HISTORICAL THEORIES CHAPTER 1: EVOLUTION OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE The main historical theories are called classical or country-based which includes: INTRODUCTION The World Trade Organization (WTO) is the only global international organization dealing with the rules of trade between nations. At its heart are the WTO agreements negotiated and signed by the bulk of the world’s trading nations and ratified in their parliaments. The goal is to ensure that trade flows as smoothly, predictably, and freely as possible and to help producers of goods and services, exporters, and importers conduct their business. Roles of WTO: 1. It operates a global system of trade rules. 2. It acts as a forum for negotiating trade agreements. 3. It settles trade disputes between its members. 4. It supports the needs of developing countries. WTO functions primarily as the forum for trade negotiations between countries. The primary purpose of the WTO is to open trade for the benefit of all. WTO is the precursor of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), which was established by a multilateral treaty of 23 countries in 1947 after World War II in the wake of other new multilateral institutions dedicated to international economic cooperation – such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. 1.1 EVOLUTION OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE THEORY: A GLIMPSE The evolution of the international trade theories reflects the ways nations were addressing basic economic problems due to unequal distribution of natural resources or difference in geographical locations. Over time, economists have developed theories to address these economic problems and explain the mechanisms of international business and trade. Mercantilism Absolute Advantage Comparative Advantage Heckscher-Onin Theories By mid-twentieth century (1900s-2000s), the theories began to shift to modem and are called firmbased or company-based which includes: Country Similarity Product Life Cycle Global Strategic Rivalry Porter's National Competitive Advantage Other Theories: Liberalism Professionalism Free Trade Theory The Leontief Paradox Standard Theory of International Trade Adam Smith’s Wealth of Nations (1776) and David Ricardo’s Principles of Economics (1951) were published. One of the earliest efforts to develop an economic theory, the theory is a classical, countrybased international trade theory states that a country’s wealth is determined by its holdings of gold and silver. Theory of Free Trade The works of Smith and Ricardo herald the formulation of a theory of free trade. - Smith considered division of labor, as observed in the nascent large-scale industries of his homeland England, as the base for lowering labor costs, which ensured effective competition across countries. Division of labor is the separation of a work process into a number of tasks, with each task performed by a separate person or group of persons to boost productivity and efficiency and enhance specialization. Theory of the Price-Specie Flow Mechanism The possible dilemmas in terms of the need for monetary adjustments for countries having a continuous trade surplus with absolute advantage in all traded goods could be shelved aside by relying on the automatic adjustment as posited by Smith's contemporary David Hume (1776) when he offered the theory of the price-specie flow mechanism. Trade surplus is the amount by which the value of a country's exports exceeds the cost of its imports. INDUSTRIAL CAPITALISM Industrial capitalism in Ricardo's England was at a relatively advanced stage as compared to what it was in Smith's time, both with rapid growth of largescale industries and captive markets in overseas colonies. It was the second phase of capitalism in which industries/factories became the dominant factor in the production of goods. Imports of wage goods (corn) had a special role by cheapening wage goods; hence, labor cost. FREE TRADE VS MERCANTILISM Free Trade As opposed to the mercantilist policies of protection, was championed by both Smith and Ricardo as a route to achieve production efficiency at a global level. - In a Free Trade system, individuals benefit from a greater choice of affordable goods, - Mercantilism It restricts imports and reduces the choices available to consumers. Ricardo's cost calculations, despite his concerns for the introduction of machinery on a large scale, were based on labor hours, which were treated as a single homogeneous input with production in a two-commodity world, subject to constant costs. ABSOLUTE AND COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE Absolute Advantage Absolute advantage is the country's inherent ability to produce specific goods efficiently and effectively at a relatively lower marginal cost, lesser workforce, lesser time, and lesser cost without compromising the quality. Comparative Advantage Comparative advantage refers to the country's capability to produce the specific goods at lower marginal cost and opportunity cost compared to other countries. Marginal cost is the cost incurred in producing an additional unit of product. Opportunity cost means the value you will get from an alternative thạt you did not choose. STANDARD THEORY OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE The Theory of International Trade and Commercial Policy, still considered to be one of the oldest branches of economic thought, has evolved from the Standard theory of International Trade. From the ancient Greeks to the present, government officials, intellectuals, and economists have discussed whether trade is beneficial or harmful to nations, and, more importantly, have tried to determine what trade policy is best for any particular country. 1.2 BARTER Barter The barter of goods or services among different people is an age-old system, probably as old as human history. This system has been practice for centuries facilitating the exchange of goods and services before the advent of the monetary system. Bartering involves a direct trade/exchange of goods and services. It is the process of trading services or goods between two parties without using money in the transaction. It can be: There are now swap markets and online auctions. Even though money is there for trading and business, the barter system will continue to exist and become stronger and more organized. There are numerous websites that offer online bartering arrangements. HISTORYPLEX Historyplex has the following account for the development of barter through the centuries. The author had inserted some relevant information in appropriate time slots in the account: Early Humans: service can be exchanged for an item an item exchanged for a service an item can be exchanged for some other item ADVANTAGE AND DISADVANTAGE OF BARTERING Advantage of Bartering The advantage of bartering is that it does not involve money. It is very simple such that issues confronted in international trade like foreign exchange and unbalanced economic power are virtually nonexistent. Disadvantage of Bartering It is difficult to find people who need what the other people have. Also, in barter, it is difficult to find the value of what one has versus the value of what the other one has. There is no standard measure of value. It is time-consuming. SWAP MARKETS AND ONLINE AUCTIONS The invention of money did not put an end to bartering services. Monetary crises fueled the revival of this system and the current recession has once again set a stage for its comeback. With the advent of more sophisticated techniques that aid trading through the internet, barter is once more present in our current times. They used leaves and animal skin as clothes - ate vegetables, fruits, fish, and animal meat Formation of Groups: The early humans had to travel long distances to find food. They started forming groups, they stayed together while traveling and hunting. Intergroup interaction started and this paved the way for a system of trading. Cultivation and Farming: People began growing plants and raising farm animals, doing works like pottery, carpentry, and weaving. Evolution of the Barter System: Barter system was introduced by the tribes of Mesopotamia, was adopted by the Phoenicians, who bartered their goods to people in other cities located across the oceans. An improved system of bartering was developed in Babylonia. People used to exchange their goods for weapons, tea, spices, and food items. Sometimes, even human skulls were used for barter. 