Research Information Available online at www.researchinformation.co.uk The Journal of Grey System Volume 32 No.1, 2020 Scaling Foreign-Service Premium Allowance Based on SWARA and GRA with Grey Numbers Moses Olabhele Esangbedo1, Sijun Bai12, 1.School of Management, Northwestern Polytechnical University, 710072, Xi'an, P.R. China. 2.Yangtze River Delta Research Institute of NPU, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Taicang, Jiangsu, 215400, P.R. China. Abstract International companies need to compensate expatriates in relative proportions to the sacrifices they make to encourage them to accept overseas assignments in countries with harsh working conditions. The scaling of the foreign-service premium allowance problem is addressed as a multi-criteria decision-making problem. This paper presents a unique application of Grey System Theory to the compensation and benefit section of human-resource management. Firstly, this paper presents a hierarchical diagram to evaluate a company’s overseas branches for scaling the compensation of expatriates. Secondly, an unconventional hybrid method for group decision-making with uncertainty is presented. The hybrid method, Stepwise Weight Analysis Ratio Assessment weighting method and the Grey Relational Analysis with grey numbers, is applied to scale the foreign-service premium allowance and rank overseas branches of a company. The research results obtained are from a case study of the solutions to an international company, which was satisfying for both top management and staff union. Keywords: Compensation and Benefits; Multiple criteria Decision Making; Human-Resource Management; Grey System Theory; Stepwise Weight Analysis Ratio Assessment; Grey Relational Analysis. 1.Introduction Compensation Benefits Multicriteria 38 For companies to increase their profit by enlarging their market size, one approach used by some domestic companies is to strategically transition to a multinational, and possibly global, company[1]. At the initial stage of globalisation, foreign staff need to be adequately trained to function in the overall strategy. Sending expatriates to overseas branches can be a cheaper option to mobilising all foreign staff to the headquarters. It reduces cost because as it minimizes the difficulty in integrating all local staff into the headquarters when the they speak a different language, and the technology equipment is also in a different language, Corresponding Author: Sijun Bai. School of Management, Northwestern Polytechnical University, 710072, Xi'an, P.R. China; Email: baisj@nwpu.edu.cn Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) such as Chinese. One of the best options, at a relatively reduced cost, is to send expatriates to these overseas branches to train foreign staff, operate the company’s equipment, and transfer the company culture[2]. As the number of branches increase globally, one observes that the business environment differs from country to country, and one of the most pressing challenges that companies and human-resource (HR) departments face in their international-mobility processes becomes the definition of compensation and benefits (C and B) policies [3]. Generally, expatriates would want to be fairly compensated, i.e., a reasonable allowance for working overseas, especially in remote, intimidating, or dangerous locations[4]. In this paper, foreign-service premium (FSP) allowance refers to the lump sum besides other benefits given to expatriates as a compensation for working overseas to attract, retain, and motivate them. Some companies may refer to this as hardship allowance or expatriate allowance. This allowance can be considered as payment to expatriates to compensate them for accepting an assignment overseas because of the different culture, work environment and distance from family. Naturally, expatriates feel they should be differently compensated when they accept assignments in underdeveloped countries than assignments in developed countries[5]. Setting a different level for premium allowance based on location is what we refer to in this paper as scaling. The objective of scaling this allowance is to create fairness, which is the bedrock for staff performance, and to encourage expatriates to accept an assignment in an unpleasant location [4]. This research does not cover the total C and B package, such as the salary scale for expatriates. Scaling FSP allowance can be addressed as a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problem[6]. For one to be able to evaluate these locations for foreign assignments, various factors must be taken into consideration, which are the criteria for assessment. This research is grounded on the grey system theory (GST), which can deal problems with poor information[7,8]. The conditions in these locations consist of uncertainties that should be accounted for, and these uncertainties are captured using grey numbers (GN). The degree to which one criterion is more important than the other is estimated based on the rankings and comparative points, given by a group of decision-makers (DMs), and they are used to estimate the weights of the evaluation criteria. The criteria rankings and scores are aggregated using the stepwise weight analysis ratio assessment (SWARA) method[9], and traditional grey relational analysis (GRA) with GN is used to provide ratios for scaling FSP allowances for different locations. This paper provides two contributions. Firstly, a simple hierarchical diagram for evaluating the location of overseas branches in different countries is presented. Secondly, a hybrid method that combines SWARA and GRA using GN for solving MCDM problems in uncertain environment is presented. The rest of the paper is organized as follows: the section 2 gives the literature review with some related works, the section 3 is the methodology used in this research, the section 4 is the results and analysis of this research with a real-world case study, and a conclusion is drawn in the section 5. 