SciE Block 1 Lecture 1 – What is economics aobut? (mo 4 sept) This course is related to societal challenges we all face. We look at it from an applied perspective rather than purely theoretical. (example = tragedy of the commons). how to study: learn on a self-reliant basis (je wordt dus niet bij de hand meer meegenomen). Tragedy of the commons: when ST self-interest of individuals, instead of the collective interest of society as a whole, leads to tragedy for all. It’s all about SCARCITY (Schaarste). - Material resources (Forest, oceans, Air) with no private ownership are used exploited. (example = overfishing). Solution: future needs must be met. This can be met by social norms, privatization and regulation. - sustainable development: the meets of today are met but the needs of tomorrow are also accounted for. Tragedy of the commons completely disregards sustainable development. There are 5 new technologies we will discuss: big data, machine learning, distributed ledger technology, internet of things, and cloud computing. Societal challenges are classified into 3 perspectives: biosphere, society, and economy. - The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a construct of societal challenges. The dramatic attention filter: makes the world look more dramatic than it is. Negativity bias -> glorifying the past & selective reporting in the media. Job purpose of an economist: To analyse and interpret economic data and trends to provide insights into economic relationships and advise on economic policy or business strategy. Economics is about: Scarcity (limited resources), allocation (distribution of goods), market (form of allocation), decision making (how to make decision), people (interaction of people) - The study of individual decisions is called microeconomics. The study of the economy as a whole is called macroeconomics. - Economics: It’s the study of how people make decisions under scarce resources such as time and money. - So economics is about ecnomoy studies and economic decision-making!! Economy studies: it’s a study of how economics education should be organised to best prepare students fort heir future roles in society. Teach economics centered on a specific subject matter: the economy. - The economy: production, distribution and consumption of goods and services. The economy nowadays need to go from the linear economy to a circular econony to reduce waste. Circular economy (new way of looking to the economy): take less (renewables, recycle), make less (repair, refurbish, remanufacture), use more (reuse, share redistribute! Examples in the PP. Recycle example: Aluminum cans are melted down and reshaped into new cans in a process that requires significantly less energy than producing new aluminum. BSE (biosphere, society, economy) framework: based on Brundtland 1987. The economy is part of a larger social system, which is itself part of the biosphere. People interact with each other, and also with nature, in producing their livelihood. Biosphere: the global sum of all ecosystems on earth where life is found (all living organisms including plants, animals, and microorganisms, as well as the parts of the earth where they thrive (land, water, air). Society: a group of individuals involved in persistent social interaction or a large social group sharing the same spatial or social territory, typically subject to the same political authority and dominant cultural expectations. Ecological economics: transdisciplinary effort to link the natural and social sciences broadly, and especially ecology and economics. Lecture 2 (wed 6 sept) De literatuur is meer voor een introductie en verduidelijking. De docenten geeft aan als de literatuur verplicht is end it hoor je dan ook wel. They are more initial readings. BSE framework: The economy itself is imbedded in the society. Economics as a discipline works together with other disciplines. Goal of economy studies is to understand the economy to alter economic interaction for an improved society. - How to distribute welfare and how to measure it? Here is where welfare economics comes into play (welfare, well-being, happiness etc.) o Utilitarianism is a normative ethical theory that prescribe actions that maximize utility, happiness and well-being for all affected individuals (=the society). o Rawl’s governing principles --> Veil of ignorance is a moral reasoning device designed to promote impartial decision making by denying decision makers access to potentially biasing information about who will benefit most or least from the available options. The philosopher John Rawls aimed to identify fair governing principles by imagining people choosing their principles from behind a ‘veil of ignorance’, without knowing their places in the social order. Simple consideration: (Cappelen et al. 2010) --> about fairness and individual responsibility. - Individual contribution to society 𝑚𝑘 𝑀 = ∑𝑛 𝑚𝑘 - Libertarian view = everyone gets what she/he produced - Egalitarian view = share equally - But people have different working times, different productivity, price per unit of work, and luck (being sick). All these aspects might play a role on M Based on these different facts, who deserves more or less than his/her contribution? People do not have the same opportunity to get rich… some are born rich… some have a higher chance to enter the education system and chances to enter the job market (because of different wealth classes). This is the ordinary risk of life: the destiny or is it just a random draw that you have been born in a rich country. Neo-classical economics: - Rational agents maximize utility MR = MC (rational decision maker) - Efficient allocation of resources due to market competition with free markets - Normative model - This is the benchmark!!! - Assumptions of NC economics theory = o Rational agents o Marginal utility o Relevant information o Perceived value o Savings derives investment. o Market equilibrium o Free markets The book (dia 27) does not want to teach “to think like an economist”, and the teacher also thinks that this view is too narrow of an economist, that it is too normative and has insufficient pluralistic views because it suggests a very traditional picture of an economist. Thinking AS an economist – structuring trade-offs – is a good idea (volgens leraar). Nu gaat het verder over Economic decision-making --> Economics is about economic decision-making! Decision = making is the process of identifying alternative courses of action (ideal solution may not exist) and selecting an appropriate alternative (there may be a number of appropriate alternatives) in a given decision situation. Thus, judgment is fundamental to decision making. You decide based on all the information you have: 1. beliefs how the world works; might be a gut feeling based on information you have. Necessary to set the decision frame. 2. Preferences you have; things you want; dus waar je vrolijk van wordt (utility). A way to rank alternatives. 3. Constraints there are and opportunity costs. What is feasible (scarcity = budget constraint due to limits in time). These 3 form a decision (think of a decision tree). This is called the BPC model! These are the three things’ economists care about. The cost of a decision = the actual costs + the opportunity costs. There is scarcity, this means that there is always a tradeoff. Marginal rate of substitution (MRS): the trade-off that a person is willing to make between 2 goods. at any point, this is the slope of the indifference curve. Marginal rate of transformation (MRT): the quantity of some good that must be sacrificed to acquire one additional unit of another good. at any point, it’s the slope of the feasible frontier. You can frame everything as an economic decision problem! (examples: go left or right, marry or not marry, eat meat/fish or not, a doctor deciding on medication for a patient, a politician deciding on what social security system to implement). The problem is: how to measure these preferences (how to define the benefits and costs in terms of value). How to define benefits and costs in terms of value --> econ101 = make use of utility. Utility: reflects the preferences of a person regarding a good or a service (or other things?). utility is a dimensionless number able to order choices in terms of ‘utiles’. When the utility of a banana is higher than that of an apple, you will choose the banana. Utility is often correlated with concepts such as happiness, satisfaction, welfare which are difficult to measure. (how to measure preferences is the main problem). 