Exploring Factors Impact Organizational Resilience of Vietnamese SMEs after COVID-19 Ha Thi Thu Nguyen, Huong Dao Thi Lan, Thuy Ha Van, Nga Cao Thi Thu FPT University, Greenwich VietNam Hantt194@fe.edu.vn Huongdtl16@fe.edu.vn thuyhv@hvpnvn.edu.vn ngactt@utt.edu.vn Abstract: The COVID-19 epidemic has significantly impacted global communities, causing individuals and organizations to adapt quickly to new ways of living and working. This study examines organizational resilience, culture, structure, and strategy resilience, building upon previous studies' hypotheses. A quantitative research approach was applied, with surveys conducted in several Vietnamese small and medium enterprises. The study's findings show that with a Cronbach's Alpha of 0.796 and an R-square of 0.821, the study's model is valid and applicable to various organizations. To cope with and improve from unexpected severe disasters, it is recommended that other businesses should reduce costs and develop alternative resource management strategies. Keywords: Strategic resilience, organizational culture, organizational resilience, organizational structure, COVID-19 1. Introduction The COVID-19 pandemic has affected almost every business globally. Many businesses have faced numerous shocks simultaneously. A new World Bank analysis based on continuing polls with more than 120,000 enterprises in over 60 countries reveals that on average, companies' sales decreased 27% in October 2020-January 2021 from pre-pandemic levels. This happened after a significant drop of 45% from April to September. However, the impact has varied greatly across nations and industries. Even after a year since the start of the crisis, hours worked are still far from pre-crisis levels. In March 2021, hours worked were still 7% below the level in December 2019, on average, among the ten nations for which up-to-date hours worked statistics are available (World Bank, 2021). This is a significant improvement from the crisis bottom reached in Q2 2020 when total hours worked decreased by nearly 15% throughout the OECD (OECD, 2022). In response to COVID-19, businesses have changed their payrolls and started using technology more effectively. 65% of companies cut back on hours and offered vacation, which partially succeeded in preventing employee layoffs. Businesses have also started using social media, the internet, and digital platforms more frequently and invested in new hardware and software. However, not everyone had access to the same resources. According to the World Bank, less developed nations and smaller businesses lagged in implementing digital solutions (World Bank, 2021). Enterprises in Vietnam has significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, with 87.2% of businesses reporting "mostly" or "completely negative" effects. Only 2% of respondents recognized a "positive" impact, while 11% reported "no effect at all." Both domestic private and foreign direct investment (FDI) firms have struggled to continue their operations over the past year. The impact has been particularly severe for micro or small-scale businesses operating for less than three years. The COVID-19 pandemic has affected various industries differently, with some experiencing more significant effects than others. The manufacturing of electrical equipment (94%), information and communication services (96%), and textiles and apparel (97%) are among the industries with the highest percentages of private businesses affected. On the other hand, real estate (100%), information and communication services (97%), and agriculture/fishery (95%) are the industries with the highest percentage of FDI businesses affected by the pandemic. It is important to note that the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic varies significantly between various sub-sectors within each industry (Thi Phi Nga et al., 2022). According to the General Statistics Office in Vietnam, the intense outbreak of the fourth COVID-19 wave, strict blockades, and prolonged distancing (especially in the third quarter of 2021) harmed the economy business area. In 2021, the number of enterprises suspending business for a term was nearly 55,000 enterprises, an increase of 18% compared to the previous year; 48.1 thousand enterprises stopped operating and waited for dissolution procedures, up 27.8%; 16.7 thousand enterprises completed dissolution procedures, down 4.1%, of which 14.8 thousand enterprises with capital scale of less than 10 billion dong, down 4%; 211 enterprises with capital scale of over 100 billion VND, down 20.7%. On average, nearly 10,000 businesses withdraw from the market a month because they cannot "hold" the cruelty of the COVID-19 pandemic (Vo et al., 2022; Nguyen et al., 2023). Although there have been many reports and studies on the issue of developing organizational resilience factors for small businesses in the past (Suryawan et al., 2022; Brown et al., 2022; Verreynne et al., 2023), more relevant practices for SMEs in Vietnam should be investigated. Therefore, in this study, we will develop a new conceptual framework that is highly adaptable to changing needs to cope with this challenging situation by proposing to