SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY DRAFT TECHNICAL NOTE ON SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSES FOR REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Doc No. J-909/SS/02-R00 MARCH 2025 HEAD OFFICE: 24 D1, NESPAK COLONY PHASE-1, LAHORE PHONE: +92 42 35181331-3 EMAIL: berkeley.associates@yahoo.com BRANCH OFFICE: 108, LUXUX MALL, GULBERG GREENS, ISLAMABAD PHONE: +92 314 5108150 EMAIL: aqadeer.berkeley@gmail.com TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. 2. INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................... 2 1.1. General.............................................................................................................. 2 1.2. Background ....................................................................................................... 2 1.3. Objectives .......................................................................................................... 3 1.4. Site Conditions .................................................................................................. 3 METHODOLOGY ...................................................................................................... 5 2.1. Slide2 Analysis .................................................................................................. 5 3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ................................................................................... 7 4 CONCLUSION ........................................................................................................ 12 SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 1 of 13 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1. General Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company (SECMC), hereinafter called as the Client, has been granted a 30-year Mining Lease for Thar Block-II by Mines & Minerals Development Department, Government of Sindh that is further extendable to 30 years. Currently, SECMC is operating a 7.6 Mt/a open pit lignite coal mine in Block II, Tharparkar. SECMC uses truck and shovel method to remove overburden (waste) and produce lignite coal The overburden is being dumped in-pit and ex-pit waste dump location. The height of individual lift is 20 m and slope angle ranges between 37° to 39°. Waste dump material includes Clay, silt and sand. A significant concern has arisen at the Ex-Pit dump, located adjacent to the Mine, due to increased rainfall spells causing flooding, blowouts, and large-scale water accumulation. The resulting soil erosion and landslides are damaging critical infrastructure. Currently, the Ex-Pit dump lacks a surface runoff drainage system, leaving mine infrastructure and local farmlands vulnerable. SECMC has hired Berkeley Associates Pvt Ltd. (BAL) for Ex Pit Dump Reclamation Pilot Project. In this regard, M/s BAL is working on devising an innovative yet efficient system for reclamation of this Ex Pit Dump by employing methods of Surface Protection and efficient drainage system. Out of many options that were shared with SECMC for Surface Protection (via Email on March 23, 2025), the Client suggested to employ an additional method requiring that the two slopes are further extended so that the angle of repose lies between 19-22 degree. As suggested by the Client, BAL has revised the Geometry of the Ex Pit Dump and evaluated it for slope stability. This Technical Note provide details of slope stability analyses carried out by BAL on the revised dump geometry. 1.2. Background Slope stability analyses are a critical aspect of geotechnical engineering, ensuring the safety of natural and man-made slopes. The objective of this study was to evaluate the stability of a given slope using Slide2 software. SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 2 of 13 1.3. Objectives The key objectives of this study are outlined below: Perform slope stability analysis using Slide2 for the existing slope geometry. Carry out a revised analysis based on the geometry modifications suggested by the client. Evaluate the stability of both configurations and report any failure conditions identified. 1.4. Site Conditions 1.4.1. Location The analysis was conducted for a site within Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company (SECMC), Pakistan’s leading coal producer. SECMC operates the country’s first openpit lignite mine in Block II of the Tharparkar region, located in Sindh province, Pakistan. 1.4.2. Soil Conditions The site consists of waste dump material generated from mining activities, forming a heterogeneous mix of various soil compositions. Due to the variability in material properties, multiple soil layers exist within the dump. To ensure a conservative stability assessment, the most critical soil layer was selected based on direct shear test data (provided by the Client), which identified sand as the least stable material among the available soil layers. For the purpose of the analysis, the entire slope was modelled using this lowest-parameter sand to represent the most critical condition. SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 3 of 13 1.4.3. Slope Geometry To accurately analyse slope stability, two slope geometries have been considered during the design assessment. The initial geometry (Geometry A) represents the original design profile, developed based on preliminary site evaluations and engineering judgment. Subsequently, a revised geometry (Geometry B) was proposed by the client, reflecting adjustments aimed at optimizing both stability and constructability. Both configurations are defined by specific coordinates and slope angles to represent the terrain profile with precision for stability analysis. The graphical representations of Geometry A and Geometry B are shown below: Geometry A: Initial Slope Geometry Geometry B: Revised Slope Geometry (Client Suggested) SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 4 of 13 2. METHODOLOGY The methodology involves numerical modeling of slope stability using Slide2 software. The analysis process includes defining the material properties, setting appropriate boundary and loading conditions, and applying the Strength Reduction Method (SRM) to assess the factor of safety and overall stability of the slope. 2.1. Slide2 Analysis 2.1.1. Static Loading Conditions 2.1.1.1 Input Parameters Material Properties The site consists of waste dump material generated from mining activities, resulting in a heterogeneous mix of various soil compositions. Due to the inherent variability in material properties, multiple soil layers are present within the dump profile. To ensure a conservative and reliable stability assessment, the most critical soil layer was identified based on direct shear test data provided by the Client. The test results, summarized in the “Direct Shear” sheet of the Geotechnical Data file, identified sand as the least stable material among the available layers. For the purpose of analysis, the entire slope was modeled in Slide2 using the parameters of this critical sand layer, which exhibits a cohesion of 0 kPa, an internal friction angle of 36°, and a dry unit weight of 14.9 kN/m³. The Mohr-Coulomb constitutive model was adopted to represent the material behavior during the stability assessment. Loading Conditions No external loading or groundwater conditions were considered in this analysis. The stability assessment was conducted under dry conditions to evaluate the inherent strength of the slope material. 