Course Syllabus ST362 – Regression Analysis Mathematics, Science, Waterloo Spring | 2025 I acknowledge that in Kitchener, Waterloo, Cambridge and Brantford we are on the traditional territory of the Neutral, Anishnaabe, and Haudenosaunee peoples. Instructor Information Dr. Shazia Azeem|sazeem@wlu.ca Weekly Office Hours: Mondays 11:30am-12:30pm By Appointment Work number: +1 226-243-8443 Course Location: SB107 Lecture Time: Mondays & Wednesdays 10.00 am to 11.20 am Delivery Mode: In-Person Lab Coordinator Information Dr. Xuyang Ma | LH3060 | xma@wlu.ca Lab Time: Wednesdays 08:30 AM - 09:50 AM (bi-weekly) Teaching Assistant Information Timothy Marsh | mars1283@mylaurier.ca Weekly Office Hours: To be determined Course Information Calendar Description Regression analysis including estimation, hypothesis testing, analysis of variance, variable selection techniques; regression diagnostics; generalized linear regression; nonlinear regression; nonparametric regression. Pre-requisites : MA122 or MA123; and ST260 or (ST259 and one of ST230, ST231). 1 Course Goals and Learning Outcomes Regression analysis is the most important and useful statistical analysis tool in data science. In this course, students will learn how to relate an outcome (or outcomes) to a set of predictors of interest. In detail, students will learn how to conduct parameter estimation, statistical inference, analysis of variance, residual analysis, model diagnostics and variable selection for linear regression models. Further, students will be exposed to a wider range of concepts of regression models such as nonlinear regression models, generalized linear models as well as nonparametric regression models. Students also will learn the popular statistical language, R, and will be able to apply the knowledge they study in the course to analyze real-world data in their projects. Course Tools and Learning Materials - Calculators: You will require a cordless, non-programmable scientific calculator. Calculators may be used during the final. - Computer Language: A statistical computer package called R (or its various versions) is used as our programming language for in-class demonstrations and labs. The software can be accessed Jupyter Notebook directly downloaded from the following websites R, RStudio, R Commander. - Textbook: Applied Regression Analysis (third edition) by Norman R. Draper and Harry Smith. A digital version is available in the content on MyLS course website. - Reference Textbooks: Item o Montgomery, D.C. and Peck, E.A., Introduction to Linear Regression Analysis, (Fifth Edition), 2012. Wiley & Sons, Inc. o A. J. Dobson and A. Barnett. An Introduction to Generalized Linear Models. (Third Edition), 2008. CRC press. o B. Abraham and J. Ledolter. Introduction to Regression Modeling. 2006. Brooks\cole, Cengage Learning. o G. James, D. Witten, T. J. Hastie and R. J. Tibshirani. An Introduction to Statistical Learning with Application in R. 2013. Springer. o Venables et al. An Introduction to R. 2017. Required or Optional Cost Current or Most Recent Cost* Notes/Features (i.e. physical copy, virtual copy, second-hand availability, special features, etc.) 2 Textbook: Applied Regression Analysis (third edition) by Norman R. Draper and Harry Smith Required N/A N/A Available Through library as an electronic copy scientific calculator Required n/a n/a Any non-programable scientific calculator - Course Website: Material related to this course, including lecture slides, assignments, exam, projects information, etc., will be posted on the MyLearningSpace site: https://mylearningspace.wlu.ca. Students are expected to check MyLearningSpace on a frequent and regular basis. Student Evaluation Assessment Weighting Assignments (5) 15% Labs 15% Midterm (Wednesday, June 18, 2025) 20% Project 10% Final Exam (Aug. 1 - 15, 2025) 35% Class Attendance 5% Total 100% Weekly Tentative Schedule 3 Week # Date Lecture/Lab Text Section Topics Important Date 1 May 5 Lecture 1 Ch0 Introduction to Regression Analysis, Pre-requisite Knowledge A1 out May 7 Lecture 2 Ch1 Pre-requisite Knowledge, Simple Linear Regression May 12 Lecture 3 Ch1 Least Squares Estimation, Analysis of Variance May 14 8.30am May 14 Lecture 4 2 3 Ch1 May 19 4 5 Lab 1 Model Assumptions, R^2 Statistic, Properties of Beta_0 and Beta_1 Victoria Day- no classes May 21 Lecture 5 Ch1 Estimate sigma^2, Statistical Inference A1 Due, A2 Out May 26 Lecture 6 Ch4 Multiple Regression Analysis in Matrix May 28 Lecture 7 Ch4 R^2 Statistic, Model Assumptions, Estimate signma^2 May 28 8.30am Lab 2 June 2 Lecture 8 Ch5 F-test for All Slopes, Inference for Single Beta_j June 4 Lecture 9 Ch5 Estimation and Prediction, Variance and A2 Due, A3 Out Bias June 9 Lecture 10 Ch6 Extra Sum of Squares Principle A2 Due, A3 Out 4 6 June 11 Lecture 11 Ch7 The General Linear Models, Validation of Model Assumptions June 11 Lab 3 June 17 June 16 7 A3 Due, A4 