LESSON 1 STATISTICAL CONCEPTS Science, Observations, Statistics Science is based on the empirical method for making observations - for systematically obtaining information. It consists of methods for making observations. Observations are the basic empirical "stuff" of science. Statistics is a set of methods and rules for organizing, summarizing and interpreting information. Statistics is a set of concepts, rules, and procedures that help us to: o o o organize numerical information in the form of tables, graphs, and charts; understand statistical techniques underlying decisions that affect our lives and well-being; and make informed decisions. Populations and Samples A population is the set of all individuals of interest in a particular study. We will also refer to populations of scores. A Sample is a set of individuals selected from a population, usually intended to represent the population in a study. We will also refer to samples of scores. Parameters and Statistics A Parameter is a value, usually a numerical value that describes a Population. A parameter may be obtained from a single measurement, or it may be derived from a set of measurements from the population. A Statistic is a value, usually a numerical value that describes a sample. A statistic may be obtained from a single measurement, or it may be derived from a set of measurements from the sample. Variable and Constant A variable is any information that differs from one member to another in a population or sample. A random variable (designated as X) is one whose numerical value is determined by chance. The key elements here are that the variable assumes a number (sales volume, rate of return, test score, etc.) and that the sample selection process generates the numbers randomly, i.e., by a “random” selection. A constant is an information about the population or sample that is true to all members. Quantitative and Qualitative Variables Quantitative variable refers to that which exists in different AMOUNTS. When it is measured, the scores tell something about the amount or degree of the variable. At the very least, a larger score indicates more of the variable than a smaller score does. Examples: age, class size Qualitative variable is one that exists in different KINDS. A number may be assigned to this variable but the scores or members are simply used as names or labels (dummy). It does not have quantitative meaning. Examples: religion, citizenship 1 - LESSON 1 | STATISTICAL CONCEPTS Discrete and Continuous Variables A discrete variable is obtained by counting indivisible units. It can take specific values only as it is always a collection of whole numbers and can never be a part of a unit. Example: enrolment, class size Continuous variable is one which comes in units which are divisible into an infinite number of fractional parts. It can take any point in the number line. Examples: distance traveled, land area Independent and Dependent Variables Independent variable is that which is manipulated by the researcher in a study – the treatment variable in an experiment. It is the presumed cause of the differences in the dependent variable. Dependent variable is that which is measured and analyzed in an experiment. Its values are tested to determine whether they are dependent upon values of the independent variable. It is the presumed effect of the independent variable Research Title: Mathematics Achievement of Grade VI Pupils Taught Under Three Methods of Teaching Dependent Variable: Mathematics Achievement (the variable measured after employing the treatment) Independent Variable: Methods of Teaching (the variable that is manipulated) Classification of Scales 1. Nominal scale - the lowest level and primitive type of measurement scale. It permits classification of individuals into two or more categories. It likewise permits the making of statements of equality or difference. The basic requirement is to assign an item or individual to one and only one category and specify the criteria for placing individuals into classes. Example: sex (you are either a male or female; never both) 2. Ordinal scale – specifies the relative position of items/individuals with respect to a given characteristic, with no indication as to the distance between the positions. It has the same quality with a nominal scales, plus the characteristic of greater than or less than. One must be able to determine whether a n item has more, same or less of the attribute than another item or individual has. Example: socio-economic status (you are either poor or rich) 3. Interval scale – permits the making of statements of sameness or difference, greater than or less than, and the added property that the intervals between items are equal. However, it doe not have a true zero point. Being zero does not mean absence of something or nothing. Example: test score (one who scored 4 has twice more of the one who got 2, but one who got 0 does not mean he knows nothing about the lesson discussed) 4. Ratio scale – permits the making of statements of sameness or difference, greater than or less than, equal rations between items, and the presence of a TRUE zero point, which means absence of the attribute being measured 2 - LESSON 1 | STATISTICAL CONCEPTS Example: Distance traveled (The measurement starts from point 0 always) Introduction to Statistical Methods The more important notion to be got across at this early stage is how the subject of statistical methods is organized. This diagram may help: Descriptive Statistics Example: "The average income of the 104 families in our company is Php 18,673." In descriptive statistics, our objective is to describe the properties of a group of scores or data that we have "in hand," i.e., data that are accessible to us in that we can write them down on paper or type them into a spreadsheet. In descriptive statistics we are not interested in other data that were not gathered but might have been; that is the subject of inferential statistics. What properties of the set of scores are we interested in? At least three: their center, their spread, and their shape. Consider the following set of scores, which might be ages of persons in your professional club: 28, 38, 45, 47, 51, 56, 58, 60, 63, 63, 65, 