Buckling of an imperfect spherical shell subjected to external pressure M.S. Ismaila,1, J. Mahmudb, A. Jailanic a Jabatan Kejuruteraan Mekanikal, Politeknik Sultan Salahuddin Abdul Aziz Shah, Shah Alam, 40150, Selangor, Malaysia b School of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, Universiti Teknologi MARA, 40450, Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia c Jabatan Kejuruteraan Mekanikal, Politeknik Port Dickson, Km 14 Jalan Pantai 71050 Si Rusa, Port Dickson, Negeri Sembilan. Abstract This paper presents numerical results focusing on the buckling behaviour of externally pressurised imperfect spherical shells. The numerical model followed the recommendations of the European Standard EN1993-1-6. A good agreement between the model FE and the experimental results with an average difference of less than 7% was found. The perfect steel spherical shell is then subjected to several imperfection approaches, such as (a) eigenmode imperfection and (b) single load indentation (SLI) imperfection. The eigenmode shape imperfection proves to be the worst imperfection for the externally pressurised spherical shells, yet the SLI is an attractive technique to simulate the realistic imperfection (i.e., dent/dimple). Based on the recommendation of the European Standard EN1993-1-6 for imperfection tolerance, the SLI imperfection was used for the realistic-case imperfection approach for different spherical shell configurations. A lower-bound closed-form empirical formula for a spherical shell under external pressure was proposed for the spherical shell with the single load indentation (SLI). The results show that for a shell shape parameter λ ≥ 10, the EBC provides a much higher knockdown factor compared to the guidelines of NASA SP -8032, Wagner, and lower-bound closed-form empirical formula (the differences are in the range of 48% - 56%). Keywords: Spherical shell; Eigenmode imperfection; Single Load Indentation (SLI) imperfection; Closedform lower-bound empirical formula; Buckling; Design codes; Knockdown factor 1 Corresponding author: M.S. Ismail; E-mail: mohdshahromismail@gmail.com; mohdshahrom@psa.edu.my; Phone: +6012-9676112 1 Introduction Spherical shells are commonly used in many engineering applications. Typically, they are used as partitions in pressure vessels/tanks, as domes to close the ends of cylindrical pressure vessels, or as hatches to cover the access ports of variously shaped pressure vessels in subsea applications, vacuum vessels (in the chemical industry), aerospace, and civilian applications [1–3]. In these engineering applications, the shell will most likely be subjected to various loading conditions, with external pressure being the most common. The final strength and stability of externally pressurised spherical shells depends strongly on their shape, material properties, pre-buckling deformations and geometric imperfections [2,4,5]. For submersibles application, the shell usually has to be designed to meet the ultimate strength requirements with some safety margin to achieve the desired diving depth [6]. Some success stories in submersible design and development include Jiaolong, operated by China NDSC [7], Shinkai, operated by JAMSTEC, Nautile, operated by IFREMER, and Consul AS37, operated by the Russian Navy. In practice, the spherical shell is designed following contemporary design standards such as European Convention for Constructional Steelwork [8], Det Norske Veritas [9], British Standard [10], and American Bureau of Shipping (ABS) [11]. These design standards were derived from the results of previous tests, particularly those conducted by the British and American naval research institutions. The design curve in Section 3.6 of PD 5500 is derived from the lower bound of the experimental results. Conversely, the ECCS design code also used the previous theoretical and experimental results as the basis for the design code. Recently, a series of experiments have been conducted for (i) spherical shells [12– 16] and (ii) hemispherical shells [6,17–19] subjected to external pressure. The tests are considered to be of high quality since they give a repeatable buckling load for identical models. Moreover, the spherical shell can be classified as a complete, deep, and shallow shell/structure [20]. The presence of an initial structural imperfection is inevitable and poses a challenge to an engineer as it can affect the integrity and stability of the structure. To this day, the formation of initial imperfections puzzles engineers/designers as they have been defined in terms of its position, dent- amplitude, worst shape, etc. It is well known that most fabricated or machined spherical shells are susceptible to the presence of an initial imperfection. Practically, the initial geometric imperfection is most likely due to accidental damage [37]. In this regard, the ability to understand the situation can give the engineer an advantage in his safety measures and failure prevention. On average, structural imperfection can reduce the buckling load, Pimp, on the perfect structure, Pperf, by 20%-50%. In general, the load-carrying capacity of the shell structure is referred to as the knockdown factor (KDF) (i.e., Pimp/Pperf). Measured geometric imperfections (MGI) is one of the experimental techniques to evaluate structural imperfection for spherical shells [13,15,17] and cylindrical composite shells [21]. The MGI technique is considered to be time consuming