Chapter 7: Output and Income Copyright 2011 Worth Publishers, all rights reserved WHAT YOU SHOULD HAVE LEARNED FROM THE CHAPTER • Gross Domestic Product • What GDP measures • GDP Approaches • Real GDP • Potential GDP 7.1 Aggregate Output and Income • Gross Domestic Product – Most widely used measure of a nation’s aggregate output – GDP is a dollar measure- it measures income and the dollar value of output: money spent on goods and services produced in the economy 4 7.1 Aggregate Output and Income • National Income Accounting – Chain of production – Wheat Farmer Old Time Mill Flour Co. Mound City Doughnut Shoppe – Economic aggregate output = 200. Only the final amount of revenue earned from final good (doughnut) 5 7.1 Aggregate Output and Income • Intermediate Good – Something that is used in the production of another good • The price paid for the final good includes all the costs incurred up to the point of selling that final good • The value of the final goods is equal to the sales revenue earned from them. The revenue is distributed as income to workers and profits • The value of output matches income earned (true for each stage of the production process) 6 Try It Now Problem • In each of the following instances, is the good an intermediate or final good? – Sugar purchased by a baker to make cupcakes – Sugar purchased by an individual to make cupcakes – Dresses purchased at Target – Tomatoes bought by an Italian restaurant – Tires bought by a car manufacturing factory – Iris buys a dozen roses for her mother's birthday 7 7.1 Aggregate Output and Income • Value Added – The increase in market value of an item as it progresses through stages of production. • Value added at each stage of the production process – Farmer= $40 (turned nothing into wheat) [40-0=40] – Miller= $60 (takes $40 worth of wheat and turns it into $100 worth of flour) [100-40=60] – Baker= $100 (takes $100 worth of flour and turns it into $200 worth of doughnuts) [200-100=100] • The sum of value is reflected in the final price of the good 8 7.1 Aggregate Output and Income • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – The market value of all final goods and services produced in an economy during a given period of time. • The market value of all final goods and services… – Only final goods: if we count intermediate goods this would double count them in the value of production – Market value: only legal final goods and services (nonmarket transactions are not included). Therefore GDP excludes; the value of transactions occur in illegal/underground/shadow markets The value of unpaid services you provide around your house 9 7.1 Aggregate Output and Income • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – The market value of all final goods and services produced in an economy during a given period of time. • …produced in an economy… – Non earned income is ignored Examples: Social Security check, payments to welfare recipients – Produced here, no matter where the product is sold and no matter who is producing it 10 7.1 Aggregate Output and Income • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – The market value of all final goods and services produced in an economy during a given period of time. • …in a given period of time. – The value of current production and income Items produced in previous periods (say in 1998) and sold in current year (say in 2014) are not included in the GDP for current year (i.e. 2014) – Any good produced and purchased in a previous year, no matter how valuable is not counted in the current GDP 11 7.2 Should We Measure Production or Income? • Final Goods Approach – Measuring GDP based on adding up the dollar value of the final goods and services sold in the economy in the current time period • The Final Goods Approach- finding the nation’s GDP by adding up the dollar value of the final goods and services sold in the economy 12 7.2 Should We Measure Production or Income? • Four Sectors – Households: Consumers (consumption)- spending on goods and services no matter the origin – Business: For and non profit business (investment)- spending on goods to produce other goods – Government: state, local and national purchases of goods and services – The rest of the world: international trade (net exports)- goods and services produced here and sold abroad (exports) AND goods produced abroad and purchased here (imports) • Y = C + I + G + (X-M) – GDP is the sum of the four sectors (different domestic expenditures made in the economy) 13 7.2 Should We Measure Production or Income? • Net Exports – Trade surplus: X>M the value of net exports is positive – Trade deficit: X<M the value of net exports is negative • The market value of goods imported and exported is what is used (not amount) 14 7.2 Should We Measure Production or Income? • Income Approach – Measuring GDP adds up all of the incomes earned from people and businesses producing and selling goods and services • Indirect taxes: taxes levied by city and or state • Depreciation: amount needed to repair worn out machines • Revenue= Wages + Interest Payments + Cost of Inputs + Indirect Business Taxes + Depreciation + Profits – C+I+G+X-M=Y – The dollar value of aggregate output equals the dollar value of aggregate income 15 7.2 Should We Measure Production or Income? • GDP measures the value of the final goods and services produced and sold in a given period BUT ALSO represents the aggregate income generated by that production 16 7.3 Is GDP a Good Measure of Well-Being? • GDP values production (output) at current market value • Not a perfect measure of economic well being – It allows us to view the number of goods and services available for consumers to purchase and enjoy (having more goods is preferred to fewer) • GDP understates the true economic value of