apply some factors such as structure, strategy, and organizational culture to recover small businesses in Vietnam. This study also will answer the following questions: Q1: Does organizational structure help small businesses recover from COVID-19? Q2: What can small businesses do to be more proactive in responding to similar or possibly more severe issues in the future strategically? Q3: Can organizational culture help to recover small businesses after COVID-19? This study has been divided into 6 sections. The introduction shows the gaps and our purposes when doing this research. A literature review defined in terms of the research questions and their connections to supporting data is explained in section 2. The research methodology and research variable coding are covered in the third section. Fourth is the results. In the fifth part, the author will discuss the factors in the organization’s recovery, followed by the suggestion, recommendation and conclusion. 2. Literature review 2.1 Organizational Resilience Resilience refers to a company's ability to create practical solutions to disruptive shocks that may threaten its existence. It involves a significant shift in the organization's approach and should be linked to achieving a competitive advantage. Building a resilient organization is a strategic necessity that can help ensure survival and growth. Resilience is the key to achieving a competitive edge by making businesses more robust, flexible, agile, and adaptive (Bhardwaj, 2024; Raetze et al., 2021; Alfano et al., 2023). 2.2 Strategic Resilience Organizational strategy encompasses the long-term goals, objectives, courses of action, and resource allocation required to achieve those goals. In for-profit enterprises, strategic resilience can be a key factor in competitive advantage, as unexpected challenges can undermine it. However, strategic resilience is equally vital for non-profit organizations, as it reflects their ability to adapt effectively to threats that may impede realizing their long-term objectives. Strategic resilience isn't reacting to a single crisis or bouncing back from a difficulty. It includes foreseeing and responding to long-term trends that may permanently harm the core business's ability to generate revenue. Instead, it has been asserted that strategic resilience’s results when the organization can quickly convert threatening surprises into opportunities and identify unique opportunities and act effectively before their competition” (Roumpi, 2023; Yu et al., 2022; Alibašić, 2022). Businesses have had to pass complex strategic resilience tests due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Leaders must conduct proactive strategy management when foreseeing disruptive occurrences to prepare their businesses for adversity. The ability to adapt to adversity and learn from it takes time to develop inside an organization, as does organizational resilience. A self-learning organization, however, gives resilience to its strategy. Developing a company's strategy heavily relies on the distinctiveness of its experience, core strengths, and lessons learned from various situations brought on by changing market conditions. Some businesses utilize strategic tools that pinpoint the connections between risks and catastrophic results to increase the chance of success and prevent risks from snowballing into crises. The basis of such a strategy-making process is scenario planning based on hypothetical future occurrences and potential repercussions (Yu et al., 2022; Alibašić, 2022). Hypothesis H1: Strategic Resilience is positively related to Organizational Resilience. 2.3 Organizational Culture Organizational culture, as viewed from a social constructionist perspective, is important in explaining organizational identity. This is because the perspective emphasizes sense-making and interpretation, which are crucial in shaping culturally influenced interpretations of organizational images. An organization’s culture is its extensive history embodied in the physical aspects or artifacts, such as its name, products, buildings, logos, and other symbols. This culture encompasses all organization members, originates and evolves at all hierarchy levels, and is established on the abovementioned characteristics (Hepfer & Lawrence, 2022; Radic et al., 2022; Sapeciay et al., 2019). Research shows resilient employees are more engaged, productive, and positive (Yu et al., 2022). Organizational resilience depends on employee resilience, but a resilient culture is essential for creating resilient employees. Therefore, building an organizational culture that values trust, accountability, and adaptability fosters resilience. Employees who work in organizations with resilient cultures are better equipped to handle environmental shocks, recover from setbacks more quickly, and better understand how to take care of their physical and emotional well-being. Empowerment is the key to a resilient organizational culture, and it can take many forms in different companies (Pratama et al., 2023). Employers must create policies and processes to help employees manage stress and overcome emotional barriers during difficult times. Swift