and very expensive because the fabricated shell must be measured using optical measurement systems. An alternative way to evaluate the imperfection sensitivity of shell structures is to apply different methods using finite element analysis (FEA), namely: (a) eigenmode imperfection, (b) single load indentation (SLI) imperfection approaches, and (c) the reduced Page 2 of 29 stiffness method (RSM). For years, eigenmode imperfection has been used extensively to mimic initial structural imperfection for various forms of shell structures at an earlier design stage using FEA [22–28]. Although in practice, most imperfections found in structures do not have this buckling mode [29,30]. In some cases, the eigenmode imperfection does not appear to be the worst imperfection. Therefore, the need for more realistic forms of imperfections is considered essential. Hühne et al. [31] introduced the single perturbation load analysis (SPLA) imperfection approach. In this method, the lateral concentrated force applied to the outer surface of the shell is used to simulate the dent/ dimple shape of the structural imperfection. In [32,33], it was reported that in addition to the SPLA, the single load indentation (SLI) imperfection method can also be used to estimate the knockdown factor of the cone-cylinder shell assembly. This technique is identical to the SPLA except that a displacement load is used instead of the lateral force to create the dent imperfection. Multiple lateral loads along the shell circumference were also been used to demonstrate the worst type of imperfection level [34,35]. This technique is referred to as the worst multiple perturbation load approach (WMPLA). BΕachut [22] investigated the externally pressurized dome knockdown factor that accounts for dimple imperfection by using multiple approaches, namely (i) Legendre polynomials, (ii) increased-radius patch, and (iii) a localized inward dimple. It has been reported that the location of the dimple has a strong influence on the sensitivity of the structures [28,29]. Another well-known method, the reduced stiffness method (RSM), is performed by reducing or eliminating the components of the membrane stiffness of the shell, leaving only the bending stiffness. In a recent study, the membrane stiffness is reduced locally rather than globally, which is called the locally reduced stiffness method (LRSM). Wagner et al. [20,36] investigate the imperfection sensitivity and design of spherical domes under external pressure using LRSM. Steel spherical domes are considered to be typically thin-walled structures and are highly susceptible to buckling under external pressure, especially when empty or during operation. Previous studies showed discrepancies in the buckling resistance of steel spherical shells between the design method proposed in the European Standard EN1993-1-6 and the analytical formulas recommended in the British Standard PD 5500. The aim of this work is twofold. First, to numerically investigate the imperfection sensitivity of a spherical shell subjected to external pressure using different imperfection approaches - (a) eigenmode imperfection and (b) single load indentation (SLI) imperfection - in order to determine the appropriate imperfection case in this sense. It is worth mentioning that the numerical model followed the recommendations of the European Standard EN1993-1-6. Based on the chosen imperfection approach, further numerical investigations were performed on different spherical shell configurations to derive a lower-bound closed-form empirical formula with lower limit value, which is compared with the recommended KDF according to the guidelines of (i) NASA SP -8032 [44], (ii) Energy Barrier Criterion (EBC) [43] and (ii) Wagner [20]. This study is unique in that there have been fewer or no studies on this topic. The information, expertise, and conclusions from this study are intended to provide insight into the field of design or failure examination/testing of pressure vessels/tanks, submersible structures, vacuum vessels (in the chemical industry), aerospace, and civilian applications. Page 3 of 29 2 2.1 Numerical modelling Preliminary study The numerical model of the spherical shells was benchmarked against the experimental data recorded by [17,19,37]. Sixteen (16) laboratory scale spherical shells subjected to external pressure (see Fig. 1 (a)) are described in the following terms: Spherical radius, R, spherical thickness, t, base radius, e, spherical height, H, and semi-vertex angle, φ, as outlined in Fig. 1 (b). Alternatively, Table 1 outlined the geometry and material properties of benchmark models, which are based on the experimental data [17,19,37]. The numerical analysis assumed a fully constrained/clamped boundary condition with an elastic-plastic material model. The numerical model uses a polar coordinate system around the shell edge. In the benchmarking study, the nonlinear static Riks analysis is used. The setting of nonlinear static Riks analysis was Nlgeom = on, maximum number of increments = 100, initial arc length increment = 0.01, minimum arc length increment = 1E-15 and maximum arc length increment = 1E-36. According to the recommendation of European Standard EN19931-6 [38], the numerical model is assumed to be a perfect shell by using the geometric and material nonlinear analysis (GMNA) approach. The numerical model in this study uses the S4R shell element, which provides a solution to shell problems