Hydrology “Course notes” Dr. Amr A. El-Sayed 1- Basic Hydrologic cycle The main processes in the hydrologic cycle are: 123456- Precipitation (rainfall) Runoff (surface) Transpiration (from plants) Evaporation Infiltration Groundwater flow P R T E F G 1-1 Water budget equation For any hydrologic system, a water budget can be developed to account for various flow pathways and storage components. The simplest system is an impervious inclined plan, confined on all four sides with a single outlet. The hydrologic continuity equation for any system is: Qin − Qout = dS dt ………. (1-1) Where: Qin Qout inflow rate (volume / time) outflow rate (volume / time) dS dt Change in storage in (volume / time) You can think of inflow in the form of (Precipitation), And the outflow (Runoff, Groundwater flow, Evaporation, and Transpiration) P–R–G–E–T=∆S ………. (1-2) Note: When dealing with the surface hydrology, infiltration “I” is considered as “loss”, but when dealing with subsurface hydrology, infiltration “I” is considered as a gain to the ground water surface, which is called “recharge”. 1 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 1-3 Watershed boundaries Watershed A watershed is defined as an area of land that drains to a single outlet and is separated from other watersheds by a watershed divide. Base Flow The channel or the stream may contain a certain amount of “Base Flow” coming from groundwater and soil contribution even if there is no rainfall, and that amount of water appeared in the gage devices when estimating the runoff into channels or streams. Discharge from rainfall excess, after losses have been subtracted, makes up the direct runoff hydrograph. The total runoff hydrograph is direct runoff + Base flow. 2 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 3 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Water balance unit conversion: Each process in the hydrologic cycle may be presented in the same flow rate units (Volume / time), and when this volume is spread over a certain area (like watershed), one can use depth units. The depth units represent a volume of water when multiplied by the surface area of the watershed. Length units: 1.0 inch = 2.54 cm 1 mile = 1.6093 km Area units: 1 acre = 4047 square meters 1 hectare (ha) = 2.471 acre 1- Volume: 1 ft = 12 inches 1 ft = 30.48 cm 1 yard = 3 feet 1 mile = 5280 ft 1 acre = 43560 ft2 1 ha = 10000 m2 1 mile2 = 640 acre 1 cfs-hr = 3600 ft3 1 cfs.day = 1 * 24 * 60 * 60 = 86400 ft3 2- Depth: The volume is expressed as a depth of water over a certain area, thus: Volume = Depth of water * Area. 1 cfs.hr = 3600 ft3, this volume is spread over an area of 1 acre. 1 acre 12inches = 0.9917 in ≅ 1.0 inch over 1.0 acre depth = 3600 ft 3 * * 2 ft 43560 ft 1 cfs.hr = 1.0 acre-inch 1 cfs.day = 86400 ft3 (over an area of 1.0 acre = 43560 ft2) depth = 86400 = 1.9834 ft ≅ 2.0 ft over 1.0 acre 43560 1 cfs.day = 2.0 acre-ft 4 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Example: For a given month, a 300 acre lake has 15.0 cfs of inflow, 13 cfs of outflow, and a total storage increase of 16 acre-ft. A USGS “United States Geological Service” gage next to the lake recorded a total of 1.3 in. precipitation for the lake for the month. Assuming that infiltration is insignificant for the lake, determine the evaporation loss in inches over the lake. Solution: Putting all the income and outcome flow into depth units (inches): 1- inflow = 15 cubic feet / sec. (cfs) a- Converting the flow rate into volume = flow rate * time (one month). = 15.0 “ft3/s * 30 “days” * 24 “hours” * 3600 “seconds” = 38880000.0 ft3. b- Expressing the volume as a depth over unit area (acre-ft): 38880000 ft 3 * acre 43560 ft 2 = 892.562 acre-ft. c- Converting the volume into depth over the watershed area: = 38880000 ft 3 * acre 1 = 2.975 ft = 2.975 * 12 = 35.7024 in. * 300 acre 43560 ft 2 2- outflow = 13 cfs. a- Converting flow rate into volume: = 13 * 30 * 24 * 3600 = 33696000 ft3. b- Expressing the volume as a depth over unit area (acre-ft): 33696000 ft 3 * acre 43560 ft 2 = 773.554 acre-ft. c- converting the volume to depth over the watershed area: 5 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu = 33696000 = 2.573 ft = 2.573 * 12 = 30.9421 inches. 300 * 43650 3- Precipitation “P” = 1.30 in 4- change in storage = 16.0 acre-ft = 16 acre. ft * 12 in 1 = 0.64 inches. * ft 300 acre The water budget equation: Inflow – Outflow = Change in Storage. Inflow I Precipitation P + - Evaporation E - outflow O = Change in storage ∆S E = I − O + P − ∆S = 35.7024 - 30.9421 + 1.30 – 0.64 E = 5.4203 inches 6 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Example (2) In a given year, a watershed with an area of 2500 km2 received 130 cm of precipitation. The average rate of flow measured in a river draining the watershed was 30 m3/s. Estimate the amount of water lost due to the combined effects of evaporation, transpiration, and infiltration to groundwater. How much runoff reached the river for the year (in cm)? What is the runoff coefficient? 1- converting the output rate of flow into water depth (cm) m 3 365 * 24 * 60 * 60s a- Volume of outflow = 30 * *1 year = 94608*104 m3. s year b- depth of the flow volume over the area: = 94608 *10 4 m 3 * 1km 2 (1000)2 m 2 * 1 2500km 2 = 0.3784 m = 37.8432 cm In flow – out flow = change in storage The losses are: Surface runoff “R” + Groundwater flow “G” + Evaporation “E” + Transpiration “T” P–R–G–E–T=∆S Assume that the water levels are the same at (time = 0.0, and at time = 1.0 year) ∆ S = 0.0 The water reached the river as an out flow is from the surface runoff. Drained water to the river = 37.8432 cm. P – R = G + ET, where “ET” is evaporation + transpiration. 130 – 37.8432 = G + ET “LOSSES” G + ET = 92.1568 cm The runoff coefficient, defined as runoff divided by Precipitation: 7 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu The Runoff Coefficient = = Runoff Precipitation 37.8432 = 0.2911 130 2. Principal Water Resources Agencies and Data Sources 2-1 Water Resources Data, Virginia Water-resources data for the 2005 water year for Virginia includes records of stage, discharge, and water quality of streams and stage, contents, and water quality of lakes and reservoirs. This volume contains records for water discharge at 172 gaging stations; stage only at 2 gaging stations; elevation at 2 reservoirs and 2 tide gages; contents at 1 reservoir, and water quality at 25 gaging stations. Also included are data for 50 crest-stage partial-record stations. Locations of these sites are shown on figures 4A-B and 5A-B. Miscellaneous hydrologic data were collected at 128 measuring sites and 19 water-quality sampling sites not involved in the systematic datacollection program. The data in this report represent that part of the National Water Data System collected by the U.S. Geological Survey and cooperating State and Federal agencies in Virginia. http://pubs.usgs.gov/wdr/2005/wdr-va-05-1/ 3. Precipitation Mechanisms and Meteorology Definitions Precipitation is the primary mechanism for transporting water from the atmosphere to the surface of the earth. There are several forms of precipitation, the most common of which for the United States is rain. 3-1 Rainfall Mechanism 3-2 Saturation vapor pressure Is the partial pressure of water vapor when the air is completely saturated ( no further evaporation occurs) and is a function of temperature. 3-3 Relative humidity “H” is approximately the ratio of water vapor pressure to that which would prevail under saturated conditions at the same temperature. 8 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu H= e *100 es Where: e es vapor pressure in (mb) Saturated vapor pressure in (mb), Thus, a 50% relative humidity means that the atmosphere contains 50% of the maximum moisture it could hold under saturated conditions at that temperature. 3-4 Dew point temperature Td Is the value at which an air mass just becomes saturated (e = es), when cooled at constant pressure and moisture content. An approximation relationship for saturated vapor pressure over water es as a function of dew point Td is: ⎛ 4278.6 ⎞ ⎟⎟ es = 2.7489 *108 * exp⎜⎜ − + 242 . 