t rP os 001SMU AMAZON VS WALMART: CLASH OF BUSINESS MODELS op yo With sales of US$567.7 billion in 2021, Walmart continued its dominance as the world’s largest company by revenue, a position that it first achieved in 2002. In contrast, the ecommerce pioneer Amazon, founded only in 1997, but with revenues of US$469.8 billion in 2021 became for the first time the world’s second largest corporation. 1 The surge in online shopping over 2020-2021 on account of the Covid-19 pandemic had enabled the e-retailer to considerably shrink the gap between itself and Walmart. Despite Walmart’s lead in revenues, on 1 March 2022, Amazon’s US$1539 billion valuation dwarfed the US$382 billion market capitalisation of Walmart (refer to Exhibit 1 for a comparison of the retailers’ performances). As two of the most successful retailers in history, Amazon and Walmart had transformed the retail industry by redefining customer orientation, supplier-retailer relationships, and the use of information technology. Both retailers had tremendous power over their suppliers, and leveraged it effectively to offer prices as low as possible. Historically, the two did not compete directly because of their differing focus. While Walmart dominated the brick-and-mortar retail that comprised 86.8% of the US retail industry, Amazon led the ‘growing’ ecommerce sector that contributed the remaining 13.2% in 2021.2 tC Over the years, the two firms had optimised contrasting business models to enable their dominance of the respective offline and online retailing. Walmart’s model was based on offering the lowest prices on everyday goods for its in-store shoppers from over 10,500 stores worldwide. By developing strategic partnerships with its largest suppliers, Walmart had redefined supply chain practices and lowered system costs through the adoption of information technology. Amazon’s online model was based on offering the convenience of shopping from anywhere, anytime. It focused on developing a high-quality user-friendly platform, which comprised a large product catalogue, and a widespread and reliable fulfilment infrastructure to deliver the orders quickly to the shopper. The success of these two retailers was reflected in the fact that in 2016, 95% of all US consumers had shopped at a Walmart store and 42% had shopped at Amazon.3 Do No However, the changing customer preference for omni-channel retailing, an integrated experience that seamlessly comprised digital and physical retail, had compelled the two companies to make substantive investments for developing capabilities and acquiring resources in what was hitherto the other’s domain. With Walmart and Amazon racing to add online and offline retail respectively, would their distinctive business models morph to become similar to each other? Or should each focus on its core strength, while offering the other service (online for Walmart and offline for Amazon) as complementary? Were online and offline retail more suited to different customers and product categories? And did their respective future prospects truly justify the dramatic difference in market capitalisation between the two retailers? This case was written by Professor Nirmalya Kumar and Dr Sheetal Mittal at the Singapore Management University. It is an update of the authors’ previous case, "Amazon and Walmart on Collision Course” (SMU-18-0013). The case was prepared solely to provide material for class discussion. The authors do not intend to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a managerial situation. The authors may have disguised certain names and other identifying information to protect confidentiality. Copyright © 2022, Singapore Management University Version: 2022-02-14 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os The battle between Amazon and Walmart was a bellwether for the retail industry. The rise of online shopping combined with the pandemic had resulted in iconic US retailers like J.C. Penney, Lord & Taylor and Neiman Marcus filing for bankruptcy in 2020. They were following Circuit City, Sears, and Toys R’Us as retailers who had failed the digital transformation challenge. The Growth of Ecommerce Ecommerce in the US had grown rapidly, and was predominantly led by Amazon, whose online sales were not only the highest in the country, but in 2021, more than the online sales of the next 49 retailers put together (refer to Exhibit 2A for details on the growth of ecommerce over 2011-2021 and Exhibit 2B for the share of retailers).4,5 A 2020 survey indicated that US consumers’ favourite online store was Amazon (48%) followed by Walmart (13%).6,7 op yo Shoppers’ growing preference for online shopping had led to the shrinking of the number of brickand-mortar stores. 2019 was a record year of closures in the US with 9,832 stores shut down, followed by 8,741 in 2020.8 The outbreak of Covid-19 in early 2020 further accelerated the transition to online buying. Many traditional retailers such as Walmart, Nordstrom, Target and Gap adopted the digital model and embarked on an omni-channel fulfilment strategy by leveraging their store locations. In the holiday quarter in 2021, Nordstrom generated 54% of its total sales online, while Macy’s did 44%. Gap’s online sales for the fiscal year were close to 50%.9 tC Despite its seemingly widespread presence, the e-retail penetration differed significantly across product categories. In February 2021, music, videos, books and magazines commanded the highest online share at 69% of the total category sales, followed by consumer electronics at 53%, apparel at 38%, and food & beverage at only 4.8%.10,11 Despite their lower online penetration, apparel (total market estimated at US$317 billion) and groceries (approximately US$1.1 trillion) were two of the largest categories in the US.12,13 Observing this discrepancy, Jeff Bezos, founder and chief executive officer of Amazon, had remarked early in Amazon’s history, “In order to be a two hundred billion dollar company, we have got to learn how to sell clothes and food.”14 Ecommerce for Grocery No Accelerated by Covid-19, the share of grocery ecommerce sales in the total US grocery sales had risen from 3.5% in 2019 to 8% in 2020.15 Although, by end-2021, grocery delivery had shrunk to below pre-pandemic levels as customers began to return to brick-and-mortar stores, the convenience of online shopping and an ingrained buying behaviour were expected to ensure that ecommerce sales would reach 20.5% of the total grocery sales by 2026 (refer to Exhibit 3A for the top retailers’ share of grocery market).16 Do For the consumers shopping online, freshness and quality of the food items as well as prices were paramount, followed by timely and frequent availability of delivery. The grocery basket, while large in terms of volume and weight, had a relatively low dollar value. The average order size for someone purchasing online groceries was US$85 in 2021, up from US$82 in 2017.17 The low margins, average order size of the industry and the nature of grocery products in addition to consumer price sensitivity and delivery preferences led to significant economic and logistic challenges for retailers in their efforts to offer an attractive, but profitable, online proposition. Yet, given the size of the opportunity, retailers were continuing to experiment with alternative delivery models in their search for a sustainable model for online grocery retail. 2/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os Although belated, the leading grocery retailers in the US had significantly ramped up their investments to provide customers with two key online grocery fulfilment models: the click-andcollect model, whereby the online shoppers picked up groceries from a neighbourhood store, and the home-delivery model that provided the last mile connectivity. For last mile connectivity, the two favoured models were ship from store and ship from warehouse. While retailers with extensive physical store networks usually relied on ship from store and in-store picking by employing additional staff, Amazon invested in developing shipping from warehouse and automated dark store picking.18 The ship from warehouse model allowed for higher inventory as well as lower cost of storage as warehouse space was cheaper due to its no-frill basic ambience, and lesser rent due to location. op yo Traditionally, the major operating costs for offline retailers were staff, rental, utilities, and advertising. These costs were relatively fixed in the near term. Shoppers who came to the store bore the costs of assembling their basket from the shelves and transporting it home. In contrast, for online orders with home delivery, the retailer needed to pick, assemble and deliver the order. Estimates varied, but picking and delivering to homes cost the retailer, on average, US$12-20 per order.19 The fulfilment costs varied with the mix of products comprising the