2.Literature Review Generally, MCDM problems could be considered from the aspect of weighting and evaluation approaches. In the 1970s, Dawes and Corrigan [10] proposed a solution for unknown weights called the equal weights (EW), and they argued that equal weights produce the optimal result. However, when compared with methods Compensation Benefits Multicriteria 39 Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) later developed, EW produced the worst result. Other methods such as the rank-sum (RS), rank-reciprocal (RR), and rank order centroid (ROC) weights [11] [12] were solely objective methods. This led to subjective methods based on points allocation as well as pairwise comparison approaches such as the analytical hierarchical process (AHP)[13] and simple multi-attribute rating technique SMART[14] method. Although the SWARA method combines both objective and subjective approaches, it does not consider uncertainty. Also, simple common evaluation methodologies in the literature do not consider uncertainty, for instance, simple additive weighting (SAW)[15,16], weighted aggregated sum product assessment[17], and ELECTRE[18] (French phase: elimination et choix traduisant la realité, which means elimination and choice translating reality). Thus, a predominant approach addressing this limitation is the use of hybrid MCDM methods to consider uncertainty in decision-making. In this paper, the realities of uncertainty are not ignored but addressed by applying the GST in a group decision-making problem. 2.1 GST With Some Application The Grey System Theory (GST) was introduced by Professor Deng Julong, the father of GST [19], in the 1980s. It is primarily developed by the Institute of Grey System Studies[20]. GST is mainly used to solves the problems that consist of unknown factors, and it is widely used in agriculture, geology, meteorology, engineering and other disciplines. GST is applied to study problems with few data, small samples, inadequate information, partially known information, and an uncertainty decision environment. Some advantages of the GST are: it does not conform to a particular kind of data distribution, and membership function of the data is not needed, as in the case for fuzzy numbers. Hybrid grey methods for solving problems in the manufacturing industry has been proposed by researchers. Wang et al.[21] proposed the design of the experiment and the GRA method for strategy selection in the manufacturing industry. Bai and Sarkis[22] applied a three-parameter interval grey to integrate the neighbourhood rough-set theory and cumulative-prospect theory for evaluation and ranking. The proposed hybrid method was to evaluate advanced manufacturing technologies by considering the environmental regulation that contributes to improving grey flexibility. Wang et al.[23] applied a combination of the simple additive weighting (SAW), technique for order preference by similarity to the ideal solution (TOPSIS), and GRA methods in selecting facilities location to improve efficiency in manufacturing. Sometimes, outsourcing may be cheaper than manufacturing. Kabak and Dagdeviren[24] proposed the ANP and GRA hybrid method for solving the computer numerical control (CNC) router machine selection problem, where ANP and GRA are used for weighting the criteria and ranking the machines, respectively. Clean energy and production are essential to save our planet from environmental degradation. Zhang et al.[25] selected the optimal green supplier for the production of rubbish bins using a hybrid of the DEMATEL, AHP, and GRA methods. Tseng et al.[26] proposed a hybrid of interval-valued triangular fuzzy numbers, GRA weighting and the Fuzzy Delphi ranking method to evaluate green supply-chain management in a Taiwanese electronic-production focal firm. Newer hybrid MCDM method by researchers have been developed. Li and [27] Zhu presented a grey relational decision-making model using three-parameter Compensation interval grey number based on the AHP and Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). Benefits Here, the AHP and DEA are used to determine the weights of the criteria that are Multicriteria used in the three-parameter interval grey number. This approach was applied in 40 Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) analysing aircraft carrier, and can also be applied in other industries such as agriculture. Yuan [28] presented a green agricultural structural optimization model based on GRA with an optimization function that improved the evaluation result significantly. Kumar et al.[29] analysed and optimized the rolling process using carbon tools and steel based on GRA. Suvvari et al.[30] evaluated the performance of 24 life insurance companies in India by using capital adequacy, liquidity, operating, and profitability ratios as the evaluation criteria. Then, the traditional GRA was used in ranking the insurance companies based on their grey relational grades. Zhang and Yuan[31] applied GRA and provided a guide in setting up of a scientific system for college student education. Esangbedo and Bai[32] proposed the grey regulatory focus theory weighting method and applied it in evaluating university reputation based on GRA. Furthermore, Darvishi et al.[33] presented a comparative analysis of the grey ranking approaches and suggested that the kernel degree and degree of greyness is method provides more benefit than other methods such as the grey possibility approach. Xi and Wei,[34] after selecting the invariant degree of greyness and kernel normalization method, introduced Consistency Coefficient, and obtained the optimal scheme for ranking the alternatives. Gou et al.[35] formulated a multi attribute grey target decision-making based on the kernel and double degree of greyness that maintained the properties of the three-parameter interval grey number. Wang and Hu[36] integrated a genetic algorithm with a multivariate grey prediction model that improved pattern classification by incorporating a temporary order to a time series in the classification process. Dang and Zhang [37] proposed a grey clustering model that is centered on the kernel and information field as a whitenization weight function. The drought natural disaster risk in Henan province was analysed using the grey and fuzzy clustering model, indicating five factors and three classes of the risk. Dang et al.