SALES AND OPERATIONS PLANNING Learning Objective • Critique the conflicts in the traditional supply system • Describe the role and the process of sales and operations planning • Explain the relevant costs in developing an aggregate plan • Contrast different types of aggregate production strategies • Develop alternative aggregate production plan 2 Conflicts of Interest 3 4 Conflicts of Interest Marketing Operations Finance 5 Conflicts in Traditional Supply Systems Traditional objectives Marketing Increase revenue, satisfy customers Operations Finance Reduce manufacturing cost Increase profit & cashflow, reduce investment Customer Service Production efficiency Inventory Investment 6 I Ain’t Talking to Them!!! • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qo0g_YUOBKc • How to integrate different departments followed a general goal of an organization • Cross-functional Team • Supply chain management 7 Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) Forecasting MRP 8 Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) A process to develop tactical plans by integrating: Marketing Operations Marketing plans Production plans Finance Cashflow plans 9 Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) A process to develop tactical plans by integrating: Marketing Operations Marketing plans Production plans ⇒ Improve Quality ⇒ Better Customer Service Finance Cashflow plans ⇒ Decrease Inventory ⇒ Save Money 10 S&OP Benefits Better business visibility Improved forecast accuracy Better teamwork Enhanced customer service 12 Aggregate Planning Strategies • Aggregate production plan specifies: Production rates Inventory Employment levels Other resources 13 Aggregate Planning Strategies 14 Aggregate Planning Strategies • Aggregate production plan: 15 Aggregate Planning Strategies • Aggregate production plan: Level Strategy 16 Aggregate Planning Strategies • Aggregate production plan: Level Strategy Chase Strategy 17 Aggregate Planning Strategies • Aggregate production plan: Level Strategy Chase Strategy Hybrid Strategy 18 Level strategy 19 Level strategy 200 Demand Production Inventory Quantity 150 100 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Time Period 7 8 9 10 11 12 20 Level strategy • The firm produces at a constant rate over the year. 21 Level strategy • The firm produces at a constant rate over the year. Use when • High cost of production. • Low cost of inventory. • Required highly skilled workers. 22 Level strategy • The firm produces at a constant rate over the year. Use when • High cost of production. • Low cost of inventory. • Required highly skilled workers. Disadvantages • High inventory level & costs. ⇒ Require high storage capacity. • Risk of inventory obsolescence. • Backlog and opportunity cost 23 • • • • Level strategy Exercise Manager T.C. Kim of Plum Engines, Inc., a producer of lawn mowers and leaf blowers, must develop an aggregate plan given the forecast for engine demand shown in the table. The department has 15 workers, each produces 10 engines per month. Normal output has a cost of $60 per engine. Hiring costs $100 per worker and firing costs $200 per worker. The beginning inventory is 40 engines. Inventory carrying cost is $2 per engine per month. Ending inventory is set at 40 engines. Develop a level plan that matches the forecast and compute the total cost of your plan. Month Demand 1 120 2 130 3 140 4 120 5 130 6 120 7 140 8 140 Total 1,040 24 Level strategy: summary • Produce a constant amount each period. • Production Rate = • • Ending Inventory (1st month) = Beginning inventory + Production - Demand Total Demand+Ending Inventory −Beginning Inventory number of period Ending Inventory (for the rest of the period) = Previous month ending inventory + Production - Demand • Stable workforce, no hiring/firing, no overtime. • High inventory costs. 25 CHECK ATTENDANCE 26 BREAK-TIME 27 Chase strategy 28 Chase strategy Demand Production Inventory 200 Quantity 150 100 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Time Period 8 9 10 11 12 29 Chase strategy • The production rate is changed in each period to match the amount of expected demand. 30 Chase strategy • The production rate is changed in each period to match the amount of expected demand. Use when • • High cost of inventory • Required little in worker’s skills or training. • Or can use part-time workers. Goods that are quickly become obsolete. 31 Chase strategy • The production rate is changed in each period to match the amount of expected demand. Use when • • • • High cost of inventory Goods that are quickly become obsolete. Required little in worker’s skills or training. Or can use part-time workers. Disadvantages • High cost to continually hiring and firing people. ⇒ Ethical concerns. • Required high investment in plants, machines or facilities. 32 Chase strategy Exercise • • • • Manager T.C. Kim of Plum Engines, Inc., a producer of lawn mowers and leaf blowers, must develop an aggregate plan given the forecast for engine demand shown in the table. The department has 15 workers, each produces 10 engines per month. Normal output has a cost of $60 per engine. Hiring costs $100 per worker and firing costs $200 per worker. The beginning inventory is 40 engines. Inventory carrying cost is $2 per engine per month. Ending inventory is set at 40 engines. Develop a chase plan that matches the forecast and compute the total cost. Month Demand 1 120 2 130 3 140 4 120 5 130 6 120 7 140 8 140 Total 1,040 33 Chase strategy: summary • Produce a different amount in each period to match the demand. • • Ending Inventory (1st month) = Beginning inventory + Production - Demand Ending Inventory (for the rest of the period) = Previous month ending inventory + Production - Demand • Fluctuated workforce (hiring/firing). • High investment costs (machines, facilities, etc.). • Low inventory costs. 34 Level Vs Chase Strategy • Responsive Vs Effective • Inventory Vs Production • Investment Vs Cut-off (liquidation, cut down resources and labor) • Reliability Vs Cost • How to balance the two strategies? 35 Hybrid/Mix strategy 200 Demand Production Quantity 150 Inventory 100 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 36 Hybrid/Mix strategy • Includes some elements of both level and chase strategies. 37 Hybrid/Mix strategy • Includes some elements of both level and chase strategies. • Most firms use hybrid strategies to balance the advantages. 38 Hybrid/Mix strategy • Includes some elements of both level and chase strategies. • Most firms use hybrid strategies to balance the advantages. ⇒ Aggregate production plans needed to be revised when the external circumstances changes. 39 • • • • Exercise Togo makes riding lawn mowers and tractors. The company’s expected quarterly demand is given below in the chart. The company will have 1200 mowers in inventory at the beginning of the month and desires to maintain that number at the end of each season. Production cost per unit is $200, Inventory carrying cost per season per unit is $50, hiring a worker costs $100, and firing one costs $200. The beginning number of workers is 30. Assume that the productivity is 0.625 units per working hour, with eight hours per day and 50 days per season. Calculate the cost of the chase and level plans. Season Demand Fall 10,000 Winter 7,000 Spring 7,000 Summer 12,000 Total 36,000 40 • • • S&OP Homework Managers at KMK, Inc., a producer of water bottles, must develop an aggregate plan given the below forecast. The department has 20 workers, each produces 100 bottles per month. Normal output has a cost of $200 per bottle. Hiring costs $250 per worker and firing costs $400 per worker. The beginning inventory is 2,000 and the company wants to maintain that number as ending inventory. Inventory carrying cost is $18 per bottle per month. Develop both chase and level plans that matches the forecast and compute the total cost of both plan to see which strategy the company should apply? Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Total Demand 3,000 6,000 2,000 2,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 28,000 41 THANK YOU!