Data Driven Marketing Unit 1 – Introduction to Data-Driven Decisions Unit 1 Data and Technology trends Data Challenges for businesses Understanding how companies create value through data Building a data-driven strategy Danone Activity 2 In-class exercise Mixed-up Sentences (1) Which statements are not true? (2) Anything missing? Discussion in class 1. Nowadays, the big data challenges that companies are facing relate to the intrinsic characteristics of the data itself. 2. Diagnostic (or inquisitive) analytics answer or explore the “what” of a specific managerial issue. 3. Predictive analytics are forward-looking analytics to analyze what will be happening in the future considering the available historical data. 4. With the arrival of big data and big data analytics, managers are neglecting the use of traditional analytics to make business decisions. 5. In defining big data, most common framework is the Vs framework that consider the following as the key characteristists of Big data: volume, veracity, velocity and valence. 3 Let’s talk about technology and data trends 4 In-class discussion Kicking-off the discussion: strategy and data After Watching the video “Top Strategic Technology trends for 2021” Discussion in class • Looking at the trends described in the video, identify examples of those trends in specific industries: – How are they using data (What types of data?) – How do they create value (To what extent?) – What are the key challenges they may face? • Which industries have been more disrupted by data in your opinion? 5 Examples Talking about data is talking about… BUT also talking about… 6 Examples Data and the entertainment industry 7 Examples Data and the entertainment industry To know more: is big data killing creativity? 8 Examples Data and the sport industry 9 Examples Data and the sport industry: WYSCOUT 10 Examples Data and the sport industry: WYSCOUT 11 Examples Data in music and arts 12 Unit 1 Data and technology trends Data Challenges for businesses: understanding the different types of analytics Understanding how companies create value through data Building a data-driven strategy Danone Activity 13 Types of Data A framework to understand data and marketing analytics CRM Marketing-mix Privacy and security Analytics and analytical methods Personalization Implementing data and analytics in companies Source: adapted from Wedel and Kannan (2016) 14 Defining analytics Data analytics is the process of examining datasets in order to draw conclusions about the information they contain, increasingly with the aid of specialized systems and software. 15 Evolution of analytics Source: Davenport, 2013 16 Identifying data and analytics needs 17 Types of analytics DESCRIPTIVE DIAGNOSTIC PREDICTIVE PRESCRIPTIVE Analytics Analytics Analytics Analytics Source: adapted from Sivarajah et al. 2017 18 Types of analytics Information DESCRIPTIVE Analytics What happened in the Business? Source: adapted from Sivarajah et al. 2017 19 1/Descriptive Analytics Links the market to the firm through information Aid the manager to make actionable decisions Principles for systematically collect and interpret data that can aid decision-makers 20 Types of analytics Information Insights DESCRIPTIVE DIAGNOSTIC Analytics Analytics What happened in the Business? Source: adapted from Sivarajah et al. 2017 Why is something happening in the Business? 21 2/ Diagnostic (inquisitive) analytics Diagnostic analytics get into the root cause Determining the factors and events that contributed to the outcome Data discovery, data mining and correlational analysis E.g. Attribute importance, sensitivity analysis, principal component analysis and conjoint analysis 22 Types of analytics Information Insights DESCRIPTIVE DIAGNOSTIC PREDICTIVE Analytics Analytics Analytics What happened in the Business? Why is something happening in the Business? Source: adapted from Sivarajah et al. 2017 What is likely To happen in the future? 23 3/ Predictive analytics Using customer data to predict what they will do in the future 24 Types of analytics Information Insights Decision/Action DESCRIPTIVE DIAGNOSTIC PREDICTIVE PRESCRIPTIVE Analytics Analytics Analytics Analytics What happened in the Business? Why is something happening in the Business? Source: adapted from Sivarajah et al. 2017 What is likely So what? And To happen in the Now what? future? What is required to do more? 25 How companies use analytics Source: Davenport and Harris, 2007 26 27 Descriptive Summary statistics and test, metrics, dashboards, visualization Diagnostic Statistical, econometrics, and psychometric models Predictive Prediction models, machine learning, cognitive systems Structural models or optimization methods Data: information value Analytics: decision value Summarizing overview: Data and analytics for marketing decisions Prescriptive Source: Wedel and Kannan, 2016 28 Insert: Research types (from descriptive to diagnostic) Exploratory Reseach Descriptive Reseach Causal Reseach (Ambiguous problem) (Aware of problem) (Clearly defined problem) Our sales are declining…why? What kind of people are buying our products? Who buys our competitors products? Will buyers purchase more of our product with a change of our website? 