Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Journal of Power Sources journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jpowsour Performance analysis on liquid-cooled battery thermal management for electric vehicles based on machine learning Xingwang Tang a, b, Qin Guo c, Ming Li a, b, *, Changhua Wei d, Zhiyao Pan a, b, Yongqiang Wang d a State Key Laboratory of Automotive Simulation and Control, Jilin University, Changchun, 130025, China College of Automotive Engineering, Jilin University, Changchun, 130025, China c College of Computer Science and Technology, Jilin University, Changchun, 130025, China d Jiangsu Chaoli Electric Co., Ltd., Dangyang, 212321, China b H I G H L I G H T S • Comprehensive analysis from the perspective of air conditioning system. • Automatic calibration model for battery thermal management system. • The battery thermal performance estimation based on the SVR model. • SVR model with RBF kernel exhibits better generalization ability. A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T Keywords: Battery electric vehicle Battery thermal management Liquid cooling Support vector regression Particle swarm optimization In this paper, the coupling system of liquid-cooled battery thermal management system (BTMS) and heat pump air conditioning system (HPACS) for battery electric vehicles (BEV) is designed and analyzed. The performances of liquid-cooled BTMS are concerned and analyzed from the perspective of air conditioning based experimental data. Besides, an automatic calibration model of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS is established to predict cooling capacity and system coefficient of performance (COP) of the BTMS by support vector regression (SVR). To better obtain three hyper parameters (the penalty coefficient C, the RBF kernel function parameter γ, and the insensitive loss coefficient ε) of SVR model, particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is introduced to optimize above three parameters. It is found that compared to SVR model, the correlation coefficient (R) of cooling capacity and system COP for the proposed PSO-SVR model in this paper is improved 2.1% and 2.8% respectively, the mean squared error (MSE) of and cooling capacity and system COP is reduced 87.8% and 82.9% respectively, which indicated that PSO-SVR model can be used as a new method to fit the complex nonlinear relationship among the system COP, cooling capacity and other influencing factors of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS. 1. Introduction With the improvement of resource conservation and environmental protection laws and standards, BEV is considered to be the future development direction of transportation due to its high energy effi­ ciency, environmental protection, and noise-free advantages [1,2]. As the core component of the BEV, the power battery needs to operate in the suitable temperature range to ensure driving mileage of vehicles, safety and life of battery. Based on the research on the thermal characteristics of lithium-ion batteries, it is found that optimum oper­ ating temperature range for batteries is 20–30 ◦ C and its temperature uniformity is less than 5 ◦ C [3,4]. Overheating of battery will lead to thermal failure and overcooling also harms the charge/discharge effi­ ciency and reduce the available capacity [5–8]. Therefore, it is necessary to design and develop an efficient integrated electric vehicle thermal management system to improve the energy efficiency of BEV, increase the driving mileage of vehicles, and extend reliability and cycle life of batteries. Zhang et al. [9] proposed the main functions of the BTMS: (1) Ensuring the power battery operates in the suitable temperature range to * Corresponding author. State Key Laboratory of Automotive Simulation and Control, Jilin University, Changchun, 130025, China. E-mail addresses: tangxw18@mails.jlu.edu.cn (X. Tang), guoqin16@mails.jlu.edu.cn (Q. Guo), limingtiger@jlu.edu.cn (M. Li), changhua.wei@chaoli-electric.com (C. Wei), panzy1516@mails.jlu.edu.cn (Z. Pan). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpowsour.2021.229727 Received 17 September 2020; Received in revised form 3 February 2021; Accepted 25 February 2021 Available online 18 March 2021 0378-7753/© 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Nomenclature HPACS BEV BTMS COP SVR LR LAR PSO MSE MAPE PCM TCS R RBF C T P Q W h Heat Pump Air Conditioning System Battery Electric Vehicles Battery Thermal Management System Coefficient of Performance Support Vector Regression Linear Regression Least Angle Regression Particle Swarm Optimization Mean Squared Error Mean Absolute Percentage Error Phase Change Material Thermal Conductive Structure Correlation Coefficient Radial Basic Function Penalty Factor Temperature Pressure Greek symbols ε loss coefficient γ kernel function parameter η Efficiency Subscripts comp Compressor air Air 0 Ambient in Battery inlet Com, in Compressor Inlet Com, out Compressor Outlet Chi, in Battery Chiller Inlet Chi, out Battery Chiller Outlet which makes it popular in the field of BEV. Table 1 shows the BEV with liquid-cooled BTMS. Meanwhile, more and more experts and scholars focus on the study of the liquid-cooled BTMS. Lai et al. designed a thermal conductive structure (TCS) with three curved contact surfaces based liquid-cooled BTMS and simulated the effect of different structural parameters and mass flow rate of TCS on cooling performances. The results show that the designed TCS can significantly