Unit 5 Role of government in an economy Unit 5 Role of government in an economy Activities: Guidance and answers Activity 5.1 Being instrumental Article Government objective Economic policies used Sweden to cut taxes again To boost consumer demand and employment Cutting income tax Higher taxes on car imports to curb trade deficit To reduce demand for imports; to reduce balance of payments deficit Increasing tariffs on imported goods Venezuela to increase public spending… To boost economic growth and employment Public spending on new schools, roads and other infrastructure Taiwan cuts interest rates to boost exports To increase consumer spending and investment to boost output, employment and growth Cutting interest rates to reduce the cost of borrowing India raises interest rate… To reduce consumer spending to control price inflation Raising interest rates to make borrowing more expensive China launches tax reforms… To encourage firms to invest in new productive assets to boost economic growth Reducing taxes on profits, smaller businesses and the self-employed Germany wants a million electric vehicles on the road by 2020 To increase employment and economic growth Increasing government spending and financial support for firms investing in new green technologies Activity 5.2 Can increased public expenditure create jobs? Your explanation should describe how the building of the new hospitals creates jobs and incomes for construction workers, and thereafter for doctors, nurses and other hospital workers once it is operational. All the employees will spend their incomes buying other goods and services, thereby providing additional revenues for firms who may increase their output as a result, creating additional jobs and incomes for other people. That is, public spending has a multiplier effect on private spending in the economy. If the increase in public spending is paid for through increased taxes this may have the impact of reducing consumer spending and new investment by firms unless people and firms reduce their savings or increase borrowing to maintain their levels of spending. If savings are reduced to pay the increased taxes, which are subsequently spent by government, this can boost employment and output in the economy. If the tax revenue is spent on capital goods rather than consumer goods this can also help to grow the productive potential of the economy. If consumer demand falls it will have a negative impact on firms producing consumer goods and services. In response, firms manufacturing and selling consumer products may reduce their output and employment. However, if many consumer goods are imported the fall in demand will help improve the balance of trade. An increase in interest rates may encourage people and organizations to save more, including buying interest bearing government bonds. The increase in interest rates may therefore crowd out private sector spending. © Brian Titley 2012: this may be reproduced for class use solely for the purchaser’s institute 1 Unit 5 Role of government in an economy Activity 5.3 A walk on the supply side Supply-side instrument Likely impact Milk market deregulation Simplifying or removing old and unnecessary regulations Reducing costs of compliance on businesses allowing them to increase their productivity New tax incentives Tax credit for film industry Providing an incentive to film companies to increase their investment and output in the sector Pakistan Telecommunications Authority Price controls on company abusing its market power Reducing the ability of large firms with powerful market positions to force up market prices UK plans skills academies Free vocational training To teach people new skills for modern expanding industries. They will be unable to expand unless there is a suitable supply of labour Privatization in Romania Sale of state-owned energy providers to private sector Transferring energy supply to more efficient private sector suppliers who may be able to produce power at a lower average cost per unit, thereby benefiting both the sector and many other firms Trade unions protest Laws to control the ability of trade unions to take strike action Constraining the ability of trade unions to disrupt production and forcing up wages without improvements in labour productivity Activity 5.4 Public or private provision? 1 Privatization is the transfer of public sector activities to private firms because it is thought they will be able to provide them more efficiently than public sector organizations. 2 Lee will pay a private company to supply water and sewerage services. 3 Arguments for privatization: a private company will have a profit motive and will therefore do more than a public sector organization to reduce costs and improve services to earn additional revenue and profits. Arguments against privatization: workers may lose their jobs as the private company will want to reduce costs; the private firm may also cut service levels and reduce health and safety to save costs to improve its profits. 4 If privatization improves efficiency and service levels local taxpayers will benefit because the public sector will save money providing water and sewerage services through the private supplier and local customers will also benefit from lower prices and improved services. However, some former public employees may lose their jobs as the private firm seeks to cut its costs. It may also cut pensions and other benefits for those employees it retains. 5 (This is your own research on examples of privatization in your country.) Activity 5.5 Policy conflicts 1 US economic growth in real output was positive throughout most of the 1990s and first decade of the new millennium, but turned sharply negative in 2009 due to the global financial crash and recession. However, even over these two decades annual growth rates were variable and there is clear cyclical pattern in growth rates. Annual inflation rates have been variable but came down from over 5% in 1990 to between 2% to 4% over the next two decades until 2008 when © Brian Titley 2012: this may be reproduced for class use solely for the purchaser’s institute 2 Unit 5 Role of government in an economy inflation fell sharply and there was a short-lived period of deflation, again during the global recession. The deficit on the US balance of trade has grown steadily over time only recovering during 2008 and 2009 as US consumers cut back their sending on imported goods during the economic downturn. The US unemployment rate fell steadily during most of the 1990s from a peak in 1993 of just under 8% of the US workforce to 4% by 2000, but thereafter began to increase again, rising sharply to 10% by 2009. Overall therefore, while the US government clearly had some success in achieving its macroeconomic aims during the 1990s and early part of the following decade, the recession in the global economy hit the US particularly hard during 2008 and 2009. 2 At least between 1993 and 2002 the US economy experienced a period of relatively high positive economic growth at the same time as falling rates of inflation and workforce unemployment. Growth in the economy slowed in 2002 and 2003 as inflation and unemployment rose. However, there appeared to be a clear conflict between economic growth and the balance of trade over the same period. The deficit on the balance of trade steadily worsened during a period when the US economy, and therefore consumer incomes and spending, were growing. Although the unemployment rate and inflation rate fell together, particularly over the period 1993 to 2000, unemployment rose sharply in 2008 and 2009 as inflation fell rapidly due to the impact of a deep and widespread recession. 