order. For example, large bulky items or frozen items were more expensive to deliver for the retailer. Therefore, while both multipack carbonated drinks and fresh fish yielded similar high gross margins for the retailer, the fulfilment costs for the bulky carbonated drinks multipack were considerably higher. Similarly, while yoghurt and frozen vegetables generated relatively smaller gross margins for the retailer, the cost of handling and shipping the latter was higher. No tC As someone had to be home to receive the order, customers preferred either faster delivery (e.g., same day or within 4 hours) or certainty of delivery (e.g., a predefined one-hour slot within a few days). The more retailers accommodated customer delivery preferences, the higher the order fulfilment costs were. Faster delivery and promised delivery slots made route planning less efficient for delivery trucks and also had a detrimental impact on the utilisation of picking staff. Hence, it was not surprising that retailers with a large physical network preferred their online shoppers to click and collect from the store. This also created in-store opportunities for cross-selling. Some retailers experimented by offering pick up discounts to consumers who ordered online or increasing prices for some items purchased online. For example, in 2017, at Walmart, a bag of tortilla chips sold for US$3.83 if delivered, but only US$1.74 if picked up at the store. 20 After consumers complained about the differential pricing, Walmart began displaying on its website both the lower in-store as well as the higher online prices if delivered to the home. Since 2020, it matched prices for the same products, irrespective of the channel (refer to Exhibit 3B for top retailers’ share of US online grocery sales). Do To cover the cost of fulfilment, most online grocery retailers charged a fixed fee per order and specified a minimum order size. Some retailers also limited the number of bulky items (e.g., a maximum of 12 one litre bottles of water) per order. Several delivery options were offered, which variously combined minimum order quantity, fixed fee per delivery, and subscription models (refer to Exhibit 4 for grocery delivery options). Over 2020 and 2021, pick-ups at the store and curb-side comprised the dominant share of online grocery sales in the US on account of lower service fees besides the convenience of picking up while on the road.21 Even consumers who preferred the convenience of shopping for groceries online tended to dislike paying the shipping charges. Typically, higher delivery charges increased the average order size as consumers were able to justify the shipping fee for larger orders but reduced the frequency of orders and the overall demand from the market. Ecommerce for Apparel 3/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os In 2021, the US apparel market was the largest worldwide, and poised to grow annually by 2.1% over the next four years.22 Online sales were expected to grow at a much higher rate, increasing their share in total retail sales of apparel to more than 50% by 2024.23 Unlike groceries, the apparel market’s high profit margins, non-perishable nature, and high value– low volume ratio made it more conducive for the online model. The big apparel players in the US — Walmart, Target, TJX, Kohl’s, Macy’s, and Gap — faced a significant threat from online, and especially from Amazon (refer to Exhibit 5A and 5B for share of apparel sales of top retailers). op yo A 2019 survey on online buying of apparel indicated that more than 50% of respondents preferred Amazon, followed by nearly 34% opting for Walmart and about 25% for brands’ own websites (refer to Exhibit 6 for the top selling apparel items on Amazon).24 When asked for reasons why they shopped for apparel on Amazon, 54% of consumers mentioned free and fast shipping, 20% lower prices and discounts, 16% customer reviews, and 13% ability to make easy returns. Ecommerce sales of apparel did however present some challenges for retailers, including the inability to provide the shoppers with a tangible experience whereby they could see the colours, touch the fabric, or try on the garment for fit. Another challenge was the significantly high return rate in online sales. In 2020, the average ecommerce return rate was 30% versus 8-10% for brick-and-mortar stores, and was particularly worse for the apparel category, which had the highest return rates at 30-40% (refer to Exhibit 7 for details on returns of different products categories).25,26 tC Returns of online purchases often entailed customers having to go through a tedious process of repackaging the unwanted item, printing up a label, waiting for it to be collected and finally getting the refund. The time and the hassle involved in the process represented a paradox for e-retailing that was centred on the promise of ease, convenience and flexibility. 73% of online shoppers indicated that the return experience affected their choice to purchase from a retailer again.27 For the retailers, not only did the returns increase the logistical complexity of their online operations, but also added considerably to the costs incurred. Since 62% of the customers preferred in-store returns, retailers with omni-channel presence were at an advantage.28 Walmart: The Low-Cost Leader29 No Help people save money so they could live better… I think one of the greatest strengths of Walmart’s ingrained culture is the ability to drop everything and turn on a dime.30 Sam Walton, Founder and Former CEO Do Sam Walton opened his first Walmart Discount store in Arkansas in 1962. Based on a low-price/highvolume business model, with a vast selection of non-perishables, it expanded into smaller towns and rural areas of the US. Compared to the small existing mom and pop stores, the much lower priced 30,000 to 80,000 square feet stores with a large assortment (except for perishables) drew shoppers from as far as 50-100 miles. The strategy of locating stores primarily in towns with population of 5,000 to 25,000 people allowed Walmart to benefit from the lower real estate costs (3.0% versus 3.3% of the direct competitors)31 and limited competition from other big box retailers. It pursued an ‘insideout’ radial expansion32 strategy in locating its stores and warehouses contiguous to existing locations. As it grew, the company continued with its core philosophy of offering the lowest prices possible, minimising operating costs, and developing economies of scale. It offered ‘everyday low prices’ (EDLP) to all its customers with a price matching guarantee — a pricing strategy that was the 4/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os cornerstone of Walmart’s success. On average, Walmart prices were substantially lower, 20-30% lower than mom and pop stores or supermarkets, and 2-4% lower than its closest competitors on ‘price’ such as Kmart and Target. Walmart’s store managers had the authority to lower the price of any item immediately to meet local competition. Consistent with EDLP, consumer promotions were relatively infrequent, averaging 13 events annually compared to around 50-100 at other department stores and supermarkets. Advertising focused on conveying the message of “Always low prices, Always” with Walmart spending considerably less (1.5% versus 2.1%)33 on advertising compared to its direct competitors. op yo It drove a corporate culture based on frugality in which its employees as well as vendors were ingrained with the need to create efficiencies in operations to minimise costs. Walmart had, from the onset, invested heavily in technology. For example, RetailLink, its proprietary intranet that linked it with its suppliers, enabled immediate and transparent information sharing (inventory and sales performance data) between the suppliers and the company. Combined with a supply chain initiative called Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI) — whereby manufacturers were responsible for managing their merchandise in the retailer’s warehouses (called distribution centres or DCs) and they were paid 45-60 days after the inventory was replenished, Walmart managed to achieve almost 100% order fulfilment with the lowest distribution costs in the industry. tC The retailer also established strategic partnerships with most of its vendors based on ‘long-term, highvolume orders for the lowest possible prices’. Furthermore, Walmart’s adoption of cross docking – the direct transfer of products from inbound trucks to outbound trucks — eliminated the need for storage and thus helped keep the inventory and transportation costs down while also considerably reducing the delivery time. Walmart’s inbound logistics costs (included in the costs of goods sold) were 3.7% compared to 4.8% for its direct competitors, and store space devoted to inventory 10% versus 25% for the industry.34 Walmart’s relentless focus on process and