[38] established a two-stage grey cloud clustering model to analyse the possibility of drought in Henan province using the coefficient vector of kernel clustering. The results from the research divided Henan provinces into five categories. GRA is been applied in provincial and national problems. Bao et al. [39] evaluated the industrial structural upgrade of Anhui province using the GRA and showed the industrial structure have been increasing for a period of 10 years, indicating Anhui is rapidly moving towards the post-industrial era. Xiong and Xiong[40] utilized Driving force, Pressure, Status, Influence, Responds (DPSIP) model combine with GRA to analyze the ecologically sustainable development and dynamic forecasting in Heifei, China. Their research results suggested, there would be continuous growth in the development of the province with respect to sustainability. Tang and Xie[41] constructed a clustering evaluation model that used a mixed possibility function for assessing tourism development potential. The AHP was used to estimate the weights of the criteria in Huangsha city. Yin et al.[42] examined the characteristics of the grey relational degree of proximity using weighted mean distance, and induced intensity was applied in analysing the total water consumption in China, which is correlated with agricultural and industrial water usage. Hu et al. [43] evaluated the air quality of 74 cities in China by integrating the pollution indexing systems and using the grey fixed weight clustering analysis model that amounted to a comprehensive pollution Compensation measurement and control strategy. Liu and Cheng[44] analysed the good Benefits transportation volume and GDP in China’s port from the year 2002 to the year 2017 Multicriteria and reported that Metal ore is the biggest contributor to China’s port transportation 41 Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) volume and GDP. Furthermore, beyond China, Aydemin and Sahin[45] applied GRA for evaluating the healthcare service quality and the factor affection the satisfaction of patients in Turkey. Pitgatto et al.[46] analysed the 24 Brazilian food companies in Sao Paulo state to identify the essential factor, which was ranked using the GRA. Sheikh et al.[47] applied GRA in evaluation factors influencing the process quality in a construction project in Pakistan. Tawiah [48] et al. applied GRA in evaluating the impact and control of malaria in the Sub-Saharan Africa from the year 2010 to 2017. Esangbedo and Che[49] evaluated the business environment in Africa by combining the GRA and rank order centroid weights. Last but not least, the grey system theory not only can be used in evaluating the past and present, but it also can be used in the prediction of the future. Liu et al. [50] proposed a grey Army Materiel System analysis activity (AMSAA) model that is combined with the GM(1,1) model for increasing the consistency in the evaluation of the flight testing phase of large civilian aircraft. Liu et al.[51] presented the use of a reclusive GM(1,1) model for forecasting the cost in the management of weapon equipment. Wu et al.[52] extended the classical GM(1, n) model proposed a multivariate fraction grey model, GM(α, n), that produced an accurate forecast of the total energy consumption of China for economic and urban development. 2.2 Hybrid MCDM Methods Applied in HR Compensation Benefits Multicriteria 42 Several grey hybrid methods have been developed in the literature in the context of human resources (HR) management. Zolfani and Antucheviciene[53] presented a framework to select an employee by applying an analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and the technique for order preference by similarity to the ideal solution (TOPSIS) with grey relations for weighting and ranking employees. Although SWARA was first applied in litigation [9], Dahooie et al.[54] used a hybrid SWARA and grey additive ratio-assessment method in analysing the competency of IT staff. They concluded, in these changing times, that it is increasingly necessary to understand what influences the performance of people at work. Hence, the importance of the IT staff resulted in organisational development as a diagnostic tool, since it allowed the identification of what was failing and taking up what was being done well to be able to manage favourable changes, in which HR has a leading role. After employees are selected, there is a need to evaluate their performance on the job. Duman et al.[55] presented a balanced scorecard-based approach combining the DEMATEL and ANP methods for staff performance evaluation, where GN are used in constructing a direct relational matrix. More importantly, in this journal, researchers have extended and applied GRA. For instance, Wang et al.[56] based the design of the capturing customer requirements on GRA. A customer’s assessment utility, a triangular fuzzy number, is evaluated using GRA. Li et al.[57] evaluated the work efficiency and medical quality of a hospital in China that is based on the public–private partnership model. Peng and Shen[58] developed an evolutionary algorithm based on GRA, which was integrated in a linear programming solver as a local search for solving the crew-scheduling problem. Li et al.[59] presented a comparative result on the effectiveness of the Internet of Things between some regions in China. Khuman [60] proposed the grey natural language processing by applying GRA for natural language processing. Wang et al.[61] optimized cab suspension using GRA as a parameter of a self-dumping truck. Lin and Hu[62] applied GRA in the measurement of the similarity between two patterns that incorporate a tolerance rough set based on an accumulated generating operator. Huang et al. [63] improved the test method Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) for the grey relational order based on grey relational grade and probability distribution. Hu et al.[64] developed an aggregation-function-based similarity measure, which can also be used for prediction. Es et al. [65] developed the GRA–TRI for a multi-criteria and decision-aid classification method that performed better than the ELECTRE–TR–Central. Zhu et al.[66] modified the variable weight-clustering method to address the problem of a continuation coefficient that can be extremely big. Other hybrid MCDM methods with SWARA weighting methods have been proposed by some researcher. Zarbakhshnia[67] developed the fuzzy SWARA method that was combined with the COPRAS-G method. The linguistic triangular fuzzy number is used to measure the opinion of the decision-maker (DM) before integrating it with the SWARA method for the evaluation of a logistic provider. Mardani et al.