The conclusion Of ICT This Document took a lot of time to write and to make as Clean, and arranged as it is, Keep in mind this can’t be used alone you need to go through all the ICT courses to get to the point where you can use what is written here This will Get Updated Throw Time with more Information Were Learned The Courses That Those Notes were extracted from are : - ICT Mastering High Probability Scalping Volumes 1 - 3 1:30 H - ICT OTE Pattern Recognition Series 2:20h - ICT Micro-Market Structure & Time & Price 00:45min - 2022 MENTORSHIP 25H - ICT Pattern Recognition 10MINS - ICT Market Maker Forex Series 2:30h - ICT Forex - Market Maker Primer Course 10:00h - Month 1 3:30h - Month2 3:30 - Month 3 3:40h - Month 4 4:15h - Month 5 9:00h - Month 6 4:00h - Month 7 3:40h - Month 8 3:30h - Month 9 4:00h - Month 10 7:00h - Month 11 2:30h - Month 12 3:15h - ICT Forex Precision Trading Concepts Series 2:20h - ICT Forex Scout Sniper Basic Field Guide Series midnight - Real Money Real Results First Year Trading Expectations 1:30h - ICT Forex - What Every New & Or Aspiring Forex Trader 9:00h - ICT Forex Trading Plan Development Series 6:00h - 2023 ICT Mentorship 41:00h still going (170h Total) Long-Term Analysis - Influastions Levels - Interest Rates - Seasonal tendencies - All market Analysis - Open interests Mid-Term Analysis - Market Sentiment - USDX & US500 Analysis - (3-4) Month Major Market Shift - Open Interest - Open Float - Mark Correlations - Market Condition - IPDA - Target The PDA From The Monthly - Mark Monthly Range - Determine the Premium and discount ranges - The Trend in the HTF, Order Flow - Mark The Long \ I. \ Low-Term Highs & Lows - IPDA Data Ranges 120 Days Short Term Analysis - Mark The Weeliky Range, Time Of Week - Mark PDA From The Weekly, Daily, And 4H - Mark LTH\Ls And ITH\Ls - Mark Condition - Mark Correlations - Note High Or Medium Calender Event Dates - Determine the Premium and discount ranges - Open Interest Interday Analysis: - Note High Or Medium Calender Event Dates - Open Interest - Mark PDA From 1H and Lower - Time Of Day, Target The Ranges - Mark LTH\Ls And ITH\Ls - Mark Condition - Mark Correlations - Determine the Premium and discount ranges - Targeting and OTE usage Long Term Analysis - Influastions Levels Inflation and Deflation Can affect How money and the market Work When the Inflation Is High That means there is more money in the market meaning there are price Assets All over the market, The Govs tries to obtain the situation with Rising interest rates to make people deposit their money in the banks making less asset in the market - Interest Rates There are three types UP-Down- Unexpected Change The way how markets and Interest rates are connected is straightforward and clear, High \ Rising Interest rates means people will likely put their money in banks with around no risk and take a good percentage upon their investment and that means investors will withdraw their money from the market for better offers, meaning less liquidity and that means price drops in all markets, and a rising dollar, the dollar is rising because there are fewer assets in the market meaning fewer offers to sell, meaning higher prices Unexpected Change is when there is breaking news like wars - Seasonal tendencies Every asset market has its way of trending and the environment of how the investors do what they do, every market tends to have a specific month for bullishness and bearish news, which can be studied and make good use of it - All market Analysis All markets have a relationship with each other making sure to follow how markets are doing is important for your trades - Open Interest Open Interest is the total number of outstanding contracts that are held by market participants Using Open Interest In Trends & Swings If prices are in an uptrend, and Open Interest is rising, this is a bullish sign. There are shorts who are being stopped, but new sellers are taking their place. As the market continues to rise, the longs get stronger and the shorts get weaker. If prices are in a downtrend, and Open Interest is rising, this is a bearish sign. Weak longs are being stopped, but new buyers are taking their place. As the market continues to fall, the shorts get stronger and the longs get weaker. Put another way - as long as the Open Interest is increasing in a major trend, it will have the necessary sponsorship to continue. If prices are in an uptrend and Open Interest is falling, this is a bearish sign. The old longs, the "smart money" are banking gains as they're liquidating. They are replaced by new buyers, who will not be as strong on balance, but the declining open interest is an indication the weak shorts are also exiting. They will be replaced by new shorts that are stronger than the old shorts. If prices are in a downtrend and Open Interest is falling, this is a bullish sign. Smart Money, the shorts, are covering or liquidating profitable