FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT MODULE 1: THE GOALS AND ACTIVITIES OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FIELD OF FINANCE • Finance fits between economics and accounting. • Economics provides a picture of the business environment. - Consider consumers and producers • Accounting provides financial data - Income statements, balance sheets, cash flow statements • Financial manager needs to know how to understand and interpret financial statements. • Finance is closely tied to accounting. - CFO is often in charge of financial planning, accounting, and tax systems. • Finance is forward thinking vs accounting, which measures business activity results. FINANCE WITHIN THE ORGANIZATION DEFINITION OF FINANCE • It is the study of how individuals, institutions, governments, and businesses acquire, spend, and manage money and other financial resources. • Procurement or gathering of funds, effective and efficient utilization of financial resources, allocation of financial assets or resources. INVESTMENTS VS CORPORATE FINANCE Investments • Investors use investment principles to value stocks and bonds of companies. • Investors choose which to purchase. • Portfolio includes securities by multiple companies. Corporate Finance • Principles are used to determine which assets the firm should develop or buy. Financial management • The term can be used interchangeably with corporate finance • • Related to various investment topics Include how outside investors evaluate the company. THE VALUE OF STUDYING FINANCE Career opportunities include ® Corporate financial officers, bankers, stockbrokers, financial analysts, portfolio managers, investment bankers, financial consultants, and personal financial planners ® CEO reports directly to the BOD ® Marketing managers interested in return on investment of marketing initiatives ACTIVITIES OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Financial managers perform numerous activities - Daily activities include monitoring cash balances, managing credit decisions, monitoring inventory levels, and collecting and distributing cash. - Less routine activities include negotiations with banks for loans, the sale of stocks and bonds, and the establishment of capital budgeting and dividend plans. Risk and return trade-off determined to maximize the market value - Influences operational side (capital versus labor or Product A vs Product B) - Influences financial mix (stock vs. bonds vs. retained earnings) FUNCTIONS OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT DAILY Credit management, inventory control, receipt and disbursement of funds OCCASIONAL Stock issue, bond issue, capital budgeting, dividend declaration PROFITABILITY A trade-off between risk and return with the goal of maximizing shareholder wealth GOALS OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT PRIMARY GOAL: Maximization of profit Drawbacks 1. A change in profit may also represent a change in risk. 2. Fails to consider timing of benefits 3. It is an impossible task to measure key variable profit accurately. 4. Problems with inflation and international currency transactions further complicate the issue. VALUATION APPROACH The ultimate measure of performance – how earnings are valued by investor The time value of money concept is key. • • • Businesses are valued in the present - Most cash flows are not realized for many years Shareholders are interested in future earnings Investors want longer-term perspectives THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY Present Value • Is the idea that a dollar received today is worth more than a dollar that we expect to receive in the future • The future value of a dollar is greater than a dollar • Present value is today’s dollar value FV = PV (1 + i)n FV = future value PV – present value i = interest rate n = number of periods MAXIMIZING SHAREHOLDER WEALTH • Shareholder wealth maximization is the broad goal of the firm - Achieved through high value for the firm • Residual claim – the value of their claims is not fixed • Financial managers cannot directly control the firm’s stock price - Can act in a consistent way with shareholder desires - Long-term wealth is more important than daily value SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY AND ETHICAL BEHAVIOR Adopting policies that maximize value in the market ¨ Attract capital ¨ Provide employment ¨ Offer benefits to society Socially desirable actions like pollution control, equitable hiring practices, and fair pricing standards may be inconsistent with achieving maximum valuation in the market. Insider trading ¨ Using information not available to the public, making an undue profit from trading in the company’s publicly traded securities ¨ Unethical and illegal practices protected against by SEC ¨ Has a negative impact on shareholder’s interest Ethical behavior creates an invaluable reputation. CORPORATE GOVERNANCE 1. Sarbanes Oxley Act (SOX ACT) Designed primarily to regulate corporate conduct in an attempt to promote ethical behavior and prevent fraudulent financial reporting. • 301 – responsibilities of BOD and audit committee, appointment and compensation. • 302 – CEO and CFO to sign and certify that the financial statements are accurate. • 303, 304, 306 – ethical conduct by BOD, Executives, and key employees • 406 – public corporation to have code of ethics for senior executive. 2. Dodd-Frank Act • Wall street reform and consumer protection act of 2010. • First major financial regulatory change since the great depression. • Goal to reduce systemic risks that undermine the financial system in the US. 3. Concluded • Agency Theory - Examines relationship and potential conflict between owners and managers of firm. - Management operates versus owners focused on shareholders. • Institutional Investors ® Have more to say about how publicly owned companies are managed. ® Able to vote large blocks of shares for election of BOD. ROLE OF FINANCIAL MARKETS Financial markets – a meeting place for people, corporations, and institutions. ® Have either a need to lend, borrow, or invest money. ® Participants can be national, state, and local governments. - Their markets are public financial markets. ® Corporate participants raise funds in corporate financial markets. STRUCTURE AND FUNCTIONS FINANCIAL MARKETS Distinct parts of financial markets 1. Domestic and international markets 2. Corporate and government markets 3. Money and capital markets OF Money markets ® Deal with short-term securities with a life of one year or less. ® Securities include o Commercial paper sold by corporations to finance daily operations o Certificates of deposit with maturities of less than one year sold by banks Capital markets ® Deal with securities that have life or more than one year ® Long-term markets ® Defined as either 1 to 10 years (intermediate markets) or greater than 10 years (long-term markets) ® Securities include o Common stock o Preferred stock o Corporate and government bonds ALLOCATION OF CAPITAL Primary market • When corporation uses financial markets to raise new funds, sale of securities made through new issue is called initial public offering (IPO) Secondary market • Securities bought/sold amongst investors • Prices of securities keep changing continually • Financial managers given feedback about firms performance Return maximization and risk minimization • Investors can choose a risk level that meets objective, maximizes return for a given risk level. • Companies rewarded with high-priced securities can raise new funds in money and capital markets at lower cost than competitors. • Firms may pay penalties for failing to perform competitively. INTERNATIONALIZATION OF FINANCIAL MARKETS Allocation of capital and search for lower-cost sources of financing in global markets The impact of international affairs and technology has resulted in the need for managers to understand. o International capital flows o Computerized electronic fund transfer systems FORMS OF BUSINESS ORGANIZATION 1. Sole proprietorship 2. Partnership 3. Corporation (number of people in the organization, liability of owners and complexity of state regulations) Sole Proprietorship And Partnership ® Often set up through LLCs/LLPs. Advantages - Ease of formation - Subject to few regulations – No corporate income taxes Disadvantages - Difficult to raise capital - Unlimited liability - Limited life Corporation Advantages - Unlimited life - Easy transfer of ownership - Limited liability - Ease of raising capital Disadvantages - Double taxation - Cost of setup and report filing BALANCING SHAREHOLDER VALUE AND SOCIETY INTEREST The primary financial goal of management is shareholder wealth maximization, which translates to maximizing stock price. - The value