Principles of Macroeconomics SAYRE // MORRIS Tenth Edition CHAPTER 10 International Trade Prepared by Hanika Bhojwani-Chen, Centennial College © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-1 CHAPTER 10 International Trade Learning Objectives: 1. Explain the importance of international trade and why nations trade with each other 2. Explain why nations import certain goods, even though they can be made more cheaply at home 3. Explain how the gains from trade are divided between trading partners © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-2 CHAPTER 10 International Trade 4. Describe why some groups win and others lose as a result of freer trade 5. Identify various restrictions to, and some arguments against, free trade © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-3 LO1: Specialization and Trade © 2021 McGraw Hill 2-4 Trends in World Trade and GDP 1970-2018 Source: World Trade Organization, International Trade Statistics 2019. © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-5 The World’s Leading Trading Nations Source: World Trade Organization, Statistical Review, 2019. © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-6 Trade • Factor endowment – An advantage in production comes from better skills, equipment, or other resources © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-7 Factor endowment • Differences in trade patterns are the result of − differences in climate − differences in natural resources − differences in human capital − government policies © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-8 Theory of Absolute Advantage • Theory of absolute advantage – Nations, like firms and individuals, should specialize in producing goods and services for which they have an advantage – They should trade for goods and services for which they do not enjoy an advantage © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-9 Absolute Advantage The table shows the productivity per worker of producing wheat and beans in Canada and Mexico. Canada Mexico Wheat 3 or 1 or Beans 2 4 Canada is more productive at producing wheat than is Mexico, whereas Mexico is more productive at producing beans than is Canada © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-10 No Specialization, No Trade Example Continued: No trade, each country has 16 million population (8 million in each industry) Canada Mexico TOTAL Wheat Beans 24 million or 16 million 8 million or 32 million 32 million or 48 million Each country produces for its domestic use as there is no trade. © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-11 With Specialization and Trade Example Continued: With trade, each country has 16 million population (8 million in each industry) Canada Mexico TOTAL Wheat 48 million or 0 million or 48 million or Beans 0 million 64 million 64 million With specialization, the two countries combined could produce an additional 16 million bushels of wheat (48 minus the previous 32) and an additional16 million bushels of beans (64 minus the previous 48). These are referred to as the gains from trade. © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-12 Specialization and Trade • Specialization and trade go hand in hand: – Specialization leads to increased total production – But if a country is going to specialize, it will need to trade in order to obtain those products it is not producing. – Specialization, then, implies trade, and it would be impossible to have one without the other. © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-13 Test Your Understanding The table below shows the productivity per worker in the beer and wine industries of Freedonia and Libraland: Freedonia Libraland Beer 4 3 Wine 1 4 • Which country should specialize in which product? © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-14 Test Your Understanding The table shows the productivity per worker in the beer and wine industries of Freedonia and Libraland: Freedonia Libraland Beer 4 3 Wine 1 4 • Which country should specialize in which product? Freedonia should specialize in beer and Libraland should specialize in wine © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-15 Test Your Understanding Freedonia Libraland Beer 4 3 Wine 1 4 • Suppose that initially the working population of each country is 20 million, with 10 million working in each industry. What is the total output of the two countries? © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-16 Test Your Understanding Freedonia Libraland Beer 4 3 Wine 1 4 • Suppose that initially the working population of each country is 20 million, with 10 million working in each industry. What is the total output of the two countries? Freedonia Beer 40 million Wine 10 million Libraland 30 million 40 million Totals 70 million 50 million © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-17 Test Your Understanding Freedonia Libraland Beer 4 3 Wine 1 4 Suppose that each country decides to specialize in the product in which it has an advantage. What will be the total output of each product, and what are the gains from trade? © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-18 