as described by classical Kirchhoff shell theory and bending stress with reference to Koiter-Sanders shell theory. The S4R shell element is described as a four-node shell element with six degrees of freedom (S4R in the ABAQUS element library). The numerical model also followed the J2 flow plasticity theory because the differences in the buckling load estimated by the J2 flow theory and the J2 deformation theory are insignificant for the case of the externally pressurised cone-cylinder transition [39] and the axially compressed cylindrical shell and plate [40,41]. Page 4 of 29 Figure 1: (a) Load and boundary condition of externally pressurised spherical shell and its (b) schematic diagram Table 1: Geometry and material properties of benchmark models in referring to the experimental data R t E σy ID R/t v Remark Refs. [mm] [mm] [GPa] [MPa] D1 1816.5 1 1816.5 D2 1605.7 1.02 1574.2 D3 878.6 1.03 853.01 207 303.5 0.28 Shallow shell [37] D4 1166.7 1.76 662.9 D5 759.3 1.76 431.42 D6 563.4 1.76 320.11 UNHS1 60 0.77 77.922 150.8 313.63 0.29 [19] Page 5 of 29 UNHS2 UNHS3 UNHS4 UNHS5 1# 2# 3# 4# 5# 60 60 60 60 58.84 58.77 58.99 58.77 58.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.432 0.422 0.423 0.406 0.415 78.947 78.947 78.947 77.922 136.2 139.27 139.46 144.75 141.57 Hemispherical shell 193 205 Hemispherical shell 0.28 [17] To support the numerical model, it is common to calculate the buckling capacity of the pressurised spherical shell using the industrial design code. The guideline proposed by the British Standard PD 5500 design code [10] was chosen in this study to calculate and verify the buckling pressure of the tested spherical shells. This approach is crucial for verifying the reliability of the existing design rules and their usefulness for preliminary estimation of buckling load. In general, the available design rules use the conventional working stress to determine each failure mode. Apart from the working stress and safety factors, the design rule also takes into account several uncertainties, namely eccentric boundary conditions and loads, material hardening and structural imperfections of the tested spherical shell structures. The critical buckling formula, Pcr of a complete spherical shell under external pressure according to PD 5500 design code [10] is expressed by equation (1). πππ = 2πΈ π‘ ( )2 √3(1 − π 2 ) π (1) In the case of plastic buckling, the yield stress is important, and an approximate value for a plastic buckling pressure, Pyield, is given in equation (2). π‘ ππππππ = 2ππππππ ( ) π (2) The design code PD 5500 estimated the collapse pressure using equation (3) ( 1 πππ· 5500 )2 = ( 1 2 1 2 ) +( ) 0.3πππ ππ¦ππππ (3) The benchmark analysis with experimental results for sixteen (16) models is shown in Fig. 2 (a) - (b). The results summarise the comparison of buckling load calculated with the design code PD 5500, numerical results (i.e., nonlinear analysis GMNA), and test results. The nonlinear Riks analysis provides good agreement with the experimental result compared to PD 5500 design code. The average percentage difference between the experimental results and the numerical analysis is less than 7%, for overall cases. Specifically, for the case of Page 6 of 29 shallow shell, a more closed estimate of the buckling load was found by the D3 model with less than 1% difference. Obviously, the subsequent numerical model overestimates the buckling load by 10% compared to the experimental result of the D2 model. For the case of a hemispherical shell, it is again found that the UNHS1 - UNHS5 models slightly underestimated the buckling load by 8% on average. Meanwhile, models 1# - 5# significantly overestimated the buckling load by 11% on average. This result clearly indicates that the numerical model is appropriate for the analysis. Nevertheless, an insignificant buckling load is recorded for the case of a shell of identical size, as shown by the UNHS1-UNHS5 and 1# - 5# models, separately. This is a clear indication of the presence of structural defects. In this case, the structural imperfection is believed to be in the form of dents, uneven thickness, strain hardening and many more. The severity of the imperfection is indicated by the deviating ratio of the experimental buckling load to the calculated numerical analysis, PExp/PColl, which is less than or greater than 1.0. It is obvious that the buckling load calculated by PD 5500 slightly underestimates the experimental results for the corresponding cases of models D1 - D6 (with an average of 46%), UNHS1 - UNHS5 (with an average of 33%), and 1# - 5# (with an average of 10%), as reported in [19,37]. The corresponding result shows that the buckling load of the 5# model is closer to the experimental data to some extent, with differences of 6% calculated. A larger difference was found for the D1 model, where the buckling load deviates by 50%. From the given results, it can be said that a reasonable agreement of the buckling load between the experiment and the design code was found for the case of a hemispherical shell [17]. Figs. 3 - 4 show a typical plot of the external pressure against the vertical deflection of the dome apex using specimens D6 (shallow shell) and UNHS1 (hemispherical shell) as examples. Both figures show the (i) initial yield pressure, PYield, (ii) collapse pressure, PColl, and (iii) post-collapse pressure, PPost-Collapse. In the case of sample D6 (i.e., shallow spherical shell), it can be seen