CAPITAL BUDGETING TECHNIQUES 1. Introduction Capital budgeting is the quantitative and qualitative analysis and evaluation of physical investment projects that generate benefits over multiple years. Capital budgeting is one of the most important areas covered in financial management as management is required to make decisions on which project is best suitable to receive better returns out of the many that they can choose from. The financial managers perform capital budgeting procedures as they forecast on the future cash flows and profits for the proposed and planned projects. Financial managers are looking at different options and always want to come up with the best where the ultimate goal is to increase the value of the owners` wealth. As financial managers act and make decisions on behalf of the owners they do feasibility studies before they make large investment decisions. A key principle undertaken by financial managers during capital budgeting is that capital projects that do not add value to the business should never be undertaken. When financial managers perform capital budgeting processes they forecast on the future cash flows and profitability of any future project. It should be borne in mind that any mistake in the future projections during capital budgeting process will lead to wrong investment decisions. Capital budgeting is the cornerstone of the investment decision-making process, and involves quantitative and qualitative analysis and evaluation of physical investment projects that generate benefits over a number of years. This chapter we will look into other aspects like, capital budgeting process, types of cash flows, types of projects. This chapter will also deal with the calculation of the initial investment or costs, operating cash flow and the terminal cash flow. This chapter will also look at the different non-discounting techniques and discounting techniques and their bearing in capital budgeting decisions. Long-term investments take a large portion of capital investments and will look at the associated cash outflows. The financial managers have to select the investments that are viable and that will enable companies to increase the wealth of the business owners. Capital expenditure is an investment made by a firm with expectations to accrue benefits over a long period of time which will add value to the business and to the investors (shareholders). The basic objective of capital expenditure is expansion, replacement and renewal. This chapter also explores the various types of quantitative analysis management conducts to analyse and evaluate projects. As an essential part also we consider how qualitative factors should be taken into account during the investment decision-making process. Efficient investment appraisal is required to ensure that a firm invests its funds (money) in capital (big) projects that will create value for the business owners. 2. Defining capital budgeting and capital budgeting process, types of projects and cash flows Capital budgeting is the process of evaluating and selecting long-term investments that are consistent with the goal of increasing the firm`s value. Capital budgeting is the cornerstone of the investment decision-making process, and involves quantitative analysis and evaluation of physical investment projects that generate returns over multiple years. Capital budgeting decisions are broadly divided into two categories: that is projects for replacement of existing 1 assets and projects for expansion and or new acquisitions. The difference between the two categories is the risk associated with each, where replacement risk is lower than the other projects. The primary motive for capital expenditure is expansion, replacement and renewal. Expansion: The need to expand the business operations is one of the key motives for capital expenditure and this is achieved by acquiring non-current assets. A firm following a growth strategy often finds it necessary to acquire new non-current assets for rapid expansion. Replacement: is when an asset reaches the end of its useful life and then they are replaced by new and better assets. The management should periodically examine the need to replace existing assets and weigh it with the benefits of replacement of existing machine. In most cases technological advancement has become more pronounced to acquire new machines (assets) that could render currently used assets obsolete. Renewal: businesses wishing to increase efficiency may find that replacing or renewing existing pieces of machinery may prove to be the optimum solution. Renewal may involve rebuilding or overhauling a machine or production plant which sometimes may not have a guarantee for the future. Some capital expenditure may involve long-term commitment of money (funds) by the firm in expectation of a future return without necessarily adding new assets to the firm. Expenditure of this nature include funds spent on research and development (R&D), management consulting services, advertising campaigns, improved