costs led to dramatic growth over the 1980s, achieving dominance over the US retail by the early 1990s (refer to Exhibit 8 for Walmart’s performance over 1980-1990s). By 1992, when Walton passed away, Walmart was recording net sales of US$44 billion, employed 371,000 employees across 1,928 stores and clubs, was present in more than 45 states across the US, and had gone international with its first overseas store in Mexico. No Walmart’s growth from the 1990s was based on two new store formats – Sam’s Club and Walmart Supercenters. Sam’s Club served small businesses and individuals on a membership basis. They had limited SKUs of around 3,500 compared to 30,000 at the discount store and sold large pack sizes in a no-frills environment. This enabled Sam’s Club to work on gross margins of 9-10%. Walmart Supercenters combined the original discount store with perishables, especially groceries. Supercenters averaged 125,000 square feet with the largest ones reaching 200,000 square feet and 50,000 SKUs across 36 departments. The new formats required Walmart’s efficient supply chain, which had focused on ambient products, to accommodate perishables and chilled products. Do In grocery, Walmart enhanced its customer reach by expanding into smaller format stores such as neighbourhood markets (introduced in 1998) that were one-fifth the size of Supercenters. These stores primarily stocked food, were conveniently located near urban centres, and offered significantly lower pricing than the local competition. Additionally, with ecommerce taking off, the retailer entered the digital space in 2000 through the launch of its website Walmart.com for American customers to shop online, and followed it up with a number of ‘site-to-store’ services that incentivised shoppers to buy online and pick up from its stores. 5/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os By end January 2022, Walmart comprised over 10,500 stores and clubs globally, serving 230 million customers a week under 46 banners across 24 countries and ecommerce websites. Its net sales grew by 2.4% and 7.6% in 2021 and 2020 respectively (refer to Exhibit 9 for Walmart’s financial performance from 1998-2021).35 Walmart US In the US, Walmart was the undisputed market leader with net sales of US$393.2 billion for 2021, which grew by 6.3% over the previous year. It had 4,600 pickup locations and more than 3,500 sameday delivery locations in the country, and its stores and clubs were located within 10 miles of approximately 90 percent of the US population. Its distribution network in the country, one of the largest in the world, comprised 157 distribution centres. op yo Walmart was the country’s largest employer. Its staff was non-unionised, with half of them working on a part-time basis. To empower the store employees, Walmart shared with them information about store sales, profits, inventory turns, markdowns, and shrinkage. In addition, its store within store concept encouraged departmental employees to take responsibility for the merchandise under their control. The employees demonstrated high commitment to the company and constantly offered suggestions to improve operations and lower its costs. Among the large assortment of products peddled by Walmart, groceries (perishables, frozen foods, beverages, dry groceries and non-perishable household, and personal care products) accounted for the largest share at 56%, followed by general merchandise (entertainment, apparel, home furnishing, hardware, and horticulture) at 32.3%, and health and wellness range (pharmacy, optical services, clinical services, over-the-counter drugs, and medical products) at 10.4%. tC Initially, Walmart focused on selling national brands at low prices to enable consumers to make price comparisons with other retailers. Over time, it began introducing private labels in those categories where the appropriate price/value combination for shoppers was absent and the opportunity to increase margins and have greater control existed. According to McMillon, given the level of competition, Having a private brand from a margin mix point of view and product-driven loyalty have become even more important than in the past.36 No Besides, acquisitions of private brands such as Hayneedle in 2016, and Moosejaw (outdoor apparel), ShoeBuy (Zappos-style shoe retailer), Modcloth (indie and vintage clothing) and Bonobos (menswear) in 2017 had helped Walmart expand its range of online apparel and accessories merchandise in order to include fashion, a category in which the retailer had struggled to make its mark in the past. Walmart also tied up with the department store operator Lord & Taylor to offer their products on the Walmart website. Do Walmart’s other successful private-label brands included Equate (health & wellness products), Great Value (grocery), Sam’s Choice (food products) and Freshness Guaranteed (food products). It also rolled out Uniquely J (coffee, olive oil, laundry detergent and paper towels), which offered quality ingredients at low prices with bold packaging to attract young customers. Some of the introductions in its private apparel brands portfolio were Athletic Works (active wear), Time and Tru (women apparel), Terra & Sky (plus-sized women’s clothing), Eloquii (plus-sized women’s clothing), Wonder Nation (kid’s clothing) and George (men’s clothing). Reinventing Retailing: Picking up the Pace of Change 6/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os With limited success in ecommerce over 2000-2014, Walmart recognised the need to develop the essential e-capabilities it lacked. And to that end, since 2015 it increasingly reduced spend on opening new stores and clubs, and instead focused on the remodelling of existing stores to make them more customer-oriented and on e-initiatives such as online grocery, pick-up towers, expansion of grocery delivery locations, technology and supply chain to facilitate an omni-channel model. In 2016, Walmart acquired Jet.com, an innovative ecommerce company in the US, for US$3.3 billion, and retained its highly experienced leader, Marc Lore, as the CEO of Walmart’s ecommerce business. Through the years, Walmart introduced a variety of online grocery services such as Walmart Pickup that allowed customers to order online and pick up at one of its stores, or Pickup Today that allowed customers to pick up their online orders at a store within four hours for free. In the former case, the order was serviced from one of the distribution centres, and in the latter, from the store itself. op yo To implement in-store picking, 18,000 employees, hired as “personal shoppers,” had to undergo a three-week training program in order to pick the best produce and meats. As specialists, they were paid more than entry-level workers. Walmart also installed pick-up towers near the entrance of many of its stores that served as vending machines for non-grocery online orders. These 16 feet tall and 8 feet wide towers allowed the customers to scan the barcode on the online order receipt (or enter the order number) and collect their parcel in less than 45 seconds. By 2019, Walmart had these towers available across 1,500 stores.37 For those customers who preferred home delivery, Walmart rolled out free shipping in two days for orders larger than US$35, without any membership fees (unlike Amazon Prime). To address the ‘last mile connectivity’ issue (considered to be the most expensive part of the fulfilment process) in a costeffective manner, the retailer enlisted its store employees to deliver online orders on their way home from work, for extra pay. tC In September 2017, Walmart acquired New York-based Parcel, a technology-based, 24/7 operation that delivered packages the same-day, overnight and in scheduled two-hour windows. Leveraging Parcel’s expertise, Walmart planned to deliver both general merchandise as well as fresh and frozen groceries to customers in New York City. And, to address one of the key customer concerns associated with online grocery shopping, Walmart provided a 100 percent money back guarantee if the quality and freshness of the fruits and vegetables were not found to be satisfactory. No In 2020, it offered Walmart+, a membership-based program to US consumers for a streamlined omnichannel shopping experience, which included unlimited free shipping on eligible items with no minimum order requirement, unlimited delivery from stores, fuel discounts, and mobile scan-and-go option. To the online marketplace sellers, the retailer offered in-house advertising services via Walmart Connect, and supply chain and fulfilment capabilities via Walmart Fulfilment Services. Do Building on the Technical Prowess Walmart’s mobile shopping platform was instrumental in creating an omni-channel experience at its physical stores. Inside the store, the Walmart mobile app, once turned on, slipped into the ‘store assistant’ mode, providing shoppers