Chapter 8 Firms in the Global Economy: Export Decisions, Outsourcing, and Multinational Enterprises Preview • Monopolistic competition and trade • The significance of intra-industry trade • Firm responses to trade: winners, losers, and industry performance • Dumping • Multinationals and outsourcing Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-2 Introduction • Internal economies of scale imply that a firm’s average cost of production decreases the more output it produces. • Internal economies of scale causes large firms to have a cost advantage over small firms, causing the industry to become uncompetitive. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-3 Introduction (cont.) • If internal economies of scale is present, then a perfectly competitive firm would make loss. Why? • Because P=MC (profit maximization condition) • Also since AC decreases over output levels, then it has to be the case that MC<AC for levels of output until efficient scale. (see the figure on next slide) • Then P<AC. Then Profit=PxQ-TC=Qx(P-AC)<0 implying loss. • As a result, perfect competition would force those firms out of the market. • The remaining firms would have more power in controlling price. This would lead to imperfect competition. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-4 Introduction (cont.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-5 The Theory of Imperfect Competition • Example: Boeing (US) vs. Airbus (Europe) in aircraft industry. • Under imperfect competition, firms are aware that they can influence the prices of their products and that they can sell more only by reducing their price. • This situation occurs when there are only a few major producers of a particular good or when each firm produces a good that is differentiated from that of rival firms. • Each firm views itself as a price setter, choosing the price of its product. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-6 Monopoly: A Brief Review • A monopoly is an industry with only one firm. • In these industries, the marginal revenue generated from selling more products is less than the price charged for each unit. – To sell more, a firm must lower the price of all units, not just the additional ones. (See Figure on the next slide) – The marginal revenue function therefore lies below the demand function (which determines the price that customers are willing to pay). – TR=P(Q)xQ then MR=P(Q)+P’(Q)xQ. Since P’(Q)<0, then MR<P(Q). Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-7 Monopoly: A Brief Review (cont.) since P ranges from 9 to 10 Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-8 Monopoly: A Brief Review (cont.) • Assume that the demand curve the firm faces is a straight line Q = A – BP, where Q is the number of units the firm sells, P the price per unit, and A and B are constants. • Higher B implies flatter demand curve since slope of demand curve is -1/B. • P=(A-Q)/B is called inverse demand curve. • Marginal revenue equals MR = P – Q/B. Why? See next slide. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-9 Monopoly: A Brief Review (cont.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-10 Monopoly: A Brief Review (cont.) • P-MR=Q/B • Higher Q implies higher gap? Why? – A firm that is not selling very many units will not lose much by cutting the price it receives on those units. • Higher B implies lower gap? Why? – Higher B implies a flatter (more elastic) demand curve. Thus, the higher the B, the smaller the price cut needed to increase sales by one unit. The smaller the price cut, the smaller the fall in MR. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-11 Monopoly: A Brief Review (cont.) • Suppose that total costs are TC = F + cQ, where F is fixed costs, those independent of the level of output, and c is the constant marginal cost. • Total variable cost is cQ. • Average cost is the total cost of production (TC) divided by the total quantity of production (Q). AC = TC/Q = F/Q + c • Marginal cost is the cost of producing an additional unit of output. • A larger firm is more efficient because average cost decreases as output Q increases: internal economies of scale. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-12 Fig. 8-2: Average Versus Marginal Cost (TC=5+Q) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-13 Monopoly: A Brief Review (cont.) • The profit-maximizing output occurs where marginal revenue equals marginal cost. Why? • Monopolist charges the price PM. (see the Figure 8-1 next slide) • The monopolist earns some monopoly profits, as indicated by the shaded box in Figure 8-1, since PM > AC. Why? • Profit=(PM-AC)xQM Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-14 Fig. 8-1: Monopolistic Pricing and Production Decisions Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-15 Example: Monopoly Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-16 Example: Monopoly (cont.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-17 Monopolistic Competition • Monopoly is rare. Positive profits would attract more firms. • An oligopoly is an imperfectly competitive industry with only a few firms where firms sell differentiated products and prices are set strategically. Difficult to analyze. • Monopolistic competition is a simpler model of an imperfectly competitive industry (with free entry & exit) which assumes that each firm 1. can differentiate its product from the products of competitors, and 2. takes the prices charged by its rivals as given and sets its own price. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-18 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) • Example: Automobile industry, private school market, restaurants (Chinese, Japanese, etc…) • We have several assumptions characterizing a monopolistically competitive market. • Different varieties are substitutes. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-19 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) • Each variety is produced by a single firm. Why? If two different firms produce the same variety, they will earn less profit due to competition. • Assume firm X produces varieties A and B. Then, firm Y producing only variety B will cut price of variety B. Then, Firm X will also cut price of variety B. Since varieties A and B are substitutes then firm X will not be able to sell variety A as much as before. Eventually, profit of firm X will fall. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-20 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) • No firm has an incentive to produce more than one variety. Why? • Assume firm X produces variety A. • If firm X also starts producing another variety B, then its price setting power will fall for variety A since A and B are substitutes. • Thus, its profit from variety A will fall. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-21 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) • A firm in a monopolistically competitive industry is expected to sell – more as total sales in the industry increase and as prices charged by rivals increase. – less as the number of firms in the industry increases and as the firm’s price increases. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-22 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) These assumptions are represented by the demand function: QJ = S x [1/n – b x (PJ – P)] – QJ is an individual firm J’s sales (demand for firm’s output) – S is the total sales of the industry (total demand for the industry) – n is the number of firms in the industry – b is a constant term representing the responsiveness of a firm’s sales to its price – PJ is the price charged by the firm J itself – P is the average price in the market Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-23 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) Is this a well-defined demand function? Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-24 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) • If PJ=P, then QJ=S/n • If PJ>P, then QJ<S/n • If PJ<P, then QJ>S/n • The above demand formulation assumes industry sales (S) is independent of average industry price. This is not realistic but it simplifies the analysis. • How to find the number of firms (n) and price charged by each firm in equilibrium? First, we analyze symmetric equilibrium then asymmetric equilibrium. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-25 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) • Assume that firms are symmetric: all firms face the same demand function and have the same cost function. – Thus all firms should charge the same price and have equal share of the market QJ=Q=S/n – Average costs should depend on the size of the market and the number of firms: AC = C/Q = F/Q + c = n x (F/S) + c Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-26 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) AC = n x (F/S) + c • As the number of firms n in the industry increases (holding other things constant), the average cost increases for each firm because each produces less and there exists internal economies of scale. (see CC curve in Figure 8-3) • As total sales S of the industry increase (holding other things constant), the average cost decreases for each firm because each firm produces more and there exists internal economies of scale. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-27 Fig. 8-3: Equilibrium in a Monopolistically Competitive Market Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-28 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) • If Q = S[1/n – b(P – P)], then MR=P-(Q/(Sb)). Why? • Remember MR=P(Q)-(Q/B) for a monopolist. The same applies here as well with B=Sb. • When firms maximize profits, they should produce until marginal revenue equals marginal cost: MR = P – (Q/(Sb)) = c • Then P=c+(Q/(Sb)) • Since Q=S/n at the equilibrium, then P=c+(1/(bn)) • As the number of firms n increases (holding other things constant), the price that each firm charges decreases due to increased competition. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-29 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) • As b rises, the price decreases. Why? As b rises, demand curve and MR curve becomes flatter. The equilibrium quantity rises implying lower prices. • Each firm’s markup over marginal cost P - c = 1/(bn) decreases with the number of competing firms. • Then what is equilibrium n*? What is equilibrium P* ? • Find intersection of CC and PP curves. Why? In the long-run, profit=0 for any firm because of free entry and free exit ➔ P=AC Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-30 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-31 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) • At equilibrium, the price that firms charge (which decreases in n) matches the average cost that firms pay (which increases in n). – At the long-run equilibrium, firms have no incentive to enter or exit the industry. Long run profit of any one firm is zero since P=AC. – If n*=6.37, then we take it as 6. The 7th firm will not enter the market since it will make loss. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-32 Monopolistic Competition (cont.) • If the number of firms is greater than or less than the equilibrium number of firms, then firms have an incentive to exit or enter the industry. – Firms have an incentive to exit the industry when price < average cost. – Firms have an incentive to enter the industry when price > average cost. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-33 Monopolistic Competition and Free Trade • Free trade integrates markets in different countries into a single market. • Because trade increases market size, trade is predicted to decrease average cost in an industry described by monopolistic competition. – Industry sales increase with trade leading to decreased average costs: AC = n(F/S) + c • Because trade increases the variety of goods that consumers can buy under monopolistic competition, it increases the welfare of consumers. – And because average costs decrease, consumers can also benefit from a decreased price. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-34 Fig. 8-4: Effects of a Larger Market Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-35 Monopolistic Competition and Trade (cont.) • As a result of trade, the number of firms in the integrated world market is predicted to to be higher than the number of firms in each national market. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-36 Gains from an Integrated Market: A Numerical Example • Automobile industry • Suppose that b = 1/30,000, fixed cost F = $750,000,000 and a marginal cost of c = $5,000 per automobile. • Q = S[1/n – (1/30,000)(P – P)] • The total cost is C = 750,000,000 + (5,000*Q). • The average cost is therefore AC = (750,000,000/Q) + 5,000. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-37 Gains from an Integrated Market: A Numerical Example (cont.) • Suppose there are two countries, Home and Foreign. • Home has annual sales of 900,000 automobiles; Foreign has annual sales of 1.6 million. (see Figure 8-5) • The two countries are assumed (for now) to have the same costs of production. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-38 Gains from an Integrated Market: A Numerical Example (cont.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-39 Gains from an Integrated Market: A Numerical Example (cont.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-40 Fig. 8-5: Autarky Equilibrium in the Automobile Market Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-41 Gains from an Integrated Market: A Numerical Example (cont.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-42 Fig. 8-5: Equilibrium in the Automobile Market (cont.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-43 Gains from an Integrated Market: A Numerical Example (cont.) • The integrated market supports more firms, each producing at a larger scale and selling at a lower price than either national market does on its own. • After integration, consumers have a wider range of choices. • After integration, each firm produces more and is therefore able to offer its product at a lower price. • Home benefits more from integration since price decreases more. Why? The country that is initially smaller benefits from a bigger increase in market size after integration. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-44 Gains from an Integrated Market: A Numerical Example (cont.) • From the perspective of a specific firm, the number of firms it competes will rise. But the rise in the number of firms is smaller than the rise in market size since n*=(S/(bF))0.5 . Thus, output per firm will rise and AC will fall. • Mathematically, the number of firms in the world decreases since (Shome)0.5+(Sforeign)0.5>(Shome+Sforeign)0.5 Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-45 Table 8-1: Hypothetical Example of Gains from Market Integration Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-46 Monopolistic Competition and Trade (cont.) • After integration, 4 firms exit the market. We don’t know the names of these firms from the model since firms face the same cost. One drawback of symmetric equilibrium. • Why do some firms exit from the industry? • Assume no firm exits after integration. Then we have 14 firms. • Given new market size of 2,500,000, the output per firm is approximately 178,000. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-47 Monopolistic Competition and Trade (cont.) • At the current price (8750), the foreign firms will make loss since their output is lower and thus average cost is higher. • Then foreign firms will start exiting the market. • As firms exit, the output per firm will rise and loss will fall. Exiting will end up at some point. Market will reach equilibrium number of firms. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-48 Monopolistic Competition and Trade (cont.) • Product differentiation and internal economies of scale lead to trade between similar countries with no comparative advantage differences between them. – This is a very different kind of trade than the one based on comparative advantage, where each country exports its comparative advantage good. – Different countries trading similar goods is known as intra-industry trade. – Ex) South Korea and Japan trade Hyundai and Toyota. – Consistent with data? Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-49 The Significance of IntraIndustry Trade • Intra-industry trade refers to two-way exchanges of similar goods. • Two new channels for welfare benefits from trade: – Benefit from a greater variety at a lower price. – Firms consolidate their production and take advantage of economies of scale. • A smaller country stands to gain more from integration than a larger country. • Ex) Canada and US after NAFTA. Canada gains more. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-50 The Significance of Intra-Industry Trade (cont.) • About 25–50% of world trade is intraindustry. • Most prominent is the trade of manufactured goods among advanced industrial nations, which accounts for the majority of world trade. – For the United States, industries that have the most intra-industry trade—such as pharmaceuticals, chemicals, and specialized machinery—require relatively larger amounts of skilled labor, technology, and physical capital. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-51 The Significance of Intra-Industry Trade (cont.