safety measures and/ or equipment to prevent pollution. The capital budgeting process, in which new projects and investments are analysed and evaluated, consists of five distinct interrelated steps which are spelled out below. Each step in the process is important and during each of these steps a great deal of time and effort should be devoted to review, analysis and decision making. The processes are as follows: Proposal generation: all departments in the firm make proposals where potential expenditure is reviewed together with associated benefits as the project is being identified. Review and analysis: proposals are formally reviewed so that their appropriateness to the firm`s overall objectives and plans can be assessed and their economic viability evaluated. Decision making: Looking at the outlay amount a decision is made on whether to accept or to reject the proposed project Implementation: once a proposal has been approved and funding made available, then the implementation phase begins. Greater control is usually required to ensure that what has been approved is actually acquired and at the budgeted cost. Follow-up: This final step is to continually re-evaluate the company`s investment projects where the monitoring of results during the operating phase of the project. In most cases managers are faced with various options when it comes to capital expenditure as they have to choose between the following types of projects: 2 (i) Independent projects: means accepting one project does not affect the decision of whether to accept or reject another project (ii) Mutually exclusive project: the acceptance of one project in a group prevents all other projects in a group from being considered. (iii) Divisible projects: is made up of smaller pieces that can be implemented or accepted at the same time or at different times (iv) Indivisible project: cannot be broken down into smaller pieces and therefore the whole project has to be accepted or implemented at the same time. When a new project is being evaluated, the financial managers have to determine the new project’s estimated cash flows which are used to evaluate capital projects. The following are the different cash flow types used when evaluating capital projects: Conventional cash flows: involves an initial investment/ cost followed by a series of cash inflows Unconventional cash flows: is when the initial cost/outflow is not followed by a series of inflows Annuity cash flows: is a stream of equal annual cash flows that are received or paid Mixed cash flows: is when irregular inflows of cash are received or outflows are paid Activity 1 The management of a manufacturing company is investigating whether it is worthwhile to expand the same factory or to expand by moving to a new location in another region because they have not been able to meet the market demand. Establish the issues that this proposal should entail in order to meet the market demand and what should be done in order to be successful with this new venture. 3. Explaining and calculating the initial investment or costs, operating cash flow and terminal cash flows Capital expenditures needs to be calculated in order to come up with all relevant cash flows for any project. Capital expenditures with conventional cash flow patterns usually consist of the following major cash flow components: (i) Initial Investment/ costs: These types of costs occur at the beginning of the project and in most cases it is the cost that cannot be avoided as it associated with the project. The basic components of the initial investment are the cost of the new asset, installation costs, transportation costs, custom duties, freight charges and adjustment of the proceeds from the old asset. All these are added together to give us the total initial cost/ investment. The basic format for the calculation of the initial investment/ Cost is as follows: Cost of the new assets = xxxx Add: Installation costs = xxxx Add: Transportation costs = xxxx 3 Add: Freight charges = xxxx Add: shipping costs = xxxx Add: Custom duties = xxxx Less: Proceeds from sale of an old asset = (xxxx) Total Initial cost = xxxx (ii) Operating cash flow: these refer to the relevant cash inflows that are expected to be generated during the life of the proposed long-term investment. When dealing with operating cash flow we account cash inflow as opposed to the accounting profit. Cash inflow is determined by adding any non-cash item of expense which could have been deducted as an expense in the income statement, back to the expected net profit after tax. The most non-cash item that is added back is depreciation on a yearly basis of the life span of the asset. The basic format for the calculation of the operating cash flow: The initial cost of the project is R50000. Year NOPAT Depreciation Operating cash flow 1 30 000 5 000 35 000 2 35 000 5 000 40 000 3 35 000 5 000 40 000 4 40 000 5 000 45 000 (52500) (iii)Terminal cash flow: We refer to the expected cash flow being generated once the investment is terminated at