[68] presented a systematic literature review on the SWARA and WASPAS methods as, in 2016, the numerous hybrid method with SWARA for uncertain decisions was integrated with the fuzzy set theory. However, the reported SWARA and COPRAS-G hybrid method by Gholamreza et al.[69] only reported the estimated weight, and uncertainty was not captured in weights using grey numbers. Hashemkhani et al.[70] extended the SWARA method by applying the criteria-prioritization process in the estimation of the weights; overall weights are represented in white numbers that may not be sufficient to represent the reasonable slack in weight that would capture uncertainty. Although some researchers may use grey linguistic variables to measure the preference of the DMs, it should be noted that they either used white or fuzzy numbers as the criteria weights for evaluation, and not grey numbers directly, with the exception of Chithambaranathan et al.[71]. 2.3 Compensation and Benefit in Decision-Making Compensation and Benefit (C and B) can be described as all monetary payment and welfare that employees receive for their work. Direct compensation may be in regular intervals as wages, salaries, bonuses, and commission. Indirect compensation includes all monetary payment that is excluded from direct compensation that is deemed to be part of the social contract between employer and employee, such as benefits like leave with pay, insurance, pension plans, training, and services for employees. Nonmonetary benefits refer to factors such as a career path/career prospects, opportunities for recognition, and a good environment and working conditions. We recognize that the factors that attract employees to a company can be different from those that keep them in a company. According to Highhouse et al.[72], the challenges to HR management involves managing and monitoring the work environment, organisational values, competencies, commitment to the mission, motivational quality, level of training, and career plans. Their research showed that a company’s attractiveness and prestige are different constructs. Unarguably, employees who are unsatisfied with their job and pay have low retention possibility. Omar and Ogenyi[73] investigated the pay satisfaction of senior managers in the Nigerian civil service, and significant determinants of satisfaction with pay-incentive schemes were instrumental perception and procedural. The investigation concluded that pay incentive has a dimension of pay satisfaction supported by justice. Schaubroeck et al.[74] studied under-met expectations and showed that pay-for-performance is related to employees’ reaction, such as the Compensation happiness derived from a pay raise, the level of pay satisfaction, and turnover Benefits intention. Staff with over-met expectations are related to the merit pay-raise Multicriteria construct. One’s expectation has a relationship with their emotional stability. 43 Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) Shrader and Singer[75] analysed the compensation of small-business managers in China and the United States of America (USA) using the Big Five Personality Test and pay-satisfaction questionnaires, and found emotional stability to be the major factor for salary satisfaction. They concluded that employees’ compensation should be well-communicated in order to justify and validate their pay level and structure. On the contrary, the impact of pay secrecy on employee task performance has been researched. Bamberger and Belogolovsky[76] generated a moderated-mediation model to know the individual risks of pay secrecy and its performance. On the one hand, it was discovered that pay secrecy is associated with a high level of performance than being open with pay, i.e., perceptions about fairness mediate pay secrecy and employee tasks. On the other hand, secrecy in pay may have negative impact on the performance of staff who are sensitive to inequality. Jawahar and Stone[77] also confirmed that informational justice relates to pay-level satisfaction, pay structure and administration, as well as potentially relating to an increase in payment. Shen[78] presented a model for Chinese expatriate compensation that can primarily be a host-, contract-, or diplomat-based approach, which are dependent on firm-specific factors, and host contextual factors as well as International HRM policies and practices. Some organisations have their workers compensated that grant bargains for injuries, and have considerations for women. Employees whose work involves a certain degree of physical difficulty are prone to accidents in their jobs. Employees in the USA are protected by the law regardless of their condition or nature of employment, where a complete benefit is provided to them[79]. Spieler[80] investigated the rights of the disabled and analysed compensation for work injuries in the USA in the period 1900–2017. They discovered that many workers fall into poverty categories due to their work-caused injuries and illnesses, and that is what worker C and B are meant to resolve. Shortland [5] used a triangulated qualitative-research approach to know how women’s decision to be an expatriate is affected by C and B in the oil and gas industry. The author concluded that housing quality, salary increment, quality education for their kids, access to quality healthcare, and travel and leave arrangements are some of the things that women consider before they go overseas. From the above-cited studies, and our searches in common academic-citation databases, we identified that not enough research has been done to evaluate the location of overseas assignments, as well as nonspecifically provided a scale to compensate and motivate expatriates to accept assignments at different overseas branches. This paper also fills this gap in the literature by proposing a quantitative decision-making approach in expatriate compensation, and the use of the MCDM method for the evaluation of overseas branches, which are objective rankings based on the preferences of some expatriates. It is evident that there are several applications of the GST hybrid method in the literature, and a hybrid that combines SWARA and GRA using GN is unique because of consideration for uncertainty in weighting and evaluation are considered. 