79 T ⎝ d ⎠ Where, es is in (mb), and Td is in oC. 3-5 Example: Use Penman equation (combined with Meyers equation) to estimate monthly evaporation from a lake surface in July, given the following data: Temperature of water at the lake surface “Tw” Relative humidity Temperature of air at 25 ft above water surface Wind velocity “W” at 25 ft above water surface = = = = 70o F 60% 80o F 15 mph Solution: Tair = 80o F = 26.70o C @ 25 ft above the lake surface. Eh = ∆ γ .Q N + .E A ∆ +γ ∆ +γ Eh Flux of latent heat due to evaporation = Where: energy − time area E h = q.Le .E , with E in units of L/T (Length / Time). 9 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Latent heat of vaporization in cal/g: Le = 597.30 − 0.57 * T oC Le ∆ Slope of “es” (saturated vapor pressure) vs. T air (temperature) curve. ∆ in units of mb oC γ Psychometric constant from equation: P Atmospheric pressure (mb). QN net radiation absorbed by the water body. γ = 0.66 * P 1000 ⎛ des 2.7489 *108 * 4278.6 4278.6 ⎞ ⎟⎟ ∆= = . exp⎜⎜ − dT (T + 242.79)2 ⎝ Tair + 242.79 ⎠ air Where: Tair in that equation is in Co. 80 Fo = 26.7 Co. ∆ = 2.058 mb/ Co. P γ = 0.66 * , assume P (atmospheric) = 1000 mb, 1000 1000 then γ = 0.66 * = 0.66 1000 According to Meyers E a = 0.0106(1 + 0.1 *W )(es − ea ) * ρ .Le Le = 597.30 − 0.57 * 26.7 oC = 582.1 cal/g ρ = 1.0 gm/cm3 At the level of (25.0 ft), the relative humidity was 60%, and the temperature was 80 F0 The saturation pressure “es” at 80 F0 “26.7 oC” = 35.0 m bar ??? 0.60 = ea / 35.0 Actual vapor pressure ( ea ) = 0.60 * 35 = 21.0 m bar 10 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu E a = 0.0106(1 + 0.1 *15)(25 − 21)mb *1.0 ⎛ cal ⎞ ⎟⎟ * 582.1⎜⎜ ⎝ g ⎠ cm3 g Ea = 0.27 Q N = Qθ − Qv + Qh + Qe 4. Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves http://hdsc.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/ 11 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 4-1 Design storm Hyetograph 4-2 Example 5. Rainfall Abstraction by Phi-index and SCS method 5-1 Rainfall Runoff analysis: 5-1-1 Precipitation: 1- Gross precipitation - ∑ Losses = Pe Pe excess rain, net rain effective precipitation direct runoff ∑ Losses = Hydrologic Abstractions pond ing / evaporation surface detention storage infiltration Methods: 1- Pabt Horton 2- Ф index 3- USDA soil conservation surface 4- NRCA soil cover complex method. 5-2 Pabt Horton Method. Ft = Fc + (Fo − Fc ).e − kt where: Fo Fc k slope constant 12 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 5-2-1 Example Problem 1-14 “text” Data: 5 hour storm, 5 in rainfall Time hours Rain rate in/hr 0 0.0 1 Ft Ft = Fc + (Fo − Fc ).e 1.20 − kt average Ft Pe 0.66 0.54 0.35 1.75 0.25 0.65 0.22 0.18 0.21 0.18 0.90 0.43 2 2.10 0.28 3 0.90 0.23 4 0.40 0.21 5 0.40 Σ = 5.0 0.20 apply Horton equation: k = 1.10 1/hr Fc = 0.20 in/hr Fo = 0.90 in/hr Ft = Fc + (Fo − Fc ).e − kt Ft = 0.20 + (0.90 − 0.20).e −1.10t 5-3 Phi-index 5-3-1 Example 5-4 Development of SCS Rainfall-Runoff Equation and Runoff Curve No. (Soil-cover-complex method) 5-4-1 5-4-2 Drive SCS Rainfall-Runoff equation 13 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 6. Unit Hydrograph Derivation and Application Hydrograph of excess runoff: we can’t measure “Q” directly This step depends on hydraulic control, and geometry. The control establish a critical depth condition. Types of stream gauges: 1- Non-recording gages: ex (Staff gauges) 2- Recording gauges: * Stilling well * Gas bulbar (air or nitrogen gas) * Electromagnetic devices. * A costic Doppler devices. Site characteristics for good gauging location: 1- section control : overall fall weir, bridge pad, or constriction, or anything forces critical depth to occur. 2- Channel control: Q vs. H curve controlled by geometry, roughness, slope, as according to Manning’s equation: 1 Q = .R 2 3 .S 1 2 . A n 3- Avoid backwater: 14 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 7.30 9 10 11 12 0.0 8.60 8 1.30 7.50 7 2.00 6 3.20 5 4.40 4 5.40 3 4.10 2 1.20 Depth 1 0.0 ∆w Method of measuring discharge: Measurement Station Distance across stream (ft) Width (ft) Measured Depth (ft) Mean velocity ft/s Area (ft2) Discharge ft3/s 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 0.0 1.2 4.1 7.5 8.6 7.3 5.4 4.4 3.2 2.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.20 1.80 2.45 2.75 2.55 2.25 2.05 1.90 1.60 1.40 0.0 0.0 2.40 8.20 15.0 17.20 14.60 10.80 8.80 6.40 4.00 2.60 0.0 90.0 0.0 2.88 14.76 36.75 47.30 37.23 24.30 18.04 12.16 6.4 3.64 0.0 203.46 15 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu The first Hydrology test: 1- You are the engineer representing a group of tobacco farmers in the Danville, VA area who want to construct a small irrigation reservoir on the Dan River for storage of flood flows in order to irrigate their fields during the summer growing season. The farmers will need to withdraw 1500 acre-feet of water each year for irrigation and processing purposes. Average surface area of the lake is 500 acre (constant for year). Lake evaporation is estimated to be 57 inches/year; while reservoir seepage losses are estimated to be approximately 4.0 inches/month. Average annual rainfall in the area is 44 inches. Average daily runoff diverted into the reservoir from the Dan river is estimated to be 2 cfs. Treated waste-water from the city’s wastewater treatment plant will also flow into the reservoir at the rate of 1.0 mgd (million gallons/day; 1 mgd = 1.547 cfs. In your opinion, is reservoir construction feasible?, assuming the irrigation demand is the only outflow from the reservoir?. Work in acre.feet units. Solution: Water budget equation over the watershed: Qin − Qout = dS dt Where: Qin Qout inflow rate (volume / time) outflow rate (volume / time) dS dt Change in storage in (volume / time) Qin, (+) sign means input: (+) Precipitation (Rainfall) over a period of one year = 44.0 inches = Volume of Rainfall (over one year) Surface area of the lake Volume of Rainfall = 44.0 inch * 500 acre * 16 ft = 1833.33 acre-feet 12 inch Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu (+) Runoff = 2 cfs per day Volume of Runoff over one year = 2.0 * 24 * 60 * 60 * 365 = 63072000 ft3 acre Depth of Runoff over the area of 1.0 acre = 63072000 ft 3 * 43560 ft 2 = 1447.93 acre.ft (+) Rin from treated wastewater = 1.0 mgd Volume = 1.547 cfs.day Volume over one year = 1.547 * 24 * 60 * 60 * 365 = 48786192.0 ft3. acre Depth of Rin over the area of 1.0 acre = 48786192 ft 3 * 43560 ft 2 = 1119.97 acre.ft Qout, (-) sign means output: (-) Rout Irrigation demand = 1500 acre.ft (for one year). (-) Evaporation from lake = 57.0 inches/year Volume of Evaporation (over one year) = 57.0 inches. Surface area of the lake Volume of Evaporation from lake over one year = 57.0 inch * 500 acre * ft 12 inch = 2375.0 acre.ft (-) Seepage loss = 4.0 inches per month = 4*12 = 48.0 inches/year Volume of seepage losses over one year = 48.0 inch * 500 acre * ft 12 inch = 2000 acre.ft Applying water budget equation: Qin − Qout = dS dt Change in storage = (1833.33 + 1447.93 + 1119.97) – ( 1500 + 2000 + 2375 ) = = -1473.77 acre.ft. 17 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu So, actually with this income flow and outflow the construction of a reservoir in this area is not feasible. 2- Match the definitions on the right with items on the left by placing the letter of the best definition in space provided. There may be up to two definitions per item. Not all are used. G I,M E,P Method for potential evaporation estimate. Dewpoint. Basin-wide rainfall Ф-index H Greenhouse effect E P L N F G H E Precipitation excess TP No. 40 Stable channel with section control Raindrop growth VDOT IDF charts Effective precipitation SCS rainfall-runoff equation N E Critical depth Green-Ampt equation M N I,M Mean-areal precipitation. O J O D lake A B C D I J K L P 18 Housing unit on a Navajo Reservation. Snyder method Iso-average method Regional rainfall frequency method Alternative to Horton infiltration equation Isotropic averaging Temperature of saturated air. Helps compensate for radiation imbalance. Iso-hyetal method. Pan measurement Fraternity house drop-out rate. National rainfall frequency atlas. Thiessen method Desirable site for stream gage location. Ice-crystal and raindrop coalescence. Depth of direct runoff. Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 3- The direct runoff from a 2.20 sq. mile watershed is measured by digitizing the area beneath the direct runoff hydrograph, which has been separated from baseflow. This volume is 5040 cfshours. The hydrograph was produced by a 3-hour rainfall with a constant intensity of 2.0 inches per hour. Determine: A- The net rain or excess rainfall (or depth of direct runoff) in inches. B- The Ф-index in inches per hour. C- The SCS runoff curve number, CN (only to the nearest whole number; consider using Fig. 2.14, page 130 text). D- S, and Ia in the SCS rainfall-runoff equation. Solution: Volume of direct runoff = 5040.0 * 60 *60 = 18144000 ft3 Depth of DRO = Volume / Area = 18144000 ft 3 2.2 mi 2 * mi 2 12 in = 3.55 inches. (5280)2 ft 2 ft * b1.0 0.8 Rainfall in (inch/hr) The Ф-index line is taken that the volume of the hatched area equals to the depth of direct runoff. 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Φ-index line 0 6 12 18 24 Time in Hours In our case rainfall intensity is constant, and equals to 2.0 inches per hour. 19 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 4.0 Area = 3.55 inches 2.0 1.0 0.0 Φ-index line 0 Φ-index Rainfall in (inch/hr) 3.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Time in Hours (2 - Ф-index) * 3 = 3.55 Ф-index = 2 – 3.55 / 3 = 0.8167 inch / hr C- Total rainfall depth = Rain intensity (in / hr) * Rainfall duration time (hr). P = 2.0 (in/hr) * 3.0 (hrs) = 6.0 inches. Pe (rainfall excess “DRO”) = 3.55 inches. Q= (P − 0.20 * S )2 P + 0.80 * S Where: Q P 3.55 = Total accumulative runoff depth, inches Total accumulative precipitation at time t (6 − 0.20 * S )2 6 + 0.80 * S 21.30 + 2.84 S = 36 – 2.40 S + 0.040 S2 S2 – 131 S + 367.50 = 0.0 Which is a second degree equation, and the solution will be on the form: 20 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu S= − b ± b 2 − 4ac 2 2a 131 − 1312 − 4 *1 * 367.50 S= 2 *1 CN = D- = 2.868 1000 = 77.71 S + 10 S = 2.868 Ia = 0.20 S = 0.20 * 2.868 = 0.5736 21 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Unit Hydrograph Looking for a method of forecasting a storm hydrograph, given the time distribution of rainfall excess. The unit hydrograph is defined as the direct runoff hydrograph (DRH), we get from exactly 1.0 inch of rain excess over a T. hr period, or Unit hydrograph is a hydrograph of direct runoff produced by 1.0 inch of rain excess. The unit hydrograph once defined becomes a property of a watershed, and it can’t be applied to any future storms, provided that no significant land-use change in the watershed since it was established. The direct runoff hydrograph ordinates for a future storm are directly proportional to ordinates of the T. hr unit hydrograph when it is applied to rainfall excess distribution in T. hr intervals. Basic steps in Unit Hydrograph (UH): 1- Derivation of a (UH) from an isolated storm rainfall and stream flow observation are required. (Gauged rainfall hydrograph plus gauged stream flow hydrograph). 2- Separate base flow from total runoff hydrograph to get direct runoff or (rainfall excess). This is done by extending the portion (A) of the runoff hydrograph to point (1) “under the peak”, and then construct a line from point (1) to point (2), where point (2) lies on the rainfall hydrograph at a distance : N = A 0 .2 where: N A number of days beyond peak where base flow becomes 100% of discharge. drainage area in sq. miles. (The period of the Unit Hydrograph “UH” is equal to the period of Direct runoff) 3- construct the direct runoff hydrograph, by subtracting base flow from total runoff: Direct runoff = Total runoff – Base flow. 4- Find the area under the direct runoff hydrograph, and this is done by adding the vertical ordinates of the DRH, and multiply the summation by the time interval. n Volume of DR = ∑ H i * time interval i =1 22 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 5- Find the direct runoff as a depth over the drainage area: Depth of direct runoff = Total DRH volume Drainage area 6- Divide each ordinate of the DRH by the depth of direct runoff, thus obtaining the ordinates of the unit hydrograph. Example: Design a unit hydrograph for an isolated storm (has only one peak), the rainfall, and total runoff gauges are given. It is noticed from the rainfall data that the time period that caused the direct runoff (rainfall excess) is 6.0 hours, so, the resulted unit hydrograph is called “a 6-hr UH”. Date 16-Feb 17-Feb 23 Time 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Total flow 500 5600 9200 10100 7800 6600 5550 4700 4000 3300 2700 2300 1950 1650 1400 1200 1000 800 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Steps: 1- Estimate the base flow: - Extend the Recession Limb (1) to a point just under the peak “point B” - Draw a vertical line parallel to line “AB”, and to a distance: N = A0.2 (convert N from days to hours). - The vertical line will intersect with the right recession limb in point “C” - Construct a line between “B”, and “C” - The dashed line will be the base flow line, and the ordinates from that line to the X-axis will be subtracted from the total flow ordinates to give the DRO ordinates. Total Flow 12 A Discahrge (1000) cfs 10 8 6 4 Base Flow 2 1 N (hr) B 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 Time (Hours) Volume of direct runoff = Area under the DRO Hydrograph = ∑ of DRO Ordinates * Time Interval Volume of DRO = 59850 3600 sec . ft 3 * 2.0hr * = 430920000 ft3 sec . hr Covering the volume of DRO into depth over area: mi 2 430920000 ft 3 Depth of DRO = = 0.3864 ft * 40.0 mi 2 (5280)2 * ft 2 24 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu C Depth of DRO = 0.3864 * 12 = 4.637 inches All the ordinates of the DRO are to be divided on (4.637) to give the ordinates of the UH. A Date 16-Feb 17-Feb B Time 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 C Total flow 500 5600 9200 10100 7800 6600 5550 4700 4000 3300 2700 2300 1950 1650 1400 1200 1000 800 D Base flow 500 450 400 400 450 450 500 550 600 600 600 650 650 700 700 750 750 800 E Direct F UH runoff 0 5150 8800 9700 7350 6150 5050 4150 3400 2700 2100 1650 1300 950 700 450 250 0 Ordinate s 0 0 1111 2 1898 4 2092 6 1585 8 1326 10 1089 12 895 14 733 16 582 18 453 20 356 22 280 24 205 26 151 28 97 30 54 32 0 34 59850 12907 Hours To check and see if the results are correct, find the volume under the UH, and divide that volume over the area to get the water depth, the result must be (1 inch) according to the definition of the Unit Hydrograph: Depth of water of UH = 12907 * 2 * 3600 25 1 40 * 5280 2 *12 = 1.000025 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Total Flow Unit Hydrograph 12 Discahrge (1000) cfs 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 Time (Hours) Example (Application of the Unit Hydrograph) Apply the Unit Hydrograph “of the previous example” to the storm: Time (Hours) Rainfall in/hr Total Rainfall (inch) 0-6 0.317 6-12 0.383 12-18 0.55 18-24 0.20 24-30 0.35 0.317*6 = 1.9 0.383*6 = 2.3 0.55*6 = 3.3 0.20*6 = 1.2 0.35*6 = 2.1 The Ф-index = 0.30 in/hr. Steps: 1- break up the storm into (time-hour) period, each period equals to the UH period (6-hr). 2- Apply the loss rate and determine the precipitation excess in each time-hour period. Rainfall excess (DRO) = (Total rainfall depth - Ф-index) * time (inches) for example: DRO for the period (0-6) = (0.317 – 0.30) * 6 = 0.102 inch. The DRO volumes are presented as hatched area in the following chart. 26 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Rainfall Hyetograaph Phi-index 0.6 0.5 Rainfall depth (in/hr) 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 6 12 18 24 30 Time in Hours Time (Hours) Rainfall in/hr Total Rainfall (inch) DRO (inch) 0-6 0.317 6-12 0.383 12-18 0.55 18-24 0.20 24-30 0.35 1.9 2.3 3.3 1.2 2.1 0.102 0.498 1.5 0 0.30 3- Apply UH to each 6-hr intervals by multiplying interval rain excess by each ordinate in (timehour) UH. 27 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Individual DRO Hydrographs Day Cloc Elapse Unit k d Hyd Time Hours Ord. (0 - 6) (6 - 12) (12 18) 0.1 0.5 1.5 inch inch inch (18 24) 0.0 inch (24 30) 0.3 inch (cfs) 0 1111 1898 2092 1585 1326 1089 895 733 582 453 356 280 205 151 97 54 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 28 0 111 190 209 159 133 109 89 73 58 45 36 28 20 15 10 5 0 0 555 949 1046 793 663 545 447 367 291 226 178 140 102 75 49 27 0 0 1666 2847 3138 2378 1989 1634 1342 1100 873 679 534 421 307 226 146 81 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 333 569 628 476 398 327 268 220 175 136 107 84 61 45 29 16 0 Base Storm Flow Hyd. cfs Assum cfs ed 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 500 611 690 709 1214 1582 1655 3048 4083 4241 3370 2892 2453 2423 2362 2151 1763 1507 1296 1103 946 820 717 607 584 561 545 529 516 500 Storm Hydrograph cfs 1.5 in cfs 0.1 in cfs 0.0 in cfs 0.5 in cfs 0.3 in cfs 5000 4500 4000 Rainfall (cfs) 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 Time hr 29 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 54 60 7. Lagging and S-curves for Unit Hydrograph The main problem is that we have a t-hr unit Hydrograph, and we want to get another t-hr Unit Hydrograph from the original UH. What if the rainfall comes in 30-min intervals, and the UH is a 60-min UH?, there are two options: 1- Add the rainfall data (every 0.5-hr) to form 1.0-hr UH intervals and continue to use 1-hr Unit Hydrograph. 