the end of the life of the assets or project. When calculating the terminal cash flow the residual amount or disposal amount is added to the net cash flow on the year of disposal. The basic format calculating the terminal cash flow is as follows: The total cash flow for Year 4 is the operating cash flow plus the terminal cash flow: Operating cash flow R45 000 Add: terminal cash flow R7 500: Sale of the machine Net cash flow (Year 4) R52 500. Activity.2 South Africa has been experiencing serious financial irregularities when it comes to government tendering systems as billions of rands are lost annually because fraud and theft and largely due to poor working capital management. Some jobs have been left incomplete as funds totalling billions of rands have gone missing without any trace. Make suggestions on how the government can improve on this and other issues to even improve service delivery to the communities. 4 TECHNIQUES /METHODS USED TO EVALUATE PROJECTS/ 4. Evaluating projects using the Non-Discounted Cash- flow Techniques There are two most distinct methods that do not discount the cash inflows, where they do not involve the time value of money concept whenever they evaluate projects. The two basic non-discounting techniques that are used to evaluate projects are the following: (i) Average rate of return or Accounting rate of return (ARR) This method is a simple technique that considers the initial cash investment a project requires and compares this figure with the average annual cash flow generated by the project over its lifetime. The project with the highest average rate of return is acceptable. The following formula is used: Assume the Initial cost is R50000 Average rate of return = Average earnings after taxes x 100 = 41875 x 100 = 83.75% Initial investment(cost) 50000 Advantages Disadvantages 1.Simple to use and quick to calculate 1. This method tend to insensitive to fluctuations in cash flows during project lifetime 2.It is easy to understand and apply the principle 2. For projects with relatively long lifetimes, this method can overlook and result in large errors 3. Can be used to compare investments if projects 3. This method does not take time value of money into lifespans are the same and cash flows are reasonably consideration. stable The advantage of this method is that it is easy to calculate and the major disadvantage is that it ignores the time factor in the value of money. (ii) Payback period (PBP) This method calculates the expected number of years it takes for the project to recover its initial investment/cost. It is determined by calculating exactly how long it takes to recoup the initial investment from net cash flows. The payback period is determined by subtracting the net cash flows from the initial investment on a yearly basis until the whole amount is recovered. In most cases the cash flow amounts do not match with the remaining balance therefore leading to interpolate in order to determine the exact period. The decision-making criterion for PBP in respect of a project is that those projects with a PBP shorter than stipulated by the management is accepted. The major disadvantage with the payback period is that it ignores the time value of money concept and also the relevant cash flows involved. The advantage of payback period is that it is easy to calculate. The formula for calculating the payback period is as follows: Assume the Initial Cost is R50000 Step1. Initial cost – yearly cash flows until the recovery of initial amount. Use the information given above. 5 Step 2. PBP = years before recovery + (uncovered cash flow at beginning of the year ÷ cash flow during the year) (interpolation) = 50000 – 35000 = 15000 Year 1 = 15000 – 40000= (25000) Year 2 Interpolate (Apportion the time) = 1 year + 15000/ 40000 x 12 months = 1 year + 4.5 months = 1 year + 4months + 0.5 x 30days = 1 year + 4months + 15days Advantages Disadvantages 1.The PBP is simple to use and quick to calculate 1. The PBP can only be determined subjectively, no concrete decision criteria to indicate whether an investment increases the firm`s value. 2. Provides some information on the risk of the 2. The PBP does not take into account the cash flows investment beyond the payback period. 3. It serves as an indicator for liquidity because the 3. The PBP ignores the time value of money and the quicker the initial cost is recovered the earlier cash is risk of the future cash flows available for other uses a. Evaluating projects using the Discounted Cash-flow Techniques The discounted cash flow techniques (DCF) do take the time value of money into consideration while the major disadvantages of non-discounted cash flow techniques are that they ignored the time value of money principle. The nondiscounting techniques ignore the timing and the size of the cash flows and this seriously affect the accuracy of these methods. The discounting techniques take into account the time value of money principle into consideration, where the cash flows are discounted first before