access to up-to-date information about the products, where they were stocked in the store, how much their shopping carts would cost when they check out, and an automated checkout process. The scan-and-go feature allowed shoppers to completely bypass the checkout lanes in-store. They could simply scan the barcodes of their selected items on the mobile app, bag them and pay directly through the app. Besides, customers buying pharmacy products or availing money services could just order prescription refills or fill out the necessary paperwork from their phone after having entered their personal information in the app. The app enabled the customers to track their order status, view pricing, and manage pick-up details. Moreover, the express lanes in 7/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os the stores for the pickup made the process even faster. Walmart also launched a simplified return process through its mobile express returns service, whereby customers would initiate the process of return on the app by selecting the online transaction and finish it at the physical store where they returned the item using the express lanes. The refunds were credited to the customer’s account soon afterwards. The retailer also introduced personalised voice shopping (in partnership with Google) to offer hundreds of thousands of items that could be purchased by the customers by simply speaking on the mobile app or on the Google Express website. According to McMillon, We can begin to envision a whole new way of delivering customised products to customers when and how they need them.38 op yo Walmart’s concerted efforts towards building an omni-channel presence, accelerated by the outbreak of Covid-19, led it to achieve a high growth rate in its ecommerce sales, contributing US$73 billion to Walmart’s sales in 2021. It had over 8,000 pick up and 6,000 delivery locations globally, its website offered more than 170 million SKUs attracting 120 million monthly visitors, and its marketplace comprised over 100,000 online sellers.39,40 The increasing ecommerce business also helped Walmart generate advertising revenues of US$2.1 billion in 2021. Amazon: The Everything Store41 We continue to aspire to be Earth’s most customer-centric company, and we recognise this to be no small or easy challenge. Jeff Bezos, Founder and CEO42 tC Founded by Jeff Bezos as a company that sold books online, Amazon expanded extensively over the years, and by 2021 retailed more than 36 product categories that included electronics, music, toys, groceries, apparel, footwear, appliances, and books and magazines (refer to Exhibit 10 for its bestselling product categories). Over 1997-2021, ecommerce and Amazon shared a symbiotic relationship, with growth in one fuelling the other (refer to Exhibit 11 for Amazon’s performance over 1997-2021).43 No From the very beginning, Amazon’s key decisions and plans had been firmly and consistently driven by a focus on developing long-term market leadership through customer orientation, rather than accruing short-term profitability — a promise that was reiterated to its shareholders every year. This approach allowed Amazon to continuously experiment with its business model and launch innovative services. Do In 2000, it launched ‘Marketplace’, allowing third-party sellers on the platform. By 2020, it had more than 1.9 million active sellers worldwide (including about 500,000 US-based small and medium businesses), who made up 60% of Amazon’s gross merchandise value (GMV).44 From 5.5 million SKUs in 2000, the company expanded to having 350 million by 2020. In 2021, commissions charged to third parties for their sales on the Amazon platform as well as services charged to these third parties accounted for more than US$100 billion of Amazon’s US$470 billion revenues (refer to Exhibit 12 for the segment breakdown of Amazon’s total revenue). Despite criticism from markets that it would dilute Amazon’s focus on its core online retail business, Amazon web services (AWS), an on-demand cloud computing platform for individuals, companies, 8/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os and governments, continued to gather momentum from its initial hesitant launch in the early 2000s. By 2021, it was Amazon’s most profitable business segment, generating an operating income of US$18.5 billion on revenues of US$62 billion. Amazon Prime Recognising that the real impediment to greater adoption of the online model was the cost of delivery and the delivery time, in 2005, the company introduced Amazon Prime. For an annual subscription of US$79, members in the US could have unlimited free two-day delivery on a large number of items.45 Over time, Amazon added a host of other benefits to sweeten the pot, beginning with free access to a certain number of books, Prime Video (movies, soaps and music), an unlimited cloud photo storage space and the annual Prime Day sales event. op yo In order to boost its share specifically in the grocery and apparel categories, Amazon introduced many prime services that significantly enhanced customer value. Its ‘Prime Now’ service provided members free two-hour delivery on a large selection of grocery items. And, to facilitate trials during online clothes shopping, in 2017 it launched ‘Prime Wardrobe’ that allowed shoppers to try clothes at home before paying. Members could order multiple items of clothing (up to eight items), keep whatever they wanted and send the rest back. They were charged only for the items that were kept. Shipping was free both ways. tC Amazon Prime membership globally grew from four million in 2011 to 65 million in 2016, and in 2021, boasted over 200 million subscribers. This generated over US$32 billion as subscription fees for the retailer. On average, Amazon Prime customers spent US$1,968 per year on the ecommerce site, almost four times as much spent by non-members.46 In 2021, Prime shoppers in the US received more than six billion free deliveries.47 Amazon planned to raise Prime’s annual subscription price to US$139 from US$119, the first increase since 2018. However, annual fees in other countries were substantially lower. Private Label Brands No In 2009, Amazon began its private label program by introducing batteries under its brand AmazonBasics, which targeted cost-conscious consumers. With AmazonBasics quickly grabbing a one-third share of the market, the company not only expanded it to over 14 categories from electronics to home necessities, but also launched multiple in-house brands across various product categories to help boost thin retail margins. Do Access to data on customers’ product and price preferences helped Amazon develop its brands accordingly, and in some cases by simply mimicking the bestselling products in the category and selling them at a lower price. Visibility into what consumers were searching for helped it understand gaps in the market and in its own assortment. For example, it introduced Amazon Essential, its affordable clothing line for various occasions. When Ralph Lauren was unwilling to list its polo shirts on the Amazon site, customers searching for them were instead presented Amazon Essential polos in 12 different colours at US$12 each. Amazon also had the ability to mine customer reviews to understand the pain points of the customers, such as a shirt fading after five washes. In 2017, it acquired Body Labs to gain the technology that created 3D models for shoppers for trying on clothes online. With increased focus on apparel, Amazon had over the years launched a number of labels that spanned across women, men, children and infant clothing, and catered to a wide spectrum from basics (e.g., Amazon Essentials) to those with more fashion content (e.g., Lark & Ro, Goodthreads and 9/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 Focus on the Last Mile and Physical Expansion rP os Core10). The retailer also had exclusive lines like Spotted Zebra for children’s clothing and Buttoned Down for men’s business wear. In 2020, in terms of online sales, Amazon commandeered over 35% of all US online apparel sales, seven times more than Macy’s, the second-largest online apparel seller in the country.48 op yo Evidently, Amazon’s ability to grow and drive its share further in product categories like grocery and apparel was contingent upon the retailers’ extent of control and presence during the last mile of connectivity with its customers. Consequently, Amazon made considerable investments towards developing innovative solutions for pick up, delivery and return of items, and establishing a physical footprint in the domain through strategic acquisitions and partnerships with other players. By 2021, it had 110 active fulfilment centres in the US, and exceeded 293 million square feet of space in North America.49 Out of Box Services In 2000, Amazon introduced a locker system, installing self-service kiosks in public