2- Use 0.5-hr UH rainfall record and redefine 1.0-hr to be a 0.5-hr UH, and apply it to rainfall data. The method that is used to convert a D-hr UH into a t-hr UH is called (S-Hydrograph) which means how to develop a new t-hr UH from an original D-hr UH: where: t-hr D-hr (new UH we want) (Original UH we have). Example: The original Unit Hydrograph is a 12-hr UH, and we want to get a 6-hr UH from that 12hr UH. Steps: 1- Build D-hr (S-Hydrograph) from D-hr UH, use alternative addition at D-hr intervals. (A curve). 2- Locate a second D-hr (S-Hydrograph) behind the original at a distance of (t-hr) (B curve). t: the label of the new UH(time). 3- Subtract (A-curve) from (B-curve). 4- Multiply differences (A-B) by 30 D , and this will produce the new t-hr UH. t Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Time in hours 12-hr UH in cfs D-hr UH 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 102 108 114 120 126 132 138 144 900 3400 6900 10100 12300 13600 13900 13200 11800 10300 8950 7650 6400 5250 4200 3200 2280 1580 1100 750 500 300 150 50 31 Curve A 12-hr S-Hyd. 900 3400 7800 13500 20100 27100 34000 40300 45800 50600 54750 58250 61150 63500 65350 66700 67630 68280 68730 69030 69230 69330 69380 69380 Curve B 12-hr SHyd. shifted 6-hr 900 3400 7800 13500 20100 27100 34000 40300 45800 50600 54750 58250 61150 63500 65350 66700 67630 68280 68730 69030 69230 69330 69380 69380 A-B 6-hr UH ( A − B)* D t 900 2500 4400 5700 6600 7000 6900 6300 5500 4800 4150 3500 2900 2350 1850 1350 930 650 450 300 200 100 50 0 1800 5000 8800 11400 13200 14000 13800 12600 11000 9600 8300 7000 5800 4700 3700 2700 1860 1300 900 600 400 200 100 0 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 12-hr S-Hyd. 12-hr S-Hyd. shifted 6-hr new 6-hr UH 70 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 102 108 114 120 126 132 138 144 Discharge in thouthanss cfs 60 Time in (Hours) 32 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 6-hr UH Time in hr 33 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 144 138 132 126 120 114 108 102 96 90 84 78 72 66 54 60 48 42 36 30 24 18 6 12 0 Rainfall in thousand cfs 12-hr UH 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Example (2) It is required to design a 3-hr UH from a given 2-hr UH by using S-Hydrograph Procedure. The given 2-hr UH Time Total Discharge cfs 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 50 150 300 600 750 650 550 450 350 250 150 50 13 0 Solution: Time 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 2-hr UH in cfs D-hr UH 0 50 150 300 600 750 650 550 450 350 250 150 50 0 0 34 Curve A 2-hr S-Hyd. Curve B 2-hr S-Hyd. shifted 3-hr 0 50 150 350 750 1100 1400 1650 1850 2000 2100 2150 2150 2150 2150 0 0 0 0 50 150 350 750 1100 1400 1650 1850 2000 2100 2150 A-B 3-hr UH ( A − B)* 2 3 0 50 150 350 700 950 1050 900 750 600 450 300 150 50 0 0 33 100 233 467 633 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 33 0 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 14 0 If the 2-hr UH is tabulated in 3-hr intervals, then plot the UH, and interpret for the values each 2-hr intervals Rainfall in thousand cfs Note: 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 A 2-hr UH tabulated in 3-hr period 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 Time in hr 2500 2-hr S-Hydr. 2-hr S-Hydr. shifted 3-hr 3-hr UH 2000 Discharge in cfs 1500 1000 500 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Time in Hours 35 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 13 14 It is an interesting exercise to get the original 2-hr UH, from the resulted 3-hr UH considering it as a given data: Example: It is required to design a 2-hr UH from a given 3-hr UH The given 2-hr UH Time Total Discharge cfs 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 33 100 233 467 633 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 33 Solution: Time 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 3-hr UH in cfs D-hr UH 0 33 100 233 467 633 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 33 0 Curve A 3-hr S-Hyd. Curve B 3-hr S-Hyd. shifted 2-hr A-B 2-hr UH ( A − B)* 3 2 0 33 100 233 500 733 933 1100 1233 1333 1400 1433 1433 1433 1433 0 33 100 233 500 733 933 1100 1233 1333 1400 1433 1433 0 33 100 200 400 500 433 367 300 233 167 100 33 0 0 0 50 150 300 600 750 650 550 450 350 250 150 50 0 0 It is obvious that we got the same original 2-hr UH. 36 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 14 0 8. Dimensionless Unit Hydrograph by SCS This method is used for ungaged watersheds, and there are mainly two methods: 1- Snyder Synthetic UH (1940): for large watershed sometimes (1000 mi2) 2- Soil Conservation Service “SCS” Dimensionless UH : for smaller areas ≤ 50 sqm. Water drop path in the stream path on the ground Drainage area ( Watershed Boundaries ) Target Point No gages at this point The required data are: 1- A full topographic map of the watershed, from which we can determine: a- The drainage area (A) b- How long it takes for a drop of water from the moment of hitting the ground surface untill reaching the target point, which is called (Concentration time), or (Traveling time) TC. The Concentration Time “TC” is defined as the time of travailing of the most distant point in the watershed to the target point (over the ground, and in the streams). We have to check every possible path of a water drop to know approximately the most distant point in the watershed. TC value is affected very much by the nature of streams, and land development over the watershed. c- Rainfall time distribution. 37 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu d- Infiltration loss curve or SCS runoff curve number CN. Equations: Peak Discharge Q p (cfs ) = Time to Peak T p (hrs ) = ( ) 484 * A mi 2 * Q(in ) T p (hrs ) ∆D + Tl 2 Where: 484 A Q Tp Tl constant refers to the shape factor Drainage area in square miles. Depth of rainfall excess (1.0 inch) for UH. Time to hydrograph peak in hours, referenced from origin. Basin lag time in hours = time laps from mid-point of rain excess period to peak. Rainfall in cfs ∆D T Tp Time in hr An approximate equation to calculate “ Tl ” : Basin lag time Tl (hrs ) = 38 L0.8 * (1000 − 9 * CN )0.7 1900 * CN 0.7 * Y 0.5 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Where: L Y CN Length along main channel to divide, ft. Average land slope (%). SCS runoff curve number. Example: There is a storm over a watershed area of 40.0 mi2, has a CN of 75, and the mean slope of the land = 1.20 %. The total length along main channel to divide = 6.92 miles. The period of rainfall excess equals 6.0 hours. Construct the 6-hr UH for that watershed. Solution: Tl (hrs ) = L0.8 * (1000 − 9 * CN )0.7 1900 * CN 0.7 * Y 0.5 L = 6.92 mi = 6.92*5280 = 36537.6 ft ( 36537.6 )0.8 * (1000 − 9 * 75)0.7 = 5.9927 ≈ 6.0 hours Tl (hrs ) = 1900 * 750.7 * (1.2 )0.5 Time to peak T p = Q p (cfs ) = Note: ∆D + Tl = 6/2 + 6 = 9.0 hr. 2 484 * A(mi 2 ) * Q(in ) 484 * 40 * (1) = = 2151.11 cfs T p (hrs ) 9 if we have perfect data about the watershed, ∆D ≅ 0.133Tc , and 0.20 ≤ ∆D/Tp ≤ 0.25 ∆D = 0.133 *10 = 1.33 hr, but ∆D = 6.0 hrs, so, the resulted UH will not be optimal. 