calculations are made. The following are the major discounting methods that are used to evaluate projects: (i)The discounted payback period method (DPBP): This method is a variant of the PBP method and it attempts to address the weakness of the PBP method as it discounts the cash flows using the firm`s cost of capital. The method then calculates the expected number of years required to recover the initial investment by considering the discounted net cash flows generated by the project. The formula is the same as the payback period the only difference is the use of present values instead of cash flows. Formula is as follows: DPBP = years before full recovery + (unrecovered cash flow at beginning of year ÷ cash flow during the year) Initial Cost is R50000; The cost of capital is 10% 6 Year NCFs Discount Factor Present Values 1÷(1+r)n (1÷1.10)n Discounted values 1 35000 0.9091 = (1÷1.10)1 31819 2 40000 0.8264 = (1÷1.10)2 33056 3 40000 0.7513 = (1÷1.10)3 30052 4 52500 0.6830 = (1÷1.10)4 35858 Total present value (TPV) 130785 Less: Initial Cost 50000 Net Present value (NPV) 80785 DF = YR1 = 1/1.10 = 0.9091; YR2 = 0.9091÷1.1 = 0.8265; YR3 = 0.8265÷1.1 = 0.7514; YR 4 = 0.7514÷1.1= 0.6831 YR1= 1÷(1.10)1 = 0.9091; YR2 = 1÷(1.10)2 = 0.8264 DPBP = Initial cost less discounted yearly PV (cash flow) until the initial is totally recovered = 50000 less 31819 = 18181 YR1 = 18181 less 33056= interpolate (apportion) = 1 year + 18181÷33056 x 12months = 1 year + 6.60months = 1 year + 6months + 18 days (0.6x30days) Advantages Disadvantages 1.It is simple to use and quick to calculate 1. Can only be determined subjectively, no concrete decision criteria that indicate whether the investment increases the firm`s value 2. It considers the riskiness of the project`s cash flows 2. Does not take into account the cash flows that occur through the cost of capital after the DPBP has been reached and is not reliable measure of profitability. 3. The DPBP takes into account the time value of money 3. The emphasis is on short-term profitability rather than when calculating profitability over the entire life of the project. Makes no distinction between projects of different sizes. (ii)The net present value method (NPV): The net present value (NPV) is the difference between the present value (PV) of all expected net cash flows and the PV of all expected net cash outflows calculated over the expected life of the project. The NPV is calculated by subtracting the initial investment(II) from the present value of the net cash inflows (NCFs), discounted at the firm`s cost of capital. The formula for calculating NPV is as follows: NPV = Total present values(TPV) less Initial investment/Cost(II) 7 The general criterion of the NPV method states that any project that has the positive or greater than zero should be accepted as the project will be profitable. The decision-making criteria applied when using the NPV method can be summarised as follows: a. Accept projects where the NPV> 0 b. Reject projects where the NPV< 0 c. Projects with an NPV = 0 will increase the scale of the business as management will be indifferent as to whether the project should be undertaken or not. Advantages Disadvantages 1.The NPV is logically consistent with firm`s goal of 1. The NPV method may be difficult to understand for many maximising owners` wealth 2.Considers all the cash flows during its calculations and 2. The NPV requires an estimate of the cost of capital in considers the risk of future cash flows through the cost of order to calculate capital 3. Considers the time value of money and offers theoretical 3. It is one out of the many techniques that is expressed in correct decisions. terms of rand, and not as a percentage. (iii)The profitability index (PI): The profitability index (PI) investigates the relationship between the initial investment amount and the expected pay-off of a proposed project. The PI is the measure of a project`s profitability relative to each rand invested in the project. The PI is a handy tool for ranking projects because it allows management to identify the amount of value created per rand invested. The formula for calculating the profitability index is as follows: PI = TPV II = 130785 = R2.62 50000 The highest profitability index is acceptable, and also the PI value of one (1) is considered the lowest acceptable value of index. Any value that is less than one, (1) would indicate that the PV of a project`s expected cash flows is less than the initial investment. The general decision-making criteria for PI are as follows: a. Accept projects where the PI > 1 b. Reject projects where the PI < 1 c. Projects with a PI = 1 will only increase the scale of the business, management, therefore, will be indifferent as to whether the project should be undertaken or not. Advantages Disadvantages 1.It is one of the easy, best methods to use as it considers 1. The PI is a difficult concept to understand all cash flows of the project 8 2. It shows whether an investment increases the firm`s value 2. It may be problematic