1.3 ORIGIN OF MONEY It is believed that the first recognizable metal coins appeared in China, during 1000 BC. The earliest currency of China of the eighth century BC consisted of miniature hoes and billhooks (pruning implements), with inscriptions indicating the authority. Sometime around 770 BC, miniature replicas of tools and weapons cast in bronze were used by the Chinese as a medium of exchange. The small bronze celts (prehistoric tools resembling chisels) and bronze rings frequently found in hoards in Western Europe probably played a monetary role. Even in modern times, such mediums of exchange as fishhook currency have been known. Due to impracticality, these tiny daggers, spades, and hoes were eventually abandoned for objects in the shape of a circle. These objects became some of the first coins. Around 700 BC, the Chinese moved from coins to paper money. By the time Marco Polo (the Venetian merchant, explorer, and writer who travelled through Asia along the Silk Road between AD 1271 and 1295) visited China in approximately AD 1271, the emperor of China had a good handle on both the money supply and various denominations. Although China was the first country to use coins, the first region of the world to use an industrial facility to manufacture coins (a mint) that could be used as currency was in Europe, in the region called Lydia (now western Turkey). Minting is the process of making a coin by stamping metal. In 600 BC, around the time China started using paper money. Lydia's King Alyattes minted the first official currency nonstandardized coins from electrum (a naturally occurring alloy of gold and silver) that did not have a standardized value. King Croesus (son of King Alyattes) (reigned 560-546 BC) produced a bimetallic system of pure gold and pure silver coins. Lydia's currency helped the country increase both its internal and external trading systems, making it one of the richest empires in Asia Minor. Today, when someone says, "as rich as Croesus," they are referring to the last Lydian king who minted the first gold coin. The European colonial governments in North America issued the first paper currency. Because shipments between Europe and the North American colonies took so long, the colonists often ran out of cash as operations expanded. According to Adam Shortt, the great Canadian economic historian, the first regular system of exchange in Canada involving Europeans occurred in Tadaoussac in the early seventeenth century, where French traders bartered each year with the Mantagnais people (also known as the innu) trading weapons, cloth, food, silver items, and tobacco for animal pelts, especially those of the beaver. Silver and copper coins designed especially for the colonies was minted in 1670 due to the inability to keep coins in calculation in French colonies in the Americas These coins could not be circulated in France. While apparently intended only for the West Indies, a small number of these coins are believed to have circulated in Canada. In 1685, the colonial authorities in New France found themselves short of funds. Jacques de Meulles, Intendant of Justice, Police, and Finance came up with the temporary issuance of paper money printed on playing cards. Card money was purely a financial expedient initially but was later acknowledged as a medium of exchange. The first issue of card money occurred on June 8, 1685, and was redeemed three months later. The livre (French for "pound" and the name of both units of account and coins was the currency of the Kingdom of France and its predecessor state of West Francia from 1781 to 1794. Copper coins were introduced in 1722, but they were not well received by merchants. The government, once again short of funds, also issued promissory notes called ordonnances and treasury notes called acquits, which began to circulate as money in March 1729, card money, which were strictly limited, were legal tender for all payments and replaced the ordonnances in circulation. Legal tender means currency, such as coin and paper money, that is declared by law to be valid and sufficient for the payment of debts, and meet a financial obligation, including tax payments, contracts, and legal fines or damages. On October 15, 1759, the French government suspended payment of bills of exchange drawn on the Treasury for payments of expenses in Canada until three months after peace was restored. The advent of paper money led to an increase in international trade. Today, physical currency is not required, as electronic money is widely used for monetary transactions. In fact, we now have digital/virtual currencies or cryptocurrencies. 1.4 HISTORY OF THE PHILIPPINE CURRENCY PRE-HISPANIC ERA Before the arrival of the Spaniards in the Philippines, barter was the primary method of trade among early Filipinos and neighboring countries like China, Java, Borneo, and Thailand. Without coins or paper money, people relied on direct exchanges of goods to obtain what they needed. Additionally, early Filipino communities often had limited access to resources and materials, making bartering essential for obtaining goods that were scarce or unavailable locally. This system formed the backbone of the early Filipino economy. However, the inconvenience of bartering led to the adoption of cowries, a type of shell, as a form of currency. Cowries, produced in various materials including gold, jade, quartz, and wood, became widely accepted as money over many centuries. People used gold not only for decorative purposes but also as a means of trade. Since the Philippines is naturally rich in gold, barter rings made in gold were used for personal adornment and as the first local form of coinage, known as Piloncitos. These coins featured an embossed inscription with a Baybayin “Ma” or “M” character believed to represent the name by which the Philippines was known to Chinese traders during the pre-Spanish era. SPANISH ERA (1521-1897) When the Spaniards arrived in the Philippines, our ancestors were already trading with countries like China, Japan, India, and others. The Spanish government continued this trade, and Manila became a big center for business in Asia. The Spanish only allowed trade with Mexico, and Manila became the main port for trading goods. The Spanish ruled the Philippines for 300 years. They brought silver coins called "cobs" or "macuquinas" from Mexico and other Spanish colonies on large, sturdy sailing ships called galleons. The term "barya" originated from the Spanish word "barilla," which referred to a crude bronze or copper coin. These coins were issued by the Spanish Empire to address the shortage of small denomination coins, also known as fractional coins. The Spanish government introduced barillas as a solution to the problem of having insufficient small coins for everyday transactions. Over time, the term "barilla" evolved into "barya" in the local Filipino language. Therefore, when Filipinos use the term "barya" to refer to small coins, they are unknowingly using a word derived from Spanish colonial history. In Manila, gold coins