Supply Chain Management: Strategy, Planning, and Operation Seventh Edition, Global Edition Chapter 11 Managing Economies of Scale in a Supply Chain Cycle Inventory Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Learning Objectives (1 of 2) 11.1 Describe the role of cycle inventory in a supply chain. 11.2 Choose the optimal lot size given fixed ordering costs in a supply chain. 11.3 Evaluate how aggregation is best implemented to reduce cycle inventory in a supply chain. 11.4 Understand the impact of quantity discounts on lot size and cycle inventory. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Learning Objectives (2 of 2) 11.5 Devise appropriate discounting schemes for a supply chain. 11.6 Understand the impact of trade promotions on lot size and cycle inventory. 11.7 Develop replenishment policies to improve synchronization in multiechelon supply chains. 11.8 Identify managerial levers that reduce lot size and cycle inventory in a supply chain without increasing cost. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Role of Cycle Inventory in a Supply Chain (1 of 8) • Lot or batch size is the quantity that a stage of a supply chain either produces or purchases at a time • Cycle inventory is the average inventory in a supply chain due to either production or purchases in lot sizes that are larger than those demanded by the customer Q: Quantity in a lot or batch size D: Demand per unit time Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Inventory Profile Figure 11-1 Inventory Profile of Jeans at Jean-Mart Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Role of Cycle Inventory in a Supply Chain (2 of 8) lot size Q Cycle inventory 2 2 average inventory Average flow time average flow rate Average flow time cycle inventory resulting from cycle demand inventory Q 2D Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Role of Cycle Inventory in a Supply Chain (3 of 8) For lot sizes of 1,000 pairs of jeans and daily demand of 100 pairs of jeans Average flow time Q 1,000 resulting from cycle 2D 2 100 inventory 5 days Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Role of Cycle Inventory in a Supply Chain (4 of 8) • Lower cycle inventory – Decreases vulnerability to demand changes – Lowers working capital requirements – Lowers inventory holding costs • Cycle inventory is held to – Take advantage of economies of scale – Reduce costs in the supply chain Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Role of Cycle Inventory in a Supply Chain (5 of 8) • Average price paid per unit purchased is a key cost in the lot-sizing decision Material cost = C • Fixed ordering cost includes all costs that do not vary with the size of the order but are incurred each time an order is placed Fixed ordering cost = S • Holding cost is the cost of carrying one unit in inventory for a specified period of time Holding cost = H = hC Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Role of Cycle Inventory in a Supply Chain (6 of 8) • Following costs considered in lot sizing decisions Average price per unit purchased, $C unit Fixed ordering cost incurred per lot, $S lot Holding cost incurred per unit per year, $H / unit / year hC Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Role of Cycle Inventory in a Supply Chain (7 of 8) • Primary role of cycle inventory is to allow different stages to purchase product in lot sizes that minimize the sum of material, ordering, and holding costs • Ideally, cycle inventory decisions should consider costs across the entire supply chain • In practice, each stage generally makes its own supply chain decisions • Increases total cycle inventory and total costs in the supply chain Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Role of Cycle Inventory in a Supply Chain (8 of 8) • Economies of scale exploited in three typical situations 1. A fixed cost is incurred each time an order is placed or produced 2. The supplier offers price discounts based on the quantity purchased per lot 3. The supplier offers short-term price discounts or holds trade promotions Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Summary of Learning Objective 1 Cycle inventory builds up in a supply chain because product is produced or purchased in large lots to lower the sum of material, ordering, and holding costs by exploiting economies of scale. Opportunities to exploit economies of scale arise if a fixed cost is incurred each time an order is placed or produced, the supplier offers price discounts based on the quantity purchased per lot, or the supplier offers short-term price discounts. A reduction in cycle inventory improves a supply chain’s ability to match supply with demand. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Economies of Scale to Exploit Fixed Costs • Lot sizing for a single product (EOQ) D = Annual demand of the product S = Fixed cost incurred per order C = Cost per unit h = Holding cost per year as a fraction of product cost • Basic assumptions – Demand is steady at D units per unit time – No shortages are allowed – Replenishment lead time is fixed Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Estimating Cycle Inventory Related Costs in Practice (1 of 3) • Inventory Holding Cost – Cost of capital WACC E D (Rf MRP) Rb (1 t) DE DE Where E = amount of equity D = amount of debt Rf = risk-free rate of return β = the firm’s beta MRP = market risk premium Rb = rate at which the firm can borrow money t = tax rate Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Estimating Cycle Inventory Related Costs in Practice (2 of 3) • Inventory Holding Cost – Obsolescence (or spoilage) cost – Handling cost – Occupancy cost – Miscellaneous costs Theft, security, damage, tax, insurance Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Estimating Cycle Inventory Related Costs in Practice (3 of 3) • Ordering Cost – Buyer time – Transportation costs – Receiving costs – Other costs Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lot Sizing for a Single Product (Economic Order Quantity) • Basic assumptions 1. Demand is steady at D units per unit time. 2. No shortages are allowed—that is, all demand must be supplied from stock 3. Replenishment lead time is fixed (initially assumed to be zero) • Minimize – Annual material cost – Annual ordering cost – Annual holding cost Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lot Sizing for a Single Product (1 of 3) Annual material cost CD D Number of orders per year Q D Annual ordering cost S Q Q Q Annual holding cost H hC 2 2 D Q Total annual cost, TC S hC CD 2 Q Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lot Sizing for a Single Product (2 of 3) Figure 11-2 Effect of Lot Size on Costs at Best Buy Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lot Sizing for a Single Product (3 of 3) • The economic order quantity (EOQ) Optimal lot size, Q* 2DS hC • The optimal ordering frequency n* D DhC Q* 2S Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. EOQ Example (1 of 3) Annual demand, D 1,000 12 12,000units Order cost per lot, S = $4,000 Unit cost per computer, C = $500 Holding cost per year as a fraction of unit cost, h = 0.2 Optimal order size Q* 2 12,000 4,000 980 0.2 500 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. EOQ Example (2 of 3) Cycle inventory Q * 980 490 2 2 D 12,000 Number of orders per year 12.24 Q* 980 D Q* Annual ordering and holding cost S hC $97,980 Q* 2 Average flow time Q* 490 0.041 0.49 month 2D 12,000 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Key Point (1 of 3) Total ordering and holding costs are relatively stable around the economic order quantity. A firm is often better served by ordering a convenient lot size close to the EOQ rather than the precise EOQ. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Key Point (2 of 3) If demand increases by a factor of k, the optimal lot size increases by a factor of k . The number of orders placed per year should also increase by a factor of k . Flow time attributed to cycle inventory should decrease by a factor of k . Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. EOQ Example (3 of 3) • Lot size reduced to Q = 200 units Annual inventory - related costs D Q S hC $250,000 Q 2 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lot Size and Ordering Cost • If the lot size Q* = 200, how much should the ordering cost be reduced? Desired lot size, Q* = 200 Annual demand, D 1,000 12 12,000units Unit cost per computer, C = $500 Holding cost per year as a fraction of inventory value, h = 0.2 hC(Q*)2 0.2 500 2002 S $166.7 2D 2 12,000 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Key Point (3 of 3) To reduce the optimal lot size by a factor of k, the fixed order cost S must be reduced by a factor of k 2 . Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Production Lot Sizing • The entire lot does not arrive at the same time • Production occurs at a specified rate P • Inventory builds up at a rate of P−D • Inventory depleted at a rate of D QP Annual setup cost 2DS (1 D P )hC Annual holding cost D P S Q Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lot Sizing with Capacity Constraint • If order size is constrained to K units and Q > K, – Compare the cost of ordering K units and the EOQ – Optimal order size is the minimum of EOQ and capacity K Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Summary of Learning Objective 2 In deciding on the optimal lot size, the supply chain goal is to minimize the total cost—the order cost, holding cost, and material cost. As lot size increases, so does the annual holding cost. However, the annual order cost and, in some instances, the annual material cost decrease with an increase in lot size. The EOQ balances the three costs to obtain the optimal lot size. The higher the order and transportation cost, the higher the lot size and cycle inventory. The optimal lot size can be decreased if the fixed cost associated with each lot is reduced. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Aggregating Multiple Products in a Single Order • Savings in transportation costs – Reduces fixed cost for each product – Lot size for each product can be reduced – Cycle inventory is reduced • Single delivery from multiple suppliers or single truck delivering to multiple retailers • Reduce receiving and loading costs to reduce cycle inventory Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lot Sizing with Multiple Products or Customers (1 of 2) • Ordering, transportation, and receiving costs grow with the variety of products or pickup points • Lot sizes and ordering policy that minimize total cost Di: Annual demand for product i S: Order cost incurred each time an order is placed, independent of the variety of products in the order si: Additional order cost incurred if product i is included in the order Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lot Sizing with Multiple Products or Customers (2 of 2) • Three approaches 1. Each product manager orders his or her model independently 2. The product managers jointly order every product in each lot 3. Product managers order jointly but not every order contains every product; that is, each lot contains a selected subset of the products Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Multiple Products Ordered and Delivered Independently (1 of 2) Demand DL 12,000 yr , DM 1,200 yr , DH 120 yr Common order cost S = $4,000 Product-specific order cost sL $1,000, sM $1,000, sH $1,000 Holding cost h = 0.2 Unit cost CL $500, CM $500, CH $500 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Multiple Products Ordered and Delivered Independently (2 of 2) Table 11-1 Lot Sizes and Costs for Independent Ordering Blank Litepro Medpro Heavypro Demand per year 12,000 1,200 120 Fixed cost/order $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 Optimal order size 1,095 346 110 Cycle inventory 548 173 55 $54,772 $17,321 $5,477 year 11.011.0 per year 3.5 3.5 per year year 1.1year year 1.1 per Annual ordering cost $54,772 $17,321 $5,477 Average flow time 2.4 weeks 7.5 weeks 23.7 weeks Annual cost $109,544 $34,642 $10,954 Annual holding cost Order frequency Total annual cost = $155,140 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lots Ordered and Delivered Jointly S * S sL sM sH Annual order cost = S * n DL hCL DM hCM DH hCH Annual holding cost 2n 2n 2n DL hCL DM hCM DH hCH Total annual cost S*n 2n 2n 2n DL hCL DM hCM DH hCH n* 2S * D hC n* k i 1 i i 2S * Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Products Ordered and Delivered Jointly (1 of 2) S * S sA sB sC $7,000 per order 12,000 100 1,200 100 120 100 n* 9.75 2 7,000 Annual order cost 9.75 7,000 $68,250 Annual ordering and holding cost = $61,512 + $6,151 + $615 + $68,250 = $136,528 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Products Ordered and Delivered Jointly (2 of 2) Table 11-2 Lot Sizes and Costs for Joint Ordering at Best Buy Blank Litepro Medpro Heavypro Demand per year (D) 12,000 1,200 120 Order frequency (n∗) 9.75 per year year 9.75 9.75 peryear year 9.75 9.75 peryear year 9.75 1,230 123 12.3 615 61.5 6.15 $61,512 $6,151 $615 2.67 weeks 2.67 weeks 2.67 weeks Optimal order size (D/n∗) Cycle inventory Annual holding cost Average flow time Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Aggregation with Capacity Constraint (1 of 3) • W.W. Grainger example Demand per product, Di = 10,000 Holding cost, h = 0.2 Unit cost per product, Ci = $50 Common order cost, S = $500 Supplier-specific order cost, si = $100 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Aggregation with Capacity Constraint (2 of 3) S S s1 s2 s3 s4 $900 per order D hC 4 10,000 0.2 50 n 14.91 4 i 1 1 2S 1 2 900 900 Annual order cost 14.91 $3,355 4 Annual holding hCi Q 671 0.2 50 $3,355 cost per supplier 2 2 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Aggregation with Capacity Constraint (3 of 3) Total required capacity per truck 4 671 2,684 