Reverse auctions in industrial marketing and buying Larry R. Smeltzer Professor, Supply Chain Management, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona Amelia Carr Professor of Operations Management, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio Reverse auctions have been a popular topic over the past several years because they often result in tremendous savings for buyers and new markets for sellers. But they also carry risks. Three primary A uctions may be one of the world’s oldest commercial tools. Their use has been reported as early as 500 BC in Babylon, and several references are made in Roman history to auctioning everything from the spoils of war to royal furniture. Most historical references mention the English progressive auction that is derived from the Latin root auctus, “an increase.” But today the auction is different. E-commerce has matured and reverse electronic auctions have received as much as or more attention than any other electronic tool. Why? Many companies, including Quaker Oats, United Technologies, and SmithKlineBeecham, report millions of dollars of savings with reverse auctions compared to traditional industrial buying methods. And many consulting firms are hyping the advantages of reverse auctions for both buyers and sellers. As a result of all this attention, a survey conducted by Purchasing magazine (Porter 2000) found that 25 percent of the respondents expected to use reverse auctions in 2000, and that number is expected to rise during the next several years. Various estimates indicate that billions of dollars of industrial goods will be purchased in reverse auctions by 2004 as the tool becomes more commonly used. With this level of estimated use, no doubt more and more managers will be asking, “How and when should I be using reverse auctions to reduce my material and operating costs?” motivations, three potential disadvantages, and four conditions and related guidelines for success are reported here. If a reverse auction is to succeed, the product or service specifications must be clear and comprehensive, the purchase must be large enough to provide an incentive for the supplier to participate in the auction, the appropriate supply market conditions must exist, and the appropriate organizational infrastructure must be in place. What is a reverse auction? A ny auction, note McAfee and McMillan (1987), is theoretically an attempt to create a pure market with perfect information among both buyers and sellers. The ideal is for everyone to understand the product being auctioned and to know the latest bid price. The forward auction, in which the seller offers a product to numerous buyers, is the most common type. The seller “controls” the market because it is offering a product in demand by a number of buyers. The price the buyers offer 47 continues to increase until a theoretical rational price is met in the market. Supply and demand set the price. In a reverse auction, the desired item is offered by a number of sellers, so the buyer controls the market. The price the sellers offer continues to decrease until a theoretical rational market price is achieved. An electronic auction brings the buyers and sellers together via some type of electronic media, usually the Internet. In fact, reverse auctions gained popularity with the advent of economical and efficient electronic capabilities, and are often only feasible when used electronically, via the Net. Here, however, the process will be referred to simply as a reverse auction rather than an electronic reverse auction. A reverse auction may result in “dynamic pricing,” which means that the price for the item being auctioned changes instantaneously because of the electronic format. As sellers observe the price changing in real time, the assumption is that it will continue to fall until a rational market price is established. In economic terms, a balanced market for a particular item is established between buyer and sellers. Again, the price is theoretically established by perfect information about supply and demand. The basic premise is that supply and the sellers’ profit margin are sufficient to offer lower prices. The suppliers can instantaneously observe the prices being offered by other sellers. And the seller can see the price levels required to obtain the sale. There are both advantages and disadvantages to using reverse auctions, as well as a few conditions that lead to their success. Our discussion of these factors is based not only on the current literature but also on in-depth interviews with 41 managers who have used electronic reverse auctions (see Figure 1). Sellers’ and buyers’ reasons for using reverse auctions A ny new management tool may face skepticism, but both buyers and sellers have good reasons for using reverse auctions. The primary reason for sellers is the promise of increased business. In a traditional industrial market, a seller must often respond to a Request for Quote (RFQ) knowing little about the market’s general pricing structure and the specific competition. Because the competition’s price level is unknown, the seller may bid a price that could have been lower while still maintaining a suitable profit. With reverse auction dynamic pricing, in contrast, the seller can immediately observe the competition’s price level. Hypothetically, the seller should be able to bid a price that allows for an acceptable profit but easily see when it is no longer feasible to remain in the competition for the sale. 48 This is highly related