featuring the portrait of Queen Isabela were minted. These coins served as a form of currency and were used for trade and transactions. Meanwhile, in Spain, the last coins to be minted before the transition to paper money were silver pesos bearing the profile of young Alfonso XIII. Additionally, the Philippines saw the introduction of paper money through the issuance of pesos fuertes by the country's first bank, El Banco Espanol Filipino de Isabel II. This marked the transition from traditional metal coins to paper currency in the Philippines, with the pesos fuertes becoming the first paper money circulated in the country. REVOLUTIONARY PERIOD (1898-1899) In 1898, during the period of the Philippine Republic under General Emilio Aguinaldo, the country asserted its independence by issuing its own coins and paper currency. These coins and notes were backed by the Philippines' natural resources, symbolizing the nation's sovereignty. At the Malolos arsenal, two types of two-centavo copper coins were struck. One-peso and five-peso revolutionary notese printed as Republika Filipina Papel Moneda de Un Peso and Cinco Pesos were freely circulated. These notes were hand-signed by prominent figures such as Pedro Paterno, Mariano Limjap, and Telesforo Chuidian, further affirming the legitimacy of the Philippine Republic's currency. AMERICAN PERIOD (1900-1941) THE PHILIPPINE REPUBLIC With the arrival of the Americans in 1898, the Philippines underwent significant changes in its banking, currency, and credit systems, leading to prosperity and modernization. The history of money in the Philippines took a progressive direction when the country was under American rule. One of the milestones in this era was the passing of the Philippine Coinage Act of 1903. This established a monetary system based on a theoretical gold peso at the ratio of ₱2 to $1. The establishment of the Central Bank of the Philippines in 1949 marked a significant milestone, leading to the issuance of the first currencies known as the English series notes, printed by Thomas de la Rue & Co., Ltd. in England, and coins minted at the US Bureau of Mint. Under this system, coins featuring designs by Filipino engraver and artist Melecio Figueroa were minted, ranging from denominations of one-half centavo to one peso. In 1912, El Banco Español Filipino was renamed Bank of the Philippine Islands or BPI. It marked a shift from Spanish to English language usage in all notes and coins issued until 1933. Treasury certificates replaced the silver certificates series starting in May 1918, with the addition of a one-peso note to the currency. JAPANESE OCCUPATION (1942-1945) During World War II, the Philippine monetary system experienced significant disruptions. Two types of notes circulated in the country during this tumultuous period. First, the Japanese Occupation Forces issued war notes in high denominations. These notes, commonly referred to as "Mickey Mouse" money by Filipinos, lacked backing reserves, rendering them practically worthless. This led to rampant inflation, with prices skyrocketing to unprecedented levels. Filipinos would carry bundles of these war notes in "bayongs" (traditional woven bags) to the market, where even basic items like a single duck egg would cost 75 pesos, and a box of matches could fetch over 100 pesos. Guerrilla notes or resistance currencies were issued by various provinces and municipalities as a form of defiance against Japanese occupation. These notes were typically issued in low denominations and served as symbols of resistance and solidarity among Filipinos. These "guerrilla pesos" were printed by local government units and banks using crude inks and materials. The "Filipinization" of the republic's coins and notes began in the late 60s and continued into the present. In the 70s, the Ang Bagong Lipunan (ABL) series notes were circulated, printed at the Security Printing Plant from 1978 onwards, in which the highest denomination was ₱2. The Philippine coinage system saw a new wave of change with the Flora and Fauna coin series issued in 1983. Subsequently, the New Design Series of banknotes replaced the ABL series in 1985. It was also known as the BSP Series when the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas was established in 1993. Ten years later, a new set of coins and notes bearing the logo of the new Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (Central Bank of the Philippines) were issued. It is called the New Generation Currency (NGC) Series issued on December 16, 2010. 1.5 MOBILE PAYMENTS AND INTERNET MOBILE PAYMENTS Mobile Payments are money rendered for a product or service through a portable electronic device such as a cell phone. POINT OF SALE (POS) POS is a place, such as a checkout of a store, where customer makes the payment for goods or services. NEAR FIELD COMMUNICATION (NFC) NFC is the technology that allows two devices – your phone and a payment’s terminal – to process contactless payments using close-proximity radio frequency identification. SOUND WAVE-BASED (SWB) INTERNET PAYMENTS Sound Wave-Based (SWB) or Sound Signal-Based (SSB) uses advanced, ultra-low power, wireless transmission technology to transmit data via sound waves. It can be done on desktops, laptops or even phones. MAGNETIC SECURE TRANSMISSION (MST) MST is when a phone emits a magnetic signal imitating the magnetic strip on the player’s credit card, which the card terminal picks up and processes as if a physical card was swiped through a machine. MOBILE / DIGITAL WALLET Stores payment information on a mobile device, usually an app that utilizes different technologies in the payment process. QUICK RESPONSE (QR) Trademark of a type of “matrix barcode” (type 2d barcode) readable by smartphones. It has 4 important advantages: It stores large volume of date It can be scanned from a screen, not just a paper It can be read even if part of the code is damaged It can be safer because information can be encrypted WIRELESS APPLICATION PROTOCOL (WAP) It is used to be the most common facility o smartphone through a more limited-capacity WAP browser or app. PAYMENTS LINKS OR PAY-BY-LINK Most commonly referring to a button / link sent in an email, text message, messaging app, or over social media where a checkout page opens up in an internet browser. NEO-BANKS A term to umbrella or refer to new, cutting edge generation of banking. 1.6 VIRTUAL CURRENCY VIRTUAL CURRENCY Cryptocurrency is a volatile investment wherein it may gradually increase or decrease. And also, you can use it for online transactions, and other countries are using crypto as a payment for their goods and services. Lastly, you can withdraw your investments whenever you want. FIAT MONEY SHORT MESSAGE (OR MESSAGING) SERVICE (ALSO CALLED PREMIUM SMS PAYMENTS) Fiat money is a real money, it is the money we use for our daily transactions in any market or whenever we avail goods and services. Paying for products or services via text message with relevant information to the right payee, phone number and the payment amount. E-MONEY DIRECT CARRIER BILLING (DCB) DCB s similar to SMS payments because you pay through your mobile carrier instead of using bank or card details, the payment will then be added to your phone bill or prepaid. E-money is an electronic wallet where you can store your cash and do online transactions and can save money. VIRTUAL CURRENCY EXCHANGE It allows users to withdraw their investment from crypto to different currencies. BLOCKCHAIN TECHNOLOGY DOGECOIN Blockchain is a kind of database that store the transactions of different types of cryptocurrencies, and store the data of the users. Dogecoin was made for a payment system as a joke, it was the first dogecoin, but some companies are accepting dogecoins as payment. But now dogecoin