Lesson Objectives At the end of the lesson students should be able to: Define the government budget. Reasons for government spending: The main areas of government spending. Reasons for taxation: reasons for and effects of spending in these areas. Taxation as the main source of government revenue and the reasons for levying taxation. Classification of taxes: progressive, regressive, proportional; and direct, indirect. Principles of taxation: The qualities of a good tax. Impact of taxation: on consumers, producers, government and economy as a whole. Definition of fiscal policy. Fiscal policy measures: The tax and spending changes, in the form of fiscal policy, that cause budget balance or imbalance. Including calculations of the size of a budget deficit or surplus. Effects of fiscal policy on government on macroeconomic aims. How fiscal policy measures may enable the government to achieve its macroeconomic aims. Note: aggregate demand and aggregate supply are not required. • ‘Class Activities’ and ‘Multiple Choice Questions with Answers.’ The government budget The Government budget is its financial plan for a year. It is presented each year either as: Balanced budget: Revenue (TR) = Expenditure (GS) Deficit budget: Revenue (TR) < Expenditure (GS) or Surplus budget: which Revenue (TR) > Expenditure (GS) A Government needs to borrow in order to finance a budget deficit. This increases the public sector debt. Reasons for government spending Government Spending (GS) - Public expenditure - make up significant portion of Aggregate (Total) Demand in an economy. There are three parts: 1. Current Expenditures: daily payments for running government and public sector e.g. wages & salaries of public employees such as teachers, police, parliamentarians, armed forces, judges, dentists etc. It also includes payments for goods/services such as medicines for government hospitals. 2. Capital Expenditures: are investments in infrastructure and capital equipment e.g. rail projects; new hospitals, schools, new aircraft carriers. 3. Transfer Payments: unemployment benefits, disability payments, subsidies to producers and consumers, etc. they do not contribute to GDP as income. Note: cross chect with the Qs 1-12 or14? From your study of ‘Fiscal, Monetary and Supply - side policies,’ in the white boxes horizontally or vertically, with the correct keyword(s), representing each clue statement. [Hint: Do quick searches through the entire slides and your textbook.] Reference: Complete economics for Cambridge IGCSE & O Level. Brian Titley, Dan Moynihan 3rd ed. Pp.317 6 Clue statements 1. A supply-side measure that involves the return or removal of complex, old or even unnecessary regulations. (12) 2. Term used to describe fiscal policy when it involves increasing public spending and/or cutting taxes in an effort to boost total demand in the economy. (12) 3. A type of tax levied on expenditures on goods or services that is collected by producers but usually passed on to consumers by raising market prices. (8, 3) 4. A government plans to spend $37 billion but expects to raise $39 billion in taxes over the coming year. What type of imbalance will there be in its budget?. (7) 5. A government demand-side policy that involves changing the interest rate or supply of money in an economy to manage the overall level of economic activity. (8, 6) 6. The balance on the budget when a government plans to spend more than it expects to receive from tax revenues over the next year. (7) 7. A government will set out its plans and forecasts for public expenditure and revenues for the year ahead in this each year. (3, 6) 8. Term used to describe a ‘tightening’ of monetary policy when interest rates are raised in an effort to reduce borrowing and the rate at which total demand is rising in the economy. (14) 9. A type of tax designed to take proportionally more in tax from a higher income than a low income. (11, 3) 10. Term used to describe a collection of policy measures designed to expand the total supply of goods and services in the economy. (6-4, 6) 11. The instrument of this government policy are public expenditures and taxes. (6, 6) 12. A type of tax that takes proportionally less in tax from a high income than a low income. Indirect taxes have this characteristics. (10, 3) 13. A monetary policy action designed to boost the quantity of money held by banks in an economic recession so that they increase their lending. It involves the central bank giving cash to banks in return for their financial assets. (12, 6) 14. The assessed value of income, wealth or expenditure on which taxes are levied by a government (3, 4) The main areas of government spending Public expenditure is an important tool that governments use to achieve their economic objectives. Government pending includes: 1. the expenses of national or local governments 2. to fund national services like a) health, b) infrastructure, c) welfare benefits, or d) education e) security. Reasons for Taxation 1. To correct market failure: through subsidizing the production of merit goods, taxing demerit goods to provide essential goods and services. 