, a payment is made by one party in the agreement to the other party based on the exchange rate at the future date. 35 straddle combination of a put option and a call option. straddles combination of a put option and a call option. strangles a currency option combination; similar to a straddle. strike price See exercise price. writer seller of an option. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 14 Multinational Capital Budgeting Chapter Objectives 1 1 ▪ Compare the capital budgeting analysis of an MNC’s subsidiary versus its parent 2 ▪ Demonstrate how multinational capital building can be applied to determine whether an international project should be implemented 3 ▪ Show how multinational capital budgeting can be adapted to account for special situations such as alternative exchange rate scenarios or when subsidiary financing is considered 4 ▪ Explain how the risk of international projects can be assessed © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Subsidiary versus Parent Perspective Tax Differentials • different tax rates may make a project feasible from a subsidiary’s perspective, but not from a parent’s perspective Restrictions on Remitted Earnings • governments may place restrictions on whether earnings must remain in country Excessive Remittances • if the parent company charges fees to the subsidiary, then a project may appear favorable from a parent perspective, but not from a subsidiary’s perspective Exchange Rate Movements • earnings converted to the currency of the parent company will be affected by exchange rate movements © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 3 Chapter 14 Multinational Capital Budgeting net operating loss practice of applying losses to offset earnings in carrybacks previous years. net operating loss practice of applying losses to offset earnings in carryforwards future years. sensitivity analysis technique for assessing uncertainty whereby various possibilities are input to determine possible outcomes. simulation technique for assessing the degree of uncertainty. Probability distributions are developed for the input variables; simulation uses this information to generate possible outcomes. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 14.1 Process of Remitting Subsidiary Earnings to Parent 4 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Subsidiary versus Parent Perspective 1. The parent’s perspective is appropriate when evaluating a project since the parent’s shareholders are the owners and any project should generate sufficient cash flows to the parent to enhance shareholder wealth. 2. One exception is when the foreign subsidiary is not wholly owned by the parent and the foreign project is partially financed with retained earnings of the parent and of the subsidiary. ◼ The foreign subsidiary has a group of shareholders that it must satisfy ◼ The foreign subsidiary has a group of shareholders that it must satisfy © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Input for Multinational Capital Budgeting Initial investment (Initial Outlay) • Funds initially invested include whatever is necessary to start the project and additional funds Price and consumer demand • Future demand is usually influenced by economic conditions, which are uncertain Costs • Variable-cost forecasts can be developed from comparative costs of the components • Fixed costs can be estimated without an estimate of consumer demand © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Input for Multinational Capital Budgeting Tax law • International tax effects must be determined on any proposed foreign projects Remitted funds • The MNC policy for remitting funds to the parent influences estimated cash flows Exchange rates • These movements are often very difficult to forecast. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Input for Multinational Capital Budgeting Salvage (liquidation) values • Depends on several factors, including the success of the project and the attitude of the host government toward the project Required rate of return • The MNC should first estimate its cost of capital, and then it can derive its required rate of return on a project based on the risk of that project © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. MULTINATIONAL CAPITAL BUDGETING EXAMPLE Background ▪ Spartan, Inc., is considering the development of a subsidiary in Singapore that would manufacture and sell tennis rackets locally. ▪ Spartan’s financial managers have asked the manufacturing, marketing, and financial departments to provide them with relevant input so they can apply a capital budgeting analysis to this project. ▪ In addition, some Spartan executives have met with government officials in Singapore to discuss the proposed subsidiary. ▪ The project would end in 4 years. All relevant information follows. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Input for Multinational Capital Budgeting Initial investment (Initial Outlay) • S$ 20 million (S$ = Singapore dollars) Price and consumer demand • Year 1 and 2: 60,000 units @ S$350/unit • Year 3: 100,000 units @ S$360/unit • Year 4: 100,000 units @ S$380/unit Costs • Variable costs: Years 1 & 2 S$200/unit, Year 3 S$250/unit, Year 4 S$260/unit • Fixed costs: S$2 million per year © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Input for Multinational Capital Budgeting Tax law • 20 percent income tax Remitted funds • 10 percent withholding tax on remitted funds Exchange rates • Spot exchange rate of $0.50 for Singapore dollar © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Input for Multinational Capital Budgeting Salvage (liquidation) values • S$12 million Required rate of return • 15 percent © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. MULTINATIONAL CAPITAL BUDGETING EXAMPLE Analysis ▪ The capital budgeting analysis is conducted from the parent’s perspective, based on the assumption that the subsidiary would be wholly owned by the parent and created to enhance the value of the parent. ▪ The capital budgeting analysis to determine whether Spartan, Inc., should establish the subsidiary is provided in Exhibit 14.2. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 14.2 Capital Budgeting Analysis: Spartan, Inc. 14 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. MULTINATIONAL CAPITAL BUDGETING EXAMPLE Calculation of NPV n CFt SVn NPV = − IO + + t n (1 + k ) t =1 (1 + k ) Where: IO = initial outlay (investment) CFt = cash flow in period t SVn = salvage value k = required rate of return on the project n = lifetime of the project (number of periods) © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. MULTINATIONAL CAPITAL BUDGETING EXAMPLE Spartan, Inc. NPV = $2,229,867 Results ▪ Because the NPV is positive, Spartan, Inc., may accept this project if the discount rate of 15 percent has fully accounted for the project’s risk. ▪ If the analysis has not yet accounted for risk, however, Spartan may decide to reject the project. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. MULTINATIONAL CAPITAL BUDGETING EXAMPLE Brower, Inc., just constructed a manufacturing plant in Ghana. The construction cost 9 billion Ghanaian cedi. Brower intends to leave the plant open for 3 years. During the 3 years of operation, cedi cash flows are expected to be 3 billion cedi, 3 billion cedi, and 2 billion cedi, respectively. Operating cash flows will begin 1 year from today and are remitted back to the parent at the end of each year. At the end of the third year, Brower expects to sell the plant for 5 billion cedi. Brower has a required rate of return of 17%. It currently takes 8,700 cedi to buy 1 U.S. dollar, and the cedi is expected to depreciate by 5% per year. a. Determine the NPV for this project. Should Brower build the plant? b. How would your answer change if the value of the cedi was expected to remain unchanged from its current value of 8,700 cedi per U.S. dollar over the course of the 3 years? Should Brower construct the plant then? © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors to Consider 1 Exchange rate fluctuations Inflation 2 6 7 18 3 Inflation Blocked funds 4 Uncertain salvage value 5 Impact of project on prevailing cash flows Host government incentives Real options © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors to Consider Exchange Rate Fluctuations • Though exchange rates are difficult to forecast, a multinational capital budgeting analysis could incorporate a pessimistic scenario and an optimistic scenario Exchange Rates Tied to Parent Currency • Some MNCs consider projects in countries where the local currency is tied to the dollar. Hedged Exchange Rates • Some MNCs may hedge the expected cash flows of a new project, so they should evaluate the project based on hedged exchange rates © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 14.3 Analysis Using Different Exchange Rate Scenarios: Spartan, Inc. 20 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 14.4 Sensitivity of the Project’s NPV to Different Exchange Rate Scenarios: Spartan, Inc. 21 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Example of Analysis Using Different Exchange Rate Scenarios A project in South Korea requires an initial investment of 2 billion South Korean won. The project is expected to generate net cash flows to the subsidiary of 3 billion and 4 billion won in the 2 years of operation, respectively. The project has no salvage value. The current value of the won is 1,100 won per U.S. dollar, and the value of the won is expected to remain constant over the next 2 years. a. What is the NPV of this project if the required rate of return is 13 percent? b. Repeat the question, except assume that the value of the won is expected to be 1,200 won per U.S. dollar after 2 years. Further assume that the funds are blocked and that the parent company will only be able to remit them back to the United States in 2 years. How does this affect the NPV of the project? 22 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 14.5 Analysis When a Portion of the Expected Cash Flows Are Hedged: Spartan Inc. 23 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors to Consider: Inflation Negative impact • Affect both costs and revenues • The local economy’s inflation will most likely have a stronger effect on revenues than on costs in such cases Positive impact • Exchange rates of highly inflated countries tend to weaken over time Conclusion • The joint impact of inflation and exchange rate fluctuations may be partially offsetting effect from the viewpoint of the parent. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors to Consider: Financing Arrangement Many foreign projects are partially financed by foreign subsidiaries. 1. Subsidiary financing 2. Parent company financing 3. Financing with other subsidiaries’ retained earnings © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Financing Arrangement – Subsidiary Financing Assume, subsidiary borrows S$10 million to purchase the previously leased offices. Subsidiary will make interest payments on this loan (of S$1 million) annually and will pay the principal (S$10 million) at the end of Year 4, at termination. Singapore government permits a maximum of S$2 million per year in depreciation for this project, the subsidiary’s depreciation rate will remain unchanged. Assume the offices are expected to be sold for S$10 million after taxes at the end of Year 4. 1. The annual cash outflows for the subsidiary are still the same. 2. The subsidiary must pay the S$10 million in loan principal at the end of 4 years. However, since it receives S$10 million from the sale of the offices, it can use the proceeds of the sale to pay the loan principal. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors to Consider Financing Arrangement – Parent Company Financing Instead of the subsidiary leasing or purchasing with borrowed funds, the parent uses its own funds to purchase the offices. Thus, its initial investment is $15 million, composed of the original $10 million investment, plus an additional $5 million to obtain an extra S$10 million to purchase the offices. 1. The subsidiary will not have any loan or lease payments. 2. The parent’s initial investment is $15 million instead of $10 million. 3. The salvage value to be received by the parent is S$22 million instead of S$12 million because the offices are assumed to be sold for S$10 million after taxes at the end of Year 4. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 14.6 Analysis with an Alternative Financing Arrangement: Spartan, Inc. 28 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors to Consider Blocked Funds ◼ In some cases, the host country may block funds that the subsidiary attempts to send to the parent. ◼ Some countries require that earnings generated by the subsidiary be reinvested locally for at least 3 years before they can be remitted. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 14.7 Capital Budgeting with Blocked Funds: Spartan, Inc. 30 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors to Consider: Uncertain Salvage Value The salvage value of an MNC’s project typically has a significant impact on the project’s NPV. 1. Consider scenario analysis to estimate NPV at various salvage values. 2. Consider estimating break-even salvage value at zero NPV. Breakeven Salvage Value: CFt n SVn = IO − (1 + k ) t (1 + k ) © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Uncertain Salvage Value Example ◼A project in Malaysia costs $4 million. Over the next 3 years, the project will generate total operating cash flows of $3.5 million, measured in today’s dollars using a required rate of return of 14 percent. What is the break-even salvage value of this project? © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Impact of Project on Prevailing Cash Flows Favorable impact Unfavorable impact • if sales volume of parent increases following establishment of project • If existing cash flows decline following establishment of project © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 14.8 Capital Budgeting When Prevailing Cash Flows Are Affected: Spartan, Inc. 34 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors to Consider: Host Government Incentives Reduced tax rates for subsidiary Low-rate host government loans Government subsidies of initial investment Host Government Incentives © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Other Factors to Consider: Real Options 1. Opportunity to obtain or eliminate real assets 2. Value is influenced by: a. Probability that real option will be exercised b. NPV that will result from exercising the real option © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Adjusting Project Assessment for Risk Risk• The greater the uncertainty about a project’s forecasted cash flows, the larger should be adjusted the discount rate applied to cash flows. discount rate Sensitivity analysis • Can be more useful than simple point estimates because it reassesses the project based on various circumstances that may occur Simulation • Generation of a probability distribution for NPV based on a range of possible values for one or more input variables. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY ▪ Capital budgeting may generate different results and a different conclusion depending on whether it is conducted from the perspective of an MNC’s subsidiary or the MNC’s parent. When a parent is deciding whether to implement an international project, it should determine whether the project is feasible from its own perspective. ▪ The risk of international projects can be accounted for by adjusting the discount rate used to estimate the project’s net present value. However, the adjustment to the discount rate is subjective. An alternative method is to estimate the net present value based on various possible scenarios for exchange rates or any other uncertain factors. This method is facilitated by the use of sensitivity analysis or simulation. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY (Cont.) ▪ Multinational capital budgeting requires any input that will help estimate the initial outlay, periodic cash flows, salvage value, and required rate of return on the project. With these factors, the international project’s net present value can be estimated, just as if it were a domestic project. However, it is normally more difficult to estimate these factors for an international project. Exchange rates create an additional source of uncertainty because they affect the cash flows ultimately received by the parent as a result of the project. Other international conditions that can influence the cash flows ultimately received by the parent include the financing arrangement (parent versus subsidiary financing of the project), blocked funds by the host government, and host government incentives. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 17 Multinational Cost of Capital and Capital Structure Chapter Objectives Describe the key components of an MNC’s capital Identify the factors that affect an MNC’s capital structure Interaction between a subsidiary and parent in capital structure decisions Explain how the cost of capital is estimated Explain why the cost of capital varies among countries 1 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Components of Capital Parent Subsidiary 2 • Inject Cash to Subsidiary → equity investment • The subsidiary uses the cash infusion to develop its business operations in the host country • Which the subsidiary can build more equity is to offer its own stock to the public © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. External Sources of Debt Loans from Financial Institutions • An MNC’s parent commonly borrows funds from financial institutions Private Placement of Bonds • MNCs may offer a private placement of bonds to financial institutions in their home country or in the foreign country Bond Offering • Domestic bond offering: the funds are denominated in their local currency • Global bond offering: simultaneously sell bonds denominated in the currencies of multiple countries 3 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. External Sources of Debt Private Placement of Equity • Offer a private placement of equity to financial institutions in their home country or in the foreign country where they are expanding Domestic Equity Offering • Domestic equity offering in their home country in which the funds are denominated in their local currency Global Equity Offering • Global equity offering: simultaneously access equity from multiple countries 4 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Influence of Corporate Characteristics on The MNC’s Capital Structure Decision MNC’s Credit Risk Stability of MNC’s Cash Flows 5 MNC’s Access to Retained Earnings The MNC’s Capital Structure Decision MNC’s Guarantees on Debt MNC’s Agency Problems © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Influence of Corporate Characteristics on The MNC’s Capital Structure Decision 6 ◼ Stability of MNC’s Cash Flows - MNCs with more stable cash flows can handle more debt because there is a constant stream of cash inflows to cover periodic interest payments on debt. ◼ MNC’s Credit Risk - MNCs that have lower credit risk have more access to credit. ◼ MNC’s Access to Retained Earnings - Highly profitable MNCs may be able to finance most of their investment with retained earnings and therefore use an equity-intensive capital structure. ◼ MNC’s Guarantees on Debt - If the parent backs the debt of its subsidiary, the subsidiary’s borrowing capacity might be increased. ◼ MNC’s Agency Problems - If a subsidiary in a foreign country cannot easily be monitored by investors from the parent’s country, agency costs are higher. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Influence of Host Country’s Characteristics on The MNC’s Capital Structure Decision Strength of Host Country Currencies Interest Rates in Host Countries 7 Country Risk in Host Countries The MNC’s Capital Structure Decision Tax Laws in Host Countries © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Influence of Host Country’s Characteristics on The MNC’s Capital Structure Decision ◼ Interest Rates in Host Countries – The cost of loanable funds may be lower in some countries. ◼ Strength of Host Country Currencies - If an MNC expects weakness of the currencies in its subsidiaries’ host countries, it may borrow in those currencies rather than rely on parent financing. If the subsidiary’s local currency is expected to appreciate, then the subsidiary may retain and reinvest its earnings. ◼ Country Risk in Host Countries - If an MNC’s subsidiary is exposed to the risk that the host government might confiscate its assets, the subsidiary may use much debt financing in that host country.. ◼ Tax Laws in Host Countries - Foreign subsidiaries may be subject to a withholding tax when they remit earnings. 8 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Response to Changing Country Characteristics The country characteristics 9 Ideal capital structure vary among countries vary among countries change over time change within any particular country over time © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Subsidiary Versus Parent Capital Structure Decisions Increased Subsidiary Debt Financing • Relies heavily on debt financing • Reduces its need for its internal equity financing (retained earnings) Reduced Subsidiary Debt Financing • Need to use more internal financing • Reduce the amount of internal funds available to remit to the parent. Limitations in Offsetting a Subsidiary’s Leverage • Foreign creditors may charge higher loan rates to a subsidiary that uses a highly leveraged local capital structure due to higher credit risk 10 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating an MNC’s Cost of Capital D E kc = k d (1 − t ) + ke D+E D+E where kc D kd t E ke 11 weighted average cost of capital amount of the firm’s debt before-tax cost of its debt corporate tax rate firm’s equity cost of financing with equity © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating an MNC’s Cost of Capital Examples 1.An MNC has total assets of $100 million and debt of $20 million. The firm’s before tax cost of debt is 12 percent, and its cost of financing with equity is 15 percent. The MNC has a corporate tax rate of 40 percent. What is this firm’s cost of capital? 2.Werner Corporation has a target capital structure that consists of 40% debt and 60% equity. Werner can borrow at an interest rate of 10%. Also, Werner has determined its cost of equity to be 14%. Werner's tax rate is 40%. What is Werner's weighted average cost of capital? 12 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Multinational Cost of Capital: Equity vs Debt Financing 13 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 17.1 Searching for the Appropriate Capital Structure 14 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cost of Capital for MNCs versus Domestic Firms Size of firm Access to global capital markets International diversification Exposure to exchange rate risk Exposure to country risk 15 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cost of Capital for MNCs versus Domestic Firms Cost of capital for MNCs may differ because of: 1. Size of firm - An MNC that often borrows substantial amounts may receive preferential treatment from creditors, thereby reducing its cost of capital. 2. Access to international capital markets - MNC’s access to the international capital markets may allow it to obtain funds at a lower cost than that paid by domestic firms. 3. International diversification - If a firm’s cash inflows come from sources all over the world, those cash inflows may be more stable because the firm’s total sales will not be highly influenced by a single economy. 16 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cost of Capital for MNCs versus Domestic Firms Cost of capital for MNC may differ because of: 4. Exposure to exchange rate risk - An MNC’s cash flows could be more volatile than those of a domestic firm in the same industry if it is highly exposed to exchange rate risk. 5. Exposure to country risk - An MNC that establishes foreign subsidiaries is subject to the possibility that a host country government may seize a subsidiary’s assets. 17 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 17.2 Summary of Factors that Cause the Cost of Capital of MNCs to Differ from that of Domestic Firms 18 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cost of Equity Comparison Using the CAPM ke = Rf + B(Rm – Rf) Where ke = required return on stock Rf = risk-free rate of return Rm = market return B = beta of stock The CAPM suggests that required return is a positive function of: ◼ The risk-free rate of interest ◼ The market rate of return ◼ The stock’s beta 19 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cost of Capital: Exercises 20 1. Wiley, Inc., an MNC, has a beta of 1.3. The U.S. stock market is expected to generate an annual return of 11 percent. Currently, Treasury bonds yield 2 percent. Based on this information, what is Wiley’s estimated cost of equity? 