that the spherical shell reaches its first yield pressure, PYield, at 0.949 MPa, followed by the collapse pressure, PColl, at 1.202 MPa, and the post-collapse pressure, PPost-Collapse, at 0.504 MPa (see Fig. 3). Fig. 4 shows alternatively the load carrying capacity of a hemispherical shell represented by the UNHS1 model. The shell was found to reach its yield point at PYield = 3.892 MPa before collapsing at PColl = 8.19 MPa and post-failure at PPost-Collapse = 4.5777 MPa. It was found that a significant pressure drop occurs in both models, followed by a stable equilibrium path afterward. The numerically tested D6 specimen (i.e., shallow spherical-cap) suffers asymmetric failure (see inserted (a)(c) in Fig. 3). It was observed that the shell experiences a pronounced yield stress in the equatorial region before propagating to the apex region. At the peak of the buckling load, there is a strong stress concentration in the apex region before the shell fails completely in post-collapse mode. The UNHS1 model (i.e., the hemispherical shell) initially appears to maintain a minimal concentration of yield stress around the equatorial edge (see Fig. 4 insert (a)). At peak of the buckling load, the stress spreads out and concentrates locally below the apex near the equator before entering the post-collapse phase (see Fig. 4 insert (b) - (c)) and before bulging out in an axisymmetric manner. Page 7 of 29 Figure 2: Plot of experimental results with numerical model and PD 5500 design code [10] for (a) shallow shell and (b) hemispherical shell Page 8 of 29 Figure 3: Plot of load versus deflection of externally pressurized spherical shell for specimen D6 with analysis type GMNA Figure 4: Plot of load versus deflection of externally pressurized spherical shell for specimen UNHS1 with analysis type GMNA Page 9 of 29 2.2 Perfect spherical shell In general, according to the European Standard EN1993-1-6 [38], it is common to first perform the linear buckling analysis (LBA), Pcr, to gain insight into the analysed shell. In this analysis, the nominal parameters used for the LBA model are spherical radius, R = 500, uniform wall thickness, t = 1 mm, spherical height, H = 6 mm, and base radius, r = 83 mm. A stainless steel of spherical shell is considered in the analysis with an elastic modulus = 207 GPa, a yield stress, σyield = 303.5 MPa, and a Poisson's ratio, υ = 0.28. The numerical model is based on an elastic-plastic material model following the experiment performed by [37]. An example of elastic-plastic material model taken from [37] is shown in Fig. 5. The linear buckling load was calculated using the subspace solver. The subsequent pressure load of 1 MPa is applied to the spherical shell and multiplied by the obtained eigenvalue to produce a buckling load, Pcr of the LBA. Figure 5: An example of elastic-plastic material model taken from material properties given in [37] In practice, it is important to study the behaviour of externally pressurised steel spherical shells as a function of dimensionless ratios: spherical radius- to- wall thickness, (R/t)- ratio. Throughout the analysis, the wall thickness, t, is varied accordingly and presented with a range of dimensionless ratios from 100 < R/t < 1000. To mimic the application of a spherical shell as part of an industrial component, a fully constrained boundary condition was considered along with three other boundary conditions, as indicated in Table 2, to determine the most appropriate condition for the FE analysis. It is worth noting that the numerical model uses a polar coordinate system at the edge of the shell. The terms used in the table are tangential direction, v, radial direction, w, normal direction, u and rotational direction, θ. The rotational direction, θ is described as a Page 10 of 29 condition that rotates about the normal direction, u of the spherical shell (see Fig. 1). The variation of boundary conditions tested in this study is consistent with the analysis of the spherical shell in terms of (i) buckling load, (ii) number of buckling waves (n), and, (iii) structural failure mode. Table 3 demonstrates a convergence analysis with different numbers of finite element meshes to determine an appropriate fine-mesh model. It is known that the finer the mesh, the more time the model takes to complete the analysis. From the convergence analysis, it is found that 6897 elements are sufficient for the analysis. This is reflected in the fact that the percentage deviation from the convergence analysis was reduced to almost 0.04% - 0.26%, which is due to the density of the FE model. On the other hand, when the number of elements exceeded 10,000, insignificant buckling load was found from the analysis. The result also shows a reliable mesh numbers with a reasonable time to completion. This is seen as the percentage of difference from the convergence analysis was reduced to nearly 0.04% 0.26% consequently to the density of the FE model. On the other hand, with the element numbers exceeding to 10,000, an insignificant buckling was found from the analysis. The result also shows a reliable buckling load with a reasonable time to complete. Fig. 6 shows the variation of the buckling load Pcr of the spherical shell pressurised from outside against the range of dimensionless ratios of 100 < R/t < 1000 with the help of 4 different boundary conditions. It can be clearly seen that the Type 4 boundary condition at R/t = 100 provides a conservative estimate