3.Methodology Compensation Benefits Multicriteria 44 The problem this paper addresses is evaluating the various locations of overseas branches and assigning varying FSP allowances to promote fairness and encourage local staff to take up overseas assignment at remote areas. In this section, we define the criteria for scaling the FSP allowance, and the weighting and evaluation methods. In other words, there was high turnover rate of expatriates as Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) the data suggests. The data for all these criteria were obtained as secondary data from the World Bank, the World Health Organization (WHO), and other research-institution databases. Most of the data sources for the criteria for evaluating the alternatives for this research are from international government organisations and their agencies, as well as research institutions. The SWARA weighting method was extended for group decision-making with GN to estimate the weights of the criteria. Meanwhile, GRA using GN was used to evaluate the alternatives. 3.1 Evaluation Criteria The hierarchy structure for evaluating the location of overseas branches consists of five first-level criteria, 15 second-level criteria, that is, three second-level criteria for each first-level criteria. The first-level indicators are measured as a formative construct, while the second-level criteria are measured as a reflective construct because they are conceptually correlated. Since the second-level of each criterion is correlated, even more than three second-level criteria amount to the same approximation of rates in grey numbers. The major reason for the criteria used for evaluation is the availability of data at the evaluated branches, and the resources used in obtaining the data. Figure 1 shows a hierarchical structure for scaling FSP allowance. The criteria are defined as follows: 1) Natural Environments (C1): This consist of the Clean Cities (C1-1), the Environmental Performance Index (C1-2), and the Disaster Risk Index (C1-3). Clean Cities (C1-1) is a measure of the annual mean concentration of fine particulate matter of less than 2.5 microns of diameter (PM 2.5) (ug/m 3) in a country’s urban areas. Air pollution can expose individuals to health risks[81]. The Environmental Performance Index (C1-2) is a ranking of 180 countries that covers the quantitative metric of pollution control and the management of natural resources, which includes the environmental-health and ecosystem-vitality categories of 24 indicators[82,83]. Disaster Risk Index (C1-3) captures the kind of natural disaster that can overpower the capacity of a nation to respond. Data used in this indicator are the natural categories of the hazard and exposure dimension, which consist of earthquakes, tsunamis, floods, tropical cyclones, and droughts [84–87]. 2) Conflicts State (C2): This consists of three indicators, the Global Terrorism Index (C2-1), Failed State Index (C2-2), and Global Peace Index (C2-3)[88]. The Global Terrorism Index (C2-1) is analysis of the impact of terrorism in 163 countries, with about 99.7% of the world’s population being covered [89]. The database records of terrorist incidents and death toll are maintained by the Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) that are used in C2-1. The Fragile State Index (C2-2) by the Fund For Peace (FFP) organisation provides the rankings and scores of 178 countries by using quantitative and qualitative data with expert validation to promote security and prevent violence[90]. The effort to maintain peace in a country is also used as a criterion, i.e., the Global Peace Index (GPI) (C2-3) by providing quantitative data to measure peace that has some relationship with the prosperity of a country, as well as promoting cultural understanding in the world[91]. The GPI is based on domestic and international conflict, the safety and security level in the society, and militarization based on funding and access to weapons. 3) Economy Performance (C3): This indicator measures the economy of Compensation countries, as this may affect expatriates. It consists of the Consumer Price Index Benefits (CPI) (C3-1), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per Capita (C3-2), and Inflation (C3-3). Multicriteria The CPI (C3-1) uses a base period of 2010 to depict the fluctuations in the cost for a 45 Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) typical consumer of annually buying a basket of goods and services [92]. GDP per Capita (C3-2) is the GDP divided by the midyear population. The GDP is the gross value of all the goods and services produced by a country, with all subsidies excluded[93]. Inflation (C3-3) is the percentage change in the cost of annually buying a basket of goods and services for a typical consumer [94]. Clean Cities (C1-1) Environmental Performance Index (C1-2) Natural Environment (C1) Disaster Risk Index (C1-2) Global Terrorism Index (C2-1) Fragile State Index (C2-2) Conflict State (C2) Global Peace Index (C2-3) Consumer Price Index (C3-1) GDP per Capita (C3-2) Economic Performance (C3) FSP Allowance Scale (ri) Inflation (C3-3) Sanitation and Hygiene (C4-1) Mortality From Environmental Pollution (C4-2) Health Care (C4) Drinking Water (C4-3) Public Integrity Index (C5-1) Justices System (C5-2) Regulatory Institution (C5) Reliability of Police Service (C5-3) Figure 1. Hierarchical diagram for expatriate compensation. Compensation Benefits Multicriteria 46 4) Healthcare (C4): This consists of the indicator provided by the WHO for Sanitation and Hygiene (C4-1), which reflects essential sanitation services[95]. Mortality From Environmental Pollution (C4-2): the mortality rate that is attributed to unintentional poisoning through ambient pollution in the household and ambient air pollution[96]. Drinking Water (C4-3) is the number of individuals in the population that have basic and safe water services within a 30-minute walking distance[97]. 