Confronting global challenges Common challenges of international business Ways a business can be international: produces goods domestically and sells both domestically and internationally produces goods abroad and sells it domestically and or abroad Challenges of international business: language barriers cultural differences managing global teams currency exchange and inflation rates nuances of foreign politics, policy and regulation Stakeholder theory - businesses, to be successful it has to create value for customers, suppliers, employers, communities, financiers, shareholders banks and others Business cant just consider their own interests Social responsibilities of a firm focus on shareholder value large/global firms need to recognise size and responsibility markets need to understand human, community and environmental values Links Developments in global finance Government control Governments primary aims for the economy: full employment price stability economic growth redistribution of income balance of payments stability Fiscal policy changes in gov spending changes in taxation Monetary policy changes in money supply changes in interest rates The international monetary system The IMF and World Bank Both are involved in economic development policies for member countries Both are influential institutions: they attach conditions to loans, which have followed the “Washington Consensus” The World Bank focuses on development programmes The IMF focuses on broader development issues and financial stability; it has been crucial in national financial crises The IMF is a co-ordinating institution of the G20 group of countries (whichincludes a number at risk of financial instability) The Washington Consensus A set of rules to help developing countries 1. Reduce large deficits 2. reorder public spending to pro-growth and pro-poor 3. reduce taxes 4. liberalise interest rates - privatise central bank 5. competitive exchange rate 6. trade liberalisation 7. liberalise inward fdi 8. privatisation 9. deregulation 10. property rights Exchange rate system Currencies can range from fixed rate to free floating. Pegged exchange rate – pegged to another currency, such as the US$ The peg is adopted to provide stability, and is favoured by developing and emerging economies Governments can come under pressure to devalue The IMF warns against accumulating vast currency reserves, but many countries do hold large reserves, e.g. China The gold standard system 1870s to 1914 Marked the emergence of a global financial order Currencies were pegged to gold System depended on central banks adhering to external convertibility No restrictions on international gold flows The Bretton Woods system it lasted 1944 to1971 Currencies pegged to the U.S. dollar. But some flexibility for countries in setting the value of their currencies. National capital controls allowed Global financial markets International capital markets Multi national enterprises raise capital by offering shares to investors (equity funding) and by borrowing (debt financing) Capital markets – flows of capital, including equity and debt markets. The financial environment has become highly globalised, due largelyto advances in computing Equity markets Shares in listed companies are traded on stock exchanges, launched by an IPO (initial public offering) Global companies often seek listings outside their home countries In new markets where there is investment potential In countries where regulation and costs are more advantageous Institutional investors, such as pension funds and investment funds, have become major investors in capital markets. Debt financing A bond is a loan instrument which promises to pay a fixed sum on a fixed date, and to pay interest to the lender - Companies and governments both use bonds. Global financial risk Globalization has increased risks Hedge funds are active in derivatives markets and in sovereign debt instruments Finance is now a business activity in its own right, not just a business function. Role in growth Financial markets enable: Exporters and importers to receive and raise funds in order to settle transactions. Enables banks to borrow and lend customers in various foreign currencies. Helps in each exchange of documents between the buyer and seller through banks. Facilitate direct flow of savings and investments in the country. Helps governments to raise funds by letting them borrow at a lower rate of interest Helping to efficiently direct the flow of savings and investment in the economy to facilitate capital accumulation and production of goods and services. National financial crises National financial systems can become vulnerable through a currency crisis, especially when banks are exposed to debt in foreign currency. Some causes of national financial crises: Openness to volatile global financial flows. Accumulation of too much debt: government, corporate and household debt. Falling currency and dollar-denominated debt. Global finance: Towards sustainability? A challenge is to reform banking and finance to a more sustainable footing, taking in stakeholder interests A more sustainable financial system would feature: A stakeholder focus. Regulatory reform to introduce greater accountability of bankers who have caused their banks to fail. A more responsible approach to corporate governance Balance of Payments Globalisation ➡️ The exchange of ideas, capital goods across the world, driven by technology Causes of globalisation: Technology - communication, transport Companies becoming larger so they can reach further Containerisation Reduced trade barriers Cross-border political co-operation Tensions in the globalised environment: Economic Economic integration shifts in power Political Divergent political system international cooperation Legal International law national legal systems Ecological Global issues - climate change national development