MDM 4U Culminating Tasks Mathematics of Data Management End of Year Review This review will help you prepare for the final exam. In answering these questions you may consult with others but it is essential that you know how to do these questions on your own before the exam. Part 1 - Combinatorics 1. Given the ten digits 0, 1, 2, … ,9, find how many 4-digit numbers can be made from them with each of the following restrictions: a) No digit may be repeated. b) Repetitions are allowed. c) No digit is repeated and the number is odd. __________________ _________________ _________________ 2. Given five flags of different colours, how many signals can be made if at least three flags must be used for each signal. A “signal” is a particular arrangement of flags on a vertical pole. _________________ 3. A student has six examinations to write and there are ten examination periods available. How many different examination timetables can he get? 4. In how many ways can eight books be arranged on a shelf if two specified books must not be side by side? _________________ 5. In how many ways can a selection of fruit be made from six plums, five apples and eight oranges? Include the possibility that not all types of fruit are selected; also, selecting no fruit at all is not an option. _________________ MDM 4U Culminating Tasks 6. Given a set of 12 points, no 3 of which are on a straight line, find the number of triangles that can be formed using the points as vertices. 7. How many selections of one or more letters can be made from 3 A’s, 7 B’s and/or 11 C’s? ________________ 8. Find the number of ways in which 16 different objects can be divided into 3 parcels containing 4, 5 and 7 objects. 9. How many different characters can be transmitted by Morse code if each character is represented by not more than 5 dots and/or dashes? 10. How many ways can the letters of the word HOPEFUL be arranged if the consonants must remain in the original order? _______________ 11. Four co-workers are to be selected from a pool of 10 workers to attend a conference. However, two of the co-workers cannot both be selected at the same time. Given this restriction, in how many ways can the co-workers be selected? 12. In how many ways can eight identical, delicious, fried tofu squares be distributed among three people, including the possibility that a person gets no squares? ________________ 13. How many ways can the letters of the word IMPONDERABLY be arranged to that any arrangement does not include the words POND or ABLE? MDM 4U Part 2 – Probability and Probability Distributions 14. Culminating Tasks ________________ What is the probability of winning the game rock-paper-scissors: a) On the first go? b) On the second go (assuming the first go was a tie)? _______________ 15. A tetrahedral die has four faces each numbered 1 through 4. What is the probability of getting a sum of 5 on a single toss of two tetrahedral dice? ________________ 16. A bicycle shop has ten inner tubes for sale but one of them has a leak. What is the probability that the fourth person to buy an inner tube gets the one that is leaky? _______________ 17. Two factories, I and II, produce 30% and 70% of the daily outputs of brake calipers for a particular company. Factory I produces 5% defectives and Factory II produces 8% defectives. A brake caliper is sampled from the day’s production. What is the probability that it is from Factory II and defective? 18. An e-mail is sent to two people. The probability that it will be read before the weekend by at most one of the two people is 0.7 and the probability that it will be read by at least one of the two people is 0.5. What is the probability that it will be read before the weekend by the two people? ________________ 19. Art, Becky, Chris, Deidre and Engel go out for dinner each Thursday. Each time, they randomly pick two of the group to pay for the dinner. What is the probability that Chris or Deirdre (or both) pay for this Thursday’s dinner? ________________ MDM 4U 20. Culminating Tasks In a large apartment complex, 40% of the residents read The Toronto Sun and 25% read The Toronto Star. Five percent of the residents read both papers. a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen person from this complex reads exactly one of the two papers. ________________ b) Given that one of the readers of The Toronto Sun has been randomly selected, what is the probability that this person reads The Toronto Star? ________________ 21. At a large university, 49% of the students are female, 69% live in dorms, and 42% are from the province of Ontario. Further, 34% of the students are females who live in the dorms, 19% are females who are from the province of Ontario, and 16% are from the province of Ontario who live in the dorms. Finally, 7% of the students are females who live in the dorms and are from the province of Ontario. What is the probability that a randomly chosen student from this university is a male who does not live in the dorms and is not from the province of Ontario? 22. A box contains 100 gaskets but 15 of them are defective. You purchase 8 of the gaskets which are selected at random from the box. What is the probability that exactly 2 of them are defective? ________________ 23. In Canada, roughly 75 percent of adults wear glasses or contact lenses. A random sample of 10 adults in the Canada will be selected. What is the probability that fewer than 8 of the selected adults wear glasses or contact lenses? ________________ 24. In five-card poker, five cards are dealt from a standard deck of 52 cards. Which is more probable: a full house (three-of-a-kind and two of a kind) or four-of-a-kind? Do the calculations to justify your answer. ________________ MDM 4U 25. Culminating Tasks Airlines routinely overbook flights because they expect a certain number of no-shows. An airline runs a 5 P.M. commuter flight from Washington, D.C., to New York City on a plane that holds 38 passengers. Past experience has shown that if 41 tickets are sold for the flight, then the probability distribution for the number who actually show up for the flight is as shown in the table below. Let X be the number of people who actually show up to the flight and assume 41 tickets are sold for each flight. 