of the critical buckling load compared to the other boundary conditions. In contrast, boundary condition type 1 produces a much higher buckling load for shell size R/t > 200. A significant difference in critical load decreases significantly for shell size R/t > 200. For the case of R/t = 100, the lowest and highest critical buckling loads were found to be 21.015 MPa and 54.245 MPa for boundary condition type 4 and type 3, respectively. The range of differences in critical buckling load is between 25.15% - 61.25% for boundary condition type 1 - type 4 with shell size of 100 < R/t < 1000. For the case of spherical shell size R/t = 1000, the shell leads to axisymmetric failure with boundary condition type 1 and 2 as shown in Fig. 6 (see insert (a) - (b)). Conversely, for the same size, the shells failed asymmetrically with the corresponding number of modes, namely n = 2, under boundary conditions type 3 and 4, as shown in Fig. 6 (see insert (c) - (d)). Fig. 7 shows the evolution of the elastic and elastic-plastic material models as a function of the deflection of a spherical shell subjected to external pressure for a perfect nominal model. It is worth mentioning that the analysis was performed according to the Geometric Nonlinear Analysis (GNA) recommended by the European Standard EN1993-1-6 [38]. From the analysis, it appears that the buckling behaviour of the spherical shell is governed by plastic buckling, since the elastic analysis predicts a much larger buckling load than the elasticplastic analysis. The elastic material model also shows an unstable response after buckling at displacements greater than 8 mm. Page 11 of 29 Table 2: Four type of boundary condition (BS) applied at the equatorial (bottom) plane of the spherical shell, e.g., type 1 means fully clamped support. Note c = variable is set to zero, f ≡ variable is set to free Type of BC 1 2 3 4 U1 c c c c U2 c c c c U3 c c f f UR1 c f c f UR2 c c c c UR3 c c c c Table 3: Convergence study of externally pressurized spherical shell for nominal model Element number 1768 4873 6897 10962 Pcr [MPa] 0.70027 0.69846 0.69817 0.69789 Figure 6: Buckling load, PLBA of LBA mode against range of dimensionless ratios of 100 <R/t < 1000 and different boundary conditions Page 12 of 29 Figure 7: Plot of elastic and elastic-plastic material model load response versus deflection of externally pressurised spherical shell for perfect nominal model 3 Imperfection sensitivity of spherical shell In this section, a numerical work was carried out to evaluate the influence of the initial geometrical imperfection of a spherical shell under external pressure. The imperfection techniques used were also tested to investigate the realistic case of imperfection for the spherical shell structure. Following the European Standard EN1993-1-6 [38], the Geometric and Material Nonlinear Imperfection Analysis (GMNIA) approach was used for the analysis. The influence of the initial geometric imperfection on the buckling strength of the spherical shell is evaluated using two types of imperfections, namely (i) the single load indentation (SLI) imperfection and (ii) eigenmode imperfection. These imperfections were separately superimposed on the perfect model, with the range of imperfection amplitude versus wall thickness, wo/t, varied between 0.0 and 2.5. The imperfect spherical shell sensitivity was performed for the case of (i) a hemispherical shell and (ii) shallow shell, which is constitutively demonstrated by the UNHS1 model, the D6 model, and the #1 model. 3.1 Single load indentation (SLI) imperfection For the SLI case, as shown in Fig. 8 (a), a displacement-controlled perturbation load was applied laterally to the mid-section (i.e., below the crown area) of the spherical shell until the required indentation depth is reached. Thereafter, the magnitude of perturbation load is held constant to eliminate springback while external pressure is applied at an incremental rate of nonlinear analysis via the Riks method until the collapse load is reached. The bottom of the spherical shell is assumed to be in a fully constrained state during the application Page 13 of 29 of the lateral load and external pressure. The reason for applying the lateral load in the mid-section of the spherical shell is explained by the fact that the imperfection in this area usually occurs in the form of depressions or dents [6,20]. 3.2 Eigenmode shape imperfection For the case of eigenmode imperfection, the modes were varied from n = 1, n = 2, and n = 3, as shown in Fig. 8 (b) - (d) using the UNHS1 model as an example. The use of selected eigenmodes is necessary to determine the lowest knockdown factor of the shell. Then, a nonlinear static analysis using the modified static Riks method was performed to determine the collapse pressure of the spherical shell. Again, similar to the SLI case, the bottom of the spherical shell is assumed to be in a fully constrained state during the application of the external pressure. Failure is observed in the regions of the apex and mid-section, as indicated by the n = 1 eigenmode shape (see Fig. 7 (b)). Fig. 7 (c) - (d) confirms that failure occurred in the mid-section of the spherical shell below the apex. Figure 8: Illustration of imperfection shape exemplified by UNHS1 model for (a) SLI – mid-section, buckling mode shapes (b) n = 1, (c) n = 2, and, (d) n = 3 Page 14 of 29 3.3 Comments on imperfection sensitivity of spherical shells The obtained