66, 66, 67, 68, 70 We could say of these ages that they range from 28 to 70 (spread), and the middle of them is somewhere around 60 (center). Now their shape is a property of a graph that can be drawn to depict the scores. If I marked the scores along a number line, like so 3 - LESSON 1 | STATISTICAL CONCEPTS then we can see that the ages tend to bunch at the older ages and trail off very gradually for the younger ages. Later we will learn that this distribution of data is said to be negatively skewed, because the "trailing off" is toward the negative end of the number line. Inferential Statistics Example: "This sample of 512 families from Barangay Macopa indicates with 95% confidence we can conclude that the average family income in the county is between Php5,187 and Php9,328." In inferential statistics, our interest is in large collections of data that are so large that we can not have all of them "in hand." We can, however, inspect samples of these larger collections and use what we see there to make inferences to the larger collection. How samples relate to larger collections of data (called populations) from which they have been drawn is the subject of inferential statistical methods. Inferential statistics are frequently used by pollsters who ask 1000 persons whom they prefer in an election and draw conclusions about how the entire municipality or province will vote on election day. Scientists and researchers also employ inferential statistics to make conclusions that are more general than the conclusions they could otherwise draw on the basis of the limited number of data points they have recorded. 4 - LESSON 1 | STATISTICAL CONCEPTS Worksheet 1 STATISTICAL CONCEPTS Activity 1 - Classify the following variables according to quantitative/qualitative, discrete/continuous. Variables Weight Average grade Type of residence Annual salary Academic rank Height Qn/Ql Dis/Con Variables Burnout level Highest degree earned Birth order Job satisfaction score Length of service Attitude score Qn/Ql Dis/Con Variables LGU annual income Municipality class Leadership style Nutritional status Palay harvest (bags) Palay harvest (kilos) Qn/Ql Dis/Con Variables Number of children Skin color Population growth rate Insurance premium Bacteria growth (cm) Genetic traits Qn/Ql Dis/Con Activity 2 - Classify the above variables into scale type (nominal, ordinal, interval, ratio). If you believe a variable can be classified in more than one scale type, justify. Activity 3 – Identify the dependent and independent variables in the following research titles: 1. Effect of Training on the Managerial Capabilities of Newly-Elected Barangay Officials 2. Bacteria Inhibition as Influenced by Plant Part and Concentration Levels of Bangbangsit 3. Enhancing Concept Development and Retention Through the Use of Graphic Organizers ADDITIONAL>>>>>>>>>> Scales of Measurement One of the most influential distinctions made in the field of measurement was Stevens' (1946, 1957) classification of scales of measurement. He described nominal, ordinal, interval, and ratio scales of measurement, which are briefly defined below. A more detailed discussion of these scales can be found in Chapter 4 of the text. Nominal: Nominal scales are naming scales. They represent categories where there is no basis for ordering the categories. Ordinal: Ordinal scales involve categories that can be ordered along a dimension. However, we have no way of knowing how different the categories are from one another. We state the latter property by saying that we do not have equal intervals between the items. Rankings also represent ordinal scales, because we know the order but do not know how different each person is from the next person. 5 - LESSON 1 | STATISTICAL CONCEPTS Interval: Interval scales are very similar to standard numbering scales, except that they do not have a true zero. That means that the distance between successive numbers is equal, but that the number zero does NOT mean that there is none of the property being measured. Many measures that involve psychological scales, especially those that use a form of normal standardization (e.g., IQ), are assumed to be interval scales of measurement. Ratio: Ratio scales are the easiest to understand, because they are numbers as we usually think of them. The distance between adjacent numbers are equal on a ratio scale and the score of zero on the ratio scale means that there is none of whatever is being measured. Most ratio scales are counts of things. The most important reason for making the distinction between these scales of measurement is that it affects the statistical procedures that you will use in describing and analyzing your data. In this unit, we will be presenting dozens of examples of measures at each of these levels of measurement, along with some exercises to help you to refine your understanding of these distinctions. We recommend that you complete the exercises since the best way to learn anything is to actively process the information by using it to solve real-life problems. Examples of Each Scale of Measurement Listed below are several examples of each scale of measurement. We have focused on frequently used psychological variables to help illustrate what each of the scales represent. We have tried to provide a wide variety of examples to help make these distinctions clear for you. Nominal Scale Examples diagnostic categories sex of the participant classification based on discrete characteristics (e.g., hair color) group affiliation (e.g., Republican, Democrat, Boy Scout, etc.) the town people live in a person's name an arbitrary identification, including identification numbers that are arbitrary menu items selected any yes/no distinctions most forms of classification (species of animals or type of tree) location of damage in the brain Ordinal Scale Examples any rank ordering class ranks social class categories order of finish in a race 6 - LESSON 1 | STATISTICAL CONCEPTS Interval Scale Examples scores on scales that are standardized (i.e., with an arbitrary mean and standard deviation, usually designed to always give a positive score) scores on scales that are known to not have a true zero (e.g., most temperature scales except for the Kelvin