places, such as retail stores and office buildings, in big cities in the US, for pick up or return of packages at a time and place convenient to the shoppers. Later, in 2017, the retailer extended this service by launching the hub locker delivery system for apartment blocks and other housing complexes so that residents could receive and pick up packages at flexible times. This 24x7 service obliterated the need for the shopper to be at home at the time of delivery, or the presence of a doorman or a concierge, hence allowing the retailer a certain amount of control over the logistics of the last mile delivery. tC Amazon also introduced the concept of Prime Air – a delivery service using drones (unmanned aerial vehicles) in 2013. While unfavourable FAA (Federal Aviation Administration) regulations had earlier limited this initiative in the US, in 2020, FAA designated Amazon Prime Air as an ‘air carrier’, allowing the retailer to begin commercial deliveries under a trial program.50 No To reduce its dependence on third parties such as UPS, FedEx and USPS for making deliveries in the future, Amazon invested in building a US$1.5 billion air cargo hub in 2017 to deliver items from third-party sellers directly to customers, bypassing the traditional cargo carriers.51 After four years of planning and construction, the 800,000 square feet hub was opened in August 2021, with plans to connect a network of 40 sites, operate a dozen flights per day, and process millions of packages every week.52 Do Amazon Key was yet another innovative service proposed by the retailer, which enabled Prime members to receive and view the delivery being made inside their front door, when the customers were not at home. However, to do so, they needed to buy a compatible smart lock and a security camera specially made for the program. According to Rohit Shrivastava, General Manager of Amazon Key, the customer benefits of the service extended beyond it being a delivery mechanism, It’s a great service for busy families; you no longer have to worry about giving keys to service providers like house cleaners; instead, you can give them their own code right from your Amazon Key App.53 In 2021, the company rolled out Amazon's ‘Key for Business’ service that required building complexes to install a device on the front door which would allow delivery drivers to get into the lobby at all hours, without having to be buzzed inside.54 This would make deliveries faster and reduce theft. 10/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os Brick-and-Mortar Presence Amazon invested towards creating an offline presence through a variety of access points in order to provide shoppers a physical browsing experience. For example, over 2015-2021, it opened 24 bookstores across the US.55 Amazon had also rolled out 87 pop-up stores/kiosks, which housed an assortment of Amazon hardware products. However, these concepts did not find resonance with customers and the company decided to discontinue them by 2022. op yo In 2017, Amazon acquired Whole Foods, a premium grocery chain with 470 stores, for US$13.7 billion. The acquisition allowed it to broaden its physical footprint, own a reputed high quality private label brand (365), and acquire a better understanding of shoppers’ grocery buying behaviour through access to rich customer data. As its first step, Amazon slashed the prices at Whole Foods by 25-50% on select products to lure customers from the competition, made Whole Foods products available on its website, and included them in its Prime Now service.56 It was now able to offer customers high quality groceries, which included thousands of natural and organic products as well as locally sourced favourites, at low prices, delivered fresh. According to Jeff Wilke, CEO Amazon Worldwide Consumer, We’re determined to make healthy and organic food affordable for everyone. Everybody should be able to eat Whole Foods Market quality – we will lower prices without compromising Whole Foods Market’s long-held commitment to the highest standards... and continuously lower prices as we invent together.57 Amazon also planned to use the Whole Food stores’ parking lots to drive offline cross-selling by parking its treasure trucks 58 there and offering merchandise that Whole Food shoppers might be interested in. No tC In January 2018, after five years of research and testing, Amazon came up with another retail invention that appeared to be the future of brick-and-mortar stores. It opened Amazon Go, a fully automated convenience store with no checkout required, in Seattle, US. The ‘just walk out’ shopping experience allowed shoppers to pick up items from the shelves and simply walk out. A custom-built combination of computer vision, sensor fusion, and deep learning tracked the shoppers, tallied up their bill, and charged it to the customers’ Amazon account. While the customers benefitted by controlling the amount of time they spent at a store irrespective of how crowded it was, there were concerns about whether they would be interested in such a solution in which there was no human interaction at all. The retailer believed that while it might take a little while for people to get used to simply walking out, over time it could become practically indispensable. As Bezos said, Even when they don’t yet know it, customers want something better, and your desire to delight customers will drive you to invent on their behalf. No customer ever asked Amazon to create the Prime membership program, but it sure turns out they wanted it. 59 Do In August 2020, Amazon launched Amazon Fresh, its first brick-and-mortar supermarket, and expanded it to 29 stores in the US by April 2022.60 Amazon Fresh offered a seamless omni-channel experience in grocery shopping using a smart shopping cart called the Amazon Dash Cart, and the ‘just walk out’ technology. In 2022, it planned to open Amazon Style, its first-ever physical store for Apparel, which would use machine learning algorithms to make tailored recommendations to customers in real time and have items sent to a fitting room with the tap of a button in the Amazon app. Advertising 11/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os Over the years, consumers in the US increasingly used Amazon to search for products (refer to Exhibit 13 for more details). By 2016, Amazon had overtaken Google as the site on which internet users typically began product searches.61 However, Jeff Bezos was a late convert to the potential of advertising as a source of revenue for Amazon. In 2019, the company integrated Amazon Media Group, Amazon Marketing Services and the Amazon Advertising Platform into one category, as Amazon Advertising. Future Prospects op yo In 2022, for the first time, Amazon revealed its revenues from advertising for the FY 2021 as over US$31 billion, up 32% from the previous year, but did not divulge its profitability. Amazon was now a serious player in the online advertising industry against well-established competitors such as Meta and Google, and the trio accounted for over 74% of global ad spending (refer to Exhibit 14 for shares in advertising revenue).62 The algorithms of these three companies, which optimised the placement of advertisements, relied on different variables, based on their respective user data. Do No tC The outbreak of Covid-19 not only quickened the pace of ecommerce but also the comeback of physical stores. The most successful retailers during the pandemic were those that could combine the benefits of physical and digital, as evident through the robust performances of both Walmart and Amazon. However, had the two retailers’ focus on building omni-channel capabilities brought them dangerously close in trying to beat the other at its own game? So far it was the rest of the retail industry that had borne the brunt of their aggressive market warfare. But for now, the two had their biggest fight on their hands. While the market seemed to currently favour Amazon, the advantage could change. 12/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 2100 rP os EXHIBIT 1A: MARKET CAPITALISATION OVER 1998-2021 (IN US$ BILLION) 1547* 1800 Walmart 1539 Amazon 1500 1200 876.2 972.9 279.8 321.8 700.6 900 600 300 2.1 113.81 228.2 0 1998 2003 *March values 121.2 29.7 262.5 op yo 10.2 208 2008 382.4 372.3* 246.4 2013 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Do No tC Source: Data from Yahoo Finance, https://ycharts.com/companies/WMT/market_cap, and https://ycharts.com/companies/AMZN/market_cap, accessed December 2021. 