HYDRAULIC CONSTRUCTION 1: HYDROLOGY ENSTP – Yaoundé, Cameroun April‐May 2014 RAIN GAGE (1) Precipitation consists of rain or snow. Rainfall refers to amount of liquid precipitation. Rain gages record the the amount of precipitation expressed in millimeter [mm]. Non-recording gage is also generally installed at a recording gage site to provide a check on the automatic gage mechanism Non‐recording gage Recording gage RAIN GAGE (2) Record gage may be equipped with 7-day recorder or a strip-chart recorder that is used up to 6 months. When the bucket is full, it turns and it makes a sign on the paper The amount of the measured precipitation depends on the exposure of the gage to the wind and also on the height of the surronding objects. A poor exposure should be avoided POINT RAINFALL Point rainfall is measured at a rain gage station. The point value is assumed to be applicable only for small areas (up to 25 km2). The time distribution of point precipitation obtained from a recording rain gage is shown by a hyetograph, that shows the depths during a selected time interval. MEAN ANNUAL PRECIPITATION The following basic factor determine the amount of mean annual precipitation at a station: 1. Latitude 2. Position and size of continental land mass on which the station is located 3. Distance of the station from the coast or other source of moisture 4. Temperature of ocean and coastwise currents 5. Extend and altitude of adjacent mountain ranges 6. Altitude of the station CAMEROON MEAN ANNUAL PRECIPITATION Cameroon is divided into 5 areas: • Exceedingly hot and humid with a short dry season on the coast • Alternation between wet and dry seasons in the south • mild climate and high rainfall along the Cameroon range • Moderate hot temperature with two rainy season on the Adamawa Platau • Arid area with sparse rainfall in the Northern lowland region RETURN PERIOD (1) The information about the rain is necessary to properly size hydraulic structure. We need data collected over a period of 30-35 years to have a statistic One of the most important concept in the statistical point of view is the return period. Definition. It is an estimated of the mean period of time between two events of the same or greater magnitude. The statistical rigorous definition states that the return period is the inverse probability that the event will be exceeded in any one year: return period probability that the event H exceeds the value h RETURN PERIOD (2) By using the probability properties, we have: Example. The flood having Tr=10 years is a flood that may happen, on average, every 10 years (with the same or greater magnitude). N.B.= For sizing any hydraulic structure a return period Tr must be given. E.g., the sewer system is sized for events that have Tr=5÷10 years; a dam for Tr=1000 years. DEPTH AND INTENSITY OF RAIN To estimate exceptional rainfall events the depth of rain h can be expressed as: is the rain duration Let us define the intensity of rain j: N.B.= j increases if decreases and viceversa. A short event is more intense than a long one having the same Tr Our aim is to elaborate an expression for h. The expression is called: • depth-duration-frequency curves (DDF) • intensity-duration-frequency curves (IDF) DEPTH‐DURATION‐FREQUENCY CURVES (1) The DDF curves: Are define for a specific place with - a given Tr - an assigned Have to give a synthetic information about - the exceptional depth of rain - the exceptional intensity Have the purpose of elaborating hyetographs that have to be significant for - design problem - test problem DEPTH‐DURATION‐FREQUENCY CURVES (2) The mathematical expression for the DDF curves can be expressed by: Let try to study this curves: • if then h • if then j , 0 DEPTH‐DURATION‐FREQUENCY CURVES (3) If n1 > n2 we have h1 > h2 although Tr1 < Tr2 Parameter a takes into account of Tr ESTIMATION OF DDF CURVE (1) To estimate DDF curve we need of rainfall data collected for a period of almost 40 years. Usually this data are organized such that we have the highest depth of rainfall for different duration and for each year. ESTIMATION OF DDF CURVE (2) To elaborate the DDF curve we need to rewrite the data in a decreasing order for each duration independently from the year. # of year =1h =3h =6h = 12 h 1 2 3 . . . . 40 Row of the first critical case, i.e., Tr = 40 years Row of the second critical case, i.e., Tr = 20 years = 24 h ESTIMATION OF DDF CURVE (3) We obtain the estimation of the parameters a and n for a given Tr, by a linear regression of the data in bilog plane In this analysis: The results depends from the ensemble of data we are considering The results do not give information about the event having Tr greater than the period of the observations, e.g., Tr = 100, 200 and 1000 years GUMBEL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION (1) It is commonly accepted that the extreme rainfall values follow a Gumbel probability distribution, that reads ( and u are parameters): The estimation of the parameters and u is realized by the comparison with observed data. We compare the probability of non-excedance with the frequency (deducted by the data) of non-excedance GUMBEL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION (2) Let us follow this method: • The available data are rewrite in ascending order, defining hi the value in the i-th position (with i=1, 2, …, N) • Thus the frequency of non-excedance for a value hi is given by • We assign the observed frequency f(hi) with the theoretical one (F(hi)=P(hi)) By applying two times the logaritmic the equation above becomes: ln ln 1 with i=1, 2, …, N GUMBEL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION (3) The best estimation of the parameters and u is given by the linear regression of the points (hi, yi): In particular we want to minimize the distance between the line and the data. We find GUMBEL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION (4) We observe that the Gumbel probability P(h) is equal to the probability of nonexcedance P(H ≤ h) for a given return period Tr, i.e. 1 1 ln 1 ln 1 exp 1⁄ 1 : exp 1 Depth of rainfall for different Tr with fixed duration By reading the values along the arrow, we obtain the DDF curve for Tr = 10 years GUMBEL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION (5) To elaborate the DDF curve for large Tr we have to recostruct Gumbel curve for each rainfall duration recorded. 1 ln ln 1 1