all production in the economy – Quality of life is not included – Happiness factors- health, marital status, age, crime & corruption 17 7.3 Is GDP a Good Measure of Well-Being? • GDP across time or countries does not compare intangibles (lesser crime, pollution, better health) – Senator Robert F. Kennedy (1968) a measure such as GDP “does not include the beauty of out poetry or the strength of our marriages; the intelligence of our public debate or the integrity of our public officials…” • GDP per Capita – The value of GDP per person. This measures a nation’s GDP proportional to the size of its population 18 7.3 Is GDP a Good Measure of Well-Being? • Income levels of countries (GDP of economy) – There is a strong relationship between having a high standard of living (GDP per capita) and non economic aspects of life – Literary rates, access to health care, life expectancy, cleaner air, political and economic freedom – Consider how GDP is distributed across population; adjust GDP by the size of a country’s population 19 Try It Now Problem • Who do you think is the happiest in Charles Dickens’s A Christmas Carol? • A: Tom Cratchet • B: Ebenezer Scrooge 20 Try It Now Problem • Who do you think is the happiest in Charles Dickens’s A Christmas Carol? • Answers will vary depending on factors that are not necessarily included in the GDP. 21 7.4 Nominal versus Real GDP • Overall price level is necessary if you want to see how purchasing power ha changed over time. • Prices rise faster than wages, your ability to purchase the same basket has diminished (purchasing power is falling), price level changes need to be included when we measure GDP 22 7.4 Nominal versus Real GDP • GDP is the aggregation of final goods and services sold at their market prices during a certain period of time. – To compare between different years, based solely on GDP, the distinction must be made between the change in GDP stemming from changes in price, changes from the final numbers of goods and services sold, or some combination of the two 23 7.4 Nominal versus Real GDP • Real GDP – Calculated by adjusting nominal GDP for changes in the price level • Real GDP = (Nominal GDP/Price Index) X 100 24 7.4 Nominal versus Real GDP • Real and Nominal GDP in US – Nominal GDP: measured in current dollars – Real GDP: Measured in 2005 $ – Increase in price level (inflation) deflated real GDP relative to nominal GDP since 2005 – The economy continues to increase production of goods and services but not as fast as nominal GDP suggests 25 7.4 Nominal versus Real GDP • Growth Rates of Real and Nominal GDP – Inflation affects comparisons of economic output over time – The higher the rate of inflation, the growth rate of the nominal GDP • Real GDP gives a better (more reliable) measure of how many goods and services are available today compared to the past 26 7.5 Real GDP or Potential GDP • How close is an economy to its potential GDP? – Is it underperforming? • PPF for Food and Movies – A: all resources devoted to food production – B: all resources devoted to movie production – Allocation of resources to combination of movies and food will determine where and how much is produced at full capacity (will be on PPF – along curve) – C: not at full capacity (potential)- inside PPF. Actual output of both food and movies are less than what it could be – D: economy producing more than its potential (outside PPF) 27 7.5 Real GDP or Potential GDP • Potential GDP – An estimate of what real GDP would be if the economy were operating at full production • Real and Potential GDP in US – Real GDP is above potential when the economy operates above its full employment – Real GDP is below potential when the economy was not producing as many goods and services as it could at full employment level 28 7.5 Real GDP or Potential GDP • Fluctuations occur around potential GDP, the economy tends to return to the potential after downturns and expansions • Growth Rates of Real and Potential GDP – During recessions, firms need fewer workers (labor) to produce lesser demand thus machinery (capital) is also idle – General unemployment of resources- shown when Real GDP dips far below potential GDP 29 7.6 Does Real GDP Grow at the Same Rate Across Countries? • Real GDP Growth Rates: Selected Countries – Canada, UK and US closely related patterns – China- fast growth – Japan- slow growth 30 • Intermediate good: Something that is used in the production of another good • Value added: The increase in market value of an item as it progresses through stages of production • Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The market value of all final goods and services produced in an economy during a given period of time • Final goods approach: Measuring GDP based on adding up the dollar value of the final goods and services sold in the economy in the current time period 31 • Income approach: Measuring GDP adds up all of the incomes earned from people and businesses producing and selling goods and services • GDP per capita (per person): The value of GDP per person. This measures a nation’s GDP proportional to the size of its population • Real GDP: Calculated by adjusting nominal GDP for changes in the price level • Potential GDP: An estimate of what real GDP would be if the economy were operating at full production 32 • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a widely accepted measure of an economy’s output and income • What measures the market value of final goods and services provided in an economy during a given period of time • GDP can be measured using the final goods approach or income approach • Real GDP is the nominal GDP adjusted for price level changes • Potential GDP is a hypothetical measure of what real GDP would be if the economy were operating at its full capacity 33