improve the maximum temperature and temperature difference of lithium-ion power battery pack and maximum temperature can be controlled below 313 K and temperature difference is controlled below 5 K when mass flow rate is 0.0001 kg/s [20]. Zhao et al. designed a mini-channel liquid-cooled cylinder based cylindrical batteries and investigated the influence of the mini-channel quantity on cooling performance. The results showed that compared to natural convection cooling, the cooling capacity is more advantageous when the mini-channel quantity is greater than eight [21]. Sheng et al. developed a novel serpentine-channel liquid cooling plate with double inlets and outlets and investigated the effect of flow directions, flows rates and channel widths of the cooling plate on cell temperature distribution under different operating conditions. The results showed that when channel width of the cooling plate is increased from 4 mm to 12 mm, module maximum temperature is almost unchanged at 36.5 ◦ C, while, the ratio of power consumption falls sharply. When flow rates of the cooling plate are increased from 0.00025 to 0.002 L s− 1, the maximum temperature rise decreased significantly, while the change range of temperature difference is less than 4 ◦ C [22]. Nowadays, most research on liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS is limited to the structure optimization of the liquid cooling plate with the purpose of minimizing the flow resistance and the best heat transfer performance. However, little research pay attention to the impact of air conditioning systems on BTMS. In addition, there are many factors that affect the performance of the liquid-cooled BTMS, such as compressor speed, ambient temperature and air flow rate of external heat exchanger. To conduct a comprehensive analysis of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS, a lot of experiments are required. Although experimental studies are highly valuable, they are high-cost and time-consuming due to the complexity of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS and a lot of operation conditions. Alternatively, machine learning algorithms can be applied to predict the performance by considering a set of operating condition. With the development of artificial intelligence technology, machine learning methods have been widely used in the field of science and engineering. Warey et al. predicted and evaluated the influence of air Table 1 The BEV with liquid-cooled BTMS. OEMs Product Thermal management methods NIO Mercedes-Benz Tesla XPeng GM ES8 EQR Model S; Model X; Model3 G3; P7 Chevrolet Bolt Liquid cooling Liquid cooling Liquid cooling Liquid cooling Liquid cooling Cooling Capacity of Battery Chiller Power Consumption of Compressor Specific Enthalpy avoid battery temperature distortion (2) The battery high temperature and low temperature identification mode is established to identify the critical point of overheating and overcooling, so as to preheat and cool the battery in advance. At present, BTMS can be summarized as air cooling, liquid cooling, heat pipes cooling and phase change material (PCM) cooling from the perspective of different heat transfer media [10]. The air-cooled BTMS has the advantages of simple structure and low cost, so it is widely used in lower energy density electric vehicles [11,12]. However, the cooling performance of air-cooled battery modules is poor, and the cooling effect of liquid-cooled battery modules is three times that of air-cooled battery modules [13]. PCM can be another method to cool or heat battery pack [14,15]. It can absorb or release large latent heat during phase change from the solid to the liquid. Although PCM is widely used in BTMS due to its high latent heat, there are still some significant challenges in this technology: (1) weak structural strength and leakage of melted PCM; (2) relatively low thermal conductivity; (3) low surface heat transfer coef­ ficient and run out of the available latent heat [16,17]. Heat pipe is a heat exchange element that absorbs and releases heat according to the phase change of the working medium in the pipe. Compared with other cooling methods, heat pipe has the advantages of high thermal con­ ductivity and flexible geometry. However, at present, heat pipe cooling technology is still in the research and development stage [18,19]. The liquid-cooled BTMS mainly decreases temperature of the battery system through coolant. The air conditioning system exchanges heat with the coolant in the battery chiller and lowers the temperature of the coolant. After the low-temperature coolant flows through the liquid cooling plate of battery system, the battery pack exchanges heat with the low-temperature coolant and then coolant flows back to the battery chiller to achieve the battery cooling cycle. Compared to other cooling methods, the liquid cooling technology has become the mainstream of BTMS due to its advantages in cooling speed and compact structure, 2 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Fig. 1. Overview of different research methods. conditioning system on cabin thermal comfort based on the machine learning method [23]. Krishnayatra investigated and predicated the thermal performance of fins for a finned-tube heat exchanger by ma­ chine learning regression technique [24]. Generally, machine learning models use some regressions such as linear regression (LR), least angle regression (LAR) and SVR to characterize the relationship between input and output variable [25]. In view of