of any asset is the present value of the cash flow stream to owners. Most significant decisions are evaluated in terms of their financial consequences. Stock prices change over time as conditions change and as investors obtain new information about a company’s prospects. Managers recognize that being socially responsible is not inconsistent with maximizing shareholder value. STOCK PRICES AND INTRINSIC VALUE • In equilibrium, a stock’s price should equal its “true” or intrinsic value. • Intrinsic value is a long-run concept. • To the extent that investor perceptions are incorrect, a stock’s price in the short run may deviate from its intrinsic value. • Ideally, managers should avoid actions that reduce intrinsic value, even if those decisions increase the stock price in the short run. WHAT IS THE FIRM’S INTRINSIC VALUE? CURRENT STOCK PRICE? IS THE STOCK’S “TRUE” LONG-RUN VALUE MORE CLOSELY RELATED TO INTRINSIC VALUE OR CURRENT PRICE A firm’s intrinsic value is an estimate of a stock’s “true” value based on accurate risk and return data. It can be estimated but not measured precisely. A stock’s current price is its market price—the value based on perceived but possibly incorrect information as seen by the marginal investor. From these definitions, you can see that a stock’s “true” long-run value is more closely related to its intrinsic value rather than its current price. WHEN IS A STOCK SAID TO BE IN EQUILIBRIUM? AT ANY GIVEN TIME, WOULD YOU GUESS THAT MOST STOCKS ARE IN EQUILIBRIUM AS YOU DEFINED IT? Equilibrium is a situation where the actual market price equals the intrinsic value, so investors are indifferent between buying or selling a stock. If a stock is in equilibrium, then there is no fundamental imbalance, hence no pressure for a change in the stock’s price. At any given time, most stocks are reasonably close to their intrinsic values and thus are at or close to equilibrium. However, at times, stock prices and equilibrium values are different, so stocks can be temporarily undervalued or overvalued. SUPPOSE 3 HONEST INDIVIDUALS GAVE YOU ESTIMATES OF STOCK X’S INTRINSIC VALUE (ROOMMATE, PROFESSIONAL SECURITY ANALYST AND COMPANY X’S CFO) THE 3 DIFFERED IN ESTIMATION, IN WHICH ONE WOULD YOU HAVE CONFIDENCE If the three intrinsic value estimates for Stock X were different, you would have the most confidence in Company X’s CFO’s estimate. Intrinsic values are strictly estimates, and different analysts with different data and different views of the future will form different estimates of the intrinsic value for any given stock. However, a firm’s managers have the best information about the company’s future prospects, so managers’ estimates of intrinsic value are generally better than the estimates of outside investors. IS IT BETTER FOR A FIRM’S ACTUAL STOCK PRICE IN THE MARKET TO BE UNDER, OVER OR EQUAL TO ITS INTRINSIC VALUE • If a stock’s market price and intrinsic value are equal, then the stock is in equilibrium, and there is no pressure (buying/selling) to change the stock’s price. So, theoretically, it is better that the two be equal; however, intrinsic value is a long-run concept. Management’s goal should be to maximize the firm’s intrinsic not its current price. • So, stockholders, in general, would probably expect the firm’s market price to be under the intrinsic value—realizing that if management is doing its job that current price at any point in time would not necessarily be maximized. • However, the CEO would prefer that the market price be high— since it is the current price that he will receive when exercising his stock options. In addition, he will be retiring after exercising those options, so there will be no repercussions to him (with respect to his job) if the market price drops—unless he did something illegal during his tenure as CEO. DETERMINANTS OF INTRINSIC VALUE AND STOCK PRICES SHOULD STOCKHOLDER WEALTH MAXIMIZATION BE THOUGHT OF AS A LONG OR SHORT-TERM GOAL? • Stockholder wealth maximization is a long-run goal. Companies, and consequently the stockholders, prosper by management making decisions that will produce long-term earnings increases. Actions that are continually shortsighted often “catch up” with a firm, and, as a result, it may find itself unable to compete effectively against its competitors. • There has been much criticism in recent years that U.S. firms are too short-run profit-oriented. A prime example is the U.S. auto industry, which has been accused of continuing to build large “gas guzzler” automobiles because they had higher profit margins rather than retooling for smaller, more fuel-efficient models. SOME IMPORTANT BUSINESS TRENDS 1. Corporate scandals have reinforced business ethics' importance and spurred additional regulations and corporate oversight. 