as it may not give correct decision when used to compare mutually exclusive projects 3. It considers the risk of the future cash flows and also the 3. The PI requires an estimate of the cost of capital in order time value of money to calculate. (iv)Internal rate of return (IRR) The internal rate of return (IRR) is an investment appraisal technique is based on concepts that are similar to the NPV method. Like the NPV method, a project is evaluated by considering the initial investment it requires and the expected future cash flow that the project will generate, and it compares the return of the project with the firm`s cost of capital. IRR is the discount rate that equates the NPV of an investment opportunity of 0. While the IRR is the most difficult to calculate than the NPV and PI, it also the most popular technique. The common step of calculating IRR is to use the Trial and Error method and then interpolate. The formula for calculating IRR is as follows: IRR = A% + (B% - A%) x (NPVA) 10% + (70%-10%) x 80785 (NPVA) +– (NPVB) = 10% + (60% x 0.9860) (80785 +1149)(= 81934) IRR= 10% + 59.16% = 69.16% Where: A% = lowest estimate of r B% = highest estimate of r (negative NPV) NPVA = the present value of the future cash flows discounted at A% NPVB = the present value of the future cash flows discounted at B% Initial Cost is R50000; The cost of capital is 70% Year NCFs Discount Factor (70%) Present Values 1÷(1+I)n (1÷1.70)n 1 35000 0.5882 = (1÷1.70)1 20587 2 40000 0.3460 = (1÷1.70)2 13840 3 40000 0.2035 = (1÷1.70)3 8140 4 52500 0.1197 = (1÷1.70)4 6284 Total present value (TPV) 48851 Less: Initial Cost 50000 Net Present value (NPV) (1149) The IRR can also be calculated by using a financial calculator with the functionality available. Advantages Disadvantages 9 1.The IRR tells whether an investment increases the firm`s 1.May not give the value- maximizing decision when used to value compare mutually exclusive projects 2. Considers the time value of money and all the cash flows 2. The IRR requires an estimate of the cost of capital in of the project order to make a decision 3. Considers the risk of the future cash flows through the 3. Cannot be useful in situations in which the sign of the cost of capital in decision of accept or reject cash flows of a project change more than once during the project`s life 6 Summary Capital budgeting is one of the opaquest subjects in the financial management, as financial managers seldom disclose or publicise the information that they use to make large investment decisions. Information about an entity`s capital budgeting process is not readily available, as this information usually includes sensitive business plans and other information that gives a business its competitive advantage. This chapter has focused on an important aspect of the business capital investment decision and its determinants. During the capital budgeting process, financial managers analyse and evaluates the opportunities, risks and financial implications of proposed capital projects, both qualitatively and quantitatively. This chapter has made a distinction between non-discounted cash flow techniques and the discounted cash flow techniques as these take time of value into consideration. Before an investment project is subjected to various investment appraisal techniques, it is important to determine what type of project it is in order to select the most viable and appropriate. Efficient investment appraisal is required to ensure that a company invests its capital on projects that will create value for the business owners. As the projects are being appraised they are then ranked in accordance to their viability as firms use different approaches in order to rank projects and to distinguish viable projects. The capital budgeting techniques are applied to determine if a project will contribute towards the profitability of the firm and the creation of owners’ wealth. A firm has to identify projects that will contribute to its main objective and implement them so to increase the value of the firm. This chapter has covered a number of capital budgeting techniques which were explored in order to make well calculated decisions for the entire benefit of the business. Before undertaking a project, it is essential to subject it to various capital budgeting techniques before final making a decision. It is also important when engaging on the capital budgeting techniques to select the best project. A distinction has to be made between those capital budgeting techniques that take the time value of money into consideration and those that do not. The non-discounting capital budgeting techniques are the average rate of return and the payback period, while the discounting techniques are the discounted payback period, the net present value, the profitability index and the internal rate of return. It is fundamental important to acknowledge these capital budgeting techniques as they play a major role in the firm`s future plan and objectives. Self- Test Questions Unit 4 1. Explain the