effective nonlinear expression ability of SVR model, SVR algorithm model is applied in some compli­ cated nonlinear relationship. To find an optimum value of hyper pa­ rameters of SVR algorithm model, PSO algorithm is usually employed [26–28]. To investigate the performances of liquid-cooled BTMS comprehen­ sively, this paper is organized in the following three points: (1) the performances of liquid-cooled BTMS are verified under extreme condi­ tions; (2) The performances of liquid-cooled BTMS are investigated under different ambient temperature, compressor speed and air flow rate of external heat exchanger; (3) The automatic calibration model of liquid-cooled BTMS based on PSO-SVR algorithm model is established and on the basis of this automated calibration model, system perfor­ mance parameters such as cooling capacity and system COP can be predicted, which makes it possible to get satisfactory performance parameter of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS without the complicated thermodynamics theory and equations, thereby avoiding a lot of highcost and long-term experiments. In view of above-mentioned organiza­ tional structure of this paper, the novelty of work consists in the per­ formances of liquid-cooled BTMS are concerned from the perspective of air conditioning system and construction of automatic calibration model for liquid-cooled BTMS based on machine learning method. 2. Research method 2.1. Methodology Fig. 1 Shows the differences between the research method of this paper and the traditional method. First of all, the traditional method is mainly to investigate or improve the performance of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS through optimizing the structure of liquid cooling plate, while, in this paper, the performances of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS are analyzed from the perspective of air conditioning. Secondly, compared with traditional experimental methods, this paper combines the experiment and machine learning methods to investigate the performance of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS and its advantage is that the performance results are obtained by an “end-toend” idea. Namely, establishing a nonlinear relationship between the input data and the output data about the parameters affecting the liquidcooled BTMS based HPACS. Through machine learning method, per­ formance results of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS can be ob­ tained quickly without the complicated thermodynamics theory and equations. 2.2. Model description and experiment of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS A model of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS for BEV is illustrated in Fig. 2(a). After being compressed by the compressor, the refrigerant R134a enters the internal condenser (the air door is closed to minimize heat transfer), and then goes through the solenoid valve 02 and enters the external heat exchanger. Because solenoid valve 04 is closed, the refrigerant R134a from the external heat exchanger goes through the 3 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Fig. 2. Model diagram and test system bench of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS. 4 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 2.3. Data preparation of SVR algorithm model Table 2 Sensor type and precision. Measurement parameter Sensor type Range Precision Temperature ( C) Pressure (kPa) Mass flow rate (kg h− 1) Omega temperature sensor Omega pressure sensor Micromotion mass flow meter − 50–200 0–4000 0–200 ±0.1 ±5 ±0.5 ◦ The input parameters for the SVR model of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS are the compressor speed Vcomp , ambient temperatures T0 and air flow rate Vair of the external heat exchanger. And the output parameters predicted by the SVR model are the cooling capacity and system COP. Table A.1 in appendices summarizes complete experiment data about the input and output variables. In order to improve the convergence rate and accuracy of the model, the sample data is normalized according to the following formula: Table 3 Operating conditions of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS. Ambient temperature (◦ C) Compressor speed (rpm) Air flow rate of the external condenser (m s− 1) 32 2000/3000/4000/ 5000/6000 2000/3000/4000/ 5000/6000 2000/3000/4000/ 5000/6000 2000/3000/4000/ 5000/6000 2000/3000/4000/ 5000/6000 2000/3000/4000/ 5000/6000 1.5/2.5/3.5/4.5/5.5 34 36 38 40 42 ′ X = ( ) qm hcom,out − hcom,in COP = ηmech Q W 1.5/2.5/3.5/4.5/5.5 1.5/2.5/3.5/4.5/5.5 2.4. SVR algorithm model 1.5/2.5/3.5/4.5/5.5 SVR is a powerful machine learning tool which is firmly grounded in the framework of statistical learning theory [29–32]. The basic idea is to map the training data in the input space to a high-dimensional linear space through a nonlinear mapping Φ(x), thereby make the nonlinear function in the input space transformed into a linear regression problem in a high-dimensional linear space. If the training data {(x1 , y2 ), (x2 , y2 ) …, (xn ,yn )} are considered, where xi ⊆R, yi ⊆R, i = 1…n and n is the total number of training samples, then the SVR function can be shown as follows: 1.5/2.5/3.5/4.5/5.5 (6) f (x) = w⋅Φ(x) + b Where Φ(x) is the nonlinear function that maps the input data vector x into a feature space where the training data exhibit linearity, b is a scalar bias and w is a weight vector; x is the input variable of sample data. To minimize the regression risk of the SVR