2. Promote equity: the wealthy are taxed to reduce income inequality. 3. Support key industries: in a global economy, which help them remain competitive. Classification of Taxes Taxes constitute the main source of government revenue. Direct taxes: are taxes levied by government on individual incomes and corporate profits. e.g. Income tax, corporation tax, capital gains tax, national insurance contributions, inheritance tax Indirect taxes: are imposed on spending. The less a consumer spends the less indirect tax they pay. e.g. Value Added Tax, taxes on demerit goods, excise duties, fuel, etc. Tax systems are classified into progressive, regressive or proportional tax. Progressive: As income rises, a larger percentage of income is paid in tax In the diagram, when personal income rises from Y to Y2, the tax rate rises from TR to TR2. Regressive: As income rises, a smaller percentage of income is paid in tax. In the diagram, when personal income rises from Y to Y2, the tax rate falls from TR2 to TR. All indirect taxes are regressive. In the USA, Nigeria, Federal income tax is progressive but almost all State taxes are regressive. Proportional: As income rises, the same percentage of income is paid in tax. In the diagram, when personal income rises from Y to Y2, the tax rate remains constant at 15%. In 2022, Bolivia used this system with a proportional tax rate of 13%. TR2 TR2 TR TR Y Y2 Y TR = 15% Y Y2 Y2 Principles of Taxation A good tax system must have following qualities to be acceptable. 1. Simple: taxpayers know what, when, where and how to pay tax. 2. Fair (equity): taxes should reflect a taxpayer’s ability to pay e.g. progressive taxation. 3. Convenient: easy to collect, pay, and provide choice for tax payers. e.g. monthly payments spread over 12 months or tax deducted by the employer each month from source. 4. Efficient: It should be cost effective not wasteful. 5. Fit for purpose: with no unintended side effects e.g., disincentives to workers. 6. Flexible: easy to adjust/change as the economy. The Impact of Taxation Direct & indirect taxes have influence on a range of economic variables. Bigger tax changes, have more effects on households, firms and the economy. Effects Of Tax Rate Changes 1. Incentive to work: The higher the tax rate, the lower the incentive for the unemployed to seek work - or for workers to work overtime. 2. Government tax revenues: Generally, the higher the tax rates the higher the level of government revenues. However, tax rates can increase, to a point where workers work less leading to lower incomes and less government tax revenue. 3. Tax avoidance: More people will actively avoid paying or move their incomes elsewhere. 4. Income redistribution: A progressive tax system reduces income inequality by taxing higher income earners more in order to provide benefits for lower income earners. The benefits of progressive tax can be lost through imposing multiple regressive indirect taxes. 5. Economic growth: Tax could reduce aggregate demand, firms and households disposable income, Productivity and employment and vice versa. 6. Inflation: Increasing Indirect tax rates increase agitations for higher wages, and costs of production possibly leading to cost-push inflation. 7. The trade balance (X-M): Increase in taxes can reduce disposable income, reduce the level of imports and improve the trade balance. 8. Business relocation: can occur if corporation tax rises relative to other countries. Also, direct foreign investment could fall. Fiscal Policy Fiscal Policy is the use of government expenditure and taxation to influence total / aggregate demand in the economy. Expansionary fiscal policy: will increase economic growth through lower taxes or higher government spending. Contractionary fiscal policy: will reduce economic activities, growth, and reduce inflation through higher taxes and/or lower government spending. Fiscal Policy is used yearly through the Government Budget. The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Government Macroeconomic Aims The effects of fiscal policy on an economy, are better understood by calculating the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). GDP = household consumption (C) + firms investment (I) + government spending (G) + exports (X) - imports (M) GDP (Total demand) = C + I + G + (X - M) It is easy to see that changes to fiscal policy can influence any or several of these components. Examples of The Impact of Contractionary Fiscal Policy Example 1 The Government increases income tax levels. Effect on the economy: Consumers pay more tax, discretionary income reduces, consumption reduces, total demand reduces. Impact on macroeconomic aims: • Economic growth slows down. • Inflation eases up. • Unemployment may increase, output