Carbon Dioxide emissions of Electric Vehicles and Conventional Vehicles Parviz Azizov AZ24AU Supervisor: Judit T. Kiss University of Debrecen Faculty of Engineering Debrecen, 2022 Contents Contents ...................................................................................................................................... 1 1. Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 2 2. Literature Review ............................................................................................................... 2 2.1. Environmental Risk Trade-off for New Generation Vehicle Production: Malaysia Case. ........................................................................................................................................ 2 2.2. Comparative Environmental Life Cycle Assessment of Conventional and Electric Vehicles ................................................................................................................................... 4 2.3. Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of Electric Vehicles in China: Combining the vehicle cycle and fuel cycle .................................................................................................... 5 2.4. Sustainability analysis of the electric vehicle use in Europe for CO2 emissions Reduction ................................................................................................................................ 5 2.5. In the distribution of individual daily driving distances ............................................. 6 2.6. The environmental performance of current and future passenger vehicles: Life cycle assessment based on a novel scenario analysis framework ...................................... 7 2.7. Temporal environmental and economic performance of electric vehicle and conventional vehicle: A comparative study on their US operations.................................. 7 2.8. Comparison of well-to-wheels energy use and emissions of a hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicle relative to a conventional gasoline-powered internal combustion engine vehicle ...................................................................................................................................... 8 2.9. Environmental assessment of RAMseS multipurpose electric vehicle compared to a conventional combustion engine vehicle .............................................................................. 9 2.10. Environmental and economic benefits of electric, hybrid and conventional vehicle treatment: A case study of Lithuania. .................................................................................. 9 2.11. Comparative lifecycle assessment of hydrogen fuel cell, electric, CNG, and gasoline-powered vehicles under real driving conditions................................................. 10 References................................................................................................................................. 11 1 1. Introduction It has been investigated that Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV) as well as Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEV), which are considered new-generation vehicles, utilize energy sources more efficiently than conventional vehicles, so the emission of carbon dioxide is less in new-generation vehicles. Nevertheless, new questions arise about how “clean” New Generation Vehicles are compared to conventional vehicles in existing systems, mainly in developing as well as developed countries, since common techniques only concentrate on Greenhouse Gas (GHG) generation. This literature review is aimed to examine different articles based on this topic and draw a conclusion about how environmentally friendly are EVs based on various categories in various places. 2. Literature Review 2.1. Environmental Risk Trade-off for New Generation Vehicle Production: Malaysia Case. Examined literature is aimed to investigate environmental concerns of the production of compact vehicles centered on 5 impact categories which are Human Health measured in “Disability Adjusted Life-Year” (DALY), Eutrophication, GHG generation, Acidification, Carcinogenic Effect via utilizing Life Cycle Inventory (LCI) Analysis evaluated from electricity mix between 2017 and 2030 covering only until vehicle production phase. Evaluated assessments are made to compare existing vehicle technologies with the high possibility of mass usage in Malaysia– Conventional Internal Combustion Engine Vehicle (CV), HEV, and EV vehicles with two types of batteries which are Lithium Nickel-Magnesium-Cobalt (HEV-NMC) and Nickel Magnesium Hydride (HEV-NiMH). According to this study, EV contains a marginally higher potential for global warming (5.791 kg of CO2 emission), afterwards, HEVNiMH (4,814kg), HEV-NMC (4,596kg) and CV (4,166kg) expressed per vehicle. Interestingly, cradle-to-gate of CV is better in Carcinogenic and GHG emission impact in comparison with all the examined categories. However, in general, assessment for human health, which is evaluated in DALY it is not a convenient solution. On the contrary, HEV contain a significantly high effect on mentioned categories 2 In this article expansion of LIME2 “Life-cycle Impact Assessment Method Endpoint Modeling” methodology is applied to the evaluation of compact vehicle production in Malaysia. By application of the IDEA (Inventory Database for Environmental Analysis) inventory database and analyzing LIME2 method, vehicle