Out Lecture 12 Ch7 June 18 9 midterm June 23 Lecture 13 Ch8 Interaction Effects, Residual Analysis June 25 Lecture 14 Ch8 Residual Analysis, Leverage Points, Standardized and Studentized Residuals June 25 10 11 Lab 4 June 30 Lecture 15 Ch8 Cook’s Distance, Variable Selection Criteria Project Out July 2 Lecture 16 Ch13 Model Transformation, Box-cox transformation A4 Due, A5 Out July 7 Lecture 17 Ch15/Ch14 Variable Selection Algorithms, Dummy Variables July 9 Lecture 18 Ch14 One-way ANOVA, Alternative Way July 9 12 13 Validation of Model Assumptions, Midterm Review Lab 5 July 14 Lecture 19 Ch14 Two-way ANOVA July 16 Lecture 20 Ch16 Lack of Fit Test, Collinearity and Multicollinearity July 21 Lecture 21 Ch12/Ch18 Polynomial Regression Model, Logistic Regression A5 Due 5 July 23 Lecture 22 Ch17 July 23 July28 July 30 • Ridge and LASSO Regression Lab 6 Lecture 23 Review July 30-31-----Study Days Project Due Note: Aug. 1 - 15: Final examinations - Students are advised not to make travel commitments during this time. There are no examinations scheduled on the Civic Holiday weekend (August 3, 4, 5). Learning Activities, Assignments, Projects, and Examinations 1. Assignments: Assignments will be assigned approximately biweekly and equally weighted. Usually, assignments will be posted online on Mondays, and the solutions (including both written answers converted to PDF files and R markdown files) need to be submitted an online platform Gradescope before the deadlines. No late assignments will be accepted, so make the effort to submit whatever you have done by the due date. This means you should start on assignments as soon as material is covered. Do not wait to the last minute. Data science is a collaborative endeavour. While you may talk with others about the assignments, we ask that you write your solutions individually in your own words. If you do discuss the assignments with others please include their names at the top of your assignments. Keep in mind that content from assignments will likely be covered on the exams. Assignments are your individual work! 2. Labs: There will be biweekly labs, beginning with the second week of the term (even weeks). Lab attendance is mandatory. The biweekly labs are designed to give students practice at some routine and some advanced problems. The goals of these sessions include helping solidify the student's understanding of concepts in data, modern statistical tools, and introducing applications to course topics with using computer methods for solving problems. Software used requires minimal computer skills, but does require familiarity with R via Jupyter Notebooks. The lab assignments are to be completed in the lab. Discussion is encouraged, but labs are to be written by each student in an independent fashion. In preparation for each week's lab, students are expected to have attempted all of the assigned homework problems pertaining to that week's work and to have worked through the lab preparation for that week. It is also important to review previous material: statistics as a discipline builds on the earlier material, and cannot be studied effectively in pieces. The breakdown of the final lab mark will be explained during your first lab session. Lab preparation materials, as well as solutions to lab reports will be available through https://mylearningspace.wlu.ca. 3. Midterm: The midterm will take place in week 7 (Wednesday June 18) during the lecture time . The midterm is a closed-book, paper-based, and proctored in-person. The location will be our 6 regular classroom SB107. The midterm will test you on the materials taught in the first 6 weeks. There will absolutely be no make-up of midterms. Weight shifting is only given to the students with verifiable extenuating circumstances. An extenuating circumstance is a rare and severe event for which a student has no control or cannot anticipate (for example, a serious accident or emergent medical condition). The illness Self-Declaration Form can be used to request academic consideration due to medical reasons, in lieu of a medical document. 4. Projects: There will be one group project. The group size is 2. Group project will test your ability to apply the knowledge of this course to the real world data and computing skills. Use R to analyze some given data set to perform regression analysis. A written report is required and should be handed in by 11:59pm sharp JULY 30 2025. Further detailed instructions will be given in class as the project due date approaches. Should your project be late, the projects are marked down by 10% per day, up to two days. After two days, project submissions will not be accepted. 5. Final examination: The final exam will be a 2.5 hour and in- person exam. The date and location will be announced later. 