2. Increased globalization of business. 3. The effects of ever-improving information technology have profoundly affected all aspects of business finance. 4. Stockholders now have more control of corporate governance. FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT MODULE 2: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS- A SUMMARY STATEMENT GOAL OF ACCOUNTING To provide information that allows decisionmakers to understand and evaluate the results of business decisions. That is to provide information in order to make decisions. Managers analyze financial statements to evaluate past financial performance and make future decisions VERTICAL ANALYSIS It focuses on important relationships between items on the same financial statement. These items are compared vertically, from one account balance against another, and are typically expressed as percentages to reveal the relative contributions made by each financial statement item. - Line items on the Balance Sheet are generally expressed as a percentage of total assets. Line items on the Income Statement are generally expressed as a percentage of net sales HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS It is conducted to help financial statement users recognize important financial changes that unfold over time. It compares information horizontally, from one period to the next, with the general goal of identifying significant sustained changes. These changes are typically described in terms of peso amounts and year-over-year percentages. To compute for the percentage increases/decreases: πΆπ’πππππ‘ ππππ − π΅ππ π ππππ π΅ππ π ππππ Problem 1: If year one equals P500,000.00, year two equals P525,000.00, and year three equals P560,000.00, the percentage to be assigned for year three in a trend analysis, assuming that year one is the base year is Problem 2: Assume the following sales data for a company: Year Sales 2013 P 600,000.00 2014 625,000.00 2015 750,000.00 2016 800,000.00 What is the percentage increase in sales from 2013 to 2014, assuming that 2013 is the base year? RATIO ANALYSIS Financial ratios • Used to weigh and evaluate operating performance of firm. • Measured in relation to other values. • Compares performance record against similar firms in industry. • Additional evaluation of company management, physical facilities, and other factors is needed. • Financial data reported by S&P, Moody’s, etc. RATIO ANALYSIS – CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM A. PROFITABILITY RATIOS -Measures firms’ ability to earn adequate returns. e.g. Sales, Total Assets, Invested Capital 1. Profit margin 2. Return on assets (investment) 3. Return on equity B. ASSET UTILIZATION RATIOS -Measures speed at which firm turnover. e.g. Accounts receivables, Inventory, Long-term assets 1. Receivable turnover 2. Average collection period 3. Inventory turnover 4. Fixed asset turnover 5. Total asset turnover C. LIQUIDITY RATIOS - Emphasize firm’s ability to pay off short-term obligations as they come due. 1. Current ratio 2. Quick ratio D. DEBT UTILIZATION RATIOS - Estimate overall debt position of the firm - Evaluate in light of asset base, earning power 1. Debt to total assets 2. Times interest earned 3. Fixed charge coverage Users of financial statements -They have differing degrees of importance in categories of ratios. Potential investors and security analysts. 1. Primary considerations- profitability ratios. 2. Secondary considerations-liquidity and debt utilization. For banker or trade creditor. 1. Primary consideration—liquidity ratios. For long-term creditors (bondholders). 