2.1.2. Modelling Approach Analysis Method The slope stability analysis was carried out using Slide2, which applies the Limit Equilibrium Method (LEM) to compute the Factor of Safety (FOS). Various search algorithms were employed to locate the critical failure surface, ensuring the SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 5 of 13 identification of the lowest FOS corresponding to the most likely slip mechanism. The analysis accounts for soil strength, geometry, and applied loads, providing a reliable assessment of slope stability. Critical Slip Surface Search and FOS Calculation The software systematically searches for potential failure surfaces and computes the FOS by balancing the driving and resisting forces along these surfaces. The selected analysis method ensures the slope stability is assessed under the most critical condition, offering a conservative and dependable evaluation. 2.1.2 Earthquake Analysis In Slide2, earthquake loading was incorporated using the pseudostatic analysis method, which simulates seismic effects by applying an equivalent horizontal seismic load to the slope model. A horizontal seismic coefficient of 0.2g was adopted, in accordance with the Building Code of Pakistan for the Thar region. This coefficient represents the expected Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) for the site. The application of this seismic coefficient enabled the evaluation of slope stability under earthquake loading conditions, ensuring that the design remains within acceptable safety limits during seismic events. SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 6 of 13 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 3 3.1. Static Loading Condition 3.1.1. Factor of Safety — Initial Geometry The Factor of Safety (FOS) values obtained from Slide2 using different limit equilibrium methods are as follows: Ordinary/Fellenius: 1.36 Bishop Simplified: 1.42 Janbu Simplified: 1.36 Janbu Corrected: 1.41 Spencer: 1.41 GLE/Morgenstern-Price: 1.41 Figure 3.1-1: Calculated critical slip surface and FOS(1.415) for Janbu Corrected SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 7 of 13 3.1.2. Factor of Safety — Revised Geometry The Factor of Safety (FOS) values obtained from Slide2 using different limit equilibrium methods are as follows: Ordinary/Fellenius: 2.33 Bishop Simplified: 2.33 Janbu Simplified: 2.33 Janbu Corrected: 2.37 Spencer: 2.33 GLE/Morgenstern-Price: 2.33 Figure 3.1-2: Calculated critical slip surface and FOS(2.374) for Janbu Corrected SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 8 of 13 3.2. Seismic Loading Condition (Pseudostatic Analysis) 3.2.1. Factor of Safety — Initial Geometry The Factor of Safety (FOS) values obtained from Slide2 using different limit equilibrium methods are as follows: Ordinary/Fellenius: 0.93 Bishop Simplified: 0.97 Janbu Simplified: 0.93 Janbu Corrected: 0.96 Spencer: 0.98 GLE/Morgenstern-Price: 0.98 Figure 3.2-1: Calculated critical slip surface and FOS(0.967) for Janbu Corrected SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 9 of 13 3.2.2. Factor of Safety — Revised Geometry The Factor of Safety (FOS) values obtained from Slide2 using different limit equilibrium methods are as follows: Ordinary/Fellenius: 1.44 Bishop Simplified: 1.48 Janbu Simplified: 1.44 Janbu Corrected: 1.49 Spencer: 1.48 GLE/Morgenstern-Price: 1.48 Figure 3.2-2: Calculated critical slip surface and FOS(1.497) for Janbu Corrected 3.3. Interpretation of Factor of Safety The slope stability analysis was conducted in Slide2 under both static and seismic (pseudostatic) loading conditions. For the static loading condition, the Factor of Safety SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 10 of 13 (FOS) values ranged between 1.36 and 1.42 for the initial geometry, and between 2.33 and 2.37 for the revised geometry. Under seismic loading, simulated using the pseudostatic analysis method with a horizontal seismic coefficient of 0.2g, the FOS values were observed to range from 0.93 to 0.97 for the initial geometry, and from 1.44 to 1.49 for the revised geometry. These results reflect the expected reduction in slope stability under seismic conditions compared to static conditions and highlight the sensitivity of Factor of Safety to both loading conditions and geometrical configurations. SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 11 of 13 4 CONCLUSION The slope stability assessment for the mining dump site was conducted using Slide2 under both static and seismic (pseudostatic) loading conditions. The calculated Factors of Safety (FOS) for the initial and revised geometries are summarized in Table 3.1. Recommended Loading Condition Geometry Factor of Safety Minimum FOS (FOS) (Yukon Guidelines, 2023) Static Condition Seismic Condition (Pseudostatic) Initial Geometry 1.36 – 1.42 > 1.3 Revised Geometry 2.33 – 2.37 > 1.3 Initial Geometry 0.93 – 0.97 > 1.0 Revised Geometry 1.44 – 1.49 > 1.0 Under static conditions, the initial geometry resulted in FOS values ranging from 1.36 to 1.42, while the revised geometry exhibited higher FOS values ranging from 2.33 to 2.37. For the seismic loading condition, modeled using the pseudostatic analysis method with a horizontal seismic coefficient of 0.2g, the FOS for the initial geometry dropped to a range of 0.93 to 0.97, which is below the generally accepted minimum threshold for seismic stability. In contrast, the revised geometry maintained FOS values between 1.44 and 1.49, exceeding the required limit for earthquake loading. The results clearly reflect the influence of both loading conditions and slope geometry on overall stability. In particular, the FOS for the initial geometry under seismic conditions falls below the minimum acceptable value of 1.0, as specified in the Yukon Government’s Guidelines for Mine Waste Management Facilities (2023). This outcome suggests the need for further investigation through borehole drilling and laboratory testing to confirm the actual subsurface conditions and refine the geotechnical parameters. If site investigations confirm the conservative nature of the current soil strength assumptions, flattening the slope—as previously suggested by the Client—remains the only viable stabilization measure, though this approach involves considerable practical and operational challenges. SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING COMPANY SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS OF REVISED DUMPSITE GEOMETERY Page 12 of 13
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