Test Your Understanding Freedonia Libraland Beer 4 3 Wine 1 4 Suppose that each country decides to specialize in the product in which it has an advantage. What will be the total output of each product, and what are the gains from trade? Freedonia Beer 80 million Wine 0 Libraland 0 80 million 80 million 80 million Totals Gains are 10 beer, 30 wine © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-19 LO2: Theory of Comparative Advantage © 2021 McGraw Hill 2-20 Specialization and Trade • Theory of Comparative Advantage – The advantage that comes from producing something at a lower opportunity cost than others are able to do © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-21 Comparative Advantage Output per Worker by Country and Industry Number of Bushels per Day Wheat Beans United States 4 or 4 Philippines 1 or 3 • Each country has a trade-off (opportunity cost) for each item it produces Opportunity costs of Production Cost of Producing One Unit Wheat Beans United States 1 bean or 1 wheat Philippines 3 beans or 1/3 wheat © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-22 Comparative Advantage • The U.S. is comparatively better at making wheat – It gives up 1 beans, while Philippines gives up 3 Opportunity costs of Production Cost of Producing One Unit Wheat Beans United States 1 bean or 1 wheat Philippines 3 beans or 1/3 wheat • The Philippines is comparatively better at beans – It gives up 1/3 of wheat, while the U.S. gives up 1 – Both can be better off specializing, with trade © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-23 Production Without Trade • Suppose the United States produces at C, while the Philippines produces at B (no trade) Production Possibilities United States: Output (millions of bushels per day) A B C D E Wheat 400 320 240 160 80 Beans 0 80 160 240 320 Philippines: Output (millions of bushels per day) A B C D E Wheat 100 80 60 40 20 Beans 0 60 120 180 240 © 2021 McGraw Hill F 0 400 F 0 300 13-24 Production Without Trade • Suppose the United States produces at C, while the Philippines produces at B (no trade) Production Possibilities United States: Output (millions of bushels per day) A B C D E 240 = Wheat 400 + 80320 240 160 80 Beans 0 Wheat 80 160 240 320 320 Philippines: Output (millions of bushels per day) A B C D E Wheat 100 80 60 40 160 + 6020= Beans 0 60 120 180 240 220 Beans © 2021 McGraw Hill F 0 400 F 0 300 13-25 Specialization With Trade • Suppose the United States specializes at A, while the Philippines specializes at F, and they trade Production Possibilities United States: Output (millions of bushels per day) A B C D E Wheat 400 320 240 160 80 Beans 0 80 160 240 320 Philippines: Output (millions of bushels per day) A B C D E Wheat 100 80 60 40 20 Beans 0 60 120 180 240 © 2021 McGraw Hill F 0 400 F 0 300 13-26 Specialization With Trade • Suppose the United States specializes at A, while the Philippines specializes at F, and they trade Production Possibilities United States: Output (millions of bushels per day) 400 Wheat A B C D E Wheat 400 320 240 160 80 Beans 0 80 160 240 320 Philippines: Output (millions of bushels per day) A B C D E Wheat80 more 100Wheat80and 60 40 20 300 Beans 80 more 0 Beans, 60total 120 180 Beans 240 © 2021 McGraw Hill F 0 400 F 0 300 13-27 LO3: Terms of Trade © 2021 McGraw Hill 2-28 Terms of Trade • The average price of a country’s exports compared with the price of its imports Terms of trade = Average price of exports × 100 Average price of imports © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-29 Terms of Trade © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-30 No Trade Scenario Output per Worker by Country and Industry Philippines Beans produced Beans exported Beans consumed Wheat produced Wheat imported Wheat consumed Before Trade 60 0 60 80 0 80 After Trade United States Beans produced Beans exported Beans consumed Wheat produced Wheat imported Wheat consumed © 2021 McGraw Hill Before Trade 160 0 160 240 0 240 After Trade 13-31 With Specialization and Trade Output per Worker by Country and Industry Philippines Beans produced Beans exported Beans consumed Wheat produced Wheat imported Wheat consumed Before Trade After Trade 60 300 0 -240 60 60 80 0 0 120 80 120 Gain = 40 Wheat United States Beans consumed Wheat consumed Before Trade After Trade Beans produced 160 0 Beans exported 0 240 160 240 Wheat produced 240 400 Wheat imported 0 -120 240 280 © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-32 Gain = 80 Beans and 40 Wheat U.S. Production and Trading Possibilities Curves • The slope before trade is 1 (1 wheat for 1 beans) • If the terms of trade are 2 beans for 1 wheat, the maximum quantity of beans available to the U.S. increases © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-33 Philippines Production and Trading Possibilities Curves • The slope before trade is 1/3 (1 wheat for 3 beans) • If the terms of trade are 2 beans for 1 wheat, the maximum quantity of wheat available to the Philippines increases © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-34 Test Your Understanding Output/worker Freedonia