6. Marking: Any error in marking must be reported to your instructor within one week of the date the work was returned in class. No marks will be changed after that time. Please see the solutions posted on the ST562 website before bringing any alleged errors to the attention of your instructor. The instructor reserves the right to remark the entire paper. 7. Class Attendance: Class attendance checks will be conducted randomly without notification. The class attendance is worth 5% as part of your overall final exam. If you cannot attend the live lectures, the weight of participation will be shifted to your final exam. However it is your responsibility to inform the instructor about your situation at the beginning of the term. University and Course Policies 1. Academic Calendars: Students are encouraged to review the Academic Calendar for information regarding all important dates, deadlines, and services available on campus. 2. Accessibility: Contact Accessible Learning if you require academic accommodations because of a disability. Review the Registration page for information about intake and documentation requirements. Deadlines: Students are responsible for meeting posted deadlines for registering with Accessible Learning and booking accommodated exams. Accessible Learning cannot guarantee accommodations for requests received after posted deadlines. 3. Library Accessibility Services: The Library offers accessibility services for people with disabilities, including alternate formats or remediation of Library collections and help accessing materials. 7 For information please visit the Library Accessibility Hub (library.wlu.ca/services/accessibilityhub) or email libaccessibility@wlu.ca. 4. The use of generative AI is permitted in this course. In all submissions in which you use generative AI, you must cite its usage. Failing to cite the use of generative AI is a form of academic misconduct and Senate Policy 12.2 Student Code of Conduct: Academic Misconduct will be applied. If you have questions about how to conduct yourself when completing course assessments, including the use of Generative Artificial Intelligence, you should contact your course or lab instructor for guidance. If you have general questions, please communicate with scienceintegrity@wlu.ca. 5. Plagiarism: Wilfrid Laurier University uses software that can check for plagiarism. If requested to do so by course instructors, students are required to submit their written work in electronic form and have it checked for plagiarism. (Approved by Senate May 14, 2002) 6. Academic Integrity: Laurier is committed to a culture of integrity within and beyond the classroom. This culture values trustworthiness (e.g., honesty, integrity, reliability), fairness, caring, respect, responsibility and citizenship. Together, we have a shared responsibility to uphold this culture in our academic and nonacademic behaviour. The University has a defined policy with respect to academic misconduct. As a Laurier student you are responsible for familiarizing yourself with this policy and the accompanying penalty guidelines, some of which may appear on your transcript if there is a finding of misconduct. The relevant policy can be found at Laurier's academic integrity website along with resources to educate and support you in upholding a culture of integrity. Ignorance is not a defense. 7. Late Assignment Policy: No late assignments will be accepted. Should your project be late, the projects are marked down by 10% per day, up to two days. After two days, project submissions will not be accepted. Refer to the Handbook on Undergraduate Course Management for more information. 8. Final Examinations: Students are strongly urged not to make any commitments (e.g., vacation) during the examination period. Students are required to be available for examinations during the examination periods of all terms in which they register. Refer to the Handbook on Undergraduate Course Management for more information. 9. Religious and Spiritual Accommodation: The University welcomes students, staff and faculty from a wide range of backgrounds, beliefs and traditions and has a duty to provide accommodation based on creed (religion and spirituality) under the Ontario Human Rights Code. This obligation requires the University to work with students to provide reasonable accommodation when a student's religious observances or spiritual beliefs creates a conflict with their academic schedule. In order for instructors to provide proper accommodations, students have obligations to request accommodations in a timely manner. All policies, procedures, 8 timelines, and request forms are found on Laurier’s Religious and Spiritual Accommodations and Supports webpage. 