1. Primary consideration—debt utilization ratios (debt to total assets) and profitability ratios. FINANCIAL STATEMENT FOR RATIO ANALYSIS THE ANALYSIS – DuPont SYSTEM OF ANALYSIS Satisfactory return on assets can be derived through: β High profit margin. β Rapid asset turnover (generating more sales per dollar of assets) β Combination of both π ππ‘π’ππ ππ π΄π π ππ‘π (πππ£ππ π‘ππππ‘) = ππππππ‘ ππππππ × π΄π π ππ‘ Satisfactory return on equity can be derived through: • High return on total assets • Generous utilization of debt • Combination of both π ππ‘π’ππ ππ πππ’ππ‘π¦ = π ππ‘π’ππ ππ π΄π π ππ‘π (πππ£ππ π‘ππππ‘) (1 − π·πππ‘/π΄π π ππ‘π ) DuPont ANALYSIS THE ANALYSIS – ASSET UTILIZATION RATIOS Relate the balance sheet (assets) to the income statement (sales). THE ANALYSIS – PROFITABILITY RATIOS *This ratio may also be computed by using “cost of goods sold” in the numerator Return on Equity: Walmart versus. Target Using the DuPont Method of Analysis THE ANALYSIS – RATIO ANALYSIS THE ANALYSIS – ASSET UTILIZATION RATIOS THE ANALYSIS – LIQUIDITY RATIOS These ratios determine if the firm can meet each maturing obligation as it comes due THE ANALYSIS – DEBT UTILIZATION RATIOS Measures the prudence of the debt management policies of the firm. THE ANALYSIS – DEBT UTILIZATION RATIOS Fixed charge coverage measures the firm’s ability to meet all fixed obligations rather than interest payments alone. Income before taxes Lease payments Income before fixed charges and taxes $ 550,000 50,000 $ 600,000 TREND ANALYSIS Over course of business cycle, sales and profitability expand and contract. - Ratio analysis for any one year does not reflect accurate picture of the firm. Trend analysis reflects performance over a number of years. - Without industry comparisons, may not reflect a complete picture. - Gives picture of performance over number of years against industry averages. IMPACT OF INFLATION ON FINANCIAL ANALYSIS Major problem of inflation 1. Revenue stated in current dollars. 2. Plant, equipment, or inventory may have been purchased at lower price levels. 3. Profits may be more function of increasing prices than satisfactory performance. Financial reports are distorted by not considering inflation. 1. Affecting financial analysis. Stein Corporation Income Statement for 2020 Disinflation Effect Disinflation—a situation of declining inflationary pressures. • It will not impair the purchasing power of the dollar. • Reduction in investors’ expectation of returns on financial assets. • Financial assets such as stocks and bonds have the potential to do well. • Tangible (real) assets like precious metals will fall. Deflation • Actual declining of prices affecting everybody from bankruptcies and declining profits. Other Elements of Distortion in Reported Income 2. Effect of changing prices 3. Reporting of revenues 4. Treatment of nonrecurring items 5. Tax write-off policies Income Statement for 2021 Income Statements (Year 2018) Comparison of Replacement Cost Accounting and Historical Cost Accounting Explanation of Discrepancies 1 Sales • Conservative firms may defer revenue recognition of the sale until each payment is received. • Other firms may attempt to recognize a fully effected sale as early as possible. Jeff Garnett and Geoffrey A. Hirt, “Replacement Cost Data: A Study of the Chemical and Drug Industry for Years 1976 through 1978.” An Illustration Replacement cost—reduces income but increases assets. • Increase in assets lowers debt-to-assets ratio. • Decreased debt-to-assets ratio indicates decrease in financial leverage of firm. • Declining income results in decreased ability to cover interest costs. Cost of goods sold • Use of different accounting principles o Company A uses LIFO Company B using FIFO. • Varying treatment of R&D costs, etc. versus Explanation of Discrepancies 2 Extraordinary gains/losses • Including extraordinary events in computing current income versus leaving them out. Net income • Use of different methods of financial reporting. o Such as inclusion vs. exclusion of extraordinary gains and/or losses. • Each item must be examined in financial statements, rather than accepting bottom-line figures. FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT MODULE 3: FINANCIAL PLANNING AND FORECASTING FINANCIAL FORECASTING Ability to plan ahead and make necessary adjustments before events occur. • The firm’s outcome through external events involves. • Risk-taking desires. • Ability to hedge against risk with careful planning. • No growth or a decline in volume are not necessarily the primary cause of a shortage of funds. • A comprehensive financing plan must be developed for significant growth. CONSTRUCTING PRO FORMA STATEMENTS Pro forma financial statements enable a firm to estimate future receivables, inventory, and payables, as well as anticipated profits and borrowing requirements. Statements are often required by bankers and other lenders as guides for the future. Systems approach to develop pro forma statements. ® Construct income statements based on sales projections and the production plan. ® Translate this into a cash budget. ® Assimilate all materials into a pro forma balance sheet. DEVELOPING OF PRO FORMA STATEMENTS PRO FORMA INCOME STATEMENT Provides projection on anticipated profits over the subsequent period. Important steps: 1. Establish sales projection. 