29 Insert: Research types (from descriptive to diagnostic) Exploratory Reseach Descriptive Reseach Causal Reseach (Ambiguous problem) (Aware of problem) (Clearly defined problem) Our sales are declining…why? What kind of people are buying our products? Who buys our competitors products? Will buyers purchase more of our product with a change of our website? 30 Insert: Research types (from descriptive to diagnostic) Exploratory Reseach Descriptive Reseach Causal Reseach (Ambiguous problem) (Aware of problem) (Clearly defined problem) Our sales are declining…why? What kind of people are buying our products? Who buys our competitors products? Will buyers purchase more of our product with a change of our website? 31 Insert: Research types (from descriptive to diagnostic) Exploratory Reseach Descriptive Reseach Causal Reseach (Ambiguous problem) (Aware of problem) (Clearly defined problem) Our sales are declining…why? What kind of people are buying our products? Who buys our competitors products? Will buyers purchase more of our product with a change of our website? 32 Insert: Research types (from descriptive to diagnostic) - overview 33 In-class discussion APPLE is considering the possibility to display music in its stores. ▪ Managers wonder if the music should have a high (low) tempo and should be known (original) in order to increase consumers’ satisfaction and sales. ▪ What is the methodological approach? What are the techniques they might use? L’Oréal is considering the possibility to launch a new product line for men. ▪ Managers wonder if men are interested in “natural beauty products” and what should be the characteristics of those products? ▪ What is the methodological approach? What is the technique they should use? 34 Defining data Information, especially facts or numbers, collected to be examined and considered and used to help decision-making, or Information in an electronic form that can be stored and used by a computer Source: The Cambridge Dictionary 35 What is “Big Data”? Source: 36 Big data is… DATA Information, especially facts or num bers, collected to be examined and considered and used to help decision-making, or Information in an electronic form that can be stored and used by a computer Source: The Cambridge Dictionary 37 Big data is… DATA “Big Data refers to the explosion in the quantity (and sometimes, quality) of available and potentially relevant data, largely the result of recent and unprecedented advancements in data recording and storage technology.” Source: Diebold, 2000. 38 Big Data characteristics: THE 5 Vs Velocity Veracity Variety Value Volume Source: Marr, 2014 39 Source: 40 Types of data Structured data Unstructured data 41 Unstructured data and sense-making 42 Big Data Analytics vs. Traditional Analytics Traditional Analytics Big Data Analytics Focus on Descriptive analytics Diagnostic analytics Predictive analytics Prescriptive analytics Data Sets Limited Data sets Cleansed data Simple models Large scale data sets More types of data Raw data Complex data models Main analysis techniques Causation: what happened and why? Correlation: new insights, finding data patterns Source: own elaboration based on various sources 43 Correlation is not causation! 44 Examples Beware of Correlation! 45 http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations Examples Beware of Correlation! 46 47 Big Data Challenges Source: Sivarajah et al. 2017 48 Unit 1 Data and technology trends Data Challenges for businesses Understanding how companies create value through data Building a data-driven strategy Danone Activity 49 How companies create value through data 3 approaches to value creation Data as a tool Data as an industry Data as a strategy Source: Mazzei and Noble, 2017 50 How companies create value through data 1/ Data as a tool • Active collection of data • Internal development of analytical capabilities • Improvements of specific areas like product development, marketing, sales, distribution, customer service… 51 How companies create value through data 1/ Data as a tool 52 Examples 1/ Data as a tool 53 How companies create value through data 2/ Data as an industry Providers of big data products or services to a broad range of companies. Intensive in technical knowledge and the ability to deal with massive amounts of structured and unstructured data. Offer technology and data-as-a-service 54 Examples 55 How companies create value through data 3/ Data as a strategy Big data as a driver of competitive strategy and new business models. Ecosystems development based on the data that they are able to accumulate. 