10. Gender Inclusivity: This course will be conducted in an affirming and mutually respectful atmosphere for people of all gender expressions and identities. I was provided with a class roster with your name as it appears on the official enrollment information. If you use a name different from the roster, please let me know at your earliest convenience. You can also share your gender pronouns with me if you like. Members of the class are expected to refer to one another by the name and pronouns identified by each student. If you are comfortable, you can also let your classmates know about your name and pronouns. The Centre for Student Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (CSEDI) has developed a website outlining how to request a different name to appear on some university records and systems such as Zoom, MyLS and email. The website also provides information about Laurier’s Inclusive Washroom Initiative, support resources at Laurier, and more. 11. Classroom Use of Electronic Devices: The use of electronic devices in the classroom is governed by WLU Policy 9.3: Classroom Use of Electronic Devices. Details of this Policy and the consequences of breaches are stated in the Academic Calendar. Mobile devices of any kind, including devices that emit audible signals, are not permitted in this course except for accessibility or extenuating circumstances. The latter will be assessed on a case-by-case basis; ask your instructor. Students who fail to comply with this policy may be asked to stow their devices at the front of the classroom, or to leave the classroom. 12. Intellectual Property: The educational materials developed for this course, including, but not limited to, lecture notes and slides, handout materials, examinations and assignments, and any materials posted to MyLearningSpace, are the intellectual property of the course instructors. These materials have been developed for student use only and they are not intended for wider dissemination and/or communication outside of a given course. Posting or providing unauthorized audio, video, or textual material of course content to third-party websites violates instructors’ intellectual property rights, and the Canadian Copyright Act. Recording lectures in any way is prohibited in this course unless specific permission has been granted by instructors. Failure to follow these instructions may be in contravention of the university’s Student NonAcademic Code of Conduct and/or Code of Academic Conduct, and will result in appropriate penalties. Participation in this course constitutes an agreement by all parties to abide by the relevant University Policies, and to respect the intellectual property of others during and after their association with Wilfrid Laurier University. 13. Hawk Walk, the Wellness Centre, Student Supports and the Student Food Bank Multi-campus Resource: • Student Rights Advisory Committee (studentsrights@wlu.ca): The Student Rights Advisory Committee exists to provide you with information about your rights when it comes to 9 landlord-tenant issues or academic appeals. While in no way legal representation, it can help to inform you about your options to make difficult situations easier to navigate. • Empower Me - Mental Health Resources provided by Dialogue: Empower Me is a mental health and wellness service that seeks to contribute to a resilient student community by supporting existing on-campus and community mental health resources. Empower Me has a number of professionals with various domains of expertise, including psychology, psychotherapy, social work, nutrition, etc., to support you and respond effectively to diverse needs. You can access services via telephone, videoconference, or in-person. Empower Me is: available 24/7, 365 days a year, confidential, multilingual, culturally sensitive, genderinclusive, and faith inclusive. • The Essentials - Legal Care Program: The Essentials, Legal Care Program allows students to access a legal consultation service. Students are free to consult a duly certified lawyer regarding any legal questions. Upon filling out the Support Form, students can expect a response from legal counsel within approximately 48 hours (business days) about next steps and assistance that is required to navigate housing disputes, employment disputes, disputes with an academic institution, and public notaries. Students can also seek legal representation when their case qualifies for further counsel. Kitchener/Waterloo Resources: • Emergency Response Team (ert@wlu.ca): The Emergency Response Team provides medical assistance to students on campus. ERT can be booked for on-site event support by filling out the online booking request form on their website. • Waterloo Hawk Walk | 519.886.3668 | walkw@wlu.ca | Foot Patrol is a volunteer operated safe walk-home service, available daily during evening hours. Teams of two radiodispatched volunteers are available on request to escort students to and from campus as well as to off-campus destinations. Foot Patrol can be found on the 2nd floor of the Fred Nichols Campus Centre next to the Dean of Students Office. 10
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