models are inventoried. It is important to note that impact data for Asian countries are more precisely represented in the LIME2 method; therefore, applying this method to the Malaysia case is more suitable. The result of this study is given as follows: First of all, the production of EVs contains a marginally high potential to cause global warming, followed by HEV and CV. Even without the conventional parts, EV consumes higher energy for the production of the 200 kg battery and parts of the battery. The 5,791 kg embodied CO2 emissions, which is 39% higher in comparison with the current CV. It is important to note that the values evaluated in this article are considerably compared to other existing articles because of lessening the total vehicle weight. Total impact, DALY is significantly low compared to other mentioned vehicles. Next, HEV-NiMH production emits 4,814 kg CO2, while HEV-NMC production releases 4,596 kg CO2 throughout the production of the battery. HEV-NiMH also contains the greatest eutrophication potential at 0.78 kg phosphate and acidification potential at 23.06 kg SO2 equivalent for the production of each battery. Using these two various battery technologies have remarkable variation, especially in the Carcinogen, Eutrophication, and Acidification impact categories. Shifting from the NiMH batteries to lithium-ion batteries can result in less emissions to the environment. Interestingly, cradle-to-gate of CV is cleaner in terms of GHG emission and Carcinogenic impact compared to all the studied subjects. CV production process embodies 4,166 kg of GHG and 0.30 kg of benzene equivalent into the environment in terms of 1 production unit, containing the least impact among all the vehicles being studied. On the other hand, when it comes to vehicle usage emission, the total emissions of CV will turn out to be the worst because it consumes much more fuel and at the same time generates more exhaust by-products in comparison with the other vehicle type. 3 Last of all, the different impact categories can be briefed in terms of DALY. Even though GHG emissions of EVs are evaluated as greatest during the production phase, the total index in human health is the least in comparison with the other vehicle types studied. According to the evaluation in this article DALY for 2017 CV production is at 0.0019, HEV-NMC at 0.0022, EV at 0.0014 and HEV-NiMH at 0.0036. These comparisons created a dilemma between getting higher Eutrophication and Acidification from conventional vehicles versus getting higher GHG generation of its substitution EV production. This represents information that EV production still is the most suitable solution in terms of global sustainability. To be greener, Car manufacturers ought to invest more in the production and service of EVs, at the same time, governments should suggest more active policies towards enhancing the sales and taxes of Electric Vehicles. [1] 2.2. Comparative Environmental Life Cycle Assessment of Conventional and Electric Vehicles It is assumed that EVs, combined with low-carbon electricity sources, are capable of lowering GHG emissions and exposure to tailpipe emissions from personal transportation. Considering all the upsides of shifting to EVs it is crucial to deal with concerns of this process. This article mainly focuses on comparing the production of vehicles, namely, conventional and electric vehicles. In order to assess its transparent life cycle inventory, both types of vehicles are compared over a range of various impact categories. According to this article, it was evaluated that EVs that utilize electric sources from the European electricity mix tend to reduce Global Warming Potential (GWP) from 10% to 24% in comparison with conventional gasoline and diesel vehicles where the lifetime of the vehicle is assessed 150000 km. On the other hand, according to the results of life cycle inventory assessment EVs tend to exhibit the potential for a notable increase in freshwater eco – toxicity, human toxicity, freshwater eutrophication, and metal depletion impacts, which are in most cases originating from the vehicle supply chain. It is crucial to note that results are sensitive to vehicle lifetime, electricity source, battery replacement schedule, and use phase energy consumption. As GHG emissions of EVs are considerably higher than conventional vehicles, if the lifetime of the vehicle is assumed 200000 km GWP benefits significantly rise to 27% to 29% relative to gasoline vehicles or 17% to 20% relative to diesel. However, if the lifetime of the vehicle is assumed at 100000 km GWP benefits decrease 4 significantly for EVs 9% to 14% with respect to gasoline and diesel vehicles. As a result, increasing the environmental benefits of EVs requires commitment to reducing vehicle production supply chain effects as well as encouraging clean electricity sources for electricity infrastructure. [2] 2.3. Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of Electric Vehicles in China: Combining the vehicle cycle and fuel cycle This study is aimed to analyze the life cycle of each phase of EV production in China, including recycling processes, real manufacturing technologies and the driving cycle. Furthermore, in this study, GHG emissions of Grave – to – Cradle (GTC), Well – to – Wheel (WTW), Cradle – to – Gate (CTG) from various types of vehicles at various times are analyzed to understand the main drivers and reduction prospects for A0 - A class compact sedan model presently in China. The result of the article reveals life cycle GHG emissions of EV were approximately 41.0 t CO2 in 2015 which is 18% lower compared with Internal Combustion Engine Vehicles (ICEV). It was estimated to decrease emissions to 34.1 t CO2 in 2020 due to the reduction of GHG emissions from electricity production. Because of the large CO2 emissions of its production phase WTW phase is the largest contributor of both types of vehicles, however it is considerably different in different phases. As technologies and efficiencies improve GHG emissions in WTW phase for EV declines rapidly. However, it cannot be achieved at the same speed in CTG, which hinders getting the full environmental advantages of EV. According to this study, apart from fuel economy development, there are 2 other ways possible to reduce GHG emissions in the full life cycle of EV. Firstly, recycling of EV can decrease GHG emissions of the CTG phase nearly 50%. Secondly, energy source improvement will significantly improve WTW phase as a clean power grid reduces CO2 emissions from electricity generation. [3] 2.4. Sustainability analysis of the electric vehicle use in Europe for CO2 emissions Reduction This study mainly deals with the analysis of the efficiency of use phase and, depending on the electric power plant fleet, how EV emissions vary compared to internal combustion engine vehicles. In order to carry out analysis GWP for electricity generation where most electric cars are sold in the EU is evaluated. Likewise, via applying the Monte Carlo method, EV’s use-phase 5 energy efficiency is evaluated under a wide range of driving conditions. Obtained outcomes from energy production and energy use phases are compared to the GWP calculated for ICEVs for six different driving cycles, to derive the threshold values for which electric vehicles offer a decrease in GWP. Next, These threshold figures are accorded with the current electrical power plant fleet and the electric vehicle promotion incentives of the EU countries in the study, showing that some countries (Norway and France) are more suitable for EVs adoption, however countries like Spain or Portugal should boost electric vehicle promotion policies. Moreover, despite other European countries, like Germany or the UK that put effort into decarbonizing their power plant fleet, they cannot offer an immediate decrease in GHG emissions for the shifting to electric vehicles from ICEVs. [4] 2.5. In the distribution of individual daily driving distances Plug-in electric vehicles (PEV) provide an opportunity to lower greenhouse gas emissions. Nevertheless, the reduction of emissions and the utility of PEVs strongly depend on daily vehicle kilometers travelled (VKT). Moreover, the daily VKT by individual passenger cars fluctuate greatly on various days. In order to analyze individual daily VKTs fit distribution functions are utilized. This article analyses three two-parameter distribution functions for the variation in daily VKT with four sets of travel data covering a total of 190,000 driving days and 9.5 million VKT. Explicitly, the article delves into the overall performance of the distributions on the data utilizing 4 goodness of fit measures, at the same time, the importance of choosing one distribution over the others for 2 common PEV applications: the utility factor for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles as well as, required days adaptation for battery electric vehicles. It is observed that the Weibull distribution fits most vehicles well but not all and, at the same time, generates good estimates for PEV related characteristics. Moreover, distribution choice does impact PEV usage factors. According to this article, the Weibull distribution produces reliable assessments for electric vehicle applications. On the other hand, the log-normal distribution yields more conservative assessments for PEV usage factors. This article aids in choosing better distribution for a specific research question by applying driving data and offers a methodological advancement in the application of distribution functions to longitudinal driving data. [5] 6 2.6. The environmental performance of current and future passenger vehicles: Life cycle assessment based on a novel scenario analysis framework This article aims to assess the environmental performance of a comprehensive collection of the present as well as future mid-size passenger vehicles. This paper offers a comparative LCA created on novel integrated vehicle simulation framework. Advantage of this framework is its allowance for reliability in vehicle parameter settings as well as its consideration for future technologies. In this article, almost all types of vehicles are analyzed including diesel and natural gas, conventional and hybrid gasoline, fuel cell and battery electric vehicles in which hydrogen production chains and electricity from fossil, renewable and nuclear energy sources are taken into account. The result of this article highlights that in order to alleviate climate change process, electric passenger vehicles powered by non-fossil energy resources should be utilized. On the other hand, in some environmental factors like particulate matter formation, acidification and toxicity, EVs and in several cases fuel cell vehicles are showing worse results than conventional vehicles because of emissions along fuel and vehicle production chains. Hence, in order to deviate from the drawbacks of environmental issues