Econometrica, Vol. 72, No. 1 (January, 2004), 119-158 SELF-CONTROL AND THE THEORY OF CONSUMPTION BY FARUK GUL AND WOLFGANG PESENDORFER1 To study the behavior of agents who are susceptible to temptation in infinite horizon consumption problems under uncertainty, we define and characterize dynamic self- control (DSC) preferences. DSC preferences are recursive and separable. In economies with DSC agents, equilibria exist but may be inefficient; in such equilibria, steady state consumption is independent of initial endowments and increases in self-control. Increasing the preference for commitment while keeping self-control constant increases the equity premium. Removing nonbinding constraints changes equilibrium allocations and prices. Debt contracts can be sustained even if the only feasible punishment for default is the termination of the contract. KEYWORDS: Self-control, preference for commitment, consumption behavior, timeinconsistency, borrowing constraints, risk premium, sovereign debt. 1. INTRODUCTION IN EXPERIMENTS, SUBJECTS EXHIBIT a reversal of preferences when choosing between a smaller, earlier and a larger, later reward (Kirby and Herrnstein (1995)). The earlier reward is preferred when it offers an immediate payoff whereas the later reward is preferred when both rewards are received with delay. This phenomenon is referred to as time inconsistency and has inspired theoretical work that modifies exponential discounting to allow for disproportionate discounting of the immediate future.2 This paper proposes an alternative approach to incorporate the experimental evidence. We extend our earlier analysis of self-control in two period decision problems (Gul and Pesendorfer (2001)) to an infinite horizon. Our goal is to reconcile the experimental evidence with tractable, dynamically consisten preferences and to apply the resulting model to the analysis of problems in macroeconomics and finance. As an illustration, consider a consumption-savings problem. A consumer faces a constant interest rate r and has wealth b at the beginning of period 1. Each period, the consumer must decide how much to consume of his remaining wealth. Let z(b) denote the corresponding decision problem and let c denote the current consumption choice. Our axioms imply that the consumer has preferences of the form: W(z(b)) = max u(c) + v(c) + 8W(z(b')) - v(b)} ce[O,b] 'We thank Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Per Krusell, and Robert Shimer for their suggestions and advice. We thank four anonymous referees and a co-editor for their comments. This research was supported by grants SES9911177, SES0236882, SES9905178, and SES0214050 from the National Science Foundation and by the Sloan Foundation. 2See, for example, Strotz (1955), Laibson (1997), O'Donoghue and Rabin (1999), Krusell and Smith (1999). 119 This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 120 E GUL AND W. PESENDORFER where u and v are von Neumann-Morgenstern utility func (b- c)(l + r) is the wealth in the next period. These preferen an individual who, every period, is tempted to consume his enti Were he to do so, the term v(c) - v(b) would drop out. When less than his endowment, he incurs the disutility of self-contr The utility function v represents "temptation," that is, the indiv current consumption. Optimal behavior trades-off the temptatio with the long-run self-interest of the individual, represented b main theoretical result of this paper (Theorem 1) is a represent yielding the utility function W above. The preferences developed in this paper depend on what the in sumes and on what he could have consumed. In a simple consum problem with no liquidity constraints, the maximal temptation v tation utility of consuming all current wealth. More generally temptation depends on the set of possible consumption choices f For example, if there are borrowing constraints, the set of poss tion choices will reflect these constraints. To allow a direct dependence of preferences on opportunity sets, we study preferences over decision problems. Building on work by Kreps and Porteus (1978), Epstein and Zin (1989), and Brandenburger and Dekel (1993), we develop the appropriate framework to study infinite horizon decision problems. With the set of decision problems as our domain, we define dynamic self-control (DSC) preferences and derive a utility function for those preferences. The formula above is a special case of this derived utility function. In the literature on dynamic inconsistency, nonrecursive preferences of the form u(cl) + YS 3=2 '-u(c,) are specified for the initial time period (Phelps and Pollak (1968), Laibson (1997)). In addition, it is assumed that the preferences governing behavior in period t are given by u(c,) + jEt=t+ 3t' -'u(c,,). Therefore at time t > 1, the individual's period t preferences differ from his conditional preferences-the preference over continuation plans implied by his first period preferences and choices prior to period t. This preference change is taken as a primitive to derive the individual's desire for commitment. In contrast, we start with preferences that may exhibit a desire for commitment. The description of a "consumption path" includes both the actual consumption and what the individual could have consumed in each period. On this extended space, preferences are recursive and the conditional preferences are the same as period t preferences. Our representation theorem shows that DSC preferences can be interpreted as describing an individual whose temptation utility, v, interferes with his long-run self-interest represented by u + 8W. The consumer uses self-control to mediate between his temptation utility and his long-run self-interest. The recursive structure of our model allows us to apply standard techniques of dynamic programming to find optimal solutions. At the same time, the model is consistent with the type of preference reversal documented in This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 121 the experimental literature. Consider a consumer who must decide smaller reward in period 1 and a larger reward in period 2. Since th ward would lead to a larger consumption in the decision period, th incurs a self-control cost when opting for the later reward. Now c situation where the earlier reward is for period t > 1 and the later t + 1. Since the decision is taken in period 1, the choice does not a sumption in the decision period and therefore the later reward ca without incurring a self-control cost. Thus, the agent's behavior a recursive when we only observe his consumption choices. Our framework is rich enough to accommodate the infinite horizo tic dynamic programming problems central to macroeconomics an economics. Techniques developed in those areas can be applied to D ences to explore how self-control and preference for commitment conclusions of standard (macro)economic models. Section 5 contain tions of DSC preferences to competitive economies. In Section 5.1, a deterministic exchange economy with DSC preferences. We give under which a competitive equilibrium exists and find that in gener itive equilibria are not Pareto efficient. We also examine steady sta and show that with DSC preferences the steady state distribution o independent of the initial wealth distribution. In Section 5.2, we o removing constraints that are not binding given the original equilib tions and prices, may change these allocations and prices. In Section alyze a simple stochastic exchange economy and find that (under assumptions on u and v) increasing the preference for commitme the predicted premium of risky over safe assets. Section 6 explor compatible debt contracts. If the only punishment for default is exc future borrowing, then standard preferences imply that there are compatible debt contracts (Bulow and Rogoff (1989)). In contrast, preferences, "natural" debt contracts turn out to be incentive comp 2. STATIONARY SELF-CONTROL PREFERENCES Consider a decision-maker (DM) who must take an action in every period t = 1, 2,.... Each action results in a consumption for that period and constrains future actions. The standard approach to this problem is to define preferences for the DM over sequences of consumption realizations. This standard approach excludes preferences that depend not only on outcomes but also on what could have been chosen. Such a direct dependence on the opportunity set is natural in a context where individuals suffer from self-control problems. To allow for preferences to depend on opportunity sets we make decision problems the domain of our preferences. Let C denote the compact metric space of possible consumptions in each period. An infinite-horizon consumption problem (IHCP) is a set of choices, each of which yields a consumption c E C for the current period and an infinite horizon problem starting next This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 122 F GUL AND W. PESENDORFER period. Choices may yield a random consumption and continuati Hence, an IHCP is a set of probability measures where each reali a consumption today and a continuation IHCP. Let Z be the set of IHCPs. Each z E Z can be identified with set of probability measures on C x Z. For any compact metri A(X) denote the set of probability measures on X and let IC(X) d of nonempty compact subsets of X. We endow A(X) with the we and note that A(X) is compact and metrizable.3 We endow 1C Hausdorff topology which implies that /C(X) is a compact metri domain of preferences Z can be identified with IC(A(C x Z)). shows that Z is well-defined and a compact metric space. We use x, y, or z to denote elements of Z. When there is no risk of we write A instead of A(C x Z). We use JL, v, or r7 to denote el A lottery that yields the current consumption c and the continua z with certainty is denoted (c, z). For a E [0, 1], let a/,t + (1 - a)v E A be the measure that ass (1 - a)v(A) to each A in the Borel o--algebra of C x Z. Similarly, :a= {ua/ + (1 - a)v I , E x, v E y} for a E [0, 1] denotes the convex of x and y. A preference is denoted >. We make the following familiar ass preferences. AXIOM 1 (Preference Relation): >- is a complete and transitive bin AXIOM 2 (Continuity): The sets {x I x >- z} and {x I z > x} are cl We say that the function W: Z -> R represents the preference > iff W(x) > W(y). Axioms 1 and 2 imply that > may be represente tinuous function W. A standard DM evaluates a set of options by its best element. Adding options to the set can never make such a DM worse off. Thus, if x > y, then the best option in x is preferred to the best option in y and hence (*) x>y = xUy x. Axioms 1, 2, together with (*), imply that there tion U such that W(x) := max,,, U(Iu) represen 3See Parthasarathy (1970). 4See Brown and Pearcy (1995, p. 222). 5This observation is due to Kreps (1979) who provides the our setting, note that Axiom 2 ensures that the restriction preference relation on A. Hence there is a continuous utility relation. For finite x, y we conclude that x > y iff maxx u(t Porteus argument. To extend the representation to arbitrary of u in the compact set x. Note that for finite subsets y, y Continuity (in the Hausdorff topology) then implies x - y. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 123 and (*) yield a standard DM. In contrast, a DM who is susceptible to tion may prefer a smaller set of options to a larger set. That is, he m preference for commitment. DEFINITION: The preference >- has apreference for commitment at is x c z such that x >- z. When {,t} >- {/a, v} - {v} the DM is worse off when v is availab addition, derives no benefit from the availability of ,It. We interpre situation where the DM succumbs to the temptation presented by v. When {I}t >- {t, v} > {v) the DM derives benefit from the availabili in spite of the presence of v. We interpret this as a situation where a temptation but the DM exercises costly self-control and choose presence of v. More generally, we interpret x > x U y >- y as a situat the DM has self-control. Theorem 3 (Section 3) shows that, within th of preferences analyzed here, this definition agrees with the everyda of the term "self-control" as the ability to resist temptation. DEFINITION: The preference > has self-control at z if there are sub with x U y = z and x > z > y. Axiom 3 allows both a preference for commitment and self-contro AXIOM 3 (Set Betweenness): x > y implies x > x U y > y. Our next objective is to characterize preferences that have self-co a stationary, separable representation. A singleton set represents a where the DM has no choice. Hence, we refer to the restriction of > gleton sets as the commitment ranking. The following axiom ensures commitment ranking satisfies von Neumann-Morgenstern's indepen iom. AXIOM 4 (Independence): {u} >- {v}, a e (0, 1) implies {axuC + (1 {av + (1 - a)r}. Recall that (c, z) denotes a lottery that returns the consumption c in the current period and the continuation problem z. Axiom 5 requires that the correlation between the current consumption and the continuation problem does not affect preferences. The axiom considers two lotteries: pu = (c, z) + (c', z') returns either the consumption c together with the continuation problem z or the consumption c' together with the continuation problem z'; v = (c, z') + (c', z) returns either the consumption c together with the continuation problem z' or the consumption c' together with the continuation problem z. The axiom requires the DM to be indifferent between {,u} and {v}. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 124 E GUL AND W. PESENDORFER AXIOM 5 (Separability): {(c, z) + \(c', z')} {(c, z') + {(c', z)}. Axiom 6 requires preferences to be stationary. Consider the lotterie (c, y) each leading to the same consumption in the current period. T requires that {(c, x)} is preferred to {(c, y)} if and only if the contin problem x is preferred to the continuation problem y. AXIOM 6 (Stationarity): {(c, x)} > {(c, y)1 iffx > y. Axiom 7 requires the individual to be indifferent to the timing of r of uncertainty. In the standard model this indifference is implicit i sumption that the domain of preferences is the set of lotteries over c tion paths. The richer domain used in this paper permits agents who indifferent to the timing of resolution of uncertainty.6 Since our pur focus on temptation and self-control, we rule out preference for earl resolution of uncertainty. To understand Axiom 7, consider the lotteries pL = a(c, x) + (1 - and v = (c, ax + (1 - a)y). The lottery JL returns the consumption c t with the continuation problem x with probability a and the consump with the continuation problem y with probability 1 - a. In contrast, v c together with the continuation problem ax + (1 - a)y with prob Hence, Au resolves the uncertainty about x and y in the current period v resolves this uncertainty in the future. If {(/} {v}, then the DM is in as to the timing of the resolution of uncertainty. AXIOM 7 (Indifference to Timing): {a(c, x) + (1 - a)(c, y)} - (1 - a)y)}. Axiom 8 requires that two alternatives, v, qr, offer the same tempt they have the same marginal over current consumption. For any p.L Z), .'l denotes its marginal on the first coordinate (current consump pA2 its marginal on the second coordinate (the continuation problem). AXIOM 8 (Temptation by Immediate Consumption): v1 = rT, {pu} > {v} and {(p} > {( , r/} > {1r} implies {/, v} - {/, r1}. To understand Axiom 8, recall that {(Ju > {(,, v} > {v} represents a s where the DM is tempted by v but uses self-control and chooses /u. Si 6The domain of preferences used here is closely related to the domain of preferenc Kreps and Porteus (1978). Their "descriptive approach" defines preferences on the fin analogue of A, that is, lotteries over current consumption and continuation problems f period. They use this framework to analyze agents that may have a preference for ea resolution of uncertainty. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 125 {uL} > {1/, r} >- {rj} means that the DM is tempted by 77 but chooses both situations lead to the same choice. According to Axiom 8, if vi the DM is indifferent between the two situations and hence experi same temptation in both situations. We call a preference "degenerate" if it never benefits from addit tions. Thus > is degenerate if for every IHCP x and y, x > x U y. DEFINITION: The preference >- is nondegenerate if there exists x that y c x and x > y. Theorem 1 provides a recursive and separable representation of n erate preferences that satisfy Axioms 1-8. THEOREM 1: If the nondegenerate preference >- satisfies Axioms there is some 8 E (0, 1), continuous functions u, v : C -- R, and a c function W that represents >- such that W(z) := max (u(c+ () + W(z'))d(c, z') z E -max f v(c)dv(c, z') for all z E Z. Conversely, for any 5 E (0, 1), continuous u, v : C -X R, there is a unique continuous function W that satisfies the equation above and the preference it represents satisfies Axioms 1-8. PROOF: See Appendix. Note that if W satisfies the equation in Theorem 1 for some 8, u, v, then the preference represented by W is continuous only if W is continuous. Therefore, by Theorem 1 above, there is a unique preference that satisfies Axioms 1-8 for any 5 E (0, 1) and continuous u, v. Theorem 1 extends our earlier representation for two-period decision problems. To see the relationship to the earlier work, note that Axioms 4, 6, and 7 imply the following, stronger version of the independence axiom:7 AXIOM 4*: x > y, a e (0, 1) implies ax + (1 - a)z > ay + (1 -a)z.8 7To see this, note that x > y implies {(c, x)} >- {(c, y)} by Axiom 6. Axiom 4 then implies {a(c, x) + (1 - a)(c, z) >- {a(c, y) + (1 - a)(c, z)} and by Axiom 7 {(c, ax + (1 - a)z)} > {(c, ay + (1 - a)z)}. Applying Axiom 6 again then yields the desired conclusion. Note that Axiom 4* applied to singleton sets yields Axiom 4. 8This axiom was first used by Dekel, Lipman, and Rustichini (2001) in their analysis of prefer- ences over sets of lotteries. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 126 E GUL AND W. PESENDORFER In Gul and Pesendorfer (2001) we show that Axioms 1-3 and 4* im the preference can be represented by a utility function W of the for W(z) = max{U(,L) + V(/u)} - max V(v) IIEZ vEZ where W, U, establish that (1) U(I) = an U f(u(c) V() = f v(c)dl(c, z). To explain the role of the axioms, we outline the main steps in the proo equation (1). Axiom 5 implies that U is separable, that is, U(t/)= - (u(c) + W(z'))dt(c, z') for some u and W. By Axiom 6, W must represent the same preference a that is, W(x) > W(y) if and only if W(x) > W(y). Axiom 7 implies that linear, i.e., W(ax + (1 - ay)) = aW(x) + (1 - a)W(y). Since W is linear, uniqueness of von Neumann-Morgenstern utility functions implies that 3 + 6W for some 3, 6 E R, 5 > 0. Let x, y be two IHCPs that offer commitment to the consumption c i first T periods. The IHCP x yields the continuation problem x' in p T + 1 whereas y yields the continuation problem y' in period T + 1. If W not constant, we may choose x', y' so that W(x') 7 W(y'). Note that x as T -> o and hence continuity requires that 6T+I(W(x') - W(y')) -T -+ oo. Clearly, this implies that 6 < 1. We conclude that U(,) = f(u 5W(y))d1u(c, y) for some u: C --- R and 8 E (0, 1). Axiom 8 considers a situation where W(t{L, v}) = U(/z) + V(Iu) - V(v W({u, 7r}) = U(Lu) + V(yt) - V(q) and requires that W({,, v}) = W({I-, when ,tL and v yield the same current consumption. But this implie V(v) = V(rl) when v and 7r yield the same current consumption and V(v) = f v(c)dv(c, z) for some v: C -- RI. Nondegeneracy is used to establ the existence of the alternatives VL, v, r7 with the desired properties. Not Axiom 8 is only used to establish the particular form of the temptation u Without it and without the nondegeneracy assumption, we would get an ogous representation with an unrestricted linear temptation utility V: A We refer to nondegenerate preferences that satisfy Axioms 1-8 as dyna self-control (DSC) preferences. If some W of the form given in Theorem represents the preference relation >-, we refer to the corresponding (u, as a representation of >- and sometimes as the preference (u, v, 8). This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 12 SELF-CONTROL The next result establishes that the representation provided in The unique in the sense that (u, v, 8) and (u', v', 8') represent the same if and only 8 = 8', and u', v' are a common affine transformation of is, (u) for (u) (--u) some a > 0, fu, /3 E R. THEOREM 2: Let (u, v, 5) be (u', v', 8') also represents > if such that u' = au + 3u and v' A DSC preference is nondeg constant, the DM is indiffer of v yields the same preferen 3. CHOICE BEHAVIOR AND INTERPRETATION The function W represents the agent's preference over decision problems. It is analogous to the indirect utility function in static demand theory or the value function in a dynamic programming problem. Period 0 choices among IHCP's maximize W. Hence, in period 0 the agent chooses y over x if W(y) > W(x). In period 1, the agent must choose an alternative ,u from a decision problem x. To simplify the notation below, let E [f] denote the expectation of the (Borel measurable) function f: C x Z ---> R with respect to /z, i.e., E[f] := f (c, z)dtL(c, z). We assume that the agent's utility from choosing /L E x is (2) U(/t) + V(/u) - max V() = E,[u r7EX + v + 8W] - maxE,[v]. r]ex Note that the agent chooses maxE, [u + v The indicated sentation asse were behaving main of pref problems. Thi This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 128 E GUL AND W. PESENDORFER from decision problems. In Gul and Pesendorfer (2001) we provid extension and give conditions that ensure that the DM indeed behav gested by the representation. Here, we simply assume that the DM be this way. Expression (2) extends the agent's utility function to period t > 1 choices in a dynamically consistent manner. This means that from the perspective of any period t, choices in periods t' < t were made optimally and choices in periods t' > t will be made optimally. For example, assume that W({ft}) > W({,u, v}) but E,[u + v + 8W] > E,[u + v + 8W]. This implies that the agent would have been better-off if alternative v were eliminated from his choice set but never- theless chooses v from {ju, v} in period 1. This apparent inconsistency is reconciled by allowing the utility to depend on the decision problem. The utility of choosing jA from {t} is E,[u + v + 8W] - maxE[v] = E,[u + 8W]. When Ej[v] > E,[v] the utility of choosing A from {,/, v} is E,[u + v + 8W] - max Ej[v] = E+[u + 8W] - (E,[v] - E,[v]) and the utility of choosing v from {,J, v} is E,[u + v + 8W] - max E [v] = E,[u + 8W]. nE{IA, v} We interpret the direct dependence of welfare on the decision problem as capturing an agent who struggles with temptations. An agent facing the IHCP {[A} is committed to choosing /u and hence experiences no temptation. When the agent chooses ,u from {,u, v} he must exercise costly self-control because v presents a temptation. The cost of self-control is given by E,[v] - E,[v]. When this cost is large enough, the optimal