Name: LENARD A. BELANO Program: MAED-SOC.SCI. Course: SS 510 Professor: PROF. JULIE ANN QUILATAN ___________________________________________________________________ Towards AmBisyon Natin 2040: Discussion Paper on the Philippine Development Plan 2023-2028 Strongly rooted, comfortable, and secure lives. This is the Philippine government's overall visionary goal for the country for the next two decades, known as the AmBisyon Natin 2040, a National Economic Development Authority (NEDA)-initiated project started in 2015 that articulates the people of the Philippines collective long-term goals and aspirations for both the nation and for themselves in the next 25 years. The AmBisyon Natin 2040 was also formulated in response to the people’s clamor to have a long-term development plan that ensures sustainability and continuity of good policies, programs, and projects beyond the term of a political administration. It is because, as observed in previous administrations, when the six-year term of the president ends, the newly elected one will implement new development plans and strategies. This often led to the discontinuity of even the best policies and programs of the outgoing administrations. Hence, the AmBisyon Natin 2040 is a very important document as it will serve as the guidance or foundation of the government agencies as to what policies and programs should be implemented, what kind of strategies should be employed, and what plan should be made. Regarding this, the current president, Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr., issued an Executive Order (EO) on January 27, 2023, approving and adopting the Philippine Development Plan (PDP) for the years 2023–2028, which he described as an "economic and social transformation" in response to the COVID-19 crisis and rising inflation. The PDP is also the second medium-term plan that aims to restore the nation to a high growth trajectory while, most importantly, facilitating economic and social reform for a prosperous, inclusive, and resilient society. Therefore, this article examines the goals and strategies of the Philippine Development Plan 2023–2028 and determines whether or not they are linked to the AmBisyon Natin 2040. This article will also look at the current state of the government's previous efforts to address the nation's economic and social issues. 1.Towards becoming a strongly rooted society: MATATAG According to AmBisyon Natin 2040, Filipinos aspire to be and have a strongly rooted life. And this includes a life which they don’t need to go to far places and leave their family just to seek a stable job; a life that give them balance in terms of the time they spent in work, friends, and family; a life where there is an opportunity to enjoy in parks and other recreational activities; a life where there is unity among citizens; and a life where 1|Page everyone are passionate to serve the community, help others who are in need, and contribute to various causes. But what are the key strategies and approaches of Philippine Development Plan 2023-2028 in order to provide Filipinos a strongly rooted life in year 2040? The first objective of Philippine Development Plan 2023-2028 is to develop and protect the capabilities of individuals and families. This includes promoting human and social development; reducing vulnerabilities and protect purchasing power; and increasing income-earning ability. To promote human and social development, the government plans and targets according to PDP 2023-2028 are to boost Filipinos health; improve education and lifelong learning; and establish livable communities. This is a good point that needs prioritization as health crisis, quality education and security threats are some of the major problems the country is facing. In health aspects, we witness how Covid-19 pandemic crisis hampered both the health of the people and economy of the country in the past two consecutive years. But does the current administration initial step towards promoting healthy Filipinos was well executed? The answer might be quite vague. Currently the country has still a poor healthcare system. There is a scarcity of healthcare professionals as well as hospital beds and medical supplies. Particularly in rural areas and poorer provinces, there is a lack of medical personnel and supplies. Only 4 of the Philippines' 17 major regions' hospital beds per 1,000 population are above the required level. Furthermore, many patients in the Philippines cannot get the necessary surgical care due to a lack of high-quality operating room equipment. Meanwhile in education aspect, one of the problems discovered in the existing K to 12 curriculum was that it was "overloaded" with too many lessons or subjects. Due to having plenty of competencies in a given period or quarter, shallow concentration of lessons is being practiced rather than fostering depth and comprehensive discussion of topics just to cover the expected competencies. This can also be associated or referred to as ‘mile-wide and inch-deep teaching” which is not a good practice of instructions because some teachers tend to cover too much territory of lessons for a session or quarter and will only give little knowledge and understanding of the topic areas. Basically, students wouldn’t be able to grasp every part of the lesson and it does not Promote deep learning. It might be true that reading is heavily encouraged in schools but the possibility of comprehension of what one is reading is not the emphasis because students are required or tend to memorize bulk of ideas and concept coming from the learning materials without even having thorough understanding of the subject matter. This could lead to low comprehension skill of a student. One of the solutions that the government trying to implement to address the overloaded competencies issue of the K to 12 curriculum is the implementation of MATATAG Curriculum. This is a revised K to 10 curriculum that cuts down the number of subjects in Grades 1 and 2 from seven to five to emphasize the development of foundational skills such as literacy, numeracy, and socioemotional skills among younger learners. 