3 (This is your own research comparing and contrasting the US economic experience with that of your own country.) Activity 5.6 Why have taxes? Image 1: The government might impose taxes to finance public expenditure, for example for the provision of a police service. Image 2 : Taxes might be imposed to help control aggregate demand, for example, by raising the overall level of taxation to reduce inflationary pressures Image 3 : The government might want to influence the behaviours of consumers and producers, for example to reduce pollution by taxing petrol and vehicles that produce significant emissions more heavily than other vehicles or forms of transport, to encourage consumers to switch their consumption. Image 4 : The aim might be to reduce inequalities in incomes by taxing high incomes proportionally more than low incomes. Activity 5.7 When is a tax a good tax? A height tax is not very fair. It does not meet the principle of equity between taxpayers. A high tax on overtime would reduce employee incentives to work overtime and therefore reduce the productive potential of many firms and the economy, i.e. the tax would be distortionary. Moving from PAYE income tax to lump sum payments every two years will increase administrative costs and reduce the certainty of tax flows to government to pay for recurrent public expenditures. People and firms would also have to work out how much they every two years and keep sufficient cash over © Brian Titley 2012: this may be reproduced for class use solely for the purchaser’s institute 3 Unit 5 Role of government in an economy time to pay their tax demands. Such a move lacks simplicity and would not be very convenient. If a tax costs a government more to collect than it raises in revenue it is administratively inefficient. A lump sum tax of $2,000 per adult would be simple and cheap to collect for government and taxpayers, and would not distort behaviours, but it may not be very fair to charge people on very low incomes the same as people who are very rich. Activity 5.8 Window tax: daylight robbery or a smashing idea? Your report may cover the following arguments. • Fairness: although it is not directly related to ability to pay a window tax is likely to tax rich households more than poor households because rich households tend to live in larger houses. • The effect on consumption expenditure, output and employment: the tax would reduce after tax incomes and therefore will tend to reduce consumer spending on many goods and services. In response to falling demand, firms may cut back output and employment. However, the tax may also create distortions because it can be avoided simply by removing or bricking-up windows. Manufacturers of window frames will suffer a big fall in demand for their products while demand for the services of builders and bricklayers may rise as householders and firms seek to remove or cover their windows to avoid tax. Consumption of electricity to indoor lights may then rise as a result because natural light entering properties will be restricted. • The cost of collection: it should be reasonably cost effective to collect this tax if the number of properties and windows is known. However, as more people and firms brick-up windows to reduce their tax burdens, revenues will start to fall, and more collectors may be needed to monitor changes in the tax base, i.e. the number of windows. • The ease with which the tax payable can be calculated: it depends on how a window is defined or whether the window tax is set per window or per unit of area of window such as per cm2, such that the larger the window the more tax is payable. Activity 5.9 : Tax systems 1 1 = progressive tax; 2 = proportional tax; 3 = regressive tax. 2 Tax system 1 Tax system 2 Tax system 3 Annual income % tax rate Annual income % tax rate Annual income % tax rate $5,000 30% $10,000 10% $8,000 40% $15,000 30% $16,000 15% $12,000 30% $25,000 30% $30,000 22% $20,000 20% Tax system 1 is proportional; tax system 2 is progressive; tax system 3 is regressive. © Brian Titley 2012: this may be reproduced for class use solely for the purchaser’s institute 4 Unit 5 Role of government in an economy Activity 5.10 Taxing USA 1 A single person with an annual income of: a $20,000 will pay $1,725 in income tax (an average tax rate of 8.6%) b $500,000 will pay $151,464 in income tax (an average tax rate of 30.3%). A married couple with an annual income of: a $150,000 will pay $28,370 (an average tax rate of 18.9%) b $800,000 will pay $248,171 (an average tax rate of 31%). 2 The first slice of income for all households is tax free in the US income tax system. People on the lowest incomes therefore pay no or very little tax. The US income tax system then applies rising marginal rates from 10% up to a top rate of 35% to progressively higher slices of income. The top rate of tax applies to any income over $379,150 per year. This means that people who earn the very highest incomes, for example $1 million per year, will pay an average rate of tax near to 35%. That is, the US income tax system becomes more like a proportional tax on very high incomes. Activity 5.11 A taxing problem The monthly earnings of a footballer Income tax A gift of $1 million Wealth tax A gain in the value of company shares realized when they are sold Capital gains tax Machinery imported from an overseas manufacturer Import duty or tariff A fee charged per vehicle to use a new publicly funded motorway User charge A bottle of wine Excise duty, sales tax or VAT The purchase of a meal from a restaurant Sales tax or VAT The annual profits of a large company Corporation tax A fixed charge per flight on aircraft passengers User charge Activity 5.12 Greece lightning 1 A budget deficit is a financial situation in which a government plans to spend more than it expects to receive from tax revenue over the coming financial year. If tax revenues turn out to be less than expected and/or spending higher than planned, then there will be an actual budget deficit. 2 Public spending in Greece, especially on public sector wages, increased at a much faster rate than tax revenues. There was also widespread tax evasion at the same time that reduced tax revenues below what they should have been. 3 Public borrowing increased significantly. 4 Greece did not have enough money to meet public debt repayments and interest charges, and was unable to borrow any more money to do so from banks and other lenders. 5 Unless Greece cuts its public spending and increases tax revenues it will continue to have a budget deficit and have to borrow more money. However, © Brian Titley 2012: this may be reproduced for class use solely for the purchaser’s institute 5 Unit 5 Role of government in an economy if the government cannot borrow more then it will be unable to pays its bills and will be bankrupt. To avoid this, public spending must be cut and taxes must rise. However, this may result in many public sector workers losing their jobs and many others also as consumer spending falls. A deep economic recession could result. © Brian Titley 2012: this may be reproduced for class use solely for the purchaser’s institute 6