5) Regulatory Institutions (C5): Public Integrity Index (C5-1) measures the Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) capacity of a country to control corruption and ensure that public resources are spent without corrupt practices, which includes quantifying judicial independence, administrative burden, trade openness, budget transparency, citizenship (electronically), and freedom of the press[98]. Justices System (C5-2) is the World Just Project—Rule of Law Index that provides data for 113 countries that adhere to the rule of law from the perspective of people based on their experiences[99]. Reliability of Police Service (C5-3) is the extent to which the police force can enforce law and order in a country, based on a World Economic Forum survey[100]. 3.2 SWARA Weighting Method for Group Decision-Making The SWARA weighting method was developed to add the degree to which criteria are ranked to each other. The SWARA method improves on conventional ranking-weight methods, such as the rank-order centroid, rank exponent, and rank-sum weighting methods. The step for estimating the criteria weights for using the SWARA are as follows: Step 1. Rank the criterion based on its level of importance. Rankings are based on the preferences of the DMs. Step 2. Determine the comparative importance of average value. The comparative importance is the relative importance of criterion j in relations to criterion (j-1), which begins with the second-ranked criterion. Step 3. Determine the comparative coefficient. Coefficient kj is obtained using Equation (1): j =1 1 , (1) kj = s + 1 j 1 j where sj is the comparative importance of average value [9]. Step 4. Recalculate the weights. The recalculated weights are simply unscaled weights q j : 1 q j = k j −1 k j j =1 j 1 . (2) Step 5. Calculate the weights. The weights are scaled to one unit. The scaled weight relative to each other is: qj . (3) wj = n q k k =1 Now, we present an extension of the SWARA for group decision-making that represent the DM weights with GN. GN captures the uncertain weight by computing the weights for each of the DMs and taking the scaled minimum and maximum weights for each criterion from the DMs. For a weight matrix W of p DMs and n criteria, w1n w11 w12 w w22 w2 n 21 , (4) W = Compensation wpn wp1 wp 2 Benefits the grey weight is W = ( w1 w2 wn ) , (5) Multicriteria 47 Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) min w max wij ij 1i p . w j = w j , w j = , 1ni p n max w max w ij ij j =1 1i p j =1 1i p [54] It should be noted that Dahooie et al. approach of the SWARA method results to crisp weights, i.e. white weights that do not capture uncertainty. The implementation of SWARA method in this paper estimates the evaluation weights as interval grey numbers that provide reasonable slack to capture uncertainty. where 3.3 GRA Ranking Method Using GN GRA is an important part of the GST, and uncertainties are represented as GN. Classical GRA compares a weighted normalized decision matrix to a reference alternative, and grey relational grades are used in ranking alternatives [101]. Although interval numbers and interval grey numbers have apparently the same concept, they are inherently different. While interval numbers are all possible numbers within a range, an interval grey number is a single number within a range. The GRA ranking method using interval GN is a modified version of the traditional GRA method. The steps for using the GRA with GN are as follows: Step 1. Construct a decision matrix. The decision matrix is constructed from the raw data based on the criteria and performances of the alternatives. x1 (1) x (1) X = 2 xm (1) x1 ( n) x2 (n) xm ( n) x1 (2) x2 (2) xm (2) (6) where xi(k) are the precise data of the kth criteria for the ith alternative, 1 ≤ k ≤ n, 1 ≤ i ≤ m, and u and n are the numbers of alternatives and criteria, respectively. Step 2. Normalize the decision matrix. This step is to make the preference unidirectional and evenly distributed in the range of 0 to 1. For benefit preferences, i.e., when larger values are better values, we use Equation (7): xi* (k ) = xi (k ) − min xi (k ) 1 k n max xi (k ) − min xi (k ) 1 k n . (7) 1 k n For cost preferences, i.e., smaller values are better values, we use Equation (8): xi* (k ) = max xi (k ) − xi (k ) 1 k n max xi (k ) − min xi (k ) 1 k n . (8) 1 k n Thus, the normalized data matrix is: x1* (1) x1* (2) x1* (n) * * x (1) x2 (2) x2* (n) X* = 2 . (9) * * xm* (n) xm (1) xm (2) Step 3. Construct the grey decision matrix. The decision matrix is constructed from the normalized data matrix. Compensation Benefits Multicriteria 48 Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) x1,1 x1,2 x2,1 x2,2 X = xm ,1 xm ,2 where x1,n x2,n , (10) xm ,n and jth first-level criterion xij = xij , xij = min ( C j −k ) , max ( C j −k ) 1 k h 1k h has hth second-level criteria as its last term for the ith alternative. C j −h ( (C ) j ) Step 4. Calculate the weighted normalized grey decision matrix. The weight can be obtained using any of the MCDM weighting methods in the literature. The weighted normalized decision matrix ( X ) is the matrix multiplication of the normalized decision matrix (X*) and the transposed weights matrix (W) of the criteria. The SWARA weighting method is used as the weighting method in this research. X = X * W (11) W = ( w1 , w2 ,..., wn ) . (12) x2,1 x1,1 x2,1 x2,2 X = xm ,1 xm ,2 x1, n x2, n . xm , n (13) That is, xk ,h = xk*,h wh . In vector form, the series can be written as: , x1,2 ,..., x1, n X 1 = x1,1 , x2,2 ,..., x2, n X 2 = x2,1 . X m = xm ,1 , xm ,2 ,..., xm ,n Step 5. Determine the reference alternative. X 0 = { x0,1 , x0,2 ,..., x0, n } where (14) x0 j = max xij , max xij . 1i m 1i m Step 6. Determine the series differences. The difference between the reference alternative and others are calculated to obtain the difference. ij = x0 j − xij (15) ( ) = max x 0 j − xij , x0 j − xij . Step 7. Calculate the Grey Relational Grades (GRG). The GRG (ri) is calculated from the grey relational coefficient ( ) of the alternatives using Compensation the following formula: Benefits 1 n ri = j =1 ij , (16) Multicriteria n 49 Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) where is the distinguishing coefficient, and the grey relational coefficient is: min min ij + max max ij ij = 1im 1 j n 1i m 1 j n . ij + max max ij (17) 1i m 1 j n 4.Result and Analysis This section presents a case study of scaling FSP allowance in the petroleum-equipment manufacturing and service industry located in China. The company globally has 22 branches in 22 countries. It was observed that some staff did not want to work in very remote branches. Thus, the proposed method was applied to solve this problem. Alphabetically, the branches evaluated are located in the following countries: Albania, Algeria, Bangladesh, Brazil, Canada, Colombia, France, Indonesia, Italy, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Peru, Poland, Romania, Russia, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates (UAE), USA, and Venezuela. Also, the data used in this research were collected in the third quarter of the year 2018. 