MACROECONOMICS Macroeconomics: Analyzes the performance of the whole Canadian and global economy – the combined outcomes of all individual microeconomic choices. Economic success is affected and measured by: a) GDP higher GDP per person allows higher living standards b) Unemployment affects odds of finding a job c) Inflation reduces living standards if income does not rise as fast as the prices of what you buy Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 1 The circular flow model reduces the complexity of the Canadian economy to three players and two markets: Households, Firms, Government a) Input markets determine wages, rent and interest income (demand for labor, supply of labor) b) Output markets determine the value of all goods and services sold (demand for goods and services, and supply of goods and services) Macroeconomics focuses on connections between input and output markets and the three players Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 2 Circular Flow of Economic Life Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 3 Circular Flow Dynamics a) Green arrow is money b) Blue arrow is goods, services and inputs 1. In the goods market: Consumers are demanders and Firms are Suppliers 2. In the input market: Consumers are suppliers and Firms are Demanders …and around and around and around it goes Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 4 ECONOMICS AND POLITICS Economists disagree about the fundamental macroeconomic question 1. Market failure market outcomes are inefficient or inequitable and fail to serve the public interest 2. Government failure government policy fails to serve the public interest Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 5 The Fundamental Macroeconomic Question “If left alone by government, do the price mechanisms of market economies adjust quickly to maintain steady growth in living standards, full employment, and stable prices?” 1.Yes - Markets Self-Adjust JB Say’s Law: supply creates its own demand 2. No - Markets Fail Often Keynes: founder of macroeconomics in the 1930s Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 6 Yes - Left Alone, Markets Self-Adjust - Hands Off: a) Macroeconomic and microeconomic outcomes are the same b) External events or government policy cause business cycles c) Government failure is more likely than market failure d) Government should be hands-off e) Right Wing View Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 7 No - Left Alone, Markets Fail Often - Hands On: a) Fallacy of composition — macroeconomic and microeconomic outcomes are different b) Markets cause business cycles through connection failures between input and output markets, roles of money, banking, and expectations c) Market failure is more likely than government failure d) Government should be hands-on e) Left Wing View Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 8 MACROECONOMIC OUTCOMES AND PLAYERS Good macroeconomic outcomes are: 1. higher gross domestic product 2. lower unemployment 3. low and predictable inflation Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 9 1. Consumer choices: a) Spend income or save (consumption v savings) b) Buy Canadian products and services (exports) c) Buy Foreign products and services (imports) 2. Business choices: a) b) c) d) Investment spending - new factories, equipment Hire workers Buying inputs domestically or importing Selling outputs domestically or exporting Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 10 Government choices: Fiscal policy Government purchases, taxes/ transfers to achieve the macroeconomic outcomes Bank of Canada choices: Monetary policy Bank of Canada changes interest rates and money supply to achieve the macroeconomic outcomes Making loans Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 11 4. Rest of World (R.O.W.) (a) Buying Canadian exports (b) Selling imports to Canada (c) Investing money in Canada (d) Accepting Canadian investments Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 12 Key Macroeconomic Variables The most used measure of national income is Gross Domestic Product (GDP) a) Measures the value of final goods and services bought by the final user - produced in one country - in a given time period b) Measured in real (goods) or nominal (money) terms Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 13 The Business Cycle 1. Trough 2. Recession 3. Recovery 4. Peak Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 14 Key Macroeconomic Variables a) Potential output (Y *) or Full Employment b) All inputs (land, labour and capital) at maximum capacity. c) The output gap measures the difference between potential output and actual output = (Y − Y *) d) When Y < Y * → output gap is a recessionary gap e) When Y > Y * → output gap is an inflationary gap Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 15 Employment, Unemployment, and the Labor Force a) Employment b) Unemployment c) Labor force (employed + unemployed) Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 16 Employment, Unemployment, and the Labor Force a) If the economy is at full employment, Y = Y * or in an inflationary gap, Y > Y * unemployment exists due to labor market turnover (frictional unemployment) and or job-worker mismatch (structural unemployment). (b) In a recessionary gap Y < Y *, there is cyclical unemployment due to falling GDP. Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 17 Inflation and Price Level a) The price level is the average level of all prices in the economy expressed as an index number b) Inflation (percentage increase in the price level) c) Inflation Rate = ((πΆππΌ!"#− πΆππΌ! )/ πΆππΌ! ) * 100 Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 18 Why Inflation Matters a) We value money for what we can purchase with it b) The purchasing power of money is the amount of goods and services that can be purchased with a unit of money c) Inflation reduces the purchasing power of money and the real value of any sum measured in nominal (dollar) terms Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 19 Purchasing Power of Money a) M is Nominal Money, P = Price Level b) ! Purchasing Power of Money = " c) M up → PP up d) P up → PP down (Inflation) Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 20 Interest Rates a) The interest rate is the price paid per dollar borrowed per period of time, expressed as a percentage. b) Nominal interest rate vs. real interest rate c) Why do interest rates matter? a) Compare effects on savers and borrowers b) Impact on investment plans Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 21 Nominal v Real Interest Rate a) Let R = Real Interest Rate b) Let i = Nominal Interest Rate c) Let π = Rate of Inflation d) R = i − π Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 22 Exchange Rates and Trade Flows a) Exchange rate = Price of domestic currency in terms of foreign currency (or the price of foreign currency in terms of domestic currency) b) Domestic currency is your currency c) Foreign currency is not your currency d) Appreciation (increase in the value of domestic currency) vs. Depreciation (decrease in the value of domestic currency) Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 23 Exchange Rates and Trade Flows Net exports are the difference between exports and imports and are often called the trade balance. a) NX > 0 → X > M → Net Exporter → Positive Trade Balance b) NX < 0 → X < M → Net Importer → Negative Trade Balance c) NX = 0 → (X = M → Balanced Trade Copyright © 2021 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 5 Slide 24