39 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu The SCS dimensionless UH ordinates: t tp Q Qp t 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 0.00 0.10 0.31 0.66 0.93 1.00 tp Q Qp 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 2.00 0.93 0.78 0.56 0.39 0.28 t tp Q Qp 2.20 2.40 2.60 2.80 3.00 0.207 0.147 0.107 0.077 0.055 t tp Q Qp t tp Q Qp 3.20 3.40 3.60 3.80 4.00 0.040 0.029 0.021 0.015 0.011 4.20 4.40 4.60 4.80 5.00 0.0100 0.0070 0.0030 0.0015 0.000 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 Q / Qp 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 t / tp From the above table, results for t, and Q can be obtained, this is done in the following table: t (of SCS UH ) = t tp Q(of SCS UH ) = (from table) * t p (calculated) Q (from table) * Q p (calculated) Qp 40 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu A B t tp Q Qp 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 2.00 2.20 2.40 0.00 0.10 0.31 0.66 0.93 1.00 0.93 0.78 0.56 0.39 0.28 0.207 0.147 tp = 9 t A * tp Qp=2151 Q B * Qp 0.0 1.80 3.60 5.40 7.20 9.00 10.80 12.60 14.40 16.20 18.0 19.80 21.60 0 215 667 1420 2000 2151 2000 1678 1205 839 602 445 316 A B t Q Qp tp 2.60 2.80 3.00 3.20 3.40 3.60 3.80 4.00 4.20 4.40 4.60 4.80 5.00 0.107 0.077 0.055 0.040 0.029 0.021 0.015 0.011 0.0100 0.0070 0.0030 0.0015 0.000 tp = 9 t A * tp 23.4 25.2 27 28.8 30.6 32.4 34.2 36 37.8 39.6 41.4 43.2 45 Qp=2151 Q B * Qp 230.157 165.627 118.305 86.04 62.379 45.171 32.265 23.661 21.51 15.057 6.453 3.2265 0 2400 UH by SCS UH obs. 2200 2000 1800 Q cfs 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 0 Time (hours) The UH produced by the SCS method comes with non-steady time intervals, so, after plotting the UH, interpret for points of (Q) at suitable fixed time intervals (every 2, 3 … hours). 41 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 2200 UH by SCS 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 45 42 39 36 33 30 27 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 0 3 200 0 Q cfs time UH Ordinat es 0 0 3 470 6 1708 9 2153 12 1818 15 1063 18 603 21 352 24 206 27 118 30 69 33 41 36 24 39 18 42 5 45 0 8648 Time (hours) To check the resulted 6-hr UH, the height of DRO over the watershed area must equal (1.0 inch): Depth of water of UH = 8648 * 3 * 3600 42 1 40.0 * 5280 2 *12 = 1.04 inch Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Application to the SCS UH: Example: Given a Hyetograph of a storm over periods of 6.0 hours. Given data: Curve number CN = 75, find the direct runoff, by using the SCS curve number method, and then apply the resulted UH from the previous example to that storm to produce the storm Hydrograph. Time (Hours) Rainfall in/hr Total Rainfall (inch) 0-6 0.317 6-12 0.383 12-18 0.55 18-24 0.20 24-30 0.35 0.317*6 = 1.9 0.383*6 = 2.3 0.55*6 = 3.3 0.20*6 = 1.2 0.35*6 = 2.1 18-24 24 - 30 Rainfall Hyetograaph 0.6 Rainfall depth (in/hr) 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0-06 6-12 12-18 Time in Hours 43 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Solution: Q= (P − 0.20 * S )2 P + 0.80 * S S= 1000 − 10 CN where: Q S= (depth of Direct Runoff in inches). 1000 − 10 = 3.33 75 The calculations of (Q) are tabulated in the following table. Q= Time in hours P (total rainfall) inches P (cumulative) inches 0–6 6 – 12 12 – 18 18 – 24 24 – 30 1.90 2.30 3.30 1.20 2.10 1.90 4.20 7.50 8.70 10.80 44 (P − 0.20 * 3.33)2 P + 0.80 * 3.33 Direct runoff ∆Q Q (cumulative) inches 0.333 1.818 4.593 5.678 7.625 inches 0.333 1.485 2.775 1.085 1.948 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Applying the UH to the direct runoff results to get the actual DRO hydrograph: time UH** 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 Pe=0.33 Pe=1.48 Pe=2.77 Pe=1.08 Pe=1.94 Base 3 5 5 5 8 Flow 0 500 156 500 569 0 500 717 697 500 605 2536 0 500 354 3197 1303 500 201 2700 4740 0 500 117 1579 5974 510 500 68 895 5045 1853 0 500 39 522 2951 2336 915 500 23 305 1672 1973 3327 500 14 176 976 1154 4193 500 8 103 571 654 3542 500 6 61 328 382 2071 500 2 35 192 223 1174 500 0 26 113 128 685 500 7 66 75 401 500 0 49 44 231 500 14 26 135 500 0 19 80 500 5 46 500 0 34 500 10 500 0 500 0 470 1708 2153 1818 1063 603 352 206 118 69 41 24 18 5 0 45 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Storm Hyd. cfs 500 656 1069 1914 3642 5354 8140 8679 8362 7263 7801 7012 5377 3348 2126 1453 1049 824 674 599 552 534 510 500 Storm Hyd. UH 10000 Total Rainfall cfs 8000 6000 4000 0 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 2000 Time in Hours Snyder method for ungaged watersheds: The Snyder method to construct a unit hydrograph for watersheds with areas ≤ 10000 mi2, Steps of the method: a- t p = Ct (L * Lc )0.3 where: tp Ct Basin lag time in hours Empirical slope coefficient. ( 0.40 ≤ Ct ≤ 2.20 ) If the value of Ct = 0.40 it indicates the watershed surface slope is steep “Y > 1.60 %, and if Ct = 2.20 it indicates the watershed surface slope is flat (Y < 0.50 %). L Lc Main channel length in miles. Main channel length to a point nearest to the watershed centroid. The time to peak is referred from 46 ∆D in units of hours. 2 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Water drop A path on the ground C D Drainage area ( Watershed Boundaries ) B Target Point No gages at this point L = distance AB Point C is the centroid point of the watershed, from that point draw a perpendicular line to the main channel, will intersect in D. Lc = distance DB. b- Qp = 640 * C p * A tp Where: Qp A Cp Peak discharge in Drainage area of the watershed in square miles. Storage coefficient, 0.40 ≤ Cp ≤ 0.80, If the value of Cp = 0.40 it indicates that watershed surface is swampy, and if the value of Cp = 0.80 it indicates that there is no storage in the form of flood plains cover bank areas. Note: Large Ct and small Cp go together. c- Tb = ( 4 ~ 5 ) tp 47 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu The form of equation Tb = 3 days + tp / 8 is suitable only for ***???? d- ⎛ Qp ⎞ ⎟ W75 = 440 * ⎜⎜ ⎟ A ⎝ ⎠ ⎛ Qp ⎞ ⎟ W50 = 770 * ⎜⎜ ⎟ A ⎠ ⎝ −1.08 “place W75 to the left of vertical line through Qp” 3 −1.08 W75, and W50 are in hours. Tp ∆D 5 W 75 3 W 75 2 6 W 50 3 Qp 3 3 Qp 4 Rainfall in cfs 4 Qp 2 W 50 7 1 Tb Time in hr Adjustment equation for tp, and Qp: t`p is the working value of tp: t ` p = t p + 0.25(D`− D ) Where: D = tr = D` tp 5.50 is the working duration of rainfall excess. 48 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Apply the value of t`p to get the value of Q`p: Q` p = 640 * C p * A t`p Example: Develop a 6-hr Unit Hydrograph for the watershed of 40.0 mi2, by using Snyder method, knowing that: L = 6.92 mi, Lc = 5.0 mi ∆D = D`= t `r = 6.0 hours Ct = 1.90 “semi-flat watershed” Cp = 0.54 Solution: t p = Ct (L * Lc )0.3 t p = 1.90 * (6.92 * 5.0 )0.3 = 5.5 hours D = tr = tp 5.50 “Snyder saturated rain excess duration” D = 5.50 / 5.50 = 1.0 hour but, we want a 6-hr UH, so, adjust D to 6-hr by applying the equation: t ` p = t p + 0.25(D`− D ) , where D` = 6.0 hours t ` p = 5.50 + 0.25(6.0 − 1.0 ) = 6.75 hrs Q` p = 640 * C p * A t`p = 640 * 0.54 * 40 6.75 Q`p = 2048 cfs Tb = (4~5) t`p = (27~33.75) hours ⎛ Qp ⎞ ⎟ W75 = 440 * ⎜⎜ ⎟ A ⎝ ⎠ 49 −1.08 ⎛ 2048 ⎞ = 440 * ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ 40 ⎠ −1.08 = 6.27 hours Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu ⎛ 2048 ⎞ = 770 * ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ 40 ⎠ = 11.0 hours 3.67 4.2 7.33 2048 cfs 6.75 2.1 Q cfs −1.08 1536 cfs 3 −1.08 1024 cfs ⎛ Qp ⎞ ⎟ W50 = 770 * ⎜⎜ ⎟ A ⎝ ⎠ 33.75 hours Time in Hours 50 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 9- Reservoir and Channel Routing Tank Analogy for reservoir routing: I1 t1 2 Inflow Hydrograph I 1+ I 2 Inflow I2 t2 Time in hr Fig. (9-1) The inflow hydrograph can be estimated before the actual storm by Unit Hydrograph. Storage Equation: I +I O + O2 ∆S = I −O = 1 2 − 1 ∆t 2 2 ………. (9-1) ∆S = S 2 − S1 = (h2 − h1 ) * At Substituting for ∆S in equation (9-1) I +I O + O2 ⎛ h2 − h1 ⎞ ⎜ ⎟ * At = 1 2 − 1 2 2 ⎝ ∆t ⎠ ………. (9-2) I1, and I2 are always known from the inflow hydrograph. h1 is the water level in the reservoir at time t = t1, and is known too. 51 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu The two unknowns in equation (9-2) are h2, and O2. t2 h1 - h 2 t1 Tank Fig. (9-2) The outflow rating equation, considering the reservoir as a tank, and the outlet as an orifice: O = CAo 2 gh As there is two unknowns, and only one equation (9-2), the second equation needed for solution comes from Storage vs. Elevation table, and Outflow vs. Elevation table. Rearranging equation 9-1 I +I O + O2 ∆S = I −O = 1 2 − 1 ∆t 2 2 I1 + I 2 O1 + O2 S 2 − S1 − = 2 2 ∆t ………. (9-1) Multiply by 2 S −S I1 + I 2 = O1 + O2 + 2 2 1 ∆t 52 I1 + I 2 = O1 + O2 + 2 S 2 2 S1 − ∆t ∆t Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu ⎞ ⎛ 2S ⎞ ⎛ 2S I1 + I 2 = ⎜ − 1 + O1 ⎟ + ⎜ 2 + O2 ⎟ ⎝ ∆t ⎠ ⎝ ∆t ⎠ ⎛ 2S ⎞ ⎛ 2S ⎞ I1 + I 2 + ⎜ 1 − O1 ⎟ = ⎜ 2 + O2 ⎟ ⎝ ∆t ⎠ ⎝ ∆t ⎠ ⎛ 2S ⎞ ⎛ 2S ⎞ − O⎟ =⎜ + O⎟ I1 + I 2 + ⎜ ⎝ ∆t ⎠ at step 1 ⎝ ∆t ⎠ at step 2 ………. (9-3) Equation (9-3) represents the basic procedure to reservoir routing, which is done step by step: Steps in reservoir routing: 1- the inflow hydrograph is known. Select ∆t , use (5~6) points on the rising side of inflow hydrograph to the peak point. 