is no joke, it can use for investment. DECENTRALIZED AND CENTRALIZED Decentralized are conducted by the sole users while the Centralized has a system with which transactions are done usually by a central entity of authority. Top six 5-star rated digital currencies today as ranked by Louis Navellier: ETHEREUM Ethereum is a decentralized cryptocurrency and it is second popular investment in cryptocurrency. Also, it started with the amount of $0.13, and now is $2,667.47 CHAPTER 2: CLASSICAL COUNTRY-BASED THEORIES OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE 2.1 INTERNATIONAL TRADE THEORIES TRADE Trade is the concept of exchanging goods and services between two people or entities INTERNATIONAL TRADE International trade is the concept of this exchange between people or entitles in two different countries. BITCOIN INTERNATIONAL TRADE THEORIES Bitcoin was established in the year 2009, that time the price of bitcoin is $0.0009. There are other countries that are accepting bitcoin as a payment for their goods and services. RIPPLE Ripple can help investors to transact in any banks, but this coin is not good when it comes to investment because of its high volatile price. International trade theories are various theories that analyze and explain the patterns and mechanisms of international trade. They deal with how countries exchange goods and services and help countries in deciding what should be exported and what should be imported According to Reyes (2012), the main points of the classical theories of international trade are the following: STELLAR Stellar is a decentralized platform, it offers low cost, cross border transactions. CARDAN (ADA) Cardan is a decentralized blockchain platform and it can do transactions in its internal cryptocurrency. And also it is a digital coin that used to store value or send and receive funds. 1. Trade is an important stimulator of economic growth 2. Trade tends to promote greater international and domestic equality 3. Trade helps countries to achieve development 4. In a world of free trade, international prices and costs of productions determine how much a country should trade in order to maximize its national welfare. 5. In order to promote growth and development, an outward-looking international policy is required In the mid-twentieth century, economists shifted from country-based to firm-based or companybased theories, which were called modern theories. These theories are useful and can help with international trade by helping a business determine the right country to expand into and make goods more efficiently than other firms. 2.2 MERCANTILISM Mercantilists believed that a country should increase its holdings of gold and silver by promoting exports and discouraging imports. Trade surplus – a situation where the value of exports is greater than the value of imports Trade deficit – a situation where the value of imports is greater than the value of exports COMMERCIAL REVOLUTION David Hume (1711-1776) The Commercial Revolution which took place between 1450 and 1750 (300 years) brought a revolutionary change in the economy of Europe. Modelled the price-specie-flow mechanism to illustrate how trade imbalances can self-correct and adjust under the gold standard. Basic Features of the Commercial Revolution Local economics – National economies The Price Specie Flow Mechanism is a theory that explains the constant fluctuation of prices in the stock market based on the flow of capital in and out. Feudalism – Capitalism History of Mercantilism Rudimentary trade – Globally larger international trade From 1500s to the late 1800s helps explain why mercantilism flourished o The 1500s marked the rise of new nation-states, whose rulers wanted to strengthen their nations Feudalism was a system in which people were given land and protection by people of higher rank, and worked and fought for them in return. Capitalism refers to an economic system in which a society's means of production are held by private individuals or organizations, not the government, and where products, prices, and the distribution of goods are determined mainly by competition in a free market. MERCANTILISM The commercial revolution gave birth to mercantilism, which played a vital role for the economic prosperity of a nation and created a milestone in the European Economy. Developed in the sixteenth century, mercantilism was one of the earliest efforts to develop an economic theory. These rulers placed lots of importance on the development of merchants (a person who buys or sells goods in large quantities, especially one who imports and exports them) and naval fleets (a large formation of warships) which would facilitate exports. Free-trade Advocates highlight how free trade benefits all members of the global community, while mercantilism’s protectionist policies only benefit select industries. Soon colonization followed and these nation-states expanded their wealth by using their colonies around the world in an effort to control more trade and amass more riches. During those times, precious metals, particularly gold and silver were considered indispensable(essential) to a nation’s wealth as a country’s wealth determined by the amount of gold and silver that it holds. Adam Smith coined the term “mercantile system” Mercantilism was also known as “bullionism” ∙ Bullion means large amounts of gold and silver. Adam Smith described mercantilism as having the following characteristics: 1. It was used to enhance the economic power of states through building wealth, an important measure of which was precious metals, especially silver and gold. 2. It led to massive and rapid unification of control (protectionism) of countries under strict economic and political policies, in sharp contrast with what observed under feudalism resulting in economic nationalism. 3. The countries aggressively sought to have a favorable balance of trade (trade surplus) by selling more than they imported so as to have a surplus of precious metals and accumulate it over time. In Mercantilism, the government strengthens the private owners of the factors of production, which are: Labor – refers to the work performed by a person for a monetary consideration. Natural Resources (land) - are those find in nature including land, trees, mines are natural resources and a major factor of production. Capital goods (capital) – refers to the money used to purchase goods used in the production process. Entrepreneurship – is the one that combines the factors in the correct proportion and mobilizes them. Free Trade Free trade is when international trade is free from barriers, such as tariffs, quotas, or other restrictions, and can flourish on its natural growth. Smith illustrated that a freely conducted trade was much better than mercantile doctrine. Laissez-faire- means “leave them alone” or “let it be” Adam Smith’s Division of Labor Division of labor Specialization Productivity Economies scale Efficiency Sustainable growth Jean-Baptiste Colbert (1619-1683) A French statesman who served as Comptroller General of Finance (1665-1683). And secretary of state for the Navy (16681683) under King Louis XIV of France. Was considered as a more profound influence on the development of mercantilism in France in France, where it was known as "Colbertism". He also emphasized the importance of money. Merchant fleets Played an important role in the international market so the French government established marine merchant fleets that would aid in exportation making the whole process more efficient. Sir Willian Petty (1623-1687) Was an english economist, physician, scientist, and philosopher. He was a supporter of Oliger Cromwell's government of England. According to Petty, surplus gain and surplus value leads to the expanded reproduction. Expanded