Unveiling the impact: Health insurance effects on healthcare accessibility in Tanzania. Author. Gloriana E Mateves (+255) 0623263166/0716612277 Email matevesglory150@gmail.com Abstract. The global target of achieving Universal health coverage (UHC) by 2030 is a challenging task especially in developing countries. To search for detailed reasons, this study examines the effects of health insurance on healthcare accessibility. The study used Non experimental research design and data from Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) 2022. Simple logistic regression model was used to estimate the effects of health insurance on healthcare accessibility. The results revealed that age (0.042,p<0.000) , marital status (0.010, p < 0.034) ,wealth (0.016,p<0.032) ,employment status (0.019,p<0.001) and education status (0.017,p<0.001) ,are main determinants of demand for health insurance in Tanzania .The results also revealed that marital status (0.037,p<0.007) and income (0.049,p<0.002) are the key factors affecting an access to health care. The study therefore recommends the government to invest more in education and create more employment opportunities to alleviate poverty in Tanzania in order to increase the demand for health insurance and healthcare accessibility. Keywords Healthcare; Health insurance; Accessibility; Demand; Determinants. Introduction At all stages of life, access to health care services has a considerable effect on overall health (Gu et al., 2009). Globally, most of health care system emphasize minimizing barriers to health care access for citizen’s (Ahrq, n.d.) Sustainable development goal number 3 aims at ensuring lives and promote wellbeing for all at all ages. Apart from aiming at reducing the rate of diseases, it also emphasizes access to essential health services, safe and affordable medicines. Sufficient healthcare services utilization allows for earlier detection and diagnosis of health problems and hence becoming addressed more proactively (Papastergiou et al., 2020) In 2021 global spending on health reached a new high of US$ 9.8 trillion or 10.3% of global gross domestic product (GDP). However, the distribution of spending remained grossly unequal. In 2021, about 11% of the world's population lived in countries that spent less than US$50 per person per year, while the average per capita spending on health was around US$ 4000 in highincome countries. Low-income countries accounted for only 0.24% of the global health expenditure, despite having an 8% share of the world’s population (WHO 2023) (Kitole et al., 2023), Proclaimed that the question of whether health insurance has a role to play in facilitating access to health care is highly debatable in most developing countries. The debate is louder in these countries because of poverty, which increases pressure on the households' decision to seek medical services that are accompanied with unfriendly user fees and out-of-pocket expenditures, which have been threatening households' incomes. Health insurance coverage is still low in Tanzania thus contributing to low health accessibility(Kitole et al., 2023). In the year 2019, 32% of Tanzanians had health insurance coverage, of which 8% have subscribed to NHIF, 23% are members of Community Health Fund (CHF), and 1% are members of private health insurance companies. Beneficiaries of NHIF includes the contributing members, spouse and up to four dependents (NHIF ACT 2015). The CHF beneficiaries include head of household, spouse and all children below 18 years. CHF mainly focuses its coverage in rural population while private health insurance schemes target urban population (Community Health Fund Act No 1 of 2001) As a strategy to low access of health care accessibility, Tanzania government has recently introduced a policy of health insurance for all citizens. The aim of this policy is to ensure that every citizen in the country has access to health care by providing health insurance coverage. 1 This policy is expected to improve the health outcomes of citizens by increasing access to healthcare services and reducing the financial burden of healthcare costs. Despite the strategy taken, the problem is still yet not solved. It is from this ground this study aims to give some insights on effects of health insurance on health care accessibility in Tanzania. Empirical literature review. Kitole et al (2023) Conducted study in Tanzania on “Does health insurance solve health care utilization puzzle in Tanzania?” Tanzania Panel Survey data of 2020/21 was used and Probit model, negative binomial regression, and instrumental variable Poisson with generalized method of moments were used in the study. The study revealed that, geographical location, Income, education, household size, health status and health care cost are the key determinants of demand for health insurance. The study also revealed that geographical location, income ,education, household size, health insurance ,distance from home steady to health facility and membership to social groups are main factors which influencing in access to health care. Therefore the study recommended that the government should expand its share on health sector and also there should be