2- The water surface elevation of the pool is known for different values of storage S, and output O, from that curve design a table relating between 2S + O and O, and draw a curve ∆t 2S + O , and outflow O ∆t 3- At the initial step “step (1)”, Inflow (I1, and I2) are known from the inflow hydrograph. 4- At the same initial step (1), the storage S1, and output O1 are known from the (water surface elevation of the reservoir vs storage, and outflow curve). ⎛ 2S 2 ⎞ + O2 ⎟ is determined. ⎝ ∆t ⎠ 5- from 3, and 4, the right hand side of equation 9-3 ⎜ 6- Go to the curve constructed in step 1, and find the outflow O2 corresponding to the ⎛ 2S 2 ⎞ + O2 ⎟ . ⎝ ∆t ⎠ value ⎜ ⎞ ⎞ ⎛ 2S ⎛ 2S =⎜ + O⎟ − 2*O − O⎟ ⎠ ⎠ at next step ⎝ ∆t ⎝ ∆t 7- ⎜ 53 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu The work is continuos till the table is completed, then the outflow hydrograph is determined. It is preferable to plot both the input, and output flow hydrograph together to find out if the reservoir is doing its job efficiently. The area between the inflow, and outflow curves represents the maximum storage capacity required for the reservoir. Example: The design inflow hydrograph shown in fig. (9-3 ), developed for a commercial area, is to be routed through a reservoir. Assume that initially the reservoir is empty (S0 = 0 “storage at time zero = 0.0), and there is no initial outflow (O0 = 0.0). Using the water surface elevation, Storage and outflow relationships given in table (9-1), rout the hydrograph through the reservoir. What is the maximum height reached in the reservoir for this inflow? Use ∆t = 10 min. Table (9-1) Water surface elevation, Storage and outflow 54 Water surface elevation “ft” Storage (acre-ft) Outflow (cfs) 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.50 10.50 12.0 13.50 20.0 22.0 0 15 32 55 90 125 158 185 210 230 250 270 290 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 400 Inflow Hydrograph cfs 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Time in min Fig. (9-3) Inflow Hydrograph Outflow cfs 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Outflow cfs Storage cfs.hr Storage cfs.hr 300 0 Water surface elev. ft Fig. (9-4) Water surface elevation, Storage and outflow Note: The water surface elevation in the reservoir, and the corresponding storage is determined by using the contour map of the reservoir to find the volume of water in the reservoir corresponding to each water elevation. 55 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu For example: ∆S (storage between contour lines h1, and h2) = h2 A1 + A2 * (h2 − h1 ) 2 h 2 - h1 h1 A2 A1 Steps: 1- ∆t = time to peak / (5~6) = 10.0 min 2- table relating 2S + O and O: ∆t ∆t = 10.0 min = 1 / 6 hr Table (9.) Reservoir Storage Storage Outflow Elev. Ft acre-ft cfs-hr conduit cfs 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.50 10.50 12.0 13.50 20.0 22.0 To convert from acre.ft to cfs.hr: 43560 ft 2 hr 1.0acre. ft * acre 56 * 60 * 60 sec 0 12 24 36 48 61 73 91 127 145 163 242 266 0 15 32 55 90 125 158 185 210 230 250 270 290 2S*∆t+O cfs 0 160 322 491 671 851 1029 1274 1735 1972 2210 3174 3484 = 12.10 cfs.hr Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 300 250 Outflow cfs 200 150 100 4000 3800 3600 3400 3200 3000 2800 2600 2400 2200 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 0 50 2*S / delta t + O (cfs) Fig. (9-5) 2S + O vs. Outflow ∆t 4- Initial conditions: At t = 0.0: S0 = 0.0 O0 = 0.0 2* S − O = 0.0 ∆t “at time = 0.0” 1- add the number in the column (I1 + I2) for example “420” to the number in the column ( 2* S 2* S − O ) “378”, that will give the number in the column ( + O ) “798”. ∆t ∆t 2- Use that number 2* S + O “798” and by the curve produced before “Fig. (9.5)”to determine ∆t the corresponding value of “O” “115”. 3- Apply the equation 2* S 2* S + O - (2*O) to determine − O of the next step ∆t ∆t “798 – 2*115 = 568”. 4- Use the values of O to determine both Storage, and water surface elevation by using the curve in Fig. (9.4). 57 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Table (9.3) Routing table. Time Inflow Hyd. cfs I1+I2 0 0 In + In+1 60 10 20 30 60 120 180 180 300 420 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 240 300 360 320 280 240 200 160 120 80 40 0 540 660 680 600 520 440 360 280 200 120 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 in Min 58 2S/∆t O cfs + 0 50 186 + 378 568 774 1046 1306 1458 1516 1498 1418 1282 1090 854 628 464 362 288 232 186 2S/∆t + Outflow Storage Elevatio n O cfs O (cfs) cfs.hr ft 0 0.0 60 230 486 5 22 54 4.2 17.4 35.6 0.27 1.45 2.95 798 1108 1434 1726 1906 1978 1956 1858 1698 1482 1210 894 628 464 362 288 232 115 167 194 210 224 231 229 220 208 196 178 133 82 51 37 28 23 57.2 77.1 99.8 127.0 139.8 145.9 144.2 112.5 124.7 105.3 84.6 63.7 45.3 34.3 27.0 21.5 18.2 4.7 6.3 7.25 8 8.7 9.05 8.95 7.6 7.9 7.4 6.7 5.2 3.8 2.85 2.25 1.8 1.5 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Inflow Hyd. Outflow Hyd. 20 60 400 350 300 Q cfs 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 40 80 100 120 140 160 180 Time in Min Fig. (9- ), Inflow, and Outflow hydrographs. 59 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 200 Muskingum Channel Routing The routing techniques can be used for design systems when the target outflow hydrograph is given. We should be able to develop sub area out flow hydrograph given are rainfall and watershed properties using one of the unit hydrograph procedures. SA 1 SA 2 SA 3 SA 4 Reservoir Channel routing methods: 1- Hydraulic routing method Mathematically and physically correct. Based on Partial Deferential Equations PDE of mass and momentum conservation. They are generally varied unsteady flow equations, and they are difficult to solve. 2- Hydrologic routing procedures (like Muskingum), based only on mass conservation + a simple storage inflow-outflow relationship. 60 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Inflow Hydrograph Rainfall in cfs L k = vL v Time in hr v k Average velocity through the channel. Travel time. Channels, like reservoirs, have storage associated with it causing inflow hydrograph to attenuate (stretch out), and lag. So, flow in channel will affect the shape of inflow hydrograph at the end of traveling in the channel. Fundamental Equations: 1- Mass conservation equation: I1 + I 2 O1 + O2 S 2 − S1 − = 2 2 ∆t (9-1) I1, I2, O1, and S1 are known. O2, and S2 are unknown. Bring in second relationship between O2, and S2 besides equation (9-1): S = k {xI + (1 − x )O} Where: k x Travel time through the reach in hours or days. Wedge coefficient. ( 0.0 ≤ x ≤ 0.50 ) if x = 0.0, it will indicated that there is only the prism, and water surface is parallel to the channel bed. 61 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Total storage beneath flood wave: S = prism + wedge = k .O + k .x(I − O ) S = k {x.I + (1 − x )O} Wedge Storage= k.x ( I-O) Inflow Prism Storage= k.O Outflow L=k.v If x = 0.0 means that reservoir exists. if x = 0.50 means very steep wave, or storm sewer, and it means also that there will be very little storage in the channel. The outflow will be like inflow but shifted in time. S1 = k {x.I1 + (1 − x )O1} S 2 = k {x.I 2 + (1 − x )O2 } S 2 − S1 = k {x(I 2 − I1 ) + (1 − x )(O2 − O1 )} ………. ( Substitute into equation (9-1), combine terms, and solve for O2 O2 = C0 .I 2 + C1.I1 + C 2 .O1 62 ………. (9- Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Where: C0 = − k .x + 0.50 * ∆t k (1 − x ) + 0.50 * ∆t C1 = k .x + 0.50 * ∆t k (1 − x ) + 0.50 * ∆t C2 = k − k .x − 0.50 * ∆t k (1 − x ) + 0.50 * ∆t 3 ∑ Ci = 1 or –1, and this is a check if the values are correct. i =1 Steps in channel routing: 1- set ∆t = 1 * t p “on the rising side of inflow hydrograph” 5~6 2- Estimate or compute x, and k such that: 2.k .x ≤ ∆t ≤ k “Compatibility condition” 2 3- Compute C0, C1, and C2, ∑ Ci = 1 i =0 4- Organize routing table in ∆t intervals. 