shorts. They will be replaced by new shorts not as strong as they were, but the declining Open Interest indicates the squeezed longs are bailing. They will be replaced by new longs who were not as weakened by the lower prices as the old longs were. Put another way - when the supply of losers is exhausted, the downtrend ends. Using Open Interest In Consolidations If prices are in a consolidation, and Open Interest is rising, this is a bearish sign. The reason is that "street money" plays the long side. Rising Open Interest in a trading range suggests the Commercial Hedgers and Professionals are taking the short side, and the uniformed speculators will likely fall victim to the downside break in price. If prices are in consolidation and Open Interest is falling, this is a bullish sign. The reason is the Commercials Hedgers who are most likely shorting - are covering. The "street money" will be shorting and or expecting a breakout lower in price. Ideally, we want to look for Long Term or Higher Time Frame levels in Price to anticipate this COT Data Cot hedging: we look back at the last 12 months on the net positions held by commercial trades and then we get a range over the last 12 months with the high level and the lowest level of their holdings regardless of their net shorten that long and whatever that range is divided that in half and then we define that in terms of being bullish or bearish if we are supporting the idea of the foreign currencies are going higher therefore and the dollar index going lower, we will see the CRT hedging program show bullishness vice versa Mid Term Analysis - Market Sentiment Market Sentiment is how Retail looks at the market, we can view this by News when the news is bearish it’s mostly bullish and vice versa, and for a more technical way we use retail indicators like rsi w% and others Bearish days: Ideal Entry Above the Opening Price Bullish Days: Ideal Entry Below the Opening Price The Market will do a fake swing making people chase price to seek liquidity Focusing on the Daily and 4H trend and order flow and PDA will give you the highest probabilities IPDA will use a daily or minimum of 4h arrays in play Typically price will not spend much time in the discount arry in 15 min, The price should be rejected fast, and the price stays the odds drop - USDX & US500 & BONDS Analysis USDX & US500 & BONDS reflect the change of Interest rate on the market so doing your analysis on them can reflect on the correlation with the assets you trade - 3-4 Month Major Market Shift Every 3-4 months the market will usually have some sort of change of direction, keeping an eye on that will make your bias much easier - Open Interest Here - Open Float Open Float is where the orders are resting, above or below the market when the price moves higher it triggers the stops of the shorts giving them more opportunity to long, making more momentum on their way up, making the price reject any short-term lows being broken until the price reaches a certain level of liquidity that flows the market with liquidity and changes the interests in the market, when moving higher and reaches a place with no more interest “liquidity” above the market place the price start going lower and gets confirmed by breaking a short term low which does stops longs and makes short enter the market and every time the price reject a higher high being made proofs that and every low being broken increases the momentum of short and less of longs, so when price going down after a buy stop ride the highs were the price making is not making a new ground, not making higher prices, making them only for heavy distribution (Want more? watch this https://youtu.be/BkmZgjuYREU - Mark Correlations Benchmarks like USDX and CRB and other assets can be used ETH with BTC can spot what manipulation is in the act for the moment which can be seen when making moves on the assets 2 - Smart Money Accumulation For Buy Programs (Is a series of Up Candles Regardless of the time frame) - Manipulation In an asset(as:US500) vs. Benchmark (as :DXY) - Asset makes Higher Low - Benchmark makes Lower Low (That Indicates there is Buying pressure on the Asset meaning the strength is in the asset and the benchmark made a stop hunt ) - Asset Makes Lower Low - Benchmark Makes Lower High (That Indicates that asset is going to hunt liquidity under the low and continue higher and the strength is in the benchmark ) - Asset Makes Higher Low - Benchmark Makes Higher High (That Indicates that Benchmark is going to hunt liquidity above the high and continue lower meaning the strength in the asset ) 3 - Smart Money Distribution For Sell Program - Manipulation In the asset Vs BenchMark A - Asset Makes Higher High - Benchmark Makes Lower High (That Indicates there is Selling pressure on the Asset and the strength in the asset and the benchmark is going to take liquidity above the high and then move down) B - Asset Makes Higher High - Benchmark