2. Blues, Inc., is an MNC located in the United States. Blues would like to estimate its cost of capital (WACC). On average, bonds issued by Blues yield 9 percent. Currently, Treasury security rates are 3 percent. Furthermore, Blues’ stock has a beta of 1.5, and the return on the Wilshire 5000 stock index is expected to be 10 percent. Blues’ target capital structure is 30 percent debt and 70 percent equity. If Blues is in the 35 percent tax bracket, what is its cost of capital? © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cost of Capital: Exercises (Cont.) 1. Ford is a U.S. firm that conducts major importing and exporting business in Japan, and all transactions are invoiced in dollars. It obtained debt in the United States at an interest rate of 10 percent per year. The long-term risk-free rate in the United States is 8 percent. The stock market return in the United States is expected to be 14 percent annually. Ford’s beta is 1.2. Its target capital structure is 30 percent debt and 70 percent equity. Ford is subject to a 25 percent corporate tax rate. Estimate the cost of capital to Ford 2. Messan Co. (a U.S. firm) borrows U.S. funds at an interest rate of 10 percent per year. Its beta is 1.0. The long-term annualized risk-free rate in the United States is 6 percent. The stock market return in the United States is expected to be 16 percent annually. Messan’s target capital structure is 40 percent debt and 60 percent equity. Messan Co. is subject to a 30 percent corporate tax rate. Estimate the cost of capital to Messan Co. 21 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cost of Equity Comparison Using the CAPM 1. Implications of the CAPM for an MNC’s risk: U.S. based MNC may be able to reduce its beta by increasing its international business. 2. Implications of the CAPM for an MNC’s projects Because many projects of U.S.-based MNCs are in foreign countries, their cash flows are less sensitive to general U.S. market conditions leading lower project betas. 3. Applying CAPM with a World Market Index: A world market may be more appropriate than a U.S. market for determining the betas of U.S.–based MNCs. 22 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Costs of Capital Across Countries 1. Country differences in the cost of debt ◼ Differences in the risk-free rate - The risk-free rate is the interest rate charged on loans to a country’s government that is perceived to have no risk of defaulting on the loans. ◼ Differences in the Credit Risk Premium - The credit risk premium paid by an MNC must be large enough to compensate creditors for taking the risk that the MNC may not meet its payment obligations. ◼ Comparative costs of debt across countries – There is some positive correlation between country cost-of-debt levels over time. 23 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 17.3 Costs of Debt across Countries 24 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Costs of Capital Across Countries (Cont.) 2. Country differences in the cost of equity ◼ Differences in the risk-free rate - When the country’s risk-free interest rate is high, local investors would only invest in equity if the potential return is sufficiently higher than that they can earn at the riskfree rate. ◼ Differences in the Equity Risk Premium - Based on investment opportunities in the country of concern. A second factor that can influence the equity risk premium is the country risk. 25 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Home works 1. Slater Co. is a U.S.-based MNC that finances all operations with debt and equity. It borrows U.S. funds at an interest rate of 11 percent per year. The long-term risk-free rate in the United States is 7 percent. The stock market return in the United States is expected to be 15 percent annually. Slater’s beta is 1.4. Its target capital structure is 20 percent debt and 80 percent equity. Slater Co. is subject to a 30 percent corporate tax rate. Estimate the cost of capital to Slater Co 2. Slater Co. is a U.S.-based MNC that finances all operations with debt and equity. It borrows U.S. funds at an interest rate of 11 percent per year. The long-term risk-free rate in the United States is 7 percent. The stock market return in the United States is expected to be 15 percent annually. Slater’s beta is 1.4. Its target capital structure is 20 percent debt and 80 percent equity. Slater Co. is subject to a 30 percent corporate tax rate. Estimate the cost of capital to Slater Co 26 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY ◼ An MNC’s capital consists of debt and equity. MNCs can access debt through domestic debt offerings, global debt offerings, private placements of debt, and loans from financial institutions. They can access equity by retaining earnings and by issuing stock through domestic offerings, global offerings, and private placements of equity. ◼ If an MNC’s subsidiary’s financial leverage deviates from the global target capital structure, the MNC can still achieve the target if another subsidiary or the parent take an offsetting position in financial leverage. However, even with these offsetting effects, the cost of capital might be affected. 27 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY (Cont.) ◼ An MNC’s capital structure decision is influenced by corporate characteristics such as the stability of the MNC’s cash flows, its credit risk, and its access to earnings. The capital structure is also influenced by characteristics of the countries where the MNC conducts business, such as interest rates, strength of local currencies, country risk, and tax laws. Some characteristics favor an equity-intensive capital structure because they discourage the use of debt. Other characteristics favor a debt-intensive structure because of the desire to protect against risks by creating foreign debt. 28 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY (Cont.) ◼ The cost of capital may be lower for an MNC than for a domestic firm because of characteristics peculiar to the MNC, including its size, its access to international capital markets, and its degree of international diversification. Yet some characteristics peculiar to an MNC can increase the MNC’s cost of capital, such as exposure to exchange rate risk and to country risk. ◼ Costs of capital vary across countries because of country differences in the components that comprise the cost of capital. Specifically, there are differences in the risk-free rate, the risk premium on debt, and the cost of equity among countries. Countries with a higher risk-free rate tend to exhibit a higher cost of capital. 