2|Page To reduce vulnerabilities and protect purchasing power, the government plans, and targets according to PDP 2023-2028 are ensuring food security and proper nutrition; and strengthen social protection. Ensuring food security is a good point to promote a strongly rooted life to ensure that people have access to the food they need. However, the country’s main source of food which is the agriculture is currently not in a good situation. In fact, despite of being the backbone of the society, agricultural sector makes up the smallest share of its GDP. The Philippines Statistic Authority (PSA)'s most recent Agriculture Indicators System indicates that the agricultural industry only contributes 8.9% of the country's GDP in 2022. It thus contributes the least to the economy compared to the other two sectors, which are the service sector (61% share) and the industry sector (29.7% share). So, the question is, “Can government able to ensure the food security and nutrition of the country until year 2028? Considering the existing and arising challenges that may affect the sustainability of agricultural growth, the answer could be vague again. First is, the dry condition and dry spell currently happening to some provinces in the country due to El Nino. El Nino Alert status has been raised by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) from 55% to 80% probability between June and August of this year. Up until March 2024, Filipinos can anticipate below-average rainfall, dry spells, and droughts. If El Nino occurs in a long period of time, it will adversely affect the agricultural sector especially the rice production since the “palay” solely rely in water irrigation and wet soils. Hence, the economy of the Philippines may suffer due to the fact that more than 20% of the local labor force is employed in agriculture. Second, aside from the threat of El Nino, one of the challenges that may also affect the growth of agricultural sector is the persistence of the African swine fever (ASF). ASF affects both domestic and wild pigs and is a highly contagious viral disease. Although it has no direct impact on human health, it currently has a detrimental effect on the country's farming economy since the hog business has collapsed due to the speed and extent of its devastation. According to the Department of Agriculture, the devastating pig disease continues to ravage the pig population of the Philippines, affecting 21 provinces, 54 towns and 137 rural communities. Thus, ASF is currently one of the burdens and threats to Philippine agriculture. And third, the Conversion of Agricultural Land to Residential or Urban Landscape. Numerous agricultural fields were being compromised as a result of the continual construction of residential homes and infrastructure for the purpose of urbanization, which was brought on by the rapid rise of the population and the modernization of infrastructure. From the landowners, several wealthy developers purchased vast farms, turning them into commercial and residential properties. This issue was also raised by Senator Raffy Tulfo during the Senate plenary debates on the Department of Agriculture's proposed 2023 budget. He opposed the real estate and retail businesses of the Villar family, as 3|Page some farmlands in Cauayan and Isabela were converted by the Villars into subdivisions. Hence, if the process of urbanization is not balanced and most of the agricultural lands are converted into residential and commercial lands, there will be a decrease in crop production. If not addressed abruptly, other economic sectors will be affected, such as the manufacturing sector. If there are not sufficient resources that the manufacturing company can manufacture, chances are that they will hoard those agricultural products or import them from foreign countries. As a result, the prices of goods on the market would increase. To increase income earning ability, the government plans and targets according to PDP 2023-2028 are to increase employability; expand employment opportunities; and achieve shared labor market governance. In February 2023, the Philippines saw a substantial decline in its unemployment rate with only 4.8% of the population unemployed. Comparing this to the same time period in 2022, when the unemployment rate was 6.4%, it is clear that there has been a significant improvement. This encouraging trend can be ascribed to more Filipinos entering the job force, as the labor force participation rate increased to 66.6 percent in February 2022 from 64.5 percent in February of the previous year. Additionally, the employment rate has remained at 95.2 percent from the previous month, which is higher than the 93.6 percent seen in the previous year. With 90.9 percent of young people employed in February 2023 compared to 89.2 percent in January 2023 and 85.7 percent in February 2022, the youth employment rate has also increased. However, even though the employment rate has increased, there is still room for improvement. The administration aims to achieve an unemployment rate of between 5.3 and 6.4 percent for the entire year 2023. The employment-creating policies outlined in the Philippine Development Plan (PDP) 2023–2028 will be implemented in order to achieve this objective. The government should also keep concentrating on streamlining bureaucratic procedures and business regulations, utilizing game-changing reforms like the Retail Trade Liberalization Act (RTLA), Foreign Investment Act (FIA), and Public Service Act (PSA) to draw in capital, support higher-quality employment, and quicken economic growth. These initiatives will significantly improve the nation's labor economy over time. 2.Towards having a comfortable life: MAGINHAWA According to AmBisyon Natin 2040, Filipinos aspire to be and have a comfortable life. And this includes a life where poverty and hunger are not anymore a problem; a life where family members are together in their own home having complete amenities; a life where everyone can easily go to a place they want since there is a convenient and affordable transport; a life where people can able to utilize and exudes their skills and 4|Page potentials; and a life where decent jobs are available to everyone that can provide sustainable income and opportunities. But what are the key strategies and approaches of Philippine Development Plan 2023-2028 in order to provide Filipinos a comfortable life in year 2040? The second objective of Philippine Development Plan 2023-2028 is to transform production sectors to generate more quality jobs and produce competitive products. This includes modernizing agriculture and business, revitalize industry, and reinvigorate services. To modernize agriculture and agribusiness, the government plans, and targets as stated in PDP 2023-2028 is to advance research and development, technology, and innovation. This is a very good point as since of the factors that helps increase the production of agricultural products is the use of appropriate equipment or the presence of advanced machinery. In some countries, like