results show that the spherical shell subjected to the external pressure with the SLI imperfection in the mid-section of the shell does not have the worst imperfection in all the tested models (see Figs. 9 - 11). Nevertheless, it can be seen that the imperfect spherical shell decays slightly at wo/t = 1 in the case of model UNHS1, model D6 and model #1. It can be seen that in the range of wo/t = 1.0 - 2.5, the decrease in knockdown factors is about 10% - 20% for all models. Remarkably, at wo/t = 2.5, the shell can withstand only about 21% - 22% for the hemispherical shell case and 8% for the case of shallow shell. In Figs. 9 - 11, the reduction of knockdown factor is plotted against the ratio of imperfection amplitude and wall thickness (wo/t). It can be seen from the figures that the eigenmode shape imperfection is more conservative compared to the SLI for all the externally pressurised spherical shells tested, namely the UNHS1, D6 and #1 models. It can be noted that the eigenmode shapes n = 1 - 3 produce the largest imperfection sensitivity for the UNHS1, D6 and #1 models, respectively. From the given results, it is clear that the mode shape, n = 1 does not produce the lowest knockdown factor for the UNHS1, D6 and #1 models. The results also show that the first mode shape cannot be considered as the worst case of geometric imperfection. Here, the knockdown factor of each shell is defined at the beginning of the plotted threshold (i.e., w o/t ≥ 0.5). The knockdown factors estimated using the eigenmode approach for mode shape n = 1 - 3 were in the range of 0.125 - 0.219 for model UNHS1, 0.295 - 0.488 for model D6, and 0.113 - 0.187 for model #1. It must be emphasised here that the eigenmode imperfection approach is able to estimate the lower-bound knockdown factor, but depends strongly on the mode shape and the imperfection amplitude. For the case of a hemispherical shell (i.e., model UNHS1 and model #1), wo/t = 0.8 shows that the imperfect spherical shell with mode shapes n = 3 can only support about 40% of the load-carrying capacity of the perfect shell. Beyond this imperfection amplitude (i.e., wo/t = 0.8), the knockdown factor appears to be marginal. On the other hand, at wo/t = 1.0, the hemispherical shell can only support about 35% of the load-carrying capacity of the perfect shell. For the case of shallow spherical shell, represented by the D6 model, an identical trend was also observed. The corresponding D6 model also shows that for wo/t = 0.8, the bearing capacity decreases by almost 59% compared to the perfect shell, and for wo/t = 1.0, it slightly increases everywhere by 60%. Although the trend seems to be similar, it is worth noting that a sharp decrease in structural strength is observed for the shallow shell (i.e., the D6 model) compared to the hemispherical shell. This peculiarity is due to the shallow depth of the spherical shell, which is less able to support a larger load and therefore fails faster than the other shells. On the other hand, the obtained results are in agreement with the references [23,34], in which it was found that the first mode shape cannot be considered as the worst geometric imperfection. Meanwhile, the SLI has tried to produce a more realistic imperfection in the form of a dent failure in the region of the spherical shell mid-section, as observed in the eigenmode failure at n = 2-3. Page 15 of 29 Figure 9: Spherical shell knockdown factor against imperfection amplitude to wall thickness ratio, wo/t for the case of eigenmode shape imperfection and SLI with UNHS1 model Figure 10: Spherical shell knockdown factor against imperfection amplitude to wall thickness ratio, wo/t for the case of eigenmode shape imperfection and SLI with D6 model Page 16 of 29 Figure 11: Spherical shell knockdown factor against imperfection amplitude to wall thickness ratio, wo/t for the case of eigenmode shape imperfection and SLI with #1 model 4 Imperfection sensitivity of spherical shell – parametric study From the imperfection sensitivity analysis performed in the previous section, it can be concluded that the eigenmode shape imperfection is the worst imperfection for the spherical shells tested, but this is not necessarily true for the case of a realistic imperfection. In practice, most imperfections in structures do not exhibit buckling modeshape (i.e., deformation). This is confirmed by the fact that some researchers have argued that the eigenmode imperfection method is not suitable for the worst case of geometric imperfection [23,34]. Finally, eigenmode imperfection is often used only tentatively to estimate the lowest buckling load [29]. In contrast, SLI is an attractive technique for simulating defects (e.g., dent) that resemble real defects found in various industrial structures. This argument supports the work done by [42,43] for the postbuckling behaviour of spherical shells under pressure. Finally, in this section, the imperfection sensitivity of the externally pressurised spherical shell is further investigated by applying the SLI imperfection technique. On the other hand, referring to the European Standard EN1993-1-6 [38], the nonlinear analysis based on the geometric and material nonlinear imperfection analysis (GMNIA) was performed. Page 17 of 29 4.1 Suggested imperfection based on European Standard EN1993-1-6 In accordance with the report of [20], the spherical shell in this study is categorised according to the following structure: (i) hemispherical