13/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 Amazon* rP os EXHIBIT 1B: AMAZON AND WALMART 2021 RESULTS In US$ million 2021 Revenues 2016 Revenues 2021 Operating Income 2016 Operating Income North America / USA 279, 833 79,785 7,271 2,361 International 127,787 43,983 -924 -1,283 Amazon Web Services 62,202 12,219 18,532 3,108 TOTAL 469,822 135,987 22,899 4,186 Walmart** USA Sam’s Club (USA only) International Miscellaneous *** TOTAL 2021 Revenues 2016 Revenues 2021 Operating Income 2016 Operating Income 393,247 307,833 21,587 17,745 73,556 57,365 2,259 1,671 100,959 116,119 3,758 5,758 4,992 4,556 -1,662 -2,410 572,754 485,873 25,942 22,764 op yo In US$ million tC * Financial year ends 31 December 2021 ** Financial year ends 31 January 2022 *** For revenues, it is the difference between total revenues and net sales; and for operating income, it is the cost of corporate support Source: Amazon.com Inc. and Walmart Inc. Annual Reports No EXHIBIT 2A: TOTAL AND ECOMMERCE VALUE OF US RETAIL In US$ Billion 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total retail trade sales Retail ecommerce sales 4100 4300 4460 4640 4720 4830 5050 5260 5410 5580 6588 199 231 261 297 338 383 443 507 570 812 960 Do Source: Data from Oberlo, “US Retail Sales”, https://www.oberlo.com/statistics/us-retail-sales; and Oberlo, “US E-commerce Sales”, https://www.oberlo.com/statistics/us-ecommerce-sales, accessed June 2022. 14/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os EXHIBIT 2B: LEADING RETAIL ECOMMERCE COMPANIES IN THE US % Share 2021 Amazon 41.0% Walmart 6.6% eBay 4.2% Apple 4.0% The Home Depot 2.2% Target 2.0% Best Buy 1.8% Costco 1.6% Kroger 1.4% Wayfair 1.3% op yo Retailer Source: Stephanie Chevalier, “Leading Retail Online Companies in the US”, Statista, October 29, 2021, https://www.statista.com/statistics/274255/market-share-of-the-leading-retailers-in-us-e-commerce, accessed June 2022. EXHIBIT 3A: SHARE IN TOTAL US GROCERY MARKET % Share 2021 Walmart/Sam’s Club 21.6% Kroger 8.8% Costco 6.4% Albertsons 4.7% Ahold Delhaize 4.3% Publix 3.7% Target 2.4% Amazon/Whole Foods 2.4% Aldi 2.3% H-E-B 1.9% Dollar General 1.5% Trader Joe’s 1.0% Dollar Tree 0.8% BJ’s 0.8% Do No tC Retailer Source: Annie Palmer, “Amazon’s Sprawling Grocery Business has become an ‘Expensive Hobby’ with a Cloudy Future”, CNBC, 19 February 2022, https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/19/amazons-sprawlinggrocery-business-has-become-an-expensive-hobby.html, accessed June 2022. 15/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models rP os EXHIBIT 3B: SHARE OF US ONLINE GROCERY MARKET 2020 t SMU-22-0021 32.1% 28.9% 26.4% Walmart op yo 12.6% Amazon Kroger All others Source: James Melton, “Online Grocery Sales More than Double in 2020”, Digital Commerce 360, 5 November 2021, https://www.digitalcommerce360.com/article/online-food-report/, accessed February 2022. EXHIBIT 4: GROCERY DELIVERY OPTIONS 2021 Retailer Orders above US$35 are delivered free or available for pick up on same day for Walmart+ members. If order is under $35, then they pay the below order minimum fee of US$5.99. For non-members, for minimum order of US$35, delivery fee of $7.95 or $9.95. tC Walmart Grocery Delivery Options Amazon Fresh Free delivery of groceries if the order is above US$35 for Prime members, anything less costs an extra US$2.99. For non-prime members, delivery cost is US$9.99 for any order value. Delivery can be same-day or next-day. It can be either a one-hour window for pick up or two-hour delivery window (available in more than 2,000 US cities and towns). Contact-free options are available for delivery with an option to receive groceries delivered inside customers’ garage with Key by Amazon (available in select regions). Whole Foods Grocery is delivered for US$9.99 to Prime members within two hours for purchases over US$35, with additional rush fees for one-hour delivery orders. It automatically adds a tip but is optional. Click-andcollect, as one-hour grocery pick-up at Whole Foods, is free for Prime members on orders of US$35. Do No Express service is for US$10 (on top of the delivery charges if they apply) for rush delivery. InHome membership for annual fees of US$148 offers free in-your fridge-grocery delivery service and free pickup of returns. Source: Companies’ websites/press releases 16/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os EXHIBIT 5A: SHARE IN TOTAL US APPAREL AND FOOTWEAR MARKET Retailer % Share 2020 Amazon 11.0% Walmart 8.8% TJX 4.4% Macy’s 4.3% Target 4.0% op yo Source: Anne Stych, “Amazon Far Outpaces Second-place Seller as Top Apparel Retailer in U.S.”, bizwomen, March 19, 2021, https://www.bizjournals.com/bizwomen/news/latest-news/2021/03/top-seller-of-apparel-inus.html?page=all, accessed June 2022. EXHIBIT 5B: SHARE OF US ONLINE APPAREL MARKET 2020 52.7% 37.6% 2.4% 1.9% Macy's Target Walmart tC 5.4% Amazon All others Do No Source: April Berthene, “Ecommerce is 46.0% of All Apparel Sales”, Digital Commerce 360, 28 June 2021, https://www.digitalcommerce360.com/article/online-apparel-sales-us/; and Anne Stych, “Amazon Far Outpaces Second-place Seller as Top Apparel Retailer in U.S.”, bizwomen, March 19, 2021, https://www.bizjournals.com/bizwomen/news/latest-news/2021/03/top-seller-of-apparel-in-us.html?page=all, accessed June 2022. 17/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models rP os EXHIBIT 6: AMAZON US TOP SELLING APPAREL ITEMS Men’s Apparel Women’s Apparel Kid’s Apparel Sleep & Lounge Wear Sleep & Lounge Wear Sleepwear Jeans Inner wear Girl’s basics tC 2017 Top Sub-category Top selling item op yo 2021 Top Sub-category Top Selling Item t SMU-22-0021 Do No Source: Amazon Website; and Lauren Thomas, “Amazon and Target are in a War over Apparel”, CNBC, 15 February 2018, https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/15/amazon-and-target-are-in-a-war-over-apparel.html, accessed June 2022. 18/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os EXHIBIT 7: RETAIL RETURNS OF DIFFERENT PRODUCT CATEGORIES Survey: Which types of products have you returned in the past? Product Category Returned Clothing % of Respondents 88% Shoes 44% Electronics 43% Home & Garden 24% Health & Beauty 21% Toys 19% 18% op yo Appliances Groceries 14% Baby products 11% Computers 8% Based on a survey of 7,688 consumers Source: Power Reviews, “Consumer Survey: Returns in Retail in 2021”, https://www.powerreviews.com/insights/consumer-survey-retail-returns-2021/, accessed February 2022. EXHIBIT 8: PERFORMANCE OF WALMART OVER 1982-1991* 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 4,667 6,401 8,451 11,909 15,959 20,649 25,811 32,602 43,887 3,418 4,722 6,361 9,053 12,282 16,057 20,070 25,500 34,786 893 1,181 1,485 2,008 2,599 3,268 4,070 5,152 6,684 tC 1982 (US$ millions) Total Sales 3,376 Cost of Goods Sold (1) Operating Expenses (2) Net Income (3) 2,458 124 196 271 327 450 628 837 1,076 1,291 1,608 No. of Stores 551 645 756 882 1,029 1,198 1,364 1,525 1,721 1,928 Retail Sq. footage (in Millions) 27.7 34.4 41.9 51.2 63.3 77.8 90.6 106.0 122.0 136.7 No 677 Do *The year 1982 refers to fiscal year ending 31 January 1983 as Walmart closes its books on 31 January of each year (applicable to all years). 1. Cost of goods sold includes amount paid to suppliers plus inbound logistics costs. 2. Operating expenses includes cost of operating the stores, selling, and general and administrative expenses. 3. To arrive at net income, after deducting cost of goods sold (COGS) and operating costs, interest costs and taxes are also deducted 4. In 1991, for Walmart’s most direct competitor, Kmart, sales revenues, COGS, operating expenses, and net income were US$34,580, US$25,930, US$7,015 and US$859 million respectively and their total retail space was 188 million square feet. Source: Walmart Inc. Annual Reports 19/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 In US$ million, except for the calculated values 2001 2006 Net Sales 217,799 344,992 Cost of Sales 171,562 264,152 Operating, SG&A Expenses 36,173 64,001 Operating Income 12,077 20,497 Net Income 6,671 11,284 Dividends Declared per Common Share 0.28 0.67 22,749 Property, Equipment, Capital Lease and Financing Obligation Assets, Net Total Assets rP os EXHIBIT 9: FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF WALMART 2001 - 2021 2011 2016 2021 443,854 481,317 567,762 335,127 361,256 429,000 85,265 101,853 117,812 26,558 22,764 25,942 15,699 13,643 13,673 1.46 2.00 2.20 33,685 40,714 43,046 56,511 45,750 88,440 112,324 114,178 112,624 83,451 151,193 193,406 198,825 244,860 8.5% 8.8% 8.8% 7.2% 5.6% 35,102 61,573 71,315 77,798 83,253 20.1% 22.0% 18.6% 15.2% 14.9% Diluted Earnings per Share (Adj) 2.07 2.71 4.52 4.38 6.46 Free Cash Flow* NA NA 10,745 20,911 11,075 Walmart U.S. Segment 2,744 3,443 3868 4672 4742 Walmart International Segment 1,170 2,757 5651 6363 5251 Sam's Club Segment (US) 500 579 611 660 600 Total Count 4,414 6,779 10,130 11,695 10,593 Retail Sq. Feet at Period End (in Millions) * NA NA 1,037 1,164 1,060 No of Employees (Worldwide) 1,383,000 1,900000 2,000000 2,300000 2,300000 Financial Position Inventory Return on Assets Total Sstockholders' Equity tC Return on Equity/Investment op yo Operating Results Do No Stores Count Financial year ends on January 31 of subsequent year; *not available for all the years Source: Walmart Inc. Annual Reports 20/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os EXHIBIT 10: LEADING PRODUCT CATEGORIES OF AMAZON IN 2019 % of Amazon Shoppers Baby Other Automotive parts and Accessories Grocery and Gourmet Food Sports and Outdoors Pet Supplies Movies and TV Cell phone and Accessories Books Beauty and Personal Care Home and Kitchen Clothing, Shoes and Jewellery Electronics 9 9 13 15 17 20 25 28 op yo 33 0 10 20 36 39 43 44 30 40 50 Do No tC Source: Statista, “Leading Product Categories Purchased by Amazon Shoppers in the United States as of February 2019”, https://www.statista.com/statistics/639155/popular-amazoncom-sales-by-category/, accessed December 2021. 