Conjoint Price Experiments MGMT 63800 - Pricing Strategy & Analysis Federico Rossi Purdue University Daniels School of Business Spring 2024 © Copyright Federico Rossi, 2024 Overview • What is conjoint analysis • Designing a conjoint study for the purposes of pricing decisions-making – It’s an experimental method for measuring EVC – Broadly applicable (consumer goods, services, B2B…) • Applying conjoint output to pricing decisions 1 Conjoint Analysis • Multivariate technique used to understand a consumer’s preferences. • It helps evaluate how customers make tradeoffs between various product attributes • It is based on the premise that consumers evaluate a product/service/idea (real or hypothetical) as a bundle of attributes so that the value/utility associated with it (“total worth”) is obtained by combining the separate amounts of utility provided by each attribute (“part-worths”) Commercial Applications • Technique is widely used by consumer and industrial product companies, service companies, market research, advertising and consulting firms. • Types of applications include: – Consumer durables: automobiles, refrigerators, car stereos, condominiums, food processors, HDTV – Consumer non-durables: bar soaps, hair shampoos, disposable diapers. – Industrial products: copying machines, forklift trucks, computer software, aircraft. – Services: car rentals, credit cards, hotels, performing art series, rural health care systems, local transportation – Other: MBA job choice, Online Dating, Job Search 2 Conjoint Analysis (continued) • Think of Conjoint as a means of calculating the differentiation value in EVC (i.e. worth in $) • The “raw output” of conjoint analysis is: – The value (utility) provided to the customer by each attribute level. Conjoint Analysis: Basic Concepts Total Worth for Product i = Part-worth of level i for factor 1 + Part-worth of level j for factor 2 + … Part-worth of level k for factor m where product has m attributes, each having two or more levels. EXAMPLE of attributes and levels for LAPTOPS: Factor Levels 1 Brand Name Dell, Toshiba, Lenovo 2 Hard Drive 500Gb, 1Tb, 2Tb (e.g. 3 levels) 3 RAM 2Gb, 4Gb, 8Gb 4 Touch-Screen Yes, No 5 Price $800, $1200, $1600 3 Conjoint Analysis: Raw Output Brand Hard Drive RAM Touch Screen Price Attribute Coefficient Intercept Dell Lenovo Toshiba HD-500 Gb HD-1 Tb HD-2 Tb R-2Gb R-4Gb R-8Gb TouchS Yes TouchS No $800 $1200 $1600 1.5 0.3 0.8 0 -0.9 -0.3 0 -0.8 -0.2 0 0.7 0 2.4 1.5 0 Managerial Use of Conjoint After determining the contribution of each attribute to the consumer’s overall evaluation, the marketing researcher could apply the knowledge in the following areas: 1. Product design 2. Forecast New Product Market Share 3. Segmentation and Targeting 4. Pricing 4 Decomposition method • Conjoint analysis is a decomposition method: decompose a choice task over products into values for single attributes – Respondents perform a realistic task – that of providing overall evaluations of products. – These evaluations are used to infer the utilities of individual attributes – Respondents must simultaneously consider both the “good” and the “bad” characteristics of the product in making a judgment. That is, they must make trade-offs. Basic Steps in Conjoint Product – – Which attributes to test How many levels for each attribute Survey Design – – – – Task: Rating, Choice, Rank, Pairwise Comparison, etc. Which product configurations to show Not a “one meeting” process. May require at least a month to develop good design! Professional consultants: e.g. Sawtooth Technologies Consulting Group Collect and Analyze Responses – – – Collect trade-offs Find values for each attribute level so that responses are “rationalized” Make choice predictions In practice, this is a very sophisticated area of marketing research. 5 Example: Golf Balls • We need to determine what features the customer values most, and then include these in the offer • • • Distance Durability Price Example: Golf Balls Attributes and Levels Average Driving Distance 275 yards 250 yards 225 yards Average Ball Life Price 54 holes 36 holes 18 holes $1.25 $1.50 $1.75 Survey Design • Ask ranking of multiple combinations of levels for the three attributes 6 Example: Golf Balls Analysis • The model finds the utility that captures each individual’s trade-off Average Driving Distance 275 yards 100 250 yards 60 225 yards 0 • Average Ball Life 54 holes 36 holes 18 holes 50 25 0 Price $1.25 $1.50 $1.75 20 5 0 Now we can predict the total utility derived from any potential product! Product 1: Distance 275 + Life 18 + Price $1.50 = 100 + 0 + 5 = 105 Product 2: Distance 250 + Life 54 + Price $1.75 = 60 + 50 + 0 = 110 The Utility Model • Utility from alternative j: U j D aj 1 1a D a j2 Utility from level 2 of attribute “b” Dummy for level 2 of attribute “b” 2a ... D bj 1 1b D bj 2 2b ... ... Part-worth for attribute “a” Part-worth for attribute “b” • If j is preferred to i, then it must be Uj > Ui 7 Conjoint Analysis Wrap-up • It is a valuable method for computing the benefit of an offer • Similarly to EVA, measures the benefit of each feature of the offer • Key logic: observe consumers trading-off features to learn their importance • While you may never design a survey or run a conjoint study, you need to understand its logic Additional Resources on Conjoint Analysis • Green, Keieger, Wind (2001), “Thirty Years of Conjoint Analysis,” Interfaces • Page and Rosenbaum (1987), “Redesigning Product Lines With Conjoint Analysis,” J Product Innovation Mgmt • Krieger, Green, Lodish, D’Arcangelo, Rothey, Thirty (2003), “Consumer Evalutions of ‘Really New’ Services: The TrafficPulse System,” Journal of Services Marketing • A library of readable and technical papers at: www.sawtoothsoftware.com 8