4 areas of decisions (choices): - Simple choice --> perfect substitutes (cola and Fanta) or perfect complements (coffee and sugar). The more I go to the top right, the higher my utility. - Intertemporal choice --> consume now or save for consumption later (Lucas Tree model). Discounting future utility = utility of consumption in future is less relevant than utility of consumption today. Life-time utility and quasi hyperbolic discounting). - Choice under uncertainty --> expected utility theory (don’t look at the expected value itself; it’s about wealth) and the cumulative prospect theory (don’t consider the full level of the outcome, but the difference in wealth; here we talk about losses and gains). Ook regret theory (compare to forgone choice ‘y’) en salience theory (some states are more salient than others) horen bij choice under uncertainty. - Choice with social effects --> the dictator game is a simple experimental paradigm (distribute 10 between you and me), ECON101 outcome is to give nothing, but in real life, people care about others and find it socially inappropriate, so they give most often money. Give away everything is also not socially appropriate. The prisoners’ dilemma is another choice with social effects (individual rationality can lead to a collective suboptimal outcome). Public goods game (each person can donate, and it will be added up and this is divided equally among the players) is another choice with social effects. Also decision making for others, fehr-schmidt and charness-rabin (without reciprocity) are examples of choice with social effects. Prisoner’s dilemma is widely used in economics to explain situations where individuals might not cooperate, even when it seems like cooperation would benefit everyone. How to understand economics decision making? • Optimizing Individual (Micro 101, Decision Theory) • Strategic Interactions (Game Theory) • Market Interaction (Supply and Demand) • System Interaction (Macro 101) (aggregate behavior) To sum up: economics is about describing and understand the economy (economy studies) and economics decision-making (2 part directions). But there are of course different perspectives. Different perspectives: - Neoclassical economics (behaviour): allocation of scarce resources, determining the efficient allocation of resources to increase welfare = utility of individual, rational, non-social man. - Behavioural economics (behaviour): deals with observing behaviour and economic decision-making behaviour. Perspectives from psychology, social science etc. (behaviour) - Marxian political economy (power relations). Exploitation of labour by capital. The MPE has developed historically out of asymmetric distributions of power, ideology and social conflicts. - Feminist economics (power relations). Interdependencies of gender relations and the economy; care work and non-market mediated reproduction sphere. - Institutionalist economics (systems). Role of social institutions (laws/contracts), social norms and patterns of human behaviour connected to the social organisation of production, distribution and consumption in the economy. Institutions interact with each other. - Complexity economics (systems). Interactions and interdependencies between individuals and structures in complex economic systems. analysis of networks. This is all about networks. - Evolutionary economics (change & interaction). Focuses on economic change (growth, innovation, structural and technological change). - Ecological economics (change & interaction). Human economic activity is bound by absolute limits. Interactions between the economy, society and the environment are relevant for sustainability. Understanding economics decisions in the environment where people live. Goal oriented perspectives: (zie dia 56) - Biosphere - Society - Economy (inequality between companies and work life related questions). Econonomics is about: “The study of how people interact with each other and with their natural surroundings in providing their livelihoods, and how this changes over time”. New perspective that is popular: Doughnut economics: an economy is considered prosperous when all twelve social foundations are met without overshooting any of the nine ecological ceilings” (Kate Raworth). - We should focus on the doughnut and not on just growth. Consider the embedded economy, not a too abstract picture. Focus on the social/biased/shillyshally man (people are not only the rational economic man). Focus on the dynamic complexity rather than the mechanical equilibrium. We should redistribute to reduce the inequality and regeneratie circular economy to save resources. We should also give up GDP growth as econ goal as it is too narrow (there are other possitibility to measure it). - It is rather a visual framework with a collection of goals and not a model. You should emphasize the boundaries. It requires severe economy restructuring and ambiguous targets So it’s not a model on systems, behaviour or markets you can implement. Lecture 3 – What are societal challenges? (mo 11 sept) Societal challenges: (problems we will and have to deal with in the future) - Individual and society - Sickness and health - Technology and society - Fundamentals of existence. Societal challenges play a different role for different people in different countries. Sustainability: meet the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs (UN 1992). Maar wat zijn deze ‘needs’ en zijn die hetzelfde voor personen in de toekomst en wanneer is ‘the future’? - How does this relate to economics --> intertemporal choice. We are talking about generations. Individuum: consume today vs. consume tomorrow. Generations: old generation consumes today vs. young generation consumes tomorrow. - --> choice with social effects: do future generations enter the today’s decisionmaker’s utility function? Other regarding preferences/social preferences. Intergenerational/dynastic altruism – bequest models o What are the needs: welfare, but how to define it and what is the value of welfare today and tomorrow? o Who decides? Consumers, companies, governments (microec. Theory of the firm pol. economy) The sustainable development goals: “The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, adopted by all United nations member states in 2015, provides a shared blueprint for peace and prosperity for people and the planet, now and into the future. At its heart are the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which are an urgent call for action by all countries developed and developing - in a global partnership. They recognize that ending poverty and other deprivations must go hand-in-hand with strategies that improve health and education, reduce inequality, and spur economic growth – all while tackling climate change and working to preserve our oceans and forests. History of SDGs: • 1992 - Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro, 178 countries adopted Agenda 21 (plan for global partnership to improve human lives and protect the environment). • 2000 - Millennium Declaration at UN Headquarters in New York Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) to reduce extreme poverty by 2015. • 2012 – United Nations Conference; members decided, inter alia, to launch a process to develop a set of SDGs. • 2015 – Members agreed on the 2030 Agenda with 17 SDGs. The