Algebra II Regents Exam Questions by State Standard: Topic www.jmap.org 1 5 and P(B) = , where A and B are 3 12 independent events, determine P(A ∩ B) . PROBABILITY 563 Given P(A) = S.CP.B.7: THEORETICAL PROBABILITY 560 The probability that Gary and Jane have a child with blue eyes is 0.25, and the probability that they have a child with blond hair is 0.5. The probability that they have a child with both blue eyes and blond hair is 0.125. Given this information, the events blue eyes and blond hair are I: dependent II: independent III: mutually exclusive 1 I, only 2 II, only 3 I and III 4 II and III 564 Given events A and B, such that P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.5, and P(A ∪ B) = 0.8 , determine whether A and B are independent or dependent. 565 In contract negotiations between a local government agency and its workers, it is estimated that there is a 50% chance that an agreement will be reached on the salaries of the workers. It is estimated that there is a 70% chance that there will be an agreement on the insurance benefits. There is a 20% chance that no agreement will be reached on either issue. Find the probability that an agreement will be reached on both issues. Based on this answer, determine whether the agreement on salaries and the agreement on insurance are independent events. Justify your answer. 561 A suburban high school has a population of 1376 students. The number of students who participate in sports is 649. The number of students who participate in music is 433. If the probability that a student participates in either sports or music is 974 , what is the probability that a student 1376 participates in both sports and music? S.CP.A.2: PROBABILITY OF COMPOUND EVENTS 562 On a given school day, the probability that Nick oversleeps is 48% and the probability he has a pop quiz is 25%. Assuming these two events are independent, what is the probability that Nick oversleeps and has a pop quiz on the same day? 1 73% 2 36% 3 23% 4 12% 120 Algebra II Regents Exam Questions by State Standard: Topic www.jmap.org S.CP.A.3: CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY S.CP.A.1: VENN DIAGRAMS 566 Data for the students enrolled in a local high school are shown in the Venn diagram below. 568 Which situation best describes conditional probability? 1 finding the probability of an event occurring two or more times 2 finding the probability of an event occurring only once 3 finding the probability of two independent events occurring at the same time 4 finding the probability of an event occurring given another event had already occurred If a student from the high school is selected at random, what is the probability that the student is a sophomore given that the student is enrolled in Algebra II? 85 1 210 85 2 295 85 3 405 85 4 1600 569 Sean's team has a baseball game tomorrow. He pitches 50% of the games. There is a 40% chance of rain during the game tomorrow. If the probability that it rains given that Sean pitches is 40%, it can be concluded that these two events are 1 independent 2 dependent 3 mutually exclusive 4 complements 570 A fast-food restaurant analyzes data to better serve its customers. After its analysis, it discovers that the events D, that a customer uses the drive-thru, and F, that a customer orders French fries, are independent. The following data are given in a report: 567 In a group of 40 people, 20 have brown hair, 22 have blue eyes, and 15 have both brown hair and blue eyes. How many people have neither brown hair nor blue eyes? 1 0 2 13 3 27 4 32 P(F) = 0.8 P(F ∩ D) = 0.456 Given this information, P(F | D) is 1 0.344 2 0.3648 3 0.57 4 0.8 121 Algebra II Regents Exam Questions by State Standard: Topic www.jmap.org 571 Consider the probability statements regarding events A and B below. P(A or B) = 0.3; P(A and B) = 0.2 ; and P(A| B) = 0.8 What is P(B) ? 1 0.1 2 0.25 3 0.375 4 0.667 573 The probability that a resident of a housing community opposes spending money for community improvement on plumbing issues is 0.8. The probability that a resident favors spending money on improving walkways given that the resident opposes spending money on plumbing issues is 0.85. Determine the probability that a randomly selected resident opposes spending money on plumbing issues and favors spending money on walkways. 572 Suppose events A and B are independent and P(A and B) is 0.2. Which statement could be true? 1 P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.3, P(A or B) = 0.5 2 P(A) = 0.8, P(B) = 0.25 3 P(A| B) = 0.2, P(B) = 0.2 4 P(A) = 0.15, P(B) = 0.05 574 A student is chosen at random from the student body at a given high school. The probability that the student selects Math as the favorite subject is 1 . The probability that the student chosen is a 4 116 junior is . If the probability that the student 459 selected is a junior or that the student chooses Math 47 , what is the exact as the favorite subject is 108 probability that the student selected is a junior whose favorite subject is Math? Are the events "the student is a junior" and "the student's favorite subject is Math" independent of each other? Explain your answer. S.CP.A.4: CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY 575 Consider the data in the table below. Male Female Right Handed 87 89 Left Handed 13 11 What is the probability that a randomly selected person is male given the person is left handed? 