63 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu If the compatibility condition is not satisfied, the output hydrograph will be of strange shape, and to overcome that problem one can divide the total channel length into two or more reaches, and by that decrease the travel time “k”. The output hydrograph from the first portion of the channel is considered inflow hydrograph for the second portion, and so on. Inflow Hydrograph Outflow Hydrograph at the end of portion 1 Outflow Hydrograph Portion 1 Portion 2 Example: Perform the flood routing for a reach of river given: x = 0.2, and k = 2 days. The inflow hydrograph with ∆t = 1 day is given, assume equal inflow and outflow rates on day 1. Time Days Inflow cfs Time Days Inflow cfs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 4260 7646 1116 1673 2159 2095 2657 4600 5996 5774 4789 3446 2166 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 3468 4518 4914 4129 3383 2051 1472 1143 9294 7831 6228 6083 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 Solution: Choose ∆t = 1 day, note that k, and ∆t must be in the same time units (min, hr, or day). 64 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 2.k .x ≤ ∆t ≤ k 2*2*0.2 ≤ 1 ≤ 2 o.k − k .x + 0.50 * ∆t 0.10 − 2 * 0.20 + 0.5 *1 C0 = = = = 0.04762 k (1 − x ) + 0.50∆t 2(1 − 0.20 ) + 0.50 *1 2.10 C1 = k .x + 0.50 * ∆t 0.90 = = 0.42857 k (1 − x ) + 0.50 * ∆t 2.10 C2 = k (1 − x ) − 0.50 * ∆t 1.10 = = 0.52381 k (1 − x ) + 0.50 * ∆t 2.10 2 ∑ Ci = 0.04762 + 0.42857 + 0.52381 = 1.0 i =0 Time Days 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Inflow cfs 4260 7646 11167 16730 21590 20950 26570 46000 59960 57740 47890 34460 21660 34680 45180 49140 41290 33830 20510 14720 11436 9294 7831 6228 6083 65 C0 * I2 C1 * I1 C2 * O1 364 532 797 1028 998 1265 2190 2855 2750 2280 1641 1031 1651 2151 2340 1966 1611 977 701 545 443 373 297 290 1826 3277 4786 7170 9253 8979 11387 19714 25697 24746 20524 14769 9283 14863 19363 21060 17696 14499 8790 6309 4901 3983 3356 2669 2231 2316 3208 4605 6706 8882 10018 12360 18296 24484 26982 25744 21761 17126 17883 20735 22923 22120 19693 15287 11597 8874 6930 5543 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Outflow cfs 4260 4421 6125 8791 12803 16957 19126 23596 34929 46743 51511 49147 41544 32695 34140 39586 43762 42229 37595 29184 22140 16941 13230 10583 8502 Inflow Outflow 70 60 Discharge (1000 cfs) 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Time in days 66 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Task / Hydrologic Operation Data Input Output 1- Define Rainfall time distribution for some TP40 . National Rainfall Hydrograph. specified storm weather services and a known distribution 2- Define Sub-area boundaries, and measure USGS map, or drainage areas. 30 m DEM Sub-area and areas. boundaries, 3- Land use and soil data Montgomery Arial photography, long term zoning map, or soil map. comprehensive plan for the area. County HSG type and CN 4- Estimate time of concentration from the Land slope, length of Tc for each sub-area. channels (flow most distant point Tc. elements). 5- Unit Hydrograph for each sub-area SCS Unit Hydrograph Lag for Tc, drainage area. and UH for all sub-areas for specified time duration. 6- Apply Uh in each sub-area to distribution of rain excess using ∆t intervals = time labels of UH. 7- Combine SA1 + SA2 storm hydrograph. 8- Main channel routing x, L, k +combined inflow hydrograph from step 7 9- Combine outflow from step 8 with SA3. 10- Reservoir routing of step 9 inflow inflow from step 9 + hydrograph elevation vs. outflow, elevation vs. storage 67 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Step (1) in problem set “8” Summarizing the data for each sub-area: Sub area No. 1 2 3 Drainage area m2 Curve No CN 58 79 90 TC min 211 Depth Dn 5.0 ft 5.0 9.0 AB 12.0 BC Main Channel VBF L ft 4.56 37488 TCh. 2.28 Where: CN TC VBF L curve number of each sub-area according to the land use. Time of concentration (the time required for a water drop at the most distant point in the sub-area to reach the target point). the mean velocity of water in the channel. Length of the channel. TCh. Time of traveling water through the channel = L VBF Methods of calculating Tc By definition, the time of concentration is the time of travel for a drop of water leaving the most distant point in the contributing area and arriving at the downstream point of interest. The time of concentration includes: 1- Overland or sheet flow time. 2- Ditch or swale flow time. 3- Flow in channel or pipe. An example calculation of the total flow time in the upper reach sub-area of the Calder Ally watershed in downtown Salem, VA is shown by different methods: 68 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Method and Date 1- Kirpich 1940 Formulas for TC minutes Developed from SCS data for 7 rural basins in Tennessee with well-defined channel and steep slopes (3% to 10%). For overland flow on concrete or Length of channel/ditch asphalt surface multiply TC by from head water to outlet. 0.40. For concrete channels Average gully slope, ft / ft multiply by 0.20. No adjustment for overland flow on bare soil or flow in roadside ditches. Reference: Civil Engineering, Vol. 10, No. 6, June 1940. ⎛ L2 ⎞ Tc = 0.0078 * ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ S ⎟ ⎝ ⎠ L S 2- Izzard 1946 Tc = i c L S 69 Remarks 0.385 41.025(0.0007i + c )L0.33 S 0.333 .i 0.667 Rainfall intensity, in/hr Retardance coefficient Length of flow path, feet Slope of flow path, ft/ft Developed in laboratory experiments by Bureau of public Roads for overland flow on roadway and turf surface. Values of the retardance coefficient range from 0.007 for very smooth pavement, C = 0.012 for concrete pavement; C = 0.06 for dense turf. Solution is extremely tedious and requires iteration. Product (i times L) should be < 500. Reference: Proc. Highway Research Board Vol. 26, pp. 129-146, 1946 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu L: L 3- Federal Aviation Agency 1970 4- Kinamatic wave formula Morgali 1965 5- Old SCS lag equation 1975 6- New SCS sheet flow eqn. 70 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Flood Frequency Analysis: Example: Water year Date 1928-29 1929-30 1930-31 1931-32 1932-33 1933-34 1934-35 1934-35 1934-35 1935-36 1935-36 1936-37 1937-38 1937-38 1937-38 1937-38 1938-39 1939-40 1939-40 1939-40 1940-41 1940-41 1940-41 1940-41 1941-42 1941-42 1941-42 1941-42 1942-43 1942-43 71 3 Feb 15 Dec 23 Jan 24 Dec 16 Mar 29 Dec 4 Jan 28 Feb 8 Apr 11 Jan 21 Feb 14 Feb 20 Nov 11 Dec 2 Feb 23 Mar 8 Mar 2 Jan 28 Feb 30 Mar 24 Dec 10 Feb 1 Mar 4 Apr 3 Dec 16 Dec 27 Jan 6 Feb 21 Jan 8 Mar Flow cfs Max. flow in a single year 1520 1520 6000 6000 1500 1500 5440 5440 1080 1080 2630 2630 4010 4010 3190 3040 3930 4380 4380 3310 3310 4700 23000 23000 5050 4950 1260 1260 4600 11400 11400 9360 6240 12200 12200 4250 7260 4130 6910 5450 11000 11000 6450 6970 6970 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Water year Date 1943-44 1944-45 1945-46 1945-46 1946-47 1947-48 1947-48 1948-49 1949-50 1950-51 1950-51 1950-51 1951-52 1951-52 1951-52 1952-53 1952-53 1953-54 1953-54 1953-54 1954-55 1955-56 1955-56 1955-56 1956-57 1957-58 1957-58 1957-58 1957-58 1957-58 72 4 Mar 5 Feb 4 Dec 21 Dec 12 Feb 23 Mar 28 Apr 11 Mar 4 Feb 16 Nov 22 Jan 11 Feb 1 Dec 26 Dec 1 Feb 9 Jan 27 Apr 17 Jan 13 Feb 4 Apr 11 Nov 22 Dec 7 Jan 22 Feb 24 Feb 26 Jan 12 Feb 24 Feb 21 Mar 2 Apr Flow cfs Max. flow in a single year 3220 3220 3230 3230 3660 6180 6180 4070 4070 7320 7320 3380 3870 3870 4430 4430 3870 3510 3870 3660 4930 5280 5280 4650 7710 7710 3070 4910 4910 3300 4240 2480 2480 9180 9180 5020 6480 6140 6140 3060 4330 6880 6880 4540 3970 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu No. Max. flow in descending order 1 23000 2 12200 3 11400 4 11000 5 9180 6 7710 7 7320 8 6970 9 6880 10 6180 11 6140 12 6000 13 5440 14 5280 15 4910 16 4430 17 4380 18 4070 19 4010 20 3870 21 3870 22 3310 23 3230 24 3220 25 2630 26 2480 27 1520 28 1500 29 1260 30 1080 174470 Plotting Position 1.67 5.00 8.33 11.67 15.00 18.33 21.67 25.00 28.33 31.67 35.00 38.33 41.67 45.00 48.33 51.67 55.00 58.33 61.67 65.00 68.33 71.67 75.00 78.33 81.67 85.00 88.33 91.67 95.00 98.33 PE (The expedience probability): 1- According to Weibll 2- According to Hazen Plotting Position = 73 2m − 1 2N m N +1 2m − 1 PE = 2N PE = Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Statistical Operations 1- Mean value: Q= 1 N ∑ Qi N i =1 Where: N No. of years in the sample. 