2. Determine production schedule, associated use of new material, direct labor, and overhead to arrive at gross profit. 3. Compute other expenses. 4. Determine profit by completing actual pro forma statement. Assume Goldman Corporation has two primary products: wheels and casters. TABLE 4 -1 PROJECTED WHEEL AND CASTER SALES (FIRST 6 MONTHS 2022) CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM CONCLUDED Number of units produced depends on a) Beginning inventory. b) Sales projections. c) Desired ending inventory. To determine production requirements Units + Projected sales + Desired ending inventory − Beginning inventory Production requirements Goldman Corporation has in stock the items shown. TABLE 4 - 2 STOCK OF BEGINNING INVENTORY TABLE 4 - 3 PRODUCTION REQUIREMEMENTS FOR 6 MONTHS Cost to produce one unit. After tax income o Subtract taxes to determine after tax income. Contribution to retained earnings. o Deduct dividends to ascertain the contribution to retained earnings. TABLE 4 – 4 UNIT COSTS TABLE 4 – 5 TOTAL PRODUCTION COSTS COST OF GOODS SOLD Costs associated with units sold during the time period. Assumptions for illustration: ® F I F O accounting used. ® First allocates cost of current sales to beginning inventory, then to goods manufactured during period. TABLE 4 – 8 INCOME STATEMENT CASH BUDGET Pro forma income statement must be translated into cash flows. • Divide longer-term pro forma income statement into smaller units. • More precise time frames are set to anticipate seasonal and monthly patterns of cash inflows and outflows. ® May represent highs or low sales volume. ® May require dividends, taxes, or capital expenditures. TABLE 4 – 6 ALLOCATION OF MANUFACTURING COST AND DETERMINATION OF GROSS PROFIT TABLE 4 – 9 MONTHLY SALES PATTERN TABLE 4 – 7 VALUE OF ENDING INVENTORY OTHER EXPENSE ITEMS Must be subtracted from gross profits to arrive at a net profit figure. Earnings before taxes o General and administrative expenses, interest expenses are subtracted from gross profit. CASH RECEIPTS In the case of Goldman Corporation. • Break down the pro forma income statement for first half of the year. ® Divided into monthly cash budgets. • Analysis of past sales and collection records show. ® 20 percent of sales collected in month of sales. ® 80 percent collected in following month. TABLE 4 – 13 SUMMARY OF ALL MONTHLY CASH PAYMENTS TABLE 4 – 10 MONTHLY CASH RECEIPTS Difference between monthly receipts and payments is net cash flow for month. ® Allows firm to anticipate need for outside funding at end of each month. TABLE 4 – 11 COMPONENT COSTS OF MANUFACTURED GOODS TABLE 4 – 14 MONTHLY CASH FLOW CASH PAYMENTS Primary considerations are monthly costs associated with: 1. Inventory manufactured during period. ® Material ® Labor ® Overhead 2. Disbursements for general and administrative expenses. 3. Interest payments, taxes, and dividends. 4. Cash payments for new plant and equipment Assumptions for the next two tables. ® Costs incurred on an equal monthly basis over a six-month period. ® Even production level to ensure maximum efficiency. ® Payment for material is made once per month after purchases have been made. TABLE 4 -12 AVERAGE MONTHLY MANUFACTURING COSTS Assumptions for Table 4-15. ® Firm wishes to maintain minimum cash balance of $5,000. ® If balance goes below minimum, firm will borrow. ® If balance goes above minimum, firm will use excess to repay outstanding loan. TABLE 4 – 15 CASH BUDGET WITH BORROWING AND REPAYMENT PROVISIONS PRO FORMA BALANCE SHEET Represents cumulative changes over time. • Important to examine prior period’s balance sheet. • Some accounts remain unchanged, while others take on new values. ® Information derived from pro forma income statement and cash budget. DEVELOPMENT OF A PRO FORMA BALANCE SHEET 9. Common stock ($10,500) unchanged from prior period’s value in Table 4-16. 