Vietnam, mechanization in agriculture has been the top priority to increase agricultural production. Hence, they purchase farming equipment such as tractors, water pumping equipment, combine harvesters, and tools for drying agricultural products. Here in the Philippines, most farmers rely solely on manpower. Or sometimes they have just created improvised equipment due to their inability to purchase new farming equipment. As a result, there is a slow production of agricultural products here in the Philippines compared to other countries. To revitalize industry, the government plans, and targets as stated in PDP 20232028 is to enhance inter-industry linkages; and to promote trade and investments. This will be a good step as the country’s industrial sector is just recovering from the onslaught of COVID-19 Pandemic. Lockdowns brought on by the pandemic disrupted supply chains and limited people's movement, which caused the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to fall by 9.5% for the entire year 2020. Another problem that challenges the manufacturing sector of the country is the Ukraine and Russian war as prices of petroleum gasoline and basic goods increased significantly. Due to the conflict of two powerful countries, numerous nations are still at risk as a result of the rising costs of energy, oil, fertilizer, wheat, and wheat-related products, as well as export restrictions imposed by other nations to "protect their own people." This is particularly true for the Philippines, which depends on these major exporters to make up the difference in its own production needs. Thus, enhancing inter-industry linkages could help the country to boost the productions of domestic products. If the manufacture, construction, mining and other major industries will work hand-in-hand, there will be always sufficient supply of local goods which could also lessen the country’s tendency to import such product that always the cause of inflation. To reinvigorate services, the government plans, and targets as stated in PDP 2023-2028 is to actively promote the country’s tourism, culture, creative sector, and Information Technology-Business Process Management (IT-BPM). In the past two years, the pandemic also had an impact on the services sector since community quarantines 5|Page restricted the movement of people, products, and service delivery. The greatest challenge they have faced is the transition to virtual world and the integration of digital technology. Therefore, the readiness of the nation's digital infrastructure, as well as the bolstering of digital security and consumer protection, are crucial in going forward during these times. 3. Towards Having Secured Lives: PANATAG According to AmBisyon Natin 2040, Filipinos aspire to be and have a secured life. And this includes a life where they don’t need to worry their future until their retirement; a life where there are savings that make their finances secured; a life that they can feel safe wherever the place in the country they want to go; a life where government are trusted public servants and provide service to all citizens equally. But what are the key strategies and approaches of Philippine Development Plan 2023-2028 in order to provide Filipinos a secure life in year 2040? The third objective of Philippine Development Plan 2023-2028 is to foster an enabling environment encompassing institutions, physical and natural environment, which promotes a prosperous, inclusive, and resilient society. This includes the practice of good governance and improve bureaucratic efficiency; ensure macroeconomic stability and expand inclusive and innovative finance; ensure peace and security, and enhance administration of justice, expand and upgrade infrastructure, accelerate climate action and strengthen disaster reduction. The practice of good governance and improve bureaucratic efficiency is essential for the people to earn their trust to the government. As a democratic society, it has always been the citizens’ right to demand transparency from the different officials or agency in the government may it be local or national. For instance, if people will know where their taxes and the country’s income go, they would be encouraged to contribute more for the development of the country since they able to ensure that the money taken from them by the government were being utilized wisely and correctly. To ensure macroeconomic stability and expand inclusive and innovative finance it is a must for the government to address first the rapid inflation of different essential goods in the country such as rice, onions, sugar etc. These goods are very essential to human everyday used, that’s why it drastically affect the finance or the daily budgeting of the people once the price of one of them hikes. Government must also allocate fund or invest in innovating the sectors in production to increase the supply and supply chain of particular output. To expand and upgrade infrastructure it is important that the current administration should continue the unfinished projects of the previous administration. The current Build Better More (BBM) project of the incumbent administration is a good step to further strengthen the Philippines' ongoing infrastructure projects to address the "binding constraints to business investment and expansion that will create more, high-quality, and 6|Page resilient jobs that will allow the Philippines to meet its poverty-reduction goals for the medium term." Moreover, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.'s Build Better More (BBM) infrastructure initiative aims to extend the previous administration's Build, Build, Build (BBB) program. The inadequate infrastructure of the nation, which impedes national growth, is the focus of this infrastructure program. 7|Page References: Arsdale, K.V. Improving Healthcare in the Philippines with Affordable Equipment from the USA. Avante Health Solutions. Retrieved from: https://avantehs.com/i/philippines/articles/improving-healthcare National Economic and Development Authority. (2016). ABOUT AMBISYON NATIN 2040. Retrieved from: https://2040.neda.gov.ph/about-ambisyon-natin-2040/ National Economic and Development Authority. (2022). Philippine Development Plan 2023-2028. No. 12 St. Josemaria Escriva Drive Ortigas Center, Pasig City, Philippines, 1605. Retrieved from: https://pdp.neda.gov.ph/philippine-development-plan-2023-2028/ Santos J.M. (2023). Build Better More (BBM): Moving Towards Better Infrastructure. Retrieved from: https://pinoybuilders.ph/build-better-more-bbm-moving-towards-betterinfrastructure/ 8|Page