algorithms, the objective function of SVR algorithms can be expressed as Eq. (7). ( ) n ∑ 1 2 min ‖w‖ + C (lε (f (xi ) − yi ) (7) w,b 2 i=1 Where lε is ε-insensitive loss function and C is the penalty factor. The larger the value of C, the greater the penalty for data exceeding lε ; y is the output variable of sample data. The ε-insensitive loss function lε can be expressed as: { 0, if |z| ≤ ε lε (z) = (8) |z| − ε, otherwise (2) (3) Taking the ε-insensitive loss function as the structure minimization risk estimation problem, introducing the slack variables δi , δi * , the optimization objective can be expressed as: ( ) n ∑ ( ) 1 min δi + δ*i ‖w‖2 + C w,b,δ,δh* 2 i=1 Where Q and W are the cooling capacity of battery chiller and power consumption of compressor, respectively; hchi,in and hchi,out are the spe­ cific enthalpy of battery chiller inlet and battery chiller outlet, respec­ tively; hcom,in and hcom,out are the specific enthalpy of compressor inlet and compressor outlet; qm is the mass flow of system refrigerant; ηmech is the mechanical efficiency. The specific enthalpy at each operating point can be obtained based on the REFPROP software through the pressure and temperature at this point, as shown in Eq. (4). h = h(P, T) (5) Where Xmin and Xmax are the minimum and maximum of sample data, ′ respectively; X is the sample data, X is the normalized data, which is normalized to the range [0,1]. 1.5/2.5/3.5/4.5/5.5 chiller. At this time, the refrigerant R134a exchanges heat with the coolant (water and ethylene glycol solution) in the battery chiller, thereby, the temperature of the coolant is dropped accordingly. After the cooled coolant flows through the liquid cooling plate of BTMS, the battery pack exchanges heat with the low-temperature coolant and then coolant flows back to the battery chiller to achieve the battery cooling cycle. In the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS designed in this paper, a positive temperature coefficient (PTC) is used to simulate battery cool­ ing demand. In this paper, a bench test system of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS for BEV is established, as shown in Fig. 2(b). In order to better characterize the refrigeration performance of the system, the evaluation index cooling capacity and system COP are used. With respect to the cooling capacity of battery chiller, as well as the power consumption of compressor, the system COP are calculated by the following formula: ( ) Q = qm hchi,out − hchi,in (1) W= X − Xmin Xmax − Xmin ⎧ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ f (xi ) − yi ⩽ε + δi ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎨ s.t. yi − f (xi )⩽ε + δ*i ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎩ δi ⩾0, δ*i ⩾0 (4) Where P and T are the pressure and temperature of the refrigerant measured in the experiment, respectively. And the type and precision information of the sensors used to mea­ sure the pressure, temperature and flow at each operating point in this bench test system are listed in Table 2. Besides, the experiment system provides reliable training data for the machine learning model. The detailed operating conditions are illustrated in Table 3. (9) i = 1, 2, …n In order to simplify the computation complexity, the Lagrange function is introduced to transform the above formula into the dual problem, which can be shown as follows: 5 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Fig. 3. System performance at an ambient temperature of 42 ◦ C. [ ] n ∑ n n ) ( 2.5. PSO algorithm model ) ( )( ) ∑ ( ) 1∑ * * * max αi − α yi − αi − αi αj − αj K xi , xj − αi + αi ε α,α* 2 i=1 i=1 j=1 i=1 The PSO algorithm is a population-based search optimization tech­ ⎧∑ n nique developed by Kennedy and Eberhart [33]. Compared with other ( ) ⎪ ⎪ αi − α*i = 0 ⎪ evolution algorithms, such as genetic algorithms, PSO algorithm has the ⎨ i=1 s.t. advantages of easy implementation, fast convergence speed and strong ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ global search capability, so PSO algorithm is very suitable for SVR model ⎩ * 0⩽αi ⩽ C, 0⩽αi ⩽C parameter optimization [34,35]. In this algorithm, a particle represents (10) an individual, corresponding to a group of solutions and each particle has its own speed, location, and fitness value determined by the target * Where αi , αi are Lagrange multipliers and K(xi , xj ) is the kernel function function. During initialization, particles are randomly generated. The and common kernel functions include polynomial kernel function, linear global best particles tracked in the iteration process are recorded as Gbest , kernel function, radial basis function (RBF) kernel function, and sigmoid and the best particles in each generation are recorded as pbest . Each kernel function. In the SVR model, the goal is to find a function f(x) generation of particles will undergo adaptive random mutation after makes possible to express the nonlinear relationship between input updating. The particle update formulas are as follows: parameters and output parameters. In order to improve the generaliza­ ] ] [ [ (15) Vi j+1 = W⋅Vi j + a1 ⋅r1 ⋅ Xi pbest − Xi j + a2 ⋅r2 ⋅ Xi Gbest − Xi j tion ability and regression performance of model, a kernel function is introduced into SVR model. Xi j+1 = Xi j + Vi j+1 (16) The regression function f(x) can be obtained by solving Eq. (10) based on Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) condition, which can be shown as where V is the particle renewal speed; X is the