terms the following terms to your friend that is studying industrial technology: (i) capital project (ii) capital budgeting; (iii) capital investment decisions (iv) Opportunity cost. [4marks] 2. Differentiate between conventional cash flow and unconventional cash flow. [4marks] 10 3. Efficient investment appraisal is required to ensure that a firm invests its capital in projects that will create value. Explain to your friend who is studying computers the capital budgeting process. [5marks] 4. When evaluating capital investment projects explain why emphasis should be placed on the initial cost and what other costs are added to it before calculating the final initial cost? [4marks] 5. Differentiate between profit and cash flow when dealing with investment projects. [4marks] 6. Discuss the meaning of terminal cash flow and what other items can be added to it? [4marks] 7. Elaborate on the major differences between non-discounting techniques and the discounting techniques. [4marks] 8. Explain the main differences between the average rate of return (ARR) and the payback period (PBP) as some of the major techniques used to evaluate projects. [4marks] 9. Discuss the advantages of average rate of return (ARR) and the payback period (PBP) [4marks] 10. Discuss the disadvantages of net present value (NPV) and profitability index (PI) [4marks] 11. Kingdom Limited is intending investing in three independent projects, one in Swaziland, Gauteng Province and another in Limpopo Province. These projects will require that the company pays for training and establishment fees of R50 000, R20 000 and R30 000 respectively. Your department has asked you to evaluate these three projects and write a report to the Board of Directors on which one is the most viable. The following information has been supplied to you to use. The firm has a 12% cost of capital (WACC). Year Swaziland Gauteng Limpopo 0 (R950 000) (R1 300 000) (R1 000 000) 1 240 000 260 000 300 000 2 210 000 340 000 300 000 3 270 000 470 000 300 000 4 300 000 510 000 300 000 5 420 000 520 000 300 000 (1÷1.12) DF (1÷ 1+r)n = (1÷ 1+ 0.12) = (1÷1.12) Adjustments: Initial Cost/ Investment: Swaziland Gauteng Limpopo IC/ II 950000 1300000 1000000 Add T& Est 50000 20000 30000 Total IC 1000000 1320000 1030000 Required: a. Calculate average rate of return (ARR), for each province [6marks] b. Calculate the payback period (PBP), for each province [6marks] c. Calculate the Discounted payback period (DPBP), for each province [6marks] d. Calculate the net present value (NPV), for each province [6marks] e. Calculate the Profitability Index (PI), for each province [3marks] f. Calculate the Internal rate of return (IRR), for each province [6marks] 11 g. Indicate which of the three provinces will be the most viable and why? [2marks] Swaziland ARR = Ave Profits/ II x100 = 288000/1000000 x 100 = 28.80% G = 420/1320= 31.82% L= 300/1030 = 29.13% PBP = 1000000 – 240000 = 760000 Yr1 7600000- 210000 = 550000 Yr2 550000 – 270000 = 280000 Yr3 280000 – 300000 interpolate 3 years + 280000/300000 x 12months 3years + 11months + 6days G= 3yrs 5m26d Year NCFs DF 12% PV PV PV 1 240 000 0.8929 214296 232154 267870 2 210 000 0.7972 167412 271048 239160 3 270 000 0.7118 192186 334546 213540 4 300 000 0.6355 190650 324105 190650 5 420 000 0.5674 238308 295048 170220 TPV 1002852 1456901 1081440 Less: II 1000000 1320000 1030000 NPV 2852 136901 51440 Financial Calculator: NPV 2852 136901 51433 Financial Calculator: IRR 12.10% 15.63% 14.00% L= 3yrs 5m 6d DPBP 1000000 – 214296 = 785704 Yr1 4 yrs 6m 13d 4y 8m 12d 785704 -167412 = 618292 Yr2 618292 -192186= 426106 Yr3 426106 -190650 = 235456 Yr4 235456 – 238308 interpolate 4 years + 11 months +26days PI = TPV / II = 1002852/1000000 = R1.00 G = 1.10 L= 1.05 IRR Method:Trial and Error Method IRR = A% + (B% - A%) x (NPVA) (NPVa +NPVb) =12% + (14% -12%) (2852/ 52728) 12% + (20%-12%) (136901/331197) 12% + (15%-12%) (51440/75780) = 12% + (2%x 0.054088909) 12% + (8%x 0.413352174) 12% + (3% x 0.678807073) 12 = 12% + 0.1082 12% + 3.31% 12% + 2.04% = 12.11% =15.31% 14.04% Year NCFs DF 14% PV DF: 20% PV DF: 15% PV Swazi Gauteng Gauteng Limpopo Limpopo 1 240 000 0.8772 210528 0.8333 216658 0.8696 260880 2 210 000 0.7695 161595 0.6944 236096 0.7561 226830 3 270 000 0.6749 182223 0.5787 217989 0.6575 197250 4 300 000 0.5921 177630 0.4823 245973 0.5718 171540 5 420 000 0.5194 218148 0.4019 208988 0.4972 149160 TPV 950124 1125704 1005660 Less: II 1000000 1320000 1030000 NPV (49876) (194296) (24340) Financial Calculator: NPV SHARP: Enter 5= N; 12%=I/YR, then followed by: +-1000000 ENT Cf0; ENT, 240 000 ENT:CF1, 210 000 ENT:CF2, 270 000 ENT:CF3, 300 000 ENT:CF4, 420 000 ENT:CF5 then 2nd F CFi, Lower Cursor then. Comp =NPV= R2852 HP: Enter 5=N; 12%=I/YR; +-1000000CFj; 240000CFj; 210000CFj; 270000CF; 300000CFj; 420000CFj Downward arrow then NPV = R2852 IRR SHARP: IRR= Enter 5= N; then followed by: +-1000000 ENT Cf0; ENT, 240 000 ENT:CF1, 210 000 ENT:CF2, 270 000 ENT:CF3, 300 000 ENT:CF4, 420 000 ENT:CF5 then 2nd F CFj, then Comp I/YR = 