changes occur unexpectedly under various conditions, such as during the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to increased economic instability and the introduction of new technology. These changes all share characteristics like ambiguity and uncertainty, thus requiring the establishment of a new normal to handle such disasters. Therefore, businesses need inventive, flexible, adaptable, agile, or resilient leaders and staff, especially small businesses that must develop resilient organizational cultures. This requires a significant paradigm shift in people’s thinking (Avery & Bergsteiner, 2011; Pratama et al., 2023). H2: Organizational Culture has a significant impact on Strategic Resilience. H3: Organizational Culture has a significant impact on Organizational Structure. 2.4 Organizational Structure An organizational structure is a framework that specifies how specific tasks are to be carried out to meet the objectives of an organization. Rules, roles, and obligations may be a part of these activities. How information is transferred across layers of the organization is likewise governed by its organizational structure. A centralized structure, for instance, makes choices from the top down, whereas a decentralized structure distributes decision-making authority across different organizational levels. Using an organizational structure, companies may stay effective and focused (Verreynne et al., 2023; Pratama et al., 2023). Organizations may experience significant changes in their economic strategies during unfavorable events such as the COVID-19 pandemic (Sapeciay et al., 2019). The market's expectations and needs shift during a crisis, which can lead to changes in an organization's typical operations and structure. To ensure business continuity, resilient businesses need skilled managers to oversee company operations and take responsibility for them (Sapeciay et al., 2019). Organizational resilience is a complex and allencompassing concept. They argue that balancing organizational structures fosters resilience, which includes risk awareness, adaptation, flexibility, improvisation, and improved teamwork. A balanced power structure within an organization, coupled with operational normative control, can increase resistance to unpredictable events. Therefore, organizational resilience traits should be integrated into organizational processes, with risk awareness being the cornerstone of organizational resilience (Verreynne et al., 2023; Suryawan et al., 2022). H4: Organizational Structure pushes the Strategic resilience of the organization H5: Organizational Structure to help Organizational recovery quickly 2.5 Research Model Figure 1. Research Model Hypothesis H1: Strategic Resilience is positively related to Organizational Resilience. Hypothesis H2: Organizational Culture has a significant impact on Strategic Resilience. Hypothesis H3: Organizational Culture has a significant impact on Organizational Structure. Hypothesis H4: Organizational Structure pushes the resilience of the Strategic Hypothesis H5: Organizational Structure to help Organizational recovery quickly 3. Research Methodology 3.1 Variable coding The authors used quantitative research methods to approach the topic in this study. This method allows researchers to collect and process quantitative data from a large sample of study participants. Quantitative methods help the authors perform detailed analysis, identify trends and relations between variables, and make accurate analyses and conclusions about the effects of the factors mentioned in the article. These methods emphasize objective measurements and the statistical, mathematical, or numerical analysis of data collected through polls, questionnaires, and surveys, and by manipulating pre-existing statistical data using computational techniques. Quantitative research focuses on gathering numerical data and generalizing it across groups of people or to explain a particular phenomenon. It deals in numbers, logic, and an objective stance. Quantitative research focuses on numeric and unchanging data and detailed, convergent reasoning rather than divergent reasoning. Based on criteria related to all industries, the business size is SME, and the geographical location is the enterprises in the North of Vietnam, with a sample size of 100. Using standardized questionnaires and digitized variables allows data to be collected from various sources, including online surveys, published data, and references from relevant businesses. The authors create a questionnaire, use Google Forms to get the sample, which consists of one page, and then send it to the participants. Then, use this data to test the hypothesis in the SEM model using the SmartPLS tool. Table 1 below shows the variables and their coding. Table 1. Variables coding Latent variable Observation Code References SR1 (Sapeciay et al., variable Strategic Resilience Innovation and creativity Developing new 2019); (Radic et al., SR2 2022) strategic ideas Organizational Structure Organizational Culture Sales-model changes SR3 Operation strategy SR4 Planning strategy SR5 Leadership OS1 Staff engagement OS2 Flexibility OS3 Substainable OS4 Community