properties Technological Technology transfer national technology capacity - not being able to produce enough - micro conductors Cultural diversity cultural diversity Financial global financial markets regulation intergovernmental organisations social mobility is how easy it is for kids are able to move up the social economic ladder Classifications of Countries World bank use ATLS method UN: Developed - industrialised country with a mature economy Economies in Transition - undertaking macro reforms and alter the way they are being managed. Typically from a planned economy to more free market Developing Economies - less developed economies with poor infrastructure and growth Links: Industry and market analysis Markets and Sectors The economic is split into four main sectors: Primary: Raw materials fishing farming Secondary Manufacturing utilities construction Tertiary Retail financial services Quaternary R&D Social media and information ICT Markets are where buyers and sellers come together to get information and exchange commodities. The structure of the market is important when analysing it. Different types are in this link: Market Structure (explained in detail on each link) Analysis This analysis helps firms, investors and governments to understand the political and socioeconomic factors within the market and how they may be used to gain a competitive advantage Governments conduct industry analysis to understand the role and impact of government regulation and taxation on the industry and market. PESTLE A strategic framework used to evaluate the external business environment: Political Economic Social Technological Legal Environmental SWOT Porters Five Forces Porter’s ‘Five Forces’ model provides a framework to analyse industry attractiveness. It is often used in combination with the PESTLE model. State of Market Competition may be more intense when: Large number of competing firms Firms are of similar size/market share Market is growing slowly Low product differentiation Capacity added in large increments Other factors can influence the market such as substitutes, bargaining power and Innovation Bargaining power Bargaining power of buyers can influence the market Buyers have high bargaining power when: there is low switching costs products are undifferentiated (substitutes available ) they are able to produce the product themselves But there is also bargaining power of suppliers. They have high supplier bargaining power when there is: suppliers are small number of firms suppliers sell differentiated products industry players have high switching cost (of switching suppliers) industry players unable to integrate vertically backward (or supplier able to integrate forward) firms are not important customers to suppliers 2024-01-24 Institutions and the business environment What are institutions? Public and private spheres: Public: institutions of state, government structures and the individuals who play roles in decision-making. Civil society: private sphere in which people can pursue their own goals, including freedom to join groups such as political parties and trade unions Transaction costs – all costs necessary for buyers and sellers to buy and sell goods or services Transaction costs include: Legal fees; The costs of negotiations; The cost of monitoring and enforcing a contract; The cost of finding information (scoping/analysing the market); The cost of labour to produce and deliver a good or service to the market The cost of disposing of inventory or capital Institutions add certainty to transactions: Secure private property; Provide clarity; Enforce contracts Why do we study institutions? To apply economic theory to reality, we have to have a sense of economic and political institutions Institutions are laws, common practices, and organisations in a society that affect the economy, firm performance and social interactions The State legal systems Civil law tradition – based on comprehensive codes that set out the basic law Common law tradition : Originated in England. Based on a body of judge-made law through decided cases. Both types of legal system are now heavily supplemented by legislation, to cover new situations and evolving business practices such as digital advances Links: International Trade and Globalisation Exports – domestically produced goods and services leaving the country to be sold abroad. Imports – foreign goods and services brought into the country to be sold domestically. Net exports (NX) – the trade balance is equal to the value of exports minus the value of imports (X-M) Influences Consumer preference Price - domestic vs foreign Incomes Exchange rules Government policies Trade policies Closed economies – do not interact with other economies in the world Open economies – interact freely with other economies around the world. Protectionism can be implemented through both direct and indirect trade barriers: Tariffs (duties) on imports or exports – apply directly. Import quotas Voluntary export restraints (VERs). Non-tariff barriers, such as local content requirements – an indirect barrier. Subsidies to local producers out of public funds. Export subsidies distort world markets. Flow of capital Net capital outflow Also known as net foreign investment Domestic residents purchase of foreign assets MINUS foreign purchase of domestic assets Capital inflow – foreigners taking capital into the country to buy assets in our country. NCO < 0 Capital outflow – residents are taking capital out of the country to buy assets in another country NCO > 0 Savings -Investment=NX (net exports) Variables that influence NCO Real interest paid on foreign/domestic assets Perceived risk of holding foreign assets Gov policies affecting ownership Developing Countries Countries with low costs and abundant labour have promoted economic growth based on export-oriented manufacturing. Participation in supply chains