56 Examples Data at the core of strategy 57 Examples Data as a strategy: Rolls Royce transformation 58 Examples 59 Examples 60 Examples 61 Examples 62 How organizations use analytics to gain insights and guide action? Top performing organizations are twice as likely to apply analytics to different activities. Source: Lavalle et al., 2011 63 How organizations use analytics to gain insights and guide action? The biggest challenges in adopting analytics are managerial and cultural. Source: Lavalle et al., 2011 64 How organizations use analytics to gain insights and guide action? Visualizing data differently and creatively will become increasingly valuable. Source: Lavalle et al., 2011 65 Unit 1 Data and technology trends Data Challenges for businesses Understanding how companies create value through data Building a data-driven strategy Danone Activity 66 To sum-up: 3 key aspects to consider… 67 1. Choose the right data Source Data creatively: Getting IT support right In analyzing the internal data that the Company already has Obsolete structures that hinder data sourcing, storage and analysis In addressing the potential of external and new sources of data (e.g. unstructured data from Social Media; external, monitored processes, sensors…) Integration of siloes of information Managing unstructured data Need to identify and connect the most important data 68 2. Building models to predict and optimize business outcomes Simple data mining is not enough Model complexity can be an issue Huge data sets allows to run statistical test to identify patterns, but sense-making of those correlations is what drives value. Very complex models might me not practical More targeted strategies pay-off: hypothesisled modeling (e.g. Identifying relevant factors first) What’s the least complex model that would improve performance? Higher accuracy vs actionable insights 69 3. Transforming the organizational capabilities Develop business-relevant analytics to put into use Embed analytics into simple tools That can be used for the front lines If big data and analytics are not sync with day-to-day activities, not useful Enhance visualization capabilities Analytics should aid decision-making 70 To sum-up: Data to make decisions that matter 71 Unit 1 Data and Business strategy Data Challenges for businesses Understanding how companies create value through data Building a data-driven strategy Danone Activity 72 In-class discussion Brief DANONE is asking your team to help Brand managers to choose the relevant research technique to respond to each of the following research problem. 1) The Brand manager of ACTIMEL wants to know their % of sales according to the type of stores (supermarket, little stores, etc.) in Spain. 2) The Brand manager of VITALINEA wants to know its brand’s positioning towards competing brands according to consumers’ perception of quality and price. 3) The brand manager of KIDS’ YOGHURTS wants to know how the children from 5 to 7 years old consume those yoghurts in order to adapt the product to this target. 4) The trade manager dealing with CARREFOUR is wondering if it will be interesting to spray the smell of yoghurt in the stores. He is wondering what should be the impact of different flavors (natural, strawberry or vanilla) on sales. In-class discussion Brief You have to write down your proposals addressing the following aspects: • Methodological approach (exploratory, descriptive, causal)? • Technique to be used (focus group, in-depth interview, observation, coolhunting, survey, panels, experiment, neuromarketing)? • Question to be asked (open / closed questions, projectives, etc..) or aspects to observe: Propose precisely 3 main questions/observations to be asked (if relevant). Additional Sources and Readings Barton, D., & Court, D. (2012). Making advanced analytics work for you. Harvard business review, 90(10), 78-83. Kiron, D., Shockley, R., Kruschwitz, N., Finch, G., & Haydock, M. (2012). Analytics: The widening divide. MIT Sloan Management Review, 53(2), 1. LaValle, S., Lesser, E., Shockley, R., Hopkins, M. S., & Kruschwitz, N. (2011). Big data, analytics and the path from insights to value. MIT sloan management review, 52(2), 21. Mazzei, M. J., & Noble, D. (2017). Big data dreams: A framework for corporate strategy. Business Horizons, 60(3), 405-414. Data Driven Marketing Master in Management