shell - H/R = 1, (ii) spherical shell - H/R = 0.75, (iii) deep spherical shell - H/R = 0.5, and (iv) shallow spherical shell - H/R = 0.07. The imperfect spherical shells subjected to external pressure are tested with the following setup: ο· the imperfections of the spherical shell (i.e. shape, dent and amplitude) are calculated according to the European standard EN1993-1-6 [38], based on equation (4) (4) πΏππ₯ = 4√π π‘ ο· the spherical shell is assumed to be completely clamped at the equatorial edge ο· the dent is created by applying the lateral displacement load in the middle of the spherical curvature (i.e. below the apex) ο· the response of the tested shells to the buckling load is recorded by considering the respective dimensionless ratio of Pimp/Py to Pcr/Py according to PD 5500 design code [10]. The dimensionless ratio, which can be calculated based on equations (1) and (2) The input parameters used for the parametric study are listed in Table 4. Parameter variation was set in 3 dimensionless-ratio groups, namely, (i) R/t, (ii) H/R, and (iii) σYield. As mentioned below, 4 types of spherical shells were tested, with each type of shell consisting of 12 cases. Therefore, 48 numerical models were successively run via FE nonlinear analysis in the range of input parameters. Table 4: The input parameters used for the parametric study Variable Description Variation range R/t Spherical radius to thickness ratio 250<R/t<1000 H/R Dome height to spherical radius ratio 0.075<H/R<1 σYield Yield stress 200 MPa<σYield<400 MPa Fig. 12 (a) - (b) shows a plot of the dimensionless- ratio of Pimp/Py (y-axis) versus Pcr/Py (x-axis) for the case of (i) hemispherical shells, (ii) spherical shells, (iii) deep spherical shells, and (iv) shallow spherical shells. The corresponding results highlight several findings that can be outlined below: ο· the interactive behaviour of the dimensionless- ratio of Pimp/Py versus Pcr/Py follows the format of the PD 5500 design code. Fig. 12 (a) shows that the hemispherical shell produces a larger value of Pimp/Py = 0.891, followed by the spherical shell calculated with a value of Pimp/Py = 0.385. Fig. 12 (b) again shows that the deep spherical shell produces a larger value of Pimp/Py = 0.910, followed by the shallow spherical shell with a value of Pimp/Py = 0.797 ο· it is obvious that the hemispherical shell overestimates the dimensionless-ratio of Pimp/Py by almost 42% compared to the spherical shell with Pcr/Py = 2.321 (see Fig. 12 (a)). Even for the similar case Page 18 of 29 with Pcr/Py = 0.290, the calculated differences are about 70 %. On the other hand, Fig. 12 (b) shows a nominal difference in Pimp/Py of about 12 % for the case of a deep spherical shell and a shallow spherical shell at Pcr/Py = 2.321. At Pcr/Py = 0.290, the shallow spherical shell estimates Pimp/Py of about 17 % compared to the deep spherical shell ο· Fig. 11 (a) - (b) shows a polynomial curve fitting method for the scatter plot of each tested case after regression analysis. It can be seen that each of the derived equations appears to be reliable with an R2 value of 0.9186 - 0.9694 Page 19 of 29 Figure 12: A plot of dimensionless-ratio of Pimp/Py against Pcr/Py for the case of (i) Hemispherical shell, (ii) Spherical shell, (iii) deep spherical shell, and, (iv) Shallow spherical shell Page 20 of 29 5 Lower-bound imperfection As mentioned earlier, the literature shows that knowledge of the imperfection sensitivity of spherical shells subjected to external pressure is still limited in the open literature in terms of design formulations, curvature guidelines, etc. Based on the available experimental results and actual FEA results, a closed-form lower-bound empirical formula for the knockdown factor (KDF) of the externally loaded spherical shell is derived. In the design guideline, the knockdown factor (KDF) is derived by a ratio of P imp/Pcrit. To obtain the buckling pressure of the imperfect spherical shell, the KDF was multiplied by Pcrit. The derived empirical formula may be limited in terms of its scope. Nevertheless, it provides a first estimate of the buckling load of an imperfect spherical shell. 5.1 NASA SP-8032 The empirical formula was developed based on the format NASA SP-8032 [44], as it is very general and flexible when dealing with different shell buckling problems. The use of the NASA SP-8032 guideline is still relevant in the aerospace or subsea industries at the preliminary design stage, as all aerospace or subsea regulatory agencies have adopted this procedure as a safe and conservative approach equivalent to implementing the lower bound of the buckling knockdown factor curve. The NASA SP-8032 guideline is calculated under the following condition: ο· according to NASA SP-8032 [44] the shell parameter, λ are calculate by the following equation (5) π π 4 π = √12(1 − π 2 )√ 2π ππ ( ) π‘ 2 ο· (5) simultaneously the spherical shell knockdown factor (KDF) is calculated by following the equation (6) πΎπ·πΉππ΄ππ΄ = 0.14 + 3.2 π2 (6) In addition to the results from FE, additional data from available experimental results from [45–50] were included and compared with other available knockdown factor formulas, namely: (i) Energy Barrier Criterion (EBC) from [43] and (ii) Wagner [20], as indicated in Table 5. Finally, 343 KDF samples of tested spherical shells subjected to external pressure were recorded and evaluated accordingly. Table 5: Knockdown factor formulas with its corresponding