underlying framework is the BSE framework. - Biosphere: 6 (clean water & sanitation --> Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all), 13 (climate action --> Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts), 14 (life below water --> Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development), and 15 (life on land --> Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss) - Society: 1 (no poverty --> end poverty in all its forms everywhere), 2 (Zero hunger --> end hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture), 3 (Good health and well-being --> ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages), 4 (quality education --> ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all), 5 (gender equality --> achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls), 7 (affordable & clean energy --> ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all), 11 (sustainable cities and communities --> make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient, and sustainable), 16 (peace, justice and strong institutions --> Promote peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all and build effective, accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels). - Economy: 8 (decent work and economic growth --> Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all), 9 (Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure --> Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation), 10 (reduced inequalities --> reduce inequality within and among countries), 12 (responsible consumption and production --> ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns). SDG indicators: - Targets & indicators --> to measure if the SDG is achieved or not. Target = general goal you want to reach until 2030. Indicators = how you can measure it and to have a particular level of the indicators. Critique on SDGs: - The goals do not go far enough or show little progress. - Goals ignore underlying inequality in international systems (conflict of goals across countries). - Goals are top-down ignoring the local context of different countries). - Goals are rather a wish list (not binding, unclear strategy) Lack of data (different countries have different systems for data) Still growth-addicted Systematic reasons not addressed (trade agreements Measurement issues Nevertheless, SDGs are one way to tackle societal challenges. Greenwashing refers to marketing strategies designed to make a company and/or its products appear eco-friendly or sustainable despite such claims being exaggerated or even fraudulent. How does economics address societal challenges? • The "JEL" classification system originated with the Journal of Economic Literature and is a standard method of classifying scholarly literature in the field of economics. It is used in many of the AEA's published research materials. Specialization related (ACC): sustainable accounting --> the practice of measuring, analyzing, and reporting a company’s social and environmental impact. (measure, disclose, and add credibility). (SDG 13 and 16 are important). We should be able to give 2 examples of how your specializations address the sustainable development goals. (denk hierbij aan de huiswerk opdracht). How do particular papers deal with SDGs? To see how your discipline is dealing with SDGs. Lecture 4 – What is digital transformation? (wed 13 sept) These concepts are not the same! Digitization: transition from analog to digital Digitalization: Improve business processes by leveraging digital technologies Digital transformation: leverage emerging technologies to build new business systems, business models, and consumer & employee experiences. Some key technologies: big data --> large size, high dimension, complex structure, real-time. The 5Vs of Big data are Volume (amount of data), velocity (rate of data received, how quickly), variety (different types of data --> structured, semistructured and unstructured), veracity (quality of data), value (analytics on the data, makings sense of data otherwise data is useless). o Some examples: traffic control, risk management, crime detection, meteorology, healthcare, neuroscience machine learning --> it’s a subset of Ai that includes techniques that enable machines to improve at tasks with experience. It includes deep learning. It’s an algorithm that learns the data, build a prediction model and classifies new data that comes in. Machine learning models improve over time as they are exposed to more data, leading to more accurate outcomes and predictions. Examples are: siri (VPA), uber, social media (personalized adds) o There are three types of machine learning: Unsupervised learning: way to cluster unlabeled data sets. Supervised learning: trained on a labeled data set. Reinforcement learning: maximisation of rewards in dynamic environments. distributed ledger technology --> blockchain technology to enable the secure functioning of a decentralized digital database to eliminate the need for a cnetral authority to keep a check against manipulation. Distributed ledger technology (DLT) refers specifically to the technological infrastructure and protocols that allow the simultaneous access, validation and updating of records that characterizes distributed ledgers. It works on a computer network spread over multiple entities or locations. o Properties of DTL = distributed, anonymous, time-stamped, unanimous, immutable, secure, and programmable o Examples: bitcoin (blockchain), smart contracts, secure transactions. internet of things --> global network of machines and devices that can interact with each other. It’s a general term used for objects interconnected through networks, that encompass processing and sensor capabilities, allowing the devices to transmit recorded information from the outside environment. (interconnected nature of devices). o Examples: Iot devices, IoT big data, IoT dashboard, industry IoT, IoT Healthcare. (control (a system of) devices from elsewhere). cloud computing --> A model for enabling convenient, on-demand network access to a shared pool of configurable computing resources (for example, networks, servers, storage, applications, and services) that can be rapidly provisioned and released with minimal management effort or service-provider interaction. This is the NIST definition. Cloud computing is a way to organize big data from different locations all over the world by different people. o 3 fundamental models: (they have different threats and possibilities, see pic.) Infrastructure as a service (IAAS): Apply own platforms and applications on rented server space from everywhere. Own maintenance. Platform as a service (PAAS): More pre-defined tools to develop platforms and applications. Provider is responsible for system and management. Software as a service (SAAS): Software and applications are provided but can be accessed from everywhere. o Advantages: Scalability (pay only for how much use; easy to scale down and up), Outsource server storage, Higher Data Security (compared to own implementation), Robust recovery measures, Better maintenance due to synergies. Artificial intelligence (AI): any technique that enables computes to mimic human intellignece. It includes machine learning. It’s the broadest term used to classify machines that mimic human intelligence. It is used to predict, automate, and optimize tasks that humans have historically done, such as speech and facial recognition, decision making, and translation. – Weak AI: Applied to a participant situation, AI that is trained for a particular task – Strong AI: Self-consciousness to some extend. Challenges big data/algorithms: Digital transformation and Economics We have different sorts of goods: digital goods (production costs is high at the beginning), network goods, electronic markets & market design, digital economics. Digital goods: Intangible goods, Digital goods refers to any goods that are sold, delivered and transferred in