AQ086-3-2-EMT3 Final Exam Page 1 of 9 Answer ALL questions. QUESTION 1 (25 marks) (a) The Enormous Turnip is a Russian folktale, which tells the story of a turnip which grew so large that in order to pull it out, it required the combined forces of a grandfather, a grandmother, a granddaughter, a dog, a cat and a mouse. It was not told what happened after the turnip was pulled out, but there are rumors that the turnip was used to make soup for the whole village. The following shows the number of villagers and the respective amount of turnip soup that they ate: Turnip Soup Consumed (ml) Number of Villagers 20 – 29 5 30 – 39 3 40 – 49 8 50 – 59 20 60 – 69 4 (i) Construct a table with the following column labels: (A) Class Midpoint, x (1 mark) (B) fx (2 marks) (C) 2 fx (2 marks) (ii) Hence, calculate the values of the followings: (A) Mean, (2 marks) (B) Mode, (2 marks) (C) Median, (2 marks) (D) Standard deviation, s. (2 marks) (b) (i) (ii) Level 2 A survey is planned to determine the mean annual family medical expenses of employees of a large company. The management of the company wishes to be 95% confident that the sample mean is correct to within $50 of the population mean annual family medical expenses. A previous study indicates that the standard deviation is approximately $400. (A) How large a sample is necessary? (3 marks) (B) If management wants to be correct to within $25 , how many employees need to be selected? (2 marks) Noise levels at various area urban hospitals were measured in decibels. The mean of the noise levels in 28 corridors was 62.1 decibels, and the standard deviation was 7.9 decibels. Establish an interval for the population mean that is 95% certain to include the true mean. Assume that the variable is approximately normally distributed. Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation DDMMYYYY AQ086-3-2-EMT3 Final Exam Page 2 of 9 (7 marks) QUESTION 2 (25 marks) (a) (b) In a lot suppose 50% of the cars there are manufactured in the United States and 15% of them are compact. 30% of the cars there are manufactured in Europe and 40% of them are compact. 20% of the cars are manufactured in Japan and 60% of them are compact. (i) Illustrate the manufacturing of the car in a tree diagram. (3 marks) (ii) If a car is picked at random from the lot, find the probability that it is a compact. (7 marks) (iii) Suppose that the car is picked is a compact car, find the probability that it is from United States. (3 marks) A survey was conducted to study the number of students enrolled in different courses versus their gender. A random sample of data collected revealed the following: Gender Male (M) Female (F) Business & Management (BM) 20 40 Accounting & Finance (AF) 35 25 Computing & Technology (CT) 30 15 Engineering (E) 20 15 Course of Study From your cross-tabulation find: P( M AF ) (i) (3 marks) (ii) P(CT F ) (3 marks) (iii) P( E | M ) (3 marks) (iv) P( F | CT ) (3 marks) QUESTION 3 (25 marks) (a) If X ~ Bin (12 , 0.8) , find: P( X 1) . (i) (7 marks) (ii) (b) Level 2 the mean and variance of X. (4 marks) Recent crime reports indicate that 3.1 motor vehicle thefts occur each minute in the United States. Assume that the distribution of thefts per minute can be approximated Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation DDMMYYYY AQ086-3-2-EMT3 (c) Page 3 of 9 Final Exam by Poisson distribution, calculate the probability that there are more than 3 thefts in a two-minute interval. (8 marks) The Mathematics examination mark for students follows normal distribution, with mean of 45 and standard deviation of 8. (i) Find the probability of students who score lower than 50 marks. (2 marks) (ii) Find the probability of students who score between 40 and 60 marks. (4 marks) QUESTION 4 (25 marks) (a) (b) You are