behavior is to succumb to the temptation presented by v. An alternative interpretation would be to assert a change in the agent's prefer- ence between periods. According to this interpretation, each period is occupied by a distinct decision-maker with an independent utility function governing choice. The period 0 utility of decision problem x is W(x) and period t > 1 utility of ,L E x is E,[u + v + 8W]. According to this interpretation, welfare in period t > 1 depends only on the choice ,t and is otherwise independent of the decision problem. We adopt the dynamically consistent interpretation for the following reason. The period 0 preference suggests that the agent wishes to avoid temptations even if they do not alter the choice. For example, if E,[u + v + 8W] > Ej[u + v + 8W] and E [v] > E [v] the agent would be better off if v were eliminated from the set {,u, v} even though he chooses /L from {/z, v} in period 1. We see no reason why this dependence of welfare on the decision problem should This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 129 suddenly disappear as we change periods. The changing tastes interp assumes a choice-problem independence of welfare that seems to con the very premise of a model of self-control. To use an analogy from a more familiar setting, consider a decisio who must choose between apple and banana in periods 0 and 1. The pr is (apple, banana) >- (banana, banana) >- (banana, apple) > (apple, apple) Hence, in period 1 the agent always chooses banana. How would the agent rank (apple, banana) and (banana, banana) in period 1? Advocates of the 'changing tastes' view could argue that because in period 1 the agent always chooses the banana, he has no taste for variety in period 1. As a result, (banana, banana) is preferred to (apple, banana) in period 1. By contrast, the standard interpretation asserts the same ranking of pairs for both periods. After all, the period 0 ranking of pairs suggests that the agent has a preference for variety as long as banana is chosen in period 1 and period 1 behavior offers no evidence contradicting this preference. We feel similarly about preference for commitment. If in period 0 the agent chooses y c x over x, then the period 1 choice behavior provides no evidence that the agent would not prefer commitment to y also in period 1. Hence, we see no reason to assert a change in preference.9 Our model assumes that period 0 is "special" in the sense that it is a period prior to the experience of temptation. Choices in all other periods are potentially affected by temptations. This suggests that correct identification of the parameters of our model requires a correct specification of period 0. However, immediate temptation together with stationarity allows us to circumvent this issue and treat any period as "period 0" as long as we hold consumption in that period fixed. Assume that the agent faces the decision problem x = {/,, v} where ,u = (c, y), v = (c, z). Hence, the agent must choose between two alternatives that both yield the consumption c in period 1 but differ in the decision problem starting in period 2.10 The agent chooses (c, x) from z if u(c) + v(c) + 8W(x) > u(c) + v(c) + 8W(y), 9There is a close connection between our dynamically consistent interpretation and Machina's (1989) dynamically consistent interpretation of non-expected utility preferences. The "changing tastes" interpretation is analogous to the consequentialist view in Machina (1989). The changing tastes interpretation views period t > 0 preferences as situation-independent. The consequentialists in Machina (1989) view preferences to be history independent. In the case of non-expected utility, the two views imply different behavior. In our case, the distinction is more subtle. While period t > 0 behavior is the same, the two approaches differ when the welfare implications of policies are evaluated. 10Recall that (c, x) denotes a lottery that yields the consumption c and the continuation problem x with probability 1. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 130 F GUL AND W. PESENDORFER which is equivalent to W(x) > W(y). Since W represents the period 0 preference it follows that the period 1 choice among alternatives of the form (c, x), (c, y) reveals the period 0 preference between x and y. Therefore, we can interpret period 0 simply as any period in which consumption is unaffected by the individual's choice. When a decision problem offers commitment to a particular choice [L, the agent's utility is W({/}u) = E,[u + 8W]. Therefore, we refer to u + 8W as the commitment utility of A. We refer to El[v] as the temptation utility of /L. The DM prefers y c x to x only if max,,x E, [v] > max,, E,[v]. Hence, commitment to y is desirable because x contains alternatives that are more tempting than the most tempting element of y. Section 2 provided a definition of self-control based on the period 0 pref- erence over decision problems. Here we provide an alternative definition based on choice behavior in period 1. If the agent chooses an alternative / from x = ({L, v} and E,[v] < Ev[v], it means that he did not choose the most tempting alternative. In other words, the agent exercised self-control. For any (Borel measurable) function f:C x Z -R> , let C(z, f) := {t E z I E[f] > E,[f] for all v E z}. Hence, the set C(z, u + v + 8W) denotes the choices from z whereas C(z, v) denotes the set of most tempting alternatives in z. The agent exercises self-control if C(z, v) C(z, u + v+ 8W) = 0. Theorem 3 below shows that for DSC preferences our definition of self-control based on period 0 preference (given in Section 2) is equivalent to the definition of self-control based on behavior in period t = 1. THEOREM 3 (Gul and Pesendorfer (2001)): The DSCpreference (u, v, 8) has self-control at z if and only if C(z, v) n C(z, a + v + 8W) = 0. PROOF: See Theorem 2 of Gul and Pesendorfer (2001). 4. PREFERENCE REVERSAL Experimental evidence on time preference has been the main motivation for research on preference for commitment. In a typical experiment a subjec is asked to choose between a smaller, period t reward and a larger, period t + reward. Subjects tend to resolve this trade-off differently depending on whe the decision is made. In particular, if the decision is made in period t, then th smaller period t reward is chosen, whereas the larger period t + 1 reward tend to be chosen when the decision is made in period t- 1 or earlier. (See, fo example, Kirby and Herrnstein (1995).) The example below demonstrates that such a reversal is consistent with DSC preferences. Suppose there is one good and C = [0,1]. Further assume that u and v are increasing. To translate the experimental setting into our notation we describ decision problems in which the agent makes exactly one choice between a pe riod t reward a and a period t + 1 reward /3 and is otherwise committed to This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 131 a fixed consumption. First, consider the case where this decision is period t. Let zo denote the IHCP in which the only option is to each period and let z := {(c + /3, zo)} denote the IHCP in which t is committed to a "reward" 3 > 0 in the initial period and the consu thereafter. The decision problem z := {(c, z), (c + a, zo)} with 3 > a > 0 describes the period t choice between a reward a in period t and a reward /3 > a in period t + 1. Next, consider the case where the decision between the period t reward a and the period t + 1 reward /3 is made in period t - 1. In that case, the decision problem is z' {(c, {(c, z c)}), (c, (c + a, Zo)}). Note that both choices from z' lead to the consumption c in the decision period. The two alternatives are distinguished by the implied period t decision problems. The reward a implies the period t decision problem {(c + a, zo)} whereas the reward 3 implies the period t decision problem {(c, z6)}. Even though z and z' describe the same intertemporal trade-off, they constitute different decision problems because the decision is made at a different date. From the decision problem z, the agent chooses the earlier reward a if u(c + a) + 8W(zo) > u(c) + v(c) - v(c + a) + 8W(zp). When the agent chooses (c + a, z0) from z, he incurs no self-control cost, whereas when the agent chooses (c, zp) from z, he incurs a self-control cost Sa := v(c + a) - v(c). Let Dy := u(c + y) - u(c) be the utility gain associated with the reward y E {a, /3}. Substituting u(c + /3) + 8W(zo) for W(z,) we can simplify the above inequality to establish that the DM will choose the smaller, earlier reward a if Sa > SD3 - Da. Now consider the decision problem z'. From z' the agent chooses the reward a if u(c) + 8u(c + a) + 82W(zo) > u(c) + 8U(c) + 82W(zO). In this case, the agent experiences no self-control costs with either choice because the decision does not affect consumption in the decision period. Substituting for W(zp), the above inequality simplifies to 0 > 8Dp - D,. We observe a "preference reversal" if Sa > D, - D, > 0. When both of the inequalities above hold, the smaller, earlier reward is chosen if the reward can be consumed immediately, that is, in the decision-period. But, if the decision is made earlier, the larger, later reward is chosen. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 132 F. GUL AND W. PESENDORFER 5. MEASURES OF PREFERENCE FOR COMMITMENT AND SELF-CONTROL In this section, we introduce measures that allow us to compare the prefer- ence for commitment and the self-control of decision-makers. These measures are based on similar concepts in Gul and Pesendorfer (2001). The versions here are weaker to facilitate the analysis of the applications considered in the next section."1 To distinguish between differences in impatience and differences in preference for commitment (or self-control) we compare agents' behavior in decision problems that involve no intertemporal trade-offs. The IHCP z is intertemporally inconsequential if every choice tu E z has the same marginal over continuation problems. Recall that for ,u E A(C x Z), u' denotes the marginal on C (current consumption) and /.2 denotes the marginal on Z (continuation prob- lem). DEFINITION: z is intertemporally inconsequential (II) if, for every gu, v c z, . 2 = V2. Let Zll denote the set of all intertemporally inconsequential IHCPs. The definition below presents a comparative measure of preference for com- mitment and of self-control. DEFINITION: The preference > has more instantaneous preference for commitment [self-control] than >_2 if, for every z E Zn,, >2 has preference for commitment [self-control] at z implies >1 has preference for commitment [self-control] at z. The preferences >- and >2 have the same instantaneous preference for commitment [self-control] if > has more instantaneous preference commitment [self-control] than >_2 and >_2 has more instantaneous preference for commitment [self-control] than >- i. Our objective is to characterize these measures in terms of the representation (u, v, 8). This characterization assumes that the preferences are regular. A DSC preference >- with representation (u, v, 8) is regular if v / au + /3 for any ac, 3 E IR. Consider two regular preferences i> with representations (u,, vi, 5i), i = 1, 2. Let z = (tu, v} E Z1, be such that E,[ul] > Ej[ul]. Note that this implies E,[u + 8W] > EV[u + 8W] because ,L and v lead to the same marginal over continuation problems. Therefore, if >_ has no preference for commitment at z, then it must be that E,[vl] > E1[vl]. Now suppose that there are nonnegative ' These versions are weaker because they compare choices from a restricted set (intertemporally inconsequential) of IHCPs. The restriction necessitates the stronger regularity assumption below. In the Appendix, we refer to the weaker assumption of Gul and Pesendorfer (2001) as regular*. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 133 constants au, ac,, p, f, and constants yu, yv such that U2 = Cu1 + avVl + Yu, V2 = I+uul + f3v1 + ?v' It follows that E,[u2] > EV[u2] and E [v2] > Ej[v2] and hence >2 has no preference for commitment at x. Theorem 4 in Appendix C demonstrates that this condition is necessary and sufficient for >1 to have more preference for commitment than _2- An analogous result characterizes our measure of self-control. Consider z = {/z, v} E Z1, with E,[U1 + v1] > Ej[u1 + vl]. Then, ,u is the optimal choice from z. If >1 has no self-control at x, then it must be that p/ is at least as tempting as v and hence E,[v1] > Ej[v1]. Now suppose that there are nonnegative constants au, cY, /3l, 8 and constants yu, Yv such that U2 + v2 = a,(ul + + ) + avl1 + Yu, V2 = 1u(u1 + v1) + P3VV + Yv. It follows that E,[U2 + v2] > EV[u2 + v2] and E,,[v2] > Ei[v2]. Therefore, >2 has no self-control at z. Theorem 5 in Appendix C demonstrates that this condition is necessary and sufficient for >- to have more self-control than >2. The following corollary analyzes situations where decision-makers either have the same preference for commitment and differ with respect to their self- control or have the same self-control and differ with respect to their preference for commitment. Since we only make instantaneous comparisons in this paper, henceforth, without risk of confusion we say "preference for commitment" and "self-control" rather than "instantaneous preference for commit- ment" and "instantaneous self-control." COROLLARY 1: Let ,i, i = 1, 2, be regular DSCpreferences and let (ul, v1, 1 ) be a representation of >1. Then: (i) >-1 and >_2 have the same preference for commitment and >1 has more self-control than _2 if and only if there exist y > 1 and 82 E (0, 1) such that (ul, yv1, 62) represents >2; (ii) >1 and >2 have the same self-control and >2 has more preference for commitment than 1I if and only if there exist y > 1 and 82 such that (u1 + (1 - y)vi, yv1, 52) is a representation of >2. PROOF: See Appendix. Part (i) of the corollary says that keeping u constant and changing v to yv for some y > 1 is equivalent to a decrease in self-control without changing preference for commitment. Part (ii) of the corollary says that keeping u + v constant and changing v to yv for some y > 1 is equivalent to increasing preference for commitment without changing self-control. We utilize this observation in our analysis of competitive equilibria. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 134 E GUL AND W. PESENDORFER 6. COMPETITIVE ECONOMIES In this section, we present examples of competitive economies with c sumers who have DSC preferences. There are n consumers, i E {1, ..., n} with a DSC preference (Ui, vi, 5i). We assume that each preference is re that is, vi is not an affine transformation of ui. This ensures that we can the results of Corollary 1 when using the comparative measures of prefe for commitment and self-control. We also assume the functions ui and vi are strictly increasing; vi is convex and continuously differentiable; ui + vi is concave and continuously differentiable. The curvature assumptions imply that the temptation utility is risk neutral or risk loving and the commitment utility is risk neutral or risk averse. These assumptions ensure that the maximization problems below have concave objective functions. In terms of behavior, a risk loving temptation utility implies that the consumer is tempted by instantaneous gambles, that is, gambles that yield consumption in the current period. Since ui + vi is assumed to be concave, this temptation does not lead to risk loving behavior. There are L physical goods, indexed by I E {1,..., L}; the consumption in each period is contained in the compact set C where C := {c E IRL+ 0 cl < k} for some k > 0. 6.1. Deterministic Exchange Economies We first consider a deterministic exchange economy with complete mar- kets. Consumers take prices as given and must choose a consumption vector each period subject to an intertemporal budget constraint. Consumer i has endowment ti = (wci, ..., i, .. .). Endowments are bounded away from zero, that is, there is an s > 0 such that (it > e for all i, t, 1. We denote with w) = (Cw1, ..., (w,) the vector of endowments. The sequence p = (p, ..., Pt,...) E (RfIL+)? denotes the prices. For a given price p we now define the decision problem of a consumer. Let b > 0 denote the consumer's wealth at the start of period t. The consumer must choose (c, b') in the budget set Bt(p, b) := {(c, b') I cp + b' = b, c E C, b' >0}. The corresponding IHCP is denoted by X,(p, b) and defined recursively as xt(p, b) = {(c, xt+,(p, b')) I (c, b') E B(p, b)}. For a consumer with DSC preference (ui, vi, 8i), the utility of the IHCP Xt(p, b) is: WI(xt(p, b)) = max {ui(c)+ vi(c) + 8AiW(x+l(p, b')) - max vi(c) (c,b')EBt(p,b) (c,b')cBt(p,b) = max {(ui(c) +vi(c) + 5iW(xt+(p,b'))} - max vi(c). (c,b')Bt( p,b) {c\ptc<b} This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 135 Hence, given the prices p and wealth b1, the consumer will choose (ct, bt+1) that solves (3) max ui(ct) + vi(ct) + jSiW(xt+1(p, btr+)). (Ct,bt+l )EBt(p,bt) Let ci = (c1i, ..., cti,...) denote consumer i's consumption choices. Note that when a consumer chooses a feasible ci, the corresponding b2, b3, ..., are determined uniquely. We say that ci is optimal for consumer i at prices p and wealth b1 if ci solves (3). The vector c = (c1, ..., c,) denotes an allocation for the economy. For the special case of one physical good (L = 1) the following first order condition must hold for all t > 1 at an interior solution of (3): (4) u,(c,) + v(ct) = 5p (u'(ct,+l) + v'(ct+l) - v,(b,+l/p,+l)). Pt+1i To get an intuition for equation (4) suppose the consumer reduces consumption in period t by a small amount to finance a corresponding increase in consumption in period t + 1. The left-hand side represents the (temptation and commitment) utility loss due to the reduction in period t consumption. The term (5pt/(pt+l))(u'(ct+l) + v'(ct+l)) represents the (temptation and commitment) utility gain due to the increase in period t + 1 consumption. The reduction in period t consumption increases the wealth in period t + 1. Therefore, the most tempting consumption choice in period t + 1 changes as a result of the reduction in period t consumption. The term (6pt/(pt+l))v (bt+l/pt+l) represents the increase in the temptation utility of the most tempting choice in period t + 1. This term has a negative sign since it increases the cost of selfcontrol. It is this last term that distinguishes DSC preferences from standard time separable utility functions. DEFINITION: The pair (p, c) is an equilibrium for the economy ((ui, vi, 8i), 1i)i= if (i) for all i, ci is optimal a ~n PROPOSITION 1: An equilibrium for th PROOF: See Appendix. To examine the welfare properties of ate notion of efficiency. Recall that a consumption but also on the possible fore, the definition of admissible int the definition of Pareto efficiency m of consumption but also the ways in This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 136 E GUL AND W. PESENDORFER set of feasible choices for consumers. If, for example, the social plan impose arbitrary restrictions on choice sets, then he can improve wel ply by restricting the consumers' choice sets to the singleton set containin the equilibrium allocation. We assume that the planner may re-allocate resources or change pr cannot put additional restrictions on the feasible choices of consumer the consumers' decision problem in period t must be of the form Xt(p some price vector p and some wealth b. Since we permit a limited set ventions for the planner we obtain a weak notion of Pareto efficiency show that competitive equilibria with a representative DSC consumer even this weak notion of efficiency. DEFINITION: The pair (p, c) is admissible if, for all i, ci is optimal at wealth p . ci, and if E 1 ci< =o1 oi. An admissible pair (p, c) is Par mal if there is no admissible (p', c') with Wi(xl(p', p' . c')) > WJ(xl(p, for all i. The following example demonstrates that a competitive equilibrium be Pareto optimal. EXAMPLE: Consider an economy with two physical goods and a rep tive consumer. The utility function is given by u(c1, c2) = log c1 - Acl v(c1, c2) = Acl. The consumption set is C = [0, 2]2, the endowment is every period, and A E (0, 1). Consider a policy where the planner con (and destroys) 8 > 0 units of good 1 in every period. For E small, thi increases the consumer's welfare. More detailed calculations can be found in Appendix D. Here we provide the intuition. Recall that the cost of self-control in period 1 is the equilibrium value of the temptation utility A(1 - 8) minus the maximal temptation utility. The maximal temptation utility is achieved by converting all wealth into current consumption of good 1. In equilibrium, the reduction in the endowment of good 1 has two effects: first it decreases the equilibrium consumption of good 1, and second it increases the price of good 1. The first effect reduces welfare while the second effect increases welfare by re- ducing the number of units of good 1 the consumer can afford in period 1 and hence reducing the cost of self-control. For the particular functional forms we have chosen, the second effect dominates the first. Note that the government could also levy a tax on good 1 and use the proceeds to buy (and destroy) good 1. This policy is equivalent to the confiscation policy and hence the example shows that such a tax policy may be welfare improving. 6.2. Steady State Equilibria Next, we examine steady state equilibria of a particular class of deterministic exchange economies. We assume that there is one physical good, i.e., L = 1, This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 137 and that consumers share a common discount factor 8. In addition, sumers have the same preference for commitment but may differ in control. By Corollary 1 this implies that there is (u, v, 8) and (A1, ... Ai > 0 such that i's preferences are given by (u, Aiv, 6). If Ai > Aj, more self-control than i. In a steady state equilibrium each consumer's consumption is constant over time and prices are characterized by a fixed interest rate r. Clearly, for an economy to have a steady state equilibrium, the aggregate endowment must be constant over time. Let ct E C be the aggregate endowment in any period and let pr := (1, (1 + r)-',..., (1 + r)-, ...) be the price sequence corresponding to the interest rate r. The interest rate r and the consumption vector (cl, ..., c1) E C' are a steady state equilibrium for the aggregate endowment c. e C if (i) I=' ci = ~o and (ii) (pr, c) where ci = (ci, ..., c, ...) is an equilibrium for the economy with endowments c. Proposition 2 shows that to each aggregate endowment there is a unique steady state equilibrium. Hence, steady state allocations are uniquely determined by the aggregate resources and the DSC preferences. PROPOSITION 2: Suppose that u + A,v is strictly concave for all i and limc,,(u'(c) + v'(c)) -- oo. Then, there is a unique steady state equilibrium (r, cl, . . cI) for every aggregate endowment Z. Moreover, ci > cj iff Ai < Aj, that is, consumer i's steady state consumption is higher than consumer j's if and only if i has more self-control than j. PROOF: See Appendix. Note that the conditions of Proposition 2 guarantee an interior solution to the consumer's maximization problem. Therefore, equation (4) implies that if (r, cl, ... cl) is a steady state equilibrium, then (4') (6(1 + r) - 1)(u'(ci) + v'(ci)) = 8(1 + r)v.