Carolyn Fallis, MTax, CPA, CA, CFP Instructor, Toronto Metropolitan University A Science ◦ Quantitative analysis to support each decision ◦ Given limited financial resources, maximize one’s after-tax utility in retirement ◦ Timing and type of retirement income An Art ◦ Creative solutions to meet variable cash flow needs ◦ Not just about numbers ◦ Consider client’s attitudes ◦ and perspectives Life Expectancy of Canadians is increasing Normal Retirement Age - No longer Saving for Retirement does not rank ◦ New data for Gen X – savings is minimal Economic Factors ◦ Demise of Employer sponsored Pension Plan Low interest rate environment Low Inflation Recent changes to Personal Income taxation in Canada No longer enough to ask if the client has enough retirement income resources? Need to assess what “risks” are mitigated by the nature of retirement income sources How can we plan to make sure the client is insulated from changing face of retirement? Investment risk – what value will it be? ◦ Known benefit vs estimated benefit Longevity risk – how long will it last? ◦ Life Annuity vs Lump Sum Savings Inflation risk – Will purchasing power erode? ◦ Indexed vs Non-indexed Taxation risk – What if taxation changes? ◦ Before tax vs After tax savings Need to understand client preferences and attitudes towards nature of retirement income Lump sum savings – RRSP/ RRIF/TFSA to supplement income needs ◦ General fund vs Specific Fund Annuitized streams vs Lump sum Retirement Planning Process Retirement planning toolkit ◦ Refine/review our skills for Inflation need to know how our purchasing power will be impacted over many years leading up to and subsequent to retirement Time Value of Money Need to be able to calculate the value of an annuitized stream or calculated the amount of savings per year to reach a goal Income taxation Need to be able to calculate the amount of income, after tax! Only income, after tax, clearly shows what is left for one to “consume”, save or spend. 1. Gather current financial Information 2. Prepare financial statements to reflect current financial situation 3. Quantify short and long term goals 4. a) Prepare short term budgets ◦ b) Estimate Retirement Spending 5. Calculate required retirement savings 6. Monitor Results and make changes Period of Accumulation ◦ Benefits of an early start ◦ Compounding of interest/earnings Rate of Return ◦ Estimate based upon history? Amount of Savings Required ◦ If not calculated, may overestimate amount required for retirement ◦ Opportunity cost is forgone spending now How much will you need in retirement? ◦ Start with estimate – refine as years pass How much will you receive from gov’t pensions, current pension plans, current savings? How much will you need at retirement date? Shortfall/Surplus? Change in expectations or actions? Required = $50,000 per year (BOY) PV of RRSP = $98,700 Estimated date of retirement = 17 years Length of retirement = 35 years What is the amount required on Retirement date to fund this? ◦ PV of this spending stream on retirement date Answer: $970,560 Need to practice key strokes? Compounded one time per year ‘n= 35 years ‘i = 4% FV = 0 (nothing will be left) Solve for PV Now consider all sources of income ◦ Pension Plans ◦ Government Plans Recalculate savings required at retirement $19,920 (BOY – after tax) x PV of annuity (35, 4%) Amend the required amount in retirement Calculate the required savings per year to see if it is feasible Employment Information ◦ Salary, ◦ Bonus calculations, ◦ Insurance coverage, ◦ other taxable/non-taxable benefits ◦ Restrictions to work continuity Economic Outlook Physical impact of work ◦ Self employed – historical revenue/ risk of business Assets – liquid assets Non-registered investment assets Registered pension plan Registered Retirement Savings Plan Personal Use assets – house, cottage, car, house contents Luxury Assets – Piano, memberships with equity ownership Liabilities ◦ Credit card ◦ Line of credit Long Term Liabilities ◦ Mortgage ◦ Long term obligations to others ◦ Ongoing funding for long term care (parents) Expenses: ◦ Ongoing Household expenses Heat, hydro Property tax Telephone Insurance Living expenses ◦ Transportation (including insurance/gas) ◦ Food, wine, beer, fashion ◦ Child care Why do we need current position? ◦ Starting point ◦ Understand current spending/history ◦ Identifies opportunities for savings ◦ Identifies