NATIONAL ECONOMICS UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF BANKING AND FINANCE ----------***---------- CHAPTER 1 OVERVIEW OF SECURITIES MARKET SECURITIES DEPARTMENT Contents 1.1 The formation and development of securities market 1.2 Definition, classification and principles of securities market operation 1.3 Participants in the securities market 1.4 Roles of securities market 1.5. The efficient market hypothesis BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 2 1.1. The formation and development of securities market • Governments revolutionize tax system in order to boost saving and investment • A wide range of new financial instruments • Unofficial securities market has been formed • Technological innovation : the dissemination and storage of information today is broader, cheaper, faster, and more accurate • Modernization of government debt market BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 3 1.2.Definition, classification and principles of securities market operation • Modern market is characterized by the securities market • Securities market is a component of financial market in which securities can be bought or sold. These trades are executed based on predetermined rules. • Security is a certificate that represents a claim on the issuer BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 4 Types of securities market According to market organization Exchange BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN OTC: Over The Counter Market 5 Types of securities market According to capital flow Primary Market BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN Secondary Market 6 Types of securities market According to different types of securities Bond Markets Stock Markets BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN Derivative Markets 7 1.3. Participants in the securities market • An issuer is a legal entity that develops, registers and sells securities to finance its operations. Issuers may be corporations, investment trusts, or domestic or foreign governments. • An investor is someone who buy or sell securities in the market – Individual investor – Corporation investor • Intermediaries – Securities company – Commercial bank BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 8 1.3. Participants in the securities market • Authority agency and other supporting organizations - Government agency (State Securities Commission) - Stock exchange - Securities Investment Board - Securities depository - Credit ratings agency BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 9 1.4. Roles of securities market • For the economy and Government • For issuers • For investors BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 10 1.4. Roles of securities market For issuers • New capital mobilization channel with reasonable cost • Boost the corporation equitization • Create healthy competition in order to promote capital efficiency, apply new technologies and improve products • Internationalization of securities market • Seperation between ownership and management BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 11 1.4. Roles of securities market For investors • Analyze and create suitable portfolios • Investment culture • Provide investor healthy competition with plenty of investment opportunities For the economy and Government • Capital mobilization • Tools for implementing monetary policy and fiscal policy • Attract foreign direct and indirect investment • Effective channel to raise capital BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 12 1.4. Roles of securities market • • • • • Asymmetric information Speculation Insider trading Market manipulation Conflicts of interest BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 13 1.5. The Efficient Market Hypothesis • The expectation theory • The efficient market hypothesis • Empirical test BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 14 1.5. The Efficient Market Hypothesis Securities valuation The expectation theory BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN The Efficient Market Hypothesis 15 1.5. The Efficient Market Hypothesis The expectation theory • Kỳ vọng hợp lý là kỳ vọng được tính toán dựa trên mọi thông tin sẵn có trên thị trường. • Kỳ vọng được hình thành bằng cách liên tục cập nhật thông tin hiện có và tái phân tích thông tin này. BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 16 1.5. Efficient Market Hypothesis • The efficient markets hypothesis (EMH) contends that information relevant to the pricing (valuation) of loans, securities, and other financial assets is readily available to all borrowers and lenders at negligible cost • Patel (1984) points out that once the dividend announcement is released, almost all of the stock prices will reflect that information within 10 minutes BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 17 1.5. Efficient Market Hypothesis Sub-hypothesis Weak-form Efficient Market Semistrong-form Efficient Market Strong-form Efficient Market BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 18 1.5. Efficient Market Hypothesis Weak-form Efficient Market Hypothesis • The weak form of the EMH argues that the current price of a financial asset already reflects all its price and trading volume history • No use of trend analysis • Historical price is public and available to all investors • Assume that historical price can be used to predict future price, investors can exploit that information intermediately BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 19 1.5. Efficient Market Hypothesis Semistrong-form Efficient Market Hypothesis • The semistrong form contends that the current price of a financial asset already reflects all publicly available and relevant information. • Apply fundamental analysis or technical analysis brings no abnormal returns BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 20 1.5. Efficient Market Hypothesis Strong-form Efficient Market Hypothesis • The strong form argues that the current price of a financial asset already captures all relevant public and private information. • No abnormal returns • Passive portfolio management strategy BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 21 Empirical results • Weak-form Efficient Market Hypothesis testing: Statistical Tests for Independence and Trading tests • Semistrong-form Efficient Market Hypothesis testing: Time series analysis and Event study • Strong-form Efficient Market Hypothesis testing: Insiders, Exchange BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 22 Conclusion • • • • • Securities market structure Roles of securities market Securities market participants Efficient Market Hypothesis Requirements of securities market development BỘ MÔN THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN 23