29 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Corporate Finance 11th Edition by Jeff Madura 1 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Part 5 Short-Term Asset and Liability Management 2 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 19 Financing International Trade Chapter Objectives ▪ Describe methods of payment for international trade ▪ Explain common trade finance methods ▪ Describe the major agencies that facilitate international trade with export insurance and/or loan programs 3 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Payment Methods for International Trade Five basic methods of payment are used to settle international transactions, each with a different degree of risk to the exporter and importer: ■ Prepayment ■ Letters of credit ■ Drafts (sight/time) ■ Consignment ■ Open account 4 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 19.1 Comparison of Payment Methods 5 5 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Payment Methods for International Trade Prepayment 1. Same as cash in advance 2. Payment usually by wire transfer 3. Method offers exporter greatest degree of protection 4. Usually requested when ◼ First time buyer ◼ Danger of pre-shipment cancellation ◼ Importer country has high political risk 6 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Payment Methods for International Trade Letters of Credit (L/C2) ◼ An instrument issued by a bank on behalf of the importer (buyer) promising to pay the exporter (beneficiary) upon presentation of shipping documents in compliance with the terms stipulated therein. ◼ In effect, the bank is substituting its credit for that of the buyer. 7 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Payment Methods for International Trade Drafts (or bill of exchange) ◼ An unconditional promise drawn by one party, usually the exporter, instructing the buyer to pay the face amount of the draft upon presentation. ◼ Draft represents the exporter’s formal demand for payment from the buyer. ◼ Draft affords the exporter less protection than an L/C because the banks are not obligated to honor payments on the buyer’s behalf. 8 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Payment Methods for International Trade Consignment 1. Exporter ships the goods to the importer while still retaining actual title to the merchandise. 2. The importer has access to the inventory but does not have to pay for the goods until they have been sold to a third party. 3. The exporter is trusting the importer to remit payment for the goods sold at that time. 4. If the importer fails to pay, the exporter has limited recourse because no draft is involved and the goods have already been sold. 9 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Payment Methods for International Trade Open Account ◼ The opposite of prepayment - the exporter ships the merchandise and expects the buyer to remit payment according to the agreed-upon terms. ◼ The exporter is relying fully upon the financial creditworthiness, integrity, and reputation of the buyer. ◼ Method is used when the seller and buyer have mutual trust and a great deal of experience with each other. 10 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Payment Methods for International Trade Impact of Credit Crisis on the Payment Methods ◼When the credit crisis intensified in the fall of 2008, international trade transactions stalled. ◼Many financial institutions experienced financial problems. Consequently, exporters lost trust in commercial banks. ◼The crisis illustrated how international trade is so reliant on the soundness and integrity of commercial banks. 11 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trade Finance Methods ◼ Accounts receivable financing ◼ Factoring ◼ Letters of credit (L/Cs) ◼ Banker’s acceptances ◼ Working capital financing ◼ Medium-term capital goods financing (forfaiting) ◼ Countertrade 12 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trade Finance Methods Accounts Receivable Financing Could take the form of an open account shipment or a time draft the bank will provide a loan to the exporter secured by an assignment of the account receivable. Factoring The exporter sells the accounts receivable without recourse. 13 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trade Finance Methods Letters of Credit ( L/C ) ◼ Types of Letters of Credit - Known as commercial letters of credit or import/export letters of credit. a. Revocable letter of credit can be canceled or revoked at any time without prior notification to the beneficiary, but it is no longer used. b. Irrevocable letter of credit cannot be canceled or amended without the beneficiary’s consent. ◼ Use of Drafts - Also known as a bill of exchange, a draft is an unconditional promise drawn by one party, usually the exporter, requesting the importer to pay the face amount of the draft at sight or at a specified future date. 14 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 19.2 Example of an Irrevocable Letter of Credit 15 15 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 19.3 Documentary Credit Procedure 16 16 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trade Finance Methods Letters of Credit ( L/C ) (Cont.) ◼ Bill of Lading (B/L) - serves as a receipt for shipment and a summary of freight charges. It conveys title to the merchandise. A B/L includes the following provisions: ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ 17 A description of the merchandise Identification marks on the merchandise Evidence of loading (receiving) ports Name of the exporter (shipper) Name of the importer Status of freight charges (prepaid or collect) Date of shipment © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trade Finance Methods Letters of Credit ( L/C ) (Cont.) ◼ Commercial Invoice (currency) - exporter’s (seller’s) description of the merchandise being sold to the buyer is the commercial invoice, which contains: ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ 18 Name and address of seller Name and address of buyer Date Terms of payment Price, including freight, handling, and insurance if applicable Quantity, weight, packaging, etc. Shipping information © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trade Finance Methods Variations of the L/C Standby letter of credit - can be used to guarantee invoice payments to a supplier. It promises to pay the beneficiary if the buyer fails to pay as agreed. Transferable letter of credit allows the first beneficiary to transfer all or a part of the original L/C to a third party. Assignment of proceeds – original beneficiary of the L/C pledges (or assigns) the proceeds under an L/C to the end supplier. 