particle solution; W is follows: inertia weight, j is the number of iterations; i is the number of particles; ⎧ αi (f (xi ) − yi − ε − δi ) = 0, ⎪ r1 and r2 are the random numbers at an interval (0, 1); a1 and a2 are the ⎪ ⎨ * αi (f (xi ) − yi − ε − δi * ) = 0, learning factors. (11) * * ⎪ ⎪ αi αi = 0, δi δi = 0, * * The specific steps for PSO to optimize SVR parameters can be sum­ ⎩ (C − αi )δi = 0, (C − αi )δi = 0 marized as following steps: n ∑ ( * i Step 1. Initialize three hyper parameters (C, ε, γ) of the SVR model. And the coefficient w and b and the regression function f(x) can be shown as follows: w= n ∑ ( ) αi − α Φ(xi ) Step 2. Determine fitness function of PSO algorithm and initialize PSO algorithm parameters: Population number, initial search point position and speed (X0 , Y0 ), maximum iteration number k, inertia weight W and learning factors a1 and a2 . (12) * i i=1 { b= 1 NnSV ∑ ∑ [ yi − 0<αi <C [ ∑( ) ( xi ∈SV ∑( ) ( ) αj − α K xi , xj + ε yj − 0<αj <C ) ] Step 3. Calculate the fitness value of each particle and determine pbest and Gbest . αi − α*i K xi , xj − ε + ]} (13) Step 4. Update the particle speed and position according to equations (15) and (16). * j xj ∈SV n ∑ (αi − αi * )K(xi , x) + b f (x) = Step 5. Check the termination rule. If the current iteration arrives at its maximum value, turn to Step 6. Otherwise, execute Steps 3–4 (14) Step 6. Input the optimal solution of the three parameters (C, ε, γ) obtained by the PSO algorithm into the SVR model. i=1 Where NnSV is the number of support vectors, SV is the support vector of which some parameters (αi − αi * ) or (αj − αj * ) are unequal to zero. Step 7. Train SVR model and output the prediction results. 6 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Fig. 4. Influence of external heat exchanger air velocity on system performance. 3. Results and discussion 3.1. System performance verification under extreme conditions The proposed liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS and its perfor­ mances are investigated under different compressor speed, ambient temperature and air flow rate of external heat exchanger. The perfor­ mance characteristics are assessed through compressor power, cooling capacity, system COP and the coolant temperature of the battery inlet. Besides, for the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS designed in the paper, the “end to end” automatic calibration model of the operating param­ eters and performances parameters are established based on the PSOSVR machine learning algorithm model and the prediction results are compared with the experiment values. For the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS designed in this article, in order to test whether it can meet the cooling requirement of the battery pack, it was found from Fig. 3 that the compressor speed has a greater impact on the system COP and the coolant temperature of the battery inlet. The coolant temperature of the battery inlet decreases with the increasement of compressor speed or air flow rate of the external heat exchanger. When the ambient temperature was 42 ◦ C, the coolant temperature of the battery inlet could reach 19.8 ◦ C and the COP at this time is 2.36 under the operating conditions of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS, which explains that the system has high energy efficiency. 7 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Fig. 5. Influence of external heat exchanger inlet air temperature on system performance. exchanger on cooling performance is investigated by changing its air flow rate. Fig. 4 shows that as the air flow of the external heat exchanger increases from 1.5 m/s to 5.5 m/s, the compressor power consumption decreases gradually. When the compressor speed is 6000 rpm, the power consumption of the compressor decreased the most, which is dropped from 2.53 kW to 2.13kw and the drop rate is 15.9%. In fact, the reason why the power consumption of the compressor decreases is that with the increment of the air flow rate of the external heat exchanger, the condensing pressure and temperature will also decrease, at the same time, the suction pressure of the compressor will also decrease, so the evaporation pressure and temperature will decrease. In addition, the drop of the suction pressure will cause the increase of the suction spe­ cific volume of the compressor and the decrease of the refrigerant mass flow, so the power consumption of the compressor will be reduced. Besides, as the compressor power decreases, the COP of the system will Table 4 Kernel function of SVR model. Kernel Functions Kernel parameter Linear K(xi , xj ) = xi T ⋅xj _ Polynomial K(xi , xj ) = (xi T xj + 1)γ ⃦2 ⃦ K(xi , xj ) = exp( − γ⃦xi − xj ⃦ ) Radial basic function Sigmoid K(xi , xj ) = tanh(γxi T xj + 1) γ γ γ 3.2. Effect of air flow rate of the external heat exchanger As the core component of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS, the external heat exchanger plays an important role in the cooling perfor­ mance of the system. In this section, the influence of external heat 8 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Fig. 6. Comparative analysis of predictive COP and Cooling capacity of different kernel functions. (a) Sigmoid, (b) RBF, (c) Polynomial, (d) Linear. increase with the increment of the air flow rate of the external heat exchanger. When the air flow rate of the external heat exchanger reaches 2.5 m/s, the growth rate will obviously decrease. Although the cooling capacity can not be increased by adjusting the air flow rate of the external heat exchanger, the power consumption of the compressor can be reduced. Furthermore, the evaporation temperature will decrease with the increment of the air flow rate of the external heat exchanger, which will lead to the decrease of the coolant temperature of the battery inlet. 