and for a greener environment, vehicle and electricity supply chain, at the same time, transport and energy policies must be taken into account applying life cycle management. [6] 2.7. Temporal environmental and economic performance of electric vehicle and conventional vehicle: A comparative study on their US operations This article deals with the temporal economic as well as environmental benefits of switching from internal combustion engine vehicles to EVs in United States of America. Unlike ICEVs, EVs utilize lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) as energy storage, degrading after utilization over certain cycles and leading to inefficiencies in discharging and charging, increasing operation cost and energy consumption and reduction in driving range. It is necessary to highlight that most of the current studies focused on the economic and environmental benefits of EVs do not consider worsened performance over time, leading to inaccurate results in long term assessment. To address problem, this paper applies a mathematical model to assess as well as benchmark the environmental and economic benefits of buying EVs over ICEVs in 10 year operation time by 7 incorporating spatiotemporal operation models and battery degradation. According to the results of this study, the energy consumption of EVs rises 86.3 Wh per mile after 10 years of usage, which in fact, has the potential to decrease GHG emissions as well as the economic saving potential of substituting ICEV with EVs by 18.9% and 9.28%. Moreover, on this state level, when battery replacement is taken into account, economic (Hawaii) and environmental (Wyoming and Indiana) benefit from switching to EVs are mostly counteracted in the operation phase. In conclusion, obtained outcomes lead to basic understanding of the economic and environmental performance of EVs in comparison with ICEVs in 10 years usage time, which is able to assist customers and policymakers in making a better choice of vehicles, as well as based on their explicit operation conditions battery replacement. [7] 2.8. Comparison of well-to-wheels energy use and emissions of a hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicle relative to a conventional gasoline-powered internal combustion engine vehicle The operation of hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (HFCEVs) produces zero tailpipe pollutant emissions and is considered more efficient than gasoline ICEVs. Nevertheless, refueling, transportation and production of hydrogen are more emission and energy intensive in comparison with gasoline. This article evaluates WTW emission and energy use analysis of conventional ICEV (Mazda 3) and HFCEV (Toyota Mirai). In order to conduct an evaluation, 2 sets of particular fuel consumption data are utilized for every vehicle. Firstly, fuel consumption obtained by window-sticker fuel economy of U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and secondly, fuel usage built on physical vehicle testing with chassis dynamometer on EPA’s five standard driving cycles. The result of this article indicates that, even if hydrogen is obtained through a fossil-based production pathway, HFCEV utilizes between 5 and 33% less WTW fossil energy and contains from 15% to 45% lower WTW GHG emissions in comparison with ICEV powered by gasoline. In the end, it must be highlighted that WTW results are sensitive to the electricity source which is utilized hydrogen liquefaction. [8] 8 2.9. Environmental assessment of RAMseS multipurpose electric vehicle compared to a conventional combustion engine vehicle The RAMseS project is aimed to develop solar powered agricultural vehicle to replace the conventional vehicles, and it is organized by the European Commission under the 6th framework Program. This article is aimed to report a difference in life-cycle emission between ICEV and the RAMseS electric vehicle. Evaluations are performed by designing a particular model and utilizing the SimaPro software. The results of the articles indicate that the RAMseS system is noticeably more environmentally friendly than ICEVs. In particular, it can lessen the emission of about 23 tons of CO2 per year. Considering all other pollutants, this article showed that the RAMseS system is 2.6 times more efficient than the ICEV. It is important to note that, a major contributor to emissions of the RAMseS system comes from the batteries estimated at a 73% of all pollutions. Thus, it is possible to derive further enhancement via more advanced and environmentally friendly battery systems, which are not based on lead. [9] 2.10. Environmental and economic benefits of electric, hybrid and conventional vehicle treatment: A case study of Lithuania. Recycling, recovery, reuse, and of end-of-life vehicles (ELVs) are promoted owing to numerous environmental and economic benefits. Automotive remanufacturing provides circular marketing system for the reutilization of recovered parts that has the potential to bring economic advantages for consumers and dismantling companies. The aim of this study is to show the environmental and economic advantages of the end-of-life treatment of hybrid, electric, as well as conventional vehicles. This article reveals economic evaluation of the reutilization of ELV parts based on a material flow analysis (MFA) and, a practical analysis of the costs of these parts in the Lithuanian market. The environmental evaluation of the reuse of ELV parts was conducted utilizing MFA, the