19 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trade Finance Methods Banker’s Acceptance Bill of exchange, or time draft, drawn on and accepted by a bank. It is the accepting bank’s obligation to pay the holder of the draft at maturity. Working Capital Financing The bank may provide short-term loans beyond the banker’s acceptance period. Medium-Term Capital Goods Financing (Forfaiting) 20 Similar to factoring in that the forfaiter (or factor) assumes responsibility for the collection of payment from the buyer, the underlying credit risk, and the risk pertaining to the countries involved. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 19.4 Banker’s Acceptance 21 21 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 19.5 Life Cycle of a Typical Banker’s Acceptance (B/A) 22 22 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Trade Finance Methods Countertrade ▪ Denotes all types of foreign trade transactions in which the sale of goods to one country is linked to the purchase or exchange of goods from that same country. ▪ Some types of countertrade, such as barter, have been in existence for thousands of years. ▪ Recently countertrade gained popularity and importance. 23 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agencies That Motivate International Trade 24 Export-Import Bank of the United States ◼ Established in 1934 goal of facilitating SovietAmerican trade. ◼ Today, its mission is to finance and facilitate the export of American goods and services and maintain the competitiveness of American companies in overseas markets. ◼ Offers programs that are classified as a) Guarantee programs b) Loan programs c) Bank insurance programs d) Export credit insurance © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Agencies That Motivate International Trade Private Export Funding Co. (PEFCO) ◼ Is owned by a consortium of commercial banks and industrial companies. ◼ Provides medium and long-term fixed rate financing to foreign buyers. Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) ◼ A self-sustaining federal agency responsible for insuring direct U.S. investments in foreign countries against the risks of currency inconvertibility, expropriation, and other political risks. 25 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY ▪ The common methods of payment for international trade are (1) prepayment (before goods are sent), (2) letters of credit, (3) drafts, (4) consignment, and (5) open account. ▪ The most popular methods of financing international trade are (1) accounts receivable financing, (2) factoring, (3) letters of credit, (4) banker’s acceptances, (5) working capital financing, (6) medium-term capital goods financing (forfaiting), and (7) countertrade. ▪ The major agencies that facilitate international trade with export insurance and/or loan programs are (1) the ExportImport Bank, (2) the Private Export Funding Corporation, and (3) the Overseas Private Investment Corporation. 26 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. International Corporate Finance 11th Edition by Jeff Madura 1 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 13 Direct Foreign Investment Chapter Objectives Describe common motives for initiating foreign direct investment Illustrate the benefits of international diversification 2 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 5 Revenue Related Motives Motives for Direct Foreign Investment: Revenues Related Motives 3 Attract new sources of demand Enter profitable markets Exploit monopolistic advantages React to trade restrictions Diversity Internationally © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Motives for Direct Foreign Investment: Revenues Related Motives Attract new sources of demand • pursue DFI in countries experiencing economic growth so that they can benefit from the increased demand for products and services there Enter profitable markets • When similar industries are generating very high earnings in a particular country, an MNC may decide to sell its own products in those markets. Exploit monopolistic advantages • Firms possessing resources or skills not available to competing firms may attempt to exploit it internationally. 4 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Motives for Direct Foreign Investment: Revenues Related Motives (Cont.) React to trade restrictions • MNCs may pursue DFI to circumvent trade barriers Diversity Internationally • By diversifying sales (and possibly even production) internationally, a firm can make its net cash flows less volatile. 5 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 5 Costs Related Motives Motives for Direct Foreign Investment: Costs Related Motives 6 Fully benefit from economies of scale Use foreign factors of production Use foreign raw materials Use foreign technology React to exchange rate movements © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Motives for Direct Foreign Investment: Cost Related Motives Fully benefit from economies of scale • Lower average cost per unit resulting from increased production Use foreign factors of production • Labor and land costs can vary dramatically among countries Use foreign raw materials • Develop the product in the country where the raw materials are located. 7 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Motives for Direct Foreign Investment: Cost Related Motives (Cont.) Use foreign technology • MNCs use FDI to learn about unique technologies in foreign countries. • This technology is then used to improve their own production processes and increase production efficiency at all subsidiary plants around the world React to exchange rate movements • When a firm perceives that a foreign currency is undervalued, the firm may consider DFI in that country, as the initial outlay should be relatively low. 8 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Benefits of DFI ◼ Though disadvantages of DFI may exist, MNCs can compare benefits of DFI among countries and use DFI to achieve those benefits (Exhibit 13.1). ◼ MNCs measure the benefits of DFI by following the steps in Exhibit 13.2 ▪ MNCs apply a multinational capital budgeting process to compare the benefits and costs of international projects. ▪ This capital budgeting analysis commonly involves international restructuring and an assessment of risk characteristics in the country where the proposed projects are to be implemented. ▪ It also requires an assessment of the cost of capital and debt financing possibilities. 