units Truck capacity = 2,500 units 2,500 625 Order quantity from each supplier 4 10,000 Order frequency increased to 16 625 Annual order cost per supplier increases to $3,600 Annual holding cost per supplier decreases to $3,125 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lots Ordered and Delivered Jointly for a Selected Subset (1 of 3) Step 1: Identify the most frequently ordered product assuming each product is ordered independently ni hCi Di 2(S si ) Step 2: For all products i i , evaluate the ordering frequency ni hCi Di 2si Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lots Ordered and Delivered Jointly for a Selected Subset (2 of 3) Step 3: For all i i , evaluate the frequency of product i relative to the most frequently ordered product i* to be mi mi n ni Step 4: Recalculate the ordering frequency of the most frequently ordered product i* to be n hC m D n 2 S s / m l i 1 i i l i 1 i i Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lots Ordered and Delivered Jointly for a Selected Subset (3 of 3) Step 5: Evaluate an order frequency of ni n mi and the total cost of such an ordering policy Di TC nS ni si hC1 i 1 i 1 2ni l l Tailored aggregation – higher-demand products ordered more frequently and lower-demand products ordered less frequently Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Ordered and Delivered Jointly – Frequency Varies by Order (1 of 4) • Applying Step 1 nL hCLDL 11.0 2(S sL ) Thus n 11.0 nM hCM DM 3.5 2(S sM ) nH hCH DH 1.1 2(S sH ) Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Ordered and Delivered Jointly – Frequency Varies by Order (2 of 4) • Applying Step 2 nM hCM DM 7.7 and nH 2sM hCH DH 2.4 2sH • Applying Step 3 n 11.0 n 11.0 mM 2 and mH 5 nM 7.7 nH 2.4 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Ordered and Delivered Jointly – Frequency Varies by Order (3 of 4) • Applying Step 4 n = 11.47 • Applying Step 5 nL 11.47 / yr nM 11.47 / 2 5.74 / yr nH 11.47 / 5 2.29 / yr Annual order cost nS nLsL nM sM nH sH $65,383.50 Total annual cost $130,767 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Ordered and Delivered Jointly – Frequency Varies by Order (4 of 4) Table 11-3 Lot Sizes and Costs for Ordering Policy Using Heuristic Blank Litepro Medpro Heavypro Demand per year (D) 12,000 1,200 120 2.292.29 per year Order frequency (n∗) Optimal order size (D/n∗) Cycle inventory Annual holding cost Average flow time year 5.745.74 year 11.4711.47 per year per year 1,046 209 52 523 104.5 26 $52,307 $10,461 $2,615 2.27 weeks 4.53 weeks 11.35 weeks Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Summary of Learning Objective 3 A key to reducing lot size without increasing costs is reducing the fixed cost associated with each lot. This may be achieved by aggregating lots across multiple products, customers, or suppliers. Complete aggregation, where all products are included in each order, is very effective when product-specific order costs are small. If product-specific order costs are large, tailored aggregation, where only a subset of products is included in each order, is more effective. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Economies of Scale to Exploit Quantity Discounts • Lot size-based discount – discounts based on quantity ordered in a single lot • Volume based discount – discount is based on total quantity purchased over a given period • Two common schemes – All-unit quantity discounts – Marginal unit quantity discount or multi-block tariffs Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Quantity Discounts • Two basic questions 1. What is the optimal purchasing decision for a buyer seeking to maximize profits? How does this decision affect the supply chain in terms of lot sizes, cycle inventories, and flow times? 2. Under what conditions should a supplier offer quantity discounts? What are appropriate pricing schedules that a supplier seeking to maximize profits should offer? Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. All-Unit Quantity Discounts (1 of 6) • Pricing schedule has specified quantity break points q0 , q1, , qr , where q0 0 • If an order is placed that is at least as large as qi but smaller than qi 1, then each unit has an average unit cost of Ci • Unit cost generally decreases as the quantity increases, i.e., C0 C1 Cr • Objective is to decide on a lot size that will minimize the sum of material, order, and holding costs Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. All-Unit Quantity Discounts (2 of 6) Figure 11-3 Average Unit Cost with All Unit Quantity Discounts Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. All-Unit Quantity Discounts (3 of 6) Step 1: Evaluate the optimal lot size for each price Ci ,0 i r as follows Qi 2DS hCi Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. All-Unit Quantity Discounts (4 of 6) Step 2: We next select the order quantity Q*i for each price Ci 1. qi Qi qi 1 2. Qi qi 3. Qi qi 1 • Case 3 can be ignored as it is considered for Qi +1 * q Q q , then set Q • For Case 1 if i i i 1 i Qi • If Qi qi , then a discount is not possible • Set Q i qi to qualify for the discounted price of Ci Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. All-Unit Quantity Discounts (5 of 6) Step 3: Calculate the total annual cost of ordering Qi units D Qi* Total annual cost, TCi * S hCi DCi 2 Qi Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. All-Unit Quantity Discounts (6 of 6) Step 4: Select Qi* with the lowest total cost TCi • Cutoff price 1 DS h C * DCr qr Cr 2hDSCr D qr 2 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. All-Unit Quantity Discount Example (1 of 3) Order Quantity Unit Price 0–4,999 $3.00 5,000–9,999 $2.96 10,000 or more $2.92 q0 = 0, q1 = 5,000, q2 = 10,000 C0 = $3.00, C1 = $2.96, C2 = $2.92 D 120,000 year, S $100 lot, h 0.2 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. All-Unit Quantity Discount Example (2 of 3) Step 1 Q0 2DS 6,325; Q1 hC0 2DS 6,367; Q2 hC1 2DS 6,411 hC2 Step 2 Ignore i = 0 because Q0 = 6,325 > q1 = 5,000 For i = 1, 2 Q1* Q1 6,367; Q2* q2 10,000 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. All-Unit Quantity Discount Example (3 of 3) Step 3 D Q1* TC1 * S hC1 DC1 $358,969; TC2 $354,520 Q1 2 Lowest total cost is for i = 2 Order Q *2 = 10,000 bottles per lot at $2.92 per bottle Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Marginal Unit Quantity Discounts (1 of 6) • Multi-block tariffs – the marginal cost of a unit that decreases at a breakpoint For each value of i, 0 i r , let Vi be the cost of ordering qi units Vi C0 (q1 q0 ) C1 (q2 q1 ) ... Ci –1 (qi qi –1 ) Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Marginal Unit Quantity Discounts (2 of 6) Figure 11-4 Marginal Unit Cost with Marginal Unit Quantity Discount Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Marginal Unit Quantity Discounts (3 of 6) Material cost of each order Q is Vi Q qi Ci D Annual order cost S Q Annual holding cost Vi (Q qi )C i h / 2 Annual materials cost D Vi (Q qi )Ci Q D Total annual cost S Vi (Q qi )C i h / 2 Q D Vi (Q qi )Ci Q Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Marginal Unit Quantity Discounts (4 of 6) Step 1: Evaluate the optimal lot size for each price Ci Optimal lot size for Ci is Qi 2D(S Vi qi Ci ) hCi Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Marginal Unit Quantity Discounts (5 of 6) Step 2: Select the order quantity Qi* for each price Ci 1. If qi Qi qi 1 then set Qi* Qi 2. If Qi qi then set Qi* qi 3. If Qi qi 1 then set Qi* qi 1 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Marginal Unit Quantity Discounts (6 of 6) Step 3: Calculate the total annual cost of ordering Qi* D D * TCi * S Vi (Qi qi )C i h / 2 * Vi (Qi* qi )Ci Qi Qi Step 4: Select the order size Qi* with the lowest total cost TCi Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Marginal Unit Quantity Discount Example (1 of 3) • Original data now a marginal discount Order Quantity Unit Price 0−4,999 $3.00 5,000−9,999 $2.96 10,000 or more $2.92 q0 = 0, q1 = 5,000, q2 = 10,000 C0 = $3.00, C1 = $2.96, C2 = $2.92 D 120,000 year, S $100 lot, h 0.2 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Marginal Unit Quantity Discount Example (2 of 3) V0 0; V1 3(5,000 – 0) $15,000 V2 3(5,000 – 0) 2.96(10,000 – 5,000) $29,800 Step 1 Q0 2D(S V0 q0C0 ) 6,325 hC0 Q1 2D(S V1 q1C1 ) 11,028 hC1 Q2 2D(S V2 q2C2 ) 16,961 hC2 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Marginal Unit Quantity Discount Example (3 of 3) Step 2 Q0* q1 5,000 because Q0 6,324 5,000 Q1* q2 10,000; Q2 Q2 16,961 Step 3 D D TC0 * S V0 (Q0* q0 )C 0 h / 2 * V0 (Q0* q0 )C0 $363,900 Q0 Q0 D D TC1 * S V1 (Q1* q1 )C 1 h / 2 * V1 (Q1* q1 )C1 $361,780 Q1 Q1 D D TC2 * S V2 (Q2* q2 )C 2 h / 2 * V2 (Q2* q2 )C2 $360,365 Q2 Q2 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Summary of Learning Objective 4 Lot-size–based quantity discounts increase the lot size and cycle inventory within the supply chain because they encourage buyers to purchase in larger quantities to take advantage of the decrease in price. The relative increase in cycle inventory because of quantity discounts increases as the buyer reduces fixed costs per order. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Why Quantity Discounts? • Quantity discounts can increase the supply chain surplus for the following two main reasons 1. Improved coordination to increase total supply chain profits 2. Extraction of surplus through price discrimination Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Quantity Discounts for Commodity Products D = 120,000 bottles/year, SR = $100, hR = 0.2, CR = $3 SM = $250, hM = 0.2, CM = $2 2 120,000 100 QR 6,325 0.2 3 D QR Annual cost for DO hR CR $3,795 SR 2 QR 2DSR hR CR D QR Annual cost for manufacturer S hM CM $6,008 M 2 QR Annual supply chain cost (DO and manufacturer) $6,008 $3,795 $9,803 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Locally Optimal Lot Sizes Annual cost for DO and manufacturer D Q D Q SR hR CR SM hM CM Q 2 Q 2 Q* 2D(SR SM ) 9,165 hR CR hM CM D Q * Annual cost for DO S hR CR $4,059 R Q * 2 D Q * Annual cost for manufacturer S hM CM $5,106 M Q * 2 Annual supply chain cost DO and manufacturer $5,106 $4,059 $9,165 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Designing a Suitable Lot Size-Based Quantity Discount • Design a suitable quantity discount that gets DO to order in lots of 9,165 units when its aims to minimize only its own total costs • Manufacturer needs to offer an incentive of at least $264 per year to DO in terms of decreased material cost if DO orders in lots of 9,165 units • Appropriate quantity discount is $3 if DO orders in lots smaller than 9,165 units and $2.9978 for orders of 9,165 or more Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Quantity Discounts When Firm Has Market Power (1 of 3) Demand curve = 360,000−60,000p Production cost = CM = $2 per bottle ProfR ( p CR )(360,000 60,000 p ) ProfM (CR CM )(360,000 60,000 p ) CR p to maxim ize ProfR p 3 2 CR ProfM (CR CM ) 360,000 60,000 3 2 (CR 2)(180,000 30,000CR ) Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Quantity Discounts When Firm Has Market Power (2 of 3) CR = $4 per bottle, p = $5 per bottle Total market demand = 360,000 − 60,000p = 60,000 ProfR 5 4 360,000 60,000 5 $60,000 ProfM 4 2 360,000 60,000 5 $120,000 ProfSC p CM 360,000 60,000 p Coordinated retail price CM 2 p 3 3 $4 2 2 ProfSC $4 $2 120,000 $240,000 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Quantity Discounts When Firm Has Market Power (3 of 3) Prices coordinated at p = $4 Market demand = 360,000 − 60,000p = 120,000 bottles Total supply chain profit ProfSC $4 $2 120,000 $240,000 Prices set independently, supply chain loses $240,000 − $180,000 = $60,000 Double marginalization – supply chain margin divided between two stages Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Two-Part Tariff • Manufacturer charges its entire profit as an up-front franchise fee ff • Sells to the retailer at cost • Retail pricing decision is based on maximizing its profits • Effectively maximizes the coordinated supply chain profit Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Volume-Based Quantity Discounts • Design a volume-based discount scheme that gets the retailer to purchase and sell the quantity sold when the two stages coordinate their actions Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lessons from Discounting Schemes (1 of 2) • Quantity discounts play a role in supply chain coordination and improved supply chain profits • Discount schemes that are optimal are volume based and not lot size based unless the manufacturer has large fixed costs associated with each lot • Even in the presence of large fixed costs for the manufacturer, a two-part tariff or volume-based discount, with the manufacturer passing on some of the fixed cost to the retailer, optimally coordinates the supply chain and maximizes profits Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Lessons from Discounting Schemes (2 of 2) • Lot size–based discounts tend to raise the cycle inventory in the supply chain • Volume-based discounts are compatible with small lots that reduce cycle inventory • Retailers will tend to increase the size of the lot toward the end of the evaluation period, the hockey stick phenomenon • With multiple retailers with different demand curves optimal discount continues to be volume based with the average price charged to the retailers decreasing as the rate of purchase increases Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Price Discrimination to Maximize Supplier Profits • Firm charges differential prices to maximize profits • Setting a fixed price for all units does not maximize profits for the manufacturer • Manufacturer can obtain maximum profits by pricing each unit differently based on customers’ marginal willingness to pay at each quantity • Quantity discounts are one mechanism for price discrimination because