10. Retained earnings ($39,024) equals the initial value plus pro forma income ($20,500 + $18,524). ANALYSIS OF PRO FORMA STATEMENT Growth ($25,642) was financed by accounts payable, notes payable, and profit. ® Reflected by increase in retained earnings. Total Assets 06/30/2022 Total Assets 12/31/22 Increase TABLE 4 – 16 BALANCE SHEET DECEMBER 31, 2021 TABLE 4 -17 PRO FORMA BALANCE SHEET JUNE 30, 2022 EXPLANATION OF A PRO FORMA BALANCE SHEET 1. Cash ($5,000) minimum cash balance in Table 4-15. 2. Marketable securities ($3,200) remains unchanged from prior period’s value in Table 4-16. 3. Accounts receivable ($16,000) based on June sales of $20,000 in Table 4-10. ® 20 percent will be collected that month. ® 80 percent will become accounts receivable at the end of month. 4. Inventory ($6,200) shown in Table 4-7. 5. Plant and equipment: $27,740 (initial value) + $18,000 (purchases) = $45,740. 6. Accounts payable ($5,732) based on June purchases in Table 4-13. 7. Notes payable ($5,886) amount to be borrowed to maintain $5,000 in cash in Table 4-15. 8. Long-term debt ($15,000) unchanged from prior period’s value in Table 4-16. $ 76,142 50,500 $ 25, 642 PERCENT OF SALES METHOD Based on assumption that. • Accounts on balance sheet will maintain given percentage relationship to sales. • Percentages are not computed for. a) Notes payable. b) Common stock. c) Retained earnings. • Not assumed to maintain a direct relationship with sales volume. Table 4-18 Balance Sheet and Percentage-of-Sales Table for Howard Corporation PERCENT OF SALES METHOD Establish funds required to finance growth. Decide to finance based on a) Notes payable. b) Sale of common stock. c) Use of long-term debt. Company operating at full capacity—needs to buy new plant and equipment to produce more goods to sell: Required new funds: (RNF) = A/S (ΔS) – L/S (ΔS) – PS2 (1 – D) Where: A/S = Relationship of variable assets to sales [60%]. ΔS = Change in sales [$100,000]. L/S = Percentage of variable liabilities to sales [25%]. P = Profit margin [6%]. S2 = New sales level [$300,000]. D = Dividend payout ratio [0.50]. RNF = 60% (100,000) – 25% ($100,000) – 6% ($300,000) (1 – 0.50) = $60,000 – $25,000 – $18,000 (0.50) = $35,000 – $9,000 = $26,000 required sources of new funds (at full capacity) Company not operating at full capacity. ® Needs to add more current assets to increase sales. ® Does not need to buy new equipment. RNF=35% ($100,000) – 25% ($100,000) – 6% ($300,000) x (1 – 0.50) = $35,000 – $25,000 – $18,000 (0.50) = $35,000 – $25,000 – $9,000 = $1,000 required sources of new funds (at less than full capacity) FINANCIAL FORECASTING - AFN EQUATION An equation that shows the relationship of external funds needed by a firm to its projected increase in assets, the spontaneous increase in liabilities, and its increase in retained earnings. AFN=(A0*/S0)DS – (L0*/S0)DS – M(S1)(1 – Payout) = 4M/5M x 1,000,000–500,000/5M x 1,000,000 - .05 (6M) (.30) = 610,000 ® The capital intensity ratio is measured as A0*/S0. This firm’s capital intensity ratio is higher than that of the firm in Problem 01; therefore, this firm is more capital intensive— it would require a large increase in total assets to support the increase in sales. AFN EQUATION: PROBLEM 03 Chua Chang & Wu Inc. is planning its operations for next year, and the CEO wants you to forecast the firm's additional funds needed (AFN). Data for use in your forecast are shown below. Based on the AFN equation, what is the AFN for the coming year? Last year's sales = S0 Sales growth rate = g Last year's total assets = A0* Last year's profit margin = PM $200,000 40% $135,000 20.0% Last year's accounts payable Last year's notes payable Last year's accruals Target payout ratio $50,000 $15,000 $20,000 25.0% Last year's sales = S0 Sales growth rate = g Forecasted sales = S0 × (1 + g) ΔS = change in sales = S1 − S0 = S0 × g Last year's total assets = A0* = A0* since full capacity Forecasted total assets = A1* = A0* × (1 + g) Last year's accounts payable Last year's notes payable. Not spontaneous, so does not enter AFN calculation Last year's accruals L0* = payables + accruals Profit margin = PM Target payout ratio Retention ratio = (1 − Payout) 200,000 40% 280,000 80,000 135,000 189,000 50,000 15,000 20,000 70,000 20.0% 25.0% 75.0% AFN = (A0*/S0)ΔS − (L0*/S0)ΔS − Profit margin × S1 × (1 − Payout) AFN = 54,000 − 28,000 − 42,000 = −16,000 Additional funds needed (AFN)= Projected increase in assets – Spontaneous increase in liabilities – Increase in retained earnings EXCESS CAPACITY ADJUSTMENTS Changes made to the existing asset forecast because the firm is not operating at full capacity. AFN=(A0*/S0)DS – (L0*/S0)DS – M(S1)(1 – Payout) CAPITAL INTENSITY RATIO – the ratio of assets required per dollar of assets (A0*/S) AFN EQUATION: PROBLEM 01 Carter Corporation’s sales forecast are expected to increase from 5M in 2015 to 6M in 2016, or by 20%. Its assets totaled 3M at the end of 2015. Carter is at full capacity, so its assets must grow in proportion to projected sales. At the end of 2015, current liabilities are 1M, consisting of 250,000 of AP, 500,000 of NP and 250,000 of Accrued Liabilities. Its profit margin is forecasted to be 5%, and the forecasted retention ratio is 30%. Use the AFN equation to forecast the additional funds Carter will need for the coming year. AFN= (A0*/S0)DS – (L0*/S0)DS – M(S1) (1– Payout) = 3M/5M x 1,000,000 – 500,000/5M x 1,000,000 - .05 (6M) (.30) = 410,000 EXCESS CAPACITY: PROBLEM 04 Walter Industries has 5B in sales and 1.7B in fixed assets. Currently the company’s fixed assets are operating at 90% capacity. (a) What level of sales would Walter have obtained if it had been operating at full capacity? (b) What is Walter’s target fixed assets/sales ratio? (c) If Walter’s sales increase by 12%, how large of an increase in fixed assets will the company need to meet its target fixed assets/sales ratio? Sales = 5,000,000,000; FA = 1,700,000,000; FA are operated at 90% capacity. !,###,###,### a. Full capacity sales = =5,555,555,556 #.%# ',(##,###,### AFN EQUATION: PROBLEM 02 Refer to Problem 01, what additional funds would be needed if the company’s year-end 2015 assets had been 4M? Assume that all other numbers are the same. Why is the AFN different from the one you found in Problem 01. b. Target FA/S ratio = !,!!!,!!!,!!) = 30.6% c. Sales increase 12%; DFA = ? S1 = 5,000,000,000 ´ 1.12 = 5,600,000,000 No increase in FA up to 5,555,555,556 DFA = 0.306 ´ (5,600,000,000 – 5,555,555,556) = 0.306 ´ (44,444,444) = 13,600,000 EXCESS CAPACITY: PROBLEM 05 Last year Wei Guan Inc. had 350 million of sales, and it had 270 million of fixed assets that were used at 65% of capacity. In millions, by how much could Wei Guan's sales increase before it is required to increase its fixed assets? GIVEN: Sales 350M Fixed Assets 270M % of capacity utilized .65 SOLUTION: EXCESS CAPACITY ADJUSTMENTS PROBLEM 07 Last year Handorf-Zhu Inc. had 850 million of sales, and it had 425 million of fixed assets that were used at only 60% of capacity. What is the maximum sales growth rate the company could achieve before it had to increase its fixed assets? GIVEN: Sales 850M Fixed Assets 425M % of capacity utilized .60 Sales at full capacity (AS/%Capacity)= 538,461,538.46 SOLUTION: Additional sales without adding FA = Full capacity sales – Actual sales Sales at full capacity (AS/%Capacity)= 1,416,666,666.67 538,461,538.46 – 350,000,000.00 = 188,461,538.46 SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATE The growth rate a firm can maintain given its capital structure, ROE, and retention ratio. SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATE: PROBLEM 06 Suppose Weatherford Industries has the following ratios: A0*/S0 = 1.6; L0*S0 = 0.4; profit margin = 0.10 and payout ratio = 0.45 or 45%. Sales last year were 100M. Assuming that these ratios will remain constant, use the AFN equation to determine the maximum growth rate (sustainable growth rate) Weatherford can achieve without having to employ nonspontaneous external funds. To solve this problem, we define DS change in sales and g as the growth rate in sales, and then we use the three following equations: DS = S0 g S1 = S0 (1+ g) AFN=A0*/S0)DS – (L0*/S0)DS – M(S1)(1 – Payout) Set AFN = 0, substitute in known values A0*/S0, L0*/S0, M payout and S0 and then solve for g. 0 =1.6(100g) -.4(100g) -.10(100(1 + g)) (1 - .45) 0 = 160g - 40g - 5.5 – 5.5g 114.5g = 5.5 g = 5.5/114.5 g = .048 or 4.8% ® g = maximum growth rate without external ο¬nancing Additional sales without adding FA = Full capacity sales – Actual sales 1,416,666,666.67–850,000,000.00 = 566,666,666.67 % growth in sales = Additional Sales/Old sales 850,000,000 %growth in sales=!)),))),))).)( = 66.67%