to another seller benefit: penetrating new markets. Market penetration may be easier when a seller can readily observe the pricing required for a sale within the new market. A seller willing to sacrifice profits initially in order to penetrate a market can determine the exact required price. This is not possible with the traditional paper bid process. In addition to understanding the competition’s pricing, the seller has less paperwork and and a low corresponding cycle time between bidding and awarding business. Simple electronic entries may be the only requirement once the seller has been qualified. Consequently, the seller should be better able to plan production scheduling and reduce excess inventory levels because less time is lost between the bid and the actual sale. Reduced purchase prices, administrative costs, and inventory levels are the main promises that entice buyers to use reverse auctions. The incentive of low prices was what initially caught most buyers’ attention. With claims of as much as 20 percent price cuts and an average between 5 and 12 percent, it is not surprising that buyers would be interested. Another compelling incentive for buyers is similar to that for suppliers: the ability to cut administrative costs. The typical RFQ scenario follows these eight basic steps: (1) write specifications, (2) identify suppliers, (3) qualify suppliers, (4) mail RFQs, (5) wait for responses, (6) evaluate responses, (7) notify selected supplier, and (8) negotiate final terms and conditions. For reverse auctions, the first three steps require about the same amount of time; however, Steps 4 through 7 are dramatically faster. As much as 50 percent of the purchasing cycle time may be eliminated, with an average range of 25 to 35 percent. Reduced inventory level is the third incentive for buyers to use reverse auctions. Inventories can be replenished quickly and less buffer stock is needed. This is especially important for companies that manage irregular demands. Potential disadvantages of reverse auctions A lthough reverse auctions hold many promises, several potential shortcomings exist for both sellers and buyers. The strongest disadvantage for sellers may be that the purchase decision is based entirely on the lowest price. When this is the case, the buyer develops no loyalty to the seller, and no future business may be anticipated. Any investment made to obtain the order, such as revised work processes, employee training, or capital expenditures, will not be recovered from the buyer. Business Horizons / March-April 2002 Second, the possibility exists that the buyer is only using the reverse auction as a negotiation ploy. The buyer may have identified a preferred supplier before the auction and has no intention of awarding business to the lowest bidder. Because the bids are public knowledge, the buyer only intends to use them as a comparison standard in subsequent negotiations with the current seller. In other words, the buyer may only be trying to determine the nature of the market and gain a power position in negotiating. Serving as merely a puppet for the buyer, the seller loses time and effort in the process. The question may be asked whether this open competition is different with an electronic reverse auction than with a traditional paper bid. Sellers may observe the electronic competing bids in real time and feel greater pressure to conform in subsequent face-to-face negotiations. In many instances, suppliers believe that buyers are only using the bids as a pressure to conform—and in certain situations, buyers will admit that this is the case. A third disadvantage is that the seller may get caught up in the “dog race.” Just as greyhounds chase a mechanical rabbit around a race track but never quite catch it, a seller may begin chasing an elusive price figure. Bidders may get so caught up in the emotion of the race or competition that they offer unreasonably low prices. Cases have been reported of sellers unwittingly offering bids below their cost. Sellers have also been known to present bids for greater quantities than they could possibly deliver. In these situations, the sellers later tried to release themselves from the commitment, which contaminated the marketing process and dramatically hindered the possibility of future transactions with the buyer. Unfortunately, competitive emotion overshadowed good business judgment. Three primary disadvantages also exist for buyers. The first and by far the strongest possibility is that buyers may destroy sellers’ trust. The danger is worse when buyers and sellers have long working histories together. When announcing a reverse auction, a buyer is essentially indicating that the seller is no longer meeting expectations, so the purchase will be “shopped around.” The buyer may be “throwing aside” the past relationship even if the previous supplier is the low bidder in the forthcoming reverse auction. Jap (2000) reports that in many instances the reverse auction definitely altered the relationship. In one case of copper wiring, the supplier was so upset that it refused to bid with its customer of over seven years. Figure 1 Research questions and methodology Because reverse auctions have received so much attention yet so little is known about the process, three general questions were posed in this study: 1. What is the primary reason for using reverse auctions? 2. What are the primary risks that have been experienced with reverse auctions? 