digital form. Features are: – No physical body, no physical erosion (the good itself doesn’t change), high production cost first time, negligible variable costs, easy to copy. – Producers determine scarcity and access, product differentiation, price differentiation, low costs, protection through copyright and intellectual property rights. – MC=MR is=0 is not sufficient for making production decisions Disruptive technologies: Innovations that come to replace a process, a product, or technology that is already well-established: – Video streaming/rental shop - Uber/Caps – AirBnB/Hotel - Music Streaming/Records – Whatsapp/SMS - Wikipedia/Encyclopedia – Cryptocurrency/Currencies - Online Shops/Retail Network goods: Network effects arise where current users of a good gain when additional users adopt it. Examples: Telephone, Fax, Social Networks, Whatsapp, Chamber of commerce, Trade Union • Network Economics: High investment to generate critical mass (sometimes with providing the good/service for free), afterwards the structure allows for subsequent growth, most networks cannot grow indefinitely but become either congested (overuse due to system capacity) or saturated. Switching costs might be high due to the login effect. – High investment to generate critical mass (net als bij digital goods) – Structure allows for subsequent growth – Networks become either congested or saturated (they were the one that made it) – Switching costs might be high due to the login effect Electronic market: examples of market design are matching markets (What is the best algorithm to match supply and demand? --> TINDER), auction theory (what is the best pricing/allocation mechanism?), pricing strategies (pricie discrimination --> spotify goedkoper voor studenten), and reputation mechanism (how to improve credibility of the system? --> Hotels). Digital economics: how do standard economic models change when considering digital technology? REDUCTION OF COSTS. - Lower search costs: compare prices & quality, digital information flow - Lower replication costs: digital goods - Lower transportation costs: digital goods - Lower tracking costs: personalisation, price discrimination - Lower verification costs: reputation, DTL. How does Digital transformation address societal challenges? Big data: • Monitor prices in real time • Pandemic Mobile phone tracking (SDG 3) • Citizen reporting assessment • Resilience of spending patters • Postal traffic as indication for trade & growth • Satellite Imagery combined with citizen observations • Sentiment analysis to understand public opinion Machine learning: DTL: IoT: Cloud computing: Example: big data addresses SDG3 by detecting infection chains. In this case, big data is the location data from mobile phones of the population that allows tracking peoples past locations. (be concrete and provide a clear example). Lecture 5 – A1 Sustainability accounting and reporting (mo 18 sept) Accounting is an active agent in a dynamic and evolving social world. We focus on the Grand Societal challenges of our times. Our goal is to identify actionable outcomes (accounting+). Alliander is a group of companies. Their new energy markets offer innovative and sustainable solutions and services that contribute to the new energy system. Sustainabiltiy accounting: gathering of sustainability-related information as basis for decision making. Sustainability management control: use of management tools to influence sustainability-related organizational behavior. Sustainability reporting: disclosure of sustainability-related ifnroamtion to internal and external stakeholders. Ideal outcome of continious process of accountability: improved sustainability (--> SDGs) performance over tiem. - Sometimes there are alternative differentiations in the literature: o 1 + 2 with internal focus classified as “sustainability management accounting” o 3 with an external focus classified as “sustainability reporting”. Sustainability-related information is relevant on various levels: - Product level: help inform customers about sustainable choices, foster sustainable consumer behavior, or help product designers improving sustainability performance. - Process level: help companies include sustanability considerations into daily business. - Organizational level: can support sustainability management at the company level and beyond. Many elements of sustainability management depend on reliable information --> sustainability accounting is a vast topic (unusually large in size/ extent). - In this course: we focus on exemplary tools and areas of application (life cycle assesment, carbon accounting etc.) Life cycle sustainability assessment (LCSA): it’s a tool for information gathering in sustainability accounting. It’s about collecting and assessing information about environmental, economic, and social resources used during the life span of a product. - Product life cycle = physicial life cycle describing all stages through which a product passes. Often starts with mining and extraction of raw materials, then design and production processes, shipping and transportation, use process until the end of the product life and corresponding disposal or reuse or recycling of the products or materials. - Large scope of LCSA --> nearly impossible to truly assess entire life cycle of a product. Different elements of LCSA: (see dia 16) - Environmental life cycle assessment (ELCA OF LCA) --> covers ecological aspects, most common element. = ecological aspects - Life cycle costing (LCC) --> helps evaluating cost occuring in the life cycle (e.g. production, transportation, consumer consts or costs for disposal). = economic aspects - Social life cycle assessment (SLCA) --> analysis of social and socioeconomic impacts. Much shorter history compared to ELCA, partly because assessment of social impact often more complex than assessment of environmental impact factors. = social aspects. - ALL can be used in combination or independently. Carbon accounting: - Greenhouse gas emissions of central concern for sustainability maangement - Companies around the world define targets for themselves to reduce GHG emissions. To be able to set targets, relevant information need to be available --> Carbon accounting as an own area of sustainabiliy accounting Tools and procedures of CA focus on GHG in gneeral o Typical 1st question in CA: where did emissions take place? --> the answer is relevant to determine responsibilities, identify main emission sources and levers to reduce emission, and avoid missing relevant emissions as well as double counting. o Common distinction in CA between scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions. Challenges in CA: - Scope 1 emissions are relatively easy to measure. o Adequate accounting information systems collecting and assessing relevant data necessary to be able to calculate emission o Setting up and maintaining such systems in itself is substantial task but can be done largely independent of other actors - Data on scope 2 emissions often relatively easy to obtain --> they mainly cover GHG emissions from energy production, which is a well-researched field - Calculating scope 3 emissions requires extensive and often complex data from actors up- or downstream in supply chain. o Obtaining data often difficult or prone to uncertainties or inaccuracies o Information on scope 3 emissions are often very informative Management systems for sustainability (environmental management system) • Provide procedures of how to implement certain aspects of management into strategy and daily business • Coordinate and systemize organizational activities by using defined and documented control and feedback mechanisms • Not restricted to sustainability issues (classic example: quality management systems) • Procedures and details are outlined in certain management system standards • Standards are certifiable à auditors document organizations compliance and issue certificate to document compliance • However, companies can also set up management systems without external audits and certifications Management control systems are related to sustainability control systems: - Strategic planning --> sustainability planning - Budgeting --> environmental budgeting, sustainability budgeting - Hybrid measurement systems --> sustainability performance measurement, sustainability balanced scorecard. Balanced scorecard as tool in strategic planning at business unit level: - Strategic planning and management performance measurement system was introduced by Kaplan and Norton. - The BSC incorporates 4 perspectives: financial, customer/market, ST efficiency (internal process) and LT learning and development factors. the idea is to ling LT strategic objectives with ST actions. - Each perspective contains 4 kinds of information o Objectives (high level organizational goals) o Measures (how progress for the repsective objective is measured) o Targets (specifiec target valeus for each measure) o Initiatives (action programs developed to achieve objects) - The perspectives should be integrated and linked via cause and effect. The sustainability BSC --> basic idea is to include social and environmental issues in the existing BSC to produce a SBSC. 3 options to do this: 1. integrating social and environmental measures withing the existing 4 quadrants (perspectives). 2. developing a separate, but linked, sustainability scorecard 3. adding non-market elements to the scorecard. Sustainability reporting: is a term commonly used to describe a range of practices where organisations provide information on sustainability matters. It provides and substantiates information about the status and progress of corporate sustainability towards internal and external stakeholders through formalized means of communication. - The majority of large multinational companies but also many smaller companies regularly publish sustaianbility-related report. There are various terms used interchangeable (CSR report, sustainability report, non-financial report etc). it ususally covers multiple aspects and dimensions of sustainability (but a onedimensional report is also possible). - Companies are not restricted to publishing annual or biannual reports but can also be conducted during the fiscal year (press releases or on website). Sustainability reporting concepts and terms: - Integrated or combined reports: 3 sustainability dimensions (financial, ecological, and social in one report). - Specialized sustainability, CSR reports: 2 sustainabiltiy dimensions (ecological and social; financial usually not covered) - Isolated environmental or social reports: 1 sustainability dimension (ecological or social). There is a growth in non-financial reports and the assurance thereof. Normative perspective: sustainability (nonfinancial) reporting helps investors, civil society organisations, consumer, policy makers and other stakeholder to evaluate the non-financial performance of large companies and encourages these companies to develop a responsible approach to business (according to EU). This includes how they are addressing the SDGs through their purpose and values, supply chain, and in the development of their talent. The starting point is real impact effects! Real business activities (firms’ carbon emissions) are portrayed through sustainability reporting and this in turn affects again real business activities (decrease in firms’ carbon emissions). But what sustainability information do firms need to report? - For decades, there was no single dominating standard setting institution. Now, we have the EU nonfinancial reporting directive and the EU taxonomy (mandatory sphere). - Firms are supposed to report material information but what is material? o Impact materiality --> material topics are those that reflect the organization’s most significant impacts on the economy, environment, and people including impacts and human rights (stakeholder-oriented). o Financial materiality --> information is financially material if omitting, misstating, or obscuring it could reasonable be expected to influence investment or lending decisions that users make on the basis of financial performance and enterprise value (invester orientend). o Impact materiality + financial materiality = double materiality! Materiality assessments might differ depending on the framework/standards that firms adhere to!!!! Single materiality focus might further increase existing (voluntary) reporting trends. - Financial materiality: ISSB (Further consolidation) - Double materiality: NFRD, CSRD (further regulation). There are steps takes towards mandatory reporting for large compannes --> mandatory character for large public companies headquartered in the EU --> there is however still little guidance on specifically what and how to report --> there is also potential for discretion. The ESRS (European sustainability reporting standards) draft was developed by the European financial reporting advisory group (EFRAG). ISSB is global. It consists of 4 topics: cross-cutting standards, environment, social and governance. Lecture 6 – Sustainability challenges at Alliander N.V. (tue 19 sept) Alliander: - Biggest regional energy network operator of the netherlands - All the shares in Alliander are directly or indirectly held by dutch provisional authorities and municipalties - Operation of 95.000km electricity cables in the ground, 42.000km gaspipes. - 8000 employees Hoe ze georganiseerd zijn: Qirion: high voltage. Does a lot of maintenance work for that Kenter: metering energy things Firan: helps with natural heating sources. Alliander telecom: operational technical infrastructure. Their organization model is a wheel with pillars to solve the sustainble challenges. 2 nd and 3th line of defence. - Finance directs to CFO. - Internal audit directs to CEO. Alliander has the Highest reliability of electricity (99.9998%). Target 2030 alliander: not only making the energy transition possible but also helping to accelerate it. It must also be affordable and a reliable energy system. The SDGs waar ze voor streven zijn 7,8,9,11,12,13. Transparency is important to enable the energy grid of the future (reporting). This is all in the integrated report of Alliander. Ze vinden het belangrijk om een integrated report te hebben. - Their reporting processes are based on PDCA. - Assurance: 3 lines model and external assurance Overarching question: • How could management information systems (MIS) help Alliander make wellinformed ESG decisions? (value of the whole organization) Concrete subquestions: 1. Which management information system(s) (MIS) would you suggest using to measure and manage ESG information at Alliander, and why? 2. What data points and KPIs (Key Performance Indicators) would you suggest integrating into the ESG-related MIS? Can you counter reliability concerns for those data points and KPIs? 3. What are the organizational challenges (e.g., coordination, efficiently collecting data) in successfully implementing such a MIS at Alliander? Deze vragen moet je beantwoorden bij de elevator pitch. Use your creativity. (challenges: data points, reporting parts). Liefste of focussen op de main question of op de sub questions. Monday: elevator pitch training. Lecture 7 - mo ESG (environmental, social and governance) Environmental: - GHG emissions - Carbon emissions --> scope 1,2, and 3. - Energy use & renewable energy - Waste - Biodiversity Social: - Human rights Employees Diversity Equality Human rights Ethical business practices Donations Governance: - Renumeration - Executive compensation (fixed component and variable component, which are dependent on ESG scores). - Bribery (omkoping) - Board composition. --> different types of diversity (men/women, nationality, age, religion, culture) and expertise and independence of members. - Accountability - Transparent disclosure (greenwashing) - Stakeholder engagement - Risk management / compliance (dat je