Libraland Apples 6 3 Pears 3 2 – Assuming the two countries above wish to trade, would terms of trade of 1 bushel of pears = 2.5 bushels of apples be feasible? – What about 1 bushel of pears = 1 bushel of apples? – 1 bushel of pears = 1.75 bushels of apples? © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-35 Test Your Understanding Output/worker Freedonia Libraland Apples 6 3 Pears 3 2 – Assuming the two countries above wish to trade, would terms of trade of 1 bushel of pears = 2.5 bushels of apples be feasible? – What about 1 bushel of pears = 1 bushel of apples? – 1 bushel of pears = 1.75 bushels of apples? Only the last one is feasible. In Freedonia, 1 pear costs 2 apples. In Libraland 1 pear costs 1.5 apples. Therefore, the terms of trade must be between 1 pear = 1.5 to 2 apples. © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-36 Advantages of Free Trade • Lower prices as the result of lower costs of production • Higher incomes • A greater variety and quality of products • Increased competition © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-37 LO4: The Effect of Free Trade © 2021 McGraw Hill 2-38 Demand, Supply and Free Trade Total Market Demand and Supply of Wine for France and Germany (in millions of litres per month) FRANCE GERMANY TOTAL MARKET Price ($/L) Demand Supply Demand Supply Demand Supply 3 19 7 17 2 36 9 4 17 11 15 3 32 14 5 15 15 13 4 28 19 6 13 19 11 5 24 24 7 11 23 9 6 20 29 8 9 27 7 7 16 34 © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-39 Demand and Supply Without Free Trade • Market for Wine: Demand and supply are higher in France • Thus in France the quantity is higher and the price is lower © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-40 Demand and Supply With Free Trade • Market for Wine: The world price lies between France and Germany • France’s surplus (exports) = Germany’s shortage (imports) © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-41 Winners and Losers from Free Trade Winners Losers Domestic (German) Consumers Foreign (French) Consumers • More product choices • Pay higher prices • Pay lower prices Foreign (French) Producers • Bigger market • Get higher prices Domestic (German) Producers • Get lower prices • More competition © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-42 LO5: Trade Restrictions and Protectionism © 2021 McGraw Hill 2-43 Trade Protection • Types: – Import quotas – Tariffs – Currency-exchange controls – Bureaucratic regulations – Voluntary export restrictions © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-44 Trade Restrictions • Quota – A limit imposed on the production or sale of a product • Protectionism – The economic policy of protecting domestic producers by restricting the importation of foreign products © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-45 Import Quotas • Import quotas raise the price, lower imports, and increase domestic production © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-46 Trade Restrictions • Tariff – A tax (or duty) levied on imports • Currency exchange controls – Government restrictions limiting the amount of foreign currencies that can be obtained © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-47 Effects of a Tariff • Tariffs raise the price, lower imports, increase domestic production, and raise tax revenue © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-48 Trade Restrictions • Bureaucratic regulations – Rules that make it hard for foreign products to enter the country, or require them to be modified before entering • Voluntary export restriction (VER) – An agreement by an exporting country to restrict the amount of its exports to another country © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-49 Arguments Against Free Trade 1. Strategic industry argument – A country’s strategic industries may be offered protection so the country does not become dependent on foreign manufacturers 2. Infant industry argument – Certain “infant” industries may be protected until they are sufficiently mature to take on foreign competition © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-50 Arguments Against Free Trade 3. Cultural identity argument – Free trade brings mass production and standardization, which may harm the importing country’s sense of identity 4. Environmental and labour standards – May be eroded to compete with countries whose standards are lower and have a cost advantage as a result © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-51 Arguments Against Free Trade 5. Argument citing the multiplier effect from domestic production 6. Uncontrolled movement of capital and labour argument © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-52 CHAPTER 10 Key Concepts to Remember: 1. Importance of international trade 2. Theories of absolute and comparative advantage 3. Gains from trade stem from differences in the opportunity costs of production 4. How the gains from trade are divided between trading partners 5. Why some groups win and others loose as a result of free trade 6. Trade restrictions and the arguments against free trade © 2021 McGraw Hill 13-53