description Formulas Ref. 0.693 πΎπ·πΉπΈπ΅πΆ = 2 EBC, λ > 5 [43] 5 √(1 − π)π5 Page 21 of 29 πΎπ·πΉππππππ = 5.172π−1.464 + 0.1296 Wagner, λ > 5.5 [20] Fig. 13 shows a comparison of the knockdown factor estimated according to NASA SP-8032, EBC [43], Wagner [20] with experimental results for spherical shells subjected to external pressure. A curve of the lowerbound of imperfection is derived from the scatter of the KDF data and fitted using the mathematical expression in equation (7). The value of the closed-form empirical formula for the lower-bound fitted to the curve is determined based on trials and regression analysis. Finally, a closed-form lower-bound empirical formula of a spherical shell subjected to external pressure is derived using the following equation (7): πΎπ·πΉπΆπ’πππππ‘ π€πππ = 0.07 + 3.2 π2 (7) The comparison of the knockdown factor estimated according to NASA SP-8032 [44], EBC [43], Wagner [20] and the experimental results for spherical shells subjected to external pressure, as shown in Fig. 13, will now be discussed in detail: ο· from the figure, it can be seen that Wagner's [20] approach predicts a much higher knockdown factor at shell shape parameter λ ≤ 10 ο· nevertheless, for a shell shape parameter λ ≥ 10, the EBC yields a much higher knockdown factor compared to NASA SP-8032, Wagner and the proposed equation (7) (where the differences are in the range of 48% - 56%) ο· interestingly, the present nonlinear parametric FEA results, denoted by the symbol (β²), have been found to be inconsistently insensitive to the imperfection by producing a much larger knockdown factor for a shell shape parameter λ ≥ 10 compared to the other experimental results within the range of the shell shape parameter ο· an important point to emphasise here is that the proposed equation (7) accounts for much less than the other equations Figs. 14 - 15 show a comparison of the knockdown factor calculated using (i) NASA SP-8032 and (ii) the proposed equation (7) with a total of 343 samples of experimental results. The black solid line in the figure represents the estimated knockdown factor as a function of shell shape parameter, λ and is expressed as a linear function. From the given results, it can be summarised that: ο· the knockdown factor predicted by NASA SP-8032 does not agree with several tested experimental results, as shown in Fig. 14. This confirms that NASA SP-8032 cannot serve as a lower bound for the knockdown factor. Page 22 of 29 ο· similarly, the proposed equation (7) anticipates the problem that it is more conservative compared to NASA SP-8032 as shown in Fig. 15. ο· in conclusion, although the proposed equation (7) is more conservative than the other guidelines, it can still serve as an initial estimate of the knockdown factor for imperfect spherical shells under external pressure. Figure 13: Comparison of knockdown factor estimated by NASA SP-8032, EBC [43], Wagner [20] and experimental results for spherical shells subjected to the external pressure Page 23 of 29 Figure 14: Knockdown factor of the experimental results versus NASA SP-8032 Figure 15: Knockdown factor of the experiment results versus proposed equation 6 Conclusion The results of the numerical study of the imperfection sensitivity of a spherical shell pressurised from the outside are presented in this paper. The following conclusions can be drawn from the preceding analysis: Page 24 of 29 1. The numerical calculation results of the imperfection sensitivity of a spherical shell structure pressurised from the outside are presented in this paper. From the results, it is found that the buckling strength of externally loaded spherical shells is reduced in the presence of a structural imperfection. 2. The imperfection approach also plays a major role in determining the buckling strength of the structure. Through the different types of imperfection approaches considered in this study, it was shown that the load-bearing capacity of a spherical shell superimposed with an eigenmode imperfection is greatly reduced. This was followed by single load indentation (SLI) imperfection. The result also highlights the catastrophic nature of the dent/dimple amplitude generated by the SLI (Single Load Indentation) imperfection, especially in the case of an externally pressurised spherical shell typically found in industry. 3. Finally, a lower-bound closed-form empirical formula with lower limit value for a spherical shell under external pressure was proposed for the spherical shell with the appropriate imperfection approach (i.e., the single load indentation (SLI)). The results show that for a shell shape parameter λ ≥ 10, the EBC provides a much higher knockdown factor compared to the guidelines of NASA SP -8032, Wagner, and lower-bound closed-form empirical formula (the differences are in the range of 48% - 56%). In general, the results of the study are highly useful and contribute to the body of knowledge on the effects of structural imperfections in the preliminary stages of design, fabrication, and analysis of the externally pressurised spherical shell structure. Author statement The research data can be shared at the request of the editor. Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. Acknowledgements The authors would like to acknowledge the financial support from Politeknik Sultan Salahuddin Abdul Aziz Shah and the Ministry of Higher Education Malaysia. 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