de wet niet overtreedt enzo) - Shareholder (beschermingconstructies) - Ethical behavior (quote of conduct) Alliander gebruikt excel spreadsheets om dingen te reporten. Ze willen 1 integrated comprehensive system. Maar ze willen alle ESG pillars ook combineren en dat is lastig. Materiality --> is een maatstaf in auditing en accounting die bepaalt of een bepaald bedrag al dan niet significant is. Bij een audit van de jaarrekening wordt gekeken of deze aan de geldende regels beantwoordt en geen materiële fouten bevat. Example: Philips, they have panel sessions with stakeholders to know what information is important (ESG information), so then the company knows where they should report about. Then the next question is: how do they measure everything (Water usage for example)? and how to audit the information? So there are a lot of problems. (first sub question) First subquestion: how to measure this information and how to audit it (For the auditor)? Alliander maakt al gebruik van de CSRD regels van de EU. Zij willen al reasonable assurance (omdat ze een voorloper zijn in NL). - Zij hebben dus voor alleen de hele belangrjike key performances reasonable assurance en voor de rest limited assurance. 2nd sub question: using panel sessions They want to get rid of the excel systems but they don’t know how to do this. 3rd sub question: it’s really costly. Another problems: comparability is low and weak because each company has another MIS. There is no benchmark. Problem BSC: causal relationship between these dimensions is hard to find. Another problem: they are still looking for real information experts (creative thinkers), because they’re lacking. lines of defence model 1st line: information system 2nd line: the fin. Controller, compliance manager, risk managers. They oversee and try to improve the first line (first filter/check of mistakes) 3rd line: Erik Hessels, they should be completely independent of the first 2. 4th line: external auditer, audits whether the internal audits works effectively (controleert weer de 3rd line 5th line: regulator (authority fin. Markets) Lecture 8 – tue (elevator pitches for alliander) Alleen pitches. Erik van Hessels (van Alliander) heeft niks meer gezegd. Lecture 9 – introduction to accounting and digitalization (mo) Building a data driven culture is hard. To capture what it takes to succeed, the authors look at the first two years of a new data program at Kuwait’s Gulf Bank in which they worked to build a culture that embraced data, and offer a few lessons. First, it is important to start building the new culture from day one, even as doing so is not the primary mandate. Second, to change a culture, you need to get everyone involved. Third, give data quality strong consideration as the place to start. Finally, building this new culture takes courage and persistence. (article) These 2 weeks: digital transformation in accounting, again with Alliander It’s first digitization, then digitalization and then digital transformation. Er is een nijpend tekort aan accountants (door vergrijzing). Digitalization is expected to transform accounting --> there is a need for increased efficiency and effectiveness: - Practioners are being asked to do more with the same or fewer resources - Increased online collaboration requires new digital tools Accounting is a great place to start: No need to get ‘buy-in’ from others outside the area A low-risk opportunity to try out new technology before rolling it out to other areas Improve efficiency, accuracy (e.g., measuring, reporting, forecasting) and profitability Whatdo we expect from digitalization in accounting (Lawson 2020 paper)? - Efficient transaction processing and reporting - Getting the right information to the right people in a timely fasion - Combining accounting expertise with analytics and companywide data to make better business decisions - Obtaining new information from unstructured data sources - Improving data security - Increased information content of data used for enterprise risk assessment - Improving accurcary of forecasts. The volume of data has increased dramatically. According to Deloitte, 90% of all data have been created over the past 2 years (said in 2018 by ICAEW). They say that we are at the beginning of a new industrial revolution in which technologies such as AI, machine learning, internet of Things, blockchain technology are really changing our world and challenging the profession of accountancy (Marr, 2018, ICAEW). How is it related to digitalization for accounting? - Drones (invetory counting) - XBRL (extensible business reporting language) - Automation, robotic process automation (data processing) - Natural language processing, chatbots (ChatGPT) - Use of social media for reporting purposes - Big data and Analytics - AI and machine learning (in auditing) - Blockchain (cryptocurrency, NFTs, smart contracts, auditing purposes) - Internet of Things (IOT), cloud-based services XBRL stands for extensible business reporting language. It’s a freely available global framework of accounting standards used for exchanging business information. It’s based on XML coding and is a standardized way of transmitting financial records around the world. iXBRL, where I stands for inline is an update that allows for XBRL metadata to be embedded in an HTML document. XBRL/ iXBRL is mandatory for public companies in the US (SEC) and the EU. XBRL is a structured way of disgital reportig!! Social media: a potentially interesting setting: - Social media allow for increased interaction between management and stakeholders It allows stakehodlers to voice their opinions about firms more easily There is an increased interaction between stakeholders among themselves, this may pose a threat for firms’ reputation. It makes corporate information more accessible to a larger and more diverse public. It has other formal characteristics (length, tone, style) Thus, what we know about traditional reporting settings may not generalize to a social media setting. (shell video) And example of data and analytics is the ERP databases. These contain broad and disparate data sets, which may include sales performance statistircs, consumer reviews etc. Machine learning algorithms can be used to find correlation and patterns in such data. Those insights can then be used to inform virtually every area of the business including optimizing the workflows of IoT devices within the network or the best ways to automate repetitive or error-prone takss. AI = the theory and development of computer systems able to perform tasks normally requiring human intellingence, such as visual perception, speech recognition, decision-making, and translation between languages Ai and accounting: there is a growing area of enterprise machine learning application (see video of AI and machine learning in auditing). But you have to think about the role of accountability and responsibility when using AI (Ethical concerns --> good or bad intentions. AI doesn’t necessarily share our values, which may result in biases. Generally, AI is used as a tool for pattern recognition and used as a tool for classification (pattern formation). AI needs as input: large amounts of repetitive data, and a directed analysis (a question, goal, objective) Current state of digitalization for accounting: - Survey with 308 members of Dutch organization for registered controllers. They agree that the following phenomena are taking place in their organizations and expect an increase in the next 5 years: o Digitalization of the primary processes o Digitalization of the administrative and/or financial processes o Digitalization of the business model o Collecting/availability of data to support decision-making. - Further, the following technological development are already used by many respondents and considered valuable by many others: Robotic process - automation, big data, AI, ML, innovative payment systems, IoT, cloud-based services, XBRL. Other technological