(ci(1 + r)/r), where ci(1 + r)/r is the (constant) wealth of consumer i in terms of consump- tion. Since v' > 0 we must have 8(1 + r) > 1. The concavity of ui + vi and the convexity of vi imply that to each interest rate r with 8(1 + r) > 1 there is a unique ci consistent with equation (4'). The uniqueness of the steady state then follows from the fact that a higher interest rate implies a higher steady state consumption for all consumers. For standard consumers with vi = 0 the steady state interest rate satisfies 8(1 + r) = 1. In that case, any consumption ci satisfies equation (4') and hence there are many possible steady state equilibria for any aggregate endowment. By contrast, aggregate endowment and the distribution of preferences uniquely determine the steady state in an exchange economy with DSC preferences. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 138 F GUL AND W. PESENDORFER As an example, let u(c) = logc and v(c) = c. In tha 1 +Aic = (1 + r). Setting yi = 1/Ai, the unique solution to these equations and the aggregate resource constraint is cE and 1+r= - . Hence, a mean preserving spread in the yi changed but result in greater inequality in an increase in 7o, the aggregate endowmen but lead to an increase in the steady state in DSC preferences have the feature that the tween consumption in period t and t + 1 de in period t + 1 and hence on the consumer' DSC preferences have similar implications functions introduced by Uzawa (1968) and models, the marginal rate of substitution b pend on the consumption in all periods t' > in period t + 1. 6.3. Borrowing Constraints In this section we illustrate the effect of rium consumption and prices. Consider th istic exchange economy with one physical g identical preferences (u, Av, 8) where Ac2 Ac2 u(c) =c- -22 v(c) 2' = with 8 > a, ment is 3 every (Olt = 21 if t even. 3 A -2 E (0 per = | 2 When there are no borrowing constraints this economy has a unique equili rium in which both consumers consume 3/2 in all but the first period. To s this, let Ct denote the maximally feasible consumption of consumer i in p riod t. The first order condition for consumer i's maximization problem (eq This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 139 SELF-CONTROL tion (4), substituting cit+1 for bit+l/pt+l) implies (4") 1= P 8(1-Acit+). Pt+l In equilibrium, the first order condition (4") can only be satisfied fo sumers if C1t+1 = c2t+1 for all t > 1. Since cit is equal to the consum in terms of period t consumption, it follows that both consumers the same wealth and the same consumption in all but the first perio consumption is such that the wealth of both individuals is the sam in period 2. Equilibrium therefore predicts consumption smoothin consumers. The equilibrium prices satisfy Pt 2 Pt+i 1 + - v/(1 - Now assume that consum maximum amount each c s denote a consumer's sa budget set is denoted Bi B,(p, s) = {(c, s') I sp The first order conditi given by (4"). The borro sumption cit. Suppose co endowment. Then it = 3 Pt 1 pt+l 8(1-3A)' then this choice satisfies the first order condition (4"). Hence, ci = oi price sequence p with pt = (8(1 - 3A))'-1 is an equilibrium of the ec with borrowing constraints. Note that in equilibrium the borrowing co is not binding. This example illustrates the consumers' desire to smooth the maximally feasible consumption. Smoothing of the maximally feasible consumption is achieved by refraining from consumption smoothing. Since v is convex, smoothing temptation economizes on the cost of self-control. Note that we have chosen a linear u + v and hence have eliminated the consumer's incentive to smooth actual consumption. In general, both motives for consumption smoothing are present when consumer's have DSC preferences. The interest rate r = (pt/pt+l) - 1 in the equilibrium with the borrowing constraint is lower than the interest rate when there is no borrowing constraint. To see why this is the case, note that in the equilibrium with no borrowing This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 140 E GUL AND W. PESENDORFER constraints the maximally feasible consumption b,+l is greater than consumers. The introduction of a borrowing constraint therefore re and hence the cost of self-control. Equation (4") then implies that p,/ adjust downwards to offset this effect. In the equilibrium above, consumption tracks income because borro portunities are much greater in low income periods than in high inc ods. The individual refrains from shifting funds to low income perio increasing the cost of self-control. With a different borrowing cons could obtain the opposite result: that is, consumption could be larg ods where the individual has low endowment. For example, if the i may borrow 1 unit independent of his future endowment, then eq consumption in periods of high endowment could be lower than in low endowment. 6.4. Stochastic, Representative Agent Economy In this subsection, we analyze a simple example of a stochastic represen- tative consumer economy (Lucas (1978)). There is one consumer who owns a productive asset that yields a dividend in each period. Dividends are identically and independently distributed across time and denoted by the random variable d. Let D denote the realized value of d. We assume that d has mean 1, variance o-2, and support [0, 2]. Let s denote the asset holdings of the representative consumer at the beginning of the current period. Then, the consumer observes D, the realization of dividends in the current period, and chooses consumption c E C := [0, 4]. Given the price of the asset p, the choice of c determines s', the consumer's holding of the asset for next period. The price of consumption is normalized to 1. The price of the productive asset depends on the dividend realization and is described by the function p: [0, 2] - IR+. Let B(s, D) := {(c, s') I p(D)s + Ds = p(D)s' + c} denote the consumer's budget set given the asset holding s and the realization of the dividend D. It is easy to see that the decision problem of the representative consumer defines an IHCP for each initial asset holding s and each initial value of the dividend D. Let y(s, D) denote this IHCP. Similarly, let y(s, d) denote the IHCP confronting the representative consumer before the current period dividend is realized. The utility of y(s, D) for a consumer with the DSC preference (u, v, 8) sat- isfies W(y(s,D)) = (c,s')EB(s,D) max {u(c) + v(c) + 8W(y(s', d))} -v([D + p(D)]s). This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 141 SELF-CONTROL Hence, a consumer with the DSC preference (u, v, 8) chooses consum solve (5) max u(c) + v(c) + 8W(y(s', d)). (c,s')EB(s,D) The first order condition for a solution to (5) is (6) p(D)(u'(ct) + v'(ct)) = 8E[(u'(ct+1) + v'(ct+))(p(d) + d))] - 8E[v'(st+(p(d) + d))(p(d) + d)]. In a competitive equilibrium ct = D, st+1 = 1, and Ct+l = d. To illustrate the effect of temptation on asset prices we consider the follow ing example: Ac2 Ac2 1 u(c)=c- 2 v(c) - 0< A <. 2 2' 2 By Corollary 1, a preference for co A = 0 this consumer is a standard risk neutral decision-maker. For A > 0 the consumer remains risk neutral with respect to instantaneous consumption gambles, that is, gambles that replace current consumption c with a lottery of consumptions with mean c. However, the consumer is risk averse with respect to investments that affect future wealth. To illustrate this, we compute the equity premium, that is, the difference in the expected return between a risky and a risk-free asset, for this economy. Equation (6) applied to this example together with the equilibrium conditions yield a constant price p that satisfies p = 8(1 + p - 2Ap - Ap2 - A(r2 + 1)). Let 1/(1 + r) denote the price of a risk-free asset that pays off one unit of consumption in the next period, irrespective of the dividend realization. In equilibrium (see Appendix D for details) the risk-free rate must satisfy = 8(1-A(p + 1)). l+r Let R be the expected return on the productive asset, that is, -Rd+p- l+p P _ P This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 142 F GUL AND W PESENDORFER Appropriate substitution (see Appendix D) yields the following exp the equity premium: R - r =A2 (+r) p The equity premium is positive for A > 0 and increasing in A (see Appendix D for detailed calculations). The utility of an individual with DSC preferences depends both on actual and maximally feasible consumption (wealth). When u + v is concave and v is convex, there are two sources of risk aversion. First, as with standard concave utility functions, the consumer is averse to consumption risk. Second, the consumer is averse to risk in wealth because the cost of self-control is convex. Our example illustrates the second source of risk aversion. In the example, the consumer is risk neutral with respect to consumption (u + v is linear) but risk averse with respect to realizations of future wealth. Since investment in a risky asset implies that future wealth is uncertain, risky assets must offer a risk premium. When choosing among lotteries that promise immediate (consumption) rewards the DSC consumer exhibits less risk aversion than when choosing among assets that promise risky future returns. In the former case, temptation costs are sunk and hence do not affect the consumer's choice whereas in the latter case temptation costs add to the consumer's risk aversion. 7. SUSTAINABLE DEBT In this section we show that for an agent with DSC preferences, incentive compatible debt contracts are feasible even in an environment where the only punishment for default is exclusion from future borrowing. Hence, the agent may save funds at the market interest rate even after default. This restriction on feasible punishments after default is particularly relevant in the case of sovereign debt. With standard preferences (i.e. no preference for commitment), Bulow and Rogoff (1989) show that in this environment there is no incentive compatible contract that allows the individual to borrow. We assume that there are no investment opportunities that offer commitment. Thus, the consumer always has the option of exchanging his savings for current consumption. This assumption may be justified by allowing collateralized loans after default. To see how this works, suppose that in period 1 the consumer invests in a contract that offers a return of 1 unit of consumption in period 3. In period 2 the consumer is able to use that contract as collateral for a loan on current consumption. Under this hypothesis there are incentive compatible contracts that allow individuals with DSC preferences to borrow. In the following we provide an example of such a contract. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 143 SELF-CONTROL Let wo = (0, 0, 4, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0,4,...) be the agent's endowment. T borrows and lends at a fixed interest rate r. A generic debt contrac noted (/3, 32, 33) with the understanding that 3j is the required ou balance at the end of any period 3t + j. If, at the end of any period, t balance is not at the required level, then he is excluded from borrow future periods. The individual may always invest funds at a rate r > after default. The contract (/31, /32, /3) is incentive compatible if for any feasible de in period t, there is an optimal plan in which the consumer does no Simple calculations establish 31 = (1 +r)3 + C3n+l, 32 = (1 + r)1 + C3n+2, P3 =( + r)/2+ c3 -4, for n = 1, 2,.... Since consumption is nonnegative, the above equations imply that if there is any borrowing (i.e., /3j > 0 for some j), then /32 > /31 > /3 Hence, borrowing occurs if and only if /2 > 0 and the maximal level of debt is /2. Finally, the above three equations imply C3n+2 C3n+l 1 1 (7) c3+2 + c3+l +c3n=4- (l+r)- P1 (7) (1 + r)2 (1 + r) (1 + r)2 for all n > 1. Under any contract with /2 > 0, a standard ence for commitment has an incentive to default. To see of repaying the debt, the individual "deposits" (c3n+l/(l into a savings account. By (7) this is feasible and yields units of consumption for period 3 whenever /2 > 0. This case of the argument given by Bulow and Rogoff (1989 without direct penalties there can be no borrowing. However, if the agent has a preference for commitmen patible borrowing is possible. Let (u, v, 8) be the agent's u u(c) = 2c if c<1, 1+c ifc> 1, v(c) = Ac. Assume that 6 is close enough to 1, so that 1 - 82 1 - 54 282 _ 1 a:= 53 + 64 252 -+ 5 Let A := a/(1 - a) and A := (262 - 1)/(1 + S). This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 144 E GUL AND W. PESENDORFER PROPOSITION 3: If A E (A, A), then for all r < (1- 8)/8, the debt co P3i = 1, 32 = 2 + r, /3 = 0 is incentive compatible. PROOF: First, consider the optimal program for an agent who can row starting in period 3 (the period when he will be tempted to defau that it cannot be optimal to consume more than 1 in periods other th see this recall that (1 + r)5 < 1 and consumption beyond 1 has a margi ity of 1 in each period. Hence the incentive to avoid the self-control p period 3t makes it optimal to consume no more than 1 in all periods b the other hand, consuming less than 1 in any period cannot be optim pose that the individual consumes less than 1 in period 5. Consider an in period 5 consumption financed by a decrease in period 3 consump marginal utility of consumption in period 5 is 2, and discounting by two p yields 262. The marginal utility of consumption in period 3 is 1. In add transfer of resources from period 3 to period 5 increases self-control periods 3 and 4. The marginal increase in self-control costs is A(1 + A < A, the increase of period 5 consumption increases payoff. A simil ment holds for period 4 and hence the individual will consume exactly in periods 3t + 1, 3t + 2, t > 1. Therefore, the optimal utility starting period 3t is 1 -A 1- A ( A 282 l 1-_83 5- l+rr -(+r)2 - + l +r Now, consider the consumer who does not default. In period 3t + 2, the continuation utility of the plan is W3 = 3 [5 - (1 + A)(1 + r) - (1 + A)(1 + r)2 + 2 + 22]. Straightforward calculations, using the facts r < (1 - 8)/8 and A > A establish that W3 > Wd3. Therefore, the individual has no incentive to default in any period 3t + 2. But this is the period with the highest incentive to default. Hence, the debt contract is incentive compatible. Q.E.D. The idea behind Proposition 3 extends to other utility functions: to the savings program, the borrowing program leads to lower self-c in periods 3t + 1. The reason is that an agent who enters period 5 w (1 + r),31 is extended additional credit equal to 2 -(1 + r)f31 > 0. Th are not available to the agent in period 4 and therefore he does not self-control costs associated with "transferring" them to period 5. U ings, "credit-worthiness" is not an asset that can be used as collate fore, the commitment offered by the debt contract cannot be un open market. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 145 8. CONCLUSION The starting point of the time-inconsistency literature is a nonrecursive pref- erence 1I over consumption streams {ct}tC. Then, it is assumed that the preference ST over consumption streams starting at time r is the same as _i. Since >i is not recursive this implies that the conditional preference relation induced by -1 on consumption streams starting at date r is not the same as >-. That is, there exists some {c1, ..., c _i, C, ...} and {cl, ..., c_1C, . ...} such that {C1l, C.. 1, CT, ...} I 1 {ClI, , C. i , CT 1 .} and {C,T ...} >T {CT ... This "reversal" of preference is called time inconsistency. The time inconsistency approach postulates that at each T the agent is a different "player" and behaves in a manner that maximizes >- given the predicted behavior of his subsequent selves. The predicted consumption paths are typically the subgame perfect Nash outcomes of the resulting game.12 The multiplicity of subgame perfect Nash equilibria implies that a given decision problem may not have a unique payoff associated with it. From a gametheoretic perspective, this is not surprising; we almost never expect all equilibria of a given game to yield the same payoff for a particular agent. In a multi-person context, subgame perfect Nash equilibrium is meant to capture a rest point of the player's expectations and strategizing. Then, the multiplicity of such equilibria is a reflection of the fact that no single person controls the underlying forces that might lead to the particular rest point. But this multiplicity is more difficult to understand within the context of a single person decision problem, even if the person in question is dynamically inconsistent. In that case, the game-theoretic argument for multiplicity loses much of its force since it should be straightforward to renegotiate one's self out of an unattractive continuation equilibrium. And, foresight of this renegotiation would lead to the unraveling of the original plan.13 More generally, the notion of (subgame perfect) Nash equilibrium is a tool for the analysis of noncooperative behavior, and its appropriateness often rests on the implicit assumption of "independent" behavior and absence of communication. Therefore, analyzing the interaction between the agent at time r and his slightly modified self at time T + 1 as the Nash equilibrium of a game may not be appropriate. 4 '2As an alternative, O'Donoghue and Rabin (1999) advocate "naive" behavior as a solution concept to this game. Naive agents incorrectly predict future behavior to maximize current period preferences. "3The argument that renegotiation is particularly plausible in time-inconsistent decision prob- lems is due to Kocherlakota (1996). '4For a related critique of the use of Nash equilibrium when modeling a (different) departure from fully rational behavior, see Piccione and Rubinstein (1997). This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 146 E GUL AND W. PESENDORFER In contrast, the approach of Gul and Pesendorfer (2001) and the cu paper is to take a single preference, not over consumption, but over a decision problems and to permit a strict preference for a smaller set o In our approach, the preference for commitment arises from a desire temptation rather than from a change in preference. As demonstrated orem 2, multiplicity does not arise in the preference for commitment Every (u, v, 8) corresponds to a unique preference over decision probl all optimal plans yield the same payoff. Within the time-inconsistency approach, the only formulation of sel entails using multiplicity of equilibria to support outcomes in w decision-maker sustains a desirable plan by threatening himself with sirable behavior after a deviation. Self-control is therefore not a pro the agent's preference but of the selected equilibrium and a theory control requires a theory of equilibrium selection. By contrast, the pr for commitment approach identifies self-control as a property of the preference. This allows us to identify parameters of the agent's utility that measure the amount of self-control this agent has. Dept. of Economics, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540 fgul princeton. edu; www.princeton.edu/fgul and Dept. of Economics, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540 pesendor@princeton.edu; www.princeton. edulpesendor. Manuscript received November, 2000; final revision received February, 2003. APPENDIX A: INFINITE HORIZON CONSUMPTION PROBLEMS Our treatment of dynamic decision problems is similar to the "descriptive approach" in Kreps and Porteus (1978) extended to an infinite horizon. Let X be any metric space. The set C(X) of all nonempty compact subsets of X (endowed with the Hausdorff metric) is itself a metric space. If X is compact, then so is C(X) (see Brown and Pearcy (1995, p. 222)). Let A(X) denote the set of all measures on the Borel a-algebra of X. We endow A(X) with the weak topology. If X is compact, then A(X) is also compact and metrizable (with the Prohorov metric) (see Parthasarathy (1970)). For any metric space X, we use B(X) to denote the Borel ao-algebra of X. Given any sequence of metric spaces X,, we endow x~ X, with the product topology. This topology is also metrizable and x'lX, is compact if each Xt is compact (Royden (1968, pp. 152, 166)). Let C denote the compact metric space of possible consumptions in each period. Let Z1 := /C(J(C)). An element of Z1 is a one period consumption problem. Each choice /li e zl E Z1 is a probability measure on C. For t > 1, define Zt inductively as Z := :C(J(C x Zt-_)). Thus, each Zt in Z, is a t period consumption problem. An element l,t E zt is a probability measure on (C, Zt,_), that is, a probability measure on consumption in the current period and t - 1 period consumption problems. Let Z* := x lZt. The set of infinite horizon consumption problems (IHCP) are those elements of Z* that are consistent, that is, for z {zt},l E Z* the t- 1 period consumption problem induced by z, is equal to Zt-_. To be more precise, let Gl : C x Z1 -- C be given by GI(c, zl) :=c This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 147 and let F1: A(C x Z1) - A(C), F1 : IC(A(C x Z1)) -> kC(A(C)) be defined as follow F, (z2)(E) :=/ 2(G1 (E)), Fi(z2) := {F1(U2) I p2 E Z2}, for E in the Borel r-algebra_of C. Thus, F1 (,2) is the probability measure over curre tion induced by gu2 E z2 and F1(z2) is the one period decision problem induced by z2 inductively, we define G,: C x Z, -- C x Z,_1 by Gt, ) (c, :=(cF,_(z,)) and Ft: A(C x Z,) - A(C x Zt_1), Ft: KC(A(C x Z,)) -*K C(A(C x Z,-)) by Ft (t+l)(E) := art+l(G tl(E)), F,t(zt+i) :- {Ft(Pt+) I= Fa, t+l = zt+}, for E E 3(C x Zt-1). Then, F(zt) is the t - 1 period decision problem induced by z,. Finally, define Z := {{z,}tl E Z* I z,t = Ft- (Z,) Vt > 1} to be the set of all IHCP's. LEMMA 1: Let X, Y be compact metric spaces and g : X -+ Y be a continuous function. Then, (i) g : KC(X) - KI(Y) defined by g(A) = {g(a) I a E A} is also continuous. (ii) If g is a bijection, then it is a homeomorphism. PROOF: Part (i) follows from exercise X, p. 222 in Brown and Pearcy (1995). Part (ii) follows from Theorem 8.37, p. 207 in Brown and Pearcy (1995). Q.E.D. Note that F1 is continuous and hence by Lemma l(i), so is Fl. Then, an inductive establishes that Ft, Ft are continuous for all t > 1. It follows that Z, the set of all compact. As described, every IHCP is an infinite sequence of finite decision problems. Alternatively, an IHCP can also be viewed as a set of options, each of which results in a probability measures over current consumption and IHCP's that describe the consumer's situation next period. Hence, the recursive view identifies an IHCP as an element of KC(A(C x Z)). Indeed, there is a natural mapping from Z to KC(A(C x Z)). THEOREM Al: There exists a homeomorphism f: Z --> C(A(C x Z)). To illustrate how f identifies recursive