4.1 Criteria Weights Four expatriates (DM1, DM2, DM3, and DM4) with over 70 years of cumulative work experience were requested to give their rankings and the comparative points to all the criteria. Details about the DMS remains anonymous so that they will be untraceable. The rankings by the DMs are given in Table 1. Table 1. Raw rankings of the first-level criteria by the decision-makers (DMs) Expatriates (DMi) / DM1 DM2 DM3 DM4 First-level Criteria (Cj) Natural Environment (C1) 2nd 2nd 3rd 4th Conflict State (C2) Economic Performance (C3) Health Care (C4) Regulatory Institution (C5) 1st 1st 1st 1st 4 th 3 rd 2 nd 2nd 3 rd 5 th 4 th 5th 5 th 4 th 5 th 3rd These ranking were used to estimate the weights of the criteria based on the SWARA weight method in Section 3.2. For DM1, computation is shown in Table 2. The computation for the other DMs is omitted. The weight estimation by all DMs is shown in Table 3, and weight matrix W is obtained using Equation (4) from Table 3. Based on Equation (5), the grey weights are: W = ([0.1744, 0.2022], [0.2605, 0.2769], [0.1295, 0.2131], [0.111, 0.1665], [0.107, 0.1413]). (18) Table 2. Estimated weights for DM1 based on the SWARA weighting method Rankings 1 st 2nd Compensation Benefits Multicriteria 50 3 rd 4th 5th First-level Criteria (Cj) Conflict State (C2) Natural Environment (C1) Health Care (C4) Economic Performance (C3) Regulatory Institution (C5) Comparative Importance of Average, sj Coefficient, kj = sj + 1 Re-calculated Weights, wj = x j −1 kj Scaled Weights, qj = wj w m j =1 1.0000 1.0000 0.3097 0.3571 1.3571 0.7368 0.2282 0.2143 1.2143 0.6068 0.1879 0.2857 1.2857 0.4720 0.1462 0.1429 1.1429 0.4130 0.1279 j Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) Table 3. Grey DM weights Decision Makers (DMi) / First Level Criteria (Cj) C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 DM1 DM2 DM3 DM4 min wij max wij w j 0.2282 0.3097 0.1462 0.1879 0.1279 0.2258 0.3126 0.1834 0.1292 0.1490 0.2228 0.3038 0.1885 0.1253 0.1595 0.1969 0.2941 0.2406 0.1476 0.1208 0.1969 0.2941 0.1462 0.1253 0.1208 0.2282 0.3126 0.2406 0.1879 0.1595 [0.1744,0.2022] [0.2605,0.2769] [0.1295,0.2131] [0.111, 0.1665] [0.107, 0.1413] 1i 4 1i 4 4.2 Evaluation of Overseas Branches The performance of all the alternatives to be evaluated for every second-level criteria was obtained. The performances of these countries are given in Table 4. Table 4. Performance of the alternatives for second-level indicators Countries (i)/ Index Albania Algeria Bangladesh Second-level Criteria (Cj-k) (n) (1) (2) (3) Clean Cities (C1-1) 1 18.2000 34.5000 58.6000 Environmental Performance Index (C1-2) 2 65.4600 57.1800 29.5600 Disaster Risk Index (C1-3) 3 9.5000 9.5000 1.6900 Global Terrorism Index (C2-1) 4 1.4870 3.9700 6.1810 Failed States Index (C2-2) 5 60.0793 75.7851 90.3128 Global Peace Index (C2-3) 6 1.8490 2.1820 2.0840 Consumer Price Index (C3-1) 7 115.0843 142.3842 161.1360 GDP per Capita (C3-2) 8 4537.8625 4123.3899 1516.5134 Inflation (C3-3) 9 1.2828 6.3977 5.5135 Sanitation and Hygiene (C4-1) 10 98.0000 87.0000 47.0000 Mortality From Environmental Pollution (C4-2)11 104.7000 40.3000 103.4000 Drinking Water (C4-3) 12 91.0000 93.0000 97.0000 Public Integrity Index (C5-1) 13 6.4800 4.9400 5.1700 Justices System (C5-2) 14 0.5078 0.4091 Reliability of Police Service (C5-3) 15 5.2000 4.7000 3.3000 … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … Venezuela (22) 16.8000 63.8900 36.2800 3.6320 86.2069 2.6420 2740.2740 254.9485 95.0000 28.9000 97.0000 1.9300 0.2863 1.8000 In this evaluation, there are three missing values: the Justices System (C5-2) in Algeria, the Public Integrity Index (C5-1) in the UAE, and the GDP per Capita (C3-2) of Venezuela. These missing values are ignored since second-level criteria are conceptually correlated with respect to their first-level criteria. These missing values would also not skew the results. 99.09% of the data were used for evaluation, i.e., 327 out of 330 values. The evaluation, which is based on the steps in Section 3.3, is as follows: Decision matrix X is constructed from Table 1 based on Equation (6): x1 (15) 18.20 65.46 5.20 , x1 (1) x1 (2) x (1) x2 (2) x2 (15) 34.50 57.18 4.70 X = 2 = x22 (15) 16.80 63.89 1.80 x22 (1) x22 (2) Then, the normalized decision matrix is obtained using Equation (9) . 0.2766 . 0.2216 0.3400 0.7742 0.5356 0.4922 0.7742 0.3830 X *= 1.0000 0.1946 0.3688 0.0000 Compensation Benefits Multicriteria The grey data were computed using Equation (10) and are shown in Table 5. 51 Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) Grey decision matrix X is also constructed from Table 5. x1,5 x1,1 x1,2 x2,1 x2,2 x2,5 X = x22,5 x22,1 x22,2 0.2216, 0.7742 0.1651, 0.492 0.2766, 0.5768 0.4922, 0.7742 0.4407, 0.6923 0.383, 0.5631 = . 