customers pay different prices based on the quantity purchased Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Summary of Learning Objective 5 Quantity discounts are justified to increase total supply chain profits when independent lot-sizing decisions in a supply chain lead to suboptimal solutions from an overall supply chain perspective. If suppliers have large fixed costs, suitable lot-size–based quantity discounts can be justified because they help increase supply chain profits. For products for which the firm has market power, two-part tariffs or volume-based quantity discounts can be used to achieve coordination in the supply chain and maximize supply chain profits. Volume-based discounts are more effective than lot-size–based discounts in increasing supply chain profits without increasing lot size and cycle inventory. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Short-Term Discounting: Trade Promotions (1 of 2) • Trade promotions are price discounts for a limited period of time • Key goals 1. Induce retailers to use price discounts, displays, or advertising to spur sales 2. Shift inventory from the manufacturer to the retailer and the customer 3. Defend a brand against competition Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Short-Term Discounting: Trade Promotions (2 of 2) • Impact on the behavior of the retailer and supply chain performance • Retailer has two primary options 1. Pass through some or all of the promotion to customers to spur sales 2. Pass through very little of the promotion to customers but purchase in greater quantity during the promotion period to exploit the temporary reduction in price (forward buy) Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Forward Buying Inventory Profile Figure 11-5 Inventory Profile for Forward Buying Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Forward Buy (1 of 2) • Costs to be considered – material cost, holding cost, and order cost • Three assumptions 1. The discount is offered once, with no future discounts 2. The retailer takes no action to influence customer demand 3. Analyze a period over which the demand is an integer multiple of Q* Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Forward Buy (2 of 2) • Optimal order quantity dD CQ * Q (C – d )h C – d d • Retailers are often aware of the timing of the next promotion Forward buy Q d Q * Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Impact of Trade Promotions on Lot Sizes (1 of 2) Q * 6,325 bottles,C $3 per bottle d $0.15, D 120,000, h 0.2 Q* 6,324 Cycle inventory at DO 3,162.50 bottles 2 2 Q * 6,324 Average flow time 0.3162 months 2D 2D Qd dD CQ * (C – d )h C – d 0.15 120,000 3 6,325 38,236 (3.00 – 0.15) 0.20 3.00 – 0.15 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Impact of Trade Promotions on Lot Sizes (2 of 2) • With trade promotions Cycle inventory at DO Qd 38,236 19, 118bottles 2 2 Qd 38,236 Average flow time 2D 20,000 1.9118 months Forward buy Q d – Q* 38,236 – 6,325 31,911 bottles Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. How Much of a Discount Should the Retailer Pass through? • Profits for the retailer ProfR = (300,000 − 60,000p)p − (300,000 − 60,000p)CR • Optimal price p = (300,000 + 60,000CR ) / 120,000 • Demand with no promotion DR = 30,000 − 60,000p = 60,000 • Optimal price with discount p = (300,000 + 60,000 2.85) / 120,000 = $3.925 • Demand with promotion DR = 300,000 − 60,000p = 64,500 Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Trade Promotions (1 of 2) • Trade promotions generally increase cycle inventory in a supply chain and hurt performance • Counter measures – EDLP (every day low pricing) – Discount applies to items sold to customers (sell-through) not the quantity purchased by the retailer (sell-in) – Scanner-based promotions Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Trade Promotions (2 of 2) • Trade promotions may make sense – When deal elasticity and holding costs are high – With strong brands – As a competitive response Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Summary of Learning Objective 6 Faced with a short-term discount, it is optimal for retailers to pass through only a fraction of the discount to the customer, keeping the rest for themselves. Simultaneously, it is optimal for retailers to increase the purchase lot size and forward buy for future periods. Thus, trade promotions often lead to an increase of cycle inventory in a supply chain without a significant increase in customer demand. This generally results in reduced supply chain profits unless the trade promotion reduces demand fluctuations. Trade promotions may be justified as a competitive necessity or a one-time discount to eliminate built up inventory at the supplier. Trade promotions may also be justified for products where consumer demand is very sensitive to price discounts. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Managing Multiechelon Cycle Inventory (1 of 2) • Multiechelon supply chains have multiple stages with possibly many players at each stage • Lack of coordination in lot sizing decisions across the supply chain results in high costs and more cycle inventory than required • The goal is to decrease total costs by coordinating orders across the supply chain Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Managing Multiechelon Cycle Inventory (2 of 2) Figure 11-6 Inventory Profile at Retailer and Manufacturer with No Synchronization Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Integer Replenishment Policy (1 of 4) • Divide all parties within a stage into groups such that all parties within a group order from the same supplier and have the same reorder interval • Set reorder intervals across stages such that the receipt of a replenishment order at any stage is synchronized with the shipment of a replenishment order to at least one of its customers • For customers with a longer reorder interval than the supplier, make the customer’s reorder interval an integer multiple of the supplier’s interval and synchronize replenishment at the two stages to facilitate cross-docking Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Integer Replenishment Policy (2 of 4) • For customers with a shorter reorder interval than the supplier, make the supplier’s reorder interval an integer multiple of the customer’s interval and synchronize replenishment at the two stages to facilitate cross-docking • The relative frequency of reordering depends on the setup cost, holding cost, and demand at different parties • These polices make the most sense for supply chains in which cycle inventories are large and demand is relatively predictable Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Integer Replenishment Policy (3 of 4) Figure 11-7 Illustration of an Integer Replenishment Policy Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Integer Replenishment Policy (4 of 4) Figure 11-8 A Multiechelon Distribution Supply Chain Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Summary of Learning Objective 7 Integer replenishment policies can be synchronized in multiechelon supply chains to keep cycle inventory and costs low. Under such policies, the reorder interval at any stage is an integer multiple of a base reorder interval. Synchronized integer replenishment policies facilitate a high level of cross-docking across the supply chain. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Managerial Levers to Reduce Cycle Inventory (1 of 4) • Three factors drive lot sizing decisions – Fixed costs associated with production or purchasing – Quantity discounts offered by suppliers – Short-term price discounts offered by suppliers Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Managerial Levers to Reduce Cycle Inventory (2 of 4) • If buildup is due to large lots associated with fixed costs – reduce fixed costs – Decrease changeover times • If buildup is due to transportation – facilitate aggregation – Coordinating orders – Using intermediate locations to aggregate from multiple suppliers – Use milk runs for pickup and delivery Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Managerial Levers to Reduce Cycle Inventory (3 of 4) • If buildup is due to order placement and receiving – employ appropriate technologies – Electronic order placement – Advanced shipping notices – RFID • If buildup is due to lot sizing decisions – check supplier’s fixed costs – Reduce fixed costs – Employ volume-based discounts Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Managerial Levers to Reduce Cycle Inventory (4 of 4) • If buildup is due to short-term discounts – limit forward buying – EDLP – Link discount to sell-through rather than sell-in – Limit quantity purchased Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd. Summary of Learning Objective 8 • The key managerial levers for reducing lot size, and thus cycle inventory, in the supply chain without increasing cost are the following: • Reduce fixed ordering and transportation costs incurred per order. • Implement volume-based discounting schemes rather than individual lot-size–based discounting schemes. • Eliminate or reduce trade promotions and encourage EDLP. Base trade promotions on sell-through rather than sell-in to the retailer. Copyright © 2019 Pearson Education, Ltd.