9 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Fig. 6. (continued). 3.3. Effect of ambient temperature liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS can have a good cooling performance at any high temperature, effect of the ambient temperature on the per­ formance of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS is investigated. As can be seen from Fig. 5, when the compressor speed was 6000 rpm, the compressor power increased by 0.35kw and the growth rate was 15.2% as the ambient temperature increased from 32 ◦ C to 42 ◦ C, while the COP of the system decreased by 15.6%. In fact, when ambient Nowadays, with the gradual increment of energy density of power battery and the development of fast charging technology, the heat generated by power battery increases rapidly in the charging and dis­ charging process, thus too high ambient temperature may aggravate the thermal failure of the battery. In view of this, in order to ensure that the 10 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Table 5 PSO algorithm initialization parameters. Population size 50 Maximum iterations Learning factor 100 a1 = 1.5;a2 = 1.7; (C, ε, γ) the experiment value. y is average of predictive value; f is average of the experiment value. In the paper, in order to better express the generalization ability of the model, four common kernel functions are considered for compara­ tive analysis and the specific information of the kernel function is shown in Table 4. It is known from Fig. 6 that the changing trend of predicted value for system COP and cooling capacity based on the automatic calibration of the SVR algorithm is basically the same as the experimental value. The SVR model with the RBF kernel function has the smallest error in the predicted value, and the worst is the linear kernel function. In addition, the generalization ability of the automation calibration model to predict the cooling capacity is not as good as the system COP prediction. In fact, for system COP and cooling capacity, the R between the measured value and the predicted value of the SVR model with RBF kernel function is at least 2.7% and 2.2% higher than the model using the other three kernel functions, and the MSE is at least 10.1% and 6.7% lower than the model using the other three kernel functions, respectively, so the best kernel function is the RBF kernel function for SVR model that predict cooling performance of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS. When RBF Gaussian function was selected as the kernel function of the SVR model, the SVR model can be abstractly expressed as equation (19), C ∈ (0.01, 10); ε ∈ (0.001, 10); γ ∈ (0.1, 1) y = f (x|(C, ε, γ)) According to the expression of the SVR abstract model (Eq. (19)), the prediction effect of the SVR model is mainly determined by three hyper parameters of the model: the penalty coefficient C, the RBF kernel function parameter γ, and the insensitive loss coefficient ε. In order to ensure good performance in all aspects of the SVR model, the above three parameters need to be optimized. In the current SVR parameter selection method, there are mainly experience determination and grid search. However, the empirical determination method needs to have a solid SVR theoretical foundation and the grid search method has a large calculation amount, so the two methods can’t guarantee to find the global optimal solution. Given the complexity of SVR model hyper pa­ rameters selection, in this paper, the PSO algorithm is introduced to optimize three hyper parameters before predicting the sample data. In the paper, PSO algorithm parameters are initialized as shown in Table 5, and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) between the experiment value and the prediction value is used to establish the fitness function, as shown in Eq. (20). ⃒ n ⃒ ⃒f (xi ) − yi ⃒ 1∑ ⃒ ⃒ MAPE = (20) n i=1 ⃒ f (xi ) ⃒ Fig. 7. Fitness curve. temperature is increased, condensing pressure, condensing temperature and compressor suction pressure will increase, resulting in a decrease in the suction specific volume of the compressor and an increase in the refrigerant mass flow, which the power consumption of the compressor will be increased. Moreover, as ambient temperature increased from 32 to 42 ◦ C, the coolant temperature of the battery inlet will increase slightly at any compressor speed. The reason why the battery inlet coolant temperature is increased is that with the increasement of the ambient temperature, the evaporation temperature will decrease, which will cause the coolant temperature of the battery inlet to increase slightly. Meanwhile, when compressor speed exceeds 4000 rpm, the coolant temperature of the battery inlet can drop to 25 ◦ C to meet the cooling requirements of the battery even if the ambient temperature is greater than 40 ◦ C. Fig. 7 shows the change of the population fitness during the evolu­ tion process. After a certain number of iterations, the fitness values of the system COP and cooling capacity optimization are 0.011 and 0.019 respectively, and remain unchanged, the optimization process will be convergent. For the prediction of system COP and cooling capacity, three optimal