21/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models In US$ million except for the calculated values/ratios 2001 2006 Net Sales 3,122 10,711 Total Operating Expenses 3,534 Operating Income (Loss) rP os EXHIBIT 11: FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF AMAZON 2001-2021 t SMU-22-0021 2016 2021 48,077 135,987 469,822 10,322 47,215 131,801 444,943 (412) 389 862 4,186 24,879 2,324 8,255 37,288 88,265 272,344 374 937 4,576 17,619 75,111 138 263 1,630 7,233 32,551 Technology and Content (c) 241 662 2,909 16,085 56,052 General and Administrative 89 195 658 2,432 8,823 Others 367 10 154 167 62 3,534 10,322 47,215 131,801 444,943 144 877 4,992 11,461 32,640 Operating Results Cost of Sales (a) Fulfilment (b) Marketing Total Financial Position tC Inventory op yo Operating Expenses Break-Up 2011 1,637 4,363 25,278 83,402 420,549 Return on Assets - 4.4% 2.5% 2.8% 7.9% Diluted Earnings per Share (1.56) 0.45 1.37 4.90 64.81 Total Stockholders’ Equity (Deficit) (1,440) 431 7,757 19,285 138,245 Return on Equity - 44% 8.1% 12.4% 24.1% Free Cash Flow NA 486 2,092 9,706 (9,069) Shipping Costs (Included in Cost of Sales) 376 884 3989 16200 76700 No. of Employees (worldwide) 7,800 13,900 56,200 341,400 1,600,000 No Total Assets Do Financial year ends on December 31; *including stock based and goodwill compensation; NA: data unavailable a: Includes both inbound and outbound shipping costs b: Comprises the operating and staffing cost of fulfilment centres, customer service centres and physical stores, and payment processing costs c: Includes the cost of technical staff, technical equipment and infrastructure required to support Amazon Web Services (AWS) Source: Amazon.com Inc. Annual Reports 22/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models rP os EXHIBIT 12: BREAKDOWN OF AMAZON’S TOTAL REVENUE t SMU-22-0021 2021 Revenues 2016 Revenues Net Product Sales 241,787 94,665 Net Service Sales 228,035 41,322 TOTAL 469,822 135,987 MIX B (USD million) 2021 Revenues 2016 Revenues Online Stores 222,075 91,431 Physical Stores (a) 17,075 NA Third Party Seller Services (b) 103,366 op yo MIX A (US$ million) 22,993 Subscription Services (c) 31,768 6,394 Other (advertising, credit card) (d) 33,336 2,950 AWS (e) 62,202 12,219 469,822 135,987 MIX C (US$ million) 2021 Revenues 2016 Revenues USA 314,006 90,349 37,326 14,148 31,914 9,547 23,071 10,797 Rest of world 63,505 11,146 TOTAL 469,822 135,987 TOTAL Germany United Kingdom tC Japan No a: Acquisition of Whole Foods August 2017, 3% international sales b: Amazon’s revenues from third parties includes only the commissions (Amazon collects, on an average, a 15% commission of third-party sales) generated and any other third-party seller charges for services Amazon renders to these third parties like shipping and fulfilment; in 2021, marketplace sellers estimated to have sold 56% of the unit sales and 60% of the Gross Merchandise Value on Amazon. c: Monthly and annual fees associated with Amazon Prime, audiobook, e-book, digital video and digital music d. For 2021, US$31,160 million was advertising and 2,176 was “other” e: AWS includes amounts earned from global sales of computers, storage, database, and other AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions Do Source: Amazon.com Inc. Annual Reports 2016 and 2021 23/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 0% 10% Amazon rP os EXHIBIT 13: PLATFORMS SEARCHED BY US INTERNET USERS WHEN DIGITALLY SHOPPING 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 53% Search Engine (Google, Bling etc.) 23% Brand/Retailer Website 16% Other Marketplace op yo 8% % of Respondents, 2020 Source: eMarketer Editors, “Where do US Consumers Begin their Product Searches?”, eMarketer, November 29, 2020, https://www.emarketer.com/content/where-do-us-consumers-begin-their-product-searches, accessed June 2022. EXHIBIT 14: ADVERTISING REVENUE 2021 Advertising Revenue (USD Billion) 70 60 50 40 31.6 28.8 28.8 26 10 No 30 tC 69.4 20 4.12 2.58 10 0 Do Source: Geri Mileva, “Amazon Ad Revenue Statistics That will Blow Your Mind”, Influencer Marketing Hub, February 23, 2022, https://influencermarketinghub.com/amazon-adrevenue/#:~:text=In%202018%2C%20the%20company%20made,chunk%20of%20the%20advertising%20mark et, accessed June 2022. 24/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 rP os Endnotes: 1 Walmart reports fiscal 2022 as the year ending on 31January 2022, and fiscal 2021 as the year ending on 31 January 2021. US Census Bureau News, “Quarterly Retail E-Commerce Sales”, November 19, 2022, https://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/www/data/pdf/ec_current.pdf, accessed November 2022. 3 Krystina Gustafson, “Nearly Every American Spent Money at Wal-Mart Last Year”, CNBC, 12 April, 2017, https://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/12/nearly-every-american-spent-money-at-wal-mart-last-year.html, accessed June 2022. 4 Statista Research Department , “Retail E-commerce Revenue in the United States from 2017 to 2027”, Statista, January 3, 2022, https://www.statista.com/statistics/272391/us-retail-e-commerce-sales-forecast/, accessed June 2022. 5 Ibid. 6 Stephanie Chevalier, “Market Share of Leading Retail E-commerce Companies in the United States as of June 2022”, October 29, 2021, Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/274255/market-share-of-the-leading-retailers-in-us-e-commerce/, accessed June 2022. 7 D. Tighe, “Favorite Online Shops in the United States 2020”, Statista, November 15, 2021, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1192734/favorite-online-shops-in-the-us/, accessed December 2021. 8 Phil Wahba, “UBS Sees Another 80,000 U.S. Stores Closing by 2026”, Fortune, April 6, 2021, https://fortune.com/2021/04/05/retailreal-estate-brick-and-mortar-stores-online-shopping-malls-store-closures-ubs/, accessed June 2022. 9 Ibid. 10 Marina Pasquali, “Online Share of Total U.S. Retail Sales in 2021, by Product Category”, Statista, March 28, 2022, https://www.statista.com/statistics/203043/online-share-of-total-us-retail-revenue-projection/, accessed June 2022. 11 Blake Droesch, “US Ecommerce by Category 2021”, eMarketer, April 27, 2021, https://www.emarketer.com/content/us-ecommerceby-category-2021, accessed June 2022. 12 Milos Djordjevic, “25 Awe-Inspiring Apparel Industry Statistics”, SaveMyCent, June 11, 2022, https://savemycent.com/apparelindustry-statistics/, accessed June 2022. 13 Russell Redman, “E-commerce to Account for 20% of U.S. Grocery Market by 2026”, Supermarket News, October 22, 2021, https://www.supermarketnews.com/online-retail/e-commerce-account-20-us-grocery-market-2026, accessed June 2022. 14 Anna Nicolaou and Leslie Hook, “Now Amazon is Disrupting Fashion Retail Too”, Financial Times, January 2018, https://www.ft.com/content/795935ac-0205-11e8-9650-9c0ad2d7c5b5, accessed June 2022. 15 Mercatus Technologies Inc., “The Evolution of the Grocery Customer”, https://info.mercatus.com/online-grocery-shopper-consumerbehavior, accessed June 2022. 16 Russell Redman, “E-commerce to Account for 20% of U.S. Grocery Market by 2026”, Supermarket News, October 22, 2021, https://www.supermarketnews.com/online-retail/e-commerce-account-20-us-grocery-market-2026, accessed June 2022. 17 Sam Silverstein, “Online Grocery Reaches New Heights in April”, Grocery Dive, April 29, 2020, https://www.grocerydive.com/news/online-grocery-reaches-new-heights-in-april/576993/, accessed June 2022. 18 Dark store refers to a retail or distribution centre which caters exclusively for online shopping. 19 Vishwa Chandra., et al., “Achieving Profitable Online Grocery Order Fulfilment”, McKinsey & Company, May 18, 2022, https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/retail/our-insights/achieving-profitable-online-grocery-order-fulfillment, accessed June 2022. 20 John Matarese, “Walmart.com Online Prices May be Higher Than In-Store”, WCPO, 9 November 2017, https://www.wcpo.com/money/consumer/dont-waste-your-money/walmartcom-online-prices-may-be-higher-than-in-store, accessed July 2018. 