may fall and fewer workers are required. • Current account may improve with less income, imports may fall. Example 2 The Government freezes or reduces public sector workers pay. Effect on the economy: Wages stagnate or reduce, consumer confidence falls, consumption decreases, total demand falls. Impact on macroeconomic aims: • Economic growth slows down • Inflation eases • Unemployment may increase as output is falling • Current Account Improves (with less income, imports may fall). Example 3 The Government cuts its spending in the Budget. Effect on the economy: Less demand for goods and services, less income for firms, output and profits decrease, total demand falls. Impact on macroeconomic aims: • Economic growth slows down Inflation eases. • Unemployment may increase as output is falling. • Current Account Improves (with less income, imports may fall) • Less corporation tax available for redistribution. Examples of The Impact of Expansionary Fiscal Policy Example 1 The Government decreases corporation tax. Effect on the economy: Firms net profits increase, investment by firms increases, total demand increases. Impact on macroeconomic aims: • Economic growth increases. • Inflation rises. • Unemployment may decrease as output is rising which requires more workers. • Current account - unsure. Exports may rise due to new investments in the economy, but imports may rise due to higher income generated by the investment. Example 2 The Government increases unemployment benefits Effect on the economy: Household income increases, consumption increases, total demand increases. Impact on macroeconomic aims: • Economic growth increases • Inflation rises • Unemployment may decrease as output is rising, calling for more workers (although increased unemployment benefits may be disincentive to some people to seek jobs) • Current Account unlikely to change as this policy helps the poorest and imports are unlikely to increase. • Redistribution of income has increased and there is more equity in society. Strengths of Fiscal Policy Spendings can be targeted on specific industries. • Its effects are quicker when compared with monetary policy. • Income redistributed through taxation. • Taxation reduces negative externalities through increased consumption of merit/public goods. • Short term government spending can lead to an increase in the aggregate supply. Example: Building a new airport immediately increases government spending and total demand, but when it is built, the potential output will have increased (Production Possibility Curve has shifted outward). Weaknesses of Fiscal Policy • Policies can shift significantly when new governments comes in. • Long term infrastructure projects may be abandoned. • Increased government spending can create budget deficits. • Repaying this debt may lead to austerity on future generations. • Conflicts between objectives, e.g. Cutting taxes to increase economic growth may cause inflation 1 A government uses different supply-side policy measures to improve economic performance. Which policy measure would not satisfy one of the government’s macroeconomic aims? A changing the tax system which leads to more tax evasion B encouraging foreign investment which improves the balance of payments C privatising state industries which increases economic growth D retraining redundant workers which lowers unemployment 2 The US government introduces tariffs on steel imported from China. This increases the price of imported Chinese steel. Whose income would be likely to increase as a direct result? 3 What is an example of a fiscal policy measure? A increasing the exchange rate B reducing the power of trade unions C reducing the rate of corporation tax D setting a lower interest rate 4 What is a likely cause of economic growth? A decreased employment B decreased investment C decreased productivity D decreased taxation 5 Which topic is not included in microeconomics? A consumer demand B economies of scale C forms of competition D inflation 6 The table shows some economic indicators. Which increase in the first indicator is most likely to lead to an increase in the second indicator? 1 Australia’s foreign exchange rate fluctuates. The value of Australia’s exports is regularly greater than the value of its imports. Australia is Papua New Guinea’s main trading partner. In 2019, the government of Papua New Guinea increased income tax to reduce its inflation rate. It used other policy measures to increase its economic growth rate. (a) Analyse how an increase in income tax can affect a country’s inflation rate. [6] 2 There was a significant increase in the money supply in Angola in 2019. The National Bank of Angola was concerned that this would keep inflation above 17% and harm Angola’s producers. The Angolan government had concentrated on reducing unemployment, which had fallen from 10% in 2010 to 7% in 2019. (a) Discuss whether or not inflation will harm producers. [8]