Makes Higher Low (That Indicates there is Buying pressure on the Benchmark and the strength in the Benchmark and the asset is going to get liquidity above the high and then moving down ) C - Asset makes lower high - Benchmark Lower Low ( asset filed to make a higher high due to the pressure of sellers and the price is not going to the liquidity above due to the number of sellers is enough and liquidity is not necessary and that makes it asset has strength, the benchmark going lower to hunt liquidity before reversal ) SMT divergence is taken with the low of the session with the previous low of the session or with the low and highs between 8:30-930 Asian range with the London open can be used in SMT Note: the pair that fails to make a lower low means that the Buying pressure is high and has strength without taking the Liquidity under the Low, the pair that makes a lower low means the price to reverse needs to take the liquidity under the low then move to the other direction so the strength is more powerful in the side which the market do not take the liquidity IPDA Data Ranges 120 Days - Market Condition Markets/Price can only do four things: Consolidation: when the price moves inside a range, it indicates the Market Makers are allowing orders to build on both sides of the market The algorithm always starts with Consolidation Expansion: when the price moves away quickly from an Equilibrium level inside a Consolidation, Expansion, and ICT Order Blocks go together, the direction of the Expansion indicates the Market Maker intended repricing model Expansion always comes after Consolidation Retracement: when the price moves back inside a recently created Price Range, Retracement goes with Liquidity Gaps, When the price returns inside a recent Price Range this indicates a willingness of the Market Makers to reprice to levels not efficiently traded for Fair Value Reversal: when the price moves oppositely compared to the direction it had been previously going, Reversals occur after liquidity pools When the price reverses direction it indicates the Market Makers have run a level of Stops and a significant move should unfold in the new/opposite direction Phases Orders : Fair Value For the Trader Is Equilibrium Fair Value For the Market Maker Is the Liquidity Void (Because the Algo seeks to Rebalance inefficiently Traded Price Ranges) The More Powerful the Expansion The more reliable the directional bias Liquidity Void Trading: expect the price to wick up and down This is because Market Makers are distributing in the range of the Liquidity Void Pay attention to the bodies of the candle when the price is around Equilibrium, Do the bodies of the candles stay on one side of Equilibrium while the wicks cross it? This gives hints that the price may reverse after the wicks go across the Equilibrium Consolidation: When consolidation is broken, the strongest move on a higher timeframe out of that consolidation will give you a great deal of prognostication for directional bias Look for price to continue trading in the direction of the strong move out of a consolidation when we are talking about the consolidation lets say it do break down it usually do come back to test the level it was on , BUT IT DO NOT HAVE TO , not any test we are talking about , i mean a large fast candle going up then going back down , and its better of you see some kind of R and didnt come up to the R level then breaks hard down that means we are in heavy market and its likely to continue lower Then, we would have a short term consolidation that do not last as long as the first one which do usually offer a optimal entry then we expect a down leg going lower then maybe another distruion which may do a high the a higher high or tow high then breaks them there is alot of formats that may accur then another leg down till where we expect the market to reach (key level ) Then, we expect a down leg going lower then maybe another distruion which may do a high the a higher high or tow high then breaks them there is alot of formats that may accur then another leg down till where we expect the market to reach (key level ) which we expect the market to do Smart money reversal which as said above may do a braker candle or SMT those two is the only tow that may happen we should try to avoid markets that make an consoldation down on the low because Then, we can see another type of distribution so if we see a higher price above the range we assume that the Smart money did long in that area if the smart money did miss that move usually another consoldation happens after it as a optimal long buy which is formed as a low then short term lower low that takes the sell stops which flood the market with sell liquidity that can be longed with as we talked before, before a move in the market we see a stop hunt Then, we may have another range formed for more moves from the smart money in the way up, because it's going to focus