when obligations may cease or change Statement of Financial Position ◦ Assets vs. Liabilities Use FMV Emphasis on timing and paying down debt Reality test Any unaddressed risk? Disability Death Unemployment ◦ Quantifies Net worth at a point in time Statement of cash flows ◦ Include entire mortgage payment as an expense ◦ Discretionary spending (do not include car or house expense- need to live somewhere – use shelter and car respectively (p. 19) ◦ Forces you to quantify all spending (including donations, entertainment) ◦ Savings is a draw on cash --- must quantify and ensure balance As part of #2, preparation of statements of current position will identify gaps and risks May identify /quantify goals for next years ◦ More trips with children ◦ Golf more ◦ Reduce workload ◦ Debt repayment ◦ Changing needs --- downsize car, house? What is feasible? May need to adjust: ◦ Age of retirement ◦ Estimated lifestyle ◦ Planned savings strategy ◦ Investments – assume more or less risk More opportunity for tax minimization RESP, RRSP, TFSA (new opportunity) 1. Calculate the amount that is required on retirement date to meet retirement expectations. ◦ PV of PMT stream with FV= O 2. Calculate the PV of the expected income from gov’t plans 3. Take amount available today…..add future savings --- calculate the FV of that amount at retirement date Other considerations ◦ Tax sheltered in retirement (RRIF, TFSA) ◦ Spending patterns Pg 24/25 Non registered lower income Non registered higher income Registered lower income Registered higher income Be conservative Uncertainties in life will occur Change in attitudes and values of clients Review of calculations & meaning of the terms Use of a timeline Fixed payment vs. annuity Ordinary annuity (end of year) vs. Annuity due (beginning of period) Understand the meaning --- key for retirement planning and CFP Examination Example #1 - Future Value of a Principal amount and annual Income stream ◦ Real words – invest a sum and earn interest per annum ◦ Know the PV, know the interest earned, multiple compounding --what is the future value of this ? PV of a sum that will earn income Variables that are known: ◦ Future Value in today’s dollars ◦ Interest rate ◦ compounding frequency ◦ Solve for PV Practical use – good when you know that you need a sum (i.e. Downpayment or retirement amount) Future value of an cash stream (annuity) End of year, (given in question) Payment = $1,000 Know interest rate and frequency of compounding Practical use --- if I save x amount per year, how much will it grow to? May consider taxes & inflation in interest rate used Future value of an cash stream (annuity) Beginning of year, (given in question) Payment = $1,000 Know interest rate and frequency of compounding Practical use --- if I save x amount per year, how much will it grow to? May consider taxes & inflation in interest rate used Present value of an annuity Know the amount you want (payments in the form annuity) Payment = $1,000 Periods = 4 Interest rate = 4.25% Practical use = How must do I need to deposit to fund a financial need (regular payment of expenses (university or mortgage)? Present value of an annuity Know the amount you want (payments in the form annuity) Payment = $1,000 Periods = 4 (but beginning of year – adjust the payment period) or set to BGN Interest rate = 4.25% Practical use = How must do I need to deposit to fund a financial need (regular payment of expenses (university or mortgage)? Future value of a sum on deposit Watch how it is compounded Convert the periods and interest rate to quarterly amounts Periods = 4 but due to quarterly =4.25% is really 1.0625 % per period. Practical use = What is the impact of the quarterly compounding ??? How much difference does it make? Look at time horizon. Need to watch what interest rates you are using in your calculation Depending on how your client quantified their needs, you may need to adjust the interest rates for inflation Adjust the interest rates for the impact of inflation = REAL RATE OF INTEREST REAL ECONOMIC GAIN – or real gain in purchasing power --- cannot look just at dollar values A. B. C. D. Fido wishes to know how much her RRSP will be worth if she contributes $2,000 on January 1 of each year for 20 years and earns a nominal return of 6% compounded annually. How much will she have accumulated at the end of 20 years? $69,438.50 $73,571.18 $77,985.45 $194,963.63