13 13 1 3 200 50 13 13 2 4 100 24 122 ID: A 560 ANS: 2 The events are independent because P(A and B) = P(A) ⋅ P(B) . 0.125 = 0.5 ⋅ 0.25 If P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A and B) = 0.25 + 0.5 −.125 = 0.625, then the events are not mutually exclusive because P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) 0.625 ≠ 0.5 + 0.25 PTS: 2 561 ANS: REF: 061714aii P(S ∩ M) = P(S) + P(M) − P(S ∪ M) = NAT: S.CP.B.7 TOP: Theoretical Probability 649 433 974 108 + − = 1376 1376 1376 1376 PTS: 2 562 ANS: 4 0.48 ⋅ 0.25 = 0.12 REF: 061629aii NAT: S.CP.B.7 TOP: Theoretical Probability PTS: 1 KEY: probability 563 ANS: 5 1 5 × = 3 12 36 REF: 061811aii NAT: S.CP.A.2 TOP: Probability of Compound Events PTS: 2 REF: 012327aii NAT: S.CP.A.2 TOP: Probability of Compound Events KEY: probability 564 ANS: P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B) A and B are independent since P(A ∩ B) = P(A) ⋅ P(B) 0.8 = 0.6 + 0.5 − P(A ∩ B) 0.3 = 0.6 ⋅ 0.5 P(A ∩ B) = 0.3 PTS: 2 REF: 081632aii KEY: independence 565 ANS: 0.3 = 0.3 NAT: S.CP.A.2 TOP: Probability of Compound Events This scenario can be modeled with a Venn Diagram: Since P(S ∪ I) c = 0.2, P(S ∪ I) = 0.8. Then, P(S ∩ I) = P(S) + P(I) − P(S ∪ I) If S and I are independent, then the = 0.5 + 0.7 − 0.8 = 0.4 Product Rule must be satisfied. However, (0.5)(0.7) ≠ 0.4. Therefore, salary and insurance have not been treated independently. PTS: 4 REF: spr1513aii KEY: independence NAT: S.CP.A.2 24 TOP: Probability of Compound Events ID: A 566 ANS: 2 85 210 + 85 PTS: 2 567 ANS: 2 REF: 081818aii NAT: S.CP.A.1 TOP: Venn Diagrams 40 − (20 + 22 − 15) = 13 PTS: 2 REF: 062204aii NAT: S.CP.A.1 TOP: Venn Diagrams 568 ANS: 4 PTS: 2 REF: 012008aii NAT: S.CP.A.3 TOP: Conditional Probability 569 ANS: 1 The probability of rain equals the probability of rain, given that Sean pitches. PTS: 2 REF: 061611aii 570 ANS: 4 PTS: 2 TOP: Conditional Probability 571 ANS: 2 P(B) ⋅ P(A| B) = P(A and B) NAT: S.CP.A.3 REF: 081824aii TOP: Conditional Probability NAT: S.CP.A.3 P(B) ⋅ 0.8 = 0.2 P(B) = 0.25 PTS: 2 REF: 081913aii NAT: S.CP.A.3 TOP: Conditional Probability 572 ANS: 2 (1) 0.4 ⋅ 0.3 ≠ 0.2, (2) 0.8 ⋅ 0.25 = 0.2, (3) P(A| B) = P(A) = 0.2, (4) 0.2 ≠ 0.15 ⋅ 0.05 0.2 ≠ 0.2 ⋅ 0.2 PTS: 2 REF: 011912aii NAT: S.CP.A.3 573 ANS: P(A + B) = P(A) ⋅ P(B| A) = 0.8 ⋅ 0.85 = 0.68 TOP: Conditional Probability PTS: 2 REF: 011928aii NAT: S.CP.A.3 TOP: Conditional Probability 574 ANS: 1 116 31 1 116 47 ≠ ⋅ = + − P(M and J); No, because 459 4 459 108 4 459 P(M and J) = PTS: 4 31 459 REF: 011834aii NAT: S.CP.A.3 25 TOP: Conditional Probability ID: A 575 ANS: 4 13 13 = 13 + 11 24 PTS: 2 576 ANS: 1 157 25 + 47 + 157 REF: 012011aii NAT: S.CP.A.4 TOP: Conditional Probability PTS: 2 577 ANS: REF: 081607aii NAT: S.CP.A.4 TOP: Conditional Probability Based on these data, the two events do not appear to be independent. P(F) = 106 = 0.53, while 200 54 25 27 = 0.6 , P(F | R) = = 0.39, and P(F | C) = = 0.6. The probability of being female are not the 90 65 45 same as the conditional probabilities. This suggests that the events are not independent. P(F | T) = PTS: 2 REF: fall1508aii 578 ANS: No, because P(M / R) ≠ P(M) NAT: S.CP.A.4 TOP: Conditional Probability NAT: S.CP.A.4 TOP: Conditional Probability 70 230 ≠ 180 490 0.38 ≠ 0.47 PTS: 2 579 ANS: REF: 011731aii A student is more likely to jog if both siblings jog. 1 jogs: 416 400 ≈ 0.19. both jog: ≈ 0.22 2239 1780 PTS: 2 580 ANS: 103 103 = 110 + 103 213 REF: 061732aii NAT: S.CP.A.4 TOP: Conditional Probability PTS: 2 581 ANS: REF: 061825aii NAT: S.CP.A.4 TOP: Conditional Probability P(F| L) = PTS: 4 12 22 P(F) = Since P(F| L) ≠ P(F) , the events are not independent. 27 45 REF: 061936aii NAT: S.CP.A.4 26 TOP: Conditional Probability ID: A 582 ANS: No, because P(F / CR) ≠ P(F) 17 + 37 + 36 + 15 36 ≠ 42 + 36 39 + 17 + 42 + 12 + 17 + 37 + 36 + 15 36 105 ≠ 78 215 21 6 ≠ 13 43 PTS: 2 583 ANS: Yes. REF: 082231aii NAT: S.CP.A.4 TOP: Conditional Probability NAT: S.CP.A.4 TOP: Conditional Probability P(Bl) = P(Bl| Gl) 0.14 + 0.26 = .14 .35 .4 =.4 PTS: 2 584 ANS: P(P / K) = PTS: 4 585 ANS: P(W / D) = REF: 062229aii P(P^K) 1.9 = ≈ 82.6% A key club member has an 82.6% probability of being enrolled in AP Physics. P(K) 2.3 REF: 011735aii TOP: Conditional Probability NAT: S.CP.B.6 TOP: Conditional Probability NAT: S.CP.B.6 TOP: Conditional Probability P(W^D) .4 = =.8 P(D) .5 PTS: 2 REF: 081726aii 586 ANS: 165 + 66 − 33 198 = 825 825 PTS: 2 NAT: S.CP.B.6 REF: 081925aii 27