on the original range that is up till we take the buyside stops above the original range and the things on the short term ranges got to match the ones on the other side (Vice versa) Liquidity Runs A- High Resistance B- Low Resistance The volatility filter confirms the contraction When the price is moving in smaller ranges and the price range is decreasing that means there is a smaller move in the market and that confirms there is liquidity building above and below the market price meaning there will be a strong move, time can’t be known but the move will come We expect the next candle to be explosive and if not that one the next one, it gave you the stage, not the timing You can use it every year, monthly, 7 days, 3 days BREAKING A BREAKER CANDLE IS MS Market Shifts is more than a pattern it's a live circle for the market, we are going up then we created a low then we got more up breaking the old low, which means we have an up trend a market going up making HH and HL, then we got a move down that is fast powerful down it can differ by did it close under the old low? or did it just make a wick and then go up that makes? We Define the real Market shift Upon Things like it broke down and closed down with a lot of expansion and looked powerful or just a fast wick and then got up? MS has some kind of grades Or levels 6- IPDA - Target The PDA From The Monthly The price moves around the chart looking for liquidity to fill orders which can be found around PDA so Marking those will result in a more accurate analysis We take the Close-High Open-low of the OB on the Monthly-Weekly-Daily Level We take the Close-Open on Lower time Frames Look for Entry when the price reacts from a discount arry on the daily chart and vice versa When a price has a clear path to the opposing PDA Look for Low resistance Runs with Opposing PDA Low resistance prices can be a good range to get for PDA that you target as Exit for your trades so taking those as exit targets can be safer because the price will not have so much liquidity to face against it when the market makes an MS and has an fvg that is big and notable the market usually corrects 50% of it at least - when we have multiple levels of highs and lows meaning having more than sell\buyside liquidity, u should do your work at a higher frame and w8 for clear MS - when the piece gets too close to PDA and not get it we call that unfinished business which the price will fill once more - taking sell-side liquidity and what we think is stop losses, Moving higher and fast after it is a good sign it won't drop to sell-side again - Having a level that is too clean like in the picture, its We do not like the FVG that overlaps the 50% level - we sometimes take an S&R, like normal levels only when PDAs are on the same level - when we take a swing high, we expect to go back to discount and vice-versa taking or not taking an OB means that we did or did not make an MS - Marking The Monthly Range It’s important to see the previous month's range If we are Bullish the price should Expand above the Monthly High And not Go under the low of the range So the Previous month when the Bullish it’s Low is considered as the S level and its high is the R level - Price Action Is Fractal In Nature. - The Monthly Charts Provide Macro Institutional Bias. If Price Action is Bullish: We Focus On Buying At Or Below The Monthly Opening Price. If Price Action is Bearish: We Focus On Selling At Or Above The Monthly Opening Price. Large Institutions Use Algorithmic Systems That Key Of The Monthly & Weekly Opening Prices. Since There Are Massive Amounts Of Volume In These Entities Actions... We Would Do Well To Attempt To Mimic Their Actions In Direction. Large Shifts In Price That Originate From The Macro Monthly Bias Will Provide The Framework To Weekly Opening Price Setups. Not Every Week Will Move In The Macro Directiona Bias - There Will Be Some Weeks That Move Violently In Agreement With The Macro Monthly Bias. - Determine the Premium and discount ranges We need to know if we are in a premium or a discount to figure out what position we want to be building in the market place when we are in a premium the smart money will seek buy orders to fill their sell or short on and vice versa and when we are in an equilibrium we are building liquidity for the next move the price going above an old high makes it premium and vice versa “short term “ taking the bodies or the tails is about the pair itself and \ how volatile is the market or the pair - The Trend in the HTF, Order Flow We need to see what is the trend and look at what positions are the smart money in which is what trend we are in if we are in a Bullish trend that means smart money looking for Premium arrays to fill their orders which is (to sell or to short ) vice versa in Bearish and if we are in a consolidation the market is building liquidity for the next move above and under the marketplace We need to see the price