3. What are the conditions for success, according to users? Non-directive field interviews addressed these questions, using extensive probes and summary questions to develop trends and themes from the interviewees. When using such an approach, it is important that the researcher have as little a priori bias as possible. The primary interviewers in this project had extensive training in qualitative research interviews and had conducted numerous such studies. The average interview lasted about an hour. Three consulting firms that provide reverse auction technology and services offered the names of companies that had used auctions. In each instance, the consulting firm provided the manager’s name who championed the process or who seemed to take the greatest sense of ownership. If these people did not have the time to participate, they were asked to designate a colleague. Only one person from each company was interviewed. In total, 41 individuals participated in the interviews. The 41 organizations consisted of 23 manufacturing companies (or distinctly different divisions of the same company), 12 service firms, 5 retailers, and 1 governmental agency. Each of the interviewees had been involved in more than two auctions, including a wide variety of products from office supplies and services to direct production materials and resale items. Reverse auctions in industrial marketing and buying Related to trust is the disadvantage that holds for both seller and buyer: the fear of committing any resources to the order. When using the auction, buyers are implicitly saying, “We will stay with you as long as your price is the lowest. But beware! Another auction will be conducted as soon as the contract needs to be renewed.” In this case, the seller would be reluctant to commit any tooling, capital acquisition, or employee training to the customer’s order, so any special adjustments cannot be expected. The third potential disadvantage for buyers is that too few suppliers will respond to the reverse auction announcement and a competitive environment will not develop. In theory, only two competing firms (a duopoly) are required to conduct an auction. But economic game theory indicates that when only two competitors exist, they are inclined not to participate in either a reverse or forward auction. Even though only two parties may well be involved in the final stages of bidding, maintains Cassady (1967), at least four or five viable, competitive bidders are generally required to begin an auction. 49 Appropriate conditions for reverse auctions T o maximize the potential of reverse auctions and avoid the disadvantages, consideration must be given to the specifications for the product or service being auctioned, the purchase size, the industrial markets, and the company’s infrastructure. Four conditions or guidelines govern each of these general factors. Condition 1: Clearly state the commodity specifications. Confusion will reign if commodity specifications—including quality and ISO 9000 certification, lead times, precise order sizes, geographic requirements, and transportation conditions or any related service factors—cannot be stated clearly and precisely. Suppliers should be reluctant to respond to a solicitation when they cannot be clear on all conditions. And buyers may find themselves buying oranges when they were trying to purchase apples. Many examples can be cited in which purchasers tried to “force” the reverse auction of a product or service that could not be clearly specified. In one case, a team considered auctioning the installation of telecommunication equipment. This was not feasible because each contract had to be adapted to individual conditions. In one installation a flat fee contract was appropriate, while in another situation cost-plus-materials was much better. Too many differences existed among the sites to use an auction. This guideline requires a thorough review and writing of specifications and related expectations—a first step in any good strategic sourcing effort. Accordingly, reverse auctions are best used within the framework of strategic sourcing. Condition 2: Purchase lots must be large enough to justify the seller’s involvement. A division of a large corporation attempted to purchase resins. Unfortunately, few suppliers expressed any interest in getting involved. They knew that the real purpose of the auction was to lower the purchase price, which meant a lower profit margin for them. Even further, they knew that the purchase lot was not large enough for them to develop any volume efficiencies. As one potential supplier succinctly put it, “Why would we want to get involved in a process that showed us more business and less profit?” Volume efficiencies generally increase as a result of lot sizes for two reasons. First, transaction costs are reduced; it is easier and more efficient to process one order of the same goods than three or four different orders. Second, production economies of scale are obtained. Knowledge of the supply market’s general transaction costs and its 50 production efficiencies is helpful in understanding appropriate lot sizes. A frequent problem is that too often buyers do not understand the supplier’s cost structure so it is not possible to thoroughly plan the lot size. The $1 million figure is often heard as a minimum guideline for a reverse auction, but this would, of course, depend on the product or service. Three approaches are generally used to increase lot sizes for a reverse auction. Again, an interesting note is that each of these techniques follows