reproduction Is a model in which a capitalist economy smoothly reproduces itself, a system founded on capital accumulation, that is, the expansion of productive capital. Philipp Wilheim Von Hornick Physiocrats The Austrian lawyer and scholar. Was a German civil servant, who was one of the founders of Cameralism and a supporter of the economic theory of mercantilism. Sir Thomas Mun (1571-1641) Published a book titled A Tract Politucal Economy in which he laid great emphasis on development of agriculture and described it as the basis of al wealth. He stood for the principle of self-sufficiency and asserted that it is not the abundance of gold and silver. Richard Cantillon Is an eighteenth-century group of French economists who believed that agriculture was the source of all wealth and that agricultural products should be highly priced. Advocating adherence to a supposed natural order of social institutions, they also stressed the necessity of free trade. Giovanni Botero and Antonio Serra A famous economic thinker, was most closely associated with the idea of mercantilism in England where mercantilism was called commercial system or mercantile system. Sir Mun was the director of the East India company. When Thomas Mun first introduced his idea of foreign trade, it was during a time of an economic downfall in England. Antoine De Montchretien He was involved in John Law's Mississippi Bubble, one of the grandest attempts to actualize the mercantilist dream of of increasing the supply of money. A French scholar is considered by many to be the first economic theorist. His contributions span such diverse topics as methodology, value and price theory, population, money, international trade, business cycles, and the circular flow model of the economy. He emphasized the need of importing raw materials and exporting finished products to maintain a favorable balance of trade. Giovanni Botero and Antonio Serra of Italy did not directly touch on mercantilism, but developed theories using the city as a unit of analysis and finding development to be result of human industrial potpourri. 2.3 THEORY OF ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE Absolute Advantage means a producer, which could be a person, a group, a company, or a country, can produce a good or service better, faster, more efficiently, at a greater volume, and with fewer resources than others. MARGINAL COST It is the cost incurred in producing an additional unit of a product. Adam Smith is recognized as the founder of modern economics, hence, considered as the father of economics. He is created with using the word mercantilism first and that his book, The Wealth of Nations, marked the birth of modern capitalism. CAPITALISM Capitalism also called free market economy or free enterprise economy, is an economic system, where most means of production are privately owned and production is guided and income distributed largely through the operation of markets, which determine prices product and service rather than the government. MODERN CAPITALISM Modern capitalism emerged as a result of the appearance of the physiocrats in France. The Physiocrats were a group of economists who believe that the wealth of nations was derived solely from agriculture. The term Physiocracy itself introduced by Dupont de Nemours 1767 literally translate to the rule of nature Physiocracy is the first well-developed theory of economics, which began with the publication of Adam Smith’s “The Wealth of Nations in 1776” The cornerstone of the physiocratic doctrine was Francois Quesnays (1759- 1766) axiom that only agriculture yielded a surplus NET PRODUCT A measure of the income generated in a production process, is the value of outputs minus the value of inputs Like the Physiocrats, Smith recommended living economic decision to the free play of self regulating market forces a more effective natural economic order in which the government's involvement would be strictly limited. Smith did not believe that industry was unproductive and that only the agriculture sector was capable of producing a surplus above the subsistence level. Smith saw that division of labor and extension of markets created almost limitless possibilities for society to expand its wealth through production and trade. THEORY OF ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE The theory of absolute advantage believes that countries should produce and export such products which they have an absolute advantage on and import those goods that they produce relatively less efficiently and at a higher cost. Smith explains the benefits of free trade in the global market using the idea of absolute advantage. According to his theory, countries with a complete advantage in a variety of commodities would benefit simultaneously from imports and exports, increasing the significance of unrestricted international commerce within the framework of the global economy. According to Smith, free trade promote international division of labor through specialization in the production exchange of such commodities in case of which they command some absolute advantage. Vent surplus doctrine states that a nation can exchange its overproduction for other goods which are in demand in other countries, which will result in the fullest utilization of the idle productive capacity. Smith also mentioned an additional beneficial aspect of international trade it transfers knowledge and technology between different nations. The adoption and use of new production techniques lead to productivity growth and thus, to an increase in wealth and economic development. 2.4 THEORY OF COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE Country's capability to produce specific goods or manufacture multiple types of goods with limited resources at a lower marginal cost and opportunity cost compared to other countries. At comparative advantage we are looking for a total cost. Marginal Cost Opportunity Cost David Ricardo English economist and successful stockbroker. Introduced the theory of comparative advantage in 1817. Produce products better and efficiently. Subtle Adam Smith was among the first to put in writing the theory of comparative advantage. (Economic discussion). On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation. Smith and Ricardo’s Theory Free trade Specialization Division of Labor Lowering labor costs Industrial Capitalism Theory of Monetarism Increases in money supply created inflation in England 1809. Practice of controlling the supply of money to stabilize the economy. Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns Essential concepts in microeconomics. There is a point in production where the increase is no longer worth the additional input. 