12.10% HP: Enter 5=N; +-1000000CFj; 240000CFj; 210000CFj; 270000CF; 300000CFj; 420000CFj; Downward arrow then IRR = 12.10% 3. As the financial director New Horizons Computer School, you have been tasked with replacing the old computer network. Dexter Computer Company Ltd has informed you that they have two types of computer network that you are looking for, and have priced them as follows: Computer Network 1 is valued at R250 000, and Computer Network 2 is valued at R300 000 The cash flows expected from the two networks are as follows: Year Network1 Network2 1 R120 000 R120 000 2 R125 000 R120 000 3 R130 000 R120 000 4 R140 000 R120 000 13 5 R160 000 R120 000 Transportation and installation will amount to R20 000 for each Network. Management has told you that this new capital venture must be able to yield 15% return on investment. At the end of year 5 both Computer Networks will be sold for R10 000 cash each. 1. What is the total initial cost for each network? 2. What is the terminal NCFs for each network? Required to calculate the following for each network: a. Average rate of return (ARR) [4marks] b. Payback period. (PBP) [4marks] c. Discounted payback period (DPBP) [4marks] d. Net Present Value (NPV) [6marks] e. Profitability Index (PI) [4marks] f. Internal rate of return (IRR) [4marks] g. Using these techniques which network would you choose and why? [2marks] 4. Ngwenya Limited would like to replace an existing factory machine with one of the three more efficient equipment from Germany. The new machines are valued as follows: Machine A costs R400 000 plus R8 000 to install, Machine B costs R540 000 plus R10 000 to install, and Machine C costs R320 000 plus R6 000 to install. The price of each machine also indicates the efficiency and its capacity. These machines have a life span of five years and need to be depreciated. The projected cash flows after accounting for depreciation as an operating expense for each machine are provided in the table below: Year Machine A Machine B Machine C 1 210 000+78000 220 000 140 000 2 220 000+78000 250 000 140 000 3 230 000+78000 260 000 140 000 4 240 000+78000 260 000 140 000 5 250 000+18000+78000 260 000+20000 140 000+12000 The company`s required rate of return is 12%. After five years, these can be disposed for cash as follows: Machine A: R18 000; Machine B: R20 000 and Machine C: R12 000. Adjustments to be made before calculations are made! 1. What is the total initial cost for each machine? 2. What is the terminal NCFs for each machine? 3. What is the depreciation amount for each machine? Answers are as follows: 4. Depreciation = Cost –Scrap / No. of years = (400000+8000) – 18000 / 5 = 78000 5. Initial Cost 400000 14 + Installation cost Total Initial Cost 8000 408 000 6. Calculate the yearly Cash flows 7. In year 5 Calculate Terminal Cash flow 250000+ 18000+ 78000= 346000 Required: a. Calculate the average rate of return (ARR) MA = 76.37% [9marks] b. Calculate the payback period (PBP) [9marks] MA= 1 years + 4months + 25days c. Calculate the discounted payback period (DPBP) for each machine [9marks] d. Calculate the net present value (NPV) for each machine [6marks] e. Calculate the profitability index (PI) for each machine [3marks] f. Calculate the internal rate of return (IRR) for each machine [6marks] g. Write a report to the Board of Directors indicating which of the three machine will be the most viable and why? [6marks] SOLUTION SOLUTIONS TO QUESTIONS a. ARR = Ave Profits/Initial investment Network 1 = 137 000/270 000 x 100 = 50.74% Network 2 = 122 000/ 320 000 x 1000 = 38.13% [4marks] b. Payback Period(4marks) Network 1 = 2 years + 2months+ 10days Network 2= 2years 8months Initial investment 270 000 initial investment 320 000 Yr 1 cashflow 120 000 balance 150 000 yr 1 cashflow 120 000 balance 200 000 Yr 2 125 000 balance 25 000 yr 2 120 000 balance 80 000 25 000 – 130 000 interpolate 80 000 – 120 000 2yrs +25000\130 000 *12 months 2 yrs +80 000\120 000 * 12 months 2yrs +2.3077 months 2yrs + 2 months +.3077*30 days 2 years + 8 months 2yrs +2 months + 9 days. Discounted Payback Period(4marks) Network 1 = 270000- 104352= 165648 320000- 104352=215648 165648- 94513= 71135 215648-90732 = 124916 71135-85475= interpolation 124916 -78900=46016 15 46016 – 68616= interpolate NW1= 2 years10months 29days NW 2= 3years 8months c.Net Present Value (16/16x6marks) Disc Factor NW (1) NW (2) 1. 