Chapter 1: Introduction to Statistics PowerPoint Lecture Slides Essentials of Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences Tenth Edition by Frederick J Gravetter, Larry B. Wallnau, and Lori-Ann B. Forzano Learning Outcomes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Know key statistical terms Know key measurement terms Know key research terms Know the place of statistics in science Understand summation notation Math Skills Assessment • • • • • Statistics requires basic math skills Inadequate basic math skills puts you at risk in this course Appendix A, Math Skills Assessment, helps you determine if you need a skills review Appendix A, Math Skills Review, provides a quick refresher course on those areas. The final Math Skills Assessment identifies your basic math skills competence 1-1 Statistics and Behavioral Sciences • • Statistics means “statistical procedures” Uses of statistics – – • Organize and summarize information Determine exactly what general conclusions are justified based on the specific results that were obtained Goals of statistical procedures – – Accurate and meaningful interpretation Standardized evaluation procedures Populations and Samples • Population – – • The set of all the individuals of interest in a particular study Vary in size; often quite large Sample – – A set of individuals selected from a population Usually intended to represent the population in a research study Figure 1.1 The Relationship between a Population and a Sample Variables and Data • Variable – • Data (plural) – • Measurements or observations of a variable Data set – • Characteristic or condition that changes or has different values for different individuals A collection of measurements or observations A datum (singular) – – A single measurement or observation Commonly called a score or raw score Parameters and Statistics • Parameter – – A value, usually a numerical value, that describes a population Derived from measurements of the individuals in the population • Statistic – – A value, usually a numerical value, that describes a sample Derived from measurements of the individuals in the sample Descriptive & Inferential Statistical Methods (1 of 2) • Descriptive statistics – – – • • Inferential statistics – Summarize data Organize data Simplify data Familiar examples – – – Tables Graphs Averages – • Study samples to make generalizations about the populations from which they were selected Interpret experimental data Common terminology – – “Sampling error” (“margin of error”) “Statistically significant” Descriptive & Inferential Statistical Methods (2 of 2) • • Sample is never identical to the population Sampling error – • The discrepancy, or amount of error, that exists between a sample statistic and the corresponding population parameter Example: Margin of error in polls – “This poll was taken from a sample of registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.” Figure 1.3 The Role of Statistics in Research FIGURE 1.3 The role of statistics in research. Learning Check 1 (1 of 2) • A researcher is interested in the effect of amount of sleep on high school students’ exam scores. A group of 75 high school boys agree to participate in the study. The boys are _____. A. A statistic B. A variable C. A parameter D. A sample Learning Check 1– Answer (1 of 2) • A researcher is interested in the effect of amount of sleep on high school students’ exam scores. A group of 75 high school boys agree to participate in the study. The boys are _____. A. A statistic B. A variable C. A parameter D. A sample Learning Check 1 (2 of 2) • Decide if each of the following statements is True or False. • T/F – • Most research studies data from samples T/F – When sample differs from the population there is a systematic difference between groups Learning Check 1– Answer (2 of 2) • True – • Samples used because it is not feasible or possible to measure all individuals in the population False – Sampling error due to random influence may produce unsystematic group difference 1-2 Observations, Measurement, and Variables • • • Science is empirical—it is based on observation The scores that make up the data from a research study are obtained by observing and measuring variables The process of measurement consists of applying carefully defined measurement procedures for each variable Constructs & Operational Definitions • Constructs – – Internal attributes or characteristics that cannot be directly observed Useful for describing and explaining behavior • Operational definition – – Identifies the set of operations for measuring an external (observable) behavior Uses the resulting measurements as both a definition and a measurement of a hypothetical construct Discrete and Continuous Variables • Discrete variable – – • Has separate, indivisible categories No values can exist between two neighboring categories Continuous variable – – Has an infinite number of possible values between any two observed values Is divisible into an infinite number of fractional parts Figure 1.4 Example: Continuous Measurement Real Limits of Continuous Variables • Real limits are the boundaries of intervals for scores that are represented on a continuous number line – – The real limit separating two adjacent scores is located exactly halfway between the two scores Each score has two real limits • The upper real limit marks the top of the interval • The lower real limit marks the bottom of the interval Scales of Measurement (1 of 2) • Measurement assigns individuals or events to categories – – • • The categories can be names such as introvert/extrovert or employed/unemployed They can be numerical values such as 68 inches or 175 pounds The categories used to measure a variable make up a scale of measurement Relationships between the categories determine different types of scales Scales of Measurement (2 of 2) Scale Characteristics Nominal • Label and categorize Examples • No quantitative distinctions • • • Ordinal • • Categorizes observations Categories organized by size or magnitude • • • Rank in class Clothing sizes (S, M, L, XL) Olympic medals Interval • • • • • Temperature IQ Golf scores (above/below par) • Ordered categories Interval between categories of equal size Arbitrary or absent zero point • • • Ordered categories • Equal interval between categories • Absolute zero point • Ratio Gender Diagnosis Experimental or Control Number of correct answers Time to complete task Gain in height and/or weight since last year Learning Check 2 (1 of 2) • A study assesses the optimal size (number of other members) for study groups. The variable size of group is _____. A. Discrete and interval B. Continuous and ordinal C. Discrete and ratio D. Continuous and interval Learning Check 2 – Answer (1 of 2) • A study assesses the optimal size (number of other members) for study groups. The variable size of group is _____. A. Discrete and interval B. Continuous and ordinal C. Discrete and ratio D. Continuous and interval Learning Check 2 (2 of 2) • Decide if each of the following statements is True or False. • T/F – • Variables that cannot be measured directly cannot be studied scientifically T/F – Research measurements are made using specific procedures that define constructs Learning Check 2 – Answer (2 of 2) • False – • Constructs (interval states) can only be observed indirectly, but can be operationally measured True – Operational definitions assure consistent measurement and provide construct definitions 1-3 Three Data Structures, Research Methods, and Statistics • Data structure 1: descriptive research (individual variables) – – – – One (or more) variables measured per individual Statistics describe the observed variable May use category and/or numerical variables Not concerned with relationships between variables Relationships between Variables (1 of 3) • Relationships between variables – – Two (or more) variables are observed and measured in order to determine a relationship The resulting measurements can be classified into two distinct data structures that are used to determine what type of relationship exists Relationships between Variables (2 of 3) • Data structure 2: the correlational method – – – – – One group of participants Measurement of two variables for each participant The goal is to describe type and magnitude of the relationship Patterns in the data reveal relationships Nonexperimental method of study Figure 1.5 Data Structure 2: One Group with Two Variables Measured for Each Individual. The Correlational Method Limitations of the Correlational Method • • • Can demonstrate the existence of a relationship between two variables Does not provide an explanation for the relationship Most importantly, does not demonstrate a cause-and-effect relationship between the two variables Relationships between Variables (3 of 3) • Data structure 3: experimental and nonexperimental methods – – – – Comparing two (or more) groups of scores One variable defines the groups Scores are measured on the second variable Both experimental and nonexperimental studies use this structure Figure 1.6 Data Structure 3: Comparing Two (or More) Groups of Scores. Experimental and Nonexperimental Methods The Experimental Method • The goal of an experimental method – • Manipulation – • To demonstrate a cause-and-effect relationship between two variables The level of one variable is determined by the experimenter Control rules out influence of other variables (so-called extraneous variables) – – Participant variables Environmental variables Terminology in the Experimental Method • Independent variable: the variable that is manipulated by the researcher – • Independent because no other variable in the study influences its value; is manipulated prior to observing the dependent variable Dependent variable: the one that is observed to assess the effect of treatment – Dependent because its value is thought to depend on the value of the independent variable Control Conditions in an Experiment • Methods of control – – – • Control condition – – – • Random assignment of subjects Matching of subjects Holding the level of some potentially influential variables constant Individuals do not receive the experimental treatment They either receive no treatment or they receive a neutral, placebo treatment Purpose: to provide a baseline for comparison with the experimental condition Experimental condition – Individuals do receive the experimental treatment Nonexperimental Methods: Nonequivalent Groups and Pre-Post Studies • Nonequivalent groups – – • Pretest/posttest – – • Researcher compares groups of scores Researcher cannot control who goes into which group Individuals measured at two points in time Researcher cannot control the influence of the passage of time Independent variable is quasi-independent Figure 1.7 Two Examples of Nonexperimental Studies (1 of 2) Figure 1.7 Two Examples of Nonexperimental Studies (2 of 2) Learning Check 3 (1 of 2) • Researchers observed that students’ exam scores were higher the more sleep they had the night before. This study is _____. A. Descriptive B. Experimental comparison of groups C. Non-experimental group comparison D. Correlational Learning Check 3 – Answer (1 of 2) • Researchers observed that students’ exam scores were higher the more sleep they had the night before. This study is _____. A. Descriptive B. Experimental comparison of groups C. Non-experimental group comparison D. Correlational Learning Check 3 (2 of 2) • Decide if each of the following statements is True or False. • T/F – • All research methods have an independent variable T/F – All research methods can show cause-and-effect relationships Learning Check 3 – Answer (2 of 2) • False – • Correlational methods do not need an independent variable False – Only experiments control the influence of participants and environmental variables 1-4 Statistical Notation • Statistics uses operations and notations you have already learned – • Appendix A has a Mathematical Review Statistics also uses some specific notation – – – Scores are referred to as X (and Y) N is the number of scores in a population n is the number of scores in a sample Summation Notation • • Many statistical procedures involve summing (adding up) a set of scores The summation sign Σ stands for summation – – – The Σ is always followed by a symbol or equation that defines what is to be summed Summation is done after operations in parentheses, squaring, and multiplication or division Summation is done before other addition or subtraction Learning Check 4 (1 of 2) • ∑X2 + 47 instructs you to _____. A. Square each score and add 47 to it, then sum those numbers B. Square each score add up the squared scores, then add 47 to that sum C. Add 47 to each score, square the result, and sum those numbers D. Add up the scores, square that sum, and add 47 to it Learning Check 4 – Answer (1 of 2) • ∑X2 + 47 instructs you to _____. A. Square each score and add 47 to it, then sum those numbers B. Square each score add up the squared scores, then add 47 to that sum C. Add 47 to each score, square the result, and sum those numbers D. Add up the scores, square that sum, and add 47 to it Learning Check 4 (2 of 2) • Decide if each of the following equations is True or False T/F ∑X2 = (∑X)2 T/F (∑X) • (∑X) = (∑X)2 Learning Check 4 – Answer (2 of 2) • False – • When the operations are performed in a different order, the results will be different True – This is the definition of (∑X)2 Clear Your Doubts, Ask Questions