has been aided by attracting FDI, notably in electronics and textiles: China has been the most successful example of this development model. As China’s economic growth has slowed, other emerging countries, such as India, have increased manufacturing for export. The United States is the leading merchandise importer, but has a huge trade deficit. International trade theories Adam Smith - absolute advantage A country can produce a good or service in greater quantity for the same cost Or the same quantity at a lower cost more efficiently than its competitors. David Ricardo – theory of comparative advantage. A country’s ability to partially specialise in products at a lower opportunity cost than their trading partners Paul Krugman – new trade theory Focused on globalised production, especially for complex products. Economies trade and specialise to take advantage of increasing returns and lower costs (economies of scale). First-mover advantages. International Trade Regulation GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) legal agreement between countries; Overall purpose was to promote international trade by reducing or eliminating trade barriers such as tariffs or quotas. Principles which form the basis of the world trading system, carried through to the World Trade Organisation (WTO). Most-favoured nation principle (MFN) – equal tariff treatment among member states. National treatment – imported goods treated the same as domestic. Principles of fairness in trading practices. Anti-dumping agreement – allows an importing country to impose duties on goods from a country which is exporting them at prices below those charged domestically. World Trade Organisation (WTO) The WTO (successor to the GATT) came into existence in 1995. The WTO has prioritised trade liberalisation, but other concerns such as social goals, loom large in national interests. Regional Free trade area – agreement to remove trade barriers among member states. Customs union – free trade area plus a common set of trade rules for external trade of member states. (e.g. Mercosur – established by Treaty of Asunción in 1991 and Protocol of Ouro Preto in 1994 – Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay). Common market – free movement of goods, labour and capital among member states. (e.g. NAFTA, North American Free Trade Agreement signed by Canada, Mexico and the US created a trilateral trade bloc in North America came into force 1 January 1994 and superseded the 1988 Canada – US Free Trade Agreement). Economic union – higher level of integration, with unity of member states’ monetary policy. (e.g. European Union) Political union – transfer of sovereignty to supranational institutions. The European Union European Free Trade Area European Economic Area USMCA Agreement Free trade zone between US, Canada and Mexico Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) a free trade area. 2024-01-24 Links: Internationalisation and competitive advantage Location Theories Least cost theory - Alfred Weber: Transportation charges are the barest minimum, in terms of both availability of resources and place of consumption; Labour costs are at its lowest; There are clusters of similar enterprises. Classical Theory Firms have complete information about decision parameters Firms act rationally on a cost benefit analysis Weber, 1929; Predӧhl, 1928 Neo-classical Theory Firms have complete information about decision parameters Firms act based on an analysis of the market competition, revenue, economies of scale and production factors Firms focus on Profit Maximisation Hotelling, 1929; Hoover 1948, Smith 1966 Behavioural Paradigm Firms location decision is part of a strategic investment decision Firms acts based on multiple factors such as cost of production, risk minimisation and growth Firms focus on profit sufficiency rather than profit maximisation. Pred, 1967; van Noort and Reijmer, 1999 New Economic Geography Views the firm as a system of networks. Each network link incurs a transaction costs Firms relocate to reduce these transaction costs and gain economies from clusters, specialised labour markets and diffusion of knowledge Marshal 1920, Krugman 1991, Coase Modes of entry into foreign markets Non-Equity Modes Exports Advantages: Low initial investment Reach customers quickly Benefit of learning for future expansion Disadvantages: Potential costs of trade barriers – Tariffs and quotas Licensing Permits a company to use the property of the licensor, e.g. trademarks, patents and production techniques. Licensor benefits from licensee’s distribution network and access to the local market. Advantages: Avoid trade barriers get access to local knowledge Easier to respond to customer needs Disadvantages: Lack of control over operations Difficulty in transferring tacit knowledge creating a competitor Franchising Franchisor grants the franchisee the right to develop, establish and duplicate the operations of the franchisor’s business. An extensive legal relationship that includes a license Advantages: Avoids the costs and risks of opening up a foreign market Firms can quickly build a global presence Disadvantages: The geographic distance of the firm from franchisees can make it difficult to detect poor quality Equity Modes Joint Venture Has 5 common objectives Market entry; Risk/reward sharing; Technology sharing and joint product development Conforming to government regulations Advantages: Access to local partners’ knowledge Sharing development costs and risks Politically acceptable Disadvantages: Divergent goals and interest of partners Difficult to coordinate globally Wholly owned subsidiary (Direct Investment) Direct ownership of facilities in target country. Advantages: Protection of technology and know-how Complete equity and operational control Ability to coordinate globally In the case of acquisitions, entry speed is fast. Disadvantages: High costs and risks. Potential political problems and risks In the case of greenfield (building from scratch), entry speed is low. Indirect Investment Purchasing stakes or units in foreign companies that trade on a foreign stock exchange. Also referred to as foreign portfolio investment (FPI). Includes trading in stocks and bonds Advantages: Time, effort and expertise to select the best funds are provided by the managed solution fund manager. Easier to track investment through a single portfolio. Regulated. Disadvantages: Underlying instruments of the selected fund sometimes cannot be easily seen and monitored or even understood. Risk that the manager may get it wrong. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Greenfield Investment Direct investment in new machinery expansion of existing facilities Objective to create new production capacity, jobs, transfer technology and knowledge Profits from firm may not feed back into the local economy of the host country Advantages: Normally feasible Avoids risk of overpayment Avoids problem of integration Retains full control Disadvantages: Slower to start up Requires knowledge of foreign management High risk High commitment When? Lack of proper acquisition target In-house local expertise Embedded competitive advantage Brownfield (Mergers & Acquisition) Purchase existing company in a host country Assets and operation of host country are combined with original country to create a new legal entity Advantages: Access to target’s local knowledge Control over foreign operations Control over own technology Both parties have some performance incentives Disadvantages: Uncertainty about target’s value Potential loss of proprietary knowledge Potential conflicts between partners Neither partner has control When? Developed market for corporate control Acquirer has high “absorptive” capacity High synergy Determinants of FDI Firm Factors Uniqueness of product Strategic goals Host Country factors Formal rules informal norms/culture economic orientation Home country, market centred view market failures domestic vs foreign demand supply industry competitive rivalry Criteria for evaluating new markets Physical factors Accessibility and Infrastructure: How easy or not is it to access raw materials or export finished products? What is the level of local and international communication links? Are there adequate and reliable transport routes, e.g. motorways, railways, airports, ports? Land: What is the topography of the land? Is it going to cost more to transport, goods, services and people to and from the location? Is there a limitation on foreign ownership of property? Power: Sources of energy could restrict where industries could locate. How close is it the national grid? How reliable is the power source? Socio-economic (human factors) Government policy: Are there any tax incentives? Government regulation of the industry. Political system and political risks Legal policy: Legal forms Potential for profit repatriation Labour supply: Particularly for labour-intensive industries. The skills of the labour force. Health of the labour force. Access to labour within close proximity or access to transport to get labour in. Markets: Sophisticated consumers? Established retail industry? Market Size Customer segments 2024-01-24 Assessment technique Applied to assess the competitive advantage of nations The model breaks the analysis down to different dimensions or determinants – (market determinants and external determinants) Examines what that country’s strengths are on each dimension or determinant – to assess how competitive the country is globally (in a sector) It focuses on the industry-view and the resource-based view Links: Labour Markets Labour is a factor of production or input. Firms use labour L, capital K and available technology A to produce output Y. What is the labour market? Includes: Supply of labour by households - Circular flow of income Demand for labour by firms It is where there is an exchange between the supply of demand for labour - it is a factor market. Wages represent the price of labour. Income to households costs to firms can be influences by trade unions and gov intervention. Labour demand Demand for labour reflects the demand for the output good - derived demand. In a perfectly competitive labour market, an individual firm is a wage-taker; it takes the market wage rate as given. Demand for labour is derived from the demand for the final goods and services produced in the economy: Demand for labour is not direct demand. For example, if there is an increase in demand for new housing, it will lead to an increase in the demand for labour in the construction sector, including engineers, architects, builders, electricians, etc. Labour Supply The supply is the number of individuals willing to work, multiplied by the hours they are wiling and able to work. Households supply labour, trade labour services for payment. Higher wages usually encourages workers to supply more labour Workers are not homogenous They differ in physical skills and training Each individual can make 2 choices: enter the labour market leisure Efficiency wages: The theory of efficiency wages – firms voluntarily pay above-equilibrium wages to boost workers’ productivity. Immigration It effects the supply of labour based on: Skills of migrants Skill of existing workers Characteristics of the host economy Creates more competition for existing jobs. In the short-term immigration’s effect on wages or employment of existing workers depends on: Whether migrant workers have skills that substitute or complement those of existing workers (Borjas, 1995). Labour market equilibrium In equilibrium, everyone who is looking for work at the going wage can find a job. Workers prefer to work when the wage is high; But Firms prefer to hire when the wage is low. The equilibrium 'balances' this out. Determinants