developments are not currently being used or not considered valuable: Quickbooks (automation of fin. Data processing and organization), Drones, regression analysis, Alteryx (enables analysis of business data), Python, Stata, R software, Cryptocurrency, other blockchain technolohies, smart contracts, databox, augmented virutal reality, and metaverse. Data-driven decision-making: respondents indicate to participate in the following activities: - Collecting quantitative data - Assessing the quality of data - Combining different datasets - Data visualisation - Determining which analyses are necessary to support decision-making - Critically interpreting statistical output - Using analyses to support decision-making They also argue that they have enough skills to perform these activities. At the same time, respondents see room for improvement for each of these activities. Interestingly, some activities are considered valuable for their function but in which respondents are not participating and for which they would need to improve their skills: - Data wrangling and cleaning (transforming and preparing data for analysis) - Statistical data analysis - Data mining (discovering relations in large datasets) - Process mining (using data to analyse business processes) - Predictive modeling - Ensuring data security Overall, respondents don’t program, don’t think it’s valauble for their function and do not feel skilled. Specifically related to working with data, accounting practitioners use the following tools: - Dataprocessing (Excel) - Enterprise resource planning (SAP ERP, or other ERP software) - Data visualisation (Power BI, Tableau, other visualisation software) - Managing relational databases (oracle, other software). Barriers of digitalization for accounting: - Lack of resources (time, money, knowledge, (IT) people) - IT infrastructure (concenrs about data quality and reliability, fragmetned data systems, outdated systems) - Mindset (resistance, lack of support from the top, missing sense of urgency, bureaucracy). What does it mean for Us Accountants: job demands becomes data-savvy and reconsider human decision-making, responsibility and accountability of the accounting and controller (Human in the loop), reduced role for traditional doubly-entry information, and Psychological barriers (understanding the black box, algorithm aversion). So, where to start: Starting simple and small when first implementing projects. Expanding the sources of data used and exploring potential uses not only of data available internally but also of data available externally. Getting information based on data into the hands of those who need it on a real-time basis. Getting upper management on board (or in the case of cheap tech, start a bootstrap movement). Getting IT and finance organization buy-in. Forming a cross-functional team and communicating well. Adequately evaluating the technology and potential vendors. Building strong data governance and quality infrastructure in order to ensure data integrity and quality. Most important for accounting practitioners: Understand technology, not necessarily being able to implement it. e.g., blockchain Lecture 10 – Digital Challenges at Alliander Toeslagen affaire en digitalization: door het programma wat ze gebruikte, werden veel ouders benadeeld. Dit is een voorbeeld. Digitalization at Alliander: digging a hole, they have to rely on data. How does digitalization works within alliander. Data and AI are solutions to handle the problems. The whole energy market is chaning now. Alliander is an asset company: an asset is a cable for example. Energy transition and manufacturing puts pressure on Liander’s mission. A reliable, affordable, and accessible energy supply. (percentage = 99.998%). Goals (strategy) of the last 2 weeks: (focus points) 1. Building nets: Getting more cables in the ground 2. Flexibileze (distribute between everyone and do it in a smart way, wanneer je de power gebruikt --> tomatenkwekerij, wanneer er genoeg energy is) congestion between supply and demand). Maximize the usage of the grid (zodat bedrijven niet hoeven te wachten omdat het energy grid is full 3. Communicate more. Explain when Alliander cannot give reliable energy. Communicate about success and when he can rely on reliable energy because that’s when he can do his investments. System model: costumer value. 4 types of customers: - Government - customer - Society (increase digitaliztion option in the future) - Market (bring the data together) They have 8 customer products now. at is een regionale energiestrategie? In een regionale energiestrategie (RES) onderzoekt een regionaal samenwerkingsverband van provincies, gemeenten en waterschappen de mogelijkheden voor de uitvoering van de energietransitie. Digitalization = Solution in the big problem they face as grid operator for now and in the future. - Digitalization is all about the power of imagination, but how do we facilitate this? Picture: idea of topics Alliander is working on (gaat over digitalization). You always have to take into account privacy when working on digitalization. Each of the steps in the value chain, digitalization plays a role --> this is done by AI. Facilitating the digitalization ambitions of the value chain by bulding the AI capability (denk aan voorbeeld van de bakker). Many different aspects where digitalization can help. These can be improved with AI!! Daarmee is Alliander nu aan het experimenteren (robots, drones) Accountant perspective: conservatief. Waarom moet de accounting profession be aware of AI and focus on it? If we only rely on algorithms without being sure enough that is does what it has to do, there could ontstaan problems (toeslagen affaire). It’s important to manage expectations! Could lead to reputational damage of the board. Analytics within alliander is more than just AI and ML. it’s divided into 4 parts: - ML and statistics - Physical modelling - Graph theory & operations (simulate the grid as a graph) - Optimization (optimal allocation of resources and material f.e.) Core competency challenges: - Correlations vs. non-sense correlations - Delivering business value - Side effects (denk aan arme wijk in stad) Dangers of AI: - Ethical discrimination problems - Super intelligence, robots takes over the world (hij is hier nog niet bang voor) Main question: • How could accounting help Alliander to make well informed decisions in artificial intelligence driven business processes? Subquestions: • To which risks does Alliander expose her customers, when business processes will be digitalized by artificial intelligence? • Based on the identification of risks, how does a CTO make a good and valid decision about the preferred level of AI use? • How does the CFO judge the reliability of AI produced decisions? (reputation damage for example) De vragen builts up. Eerste vraag hebben we het al over gehad in de lecture. Second question: where do they base the decision on? 3rd question: looking at finances. Good source to start: annual report of Alliander. (risk paragraph in the annual report). Other sources: video on youtube about Alliander and digitalization, AI at alliander is at the website of Alliander. CTO = chief transformational officer Lecture 11, Lecture 12 no notes Lecture 5 – All students again (mo 16 okt) Outline week 42: Methodology, take-aways from guest lectures, reflection of week 38-41, course feedback, exam and online evaluation. Methodology: de studie van de wetenschappelijke methoden, de procedures en werkwijzen, die moeten worden gebruikt om kennis te verwerven en om de wetenschap vooruit te helpen. welke methodes je gebruikt hebt om tot je resultaten van je onderzoek te komen - Deductive reasoning: theory --> hypothesis --> observation (data) --> confirmation (analysis). This is a normative approach; make assumptions and form anmodel, use it to form testable hypotheses that can be empirically tested. (from general to particular). Models can be