the manager of a restaurant that delivers pizza to college dormitory rooms. You have just changed your delivery process in an effort to reduce the mean time between the order and completion of delivery from the current 25 minutes. A sample of 28 orders using the new delivery process yields a sample mean of 22.4 minutes and a sample standard deviation of 6 minutes. (i) Conduct hypothesis testing, at significance level of 0.05. Is there evidence that the population mean delivery time has been reduced below the previous population mean value of 25 minutes? (10 marks) (ii) If the hypothesis testing is conducted at significance level of 0.01, what would be the conclusion? (3 marks) A sample of 9 clerical staff’s salaries (RM hundred) versus their length of service (years) with a company is as shown below: Length of service Salary (years) (RM hundred) x y 1 9 2 12 3 14 5 15 5 16 6 20 8 22 9 25 12 30 Computation results: n = 9 ; x =51 ; y = 163 ; (i) (ii) (iii) Level 2 x 2 = 389 ; xy =1111 ; y 2 =3311 Compute the regression equation in the form yˆ = a + bx . You may use the computation results given above. (5 marks) In the context of this question, interpret the meaning of a and b in part (a). (2 marks) Estimate the salary if the length of service was 30 years. Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation DDMMYYYY AQ086-3-2-EMT3 Page 4 of 9 Final Exam (1 mark) (iv) Compute Pearson’s coefficient of correlation (r). (2 marks) (v) 2 Compute the coefficient of determination (R ). Interpret your result. (2 marks) Level 2 Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation DDMMYYYY AQ086-3-2-EMT3 Page 5 of 9 Final Exam FORMULAE AND TABLES (a) Coefficient of Variation: CV = (b) (e) X 100% s CV = Coefficient of Skewness: Mean − Mode SK1 = SD 100% SK 2 = 3 ( Mean − Median ) SD Probability (i) P( A B) = P( A) + P( B) − P( A B) (ii) P( A) = 1 − P( A) (iii) P( A | B) = P( A B) P( B) (iii) P( A | B) = P( B | A) P( A) P( B) (iv) P( Ai | B) = P ( Ai ) P ( B | Ai ) P ( A1 ) P ( B | A1 ) + P ( A2 ) P ( B | A2 ) + (d) Binomial Distribution n n− x P ( X = x ) = p x (1 − p ) , x = 0,1,..., n x (e) Poisson Distribution P ( X = x) = e− x , x = 0,1,... x! (f) Normal Distribution X − Z= (g) Confidence Interval (i) s , n −1 n 2 Confidence interval for µ: = X t Z / 2 e Sample size: n = (ii) Level 2 + P( An ) P ( B | An ) 2 pˆ qˆ n 2 Confidence interval for p: pˆ Z Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation DDMMYYYY AQ086-3-2-EMT3 Sample size, n = (h) Page 6 of 9 Final Exam (Z / 2 )2 pˆ qˆ e2 Hypothesis Testing: Test statistics formula for: (i) hypothesis testing for µ when σ known, Z = X − n (ii) (iii) (iv) (i) X − s n X − hypothesis testing for µ when σ unknown and n < 30, t = s n pˆ − p hypothesis testing for p, Z = pq n hypothesis testing for µ when σ unknown and n ≥ 30, Z = Regression Equation y = a + bx where b = (j) ( ) n x 2 − ( x )2 and a = y x −b n n Correlation (i) Product Moment Correlation Coefficient n xy − ( x )( y ) r= n x 2 − ( x )2 n y 2 − ( y )2 (ii) Level 2 n xy − ( x )( y ) Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient rs = 1 − 6 d 2 n n2 −1 ( Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation ) DDMMYYYY AQ086-3-2-EMT3 Page 7 of 9 Final Exam STANDARD NORMAL CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY TABLE Cumulative probabilities for NEGATIVE z-values are shown in the following table: Level 2 Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation DDMMYYYY AQ086-3-2-EMT3 Page 8 of 9 Final Exam Cumulative probabilities for POSITIVE z-values are shown in the following table: Level 2 Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation DDMMYYYY AQ086-3-2-EMT3 Final Exam Page 9 of 9 t-DISTRIBUTION Level 2 Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation DDMMYYYY