21 Bill Aull, Steven Begley, Vishwa Chandra, and Varun Mathur, “Making Online Grocery a Winning Proposition”, McKinsey & Company, July 2, 2021, https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/consumer-packaged-goods/our-insights/making-online-grocery-awinning-proposition, accessed June 2022. 22 Statista, “Apparel-United States”, https://www.statista.com/outlook/cmo/apparel/united-states#revenue, accessed June 2022. 23 Ibid. 24 Greg Swan, “Everything You Need to Know About Amazon Apparel”, tinuiti, 12 June 2019, https://tinuiti.com/blog/amazon/amazonapparel/, accessed December 2021. 25 Lionel Valdellon, “Must-Know Ecommerce Return Rate Statistics and Trends in 2021”, CleverTap, March 22, 2022, https://clevertap.com/blog/ecommerce-return-rate-statistics/, accessed June 2022. 26 Courtney Reagan, “That Sweater You Don’t Like is a Trillion-Dollar Problem for Retailers. These Companies Want to Fix it”, CNBC, January 12, 2019, https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/10/growing-online-sales-means-more-returns-and-trash-for-landfills.html, accessed June 2022. 27 Lionel Valdellon, “Must-Know Ecommerce Return Rate Statistics and Trends in 2021”, CleverTap, March 22, 2022, https://clevertap.com/blog/ecommerce-return-rate-statistics/, accessed June 2022. 28 Khalid Saleh, “E-commerce Product Return Rate – Statistics and Trends [Infographic]”, invesp, https://www.invespcro.com/blog/ecommerce-product-return-rate-statistics/, accessed June 2022. 29 Annual Reports 30 Doug McMillon, “Picking up the Pace of Change for the Customer”, Walmart Newsroom, https://corporate.walmart.com/_news_/executive-viewpoints/picking-up-the-pace-of-change-for-the-customer, accessed May 2022. 31 Sharon Foley et al., “Wal*Mart Stores, Inc.”, Harvard Business School, August 6, 1996, accessed June 2022. 32 The diffusion of store openings radiating out from a central point (previous store) in all directions. With its stores close to each other, it allowed Walmart to facilitate and economise the logistics for shipments, for example optimal use of a single truck to make multiple deliveries, and to easily transfer experienced managers and other personnel from existing stores to the new stores. 33 Sharon Foley, “Wal*Mart Stores, Inc.”, Harvard Business School, August 6, 1996, accessed June 2022. 34 Ibid. 35 Walmart Annual Report 2022 36 Donna Boss, “Walmart CEO Cites Growing Importance of Private Label”, Supermarket News, 14 March 2017, http://www.supermarketnews.com/walmart/walmart-ceo-cites-growing-importance-private-label, accessed June 2022. Do No tC op yo 2 25/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860 Amazon Vs Walmart: Clash Of Business Models t SMU-22-0021 Hayley Peterson, “Walmart is Unleashing 2 Key Weapons Against Amazon in 700 stores”, Business Insider, 5 April, 2018, https://www.businessinsider.sg/walmart-online-pickup-tower-review-2017-8/?r=US&IR=T, accessed June 2022. 38 Doug McMillon, “Picking up the Pace of Change for the Customer”, Walmart Newsroom, https://corporate.walmart.com/_news_/executive-viewpoints/picking-up-the-pace-of-change-for-the-customer, accessed June 2022. 39 Tricia McKinnon, “6 Reasons Walmart’s eCommerce Strategy is Winning”, Indigo Digital, February 24, 2022, https://www.indigo9digital.com/blog/4-secrets-to-walmarts-ecommerce-sucess#:~:text=... 20CEO, accessed June 2022. 40 Omer Riaz, “The Benefits of Selling on Walmart Marketplace, and how to get Started”, Forbes, January 3, 2022, https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesagencycouncil/2022/01/03/the-benefits-of-selling-on-walmart-marketplace-and-how-to-getstarted/?sh=20dbbc0c7196, accessed June 2022. 41 The information in the section is from the company website and annual reports unless specifically stated otherwise. 42 Amazon.Inc Annual Report 2018 43 Tracey Wallace, “How Amazon and Independent Ecommerce Brands Grew Online Sales 18,233% in 20 Years [Infographic]”, BigCommerce, https://www.bigcommerce.com/blog/amazon-timeline-infographic/, accessed May 2018. 44 Yaqub M., “20+ Eye-opening Amazon Third Party Seller Statistics in 2022”, Renolon, May 29, 2022, https://www.renolon.com/amazon-third-party-seller-statistics/, accessed June 2022. 45 Samantha B. Gordon, “Pros and Cons of Amazon Prime”, Consumer Reports, April 7, 2022, https://www.consumerreports.org/onlineshopping/pros-cons-amazon-prime-a7384439028/, accessed June 2022. 46 Marc Bain, “Prime has never been more Important to Amazon”, Quartz, May 3, 2021, https://qz.com/2004369/the-pandemic-madeprime-even-more-valuable-to-amazon/, accessed June 2022. 47 Markets Insider, “Amazon to Raise the Price of Prime for First Time Since 2018”, February 4, 2022, https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/amazon-to-raise-the-price-of-prime-for-first-time-since-2018-11002150, accessed June 2022. 48 Tonya Garcia, “Amazon is the Biggest Apparel Seller in the U.S. as Questions Arise about Whether the Business should be Broken up”, MarketWatch, September 8, 2021, https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amazon-is-the-biggest-apparel-seller-in-the-u-s-asquestions-arise-about-whether-the-business-should-be-broken-up-11631120043, accessed June 2022. 49 Tara Johnson, “The Ultimate List of All Amazon Fulfillment Centers”, tinuiti, October 18, 2021, https://tinuiti.com/blog/amazon/amazon-fulfillment-centers-map/, accessed June 2022. 50 Steve Banker, “Amazon Supply Chain Innovation Continues”, Forbes, April 1, 2021, https://www.forbes.com/sites/stevebanker/2021/04/01/amazon-supply-chain-innovation-continues/?sh=20dee95977e6, accessed June 2022. 51 Jeffrey Dastin, “Amazon to Spend $1.49 Billion on Air Cargo Hub, Fans Talk of Bigger Ambitions”, Reuters, 1 February 2017, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-amazon-com-shipping/amazon-to-spend-1-49-billion-on-air-cargo-hub-fans-talk-of-biggerambitions-idUSKBN15G3GI, accessed May 2018. 52 Kirsten Korosec, “Amazon’s $1.5 billion US Air Cargo Hub is Open for Business”, TechCrunch, August 11, 2021, https://techcrunch.com/2021/08/11/amazons-1-5-billion-u-s-air-cargo-hub-is-open-for-business/, accessed June 2022. 53 Amazon Press Room, “Amazon Key Features—Keyless Entry, Guest Access, and Ability to Monitor and Lock/Unlock Your Door from Anywhere—Now Available Nationwide”, Business Wire, April 5, 2018, https://press.aboutamazon.com/2018/4/amazon-keyfeatures-keyless-entry-guest-access-and-ability-to-monitor-and-lock-unlock-your-door-from-anywhere-now-available-nationwide, accessed June 2018. 54 Isobel Asher Hamilton, “Amazon is Offering Building Managers $100 Gift Cards as an Incentive to Install 'Key' Devices, which Let Delivery Drivers Get into the Lobby at All Hours”, Insider, July 26, 2021, https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-key-for-businessdelivery-drivers-packages-building-managers-2021-7, accessed June 2022. 55 Russell Redman, “Amazon Go Draws High Interest from U.S. Shoppers”, Supermarket News, February 24, 2021, https://www.supermarketnews.com/retail-financial/amazon-go-draws-high-interest-us-shoppers, accessed June 2022. 56 Jordan Valinsky, “5 Ways Amazon has already Changed Whole Foods”, CNN Business, 9 February 2018, http://money.cnn.com/2018/02/09/news/companies/amazon-whole-foods-changes/index.html, accessed May 2018. 57 Amazon Press Room, “Amazon and Whole Foods Market Announce Acquisition to Close this Monday, will Work Together to Make High-Quality, Natural and Organic Food Affordable for Everyone”, Business Wire, 24 August 2017, https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20170824006124/en/Amazon-and-Whole-Foods-Market-Announce-Acquisition-to-CloseThis-Monday-Will-Work-Together-to-Make-High-Quality-Natural-and-Organic-Food-Affordable-for-Everyone, accessed May 2018. 58 In 2017, Amazon launched its treasure truck fleet and within two years it had tripled its product volume and comprised more than 100 vehicles (trucks, vans and kiosks) across 25 US cities and millions of text message subscribers. The trucks carried select ‘must-have’ items and sold them at discounted prices. 59 Amazon.com Inc. Annual report 2017. 60 Russell Redman, “Amazon Fresh Grows from Concept to Competitor”, Supermarket News, May 3, 2022, https://www.supermarketnews.com/retail-financial/amazon-fresh-grows-concept-competitor, accessed June 2022. 61 eMarketer, “Where do US Consumers Begin their Product Searches?”, November 29, 2020, https://www.emarketer.com/content/where-do-us-consumers-begin-their-product-searches, accessed June 2022. 62 Geri Mileva, “Amazon Ad Revenue Statistics that will Blow your Mind”, Influencer Marketing Hub, February 23, 2022, https://influencermarketinghub.com/amazon-adrevenue/#:~:text=In%202018%2C%20the%20company%20made,chunk%20of%20the%20advertising%20market, accessed June 2022. Do No tC op yo rP os 37 26/26 This document is authorized for educator review use only by Dr Raja Roy Choudhury, Other (University not listed) until Apr 2024. Copying or posting is an infringement of copyright. Permissions@hbsp.harvard.edu or 617.783.7860