interventions that ensure the affordability of health services without compromising the quality of services offered. Kitole et al (2022) conducted a study on analysis on the equity differential on household healthcare financing in developing countries where the study used empirical evidence from Tanzania. The non-experimental research design has been used to explore the Tanzania Panel Survey (NPS) data 2019/2020, to investigate equity differential in household healthcare financing in Tanzania by the use of conventional instrumental variable methods of Two-stage and Three-stage least square methods. The study revealed that household’s income, education, health care waivers, out-of-pocket expenditure, and user fees have been found to have a significant impact on household equity in healthcare financing. Then the results of this study, recommended that health insurance is an important component in promoting equity in health care financing among households therefore the government should put more efforts to improve the national and community health insurances that are easily affordable to a large group of the society. Tungu et al. (2020) conducted a study on “does health insurance contribute to improve utilization of health services for the eldery in rural Tanzania?” The study used data which obtained from a 2 household survey conducted in the Nzega and Igunga districts. A standardized survey instrument from the World Health Organization Study on global Ageing and adult health was used. This comprised of questions regarding demo-graphic and socio-economic characteristics, health and insurance status, health seeking behaviors, sickness history (three months and one year prior to the survey), and the receipt of health care. A multistage sampling method was used to select wards, villages and respondents in each district. Local ward and hamlet officers guided the researchers in identifying households with older people. Crude and adjusted logistic regression methods were used to explore associations between health insurance and outpatient and inpatient health care use. The study revealed that there were positive relationship between health insurance and health care utilization where the study involved independent variables such as education, income, health status, sex, age, and marital status to examine the relationship. Isabella Kiplagat (2011) conducted a study on the determinants of health insurance choice in Kenya. While utilizing the 2008-2009 Kenya Demographic and Health Survey (KDHS) data, a multinomial logistic regression model was used to examine the determinants of health insurance in Kenya. The study revealed that age, gender, wealth index, income, employment status, education ,household size have been found to have significant impact on choice of health insurance. The study recommended that the most important factors to target when designing policy instruments for health insurance uptake in Kenya are: size of household, wealth index, education/awareness and employment because to increase uptake of the insurance scheme will require policies that facilitate schooling and a raise in the living standard of Kenyans. But also Sandra Hopkins (2014) conducted study in Australia and found that, low awareness stops many people from enrolling in any arrangement of health insurance scheme. She used binary logistic model also to examine demand for health insurance and highlighted various social-economic characteristics such as age ,income ,health status and geographical location as the determinants of health insurance .At the end she found that the demand for health insurance declined insurance. Awiti (2014) carried out a study on poverty and healthcare demand in Kenya. He used a multinomial probit model and used data from a survey that was carried out in 2005-2006 on the effects of poverty on healthcare demand. Their results indicated that for all age groups, the 3 predictors of poverty include large household sizes and longer distances to the nearest health facility. The result further revealed that poverty reduces the probability of visiting a modern health care provider amongst all age groups. The study recommended that to encourage the use of modern health care facilities, therefore, requires the pursuit of poverty–reduction strategies. Some of the ways this could be done include lowering the household sizes and reducing the average distance to modern health care facilities. Theoretical review State dependent utility theory. This theory was founded by Jeremy Bentham’s (1748-1832), which declares that a consumer’s utility level and taste are influenced by the state of their health or socioeconomic status. Thus, individuals have different degrees of risk aversion, which influence their decision to purchase insurance, as the result it affects their access to health care services. For instance, individuals who perceive their health status as good are less likely to purchase insurance than individuals who perceive their health status as poor. Also, individuals in households with higher socioeconomic status, such as education, wealth, and employment, are more likely to demand health insurance because they can afford it. The theory also explains that having a better understanding of the benefits of being insured increases the demand for health insurance and hence even increasing the accessibility to health care services. However, the poor have liquidity constraints that cause them to remain uninsured even when they may be better off with insurance. 