good procurement practices, so reverse auctions must be completed within the framework of the strategic sourcing process. Before becoming involved with reverse auctions, the marketing department may want to determine whether the buyer has implemented one of the following techniques. If not, the seller may encourage the buyer to do so in order to increase purchase volume. The first technique is that a family of goods may be pooled together and bid during the same auction. In one example, a home appliance manufacturer pooled the rubber parts Not every firm is ready to get involved with reverse auctions. To wield this strategic sourcing and marketing tool, a firm must have professionals who understand it and can implement the process correctly. that included gaskets, belts, bushings, and moldings into one purchase lot. Rather than having four different classes of goods, a family of parts was purchased in a lot that was 70 percent larger than any one class of the group. The second tactic is to standardize parts. Rather than having numerous specifications, a seller can use fewer custom parts so that the volume of standardized parts may be increased. When a lawn mower manufacturer analyzed its pull-starting mechanisms, it found that 14 different mechanisms were used for 20 different styles of lawn mowers. A simple analysis indicated that these 14 mechanisms could be effectively reduced to three. This made it much easier to develop specifications and create a lot large enough for the buyer to bid for the business. The third tactic for increasing lot sizes is to leverage the purchase across the company’s business units. Often, divisions operate autonomously and do not take advantage of Business Horizons / March-April 2002 leveraging corporate efforts. An extreme example occurred with a $40 billion manufacturing company that had five major business sectors. Each sector purchased laptop computers with similar specifications, resulting in the corporation having six different contracts with the same laptop supplier for almost the same machine. Moreover, numerous spot buys and purchases through distributors were identified for these machines. This story does have a positive ending, however. After identifying and consolidating computer purchases throughout the corporation, purchasing power was leveraged. Reverse auctions then developed the best contract for the company’s computer users throughout the world. The supplier that obtained the business also derived an advantage—all computers had to be purchased from one point, so administrative costs were reduced as well as spot buys from other suppliers. Condition 3: The appropriate supply market conditions must exist. What does it mean to say that an appropriate market must exist? Three conditions make for a successful reverse auction. The first and most important is that there must be a sufficient number of competitive suppliers to develop a competitive market, which means that the supply market should be somewhat fragmented. Such fragmentation fosters buyer power in any negotiation, but it may be even more critical in a reverse auction. A review of the research literature was somewhat inconclusive about the number of competitive suppliers required for a robust auction. However, it seems that a minimum of five viable bidders is needed. Most likely, only two or three will be involved toward the end of the auction, but for competitive reasons it is important to have more at the beginning. Second, excess supply capacity, a cost incentive, or some economy of scale must exist if a supplier is to be motivated enough to pursue additional business. If there is no incentive for a supplier to bid, the auction obviously will not succeed. A chicken auction provides an example. A large processor of meat and poultry for sandwich meats and sausages announced it was buying a one-year supply of chicken. However, at the time of the announcement, chicken production was at nearly 97 percent of capacity in the United States. Little incentive existed for the producers to bid for additional business in a reverse auction. As a result, only a few suppliers expressed any interest in the sale. In this case, a reverse auction was clearly inappropriate. As an alternative, a creative long-term development alliance was established with a primary supplier. The third condition in the supply market, highly related to the previous two, is that the product’s market prices must be somewhat elastic. This simply means that the supply prices must be capable of being driven downward by low- Reverse auctions in industrial marketing and buying ered demand. In an ideal situation, the buyer is trying to take advantage of demand and a high level of supply—a market force that should create downward price pressure. However, for some goods, prices are inelastic and do not readily adapt to market supply and demand forces. An example is high-end liquors; this product does not adapt readily to market forces, so prices will remain stable even when supply is high and demand is low. The same is true for goods in some electronic and other select markets. Markets can be difficult to understand because the supply and demand equilibrium, price elasticity, and a firm’s output or consumption will affect the market equilibrium. If doubts exist about the market, it may be helpful to consult with an experienced industrial market analyst. Condition 4: The organizational infrastructure must be appropriate. Not every company is ready to get involved with reverse auctions. To