2.5 HECKSCHER-OHLIN THEORY (H-O THEORY) Bertil Ohlin (1899-1979) On the basis of work by his teacher, the Swedish economist Eli Filip Heckscher (18791952) from Stockholm School of Economics, in the 1920s, developed the theory known as the Heckscher-Ohlin theory (H-O theory). He was awarded the Nobel Prize for Economics in 1977 HECKSCHER-OHLIN THEORY Also known as the resources and trade theory explains why countries trade goods and services with each other, the emphasis being on the difference of resources between two countries. A country rich in a particular resource than another country tends to produce more products that use that resource. Countries are more efficient in producing goods using such abundant resource. According to the Heckscher-Ohlin theory, trade makes it possible for each country to specialize. Each country exports the product the country is most suited to produce in exchange for products it is less suited to produce. Their theory, the Heckscher-Ohlin theory or H-O theory is based on a country’s production factors-land, labor, and capital- which provide the funds for investment in plants and equipment; hence, the theory is also called the factor proportions theory. Hecksher and Ohlin also determined that the cost of any factor or resource was a function of supply and demand. Factors that were in great supply relative to demand would be cheaper; factors in great demand relative to supply would be more expensive. This model shows that the comparative advantage is actually influenced by the interaction between the resources countries have and production technology. CHAPTER 3: MODERN FIRM-BASED THEORIES OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE 3.1 PORTER’S NATIONAL COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE Competitive advantage refers to the ability of the country or company to offer greater value to customers, either by means of lower prices, or offering more benefits and services at the same price. It puts a country or company in a favorable or superior business position than its competitors. This means that absolute advantage and comparative advantage combine to attain competitive advantage. Michael Porter He developed a new model to explain national competitive advantage in 1990. It analyzed why some nations are more competitive than others and why some industries within nations are more competitive than on others in the home front. In his book titled Competitive Advantage of Nations or known as Porter’s Diamond, it suggests that the national home base of an organization plays an important role in shaping the extent to which a country is like to achieve competitive advantage on a global scale. Porter’s theory stated that a nation’s competitiveness in an industry depends on the capacity of the industry to innovate and upgrade. Four stages of development identified by Michael Porter: Development based on (production) factors This stage focuses on utilizing basic factors of production such as land, labor, and capital to compete globally and achieve economic development. Development based on investments (capital) - a country's wealth and ability to invest in infrastructure, technology, and human capital play a crucial role in global competitiveness. Development based on innovation (creativity) - Innovation becomes a key driver of development in this stage, as countries focus on generating new ideas, products, and processes to gain a competitive edge. Development based on prosperity (economic growth and development) - This final stage represents a culmination of the previous stages, where a country achieves sustained economic growth, high living standards, and overall prosperity. FOUR DETERMINANTS: 1. Local market resources and capabilities Porter recognized the value of the factor proportions theory or the H-O theory which considers a nations resources as key factors in determining what products a country will export or import. Porter added to these basic factors a new list of advance factors: Human resources, including skilled labor Material resources, including national resources, vegetation, space and the like Investments in education, including knowledge and research in universities Technology Infrastructure 2. Local market demand conditions Porter believed that a creative domestic market is critical to ensuring ongoing innovation, thereby creating a sustainable competitive advantage. Companies whose domestic markets are innovative, trendsetting, and sophisticated will pursue the development of new products and technologies. Demanding consumers force companies to continuously innovate, thus creating a sustainable competitive advantage in their respective industries 3. Local supplies and Complementary Industries To remain competitive, large global firms benefit from having strong and efficient supporting and related industries to provide the inputs required by the industry. To be competitive, firms must have an efficient and strong support network. 4. Local firm characteristics Local firm characteristics include firm strategy, industry structure, and industry rivalry. The strategies help in setting new goals, the structure helps in managing operation, and rivalry helps in generating innovation. In addition to the aforementioned four determinants, Porter also noted that government and chance play a part in the national competitiveness of industries. Government can, by their actions and policies, increase the competitiveness of firms and occasionally entire industries. And there is a chance, if a country takes opportunities of chances open to them, they become more competitive. 3.2 COUNTRY SIMILARITY THEORY Traditional trade theories focus on differences between countries in terms of their resources, demand, and supply conditions. They suggest that these differences are necessary for countries to engage in trade with each other. However, the Country Similarity Theory, developed by Swedish economist Stettan Linder in 1961, takes a different approach. It suggests that countries with similar levels of development are more likely to trade with each other because they share similar preferences and needs. TWO TYPES OF TRADE 1. Inter-Industry Trade Inter-industry trade involves the exchange of goods and services between countries that are produced in different industries. This means that one country exports products from one industry in exchange for products from a different industry from another country. 2. Intra-Industry Trade Intra-industry trade, on the other hand, involves the exchange of goods and services within the same industry between countries. This means that both countries are producing similar goods or services within a particular industry and engaging in trade with each other. Six Dimensions of Geert-Hofstede Model Power Distance Is the power in the country distributed unequally? Individualism It is the degree of interdependence of the members of a society. Masculinity It is the want to be the best versus liking what you do (feminine) Uncertainty Avoidance Are members of a society feeling threatened by unknown situations? Long-term orientation The society has links with the past and deals with the challenges of the present and the future Indulgence Do members of a society control their impulses and desires?C 3.3 PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE THEORY Life cycle is the series or stages through which a living thing passes from the beginning of its life until its death. Despite the fact that the product is not a living thing, it still has a life cycle. A product life cycle refers to the length of time a product is introduced in the market until it is removed from the shelves. Basically, it is the stages a product goes through from the its introduction to removal in the market. In 1966, Raymond Vernon developed a marketing strategy to help companies plan out the progress of their new products, known as the product life cycle theory. By understanding how the products evolve through stages, it can help them make strategic decisions that will maximize the products success. Under this theory, the product life cycle has four stages: introduction, growth, maturity, and decline stage. PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE MANAGEMENT PLAN (PLM) It is the process of managing product’s life cycle from inception, through design and manufacturing, to sale service, and eventually to retirement. In a nutshell, PLM is the management of a product life cycle from its creation to its discontinuation. Product Life Cycle Stages 1. Introduction The main objective at this stage is to create product awareness and brand recognition not profits. A sudden increase of sales is not expected since the product is newly introduce to the market and there is a high production, distribution, and promotion cost. There is a less competition during this phase as the