4 Conceptual framework. Figure 1.0 Demographic factors Age sex Marital status Demand for health insurance. Access to health care. Social economic factors Wealth Employment Education Health status Income Authors’ design Methodology The study employs a non-experimental research design to provide a realistic depiction of the factors that influence the demand for health insurance and its impact on healthcare accessibility in Tanzania. Non-experimental research design is used to analyze the existing conditions and variables to gain a deeper understanding of the determinants of demand for health insurance and the effects of health insurance on healthcare accessibility .Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) of 2022 are used in this study. The 2022 Tanzania Demographic and Health Survey 5 (DHS) were implemented by the Tanzania National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the Office of the Chief Government Statistician (OCGS) in collaboration with the Ministry of Health, Tanzania Mainland and the Ministry of Health, Zanzibar. Analytical modeling A simple logistic model will be used to analyze the data collected to examine determinants of demand for health insurance. Logit (Y) = ) β0 + βX1+ βX1 + βX2 + βX3 + βX4 + βX5 + βX6 + βX7 + βX8 + µ Where by Y= Demand for health insurance. Where Xi are explanatory variables and is defined as follows? β= constant parameter X1 = Age X2 = Sex X3 =Marital status X4 = Wealth status X5 = Health status X6=Income of respondent. X7=Employment status X8=Education status. The factors influencing access to health care also are premeditated by using simple logistic regression model. Logit(Y) = )= β0 + βX1+ βX1 + βX2 + βX3 + βX4 + βX5 + βX6 + βX7 + βX8 + βX9 + µ Y= Demand for health insurance. Where Xi are explanatory variables and is defined as follows? β= constant parameter X1 = Age X2 = Sex X3 =Marital status X4 = Wealth status 6 X5 = Health status X6=Income of respondent. X7=Employment status X8=Education status. X9=Health insurance. 7 Table 1.Description of variables. Variable name Operational definition Expected relationship Dependent variable Health insurance Respondents who demand for health insurance ( demand for health insurance =1, 0 do not demand for health insurance.) Independent variables Age Age of respondent Positive/negative Sex Dummy, 1=male , 0 otherwise Positive/negative Marital status Dummy,1=married,0 otherwise Positive/negative Employment status Dummy,1= employed,0 otherwise Positive Education status Dummy, 1= educated,0 otherwise Positive Wealth status Dummy, 1=Rich, 0 otherwise, 1=middle, 0 otherwise, 0=poor. Positive/Negative Health status Dummy,1=good health,0 Positive income,0=therwise,1=middle Positive. health,0 otherwise,1= moderate otherwise,0= bad health. Income Dummy,1=high income,0=otherwise,0=low income. Dependent variable Health care Respondents access to health care (1= get access to health care ,0=do not get access to health care ) Independent variables Age Sex Age of respondent Positive/Negative Dummy,1=Male,0 otherwise Positive/Negative Marital status Dummy, 1=married , 0 otherwise Positive/negative Employment status Dummy,1= employed,0 otherwise Positive Education status Dummy, 1= educated,0 otherwise Positive Wealth status Dummy, 1=Rich, 0 otherwise, 1=middle, 0 otherwise, 0=poor. Positive Health status Dummy,1=bad health,0 otherwise,1= moderate health,0 Positive. otherwise,0= bad health. Income Dummy,1=high income,0=otherwise,1=middle Positive income,0=otherwise,0=low income Health insurance Dummy,1=yes,0 otherwise Positive. 8 Results Descriptive statistics Table 1 :Age of respondents. Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max Age 2531 30.132 7.531 15 49 As shown by the table above, households heads were aged 30 years old on average, the eldest household head was aged 49 years old and the youngest household head was aged 15 years old. Table 3:Education level of respondents. educational level Freq. Percent Cum. no education, preschool/early childhood education 322 12.72 12.72 Primary 1533 60.57 73.29 Secondary 607 23.98 97.27 Higher 69 2.73 100.00 Total 2531 100.00 The table above show that most of the respondents surveyed were having primary education 60.57% followed by the respondents having secondary education 23.98% and then followed by respondents with no education, preschool, early childhood education 12.72%and few of them they had higher education 2.73% 9 Table 5: Marital Status Freq. Percent Cum. Married 2227 87.99 87.99 living with partner 304 12.01 100.00 Total 2531 100.00 Table above show that most of the respondents surveyed were married thus 87.99% of all respondents were married and 12.01% of respondents were living with partners. Table 5: Sex of respondents sex of household head Freq. Percent Cum. Male 2350 92.85 92.85 Female 181 7.15 100.00 Total 2531 100.00 Table above show that most of the respondents surveyed were males, thus 92.85% of all respondents were male and 7.15%. of respondents were female. 