0.8696 104 352 104 352 2 0.7561 94 513 90 732 3 0.6575 85 475 78 900 4 0.5718 80 052 68 616 5 0.4972 84 524 64 636 Total Present Value 448 916 407 236 Less Initial Value 270 000 320 000 Net Present Value 178 916 87 236 Network 1 Discount factor cashflow discount factor present value Yr 1 0.8696 120 000 0.8696 104 352 Yr 2 : 0.8696\1.15 = 0.7561 125 000 0.7561 94 513 Yr 3: 0.7561\1.15 =0.6575 130 000 0.6575 85 475 Yr 4 : 0.6575\1.15= 0.5718 140 000 0.5718 80 052 Yr 5: 0.5718\1.15 =0.4972 170 000 0.4972 84 524 Total PV 448 916 Less Initial investment 270 000 NPV d. Profitability Index = Total Present Value / Initial Investment Network 1= 448 916/270 000 Network 2 = 407 236/320 000 = R1.66 = R1.27 [4marks] NPV = Using Financial Calculator =NW1= R178908; NW2= R87230 IRR= Using a Financial Calculator=NW1= 38.94%; NW2 = 25.90% e. Network 1 is the best option because of the following: a. ARR: Network 1 has the highest b. Payback Period :Network 1 has the shortest period c. NPV: Network 1 has the highest NPV 16 178 916 d. PI : Network 1 has the highest Therefore choose Network 1 as it is the most viable. (2marks) IRR Method: Trial and Error Method IRR = A% + (B% - A%) x (NPVA) (NPVa +NPVb) =15% + (40% -15%) (2852/ 52728) 12% + (20%-12%) (136901/331197) 12% + (15%-12%) (51440/75780) = 12% + (2%x 0.054088909) 12% + (8%x 0.413352174) 12% + (3% x 0.678807073) = 12% + 0.1082 12% + 3.31% 12% + 2.04% = 12.11% =15.31% 14.04% Year NCFs DF40% PV DF: 20% PV Swazi Gauteng Gauteng 1 240 000 0.8772 210528 0.8333 216658 2 210 000 0.7695 161595 0.6944 236096 3 270 000 0.6749 182223 0.5787 217989 4 300 000 0.5921 177630 0.4823 245973 5 420 000 0.5194 218148 0.4019 208988 TPV 950124 1125704 Less: II 1000000 1320000 NPV Workings Machine A Machine B Machine C Initial cost. 400 000 540 000 320 000 Installation. 8 000 10 000 6 000 Total Cost 408 000 550 000 326 000 Depreciation: Cost less disposal value No. of years. 408000-18000 550000-20000 326000-12000 5years 5years 5years =78000 =106 000 = 62800 a. ARR = MA 1558000/ 5yrs = 311600/408000 = 76.37% ARR = MA. =1558000/ 5yrs = 311600/408000 = 76.37% ARR= MB. = 1800000/5 = 360000/550000 = 65.45% ARR = MC = 1026000/5 = 205200/326000 = 62.94% PBP = MA 408000 – 288000 = 120000 Yr1. 120000- 298000 = interpolate MB= 550000-326000 MC = 326000 – 202800 = 123200 326000-356000 123200 – 202800 = 17 I year + 120/298 x 12 months 1 yr + 326/356 x12. 1yr +123200/202800 x12 I YEAR +4.8322 months 1 yr + 10.9months 1 yr + 7.2899 I year +4 months + 0.8322*30 days 1 yr + 10months + 29days 1 yr + 7 months 1 year + 4months + 25days 1 yr + 10months + 29day 1 yr + 7months + 9days MACHINE A Year DF(12%) MA NCFs PV MB NCFs PV MC NCFs PV 1 0.8929 288000=210000+78000 257155 326000 291085 202800 181080 2 0.7972 298000= 220000+78000 237566 356000 283803 202800 161672 3 0.7118 308000 219234 366000 260518 202800 144353 4 0.6355 318000 202089 366000 232593 202800 128879 5 0.5674 346000 196330 386000 219016 214800 121878 TPV 1112374 1287015 737862 TIC 408000 550000 326000 NPV 704374 737015 411862 a. Discounted payback period: DPBP Machine A: 408000 less 257155= 150845 less 237566 (interpolate) =1year + 150845/237566x12months 1 year + 7 months+ 0.6195* 30 months = 1year + 7months +19days (2marks) Machine B: 550 000less 291085=258915 less 283803= 1year + 258915/283803x12month = 1year+ 10months + 29days (2marks) Machine C: 326 000less 181080=144920less161672= 1year + 144920/161672x12month = 1year+ 10months + 23days (2marks) b. Net Present Value (NPV) Using Financial Calculator Machine A Enter N=5years; 12=I/YR, then followed by:-408 000 ENT Cf0; ENT, 288 000 ENT:CF1, 298 000 ENT:CF2, 308 000 ENT:CF3, 318 000 ENT:CF4, 346 000 ENT:CF5 then 2nd F CFj, Lower Cursor then Comp = R704 359 (2marks) Machine B Enter N=5years;12=I/YR, then followed by: -550 000 ENT Cf0; ENT, 326 000 ENT:CF1, 356000 ENT:CF2, 366 000 ENT:CF3, 366 000 ENT:CF4, 386 000 ENT:CF5 then 2nd F, then, CFj, Lower Cursor then Comp = R737 010 (2marks) Machine C Enter N=5years; 12=I/YR, then followed by: -326 000 ENT Cf0; ENT, 202 800 ENT:CF1, 202 800 ENT:CF2, 202 800 ENT:CF3, 202 800 ENT:CF4, 214 800 ENT:CF5 then 2nd F, then, CFj, Lower Cursor then Comp = R414 858 (2marks) c. Profitability Index (PI) 18 Machine A: TPV/ II = 1112374/ 408000 = R2.73 (1mark) Machine B: TPV/ II = 1287015/ 550 000 = R2.34 (1mark) Machine C: TPV/ II = 737862/ 326000 = R2.26 (1mark) d. Internal rate of return (IRR): Using financial calculator Machine A IRR= Enter N=5years; then followed by: -408 000 ENT Cf0; ENT, 288 000 ENT:CF1, 298 000 ENT:CF2, 308 000 ENT:CF3, 318 000 ENT:CF4, 346 000 ENT:CF5 then 2nd F CFj, then Comp I/YR = 67.95% (2) Machine B IRR= Enter N=5years, then followed by: -550 000 ENT Cf0; ENT, 326 000 ENT:CF1, 356000 ENT:CF2, 366 000 ENT:CF3, 366 000 ENT:CF4, 386 000 ENT:CF5 then 2nd F, then CFj, then CompI/YR = 56.66% (2marks) Machine C IRR= Enter N=5years, then followed by: -326 000 ENT Cf0; ENT, 202 800 ENT:CF1, 202 800 ENT:CF2, 202 800 ENT:CF3, 202 800 ENT:CF4, 214 800 ENT:CF5 then 2nd F, then CFj, then Comp I/YR = 55.62% (2marks) e. Report to advice on the most viable machine To: Board of Directors: Name of the company From: Financial Manager: Name of the company Date: ------------------------Re: Most viable machine Accordingly, Machine A is the most suitable one to acquire as it proves to have the best capacity for our operations. Guided by the above-mentioned criteria it is of advantage to buy Machine A. The second best would be Machine B which has the second highest NPV R737 010.Machine A has the highest IRR of 67.95%, and best PI of R2.73 as compared to others and the shortest DPBP by 3months (3marks) 19
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