2018 Camp fire and Pacific Gas and Electronics (PG&E) Imran Hasan Siddiquee, MISAM Concordia university of Edmonton Edmonton AB isiddiqu@student.concordia.ab.ca Abstract: This paper examines 2018 campfire caused by Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E) company & how they performed in the context of contingency planning. The various components of Contingency planning and how PG&E company performed under this framework. The importance of disaster recovery and business continuity plan are also discussed. Keywords – IRP, DRP, BIA, BC, CPUC Ⅰ. INTORDUCTION A company's response to an unforeseen circumstance that jeopardizes operations, is to implement the contingency plan. The suitable reaction included in the plan varies according to the occurrence. The role of contingency planning management team is to identify potential threats to the company and develop plan to reduce their effects and resume business operations. Electrical transmission lines belonging to Pacific Gas & Electric, a San Franciscobased utility company caused the Camp Fire of 2018, California’s deadliest wildfire. The fire, which started on Nov. 8 near the city of Paradise, Butte County, California killed 85 people and destroyed nearly 19,000 homes, businesses and other buildings. The California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection investigated the incident and determined electrical transmission lines owned and operated by PG&E caused the fire and later PG&E admitted the same. Following the event PG&E, the state’s largest electricity utility, filed for bankruptcy protection, saying that it faced an estimated $30 billion in wildfire liabilities. In a filing to securities regulators, the company estimated it would have $10.5 billion in liabilities for damage caused by the Camp Fire. [1] Investigators have confirmed that it originated from PG&E-controlled electrical transmission lines near the community of Pulga, located nearly 100 miles north of Sacramento. Dry vegetation, strong winds and low humidity strengthened the fire, causing extreme rates of spread that ravaged the nearby communities of Concow, Paradise and Magalia. Investigators said a second fire started after vegetation blew into electrical distribution lines owned by PG&E. That blaze was overrun by the fire originating near Pulga. [2] ⅠⅠ. What went wrong? When PG&E bought Great Western Power Company in 1930, it also acquired the Caribou-Palermo transmission line that was in place at the time of the accident, the transmission line was 97 years old because it was first constructed in 1921. Even though PG&E owned the line for nearly a century, a large portion of the original hardware was never updated. In 2018, hardware from the early 20th century was still in use on the line, and hardly any records were made or maintained! Investigators found that prior to the incident, cost cutting was endemic as far as inspection and maintenance was concerned to increase profitability with little regards to possible consequences of equipment failure. PG&E had been resisting upgrades to its electrical equipment’s. It was also found that dozens of such pushbacks: for example, the company fought a proposal by California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), the regulatory body that oversee all services and utilities in California to report every fire its equipment caused, mentioning that such measures as an unnecessary cost of time and resources in a 2010 filing. [3] more, PG&E resisted, calling the concept "misplaced" for a number of reasons: It was categorized under the wrong legal framework, repeated existing plans, and made the erroneous assumption that "utilities (or anybody else) can predict wildfires started by power. [3] ⅠⅠⅠ. Contingency Planning A contingency plan is employed to anticipate, respond to and recover from events that threaten the organization’s security of information and assets, as well as to restore the organization to normal modes of operation. We will discuss the 2018 camp fire caused by PG&E in light of contingency planning and see where it went wrong. The following year, responding to another proposal by CPUC, its attorneys wrote that PG&E did not agree that, it is necessary to require a formal plan specific to fire prevention. The Northern California company argued to regulators that it shouldn’t be held to the same standards as its Southern California counterparts, saying wind-driven fire risk in its territory was significantly lower than in Southern California. PG&E could have upgraded its systems and passed along those costs to its consumers as rate increases. [3] Contingency planning typically consists of four components: Another CPUC proposal would mandate electricity providers to develop backup plans for the severe winds that can spark swiftly spreading, catastrophic wildfires. After determining which equipment would be at risk from windstorms, the utilities could take additional safety precautions like power shutoffs or fortify the equipment. Once A. Business impact analysis (BIA) It’s an investigation and assessment of the impact that attacks can have on the organization. BIA provides in details of potential impact from identified threats. In this case of PG&E, we know that the company was aware of the risk of 97 years old power lines running through the wild fire prone areas but never understood the impact it might have on their business. [4] PG&E’s 2015 Corporate Risk Register first included the threat of wildfires as a significant risk. However, the company’s 2017 CERP, finalized less than two months before the November wildfires, did not include the terms ‘fire’ nor ‘wildfire.’ [5] The culture in the company was to pushback, resisting reforms in this matter and describing the measures as unnecessary cost. So, planning and preparation of such a threat was limited. But PG&E had insurance coverage taken for wildfire and recorded $1.38 billion for probable insurance recoveries in connection with the 2018 camp fire [6], which covers a tiny part of the total liability of $10.5 billion in liabilities for damage caused by the Camp Fire. B. Incident response plan (IRP) The actions an organization are expected to take while an incident is in progress are defined in the IRP document. It also describes how do we respond & recover from an incident. Since 2005, units of government and private sector owners of critical infrastructure which received federal funding are required to fully implement the Incident Command System (ICS) for emergency response operations. After-Action Reports on the Camp Fire indicate that PG&E management did not follow the ICS reporting structure in the company’s emergency operations center in preparation for, and during, the incident. [5] PG&E had acted before 2018 wildfire to implement incident command system (ICS) but review of the documents and interview with PG&E emergency management official identified that the company had not fully implemented ICS before the fire. [5] PG&E also admits that there was no crisis management plan in place for the year 2018 that made full use of the senior management team's oversight throughout planning and reaction actions. [5] C. Disaster recovery plan (DRP) DPR is the strategy employed to recover from a disaster. It may include plan to limit loss before and during a disaster. DRP is fully deployed when the disaster has stopped. It can be seen as an extension of IRP. D. Business continuity Plan (BCP) BCP describes how an organization will continue to operate during a disaster and afterwards while the DRP is implemented to restore the primary site. It is the most strategic and long term of the 3 plans in contingency planning. BCP is employed when the scope or scale of a disaster exceeds the ability of the DRP to quickly restore operations. A related tool in contingency planning is business resumption plan which is used to merge DRP and BC together. Following the 2018 wildfire, PG&E took many initiatives to recover from the disaster and continue their business: To help those affected by the fire, particularly those who are uninsured or require assistance with alternative living expenses or other urgent requirements, PG&E established a $105 million "wildfire assistance fund" funded by shareholders. [7] Additionally, PG&E has promised to underground power distribution lines in the Camp Fire zone, including in the Town of Paradise. PG&E has so far spent over $100 million rebuilding the gas and electricity infrastructure in the Paradise area. [7] In order to complete the job safely and effectively, the company created a dedicated rebuild Team with over 400 employees as well as an officer steering committee. The company also actively supporting customers with them rebuild efforts by guiding them through the service planning process, which is unfamiliar to many customers. [7] Customers who rebuild using energy-saving techniques, switch to solar power, or go entirely electric can now take advantage of greater incentives from PG&E. For consumers who receive building permits this year to replace a home lost in a recent big catastrophe like the Carr or Camp fires, PG&E's Advanced Energy Rebuild project program was extended beyond 2020 in January. In homes rebuilt following a wildfire, customers can get up to $12,500 in rebuild incentives by using energy-efficient construction techniques. This applies even if the home is constructed outside of PG&E's service area. [7] In order to reduce the risk of wildfire in its service area, PG&E has significantly increased safety and is still investing in technology and infrastructure: Over 700,000 transmission, distribution, and substation assets of its electric infrastructure in high-risk locations for fires underwent improved and expedited inspections in 2019.All of the highest-priority issues discovered during inspections of its transmission, distribution, and substation assets have been fixed or made safe. [7] To improve situational awareness PG&E installed 1030 weather stations, installed 346 high-definition cameras by the end of 2020. NOAA satellite data being added into PG&E’s detection and alert system. Upgraded wildfire safety operation center to operate 24/7 and monitor fire threats. [7] To harden the electric system and improve readiness, 241-line miles have been hardened. Selected, strategic undergrounding of distribution where key lengths of line serving isolated communities pass through high fire risk areas, installed 298 sectionalizing devices in 2019. System automation – continue to enable Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) devices and reclosers to prevent reenergization after a fault. [7] Conducting enhanced vegetation management: 2,498-line miles cleared using enhanced procedures to meet important State standards on clearances; targeting 1,800 distribution line miles in 2020 (400 completed) [7] Wildfire victims’ settlements reached: A $1 billion settlement with cities, counties, and other public entities, of which over $500 million will go to Butte County entities. An approximately $13.5 billion settlement resolving claims by individual victims relating to the 2015 Butte Fire, 2017 Northern California Wildfires (including the 2017 Tubbs Fire), and the 2018 Camp Fire and an $11 billion agreement with insurance companies and other entities that paid claims by individuals and businesses related to the wildfires. [7] Pacific Gas & Electric Company amended their wildfire safety plan in February 2019 where they have overhauled their old wildfire safety plan describing the new enhanced, accelerated program will aggressively continue to implement to prevent wild fire. PG&E submits this Plan to prepare plans on constructing, maintaining, and operating their electrical lines and equipment to minimize the risk of catastrophic wildfire. California Public Utilities Commission established a schedule for submission and review of the initial wildfire mitigation plans, and a process for review and implementation of plans to be filed in future years. iv. Conclusion Before the 2018 campfire, on several occasion PG&E were responsible for wide spread wild fires but it seems they did not learn much from those incidents and put the whole company in jeopardy to minimize cost and increase profit. The fact that the original transmission line was nearly century old gives a clear idea that they would not replace anything before it breaks down gives a strong indication the company is heading towards a disaster given the terrain it operates is highly vulnerable to wild fires. It seems from Business impact analysis point of view, PG&E had very little understand of what can happen in case of big wild fires caused by them like 2018 campfire. They seemed very ill prepared for incident response and PG&E management was found not follow the ICS reporting structure during 2018 campfire. Even on many occasions they push back the suggestion made by their regulatory body, CPUC to take action in this regard. All those discussed above gives a clear indication that PG&E management had a very poor approach towards contingency planning before the incident. It took a disaster of epic proportions and a sweeping change in state law to force PG&E to finally create a rigorous, enforceable fire protection plan. In 2019 PG&E published a separate wild fire safety plan which isvery detail in nature and require significant investments. Since the event of campfire PG&E have acted to overhaul the old transmission line, taking lines underground, conducting enhance vegetation management etc. to avoid further disaster. It’s imperative that management of a company should be very much aware of environment it’s operating, the risk which might affect the company and have good contingency plan to tackle in case any of the risk materializes. V. Works Cited [1] Peter Eavis and Ivan Penn, “California Says PG&E Power Lines Caused Camp Fire That Killed 85” May 15,2020 (online) Available:https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/15/busi ness/pge-fire.html [Accessed 21 October 2023] [2] Michael Brice-Saddler, “PG&E power lines to blame for California’s deadliest wildfire ever, officials say”, The Washington post(online).Available: https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2019/05/15/ camp-fire-caused-by-electrical-lines-owned-operatedby-pge-authorities-say/ [Accessed 21 October 2023] [3] Katie Worth, Karen Pinchin, Lucie Sullivan “Deflect, Delay, Defer”: Decade of Pacific Gas & Electric Wildfire Safety Pushback Preceded Disasters. August 18, 2020. (online) Available: https:// www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/article/pgecalifornia-wildfire-safety-pushback/ [Accessed 22 October 2023] [4] Lewin Day, “Closely examining how a PG&E transmission line claimed 85 lives in the 2018 camp fire” Septem17,2020 (Online) Available: https://hackaday.com/2020/09/17/closely-examininghow-a-pge-transmission-line-claimed-85-lives-in-the2018-camp-fire/ [Accessed 23 October 2023] [5] Envista Forensics, Inc. & Subcontractor Witt O’Brien’s, “Root Cause Analyses: Root Cause Analyses of the 2017-18 Wildfires found to have been ignited by PG&E & Corrective Action Report.” July 6,2022. (online) Available: https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/-/media/cpucwebsite/divisions/safety-policy-division/reports/rootcause-analyses-of-the-2017-18-wildfires_070622.pdf [Accessed 23 October 2023] [6] Wildfire related contingencies September 30,2020. (Online) Available: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1004980/0 00100498020000058/R19.htm [Accessed 24 October 2023] [7] PG&E actions since the 2018 camp fire (Online) Available: https://www.pge.com/en_US/safety/emergencypreparedness/natural-disaster/wildfires/pgeactions.page [Accessed 24 October 2023]