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-52 Table 8-2: Indexes of Intra-Industry Trade for U.S. Industries, 2009 Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-53 Asymmetric Firm Responses under Autarky • Up to now, we concentrated on symmetric equilibrium. We could not predict which firms exit the market after integration. • Now we relax symmetry assumption and assume firms differ by costs faced. • After integration, because of increased competition, the high cost firms will leave the market and low cost firms will survive. Thus, average cost in the industry will fall and average productivity will rise. • The effects of integration is similar to technological growth. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-54 Asymmetric Firm Responses under Autarky (cont.) • Assume firms differ by only marginal cost now. They still face the same demand curve and same fixed cost. • Denote the marginal cost of firm j with cj. • Let’s arbitrarily pick two firms with c1<c2. • The mark up for first firm is P1-c1=(1/2bn)+(P/2)-(c1/2) Why? (See next slide) • The mark up for second firm is P2-c2=(1/2bn)+(P/2)-(c2/2) Why? (See next slide) • So mark up rises as MC falls since MR is steeper than demand curve. (see Figure 8-6a) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-55 Asymmetric Firm Responses under Autarky (cont.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-56 Asymmetric Firm Responses under Autarky (cont.) • Firms face uncertainty in terms of marginal cost. • Marginal cost is known by firm only after paying the fixed cost. Thus, fixed cost is sunk and cannot be recovered. • Operating profit of firm j=OPj • OPj=TRj-VCj=(Pj-cj)Qj • Operating profit for first firm is [(1/2bn)+(P/2)-(c1/2)]x[(S/2n)+(SbP/2)-(Sbc1/2)] • Operating profit for second firm is [(1/2bn)+(P/2)-(c2/2)]x[(S/2n)+(SbP/2)-(Sbc2/2)] • Which firms survive in the market and which firms not? Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-57 Asymmetric Firm Responses under Autarky (cont.) survives in the market not survive in the market Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-58 Fig. 8-6: Performance Differences Across Firms Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-59 Fig. 8-6: Performance Differences Across Firms Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-60 Fig. 8-6: Performance Differences Across Firms Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-61 Asymmetric Firm Responses under Trade • Trade increases S and n. • Two effects on demand. • As S rises, slope of demand falls. So demand shifts up. Mathematically why? (size effect) Remember slope of demand curve is -1/(Sb). • Size effect pushes up demand for a firm’s product. • As n rises, competition rises, so demand shifts down. Mathematically why? (competition effect) Remember the cutoff of demand curve on y-axis is P+[1/(bn)] • Competition effect pushes down the demand for a firm’s product. • So new demand is D’. (see Figure 8-7a) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-62 Asymmetric Firm Responses under Trade • Assume D and D’ intersects at Q*. • Smaller firms producing less than Q*, face a decline in quantity demanded after trade. Competition effect dominates size effect. • Larger firms producing more than Q*, face a rise in quantity demanded after trade. Size effect dominates the competition effect. • Large firms with low MC (high mark up) can decrease their mark up more than small firms. So consumers demand more of large firm’s product. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-63 Asymmetric Firm Responses under Trade • Increased competition tends to hurt the worstperforming firms — they are forced to exit. (see Figure 8-7b) • The best-performing firms take the greatest advantage of new sales opportunities and expand the most. (see Figure 8-7b) • Smaller firms face a decrease in operating profit whereas larger firms face a rise in operating profit. Why? (see Figure 8-7b) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-64 Asymmetric Firm Responses under Trade • OP=(P-c)xQ • Q rises because of size effect and P falls because of competition effect. • As Q rises OP rises and as P falls OP falls. • For large firms with low MC, size effect dominates competition effect so OP rises. • For small firms with high MC, competition effect dominates size effect so OP falls. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-65 Fig. 8-7: Winners and Losers from Economic Integration Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-66 Asymmetric Firm Responses under Trade (cont.) • When the better-performing firms expand and the worse-performing ones contract or exit, overall industry performance improves. – Trade and economic integration improve industry performance as much as the discovery of a better technology does. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-67 Trade Costs and Export Decisions • Most U.S. firms do not report any exporting activity at all — sell only to U.S. customers. – In 2002, only 18% of U.S. manufacturing firms reported any sales abroad. • Even in industries that export much of what they produce, such as chemicals, machinery, electronics, and transportation, fewer than 40 percent of firms export. (see Table 8-3) • Why? Because of trade costs (such as transportation cost). • A major reason why trade costs reduce trade so much is that they drastically reduce the number of firms selling to customers across the border. – Trade costs also reduce the volume of export sales of firms selling abroad. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-68 Table 8-3: Proportion of U.S. Firms Reporting Export Sales by Industry, 2002 Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-69 Trade Costs and Export Decisions • Assume two identical countries: Home vs. Foreign • Assume a firm incurs additional cost t if it exports. • Pick two arbitrary firms at home with different MC’s. • Assume c1<c2<c* • Both firms supply the domestic market. (see Figure 8-8) • But only first firm exports since c1+t<c* but c2+t>c*. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-70 Fig: 8-8: Export Decisions with Trade Costs Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-71 Trade Costs and Export Decisions (cont.) • Trade costs added two important predictions to our model of monopolistic competition and trade: – Why only a subset of firms export, and why exporters are relatively larger and more productive (lower marginal costs). • Overwhelming empirical support for this prediction that exporting firms are bigger and more productive than firms in the same industry that do not export. – In the United States, in a typical manufacturing industry, an exporting firm is on average more than twice as large as a firm that does not export. – Differences between exporters and nonexporters are even larger in many European countries. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-72 Dumping • Trade costs cause firms to set different prices in different markets. • MC in export market is c+t. • Mark-up is smaller in export market than in domestic market. Why? (see Figure 8-8) • Denote price set by a firm in domestic market as PD and export market as PX. • Since mark-up is smaller in export market then: PX-(c+t)<PD-c ➔ PX-t<PD • Dumping is the practice of charging a lower price for exported goods than for goods sold domestically. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-73 Dumping • Assume Toyota charges 10,000 dollars for an automobile in Japan. The cost of transporting the same car to Germany is 2000 dollars. Dumping occurs if Toyota charges less than 12000 dollars in German market. • Dumping is an example of price discrimination: the practice of charging different customers different prices. • Price discrimination and dumping may occur only if – imperfect competition exists: firms are able to influence market prices. – markets are segmented so that goods are not easily bought in one market and resold in another. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-74 Dumping (cont.) • Dumping can be a profit-maximizing strategy: – A firm with a higher marginal cost chooses to set a lower markup over marginal cost. – Therefore, an exporting firm will respond to the trade cost by lowering its markup for the export market. – This strategy is considered to be dumping, regarded by most countries as an “unfair” trade practice. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-75 Protectionism and Dumping • A U.S. firm may appeal to the Commerce Department to investigate if dumping by foreign firms has injured the U.S. firm. – The Commerce Department may impose an “anti-dumping duty” (tax) to protect the U.S. firm. – Tax equals the difference between the actual and “fair” price of imports, where “fair” means “price the product is normally sold at in the manufacturer's domestic market.” Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-76 Protectionism and Dumping (cont.) • Next, the International Trade Commission (ITC) determines if injury to the U.S. firm has occurred or is likely to occur. • If the ITC determines that injury has occurred or is likely to occur, the antidumping duty remains in place. • A new anti-dumping law in Azerbaijan. Read… https://www.azernews.az/business/92618.html Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-77 Protectionism and Dumping (cont.) • Most economists believe that the enforcement of dumping claims is misguided. – Trade costs have a natural tendency to induce firms to lower their markups in export markets. – Such enforcement may be used excessively as an excuse for protectionism. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-78 The rest of Chapter 8 is not included in the final exam. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-79 Multinationals and Outsourcing • Foreign direct investment (FDI) refers to investment in which a firm in one country directly controls or owns a subsidiary in another country. • If a foreign company invests in at least 10% of the stock in a subsidiary, the two firms are typically classified as a multinational corporation. ▪ 10% or more of ownership in stock is deemed to be sufficient for direct control of business operations. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-80 Multinationals and Outsourcing (cont.) • Greenfield FDI is when a company builds a new production facility abroad. • Brownfield FDI (or cross-border mergers and acquisitions) is when a domestic firm buys a controlling stake in a foreign firm. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-81 Fig. 8-9: Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment, 1970-2012 Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-82 Multinationals and Outsourcing (cont.) • Developed countries have been the biggest recipients of inward FDI. – much more volatile than FDI going to developing and transition economies. – volatility caused by increasing share of Brownfield FDI. • Steady expansion in the share of FDI flowing to developing and transition countries. – Accounted for half of worldwide FDI flows since 2009. • Sales of FDI affiliates are often used as a measure of multinational activity. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-83 Fig. 8-10: Outward Foreign Direct Investment for Top 25 Countries, 20092011 Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-84 Multinationals and Outsourcing (cont.) • Two main types of FDI: – Horizontal FDI when the affiliate replicates the production process (that the parent firm undertakes in its domestic facilities) elsewhere in the world. (ex. Toyota produces Corolla in Japan, Turkey, US, UK.) – Vertical FDI when the production chain is broken up, and parts of the production processes are transferred to the affiliate location. (ex. Toyota produces parts of the engine in China.) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-85 Multinationals and Outsourcing (cont.) • Vertical FDI is mainly driven by production cost differences between countries (for those parts of the production process that can be performed in another location). – Vertical FDI is growing fast and is behind the large increase in FDI inflows to developing countries. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-86 Multinationals and Outsourcing (cont.) • Horizontal FDI is dominated by trade flows between developed countries. – Both the multinational parent and the affiliates are usually located in developed countries. • The main reason for this type of FDI is to locate production near a firm’s large customer bases. – Hence, trade and transport costs play a much more important role than production cost differences for these FDI decisions. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-87 The Firm’s Decision Regarding Foreign Direct Investment • Proximity-concentration trade-off: – High trade costs associated with exporting create an incentive to locate production near customers. – Increasing returns to scale in production create an incentive to concentrate production in fewer locations. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-88 The Firm’s Decision Regarding Foreign Direct Investment (cont.) • Horizontal FDI activity concentrated in sectors with high trade costs. – When increasing returns to scale are important and average plant sizes are large, we observe higher export volumes relative to FDI. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-89 The Firm’s Decision Regarding Foreign Direct Investment (cont.) • • • The horizontal FDI decision involves a trade-off between the per-unit export cost (t) and the fixed cost (F) of setting up an additional production facility. Assume marginal cost of production is same at home and at foreign. If tQ+cQ > F+cQ, costs more to pay trade costs t on Q units sold abroad than to pay fixed cost F to build a plant abroad. – – – When Q > F/t (sales in foreign location large), exporting is more expensive and horizontal FDI is the profit-maximizing choice. If F is large, a huge amount of output should be produced at foreign location so that horizontal FDI is chosen. The higher the trade cost t, the lower the output should be produced at foreign location so that horizontal FDI is chosen. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-90 The Firm’s Decision Regarding Foreign Direct Investment (cont.) • The vertical FDI decision also involves a trade-off between cost savings and the fixed cost F of setting up an additional production facility. • A firm chooses vertical FDI if cQ>F+c’Q+t’Q ➔ Q>F/(c-c’-t’) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-91 The Firm’s Decision Regarding Foreign Direct Investment (cont.) • In addition to deciding the location of where to produce, firms also face an internalization decision: whether to own affiliate or not. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-92 The Firm’s Decision Regarding Foreign Direct Investment (cont.) • As a substitute for horizontal FDI, a firm could license another firm to produce and sell its products in a foreign location. • This requires sharing the technology with a different firm which is risky. • Horizontal FDI is favored over licensing another firm to replicate the production process. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-93 The Firm’s Decision Regarding Foreign Direct Investment (cont.) • As a substitute for vertical FDI, a firm could contract with another firm to perform specific parts of the production process in the foreign location. • This is known as foreign outsourcing or offshoring. • Outsourcing leads to lower costs than vertical FDI. • Outsourcing may cause conflict among parent and affiliate firms which does not arise in vertical FDI. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-94 The Firm’s Decision Regarding Foreign Direct Investment (cont.) • Offshoring leads to importing intermediate goods or services. • The firm enjoys lower costs in turn. • As a result, the firm charges lower price which increases competitiveness and in turn exports. • Does offshoring lead to shipping jobs overseas? • Not necessarily. (See Figure 8-11) Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-95 Fig. 8-11: U.S. International Trade in Business Services, 1986–2011 Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-96 Summary 1. Internal economies of scale imply that more production at the firm level causes average costs to fall. 2. With monopolistic competition, each firm can raise prices somewhat above those on competing products due to product differentiation but must compete with other firms whose prices are believed to be unaffected by each firm’s actions. 3. Monopolistic competition allows for gains from trade through lower costs and prices, as well as through wider consumer choice. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-97 Summary (cont.) 4. Monopolistic competition predicts intra-industry trade, and does not predict changes in income distribution within a country. 5. Location of firms under monopolistic competition is unpredictable, but countries with similar relative factors are predicted to engage in intraindustry trade. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-98 Summary (cont.) 6. Dumping may be a profitable strategy when a firm faces little competition in its domestic market and faces heavy competition in foreign markets. 7. Multinationals are typically larger and more productive than exporters, which in turn are larger and more efficient than firms that sell only to the domestic market. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-99 Summary (cont.) 8. Multinational corporations undertake foreign direct investment when proximity is more important than concentrating production in one location. – Firms produce where it is most cost-effective — abroad if the scale is large enough. They replicate entire production process abroad or locate stages in different countries. – Firms also decide whether to keep transactions within the firm or contract with another firm. Copyright ©2015 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-100
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