acting on the PDA arrays and respecting them and look for ones to enter and ones to exit When the Price keeps Hitting the Buy Stops and rarely hits the Sell Stops, that Means the Market is Bullish, The liquidity that is required for the Smart money Is Buyers When the Price keeps Hitting the Sell Stops and rarely hits the Buy Stops, that Means the Market is Bearish, The liquidity that is required for the Smart money Is Sellers If we are Bullish and we started seeing Sell Stops Getting Hit that may be a Quarterly Shift If we are Bearish and we started seeing Buy Stops Getting Hit that may be a Quarterly Shift - Mark The Long - I. - Low Term Highs & Lows Marking those highs and lows we can figure out where most of the liquidity where is set and see how the market is moving around those targets in a price-action way, breaking a long-term high is different than a short-term in how the market and traders will act , break in the market is considered right after breaking an ITH\L - But with DIV we can go with an STH\L with an FVG and meaningful setup the long time high\low is the one in which the market shifts from - anytime that an imbalance is formed and gets balanced that is an ITL/H - ITH should have an STH and an STH to the left and right of it and they should be lower than it, and vice versa - when the ITH is not higher than both STH by its sides the market is telling u the market is weak and it's taken as a factor - If the ITH is broken Dont go in you are probably wrong and wait for more data - Sometimes when you are searching for a break in the market structure if you find out that the ITL is too away from liquidity, u may consider the short term enough when finding good setups with logic - when we make a long-term high then we expect an ITH to be formed to close the gap of the LTH which we do not enter, we enter on the STH closing the FVG of the ITH - Note: levels made on M,W,D,4H is more significant than the lower time frames because its used by large institutions - WE DO NOT PREFER THE MARKET TO DO THIS KIND of lows unless its followed with an SMT (Smart Money DIV ) with something like US500 and the US 1000 making a point of one of them is getting bought more than the other We prefer this to happen - Making a low then a lower low Then trading into the high (Breker) which is the last close up candle before a swing low was taken out this is the default way of reversal or market shif trading back to that high is considered as an R level —If in Crypto you look 28-56-84, Others you Look 20-40-60, look for the break in the market structure Then Point the start Of the Month - IPDA Data Ranges 120 Days A- 20 days PD arrays will be taken in the range of 60 days after the shift(the first 40 Days) B- 40 before the shift PD arrays will be taken in 60 after (the first 20 days) C- the 60 Days range PD arrays will be taken In the 120 Days (the last 20 days) Short Term Analysis - Mark The Weekly Range, Time Of Week It’s important to see the previous Week's range If we are Bullish the price should Expand above the weekly High And not Go under the law of the range If the day is Bullish we want it to seek the previous day’s high and not break the previous day’s low and Vice versa So the Previous week when Bullish it’s Low is considered as S level and it’s high as R level and vice versa - Time Of Week - we extend the Monday Open over the week and we consider it an equilibrium - If we see Tuesday goes above the Opening Price we expect Wednesday to test it again - If we did go higher on Tuesday and test it again on Wednesday, we shouldn't test it again or go down, unless there will be a reversal or consolidation for the rest of the week - If we break it on Wednesday we SHOULDN’T test it again we expect in Thursday and Friday an expansion of the weekly candle If we traded throw the old day’s high and low, we expect a Reversal It’s the role of the Cycle of the market so taking that in point is important - If there is a key level that we did reach in let's say Tuesday, you should be bearish or have consolidation for the rest of the week - WE expect the price to move lower and make the Low of the day On Tuesday OR Wednesday ,IT may happen on Monday too, But usually, it forms on Tuesday London Open - IF it did form the low in Monday, u can still get in on Tuesday - Wednesday continuation - IF Tuesday didn’t go lower it's Probably Wednesday to be the Low Of the week - we don’t trust Monday’s low, we like to study its range on the chart - If we see Tuesday goes above the Opening Price we expect Wednesday to test it again - If we break it on Wednesday we SHOULDN’T test it again - If we did go higher on Tuesday and test it again on Wednesday , we shouldn't test it again or go down, unless there will be a reversal or consolidation for the rest of the week - We extended the Monday Open over the week and once it trades above it we want to participate there where the market is in overbought - We did make the high on tuesday then we go down we did test it in Wednesday but once we left the open we did not go back to it, if we did it’s going to be a mixed week adn we do not want to be a part of it - Nonfarm payroll usually seeks and destroy - The range from Monday - Wednesday Is important, Breaking it to the Upside is referring to a Buy Program, Vice Versa - The weekly Range is Completed By 30-50% From Monday to Wednesday - When the week starts and moves faster to an order flow or a price range it usually will reverse - Sunday-Opt Out daily range is too small we look for the price to trade above the level “early “ in the week during a Bearish week and vice versa, as long as the price is lower than the Sunday opening we look for short in our trades until HTF PDA is traded to - Monday- Can Create a small Range Typically, If it had a high range and Extended to a Premium or discount array that may be considered as High\Low of the week - Tuesday- a usually good day-to-day trade - Wednesday -generally ideal day trade day - Thursday- generally idea - Can reverse The weekly range is capped at the end of the London close or new york open session so it may reverse after it in the day - Friday- typically small range closing a week - If you see objectives that didn’t get hit on Thursday they may get hit on Friday so it depends on the weekly move - If the price was going down and the Tuesday trading did break the Sunday high that is a major bullish shot-kill trade - Tuesday may have reversals - The ideal days of the week for buying, Monday Tuesday ad Wednesday - Mark PDA From The Weekly, Daily, And 4H Here - Mark LTH\Ls And ITH\Ls Here - Mark Correlations Here - Determine the Premium and discount ranges Here - Open Interest Here Interday Analysis: - Keys to daily Bias 1. Trying to Get Every day Bias Is Unrealistic 2. Determine The likely Weekly Expansion 3. Look For obvious liquidity in the direction 4. Identify FVG, Displacement, Imbalances, Order blocks, and breakers in price delivery Top Down 5. Focus on the high or medium CXalender Event Dates 6. Look for Directional Price Runs In My kill zones Interday - Note High Or Medium Calender Event Dates - Time Of Day, Target The Ranges Time Of Day - The Market will gyrate Higher and Lower - relative to the Monthly and or Weekly perspectives. The Highest Probabilities in Trading the Daily Chart is when both the Monthly and Weekly support the trade idea. Focusing on the elements of Time and Price will greatly assist your analysis and overall development as a Technical Analyst. - IPDA TRUE DAY IS FROM MIDNIGHT NY UNTIL 3 PM NY - There is a stillness in Price - many times right before the Intraday Directional Impulse Swing. - There is a stillness in Price - many times right before the Intraday Directional Impulse Swing. - Asian Killzone: 18:00 to 00:00 NY 6:00 PM to 12 PM NY 2:00 AM to 7 AM JO 18:00 To 20:00 NY is the window you are trying to catch - The periods when the market is not willing to run in the Asian Session - it will consolidate until Midnight NY time. The Asian Trading Session extends beyond the Midnight hour in New York time. - judu swing of Asin is around 7:00 PM of NY - We expect the Asian range to be formed from 8:00 to Midnight Seeing a range in Asia setups a HUGE Possibility of seeing a trending price afterward the range is around 20-40 pips - The importance of the consolidation holds many clues to how the Daily Range will develop over the remainder of the 24 hour Trading Day. These will be covered in future lessons. Asian range. Begins: 7:00 pm New York Time Ends: Midnight New York Time. - The height of the range = Highest High between the 7:00 pm to Midnight hour to Lowest Low - The periods when the Price is Bullish - we can extend the Asian Range High and Low into the Future. - When Price returns back to the Asian Range High – we can anticipate Institutional Buying. - The Asian range is greater than 40 pips considering delayed protraction - When the price is ultra bullish\bearish usually Asians will make the high low of the day - If we take the open float asian can do the high\ low of the day - If Asia does make high\low expect London to move the opposite direction - If there is big news in Asia expect high\low of the day - When we have a Directional bias we can use the Asian Range to build or frame "context" to the Market's likely intentions. - London Killzone 2:00 AM TO 5:00 AM NY 5:00 AM to 7:AM Lunch NY - You can use the Power Of Three on London Alone - Expect London to make the High\Low of the day - Expect London High\Low against the trend - If we are Bullish and we Traded In a Range in London Expect the real move in NY and Vice Versa - Expect a Quiet Or a Reversal NY Session When London Is Trending - Expect the real Move to be in NY ( meaning if we didn't take any Highs making us Bullish ) - London can be a retracement when Asia makes the low of the day - London Lunch is considered a