36 37 38 39 40 41 X P( X ) 0.46 0.30 0.16 0.05 0.02 0.01 a) There are 38 seats on a flight. What is the probability that all passengers who show up for the 5 P.M. flight will get a seat? b) What is the expected number of people to show up for a flight? ________________ 26. The nine delegates to the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) talks included 2 officials from Mexico, 3 officials from Canada, and 4 officials from the United States. During the opening session, three of the delegates fall asleep. Assuming that the three sleepers were determined randomly, what is the probability that exactly two of the sleepers are from the same country? ________________ Part 3 – Statistics and Probability 27. Judith scored 680 on the SAT math test and 27 on the ACT math test. Scores on the math section of the SAT vary from 200 to 800 with a mean of 514 and a standard deviation of 117. Scores on the math section of the ACT vary from 1 to 36, with a mean of 21 and a standard deviation of 5.3. Calculate Judith’s standardized score on each test (z-score) and determine which of her test scores was better. ________________ 28. Jennifer and her son Leo graduated from the same high school. Jennifer’s GPA was 3.9 and Leo’s was 4.2. However, when Jennifer graduated, the mean GPA was 2.8 with a standard deviation of 0.6. When Leo graduated, the mean GPA was 3.2 with a standard deviation of 0.7. Based on this information, which person had a higher score relative to their peers? Justify your answer. ________________ MDM 4U 29. Culminating Tasks Suppose a person’s diastolic blood pressure X (in millimetres of mercury) can be modelled by a normal distribution, X ~ N(70, 400). a) A healthy diastolic pressure for an adult is less than 80. Determine P(X < 80) for a randomly chosen person. b) A diastolic pressure between 80 and 90 indicates borderline high blood pressure. What percent of adults have borderline high blood pressure? ________________ 30. In the United States, egg sizes are set by the Department of Agriculture. A “large” egg, for example, weighs between 57 and 64 grams. Suppose the weights of eggs produced by hens of a particular farmer are normally distributed with a mean of 55.8 grams and a standard deviation of 7.5 grams. For a randomly selected egg from this farmer’s hens, what is the probability that it is a “large” egg? ________________ 31. 32. The army reports that the distribution of head circumference among soldiers is approximately normal with mean 57.912 cm and a standard deviation of 2.794 cm. Helmets are mass produced for all except the smallest 5% and the largest 5% of head sizes. What range of head sizes get custom-made helmets? ________________ Scores on the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale (a standard IQ test) for the 20-to-34 age group are normally distributed, X ~ N(110, 625). MENSA only admits members who score in the top 2% on IQ tests. What score on the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale would an individual aged 20 to 34 have to earn to qualify for MENSA membership? ________________ 33. Suppose 11% of the students at UTS are left-handed. In a random sample of 100 students, what is the probability that at least 20 of the students are left-handed. (In answering, use a normal approximation to a binomial.) ________________ MDM 4U Culminating Tasks 34. A multiple-choice test consisting of 40 questions is given to a Data Management class. Each question has four choices and there is no penalty for guessing. What is the probability of passing the test by random guessing? (In answering, use a normal approximation to a binomial.) 35. In the United States, 20% of adults ages 25 and older have never been married (more than double the figure recorded for 1960). In a random sample of 50 U.S. adults ages 25 and older, what is the probability that at most 5 have never been married? Part 4 – One-Variable and Two-Variable Statistics 36. Suppose you are writing a multiple-choice test with 20 questions, each having a choice of 5 answers. Now suppose that you make random guesses on the test. Intuitively, you would assume that your mark will be somewhere around 4 out of 20 since there is a 1 in 5 chance of guessing right on each question. However, it is possible that you could get any number of the questions right—anywhere from zero to a perfect score. A simulation was designed to model the guesses made on the test. The results of 100 simulations are shown. a) Describe the distribution above. b) Based on this simulation, estimate the probability of getting less than five answers correct. MDM 4U 37. Culminating Tasks The table and scatter plot show data for the full-time employees of a small company. a) The linear correlation coefficient for this data set is r = 0.982. Interpret this value. b) The equation of the LSRL is given by (income) = −0.85 + 1.15(age) . Interpret the meaning of the slope in this context. c) Use the LSRL to predict the income for a new employee who is 21 and an employee retiring at age 65. d) Calculate the residual for the 33-year-old employee. 38. Match each of the following coefficients of determination with one of the diagrams below. a) 0 b) 0.5 c) 0.9 d) 1 MDM 4U Culminating Tasks Answers Part 1 – Combinatorics 1. a) 4536 b) 9000 c) 2240 2. 300 3. 151 200 4. 30 240 5. 377 6. 220 7. 383 8. 1 441 440 9. 62 10. 210 11. 182 12. 45 13. 478 276 560 Part 2 – Probability and Probability Distributions 14. a) 1/3 b) 1/9 15. 1/4 16. 1/10 17. 7/125 18. 0.3 19. 7/10 20. a) 0.55 b) 1/8 or 0.125 21. 2% or 0.02 22. 0.247 23. 0.47 (Use Binomial Theorem and Compliments: 1 – [P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X = 10] ) 24. Full House 25. a) 0.92 b) ~36.9 passengers 26. 55/84 Part 3 – Statistics and Probability 27. SAT 28. Jennifer 29. a) 0.691 b) 0.150 30. 0.299 31. <53.316 or >62.508 (Note: standard deviation is meant to be in cm) 32. 161.344 33. 0.0033 34. 0.00026 35. 0.049 (discrete binomial calculation); 0.056 (normal approximation to the binomial) Part 4 – One-Variable and Two-Variable Statistics 36. a) Skewed Right, no obvious outliers, range of 10 b) ~60% 37. a) Strong, positive, linear correlation b) For every year increase in age, our model predicts an average salary increase of $1150. c) 21-year-old = $23,300 and 65-year-old = $73, 900. d) – 4.1. Roughly $4100 below predicted value. 38. a) iii b) i c) iv d) ii