sense OS5 Emotion connection OC1 Organizational OC2 learning Innovative culture OC3 Corporate social OC4 responsibility (Sapeciay et al., 2019) (Radic et al., 2022) Work ethics OC5 Organizational Capital structure OR1 (Morales et al., 2019) Resilience Survival Crisis OR2 (Raetze et al., 2021); Relationship enhance OR3 (Duchek, 2020) Adaptive capacity OR4 Development OR5 planning This study focuses on assessing the relationship between variables and the recovery of enterprises after fluctuations and changes. To do this, the study authors surveyed with the participation of 332 individuals. After data correction, 100 samples were used to test the proposed hypotheses. Table 2 shows the statistics of collected data. Table 2. Demographic Demographic variables Gender Male Female Education level Others n % 48 52 48% 52% 14 14% Undergraduate 77 77% Post Graduate 9 9% Under 25 years old 71 71% 25-40 years old 17 17% Over 40 years old Work experience 12 12% Under 2 years 61 61% 2-5 years Over 5 years Position in business Founder Director, Deputy Director 19 20 19% 20% 5 2 5% 2% Management 23 23% Sale Staff 58 58% Age Others 12 12% Demographic data of the survey samples were also collected and analyzed. The proportion of men participating in the survey was 48%, while the percentage of women participating was 52%. Individuals' educational attainment was also recorded, with 14% having a bachelor's degree, 77% having a university degree, and 9% having a graduate degree. The proportion of people under 25 years old accounts for 71%, 17% are people between 25 and 40 years old, and those over 40 years old account for 12%. Finally, most of the surveyed people have less than two years of work experience, accounting for 61%, 19% have 2 to 5 years of work experience, and 20% have work experience in the field five years. 4. Results The research model includes 20 observed variables, with two intermediate variables. The dependent variable is the recovery of the business after the fluctuations. The remaining three independent variables include the removal of Strategic Resilience, Organizational Structure, and Organizational Culture. Structural Equation Model (SEM) was used to design and simulate the relationship between the variables in the study. This can be seen in Figure 2. Figure 1. SEM model Multicollinearity occurs when independent variables in a regression or SEM model are highly correlated. Research results show that 17 variables do not have multicollinearity, but three may have multicollinearity. Outer loading coefficients assess the quality and strength of the relationship between observed variables (indicators) and the latent factors in an SEM model. In this model, no variables have an outer loading value <0.7. So it is all accepted. Table 3. Outer loading OC OR OC1 0.834 OC2 0.896 OC3 0.864 OC4 0.852 OC5 0.875 OR1 OS 0.848 SR OR2 0.882 OR3 0.839 OR4 0.905 OR5 0.86 OS1 0.886 OS2 0.861 OS3 0.845 OS4 0.851 OS5 0.88 SR2 0.904 SR3 0.832 SR4 0.867 SR5 0.885 SR1 0.917 The R-squared (coefficient of determination) is a statistical measure representing the proportion of the variance in the dependent variable explained by the independent variables in a regression model. In this case, the values that >= 0.7 are good and considered reliable enough in the model. The R-squared values of the variables OR, OS, and SR are 0.782, respectively; 0.837 and 0.84 are considered relatively high and suggest that the independent variables in the model explain a large amount of variance in the dependent variable. Composite Reliability refers to the degree to which a variable or a set of variables accurately measures or represents a theoretical construct. Composite Reliability (CR) >= 0.9 is highly reliable in this study. The results in table 4 show that all variables have high reliability. Table 4. Reliability R-square Average Composite Composite variance Cronbach's reliability reliability extracted alpha (rho_a) (rho_c) (AVE) OC 0.782 0.915 0.916 0.937 0.748 OR 0.837 0.917 0.918 0.938 0.752 0.915 0.916 0.937 0.747 0.928 0.929 0.946 0.777 OS SR 0.84 In structural equation modeling (SEM), the path coefficients quantify the magnitude and direction of the direct relationships between variables. They show how the change of the dependent variable is related to the unit change of the independent variable while the other variables remain constant. Positive coefficients indicate a positive relationship, while negative coefficients indicate a negative relationship. Bootstrap is a resampling technique used to estimate the sampling distribution of a statistic where the path coefficient is present. The results of testing the variables of the model are shown in Table 5 below: Table 5. Path coefficients Standard Support/Reject deviation T statistics (STDEV) (|O/STDEV|) P values OC -> OS 0.032 27.976 0 Support OC -> SR 0.136 3.003 0.003 Support OS -> OR 0.117 4.459 0 Support OS -> SR 0.133 3.976 0 Support SR -> OR 0.121 3.19 0.001 Support With the results of hypothesis testing according to the above table, the study accepts the main hypotheses by p-value <0.05. This means accepting hypotheses H1, H2, H3, H4, and H5. Hypothesis H1: Strategic Resilience is positively related