10 Empirical results Marginal effects after logit y = Pr(Health insurance ) (predict) = .02111068 Table 6: Simple logistic regression on determinants of demand for health insurance in Tanzania Simple logistic Variable Marginal effects p Standard Coefficient dy/dx error Standard error P Age 2.009 0.478 0.000 0.042*** 0.101 0.000 Sex -0.023 0.41 0.954 -0.000 0.008 0.955 Marital status 0.602 0.319 0.059 0.010*** 0.005 0.034 Rich class 0.713 0.303 0.018 0.016*** 0.007 0.032 Middle class -1.129 0.518 0.029 -0.018*** 0.006 0.004 Good health 0.312 0.259 0.227 0.006 0.005 0.232 Moderate 0.460 0.290 0.113 0.010 0.008 0.160 of 0.423 0.220 0.054 0.009 0.005 0.082 0.932 0.286 0.001 1.074 0.442 0.015 health Income respondent Employment status Education status Number of observations 2531 R squared 0.1329 Chi square 113.64 ***p<0.01, **p<0.05, *p<0.1 11 0.019 *** 0.006 0.001 0.017 *** 0.005 0.001 As shown by the table above age of the respondents show a positive relationship with demand for health insurance and this show that as an individual’s age increased by one year, the more likely they demanded for an health insurance by 0.042. Marital status is significant at 5% having positive relationship with demand for health insurance which implies that people who are married are 0.010 times more likely to demand for health insurance compared to ones not married. Wealth was also found to have positive relationship with demand for health insurance where by rich people are 0.016 times more likely to demand for health insurance than poor and middleclass people are 0.018 times less likely to demand for health insurance than poor people. Employment was found to have a positive significance on demand for health insurance at a 5% significance which implies that people who are employed are 0.019 times more likely to seek for health insurance than ones not employed. Education found to have positively significantly affected demand for health insurance which describe that educated people are 0.017 times more likely to seek for health insurance than noneducated people. 12 Marginal effects after logit y = Pr (Heath care) (predict) = .1157494 Table 7 Simple logistic regression on factors influencing on accessibility to healthcare. Simple logistic Variable Marginal effects p Standard Coefficient dy/dx error Standard error P Age -0.092 0.252 0.714 -0.009 0.026 0.714 Sex 0.042 0.239 0.858 0.004 0.024 0.858 Marital status 0.391 0.158 0.013 0.037 0.014 0.007 Rich class 0.005 0.165 0.978 0.000 0.017 0.978 Middle class -0.070 0.179 0.695 -0.007*** 0.018 0.690 Good health -0.072 0.152 0.638 -0.007 0.016 0.639 Moderate -0.202 0.179 0.261 -0.019 0.017 0242 of 0.444 0.138 0.001 0.049*** 0.016 0.002 -0.108 0.136 0.428 -0.011 0.014 0.431 -0.210 0.162 0.163 0.385 0.925 0.163 health Income respondent Employment status Education status Health insurance Number of observations 2531 R squared 0.0131 Chi square 24.18 *p<0.01, **p<0.05, ***p<0.1 13 0.022 0.018 0.045 0.037 0.215 0.217 From the table above marital status is significant at 5% having positive relationship with access to health care which implies that people who are married are 0.402 times more likely on access to health care compared to ones not married. It was found from this study that there is positive relationship between income and access to health care, which entails that high income earners are 0.049 times more likely on access to health care than low-income earners. Discussion. The findings revealed that employed people are more likely to demand for health insurance compare to unemployed ones. These results are similar to the study of (Duchon et al 2000) who surveyed on health insurance provided for employees by their employers. He found that employed people are more likely to demand for health insurance than the unemployed this could be because employers contribute a certain amount to the premiums of their employees but also this could be because employed people receive income which may help them to pay required payment of their insurers. The findings revealed that educated people are more likely to seek for health insurance than ones not educated .These results are similar to the study of (Grossman, 2015) who searched on relationship between formal education and use of health –related information where he found that people with formal education are more likely use different health facilities including health insurance this may be due to that formal education helps to know the important of being insured and the risks of not being insured but also the results are the same to the results of (Diop 2005) and Franco et al (2008) which described that the individual from household headed by the people who had education were more likely to enroll in a voluntary health insurance scheme than households headed by people with no education this may also due to that, education create awareness to the people on different issues including health relating issues, therefore through education people knows the benefits of health insurance. The findings revealed that rich people are more likely to demand for health insurance than poor. 14 This