tested an refined by considering data analysis. = Deduction - Inductive reasoning: observation (data) --> pattern (analysis) --> hypothesis --> theory. Collect empirical data to generate hypotheses and form a theroy… you go from the part to the whole, from specific to general, from narrow to wider… generalisation. = Induction. Example = case study. Components of the research process are: Theory (ideas on how a system works or how relationship (can) look like), hypothesis (testable relationship derived from theory), data, and analysis (to see whether the data conforms the theroy. Other-regarding preferences are preferences that attach value to the well-being of others as ends in themselves (other humans, species or nature as a whole). (dictator game, split cake?) Drawing general conclusions from data requires induction. - But general conclusion cannot truthfully be drawn from induction. The next observation can show some different result. Think about the white swans. It might be true locally but not globally (background theory is that the location matters) - Falsification: researchers must be able to falsify a theory, otherwise it is not a scientific theory (Popper). Needs to take the background theory into account. If it cannot be falsified, it’s not a scientific question (like god exists). All scientific hypotheses must be falsifiable in the natural world (according to Poppwer). Models: some people say that all models are wrong, meaning that it will never represent the exact real behavior. Having said that, even if a model cannot describe exactly the reality it could be very helpful if it is close enough. For models: perspectives and context matters. A one-to-one map is not possible (het is nooit helemaal hetzelfde). Another quote: manymodel thinkers make better decisions. - Goal of models: to reduce the complexity (theory of complexity) Positive --> What is! --> objective reality (biological categorisation), it describes the world. It’s true or false. = Anna (Peter) is a female (male). Normative --> What ought to be --> subjective opinion, tells about the views of the world (values, tastes), cannot be proven true or false. = Anna (Peter) is the toughest woman (man). These are positive vs. normative statements. Economic models: explain economic phenomena in an abstract way. It’s verbal, graphical and mathematical Testing economic theories: able to quantify involved variables and see whether theoretical prediction from the model holds. A good theory: makes claims which can be tested open to falsification. Shiller (narrative economics book) argues that studying popular stories that affect individual and collective economic behavior—what he calls “narrative economics”—has the potential to vastly improve our ability to predict, prepare for, and lessen the damage of financial crises, recessions, depressions, and other major economic events. Methods used in economic decision-making: Mathematical economics (like optimisation micro 101, equilibrium analysis, comparative statistics, dynamics), Decision analysis ( set of alternatives, chance/unknown events that effect the outcome, outcome --> solution concept, example = decision tree with expected values), Game theory (set of alternatives, multiple players, payoff mapping of decision --> solution concept, example = prisoner’s dilemma. Nash equilibrium = no one wants to change, with a tree, make use of backward induction) So economists’ toolbox to reduce complexity is: Mathematics (optimization, intertemporal optimization differential equations), decision analysis / game theory, econometrics (understanding the world in terms of data analysis), experimental economics/finance (understanding the world in terms of running experiments to test market design and economic behavior), simulations and surverys. Methods of empirical anaylsis: time series, panel data, multilevel, categorical data, qualitative methods, treatment effects & endogeneity, experimental methods. Methods that are less frequently used in economics: ANOVA (Analysis of Variance --> oneway and two-way). It tests 3 or more groups (factors) for mean differences on a continious response variable. ANOVA is a special case of regression), independent component analysis, factor analysis (have a big data set, find clusters (or predefine clusters) and figure out the relationship between these clusters. These last 2 are often used for questionnaires in personality research), System dynamics, Bibliometric analysis (statistical analysis of text & meta data, make distributions, clusters or networks of such content, reference analysis) SDG relatated: Systematic literature review --> reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analysis (PRISMA) --> checklist. But the relevance of the research is important (Example: Noise traders) A flaw of research is that it may have so little impact. Digital Key technologies and Economics Digitalisation of the brain = decision neuroscience (Neuroeconomics) - Dealing with big data - Behavioural data vs. brain reaction - Think of Alan’s talk about neuroscience. Cloud computing: access to data, sharing code, working on same documents, data storage. Allow researchers to gather data for meta analysis and verification of results and source of data. There is even a new discipline, called cloud economics: the study of cloud computing’s costs and benefits and the economic principles that underpin them. - Cloud computing allows for a higher chance of reproducibility when using fair designed data sets. The goal is to have better tools to allow for a reproduction of the results. Big data and machine learning. We use this for forecasting and predictions. We use big data to increase the accuracy. Use sentiment analysis / natural language processing (textual, audio, visual data to detect communication patterns / effects that influence markets). Use Image processing and computer vision (satellite data to measure economic activity (or growth)). And use it to process automation and optimization to increase the efficiency. We use machine learning techniques to analyse big data Threats of new technologies: Satellite talks Exam relevance: What is the gig economy? Give an example. What are transaction costs and how does the gig economy reduces those? Give an examples. What is principal agent theory about and how might it be related to the gig economy? Give an example. Exam Relevance Why is the economics cybersecurity relevant for sustainability and resilience of a system? Wolter provided three application areas on the economics of cybersecurity. - What is a relevant economic decision in ‘security decisions’? - What are examples for externalities and information asymmetry issues that affect cybersecurity related to coordination? - What is the insurance dilemma insurance companies face when making choices to pay ransom or the damage/recovery costs? Exam relevance How can decision neuroscience help to understand econ decision making? Give an example. How can reading emotions help to understand econ decision making? Give an example. Exam Relevance: Why is biodiversity loss a problem? Give one or two examples Why is biodiversity related to a stock market? Elaborate on this idea What is a tipping point? Lecture 6 Eerst Satellite talks gedaan, daarna homework met de papers. Daarna take away van de groups, daarna exam vragen. A note on the credibility of journals: • Predatory Journals – Perform little to no review – Charge post-acceptance publication fees (incentives?) – Rapid decision – Open Access (low publication costs) • Consequence – Low quality/non-accurate research – Articles may be cited incorrectly as authoritative – Accrediting bodies /university administrators may wrongly regard those as productivity measures Exam: 3 parts --> part one (same for all, concent lectures 1-5 (30%) and guest lectures (10%)), part 2 (content week 38 & 39 (30%)), part 3 (week 40 & 41 (30%)). Exam relevance has been provided. Example of questions -->