to Organizational Resilience. Hypothesis H2: Organizational Culture has a significant impact on Strategic Resilience. Hypothesis H3: Organizational Culture has a significant impact on Organizational Structure. Hypothesis H4: Organizational Structure pushes the Strategic resilience of the organization. Hypothesis H5: Organizational Structure to help Organizational recovery quickly Specific indirect effects with mediator variables are shown in Table 6. With this p-value, a path is not accepted: OC -> SR -> OR. It means that there is no impact from organizational culture to strategy resilience to Organizational resilience. Table 6. Specific indirect effects Standard OC -> OS -> OR Support/Reject deviation T statistics (STDEV) (|O/STDEV|) 0.113 4.19 P values 0 OC -> OS -> SR -> Support Support OR 0.055 3.337 0.001 OC -> SR -> OR 0.088 1.791 0.073 Reject OS -> SR -> OR 0.062 3.287 0.001 Support OC -> OS -> SR 0.122 3.926 0 Support 5. Discussion and Conclusion Due to the vulnerability of small enterprises, the COVID-19 epidemic and the ensuing economic shutdowns have created an unprecedented dilemma for them, compelling each company to re-evaluate its business plan. Small businesses contribute significantly to the global economy by fostering technological advancement, boosting employment, and upholding social stability. Small businesses need to create adequate strategic crisis planning to survive and recover from difficult situations. According to recent statistics, financial conditions for small and micro-sized businesses have improved in the second half of 2020 and early 2021 due to governments taking extraordinary steps to minimize the catastrophic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. These approaches include grants and laws that promote financing to smaller businesses. These initiatives, however, do not address the need for such economic organizations to have an acceptable level of resilience. Resilience is a strategic goal meant to help a business survive and grow. As a result, a highly resilient company is more competitive, robust, adaptable, agile, and flexible. From this vantage point, the suggested technique is a deductive process that builds a new theoretical or conceptual framework using the body of current literature. This precise requirement is addressed initially and methodically by our study and the resilience framework that has been put out. Automation and ecosystem platforms like Amazon or Alibaba are only two of the shocks that will have a terrible impact on the survival of micro and small companies. A configuration model capable of distinguishing domains and processes is required to integrate resilience into the small company ecosystem harmoniously. This article provides a unified approach to developing organizational resilience-enhancing factors for post-COVID-19 small businesses in Vietnam. Using the quantitative research method, several findings were obtained in this study. Resilience and stable development are strategic issues for SMEs in Vietnam after Covid-19. To strengthen SME resilience, factors impacting these Vietnamese SMEs should be thoroughly investigated. This study strategy for evaluating gathered data is scientific and simple to comprehend because it is based on mathematical concepts and statistical analysis. Respondents to the survey have easy access to the information thanks to the convenience sampling technique utilized in the research. However, because sampling error is not considered in this technique, it may not be possible to draw reliable generalizations about the population from sample data. Additionally, poorly worded survey questions might cause respondents to view a situation or issue incorrectly, impacting study findings. However, the main theories still accept that Strategic Resilience, Organizational Structure, Organizational Culture, and Organizational Resilience of entrepreneurs help with business recovery after COVID-19. However, the constraints of time and resources limited our ability to comprehensively investigate all potential factors. This study analyzes the relationship of advanced factors that can improve organizational recovery for small businesses after COVID-19 in Vietnam. 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The importance of good data in helping low- and middle-income countries to manage debt during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. In World Development Report 2021: Data for Better Lives (pp. 50–51). The World Bank. Yu, J., Yuan, L., Han, G., Li, H., & Li, P. (2022). A study of the impact of strategic human resource management on organizational resilience. Behavioral Sciences, 12(12), 508. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs12120508 Competing interests The authors declare no competing interests. Data availability The datasets generated during and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request. Ethical approval This article does not contain any studies with human participants performed by any of the authors. Informed consent This article does not contain any studies with human participants performed by any of the authors.
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