Beta-carotene and lung cancer in smokers: a meta analysis Jon Beshara 2020 Tawee Tanyvetyanon MD, Gerold Bepler MD: Beta-carotene in multivitamins and possible risk of lung cancer among smokers vs former smokers CS Journal, 20/06/2008 (https://doi.org/10.1002/cncr.23527) (https://acsjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/cncr.23527) Introduction A meta analysis and evaluation of national brands Some studies suggest that beta carotene supplementation may increase the risk of lung cancer, particularly among smokers/former smokers. Beta carotene is a pro-vitamin A available in multivitamins. This study also surveyed the beta-carotene content in national brand multivitamins. Each year in the U.S., 200,000+ new cases of lung cancers are diagnosed and >150,000 people die of it. Preventative measures have been sought after including chemoprevention by dietary supplements, but has found little success. However, some studies have identified beta-carotene as being associated with an increased risk of lung cancer (esp. amongst smokers/former smokers) Introduction & further information A previous meta analysis containing data from 3 large trials suggested there is a marginally increased risk of lung cancer associated with beta-carotene supplementation ⅙ Americans regularly consume multivitamins! It is important to know how much beta-carotene is in national-brand multivitamins. A smaller proportion of smokers consume multivitamins than nonsmokers (healthier lifestyles) Cancer history = more likely to supplement How was the study conducted? In the study, we reviewed randomized controlled trials that reported the effect of beta carotene on the incidence of lung anecr. For the differential effect of beta carotene in high-risk population who are current/former smokers - meta analysis was performed on both groups separately. Studies were excluded if they were in patients with existing lung cancer. Methods Randomized control trials compared beta carotene vs placebo using search strategy on the MEDLINE database. Quantitative meta-analysis technique was used to pool data regarding the incidence of lung cancer using the random effects model. Used both the study sample size and between-study variation when weighing effects. Summary effect was expressed as the odds ratio. Trials & participants Two trials: Alpha-Tocopherol Beta-Caortene Cancer Prevention Trial (ATBC) - Age 50-69 - > or = 5 cigarettes/day Beta-Carotene and Retinol Efficacy Trial (CARET) - 20 pack year smoking history, stopped 5 years prior or still smoke (* 0.7 non) - Exposed to asbestos Conducted exclusively among individuals at high risk for lung cancer. Two other trials Physicians Health Study and Women's Health Study - They were not conducted among high risk individuals exclusively, but reported lung cancer incidence among high risk participants. Physicians Health Study: ½ participants smokers/former smokers Women's Health Study: 49% participants smokers/former smokers Study results 109,394 participants (54,955 intervention / 54,439 control) ATBC & CARET reported a significant increase in lung cancer incidence amongst smokers receiving beta carotene compared to those who did not. In the ATBC study, after 18 months, an excess cumulative incidence was observed and kept increasing progressively after. Time-course observation. (not in the other studies) Study 1 (all participants) (OR,1.21; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.09–1.34) Study 2 (current smokers) *OR increased (OR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.33–1.59) Study 3 (former smokers) *OR no significant difference Study 4 - nonsmokers In the subgroup of participants who were nonsmokers, there was also no difference noted with regard to the incidence of lung cancer between participants who received beta‐carotene and those who did not (OR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.33–1.59). Beta carotene & vit. A content in popular multivitamins 24 brands - several formulas. The formula with highest beta carotene was sold to promote visual health, so multivitamin brands that were sold to promote visual health were examined Why beta carotene increases the incidence of cancer The co carcinogenic effect of beta‐carotene appears to stem from its ability to exacerbate DNA oxidative damage and modify p53‐related pathways of cell proliferation and apoptosis, leading to the development of cancer. However, beta‐carotene does have an efficacy in a dry type of age‐related macular degeneration (ARMD). Wait for ophthalmologist recommendation before taking beta carotene. Discussion & Conclusions Meta analysis showed that lung cancer risk increased with beta-carotene supplementation approximately 24% from the baseline risk of current smokers (who don't take supplementation) Multivitamins marketed to promote visual health had highest dosage beta-carotene. 50 million Americans consume multivitamins regularly. ~10 million americans current smokers & consume multivitamins. NCI - 60/100,000 lung cancer incidence (in general) Beta carotene + 24% = 74.4/100,000 lung cancer incidence; Much higher if we consider 22x higher cancer risk in male smokers and 12x female smokers