retracement or reversal time zone in which you should take profit before - The Price Action during the London Session sees the highest probability of a large directional move in the 24 hour day. - The Price Action prior to the London Opening can be very show off the future Intraday Price Movement. - London Close 10:00 - 12:00 NY - If London was Bullish and New York did continue the Move We expect London's Close to Be the high Of the day and Vice Versa, if both sessions were bullish we expect the price from 10:30 - 1:00 Pm to have a retracement - If we are going higher before the close we expect at the close to retracing off the high we made before the close then we expect a move upwards allowing us to VOTE - The Key Times to monitor are 10:00 am to Noon NY time. This is the ICT London Close Killzone. - OTE Setup in There is typically a 5 minute OTE Setup in these conditions. * They are very short term moves. - London Close can create continuation points for swings that trade well into the New York afternoon hours. - Other times - The London Close can also be a Reversal Point for Price and what had been the direction of the day or week can change during London Close. - When the daily is in a clear one-sided momentum- it is easiest to look for confirmation of that direction in the London Price Action. If London agrees with the Daily bias - we can anticipate New York to post a continuation setup. Reversals require more insights. - London close at 10-11 clock expect a low high formed or some aggressive move - New York 7:00 To 16:00 NY 3:00 PM TO 12:AM JO 7:00 to 10:00 NY Killzone 8:20 CME OPEN 12:00 PM TO 1:00 PM NYLunch - NY open can be a retracement for the move to London - when we make a juda swing around 7.30 the price will do another one at 8:30 which will not take the 7:30 swing - If there is movement before 9:30 expect the real move around 9:30 - Hunting opposite liquidity - retrace to a PDA - making low then hunts the stop in the same hour - making range or equal lows highs to the pm session to take - Expect setup around 13-13:30 after the Lunch Hour at 9:30 will always have volatility - Expect a move at the market Close orders the last hour - when we expect a bearish PM session we expect the lunch hour to be bullish and vice versa - The Price Action during the New York Session sees a consistent round of Economic News - The New York Session typically has two potential scenarios Continuation of London's Move or a complete Reversal on the daily direction. - The New York Session typically has two potential scenarios Continuation of London's Move or a complete Reversal on the daily direction. - If London agrees with the Daily bias - we can anticipate New York to post a continuation setup. Reversals require more insights. - We expect a retracement \ sideways lunch hour that the PM session would take the stops made in it - as always we should not trade the lunch hour, but, sometimes the traders just don't leave, and the market sometimes be in a hurry to leave - when we are bullish and at the lunch hour we expect the market to sweep the liquidity against the trend, if we are bullish we should attack lows - when expecting a fast long day we expect the judo swing to be after 8:30 - If you are bearish, You should take the lower point: opening, midnight, or 8:30 - Before you start trading in the afternoon you need to expect where the price is going in the PM session - If we are bearish the market will clear the stops in the lunch hour The ICT Judas Swing Begins: Midnight New York Times. Ends: 5:00 am New York Time. - The Judas Swing is the "False Run" that trips up Traders who lack the understanding of the true direction of the day. This comes with HTF input. - The Price Swing that sets the London Session High or Low is many times an energetic Price Swing. - The run on Stops and or returning to a Key Price Level can be the basis for this quick Price Spike. - Having a Higher Time Frame understanding and implementing that HTF analysis to determine what direction the ICT Judas Swing will form. - Central Bank Dealers Range “CBDR” Forms At 2 PM To 8 PM New York Time The range should be under 40 PIPS Highs and Lows go for 3x of the CBDR Big news Days Go For 4X CBDR The range is taken from the bodies Ideal Sell Days create the High “Juda Swing” at 1-2x CBDR And Buy Days Creat the Low “Juda Swing” at 1-2x CBDR If there is a greater than CBDR 40 PIPS means that the NY session will be more active than the London because they didn’t build the liquidity for London to take, that may change if the Asian range was tight 20-30 pips and but you shouldn’t take it because you saw a lot of volatility and no liquidity has been built If the CBDR is greater than 50 PIPs —Market Profile London Normal Expansion— IPDA will Start around 12-2 AM NY —London Delayed Expansion— - The market may or may not have good CBDR The direction is bearish Expansion is delayed IPDA Will Enter around 2 AM NY We