IHCP's with IHCP's, consider the problem {zt}rl E Z and assume that each choice is deterministic; that is, each 1t E Zt yields a (certain) period 1 consumption, ct, and a (certain) continuation problem Zt_1 Consider a sequence {/rt}il such that Irt E Zt and ,t-_ = Ft- (Lt ) for all t. Let (ct, z_ i) denote the element of C x Zt-1 that occurs with probability 1 according to iL. Since {r1t}?1 is consistent (t-l1 = Ft_ 1(lt)) it follows that ct = cl for all t; that is, the period 1 consumption induced by At is the same as the period 1 consumption induced by /1. Moreover, the sequence of continuation problems z' := {Zt-_l}t2 is itself consistent. Hence, we can identify {,rt}ti? with the unique element in A(C x Z) that puts probability 1 on (c, z'). Repeating this procedure for every consistent sequence {ut} such that /,t E Zt for all t yields f(z). The construction of the set of IHCP's shares the following common structure with several recent contributions. Let Y0 be a set with some property a and let C be an operator that associates with each set that has property a a new set that also has property a. Let Y1 := C(Y0) and Yt+l := C(Yo x Yt) for t > 1 and let Y* = xo,Yt. The goal is to identify a subset Y of Y* that is homeomorphic to the set C(Y0 x Y*). This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms F GUL AND W. PESENDORFER 148 In Mertens and Zamir (1985), Epstein and Zin (1989), and Brandenburger and Dekel (1993), Y( is a topological space with some property (for example, a Polish space in Brandenburger and Dekel) and C(Y)) is a set of measures on Y(. In Epstein and Wang (1996), Y( is compact Hausdorff and C(Y() are preferences over a set of functions from Y0 to [0, 1]. In Epstein and Peters (1999) C(Y() is a set of upper hemi-continuous functions on Y( and in Mariotti and Piccione (1999), C(Y)) is the set of all nonempty compact subsets of the compact set Y(). In our case, Yo is a compact metric space and C(Y() is the set of all nonempty, compact subsets of probability measures on the Borel -c-algebra of Yo. DEFINITION: Let X be a compact metric space. Let A" E 1C(X) for all n. The closed limit inferior of the sequence A" (denoted LA") is the set of all a e X such that a = lima" for some sequence {a"} such that a" E A" for every n. The closed limit superior of A' (denoted LA") is the set of all a E X such that a = lim a", for some subsequence {a" } such that a"' e A"' for every nji. The set LA" is the pointwise limit of A" if L A" = LA" = L A". LEMMA 2: Let X be a compact metric space. The sequence A" E IC(X) converges to A iff A =LA". PROOF: The lemma follows from exercise X, p. 132 in Brown and Pearcy (1995) DEFINITION: Let Y' := A(C) and for t > 1 let Y, := (C, Z1,.... Z,_ ). The sequence o ability measures {/I, } x7, Y, is Kolmogorov consistent if margc z ....z, ,,+l =- it for a Let Iyk denote the set of all Kolmogorov consistent sequences in x,, Yt. LEMMA 3: For every {f,} G yk' there exists a unique Lx cE A(C x Z* ) such that margc p. = marg ...., = Pit for all t > 1. The mapping i : ykc - A(C x Z*) that associates this tx w corresponding {/, } is a homeomorphism. PROOF: The first assertion is the Kolmogorov's Existence Theorem (Dellacherie and (1978), p. 73). Since every compact space is complete and separable, the second assertion f from Lemma 1 in Brandenburger and Dekel (1993). QE.D. DEFINITION: Let D, := {(zl,...,zt) e xt=,Z, zk = Fk(Zk+l) Vk {{,} ) xt A,(C) x (C x Z,) F,(l,c+ ) = u, Vt > 1}, and Yc := {{ft} E yk Vt> 1}. LEMMA 4: For every {/1,} E M' there exists a unique {fi,} E Y' such that il = il and margc. zt, f , = Lt for all t > 2. The mapping ) : M' - Y' that associates this {,t } with the corresponding {ft } is a homeomorphism. PROOF: Let m( be the identity function on C and let ml be the identity function on C x Zi. For t > 2, define mt : C x Z, -- C x (x= Zk) as follows: m,(c, z,) = (c, zl ..) iff = c, = ,, and zk- = Fh_I(zk) for all k = 2,.... t. Note that m, is one-to-one for all t. Also, m,(C x Z,) = C x Dt. Let 7r( and 7r- be the identity mappings on C and C x Z, respectively. For t > 2, let 7Tr (c,..., zt) = (c, z,) for all (c, ..., z,) E C x Dt. Clearly, -r, is continuous for all t. Since C x D, is a compact set, 7TT can be extended to all of C x (x = Zk ) in a continuous manner. Hence, rr, is a continuous function on C x (x = ZA ) and its restriction to C x D, is the inverse of m, : C x Z, - m,(C x Z,). Since F( is continuous for all t, so is m,. For {,} E M', define {,lt} by /L(E) := t(m '(E)) for all E E 1(C x ( x=Zk). Clearly, the {fit} defined in this manner is the unique element in Y' such that fL = -L and margc. z, r , = -, for all t > 1. Define ({zu,}) to be this unique {/it} and note that 0 is one-to-one. Pick any {fI,} in y'. Define {ti,} as follows: tl = /i and /,(E) := /t(7r'-ll(E)) for all E C B(C x Z,t-). Note This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL 149 that 0 ({/t }) = i,; hence, 4 is a bijection. Observe that the tth element of 0({f t}) depe on 1t. Hence, without risk of confusion we write Ot(l.t ) to denote this element. Note tha continuous real-valued function h on C x ( x= Zk) and h on C x Z,, f hdi,(t,) = f and f hdt1(,t) = f h o rt,dlt. Hence, the continuity of 4( and 0-1 follows from the co of m, and 7Tt for all t. Q.E.D. LEMMA 5: i(Y') = { Z | (C X Z*)I(C = )}. PROOF: Let Ft = C x D, xk,k+l Zk for all t > 1 and I = - ({fit}). Observe that /(Ft) = D,) = 1 Vt if {t,} e yc. Hence it(C x Z) = /(nli F,) = lim t(Ft) = 1. Conversely, if /(C 1, then I(Ft) = 1 Vt and hence there is a corresponding {f,} E yc. Q.E.D. LEMMA 6: Let :(z) := {{ftt} c MC I At E z, Vt > 1}. Then 5: Z -* kC(M") is a homeomorphism and {1t,} E e(z) iff tt E zt for all t. PROOF: Step 1-Let z ={Zt} E Z, IT, e z,. Then, there exists {v,} e ((z) such that vT = A,. Proof of Step 1: Let V, = /t,. For k = 1, ..., t - 1, define VT,k, inductively as _k := F,-k+l (L,-k+l ). Similarly, define V,+k, for k > 1, inductively by picking any V,+k E FT+k (Z,+k - ) Z,+k. The {vt} constructed in this fashion has the desired properties, concluding the proof of Step 1. By Step 1, S(z) =: 0. To see that e(z) is compact, take any sequence {Jt} E $(z) for z = (Z, Z2, ...). We can use the diagonal method to find a subsequence {t} I such that Ij' converges to some /t for every t. Since each zt is compact, ,t e z, for all t. Then, the continuity of Ft for all t implies {/tt} is in M' and therefore in ((z). So ((z) is compact. Suppose z 7 z' for some z, z' e Z. Without loss of generality, assume there exists some T and T, such that / c z,\z'. By Step 1, we obtain {v,} E e(z) such that v, = t,. Clearly, {v,} c (z)\:(z'). Therefore, e is one-to-one. Take any z E IC(MC). Define z, := {,l/t, =/ , for some {it,} E z}. Let z = (zI, Z2,.... Since z is compact we have z E Z. Clearly, z c :(z). Using the compactness of z again and the continuity of each F, we have ((z) c z. So s is onto. To prove that s is continuous, let zn converge to z. By Lemma 2, this is equivalent to Lz = z for all t. We need to show that s(z") converges to ((z). Take any convergent sequence {,t)} such that {[tnL} Ec (z") for all n. Then, limttn E zt for all t and therefore lim{,/'t} e (z). Let {,it} E ((z). Since Lz- = zt, there exists l'n converging to tt such that 7, zn for all n. By Step 1, for each 1T we can construct {vt}(T) e MC such that v,() = ,. Since F, is continuous for all t, k (r) converges to /k for all k < r. Consequently, {vt}(n) converges to {fit} as n goes to infinity. Hence, L (zn) = e(z). Again by Lemma 2, this implies S(z") converges to e(z) and hence s is continuous. To conclude the proof recall that Z is compact and : is a continuous bijection. It follows from Lemma 1(ii) that s is a homeomorphism. Q.E.D. PROOF OF THEOREM Al: Note that by Lemmas 3-5, f, o ) is a A(C x Z). Hence, by Lemma l(i), the function : JC(MC) -1 J gr o O)(A) for all A E AC(MA) is also a homeomorphism. Then, by homeomorphism from Z to IC(A(C x Z)). Q.E.D. APPENDIX B: PROOF OF THEOREM 1 LEMMA 7 (A Fixed-Point Theorem): If B is a closed subset of a Banach space with norm II1 and T: B - B is a contraction mapping (i.e., for some integer m and scalar a E (0, 1), IIT'(W Tm(W') i < all W - W' l for all W, W' B), then there is a unique W* e B such that T(W*) = PROOF: See Bertsekas and Shreve (1978, p. 55) who note that the theorem in Ortega an Rheinbolt (1970) can be generalized to Banach spaces. Q.E.D. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms E GUL AND W PESENDORFER 150 LEMMA 8: Let u: C - R, v: C --- be continuous and 8 E (0, 1). There is a uniqu function W: Z -- I such that (B.1) W(z) = max {(u(c) + v(c) + iW(z'))d(c, z')} - max v(c)dv(c, z' t~EZ FEZ for all z E Z. PROOF: Let W be the Banach space of all continuous, real-valued functions on Z (endowed with the sup norm). The operator T: W --> W, where TW(z) maxlf((c) + (c)+SW (z'))d) (c, ')EZ -max| v(c)dv(c, z') ZE[z J is well-defined and that T(W) = W. Hence, W satisfies (B.1). Q.E.D. By Lemma 8, for any continuous u, v, 8, there exists a uniqu It is straightforward to verify that Axioms 1-8 hold for any bi tinuous function W that satisfies (B.1). In the remainder of the proof we show that if > is nondege then the desired representation exists. It is easy to show that if it also satisfies the following stronger version of the indepen AXIOM 4*: x > y, a E (0, 1) implies ax + (1 - a)z > ay + Theorem 1 of Gul and Pesendorfer (2001) establishes that >only if there exist linear and continuous functions U, V such th (B.2) W(z) := max{U(,r) + V()} - maxV(v) icz vez represents >8 E (0, 1) suc U(I) = /(u V(,u)= vf LEMMA 9: T 8W(z))dg (c, PROOF: Ste W(z))dli(c, z Proof that of U() Ste = therefore, U(A) u(c, Setting Step 2: This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms = f u uf z)dr u := Ther 151 SELF-CONTROL Proof of Step 2: Define K := maxz W(z), k := minz W(z), K := maxz W(z), k := m By nondegeneracy, U is not constant. It follows that W is not constant. Axioms 6 im W(x) > W(y) if and only if W(x) > W(y). Hence, W is not constant. Therefore, K To establish the desired conclusion we will show that Kk -Kk K - k (B.3) W(z):= K-)- k) - K + kW( (K - k)(K for all z E Z. For any z E Z there exists a unique a such that (B.4) W(z) = aK+ (1 - a)k. Let z* maximize W and z* minimize it. It follows that W({a(c, z*) + (1 -a)(c, z*)}) = aW({(c, z*)}) + (1 -a)W({(c, z,)}) = u(c) + a + (1 - a)k = u(c)+ W(z) = W({(c, z)}). (The first equality follows from linearity of W, the second equality follows from (B.2) and Step 1, the third equality follows from (B.4), and the last equality follows from (B.2).) By Axiom 7 we conclude that W({(c, z)}) = W({(c, az* + (1 - a)z)}) and by Axiom 6 W(z) = W(az* + (1 - a)z). Linearity of W together with the fact that W(x) > W(y) iff W(x) > W(y) implies (B.5) W(z) = aK + (1 - a)k. Solving (B.5) for a, substituting the result into (B.4) and rearranging terms then yields (B proves Step 2. Step 3: 6 < 1. Proof of Step 3: Let zc be the unique z e Z with the property that zc = {(c, zC)}. Let z be such that W(z) 0 W(zC). Let y1 = {(c, z)} and define y" inductively as y" = {(c, y"-1)}. Then y" converges to zc. Hence, by continuity W(y") - W(zc) must converge to zero. But W(y") - W(zc) = 6"(W(z) - W(zC)). Since W(z) - W(zc) 0 it follows that 8 < 1. Q.E.D. Let U' = U - (y/(1 - )) and W' W - (y/1 - S)). The with W'(z) := max{U'(,/) + V(/u)} - maxV(v). jiez VEZ Moreover, U'() = W' f(u(c) Therefore, LEMMA V(,u). repres + without 10: Then, l Assume there This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms is 152 F GUL AND W. PESENDORFER PROOF: Fix &2 E A(Z) and define V* : A(C) -- R by V**(l) := V(.l x 2). Take any v e A and let ,u be the product measure vI x u'. By continuity, there e enough so that U(av + (1 - a)/+) + V(ap + (1 - a)/.) < U() + V(y), U(aL + (1 - a)/) + V(a/- + (1 - a)) < U(q) + V(yi), V(av + (1 - a)m/) > V(y), V(a/t + (1 - a})) > V(y). Axiom 8 implies that W({av + ( - a)u,, W}) (= W({(a + (1 - a)t, i}). It now follows from (B.2) that V(av + (1 - a)pL) = V(arL + (1 - a)/L). Since V is linear, we have V(v) = V(ui) = V*(vl). Since V is continuous and linear, so is V*. Hence there is a v : C - R such that V*(vl) = f v(c)dv' (c) as desired. Q.E.D. To complete the proof, we show that the co generacy U is not constant. If V is constant, assume that neither U nor V are constant. Suppose V = aU + f/ for some a, /3 c R. Since V is not constant we conclude a -A 0. If a > 0, replace V with V'= 0. Then, W(z) := max,,z{U(4r) + V'(1)} - max,, V'(v) and the conclusion of Lemma 10 holds. Nondegeneracy rules out a < -1. If a E (-1, 0) or if V is not an affine transformation of U, then V is not a positive affine transformation of U + V. Hence, the preferences represented by V and U + V are different and nontrivial (i.e. neither V nor U + V is constant). Therefore, there exists v, v such that either U(v) + V(v) > U(v) + V(v) and V(v) < U(v) or U(v) + V(v) > U(v) + V(v) and U(v) < U(v). In either case, since neither U nor V is constant, we can use the linearity of U and V to find - close to v and u close to v for which all of the above inequalities are strict and apply Lemma 10. Q.E.D. Proof of Theorem 2 A DSC preference > represented by (u, v, 6) has the property stant. Suppose > has a preference for commitment at some z E Z. T such that v = aU + /3. Then, we may apply the proof of Theorem 4 to conclude that if (u, v, 6) and (u', v', 8') both represent >, the v' = av + pv, and therefore W' = a W + 3,, for some a > 0, ,/3 , c implies that 8' = 6 and u' = au + (1 - 6)3,,. If > has no preference fo representation of > must be constant. To see this, note that for an exist z, z' such that z > z'. If v is not constant, then there exist c, follows from the representation that {(c, z)} > (a(c, z') + (1 - a)(c ficiently close to 1. Thus, the standard von Neumann-Morgenstern that u' + 6W' is a positive affine transformation of u + 6W. Then ensures that 6 = 6' and u' is a positive affine transformation of u straightforward and therefore omitted. Q.E.D. APPENDIX C: MEASURES THEOREM 4: Let >-, i = 1, 2, be regular DSC preferences with representation (ui, vi ?2 has more instantaneous preference for commitment than >_ 1 if and only if there exist a nonnegative matrix 0' and 3' E R2 such that ul) 0. l' )+/3. \v] ) v2 This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 153 SELF-CONTROL PROOF: Let >* be a binary relation on A := KC(A(C)). Gul and Pesendorfer (2001 >* satisfies Axioms 1-3 and 4* if and only if there exists (U*, V*) such that (C.1) W*(A) :=max{U*(7 ')+V*(V l)}- maxV*(.L1) AlcA pilA represents >*. Then, they de control as in Section 4, but w problems. If there is W*, (U* represents >*. The preference transformation of U*. Theore are regular* preferences, the there exist representations (U U'* V* = Ca U2 =aU2 + + (1 (1 - - a,)V a)V) *, , for a,, av E [0, 1]. We note th following binary relation >* {till A E x}, B := {I ll / E y}, a since it can be represented a E,1 [u], V*(yL) := E,A [v], and since > is regular, it follows th Also, if >*, >* are two prefer instantaneous preference for than >_. Therefore we may ap result of Section 2 (Theorem 3 regularity THEOREM of 5: >-). Let Q.E.D. >-, i = 1, 2, be I1 has more instantaneous self-co matrix O' and p1' E R2 such that U2 + V)2 ) U + V2 ) V12 V11I PROOF: We note that Gul and Pesendor control analogous to one in Section 4 but w tial decision problems. In Theorem 9 they _* has more self-control than >- if and o that U+V* + V = au (U* + V*) + (1 - au)V*, 2* = aV,(U + VI*) + (1 - a)V*, for some au, a, e [0, 1]. Define >*, Ui, and 1/* for i = 1, 2 as in the proof of Theorem 4. Again, it is easy to verify that >- has more instantaneous self-control than >2 iff >-7 has more self-control than >-. Therefore we may apply Theorem 9 in Gul and Pesendorfer (2001) and Theorem 3 of Section 2 to yield the desired result. Q.E.D. PROOF OF COROLLARY 1: The "if" parts of both stateme By Theorem 4, if >l has more preference for commitm sentation of -i for i = 1, 2, there is a nonsingular, nonneg (C.2) (U)= V"I7(u2 V2 +3 This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 154 E GUL AND W. PESENDORFER Similarly, by Theorem 5, if >- has more self-control than >2 and (ui, vi, 6) is a representation -i for i = 1, 2, there is a nonsingular, nonnegative matrix 0' and 3' E R22 such that U2 + V2) (UlVl + vl 3 V2 1)1 V Suppose >- and >2 have the same preference for commitment an >2. Without loss of generality we can choose (u2, v2) such tha some nonsingular, nonnegative matrix O (C.3) ( )=0.( . Similarly, reversing the roles of (ul, vl) and (u2, v2) in (C.2) yields and / E R2 such that (C.4) 2) = . ( )+/. Equation (C.3) implies that / = 0 and O = 0-'. But since both O and 0 a implies (1 (C.5) (= ) 0, o= I 0 1 for some a > 0, y > 0. Again, without loss of generality, we assume a = 1. To conclude the pro we show that y > 1. Since >- has more self-control than >2, the regularity of L2, equations (C (C.5), and the fact that / = 0 imply that for some nonnegative, nonsingular 6 and 3, U2 + -V2 VU2 VI=0 u +l + J8 ,- 12 Since, >-2 is regular and 0 is nonnegative, we conclude 1 + b = y for some b > 0. Hence, y > 1 as desired. Suppose >2 has more preference for commitment than >-,, and >- and >_2 have the same self-control. Following the line of argument above, we obtain (U2, v2, 62), a representation of >2 such that u2 + v2 = u1 + v1 and v2 = yvI for some y > 0. Then, since >_2 has more preference for commitment than >-, (C.2) implies that there is a nonnegative, nonsingular 0 and /3 such that ( vI )= U2 + Ul + ( )l-v )+p. 12 '))yv It y follows > 1 as from desired. the reg Q.E.D. APPENDIX D: COMPETITIVE ECONOMIES PROOF OF PROPOSITION 1: We first show existence of equilibrium in a "truncated" in which, from period r on, every consumer is committed to the consumption of woi E C This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL period. endowment. Let Let Xit = {((),it, i+l)} 155 be the IHC {(c, it, b') I (c, b') c B,(p, b)} if t <- 1, xt(p, b)= ' {(ct, xit+l) I (c, 0) e Bt(p, b)} if t = , Xit Let v : IR+ if t -- > R+ +1. be defined as v (Pt, b)= max vi(c) (clpt c<b) and note that v* is convex since vi is convex. It is straightforward to show that the optimal con- sumption choices in periods 1 < t < r given the IHCP x\(p, t=1 pt wit) solve the following maximization problem: subject {Ct} max t=l T k=1 t Ui(c) ++v(C k=1 t- Ct,< k=l 8-1 EPk .ik - LPk *C k=l Note that the objective funct consumption choices is comp Proposition 17.C.1 in Mas-Col truncated economy. Normalize equilibrium pric set Ptl = 8t. (Note that in th all consumers are committed away from zero it follows t truncation r. This follows from increasing, and since aggrega Let (p7, c7) denote the equi Let (p, c) denote the limit o for the economy. therefore h Et -1 S therefore, the the set to of Since show t- l the it < set of oc. of feasible continuity marke that ci sol Henc feasible consump the agent's xi(p, Et=? pt * wt), that is, ci is optimal for i at prices p. Q.E.D. u EXAMPLE OF PARETO INEFFICIENCY: The utility function is u(ctl, ct2) = log ctl - Actl + Ct2 and v(ctl, Ct2) = Actl. Let (a, 1) be the endowment in every period and A E (0, ). Normalize prices so that the pric good 1 in period 1 is equal to 1. Straightforward calculations yield Pti = St, Pt2 = at. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 156 F GUL AND W. PESENDORFER The equilibrium welfare of the representative household as a fun written as W = u(a, 1)+v(a, 1) - max v(a, a2)+ SW, (a , )a2t t )a +ta2 b}) W, = log a + - Ab + 8W,, where b = 2a/(l - 8) is the equilibrium value of the agent's endowment. H 2/(1 - 8) and therefore dW,/da < 0 at a = 1. It follows that destroying e units period increases welfare, for e sufficiently small. PROOF OF PROPOSITION 2: The necessary condition for optimality is u'(ci,) + A,v'(ci,) = 8(1 + r)(u'(cit) + Aiv'(ci,) - A,v'(bi,+l)) where b/,+ is the period t + 1 wealth of agent i in terms of period t + 1 consumpt state ci = ci and bi, = ci(l + r)/r, yielding u'(ci) + Av'(ci) = 6(1 + r)(u'(ci) + Aiv'(ci) - Av( )). Choose i( such that Ai,, = min Ai. We define r by the equation 8(l+r )-l I = I 0 + , r)( (D. ) 8(1 - (u() ,v'()) = ( ). -(1 + + r)A,,, Note that r is well-defined since the the right-hand side is decreasing. Mo u;()) Ai( + Ai, v;(w) > v'(O) and the right-hand side converges to v'(w). Hence, there is a unique r that satisfies the above equation. Furthermore, r > (1 - 8)/6. Let r E ((1 - 8)/6, r]. For every r in that range there is a unique Cio(r) < wi that satisfies (D.1) (i.e., cio(r) such that (D.1) is satisfied when r is replaced with r and w is replaced with cio(r)). To see this observe that since u' (c) + ,,v (c) -- oc as c -> 0, the left-hand side goes to infinity as cio 0 . Since v is convex, the right-hand side is bounded. For r < r, we have 5(1l+ r) -l 1 (1 + F) - 1 (+r) (u'() + Ajv'()) < (u'(w) + Ai( v'(wi)) 8A(1 + r) 8Ai,,(1 +r) = V ) (< v ). Since u' + Aiv' is decreasing and v' is increasing, there is Define ci(r) for each i by replacing Ai, with A, in (D.1 increasing in r. To see this, note that holding consumptio is strictly increasing in r while the convexity of v implies Then, the strict concavity of u + Aiv ensures that consum equality of the two sides. Thus, Ei ci(r) is increasing in r with lim ci(r)=0 and rci(r)>o Continuity implies that there is a unique r'd such that Zi ci(rd) = w. This content downloaded from 194.76.204.68 on Tue, 13 Feb 2024 23:18:37 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SELF-CONTROL Finally we 8(l need + 81(1 to see for to r) r +-, that if show (u'(c,) Ai either i < Aj or shown (D.2) p in = the 8(1 + ci > ci if Ai/(ci)) and j. Stochastic As that 157 ci < cj, Q.E.D. - the Representati text, + p - the equ 2p - and hence P =-12oA (1 - 6 + 26A - /(1 - )2 + 48A(1 - 8Ao2)). It can easily be checked that for A < 1/(1 + a 2) the price is strictly positive. Since 0-2 < 1 this implies that for A c (0, 1/2) the price is strictly positive. The risk free rate satisfies the following no-arbitrage condition: u'(ct) + v'(c) = 8(1 + r)E[(u'(ut+1) + v'(ct+l))] - 6(1 + r)E[v'(st+(p(d) + d))]. Using the equilibrium conditions ct = D, ct+l = d, st+l = 1, this implies for our special case that +r= + 1 1 (1 Equation positive 2 - 2 A(p (D.2) and + and 1)) p > increasing 1 + 0 8- imp note t 1 + p 1 (1 + r)(1 + p)(1 - A(p + 1) - p) R-r= - . p 6(1- A(p + 1)) p Equation (D.2) and some simplification yields R -r = Ao-21 p It remains to show that R - r is increasing in A. Equation (D.2) implies p(l - 6) = (1 - 2Ap - Ap2 - (a(2 + 1)). It follows that p is decreasing in A and since p > 0 that 1 - 2Ap - A > 0. We conclude that a8 (1+?r 8 1 ) (1-2Ap-A)(-8p/dA)+ p +p2 0 A p ~ dA \p(1 - A(p + 1)) 6(p( - A(p + 1)))2 which in turn implies that R - r is increasing in A. Q.E.D. REFERENCES BERTSEKAS, D. P., AND S. E. SHREVE (1978): Stochastic Optimal Control: The D New York: Academic Press. BRANDENBURGER, A., AND E. DEKEL (1993): "Hierarchies of Beliefs and Common Knowledge," Journal of Economic Theory, 59, 189-199. BROWN, A., AND C. PEARCY (1995): An Introduction to Analysis. 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