9 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 13.1 Summary of Motives for Direct Foreign Investment 10 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 13.2 Steps Taken by MNCs to Determine Whether to Pursue Direct Foreign Investment 11 Identify Motives • Review the revenue and cost-related motives for DFI, and determine which motives may apply Capital Budgeting • Identify a particular international project that may be feasible • Estimate the cash flows and the initial investment associated with that project International Corporate Control. • Assess existing corporate control within the firm and potential corporate control targets in foreign countries that could be acquired Country Risk Analysis • Analyze the country risk of countries where the MNC presently does business as well as in countries where the MNC plans to expand Capital Structure • Assess the existing capital structure, and determine whether it is suitable based on the MNC’s existing operations and its ability to repay debt. Capital Structure • Assess the existing capital structure, and determine whether it is suitable based on the MNC’s existing operations and its ability to repay debt. © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 13.3 Evaluation of Proposed Projects in Alternative Locations Merrimack Co., a U.S. firm, plans to invest in a new project in either the United States or the United Kingdom. Once the project is completed, it will constitute 30 percent of the firm’s total funds invested in itself. The remaining 70 percent of its investment in its business is exclusively in the United States. Characteristics of the proposed project are forecasted for a five-year period for both a U.S. and a British location 12 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 13.3 Evaluation of Proposed Projects in Alternative Locations Invest in US • 70% of its total funds are invested in its prevailing U.S. business • 30% invested in a new project located in the United States Invest in UK • 70% of its total funds are invested in its prevailing U.S. business • 30% invested in a new project located in the UK 13 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Expected return of two project How about the expected return when this company invests in UK? 14 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Variance of two project 15 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 13.4 Risk-Return Analysis of International Projects Conservative MNCS will probably prefer one that exhibits low risk (near the bottom of the frontier). A more aggressive strategy would be to implement a portfolio of projects that exhibits risk– return characteristics such as those near the top of the frontier. 16 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 13.5 Risk-Return Advantage of a Diversified MNC 17 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Exhibit 13.6 Comparison of Expected Economic Growth among Countries: Annual Stock Market Return 18 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Host Government View of DFI ◼ Incentives to encourage DFI ▪ The ideal DFI solves problems such as unemployment and lack of technology without taking business away from local firms. ▪ Governments are particularly willing to offer incentives for DFI that will result in the employment of local citizens or an increase in technology. 19 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Host Government View of DFI: Barriers to FDI Environmental barriers Industry barriers Regulatory barriers Red tape barriers Protective barriers 20 Ethical differences FDI Political instability © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Host Government View of DFI (Cont.) ◼ Barriers to DFI a. Protective barriers - agencies may prevent an MNC from acquiring companies if they believe employees will be laid off. b. Red tape barriers - procedural and documentation requirements c. Industry barriers - local firms may have substantial influence on the government and may use their influence to prevent competition from MNCs d. Environmental barriers - building codes, disposal of production waste materials, and pollution controls. e. Regulatory barriers - each country enforces its own regulatory constraints pertaining to taxes, currency convertibility, earnings remittance, employee rights, and other policies 21 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Host Government View of DFI (Cont.) f. Ethical differences - a business practice that is perceived to be unethical in one country may be ethical in another. g. Political instability - if a country is susceptible to abrupt changes in government and political conflicts, the feasibility of DFI may be dependent on the outcome of those conflicts. ◼ Government-imposed conditions to engage in DFI Some governments allow international acquisitions but impose special requirements on MNCs that desire to acquire a local firm. 22 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY ▪ MNCs may be motivated to initiate direct foreign investment in order to attract new sources of demand or to enter markets where superior profits are possible. These two motives are normally based on opportunities to generate more revenue in foreign markets. Other motives for using DFI are typically related to cost efficiency, such as using foreign factors of production, raw materials, or technology. In addition MNCs may engage in DFI to protect their foreign market share, to react to exchange rate movements, or to avoid trade restrictions. 23 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. SUMMARY (Cont.) ▪ International diversification is a common motive for direct foreign investment. It allows an MNC to reduce its exposure to domestic economic conditions. In this way, the MNC may be able to stabilize its cash flows and reduce its risk. Such a goal is desirable because it may reduce the firm’s cost of financing. International projects may allow MNCs to achieve lower risk than is possible from only domestic projects without reducing their expected returns. International diversification tends to be better able to reduce risk when the DFI is targeted to countries whose economies are somewhat unrelated to an MNC’s home country economy. 24 © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
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