results are similar to the results obtained by (Jaime Pinilla& Beatriz G .Lopez 2008) when they studied about ”Income and wealth as determinants of voluntary private health insurance ,the study found that rich people are more likely to demand for health insurance compare to the middle and poor people. This could be that rich people can afford premiums charged by insurance providers that could not be afforded by poor and middle people. The findings also revealed that as an individual’s age increased by one year, the more likely they demanded for an health insurance. These results are the same to the results of (Richard Ssempala 2015) who researched on factors influencing d for health insurance in Uganda. He found that as the age of respondents increases the demand for health insurance also increases and this could be because at lower age the individuals are still under their parents or in other words at lower age individuals are depend on their parents who could pay for them so their age does not affect the demand for health insurance but as they tend to grow now they depending on themselves so they can pay for health insurance. Positive relationship between age and health insurance demand is also supported by broader studies on insurance behavior and preferences. In a study by Pauly et al. (2003), the researchers found that older individuals tend to place a higher value on insurance coverage, recognizing the increasing healthcare needs that come with age. This aligns with the notion that as individuals grow older, they become more cognizant of potential health risks and the importance of having adequate insurance coverage. The findings revealed that people who are married are more likely to have access in health care compared to ones not married. These results are the similar to the results obtained by (M Jong et al 1995) who surveyed on marital status and health care utilization. The study found that married people are more likely to seek for health care and this could be because of several factors example married people are likely to face reproductive health problems which force them to seek for health care than unmarried people but also married people can get moral and financial supports from their partners in term of seeking for health care but also married people may have children who face health problems and force them to seek to health care compared to unmarried ones. But also study by Han, Liu, and Lu (2009) in the United States found that married individuals were more likely to have health insurance coverage compared to their unmarried counterparts. This could be due to that the presence of a spouse might contribute to a sense of 15 shared responsibility for health and financial matters, influencing the decision to seek health insurance. On other hand the study have found that, there is positive relationship between income and healthcare accessibility. This results are similar to the results obtained by( Kitole et al 2022) on the study of Analysis on the equity differential on household healthcare financing in developing countries, the study found that household income increases healthcare financing .Income plays a significant role in determining the accessibility of healthcare. People need a certain level of income to afford the basics for a healthy life, such as food and quality housing. Higher incomes enable people to have more choice , and this often means they have access to healthier options. Conclusion Health insurance plays a crucial role in improving healthcare accessibility for individuals and communities. The purpose of this study was to investigate the factors influencing the demand for health insurance and healthcare accessibility. The key findings revealed significant correlations between employment status, education level, income, age, marital status, and the likelihood of seeking health insurance and healthcare services.. Furthermore the study recommends on the need of government to enhance health education programs, particularly those that focus on health insurance and financial literacy, to significantly impact individuals’ ability to make informed decisions about their health insurance options and encourage them to seek necessary healthcare services. Therefore, comprehensive health education programs that encompass health insurance and financial literacy can play a vital role in empowering individuals to navigate the healthcare system effectively and make informed choices about their health insurance and healthcare services. In addition, the study recommends that government needs to promote income-based subsidies for health insurance and should be improved to increase access to healthcare services for lowincome individuals and families. These subsidies make health insurance more affordable by reducing premiums and out-of-pocket costs for eligible individuals and families. By implementing subsidies based on income levels, low-income individuals and families can access necessary healthcare services, leading to better health outcomes and reduced financial strain. 