product is not yet widely known. There are two price setting strategies at this stage: price skimming and price penetration. Price skimming is a price strategy where the company initially set a high price and gradually reducing the price as the market grows. On the other hand, price penetration is when a company initially set a low price to penetrate the market and capture market share, before increasing prices in relation to market growth. the competitors. During this phase, price wars and sales promotion is common. There are competitors that cannot keep up with the strong competition, so they exit. While the strongest competitors remain to saturate and dominated the stable market. The biggest challenge at this stage is to maintain profitability and preventing sales from further decline. Saturation is a challenge in the maturity stage. Market saturation happens when a specific market no longer demands a product or service or when the entire market has no new demand. It doesn’t specifically mean that the product is no longer in demand, it just means that the demand for the product has been largely met by the available supply, which also limits product’s further growth. 4. Decline 2. Growth At decline stage, the sales continue to drop and no amount of marketing or promotion can prevent the sales figures from dropping. There are a lot of reasons behind it. Firstly the customer has no longer interested in older product. Secondly, the competitors surpassed the product in either features or price. Thirdly, the customers found a better substitute. Lastly, when the product is no longer relevant. During this phase the sales gradually decrease until it reach the point where the production cost is higher than the profit. At this stage, the demand for the product increase, which also lead to the increase of sales. Profitability reaches the highest level. Also, the economies of scale are in order meaning the increase of sales revenue is faster than the increase of production cost. During this phase, the competition become fierce since there are more competitors that tries to offer the same or similar products. There are strategies that can be employed in the decline stage, some of these are: milking or harvesting, slowly reducing channels and pulling the product from underperforming geographic areas, and selling the product to a niche operator or subcontractor. If the sales or profit continues to drop, the companies either remove the product or limits the expenditures made on the product. 3. Maturity. 3.3 GLOBAL STRATEGIC RIVALRY THEORY At this stage, the sales continues in a decreasing pattern meaning the sales continue in a slower rate. After it reached the selling point, the sales curve likely to decrease. The competition become more intense as the product become more popular. Products may undergo changes to stand out from Global strategic rivalry theory was forwarded in 1980 by economists Paul Krugman and Kelvin Lancaster. The theory focused on multinational corporations (MNCs) and how they get a competitive advantage over other firms in their industry. Firms encounter global competition in their industries and in order to prosper, they must develop competitive advantages. The theory focuses, however, on planned decisions that firms implement as they participate globally. These decisions Influence both international trade and international investment. There are barriers to entry for a particular Industry and these barriers to entry are the exact ways for a company to have a competitive advantage. Barriers to entry refer to the obstacles a new firm may face when trying to enter into an industry or a new market and these barriers to entry are the exact means by which companies can gain competitive advantage. These barriers to entry are the following: RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT Research and development (R&D) are activities engaged in by companies for the invention of new products or services to remain competitive. Studies have found that every dollar invested in R&D generates nearly two dollars in return While the rate will vary, R&D is an important driver of economic growth. To seize this potential, governments need reliable and precise data. In response, the UNESCO Institute for Statistics (UIS) produces a wide range of indicators on the human and financial resources invested in R&D for countries at all stages of development (uis.unesco.org 2021). Companies have their own R&D departments to be able to actually gain competitive advantage. OWNING INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY An intellectual property refers to creations of the mind, a work or Invention that is the result of creativity, such as a manuscript (book) or a design, to which one has rights and for which one may apply for a patent, copyright trademark, brand name, and the like. A patent is an exclusive right granted for a new, inventive, and useful product. It can take the form of a new product, process, or technical improvement to an existing invention. A patent may be used for licensing. Copyright is the exclusive legal right to reproduce, publish, sell, or distribute the matter and form of something (such as a literary, musical, or artistic work). A trademark/brand name is a word, a group of words, sign, symbol, or a logo that oistinguishes your business goods or services from those of other traders. Brand names and trademarks are used for franchising. ECONOMIES OF SCALE Economies of scale means a proportionate saving in costs (cost advantage) gained by an increased volume of production. The cost advantage is a result of spreading the total fixed overhead cost among a greater number of units produced, which, therefore, reduces the unit fixed cost for the product. This also results in a lower average variable cost for the product. Overall, operational efficiencies and synergies are attained. There are two economies of scale: a. Internal Economies of Scale - refers to economies that are unique to a firm. For instance, a firm may hold a patent over a mass production machine, which allows it to lower its average cost of production more than other firms in the industry. b. External Economies of Scale refers to economies of scale enjoyed by an entire industry. If studies indicate that cotton production will need 1,000 workers to be able to enter a trade with a foreign country, all those engaged in cotton production will try their best to employ 1,000 workers to become competitively advantaged. EXPLOITING THE EXPERIENCE CURVE Experience produces competitive advantage over those without experience In any endeavor. Therefore, experience will also count in engaging in international trade, as those with experience become more conversant with what is going on in the global trade arena. Employing experienced employees is equally advantageous for firms. Connecting the different barriers, we can say that experienced innovative firms which own intellectual property rights to innovative technology pursued through aggressive research and development will lead to economies of scale leading to success in international competition abroad. CHAPTER 4: OTHER THEORIES OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE There are at least two reasons why trade has an Important influence upon the income distribution: 1. Resources cannot be transferred immediately and without costs from one industry to another. 2. Industries use different factors and a change in the production mix a country offers will reduce the demand for some of the production factors whereas for others, it will increase the demand for such production factors. 