ECONOMICS News Analysis ‘IMF cuts global growth forecast for next year, warns ‘the worst is yet to come’ International Monetary Fund ● ● World Economic Outlook report Global technical recession R E A S O N S 01 02 03 Russia Ukraine War ● World Bank ● ● Hike in interest rates 5%Global inflation in 2023 Slowdown in China ● ● 04 Rise in prices of essential commodities Zero covid policy Real estate crisis Effects on India ● ● Import export Cost push inflation Recommendation by IMF INFLATION ● MIGHTY DOLLAR ● 01 Normalcy in Central bank balance sheets Investors are shifting in Foreign financial markets instead of Indian markets 02 POLICY ● ● Protecting vulnerable 03 citizens Focus on reducing consumption and boosting production ECONOMIC 02 ●0 Capital flow measures ●2 Monetary and Fiscal policy coordination ‘India to clock better growth next year than IMF projections: CEA Nageswaran’ Digital INDIA ● ● 2 JAM trinity Enabled digital payment system Increasing white money transaction 1 Increased Capital Formation ● ● ● Infrastructure Technology Digitalisation Debt to GDP ratio 60% – Central government Debt to GDP ratio 3 4 Asset Monetization Policy ● ● Potential of 6 lakh crore from FY22-25 India’s Credit rating ‘A lot to learn’ from India: IMF praises direct cash transfer and other government schemes’ G20 Leaders summit ● ● ● ● ● Subsidies direct to beneficiaries Eliminates duplication Increases transparency 02 People below poverty line ● 21% INDIA– Presidency of G20 in 2023 Expected to host 200 meetings Next year in New delhi on September 9 and 10 DBT ● 01 Currently Stumbling block to socioeconomic growth ● 04 03 Data and analytics ● India's GDP growth rate is higher than other countries Paolo Mauro praises India, says its social welfare programmes are a ‘Logistical Marvel’ Helped low-income people India even with a population 130 crore Finance Digitalization 01 ● ● ● UPI IMPS AePS 02 ● ● Leakage Corruption 03 ● ● ● Vulnerable Groups Women Elderly Farmers 04 ● ● ● Daily– Rs 90 lakhs In 2022-23 – Rs 3.03 lakh crores Net gain – 2.23 lakh crores National Payment Corporation of India JAM trinity Jan Dhan Yojana ,Aadhar and Mobile number DBT Direct Bank Transfer Data ● Most transfers LPG,MNREGA,PDS INDIA’s growth 0.5 to 0.8% higher than IMFs forecast Minimum 7% ‘India has potential to attract $475 billion through FDI in 5 years: CII-EY report ● ● ● In 2021-22 USD 84.8 Billion In 2022-23 USD 100 Billion USD 475 billion by 2027 Estimates ● ● ● ● Reforms in Taxes Ease of business Infrastructure Human resource To grow ● ● ● Impact of GST Digitalisation Transparency in Taxation MNCs appreciated ● By 2027– 3rd largest economy after US and China Economic growth Soumitra Bhattacharya said that, It is noted that India is stable partner as well as an attractive investment destination Reforms By India WHY INDIA ? ● ● MNC’s Demands ● ● ● ● ● Manufacturing hub Great consumer market Human resource No stable market in China Digital platforms ● ● ❏ ❏ Power sector reforms Infrastructure Investment in Health Education ● ● ● ● Infrastructure 1.6%to 2.9% of GDP in 2022-23 Gati Shakti Yojana –USD 1.3 trillion in 5 years National monetisation pipeline DESH Development of enterprise and service hubs Initiative to enhance SEZs CONCLUSION INDIA is still growing Although the growth is not too great but not bad either Digitalisation Infrastructure Foreign Direct Investment 01 02 03 Praised by IMF that is very rare India has recently emerged as the 5th largest economy of the world leaving behind UK with the fast economic growth 71% of MNCs considered India to be an attractive investment destination for their global expansion THE END BY PRIYAL JAIN 21/BAP/214