hyper parameters (C, ε, γ)of the SVR model obtained through iterative calculation are (0.15,0.11,0.375) and (0.23,0.15,0.392), respectively. After obtaining the optimal values of the three hyperparameters of the SVR model through the PSO algorithm, the three parameter values are brought into the SVR model to predict the system COP and cooling capacity of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS. In order to further verify the generality and generalization ability of PSO-SVR model with RBF kernel function, the comparison between the prediction results of the SVR model and the PSO-SVR model is shown in Fig. 8. After PSO is introduced to optimize three hyper parameters of SVR model, regardless of the cooling capacity or COP of the system, the MSE of the training samples and testing samples is reduced and R is increased. To be specific, R of cooling capacity and system COP for the proposed PSO-SVR model in this paper is improved 2.1% and 2.8% respectively, MSE of and 3.4. Prediction result and discussion for SVR model When the SVR model is trained, the datasets are provided by the experimental results and the datasets were randomly separated into two different parts, namely training and test datasets. 80% of datasets were assigned as training datasets, and the remaining 20% were assigned as test datasets. The prediction performance of the proposed SVR model in this paper is measured by MSE and R, and the calculation formula is as follows: MSE = n 1∑ (yi − f (xi ))2 n i=1 ( ) (yi − y)⋅ f (xi ) − f i=1 R2 = √̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅̅ )2 n n ( ∑ ∑ f (xi ) − f (yi − y)2 (17) n ∑ i=1 (19) (18) i=1 where n is the number of samples, yi is the prediction result and f(xi ) is 11 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Fig. 8. Comparison on the prediction results between training sample and test sample. cooling capacity and system COP is reduced 87.8% and 82.9% respec­ tively, which indicated that compared to SVR model, PSO-SVR model can better express complex nonlinear relations among the system COP, cooling capacity of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS and other influencing factors including ambient temperature, compressor speed and air flow rate of the external heat exchanger. the air flow rate of the external heat exchanger and compressor speed on performances of the liquid-cooled BTMS and construction of automatic calibration model for liquid-cooled BTMS are summarized as follow: (1) The liquid-cooled BTMS designed has high energy efficiency and cooling capacity. When the ambient temperature was 42 ◦ C, the coolant temperature of the battery inlet could reach 19.8 ◦ C and the COP at this time is 2.36 under the operating conditions of the liquid-cooled BTMS. In fact, for the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS designed in this paper even if the ambient temperature exceeds 40 ◦ C, as long as the compressor speed is greater than 4000 rpm, the coolant temperature of the battery inlet can be lower than 25 ◦ C. 4. Conclusions In order to analyze the performances of liquid-cooled BTMS comprehensively, the performances of liquid-cooled BTMS designed are concerned and analyzed from the perspective of air conditioning based experimental data in this paper. The influence of ambient temperature, 12 X. Tang et al. Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 (2) For SVR model that predict cooling performance of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS, the best kernel function is the RBF kernel function. It is found that for system COP and cooling capacity, the R between the measured value and the predicted value of the SVR model with RBF kernel function is at least 2.7% and 2.2% higher than the model using the other three kernel functions (Linear, Polynomial and Sigmoid kernel function), and the MSE is at least 10.1% and 6.7% lower than the model using the other three kernel functions, respectively. (3) To optimize the performance of the SVR model, PSO algorithm is introduced to optimize three hyper parameters of SVR model. The three optimal hyper parameters (C, ε,γ)of the SVR model obtained through PSO algorithm are (0.15,0.11,0.375) and (0.23,0.15,0.392), respectively. The results show that compared to SVR model, R of cooling capacity and system COP for the proposed PSO-SVR model in this paper is improved 2.1% and 2.8% respectively, MSE of and cooling capacity and system COP is reduced 87.8% and 82.9% respectively. (4) The machine learning method mentioned in this paper for pre­ dicting the performance of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS makes it possible to get satisfactory performance parameter of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS without the complicated thermodynamics theory and equations. Meanwhile, Using the automatic calibration model based PSO-SVR algorithm to predict performances of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS for BEV also avoids a lot of high-cost and long-term experiments and it can be used as a new method to fit the complex nonlinear relationship among the system COP, cooling capacity and other influencing factors of the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS. In order to further develop the liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS for BEV, the internal thermal characteristics of battery should be considered in the automatic calibration model for liquid-cooled BTMS in the future. Namely, the battery electrochemical model and machine learning model of HPACS should be coupled and the liquid-cooled battery thermal management system can be better optimized based on the automatic calibration model and the battery electrochemical model. CRediT authorship contribution statement Xingwang Tang: Investigation, Validation, Formal analysis, Writing – original draft. Qin Guo: Software, Formal analysis, Writing – original draft. Ming Li: Conceptualization, Methodology. Changhua Wei: Investigation, Validation. Zhiyao Pan: Visualization, Writing – review & editing. Yongqiang Wang: Investigation. Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. Acknowledgments The authors wish to acknowledge for the financial support from Technology Breakthrough Project of Department of Science and Tech­ nology of Jilin Province (No.20190302120GX) and State Key Laboratory of Automotive Simulation and Control (ASCL) Foundation (ascl-zytsxm202029), for the work reported in this paper. Appendices. Table A.1 Operating conditions of liquid-cooled BTMS based HPACS Samples 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 Input variables Output variables x1 x2 x3 y1 y2 Vcomp (rpm) 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 3000 3000 3000 3000 3000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 5000 5000 5000 5000 5000 6000 6000 6000 6000 6000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 3000 3000 T0 (◦ C) 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 Vair (m s¡1) 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 COP 5.17546 5.89625 6.08945 6.02152 6.05875 4.10254 4.69458 4.53214 4.54218 4.54017 3.1568 3.63689 3.5021 3.51865 3.51245 2.91247 3.25487 3.19451 3.23458 3.25124 2.32557 2.65706 2.72354 2.74038 2.75587 5.01824 5.66723 5.85456 5.78654 5.81258 4.12548 4.62387 Cooling capacity (kw) 4.25225 4.26912 4.21785 4.23652 4.24001 4.59873 4.61548 4.55681 4.58327 4.61024 4.9596 4.9568 4.96543 4.91205 4.95242 5.06874 5.06217 5.07874 5.01248 5.05987 5.12022 5.13903 5.15015 5.13432 5.11982 4.27968 4.29044 4.23652 4.25125 4.27652 4.62189 4.65487 (continued on next page) 13 X. 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Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Table A.1 (continued ) Samples 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 Input variables Output variables x1 x2 x3 y1 y2 3000 3000 3000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 5000 5000 5000 5000 5000 6000 6000 6000 6000 6000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 3000 3000 3000 3000 3000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 5000 5000 5000 5000 5000 6000 6000 6000 6000 6000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 3000 3000 3000 3000 3000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 5000 5000 5000 5000 5000 6000 6000 6000 6000 6000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 3000 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 40 40 40 40 40 40 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 4.60125 4.61354 4.61017 3.09875 3.51009 3.49539 3.50564 3.50124 2.76842 3.02389 3.10287 3.12548 3.13547 2.24896 2.57637 2.64254 2.65745 2.66986 4.86242 5.46974 5.29654 5.2357 5.2634 4.01257 4.42158 4.53278 4.55012 4.54963 2.98485 3.39481 3.49682 3.5087 3.5032 2.65481 2.91257 3.03548 3.08562 3.31254 2.19548 2.49568 2.56458 2.58564 2.89063 4.6532 5.23919 5.34898 5.34212 5.34698 4.59268 4.40189 4.52381 4.53521 4.53139 2.8364 3.26801 3.3764 3.38754 3.38254 2.57542 2.89645 2.81263 2.83654 2.84821 2.1687 2.41499 2.35887 2.36879 2.3784 4.41273 5.01615 5.18121 5.12707 5.15027 3.76542 4.59874 4.62127 4.64328 4.95128 4.94717 4.960121 4.91942 4.96127 5.04874 5.03698 5.06321 5.00854 5.05976 5.12024 5.13285 5.146822 5.12028 5.11682 4.28965 4.30145 4.25864 4.28125 4.29246 4.65327 4.68764 4.61985 4.64578 4.65782 4.95324 4.95818 4.97004 4.92852 4.96867 5.07019 5.07824 5.10538 5.04982 5.09324 5.11996 5.13009 5.14285 5.11965 5.10362 4.29085 4.30213 4.24865 4.26125 4.27156 4.63017 4.64871 4.57954 4.59124 4.61248 4.96 4.95886 4.97085 4.92651 4.96025 5.03498 5.02964 5.04127 4.99127 5.03421 5.12732 5.13421 5.14265 5.12623 5.11762 4.30147 4.31314 4.25172 4.27241 4.28621 4.61327 (continued on next page) 14 X. 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Journal of Power Sources 494 (2021) 229727 Table A.1 (continued ) Samples 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 Input variables Output variables x1 x2 x3 y1 y2 3000 3000 3000 3000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 5000 5000 5000 5000 5000 6000 6000 6000 6000 6000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 3000 3000 3000 3000 3000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 5000 5000 5000 5000 5000 6000 6000 6000 6000 6000 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 4.23657 4.34592 4.34964 4.35124 2.78809 3.17235 3.27291 3.28321 3.28065 2.38624 2.68675 2.79124 2.79854 2.81625 2.06607 2.34714 2.40902 2.41932 2.42963 4.2158 4.80115 4.98745 4.92154 5.02541 3.79854 4.12971 4.25362 4.27931 4.28011 2.74564 3.03746 3.15481 3.17541 3.17124 2.28671 2.65245 2.75015 2.77983 2.78541 1.97385 2.24207 2.3245 2.3456 2.35987 4.62579 4.57324 4.59127 4.6012 4.95517 4.95172 4.96207 4.91034 4.95517 5.05498 5.05013 5.06547 5.01048 5.05987 5.13448 5.14178 5.15172 5.13628 5.12759 4.31768 4.32069 4.25587 4.28156 4.30312 4.60182 4.61287 4.52387 4.55624 4.57421 4.95337 4.94994 4.96482 4.91512 5.00151 5.03349 5.02178 5.04129 4.98657 5.07124 5.12789 5.13559 5.14688 5.1263 5.11861 References power battery, Appl. 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