Demand Price - a rise in wages greater then a rise in productivity will raise labour cost and reduce demand for labour. Productivity - more output per worker increases demand for labour increases Price of substitutes - if capital is cheaper, like machines, they could switch, Innovation Supplementary costs - increasing national insurance contributions will lead to a fall in demand for labour. Supply Wage rate Change in preferences - non monetary advantages, changes in 'cost of working' child care etc. Trade unions - member benefits. influence working hours and wages through collective bargaining Migration - population changes Barriers to entry - qualifications Tax benefit incentives and disincentives Labour subsidies §Different versions of the efficiency wage theory suggests different reasons why firms pay high wages. The labour force •Employed and unemployed together make up the labour force. •In principle, individuals who are neither employed nor unemployed (outside the labour force) are not part of the labour supply). •Traditionally the labour force supports those outside the labour force. •Labour force participation is a key for economic growth and development. 2024-01-23 Unemployment The labour market is influenced heavily by Unemployment Links: The Global Economy Measuring economies Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Real GDP is the value of final goods and services produced in a given year valued at constant (base year) prices. Nominal GDP is the value of final goods and services produced in a given year valued at the same year’s prices Aggregate GDP = aggregate demand for goods and services produced in a country GDP per capita - the average income of people in a country, GDP/Population Gross National Income Gross National Income (GNI) (World Bank’s income-based country classification) – Total domestic and foreign output earned by residents of a country, consisting of GDP plus factor incomes earned by foreign residents, minus income earned in the domestic economy by nonresidents GNI per capita – the average income earned per person GNI per capita comparisons may be exaggerated by the use of official foreign-exchange rates to convert national currency figures to U.S. dollars. To correct for this we use purchasing power parity (PPP) instead of exchange rates as conversion factors. PPP is calculated using a common set of international prices for all goods and services. Human Development Index Ranks countries on a scale of 0 (lowest human development) to 1 (highest human development) based on three goals of development: A long and healthy life – measured by life expectancy at birth; Knowledge – measured by a combination of average schooling attained by adults and expected years of schooling for school-age children; Decent standard of living – measured by real per capita GDP adjusted for differing purchasing power parity. Productivity Total Factor Productivity (TFP) measures that portion of output that is not explained by the amount of capital and labour used in production. Factors of production + TFP = output of goods and services It captures the effects of other determinants of efficiency and intensity of production e.g.: •Government policy •Political unrest •Weather shocks •Investment in research and development (technological progress) Productivity Equation Classifications of economies Developing Country less industrialised, often agricultural, low capita per income Emerging Market more engaged with global markets, transitioning to a modern economy, higher standard of living Market economies Consumer choices determine how industries and financial markets operate. Laissez-faire capitalism – individual freedom to carry out enterprise activities with minimum state interference. Notion of the ‘invisible hand’ (Adam Smith) guiding the economy, but still a need for regulation, e.g. to tame monopolies that become dominant and distort competition. Social market model: Social justice dimension, including social protections. Extensive state ownership. High human development rankings, but also high costs for business. Mixed economies Capitalist market elements combined with state controls. China: Two-system model: capitalist reforms in the economic system, but political system controlled by the Communist Party. India: Considerable economic freedom and a democratic political system. Socialist legacy of the strong role of the state. Nationalist focus of economic development. Asian capitalist systems East and South East Asian market economies, e.g. Japan and South Korea. Industrialisation in the 1970s and 1980s. In Japan, state guided industrialisation. Corporate groupings: Keiretsu in Japan; chaebol in South Korea. Asian cultural heritage emphasises the company as a family. South Korean and Japanese companies have become globalised and have excelled in sectors such as vehicles and electronics. Circular flow in the economy Circular flow of income: Aggregate Demand Governments Goals Full employment •People who are willing and able to work can find employment. •Economically inactive – people that do not want to or are unable to work (e.g. children, retired, those in full-time education). •Full employment is not actually 0% unemployed. Price stability •Ensures greater economic certainty •Prevents the country’s products from losing international competitiveness •Common target is a stable inflation rate of 2%. Economic Growth •Increased output in the short run. •In the long run sustained productive potential •Producing more goods and services can raise people’s living standards Redistribution of Income •By taxing and spending. •Money raised is spent directly on the poor by means of benefits – e.g. housing benefit or unemployment benefit •Money raised is spent on education and health, particularly to benefit the poor. Balance of Payments stability Value of exports to equal the value of imports. 2024-01-24