wield this strategic sourcing and marketing tool, a company must have professionals who understand it and can implement the process correctly. Each step in the strategic sourcing and marketing process related to reverse auctions requires a sophisticated set of skills and knowledge. Product knowledge is needed to create accurate specifications. Research skills are needed to develop comprehensive market knowledge and understanding of the supply base. Cost analysis tools are needed to develop total cost models and accurately understand profit margins with different lot sizes. Reverse auctions will not be effective without such skills and knowledge. In addition to being qualified, employees must not be threatened by reverse auctions. As one interviewee stated, “Think about those sourcing employees that believe they have been doing a good job in negotiations and cost savings but then are told that a reverse auction could reduce prices by 10 percent. It is easily understood if the employees feel threatened or disenfranchised.” Or to quote a sales manager, “After years of taking pride in our sales abilities, the Internet is taking it away from us! Yes, it is demoralizing and affecting our personal pride.” The first condition for the infrastructure is that employees must be qualified and receptive to a new tool. The second is that tools must be available for the buyer to forecast an accurate demand for the goods or services being auctioned. Moreover, the seller must have information and accounting systems to accurately measure profit contributions. If the reverse auction announcement indicates a purchase lot size that is subsequently inaccurate, the entire process may be voided. One company completed a reverse auction for somewhat specialized fasteners, then found that it required only about 60 percent of the number indicated in the auction. Both buyer and supplier mutually agreed 51 to void the final price, but the relationship was severely damaged. It is often necessary to pool or consolidate a purchase across organizational divisions or across companies in order to increase the purchase volume. As a result, the third condition of the buyer’s infrastructure is that appropriate technology must be in place to consolidate purchase volume and buying off a master contract. As one interviewee stated, “We can’t even communicate between buildings.…We have enough problems without trying something like a reverse auction for multiple divisions.” But in another company, major savings were recognized for shrink wrap because the company was able to consolidate its purchase and use a reverse auction. R everse auctions can indeed increase the effectiveness and efficiency of industrial markets. With more sophisticated technology making their implementation economical, they can represent a formidable tool. However, the fact remains that a reverse auction is a tool. And just as with any tool, it must be used within the correct context. The appropriate use of reverse auctions is simply as a managerial tool. It will be successful only when used correctly within the strategic sourcing and marketing processes. The primary steps to be followed are: • clearly and comprehensively develop and understand specifications for the goods or services to be auctioned • develop large purchase lots by pooling families of parts, standardizing, and leveraging across the firm • understand the profit contributions resulting from changing lot sizes • analyze the supply market to ensure that the appropriate conditions exist When these basic steps are followed, the promise of lower purchase prices, lower administrative costs, improved inventory turns, and greater markets can be achieved. It is not known how reverse auctions will ultimately affect buyer-supplier trust. The effect probably depends on the previous relationship and the manner in which the auction is communicated to suppliers. Efforts must be made not to ruin trust that has been developed. An auction is a complex economic process for which it is difficult to develop concrete parameters. However, managers may be confident in the success of reverse auctions if they meet the four conditions stated here and avoid the potential disadvantages. ❍ References and selected bibliography Brunelli, Mark. 2000. E-auctions online save millions for Quaker Oats and SmithKlineBeecham. Purchasing (23 March): S22. Bulow, Jeremy, and Paul Klemperer. 1996. Auctions vs. negotiations. American Economic Review 86/1 (March): 180-194. Case, Karl E., and Ray C. Fair. 1999. Principles of microeconomics. New York: Prentice-Hall. Cassady, Ralph. 1967. Auctions and auctioneering. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press. Croom, Simon R. 2000. The impact of Web-based procurement on the management of operating resources supply. Journal of Supply Chain Management 36/1 (Winter): 4-13. Jap, Sandy. 2000. Going, going, gone. Harvard Business Review 78/6 (November-December): 30. Lancioni, Richard A., Michael F. Smith, and T.A. Oliva. 2000. The role of the Internet in supply chain management. Industrial Marketing Management 29/1 (January): 45-56. McAfee, R. Preston, and John McMillan. 1987. Auctions and bidding. Journal of Economic Literature 25 (June): 699-738. Porter, Anne Millen. 2000. Buyers turn wary eyes on electronic auctions. Purchasing (24 August): 109-112. Vanscoy, Kayte. 2001. B2B bust. Ziff Davis Smart Business for the New Economy (March): 100-108. • develop the appropriate organizational infrastructure 52 Business Horizons / March-April 2002