16 These subsidies can also encourage preventative care, which can help prevent or manage chronic conditions. However on promoting employer-sponsored health insurance there is need of government to increase coverage rates and ensure that more people have access to healthcare services. Encouraging employers to offer health insurance plans to their employees can improve health outcomes and increase access to healthcare services. Public health education has been found to significantly increase people’s demand for commercial health insurance, highlighting the positive impact of education on insurance decision-making and healthcare utilization. Therefore, policymakers and employers should prioritize promoting employer-sponsored health insurance and investing in public health education to increase the demand for health insurance and improve healthcare accessibility. On the other hand, developing countries should promote health insurance campaigns tailored to different age groups implementing this can increase demand for health insurance and improve healthcare accessibility. Young adults are a key target for insurers because they can help balance spending on older enrollees and stabilize risk pools in the health insurance marketplaces. Limitation of the study. The study on the determinants of demand for health insurance and the effects of health insurance on health care accessibility in Tanzania has several limitations that need to be taken into consideration .Firstly the study used secondary data, which means that the researchers had no control over how the data were collected or how variables were measured. This lack of control over data collection can lead to biasedness in the data which can be made intentionally or unintentionally. Additionally, the secondary data used in this study failed to address specific research questions, as most of the variables that were highly needed to increase insight were not found .Therefore the study’s results are limited in scope. 17 REFERENCES. AHRQ. (n.d.). Healthcare access and barriers survey. Retrieved January 16, 2024, from https://www.ahrq.gov/research/findings/nhqrdr/index.html. Awiti, J. O. (2014). Poverty and health care demand in Kenya. BMC Health Services Research, 14(1), 560. DOI: 10.1186/s12913-014-0560-y Community Health Fund Act, No. 1 of 2001, 2001 TANZ. L. 409 (2001). Diop, F., & Yazbeck, A. S. (2005). Health insurance for the poor: impact on catastrophic and out-of-pocket health expenditure. Duchon L, Schoen C, Simantov E, Davis K, An C (2000). Listening to Workers.Employers benefits from workers health insurance. Franco, L. M., Diop, F., & Burgert, C. R. (2008). Effects of mutual health organizations on use of priority health-care services in urban and rural Mali: a case–control study. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 86(11), 830-838. Grossman, M. (2015). Determinants of Health: An Economic Perspective. National Bureau of Economic Research. Gu, D., Zhang, Z., & Zeng, Y. (2009). Access to healthcare services makes a difference in healthy longevity among older Chinese adults. Social Science and Medicine, 68(2), 210– 219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2008.10.025 Jong, I. M. A., Van Der Meer, J. B. W., & Mackenbach, J. P. (1995). Marital status and health care utilization. International Journal of Epidemiology, 24(3), 569-575. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/24.3.569 Kiplagat, I. (2013). Determinants of health insurance choice in Kenya. European Scientific Journal, 9(13), 1857-7881 Kitole, F. A., Lihawa, R. M., & Mkuna, E. (2023). Equity in the public social healthcare protection in Tanzania: does it matter on household healthcare financing? International Journal for Equity in Health, 22(1), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12939-023-01855-0 18 Kitole, F. A., Lihawa, R. M., Nsindagi, T. E., & Tibamanya, F. Y. (2023). Does health insurance solve health care utilization puzzle in Tanzania? The Royal Society for Public Health. National Health Insurance Fund Act, Chapter 395 of the Laws of Tanzania (Revised Edition of 2015). (2015). Dar es Salaam, Tanzania: Government Printer Papastergiou, J., Donnelly, M., Li, W., Sindelar, R. D., & van den Bemt, B. (2020). Community Pharmacy-Based eGFR Screening for Early Detection of CKD in High Risk Patients. Canadian Journal of Kidney Health and Disease, 7. https://doi.org/10.1177/2054358120922617 Pauly, M. V., & Herring, B. (2003). Risk pooling and regulation: Policy and reality in today's individual health insurance market. Health Affairs, 22(6), 23- Sinha, T. (2015). Determinants of demand for group insurance in Mexico. Journal of Insurance Issues, 38(2), 1-22 Ssempala, R. (2018). Factors Influencing Demand for Health Insurance in Uganda. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3124179. Tungu, M., Amani, P. J., Hurtig, A. K., Kiwara, A. D., Mwangu, M., & Lindholm, L. (2020). Does health insurance contribute to improved utilization of health care services for the elderly in rural Tanzania? A cross-sectional study. Global Health Action, 13(1), 1841962 Vetter, Stefan; Heiss, Florian; McFadden, Daniel und winter, Joachim (2013): Risk attitudes and Medicare Part D enrollment decisions. In: Journal of Health Economics, Vol. 32, No. 6, S. 13251344. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2013.09.002 19