4.1 THE SPECIFIC FACTOR MODEL FACTOR OF PRODUCTION REAL INCOME It is simply inflation-adjusted income. Real income measures the amount of disposable income available to consumers. Real income represents purchasing power. Therefore, real incomes are closely linked to market conditions as they are an important factor that affects market demand. A factor of production is any resource that is used by firms to produce goods and services. Jones and Samuelson were saying that firstly, it is hard to move resources from one country to another without incurring any cost since the factors of production are generally innate to a country. Secondly, production of a particular product requires different factors of production. GROSS NATIONAL INCOME (GNI) It is the sum of the value added by all the goods and services produced within a particular country, including foreign investment, to which are added any product taxes (excluding subsidies), and the value earned by the nation through overseas ventures. When the national income goes down, demand for nonessential goods go down, as well. As Ronald Jones and Paul Samuelson studied, countries rich in capital will mean an increase in marginal productivity from the manufacturing sector, while an increase in territory will increase the production of food. And depending on the global demand for either food or manufactured goods, income distribution will follow suit. Hence, most countries would produce those products for which it has abundant factors of production. International business and trade have strong effects on the distribution of income because different countries have different factors of production available to them. If they are rich in a particular resource needed for the production of a certain product that is in high demand internationally, that country will derive a higher income from trade by exporting such product. SPECIFIC FACTOR MODEL It was originally advanced by Jacob Viner, and it is a variant of the Ricardian Model. Sometimes referred as the Ricardo-Viner model, and was later developed and formalized mathematically by Ronald Jones and Paul Samuelson, two American economists, who elaborated the SF model based on specific factors – territory or terrain, labor, and capital. When labor moves from food to manufactured product, food production falls while output of the manufactured product rises. The shape of the production function reflects the law of diminishing marginal returns. The size of purchases made by the consumers influences prices. The size of global demand changes the level of prices inversely, when global demand rise, prices go down; when global demand goes down, prices rise. 4.2 STANDARD MODEL OF TRADE The supply curve represents the relationship between price and quantity supplied, with all other factors affecting supply held constant. GLOBAL DEMAND Global demand is the key category in macroeconomics. It refers to amount of money, which subjects of an economy plan to spend on goods and services at the different size of income or at given prices in a given period. Expense by type 1. Personal Consumption Expenditures Symbolized by C - Consumption 2. Gross Private Domestic Investment Symbolized by I - Investment 3. Gross Government Spending Symbolized by G – Government spending 4. Net Exports Symbolized by NX – Net export STANDARD TRADE MODEL The Standard Trade model is a general model that includes the Ricardian model, the Ronald Jones and Paul Samuelson specific factor model, and the Heckscher-Ohlin model as special cases. Each country’s production possibility frontier is a smooth curve. A country’s PPF determines its relative supply function because it shows what the country is capable of producing, which should be maximized. National relative supply function determines the world relative supply function, which along with world relative demand determines the equilibrium under international trade. NET EXPORTS Net exports are a measure of a nation’s total trade. The slope of an isovalue line equals PC/PF. The best point to produce PPF is tangent to the isovalue line, a line of slope equal to the relative prices. Net exports = Total exports – Total imports WORLD RELATIVE SUPPLY CURVE MARKET EQUILIBRIUM The intersection of the global demand curve and the global supply curve. Market/ economy equilibrium means that the national product and level of prices are shaped on the level on which buyers are willing to buy what enterprises are ready to sell. AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE The Aggregate Demand Curve shows how many goods and services consumers can and are willing to buy at different total price levels, other conditions remaining the same. It is upward sloping because an increase in the price of cloth/price of food leads both countries to produce more cloth and less food. TERMS OF TRADE TOT means the price of a country’s exports divided by a country’s imports. 4.3 LEONTIEF PARADOX According to the Heckscher-Ohlin theory (factor proportions theory), a country rich in a particular resource should be exporting products that will use that resource and import products made from resources that the country lacks. with the H-O theory, suggesting Japan's position lies between advanced economies and LDCs. The first serious attempt to test the H-O theory was made by Russian-born American economist Wassily W. Leontief in 1953 when he studied the US economy closely. The H-O theory predicts that the US would export more capital-intensive goods and import labor-intensive goods. East Germany (1961): However, Leontief was surprised to discover that the US was actually exporting labor-intensive goods and importing capital-intensive goods. His analysis became known as the Leontief paradox. Stolper and Roskamp applied Leontief's method to the trade pattern of East Germany (EG). EG's exports were capital-intensive. About 3/4 of EG's trade was with the communist bloc, and EG was capital abundant relative to its trading partners. Thus, the EG case was consistent with the H-O theory. Canada (1961): The Leontief paradox showed that in the international division of labor, the US specialized in labor intensive rather than capital intensive goods. Wahl studied Canada's trade pattern. Canadian exports were capital-intensive. Most of Canadian trade was with the US. The result was inconsistent with H-O, and therefore, consistent with the Leontief Paradox. A paradox is a seemingly absurd or self-contradictory statement or proposition that when investigated or explained may prove to be well-founded or true. India (1962): Leontief paradox (para = contrary to, doxa = opinion). Leontief took the profession by surprise and his research stimulated an enormous amount of empirical and theoretical research on the subject. Boris Swerling (1953) complained that 1947 was not a typical year: the postwar disorganization of production overseas was not corrected by that time. Therefore, in 1956, Leontief repeated the test for US imports and exports which prevailed in 1951. In his second study, Leontief aggregated industries into 192 industries. He found that US imports were still more capital-intensive than US exports. Japan (1959): Tatemoto and Ichimura discovered a paradox in Japan's trade pattern, where labor-abundant Japan exported capital-intensive goods and imported laborintensive goods. This pattern aligns with the Leontief Paradox, with 25% of exports going to advanced industrial countries, which were labor-intensive, and 75% to low-income countries (LDCs), which were capital-intensive. However, the US-Japan trade aligns with the H-O prediction, and Japan-LDC trade aligns Bharawaj studied India's trade pattern. India's exports were labor-intensive, consistent with the HO theory. However, Indian trade with the US was not in accordance with the H-O theory, but was consistent with the Leontief Paradox. Indian exports to the US were capital-intensive.
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