ENVE455 – Engineering Hydrology Lecture 3: Precipitation Prepared by J. Sui, Ph.D., P.Eng. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 1 The hydrological cycle ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 2 1. The types of precipitations Precipitation includes rainfall, snowfall, hail, etc. ✓ The rain comes from the reunion of small droplets into big droplets. These droplets can subsequently develop, colliding with each others, reaching 7mm in diameter. The droplets with a diameter smaller than 0.5mm form drizzle. ✓ The snow is formed from ice crystal masses, which resulted directly from water vapor, in the regions where the air temperature is lower than the freezing point. ✓ The sleet is a mixture of rain and snow. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 3 1. The types of precipitations (Cont.) ✓ The hail (0.5cm~5cm in diameter) usually consisting of concentric layers of clear ice and compact snow. ➢ The hail falls from cumulonimbus clouds (extremely dense, vertically developed cumulus, usually producing heavy rains, thunderstorms, or hailstorms) only, because of the strong updrafts inside the clouds. ➢ The rain droplets are raised at high altitudes where they freeze, → form ice grains, → fall by passing through cloud. ➢ suspended by strong updrafts, hail balls develop via the accumulation of new droplets of water that freeze. ➢ Finally, the hail gets free from the air current and falls on the ground. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 4 2. Formation of precipitation The formation of precipitation requires the lifting of an air mass in the atmosphere, → it cools and some of its moisture condenses. Lifting causes cooling because as air ascends, the pressure on it decreases and it expands. Lifting mechanism Certain storm characteristics are determined by the manner in which moist air is lifted to a height where precipitation can develop. The ability of the atmosphere to produce and sustain lifting forces depends on dynamic forces that initiate movement and the stability of the air mass being lifted: ✓ Air is stable if buoyancy forces oppose vertical motion; ✓ Air is unstable if they tend to accelerate vertical motion; ✓ Air is neutral if vertical motion is neither aided nor opposed. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 5 Lifting is initiated by 4 dynamic forces: ---frontal lifting, ---orographic lifting, ---convective lifting and ---convergence. Frontal lifting: where warm air is lifted over cooler air by frontal passage A warm air mass displacing a cold one tends to more or less gently override it, depending on the humidity of the air. ✓ If the air is fairly dry, the atmosphere tends toward stability and high clouds with little precipitation may occur; ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 6 Frontal lifting (Cont.) ✓If the air is moist, the cloud layer thickens from cirrus into stratus clouds, yielding slow, steady precipitation as the surface front approaches. ✓ In moist cases, precipitation accompanying warm front ➢ is light to moderate in intensity, whatever its form. ➢ It may last as long as several days and ➢ cover a broad area. ➢ Winds during storms are generally light. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 7 Frontal lifting (Cont.) ✓ A cold front tends to displace and lift the warmer air mass more sharply + violently. The rapid lifting causes precipitation to ➢ be heavier, ➢ more localized, and ➢ of shorten duration. ➢ A narrow band of high winds, heavy showers, and towering clouds often marks the passage of a cold front. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 8 Orographic lifting in which an air mass rises to pass over a mountain range Behind a topographic barrier, a pronounced rain shadow may occur as subsiding air masses warm and reverse the condensation process, preventing further precipitation. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 9 Convergence is air flowing into a low pressure area from the higher pressure air surrounding it. The inflowing air displaces upward the air of lower pressure and density. Most precipitation is associated with low-pressure system. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 10 Convective lifting: where air is drawn upwards by convective action, such as in the center of a thunderstorm cell. Convective lifting occurs when moist air is unstable and strong heating of the surface causes expansion and lifting of the air. ➢ Once the lifting is initiated, the air continues to rise as condensation release heat that prevents cooling to the temperature of the surrounding air at the same altitude. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 11 Convective lifting (Cont.) ➢ Raindrops may be held up by the rapidly rising air until they become large enough to fall. ➢ Some times, hail is formed when raindrops are repeatedly carried upward and freeze. ➢ Finally, rain/hail falls through the rising warm air. Usually, ✓ an extremely heavy rain, ✓ accompanied by a cold downdraft, ✓ covers only a small area and ✓ lasts for only short time. Convective storms are usually warm-weather phenomena. They tend to occur in the afternoon and early evening when temperatures are the highest. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 12 The global distribution of precipitation Precipitation varies in space and with time according to the general pattern of atmospheric circulation and according to local factors. Global distribution of mean annual rainfall (cm, Encyclopædia Britannica, Inc.). ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 13 Influence of the geographic conditions on precipitation distribution ✓Precipitations are very abundant (+200 cm) in the equatorial zone, where the high TEMP + vast surfaces of ocean provide large quantities of water vapors and unstable atmospheric conditions. Almost all of these precipitations are convective. ✓Precipitations are poor in the subtropical zones of high pressure, due to the descendent movements of the air and the strong drying process. (i.e., the deserts in N.+S.-Africa, Arabian, Iran, Australia, ect.) ✓The monsoon winds in Asia affect the precipitations in the SE side of the continent. In summer, the humid tropical air from the Indian Ocean comes across mountains and lots of orographic precipitations occur. ✓In the arctic regions, the annual rainfall is very low. The Temp. is low. Thus it doesn't contain a lot of water vapors. In addition, the low Temp. reduce the evaporation process → during the summer there is much of soil humidity and surface water, and during the winter, snow and ice. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 14 3. Rainfall Characteristics Rainfall is the source of the world's fresh-water supplies. Knowing the nature and characteristics of rainfall, one can conceptualize and predict its effect in runoff, infiltration, evapo-transpiration (ET), and water yield. In general, for the short term: runoff = rainfall - infiltration for the long-term: water yield = rainfall - ET – deep GW recharge ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 15 Rainfall characteristics affect the runoff amount which occurs,. Specific important characteristics of rainfall are: ✓Size and Shape ✓Intensity and Duration These are usually inversely related, i.e., high intensity storms are likely to be of short duration and low intensity storms can have a long duration. ✓Intensity and Area We can expect a less intense rainfall (amount also) over a large area than over a small area. ✓Intensity and Drop Size High intensity storms have a larger drop size than low intensity storms. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 16 Storm Patterns ✓Classified based on the intensity of the storm and the pattern of the rainfall intensity histogram [rainfall intensity (cm/hr) versus time plot] ✓Storm patterns will determine the shape of the runoff hydrograph ➢ Uniform Pattern: Storm with nearly constant rainfall intensity ➢ Advanced Pattern: Period of maximum intensity occurs early in the storm event ➢ Normal or Intermediate Pattern: Period of max. intensity occurs near the center of the storm event ➢ Delayed pattern: Period of maximum intensity occurs late in the storm event ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 17 Intensity-Duration-Frequency Relationships Relationships btw. Max. rainfall depth and duration and frequency of occurrence are relatively consistent over a wide area. Long term records can be used to estimate, with a reasonable degree of accuracy, the max. rainfall to be expected for various durations and frequencies. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 18 3. The precipitation recorded on the watersheds It is not possible to know precisely how much precipitation falls on any watershed over a period of time. There are always two types of errors involved in determining watershed precipitation: ✓ Measurement errors ✓ Sampling errors Precipitation estimations Precipitation estimations often require extrapolation from a single gage outside a watershed, or interpolation from two widely separated gages. However, where several gages are found in or near a watershed, the amount of precipitation can be estimated by several techniques: ---arithmetic mean; ---the method of the Thiessen polygons; ---the isohyets method; ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 19 Point measurements, but need Point measurements, but need spatial data: ---Thiessen Polygons method spatial data: Thiessen Polygons ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 20 Isohyetal method Point measurements, but need spatial data: --Isohyetal method ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 21 4. Extreme Rainfall Rainfall Frequency Analysis ✓ Frequency analysis of annual historical rainfall events of a specified duration involves exactly the same procedure as the frequency analysis of peak flows. ✓ In the same way, short duration rainfall has a higher average intensity than long duration rainfall for a particular return period. ✓ Therefore, you have to do your frequency analysis for each duration of interest (e.g., 15 min, 30 min, 2 hrs, 24 hrs, etc). ✓ If you ask for a return period rainfall, such as the 100 year rainfall, you need to specify the duration. ✓ If you have the depth and the duration, you can compute the corresponding intensity. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 22 Where do we get the data? → Environment Canada What rainfall data are typically available? → Daily data Thus, you can do your won frequency analysis of daily values. These can be converted to equivalent 24 hour values using a standard average ratio of 1.13 (NOAA). (This is because a 24-hr event can split between two days) Note: This only gives you one duration → 24 hours Typically for rainfall, we talk about Intensity, Duration, and Frequency (IDF) Where do we get data for other durations? ➢ Different duration data are available for a limited number of stations across Canada from Environment Canada Why not at all stations? ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 23 IDF DATA ❖Accessing publically available IDF information (Environment Canada) ➢ http://climate.weather.gc.ca/index_e.html ➢ Navigate to “Engineering Climate Datasets” dropdown, ➢ and select “Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) Files” Open the folder titled “IDF_v3.20_2021_03_26/” ➢ Download IDF_Google_App.zip ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 24 IDF DATA (Cont.) ❖Once downloaded, unzip the file, and then open the IDF_Google_App file using Internet Explorer. ❖Note that this app may not work with the newest version of Internet Explorer. ❖The interactive map should display coloured circles with numbers inside. Navigate the map until you’ve located a station within your region of interest. ❖► Select the station of interest, and then either select “IDF Curve” or “IDF Table”. ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 25 Rainfall Frequency Analysis CI VL41 8 ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 6 26 1 Rainfall Frequency Atlas of Canada (1985) RAINFALL FREQUENCY ATLAS OF https://www.worldcat.org/title/rainfall-frequency-atlas-forcanada/oclc/13455195 CANADA (24-hr B.C. - mean) Rainfall Frequency Atlas of Canada (24-hr B.C. - mean) → → CIVL 418 ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 27 Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) ➢Defined by the World Meteorological Association as “theoretically the greatest depth of precipitation for a given duration that is physically possible over a given size storm area at particular location at a certain time of year”. ➢The PMP is derived by analyzing historical storms and estimating the increased precipitation that would be expected if maximum atmospheric moisture were available. ➢No probability is associated with this value because it is derived deterministically and theoretically the probability of exceedance is zero. → typically 104 to 108 years ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 28 PMP in Canada In the US, government publications are available to provide guidance for estimating the PMP. There are different reports and maps for every region in the US. ✓In Canada we don’t have any strong guidelines or reports to follow. ✓BC Hydro employs specialist meteorologists to complete detailed PMP studies using the moisture maximization procedure. ✓Most others use the Herschfield Eq. and the frequency factor approach. is mean of the 24 hour annual extremes ENVE455-03, Prepared by J.Sui 29