Scale) scores on measures in which it is not clear that zero means none of the trait (e.g., a math test) scores on most personality scales based on counting the number of endorsed items Ratio Scale Examples time to complete a task number of responses given in a specified time period weight of an object size of an object number of objects detected number of errors made in a specified time period proportion of responses in a specified category Exercises Listed below are a number of exercises designed to familiarize students with the classification of measures using Stevens' classification system. For each of the measures listed, determine what scale of measurement most closely approximates the measure as described. Some of the examples are deliberately ambiguous. To find out the correct answer, click on the word answer at the end of the description of the item. 1. the number of questions asked by a customer during a simulated encounter with a salesperson answer RATIO 2. the religious group that one affiliates with answer NOMINAL 3. the time it takes to complete a checking task answer RATIO 4. the score on a 35-item scale of ambivalence answer INTERVAL 5. the rank of a person's salary within the company answer ORDINAL 6. rank order based on IQ score in the sample answer ORDINAL This is a tricky one, because you are using an IQ measure, which is assumed to produce an interval scale of measurement, to rank order people. Once you start using the rank orderings, you have essentially converted an interval measure into an ordinal measure. 7. the square footage of each participant's house or apartment answer RATIO 8. the size of the cerebellum expressed as a volume answer RATIO 9. the number of frustrated comments made during a laboratory negotiation task answer RATIO 10. the time it takes for a couple to resolve a custody issue during court ordered mediation answer RATIO 11. score on the Beck Depression Inventory (a pencil and paper depression scale) answer INTERVAL It is generally assumed that self-report scales represent an interval scale of 7 - LESSON 1 | STATISTICAL CONCEPTS measurement. One could make reasonable arguments for anything from ordinal to ratio scales of measurement. For example, the argument for a ratio scale is the the self-report scale represents the number of items endorsed that represent whatever is being measured. So endorsing 10 items is endorsing twice as many items as endorsing five items. The argument for ordinal scales is that the underlying dimension (in this example, it is depression) has equal intervals, but there is no guarantee that the items of the scale tap depression precisely enough that the intervals between scores on the scale are equal. Faced with such ambiguity, the norm is to ASSUME that self-report measures are interval scales unless there is clear evidence that the scale is less than ordinal (i.e., clear evidence that the difference between scores on different points of the scale are not equal). 12. ratings of anger shown by those involved in courtroom testimony answer INTERVAL/ORDINAL 13. the number of pound lost during a six-week diet answer RATIO 14. the proportion of weight lost during a six-week diet answer RATIO The proportion of weight lost is a ratio scale, since zero represents on weight lost and each score represents an equal amount of weight lost. However, this is a good example of how the measure may not map well onto other psychological concepts. For example, it is relatively easy to lose 5% of your body weight, but usually takes more than four times the effort to lose 20% of your body weight. Furthermore, the amount of effort needed to lose a given proportion of your body weight will usually depend on your initial weight. Nevertheless, this is still a ratio scale. 15. the heart rate of the participant answer RATIO 16. the percent shift in heart rate over baseline during an emotionally demanding task answer RATIO 17. the percent of errors made on a classification task answer RATIO 18. the number of false alarm responses in a monitoring task answer RATIO 19. the types of grammatical errors made in a writing sample answer NOMINAL One could convert this to an ordinal scale or better by ranking the errors on their severity in distorting the meaning of the message. However, as stated, this is simply a classification, and thus a nominal measure. 20. one's ice cream preference answer NOMINAL 21. how quickly a person gives up on an impossible task that looks like it should be possible answer RATIO 22. a student's SAT score answer INTERVAL Again, the general assumption is that any standardized test that has been normed with an arbitrary mean and standard deviation represents an interval scale of measurement. The SAT subtests scores are normed to have an arbitrary mean of 500 and standard deviation of 100. 23. the percentile rank from an achievement test answer ORDINAL 24. the type of categorization errors in a sorting task answer NOMINAL 25. the pattern of scores on the MMPI personality inventory answer NOMINAL Such patterns are referred to as two-point or three-point codes, which means that they refer to the two or three highest scales. These patterns are often associated with diagnostic categories. 26. the age at which one went on his or her first date answer RATIO 27. the number of children in your family answer RATIO 28. the score on an anxiety sensitivity scale answer INTERVAL 8 - LESSON 1 | STATISTICAL CONCEPTS 29. whether one has a pet answer NOMINAL This is an interesting variable, because one could make an argument for it representing a higher level of measurement. For example, if you coded the number of pets, that would clearly be ratio data. If you used a code of 1 for at least one pet and 0 for no pets, that would appear to be at least ordinal. With just a yes/no distinction as presented here, the data are nominal. Psychologists usually prefer to use the highest level of measurement possible. Therefore, they would probably specify the variable here differently--as the number of pets, which produces a ratio scale of measurement. 30. the teacher's rankings of cooperativeness in the classroom answer ORDINAL 9 - LESSON 1 | STATISTICAL CONCEPTS
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