4. 2. Study area The Lake Tana basin is entirely located in the Amhara regional state in the north-western highlands of Ethiopia (Figure 1). It is one of the sub-basins of the Blue Nile River in which the largest fresh water lake in the country is found. The total catchment area of the Lake Tana basin is 15,321 km2. It is located at 12°00ʹ Northing and 37°15ʹ Easting (Figure 1). Altitude of the basin varies from 1785 m to 4094 m with a mean elevation of 2418 m. Most of the basin consists of cropland on the moderate sloping hillsides and grass in the valley bottoms. Soils vary rom Haplic Luvisols and Alisols in the Gilgel Abay, Luvisols in the Gumara, and Eutric Leptosols and Chromic Luvisols in the Rib and Megech . The climate in the Lake Tana basin is affected by the movement of the inter-tropical convergence zone which results in a single rainy season between June and September and a dry period the rest of the year. The average dry season (November– April) rainfall is 117 mm and potential evaporation is 710 mm. The wet season (May–October) rainfall is 1400 mm and potential evaporation is 645 mm for data used in the calibration and validation periods. More than 90% of the annual rainfall occurs in the wet monsoon phase. The mean annual temperature in the basin is 23°C in the relatively lower lying areas such as Bahir Dar and ranges between 15–20°C in the middle and high altitudes (29). Figure 1. Location map of lake Tana sub basin (source 29) 1. Study area The Ribb and Gumara Rivers are the two major perennial rivers that pass through the Fogera Plain and cause flooding due to their reduced local channel capacity (35). The rivers originate in the Guna Mountains, flow westward receiving additional from tributaries, and finally enter Lake Tana (Figure 1). Near the Lake Tana shore, the average monthly maximum temperature varies from 17°C to 37°C and from 19°C to 39°C for the Gumara and Ribb watersheds based on data of Woreta and Addis Zemen meteorological stations (1995– 2015), respectively. In December, the temperature in the headwaters of the Gumara and Ribb watersheds falls below 0°C (Debre Tabor meteorological station). The Ribb and Gumara watersheds receive an average yearly rainfall of 1300 and 1320 mm, respectively, with higher precipitation in their upper mountainous areas and less near the lake shore. The rainfall is unimodal and 80% falls in the rainy season (June to September) (35). 1.1. The Ribb River watershed The Ribb River has two gauging stations: the Lower and the Upper, which encompass a watershed area of 1501 and 844 km2, respectively (Figure 1). The watershed elevation varies from 4081m a.s.l. near the source to 1786m a.s.l. near Lake Tana. Terrain analysis shows that 18.3%, 42.0% and 49.7% of the watershed area have a slope of less than 10%, between 10% and 20% and greater than 20%, respectively. The river slope is relatively steep (0.3%) near the source and becomes gentle (∼0.037%) in the Fogera Plain. 2.2. The Gumara River watershed The Gumara River has one gauging station near the Gumara Bridge, on the road connecting Bahir Dar and Gondar, with a watershed area of 1412 km2 (Figure 1). The watershed is characterized by undulating topography with an elevation that varies from 3704m a.s.l. at the source to 1786 m a.s.l. near Lake Tana. 25.7% of the watershed area has a slope less than 10%, mainly in the Fogera Plain, while 33.2% of the area has a slope between 10% and 20% and the remaining 41.1% is characterized by steep slopes greater than 20%. 2 Study Area Gumara watershed is found in north western Ethiopia, located between latitudes 11034′-120 N and longitudes 37033′-380 11′ E (Fig. 1). The elevation ranges from 1784 to 3408 m above mean sea level (amsl). It has 1470.20 km2 and forms a part of Lake Tana basin forming the source of Blue Nile, North western Ethiopia. A mountainous and hilly dissected terrain with steep slopes characterises the upper stream whereas an undulating topography and gentle slopes form the downstream parts of the study watershed. The area is drained by numerous smaller streams including Guamra (the largest stream in the watershed) that flow to Lake Tana. The soils covering much of the watershed can be classified into clay loam, sandy loam and clayey to silt clayey (53). Figure 1. Location map of Gumara watershed (source 53) Figure 1. Location map of Gumara and Ribb watersheds (source 35)