0.4032, 0.8252 1, 1 0, 0.3688 The weighted grey decision matrix was calculated using Equation (11). While weights W were obtained using the SWARA weighting method for group decision-making, as given in Equation (18), the weighted grey matrix is 0.0386, 0.1565 0.0430, 0.1362 0.0296, 0.0815 0.0858, 0.1565 0.1148, 0.1917 0.0410, 0.0796 X = , 0.1050, 0.2285 0.1070, 0.1413 0, 0.0746 and the reference country based on Equation (14) is . X 0 = ( 0.1744,0.2022 , 0.2429,0.2769 , 0.1295,0.2131 , 0.1110,0.1665 , 0.1070,0.1413) The series differences based on Equation (15) are presented in Table 5. Table 5 Differences between reference country and evaluated countries Criteria (Cj) min ij C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 1 j 5 /Differences ( ij ) max ij 1 j 5 1 j 0.1636 0.2339 0.2127 0.1632 0.1117 0.1117 0.2339 2 j 0.1164 0.1621 0.2114 0.1468 0.1003 0.1003 0.2114 22 j 0.2022 0.1719 0.0836 0.1582 0.0343 0.0343 0.2022 min min ij 1i 22 1 j 5 - - - - - 0.0278 - max max ij - - - - - - 0.2769 1i 22 1 j 5 The GRG using the distinguishing coefficient =0.5 is ri = ( r1 , r2 , r3 ,..., r22 ) , Compensation Benefits Multicriteria 52 (19) = 0.5372, 0.5920, 0.6638, 0.5432, 0.5002, 0.5838, 0.5082, 0.5614, 0.5263, 0.5542, 0.5298, 0.5610, 0.7284, 0.7321, 0.5716, 0.5286, 0.5175, 0.5845, 0.5938, 0.5129, 0.5315, 0.6590. As GRG increases, the less the favourable location is and, thus, the higher the compensation. The location rankings of the branches, from most to least favourable position, i.e., from the first to the 22 nd position, are: Canada, France, USA, Romania, Italy, Poland, Malaysia, UAE, Albania, Brazil, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Indonesia, Peru, Colombia, Russia, Algeria, Ukraine, Venezuela, Bangladesh, Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) Nigeria, Pakistan. The rankings and proposed scale for compensating expatriates are shown in Figure 2. Figure 2. Scaling and Rankings of Overseas Branches It is interesting to observe that all the DMs ranked Conflict States (C2) as the most important criterion, of which the allocated grey weight is [0.2605, 0.2769]. The least important criterion, with a grey weight of [0.107, 0.1413], was Regulatory Institutions (C5). Canada was ranked in the first position, France was ranked second, and the USA was ranked third. From the rankings, more allowance should be allocated to expatriates who accept assignments in Nigeria and Pakistan, the 21st and 22nd positions, respectively. As GRG increases, the more the locations are unfavourable, thus the higher the compensation should be. The ratio of FSP allowance to compensate expatriates is based on the GRG. For instance, if an expatriate accepts an assignment in Albania, and they are paid ¥53,720 (Yuan—RMB), then the expatriate should be paid ¥65,900 if they accept an assignment in Venezuela. Similarly, with the same ratio, the expatriate who accepts an assignment in Canada should be paid just ¥50,020, whereas ¥73,210 should be paid to them if they accepts an assignment in Pakistan. The significant findings in the paper are expatriates accepting assignments in developed countries should receive less FSP allowance than those giving assignment in countries that are underdeveloped, with harsh and risky work environments. Although the FSP allowance does not fully explain the high turnover rate in the Nigeria and Pakistan branches, the FSP allowance ratio shows that more justice can be done to compensate expatriates in these branches by increasing their FSP allowance by a good proportion. The initial cost-saving of paying expatriates less may seem like a good strategy but, in the long run, expatriates quitting can be a huge loss to a company[102]. With the method presented in this paper, the DMs felt justified in scaling FSP allowance of expatriates instead of individually responding Compensation to every request for a pay raise. In addition, the result took the company a step Benefits closer to meeting the expectation of expatriates[103]. Multicriteria 53 Moses Olabhele Esangbedo et al/ The Journal of Grey System 2020 (32) 5.Conclusion In general terms, we understand compensation to be the payment that employees receive in exchange for their work and contribution to the organisation. FSP allowance is nothing more than a balancing mechanism where expatriates are compensated for their effort with a lump sum. In this sense, “fair compensation” would be one that achieves a reasonable balance between what the expatriate gives and what they receive. From the employees’ point of view, their allowance becomes one of the main factors that they take into account when accepting an assignment overseas. The goal of these C and B policies is to ensure that expatriate workers, in any of their modalities, as well as their families, are supported by common, homogeneous, and competitive policies and practices. FSP allowance could improve their purchasing power, security, and comfort in the country of destination, as well as the professional attractiveness of the international project assigned to it. Compensation Benefits Multicriteria 54 The contributions of this study are as follows: Firstly, a simple hierarchical diagram for FSP allowance for overseas branches was presented. Secondly, a hybrid MCDM method that combines the SWARA and GRA techniques with GN was also presented. This hybrid method is well-suited for group decision-making in an uncertain decision-making environment. Thirdly, part of the solution to the problem of employee turnover in a company is presented, which is scaling FSP allowance for expatriates in overseas branches. Now, it is important for employees to understand how they are paid in the global field. The more that an employee understands how their bonuses and merit increments are calculated, especially if they are expatriates, the easier it is for HR managers to answer any questions, concerns, or complaints they have in this area. Furthermore, this paper can help companies develop a transparent system for compensating expatriates that may be deemed fair by the employee, encouraging staff to take up assignments at very challenging and less favourable environments. This research has some limitations. It was difficult for us to obtain primary data from all overseas branches based on the evaluated criteria, so secondary data was used. The result of this research is dependent on the accuracy of the data provided by these sources. Moreover, it may be difficult to truly represent real conditions in the local environment of an overseas branch. Furthermore, there are many factors that can lead to expatriate turnover, such as job satisfaction and organization commitment, which the current study did not cover[102]. Further research can be done to provide different scaling factors for male and female staff since deal-breakers for women expatriates to accept a foreign assignment may be different from those of male expatriates[5]. Another area of research can be measuring how long-service allowance can delay staff from retirement[104]. Thereby, the company can benefit from the cumulative wealth of the ageing employees. 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