CO2 equivalents to produce different materials, and the life cycle assessment methodology. Result of this article indicates that 38% of all hybrid and electric ELV parts, and 27% and 28% of diesel- and petrol-powered ELV parts, respectively, can be sold or in other words reused. The economic benefit of all 4 types of ELVs could reduce costs up to 12,739 Euro and 51,281 Euro for the dismantlers and passenger car consumers, respectively. The biggest 9 CO2 reduction is derived from reutilizing the parts of electric ELVs, whereas the lowest contributor to cost reduction is obtained from petrol ELVs. [10] 2.11. Comparative lifecycle assessment of hydrogen fuel cell, electric, CNG, and gasoline-powered vehicles under real driving conditions This article is aimed to examine role of personal vehicles for 4 different types of vehicles which are hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (FCV), CNG fueled, gasoline fueled and electric vehicles. Software used to evaluate performance of each type of vehicles is called Simcenter Amesim Software which is aimed to simulate performance of these vehicles for New York City conditions. According to the results of simulation, under certain driving cycle hydrogen fuel cell vehicles and EVs consume 26.47g of hydrogen and 1.51% of the battery pack capacity respectively, whilst gasoline fueled and CNG vehicle consume 174.07g and 165.44g of gasoline and CNG in each driving cycle respectively. Next, in order to investigate LCA, the GREET software is utilized to examine overall performance of vehicles from cradle to grave. In this LCA analysis CO, Sox, CO2, GHG, NOx pollutions are evaluated for each type vehicles where fuel cell vehicles indicate best overall results. In conclusion, comparison of CO2 emission for FCV with other types are 35.5%, 75.87% and 73.42% lower for EV, gasoline fueled and CNG fueled vehicles, respectively. [11] 1.1.Methods used to compare carbon emissions https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11367-015-0954-z https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/14/5873 CHAPTER 4 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10661-010-1678-y https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030142151930196X?casa_token=RGh A3EMIfG8AAAAA:FXq8rdj589TYQhMYg2cGOeBMdlP4ikgi2Fh6XXPiuImavARm4KdNfMLOmMtiV71Zmcf4bQtz4g Son paragraph: IN THIS REVIEW LCA AND BLABLA BLA METHODS ARE MAJORLY EXAMINED (WHAT IS LCA & WHAT OUR EXAMINED RESEARCHES CHECKED (KIRMIZIYLA YAZANLAR)) 10 http://www.gtc.com/electromobility/pdf/1.6%20Vehicle%20Technology/Life%20Cycl e%20Analysis%20of%20the%20Climate%20Impact%20of%20Electric%20Vehicles% 20-%20TE%20-%20draft%20report%20v04.pdf https://sci-hub.se/10.1021/es034574q https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/j.1530-9290.2012.00532.x 1.2.Environmental and Health Impacts of EVs and others SİYAHLA YAZANLAR References [1] A. Tokai and Muhammad Azmi, , “Environmental Risk Trade-off for New Generation Vehicle Production: Malaysia Case,” The Canadian Center of Science and Education, November 30, 2016. [2] T. R. Hawkins, Bhawna Singh, Guillaume Majeau-Bettez and Anders Hammer Strømman, “Comparative Environmental Life Cycle Assessment of Conventional and Electric Vehicles,” Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2012. [3] Xin He, Han Hao, Qinyu Qiao, Fuquan Zhao and Zongwei Liu, “Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of Electric Vehicles in China: Combining the vehicle cycle and fuel cycle,” Elsevier Energy, 14 April 2019. [4] Lluc Canals Casals, Dr. Egoitz Martinez Laserna, Beatriz Amante García and Nerea Nieto., “Sustainability analysis of the electric vehicle use in Europe for CO2 emissions reduction,” Journal of Cleaner Production, 17 March 2016. [5] P. Plötz, Niklas Jakobsson and Frances Sprei, “On the distribution of individual daily driving distances,” Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 25 April 2017. 11 [6] Christian Bauer, Johannes Hofer, Hans-Jörg Althaus, Andrea Del Duce and Andrew Simons, “The environmental performance of current and future passenger vehicles: Life cycle assessment based on a novel scenario analysis,” Applied Energy, 2015. [7] Fan Yang, Yuanyuan Xie, Yelin Deng and Chris Yuan, “Temporal environmental and economic performance of electric vehicle and conventional vehicle: A comparative study on their US operations,” Resources, Conservation & Recycling, 2021. [8] Xinyu Liu, Krishna Reddi, Amgad Elgowainy, Henning Lohse-Busch, Michael Wang and Neha Rustagi, “Comparison of well-to-wheels energy use and emissions of a hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicle relative to a conventional gasoline-powered internal combustion engine vehicle,” ScienceDirect, 2019. [9] Hossein Mousazadeh, Alireza Keyhani, Hossein Mobli, Ugo Bardi, Ginevra Lombardi and Toufic el Asmar, “Environmental assessment of RAMseS multipurpose electric vehicle compared to a conventional combustion engine vehicle,” Cleaner Production, 2009. [10] Kamilė Petrauskienė, Rasa Tverskytė and Jolanta Dvarionienė, “Environmental and economic benefits of electric, hybrid and conventional vehicle treatment: A case study of Lithuania,” Waste Management, 2022. [11] Aidin Teimouri, Kaveh Zayer Kabeh, Sina Changizian, Pouria Ahmadi and Mehdi Mortazavi, “Comparative lifecycle assessment of hydrogen fuel cell, electric, CNG, and gasoline-powered vehicles under real driving conditions,” Hydrogen Energy, vol. 47, no. 89, pp. 37990-38002, 2022. 12