look for PD for A retracement When Ts The London Session Not ideal - After a large range day greater than 2 times the 5-day ADR - After a series of 3 consecutive up close - avoid longs - After a series of 3 consecutive down closes - avoid short - After an FOMC event that produces extreme whipsaw A head of NFPR Numbers - The day which is before a long weekend - holiday - Multiple high to medium-impact news - When there is no news there won’t be liquidity in the market - If CBDR and the Asian range are not consolidating avoid London - If the market is trending in 8:00 PM ny - London becomes sloppy when Is London Open killzone Is Ideal - The daily chart respecting PDA - The market has recently responded to the HTF pda and has not met an opposing PDA - When the market is poised to trade higher on the daily to premium PDA london longs is ideal - When the daily range has not recently exceeded its 5-day ADR expansion day, it is due to the form - ADR is not filled at NY open but during London close is ideal - If ADR fills at or before NY open ADR will likely be exceeded if high-impact news is due out after the CME open - When the session is going above the ADR of the past 5 days that usually will make a London close reversal - when the London session is quiet until around 4 Am, this may cause a move around the lunchtime and the open in London - the speed of price is an intervention of some level to get the price as fast as possible to a price range in a small period - The time you don’t trade in The NewYork Season is when the EU season expands to 80% of the daily range - Mark PDA From 1H and Lower Here - Mark LTH\Ls And ITH\Ls Here - Mark Condition Here - Mark Correlations Here - Determine the Premium and discount ranges Here - Open Interest Here Targeting and OTE usage - Adding a fib upon your previous week will give you insights on the next week's movement targets - we project the moves on the week to see a level that has more lines in - After taking liquidity or retracing from the S&R level you should look for OTE If you couldn't get into an OTE setup you 1. we mark the previous day's highs and lows 2. Look for any type that the market will retrace on it If the market did retrace on it after that, we did trade and get above the previous day's high then we now use our OTE - We do fib on the last impulse, and write for NY session and enter in the fib levels - we use wicks on high time frames while using FIB ICT Fair Value Gaps FVG IS a range in price where one side of the liquidity is been traded and confirmed with a void in lower time frames, the price can actually “gap” to create a vacuum If there is a price range where only traded in wicks it considers as an FVG too which price needs to fill Closing above/below the fvg means a change in the order flow if the gap was closed above the closed under then the price moves higher the gap should act as support for the price Orderblocks - Entry: When the price trades higher and then goes back to the orderblock this is bullish - Risk: The low of the OB is the safe SL and the mean threshold is a good place to raise your stop when the price moves ICT Rejection Block - is when the price rejects a price level after taking the liquidity making the candle's wick act as an R\S level Reclaimed ICT Orderblock - Bullish Reclaimed Block: Is a candle that Was Used To buy price, those candles will be reclaimed long and Vice versa Propulsion Block - Is a candle that has previously traded down into an OB take Over the role of Support for repricing higher, candle is very sensitive, meaning it shouldn’t be traded by another order block under its mean threshold, IT usually trades into the high, and the market will show a sudden repricing higher from that candle If we break the Mean threshold this is probably a bad trade A vacuum Block IS a Gap created by a volatility event If it happens after a long trend then gaps up might be an exhaustion gap which means this may be the last momentum for the upside When this happens there are two scenarios one: if we are bullish is there any red close candle that won’t let the market close the gap entirely If you are looking for this to occur, you should see immediate Feedback because your stop will be under the last low If the gap was on Newyork or London (probably it happens in London )it will probably close the gap, but if it was in the afternoon it will probably leave it open if the gap was after 10-11 am it will probably open and you can trade it as an FVG Two: let's say that we got down the area of maybe bounce from but we don’t want to buy there and we close the full gap, meaning that the market did balance the market and will allow the market to move back, so if you are expecting bullishness you can be a buyer at the Low of the Gap and having an SL under the Low If the price goes down and fills the gap and we start seeing it going up we don’t want to see the price go down below the Low of the gap