2- Standard deviation: SQ = ( ) 2 1 N Qi − Q ∑ N − 1 i =1 Another simpler form of standard deviation: SQ = 2⎞ 1 ⎛N 2 ⎜⎜ ∑ Qi − N .Q ⎟⎟ N − 1 ⎝ i =1 ⎠ 3- Mean log: ( ) x = “mean log10 of Qi = log10 (Qi ) ≠ log10 Q 1 x = * [log10 (Q1 ) + log10 (Q2 ) + log10 (Q3 ) + .................. + log10 (QN )] N or: xi = log10 (Qi ), 1 N x = ∑ xi N i =1 and 4- Standard deviation of logs of Q: Sx = 2⎞ 1 ⎛N 2 ⎜⎜ ∑ xi − N x ⎟⎟ N − 1 ⎝ i =1 ⎠ 5- Skew coefficient of xi gx = N (N − 1)(N − 2 )(Sx ) 74 N ( * ∑ xi − x 3 i =1 ) 3 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Example: For the previous table: Q= 1 * 174470 = 5815.67 ≅ 5816 cfs 30 SQ = 2⎞ 1 ⎛N 2 ⎜⎜ ∑ Qi − N .Q ⎟⎟ N − 1 ⎝ i =1 ⎠ SQ = 1 2 1569033500 − 30 * (5815.67 ) = 4372.225 cfs 30 − 1 ( ) 1 N x = ∑ xi N i =1 x= 1 * 109.9673 = 3.67 30 4- Standard deviation of logs of Q: Sx = 2⎞ 1 ⎛N 2 ⎜⎜ ∑ xi − N x ⎟⎟ N − 1 ⎝ i =1 ⎠ Sx = 1 (405.7572 − 30 * 3.67 ) = 0.303 30 − 1 5- Skew coefficient of xi gx = gx = N (N − 1)(N − 2 )(Sx ) 30 N i =1 (30 − 1)(30 − 2 )(0.303)3 75 ( * ∑ xi − x 3 ) 3 * (− 0.12425) = -0.165 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 1- Normal Distribution to flood flows: Fit standard normal distribution to annual series, use Cumulative Distribution Function CDF table (table D.3.1) F(z) 8 z 8 - z 1 −z2 2 F (z ) = e .dz 2π −∫∞ QTR = Q + K TR * SQ “General frequency factor method for QTR” Where: flood discharge in a return period of (TR). factor determined from standard normal table “SND”. QTR KTR Ex: Q = 5816 cfs SQ = 4372 cfs x = 3.67 Sx = 0.303 Find: 1- Q2 (the flood discharge of a return period of 2 years) 2- Q Solution: QTR = Q + K TR * SQ Q2 = Q + K 2 * SQ To find K2 use (cumulative probability of the standard normal distribution table), and note that the value of (z) in the table will equal to the non-exceeding probability of (K). 76 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu For example, if (K = 2), PE = 1 1 , non-exceeding probability = 1 − = 1- 0.50 = 0.50 K K You will find that the value of (z) corresponding to (0.50) is (0.0), so K2 = 0.0 Q2 = Q + K 2 * SQ Q2 = 5816 + 0.0 * 4372 = 5816 cfs. K=5 Non-exceeding probability = 1 – 1/5 = 0.80 You will find that the value of (z) corresponding to (0.80) is between (0.84, and 0.85) You can find K5 by linear interpolation between (0.7995, and 0.8023) 0.80 0.04 0.001785714 0.05 0.7995 0.8023 0.8 K5 = 0.8+0.04+0.001785714 = 0.8418 Q5 = 5816 + 0.8418 * 4372 = 9496 cfs. K = 10 K10 Non-exceeding probability = 1 – 1/10 = 0.90 You will find that the value of (z) corresponding to (0.90) is between (1.28, and 1.29) you can find K10 by linear interpolation between (0.8997, and 0.9015) 1.20 0.08 0.8997 0.001666667 0.9 0.09 0.9015 K10 = 1.20 + 0.80 + 0.0016667 = 1.2816 Q10 = 5816 + 1.2816 * 4372 = 11,419 cfs. 77 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu z 0.00 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.500 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.7995 0.8023 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 0.8997 0.9015 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 0.9798 0.9803 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 0.9898 0.9901 K = 50 K50 Non-exceeding probability = 1 – 1/50 = 0.98 You will find that the value of (z) corresponding to (0.98) is between (2.05, and 2.06) You can find K50 by linear interpolation between (0.9798, and 0.9803) 2.0 0.05 0.9798 0.004 0.98 0.06 0.9803 K50 = 2.0 + 0.05 + 0.004 = 2.054 Q50 = 5816 + 2.054 * 4372 = 14,796 cfs 78 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu K = 100 K100 Non-exceeding probability = 1 – 1/50 = 0.99 You will find that the value of (z) corresponding to (0.98) is between (2.32, and 2.33) You can find K100 by linear interpolation between (0.9898, and 0.9901) 2.3 0.02 0.9898 0.0067 0.98 0.03 0.9901 K100 = 2.30 + 0.02 + 0.0067 = 2.3267 Q50 = 5816 + 2.3267 * 4372 = 15,988 cfs Return period TR (years) 2 5 10 50 100 Q 5816 KTR QTR = Q + K TR * SQ 0.0 0.8418 1.2816 2.054 2.3267 5816 9496 11,419 14,796 15,988 Plot the data on a special probability graph. Example: Calculate Q1.5 by using the Cumulative Distribution Function, and the following results from a sample size = 30 years: Q = 5816 cfs SQ = 4372 cfs x = 3.67 Sx = 0.303 Solution: For K1.5, PE = 1 / 1.50 = 66.667 % Non-exceeding probability = 1 – 0.66667 = 0.333 The smallest value in the CDF table is 0.50 79 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu 2- Log Normal Distribution The lognormal probability density function (PDF) analysis of flood flow: xTR = x + K TR * Sx Where: xTR x Mean log10 of Qi = KTR Sx Standard deviation of logs of Q Example: From a field data of flood peaks of a sample equals to 30 years, the following results were obtained: Q = 5816 cfs SQ = 4372 cfs x = 3.67 Sx = 0.303 gx = -0.165 By using the lognormal distribution, find Q2, Q5, Q10, Q50, and Q100. Solution: TR = 2 K2 = 0.0 “As calculated before by using CDF table” xTR = x + K TR * Sx x2 = 3.67 + 0.0 * 0.303 = 3.67 Q2 = 103.67 = 4677 cfs TR = 5 K5 = 0.8418 x5 = 3.67 + 0.8418 * 0.303 = 3.925 Q5 = 103.925 = 8415 cfs TR = 10 K10 = 1.2816 x10 = 3.67 + 1.2816 * 0.303 = 4.058 Q10 = 104.058 = 11,437 cfs 80 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu TR = 50 K50 = 2.054 x50 = 3.67 + 2.054 * 0.303 = 4.29 Q50 = 104.29 = 19,605 cfs TR = 100 K100 = 2.3267 x100 = 3.67 + 2.3267 * 0.303 = 4.375 Q100 = 104.375 = 23,713 cfs x 3.67 Return period TR (years) 2 5 10 50 100 KTR xTR = x + K TR * Sx QTR = 10 xTR 0.0 0.8418 1.2816 2.054 2.3267 3.67 3.925 4.058 4.29 4.375 4677 8415 11,437 19,605 23,713 3- The Log-Pearson type III Distribution: xTR = x + K TR * Sx where: Factor depends on the skew coefficient (gx), and the exceeding probability (PE). The values of KTR are placed in table (3.4) in the text book. KTR Example: From a field data of flood peaks of a sample equals to 30 years, the following results were obtained: Q = 5816 cfs SQ = 4372 cfs x = 3.67 Sx = 0.303 gx = -0.165 By using the Log-Pearson type III Distribution find Q2, Q5, Q10, Q50, and Q100. 81 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu Solution: The skew coefficient (gx) is rounded to one decimal digit. gx = -0.165 ≅ -0.20 TR = 2 PE = 1 / 2 = 50 % From the table: PE (Percent change) = 50, and Skew coefficient = -0.20, KTR = 0.033 x2 = 3.67 + 0.033 * 0.303 = 3.68 Q2 = 103.68 = 4786 cfs. TR = 5 PE = 1 / 5 = 20 % From the table: PE (Percent change) = 20, and Skew coefficient = -0.20, KTR = 0.850 x5 = 3.67 + 0.850 * 0.303 = 3.93 Q5 = 103.93 = 8464 cfs. TR = 10 PE = 1 / 10 = 10 % From the table: PE (Percent change) = 10, and Skew coefficient = -0.20, KTR = 1.258 x10 = 3.67 + 1.258 * 0.303 = 4.05 Q10 = 104.05 = 11,251 cfs. TR = 50 PE = 1 / 50 = 2 % From the table: PE (Percent change) = 2, and Skew coefficient = -0.20, KTR = 1.945 x50 = 3.67 + 1.945 * 0.303 = 4.26 Q50 = 104.26 = 18,169 cfs. TR = 100 PE = 1 / 100 = 1 % 82 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu From the table: PE (Percent change) = 1, and Skew coefficient = -0.20, KTR = 2.178 x100 = 3.67 + 2.178 * 0.303 = 4.33 Q100 = 104.33 = 21,376 cfs. x 3.67 Return period TR (years) 2 5 10 50 100 KTR xTR = x + K TR * Sx QTR = 10 xTR 0.033 0.850 1.258 1.945 2.178 3.68 3.93 4.05 4.26 4.33 4786 8464 11,251 18,169 21,376 4- The Gumbel (Extreme Value Type I) Distribution: Sample Size 15 20 25 30 40 50 60 70 75 100 10 1.703 1.625 1.575 1.541 1.495 1.466 1.446 1.430 1.423 1.401 1.305 83 Gumbel Extreme-Value Frequency Factors Recurrence Intervals 20 25 50 75 2.410 2.632 3.321 3.721 2.302 2.517 3.179 3.583 2.235 2.444 3.068 3.463 2.188 2.393 3.026 3.3393 2.126 2.326 2.943 3.301 2.086 2.283 2.889 3.241 2.059 2.253 2.852 3.200 2.038 2.230 2.824 3.169 2.029 2.220 2.812 3.155 1.998 2.187 2.770 3.109 1.866 2.044 2.592 2.911 100 4.005 3.836 3.729 3.653 3.554 3.491 3.446 3.413 3.400 3.394 3.137 Prepared by Amr A. El Sayed, aelsayed@vt.edu