Category
2016 Rwanda
2016 United
Arab Emirates
2016 China
2016 Angola
2016 France
Life expectancy
67.93 years
77.47 years
76.21 years
59.92 years
82.57 years
Infant mortality
33.7
6.6
7.6
55.5
3.2
Growth
2.6%
(increasing)
1.1%
(increasing)
0.5%
(declining)
3.4%
(increasing)
0.3%
(declining)
Gender
imbalance
No
Yes (more men)
No
(almost balanced)
No
No
DTM
Highly
stationary
Contracting
declining
Contracting
declining
Highly
stationary
Low stationary
Access to
healthcare
Universal
healthcare
Universal
healthcare
Free public
healthcare
Extremely
limited to
healthcare
Insurance and
citizens
contribution
What are your
future
predictions
I think their
population will
continue to
increase with
the statistics
shown because
the infant
mortality rate is
high with the
population
increasing
yearly
I think their
population will
be stable for a
few more years
until the
population will
later start to
decline because
the growth rate
is still very low
I think their
population will
slowly decline but
it won’t be as
concerning yet
since their
population is so
large with over a
billion in
population
I think their
population
will either
grow or
decrease
since the
access to
healthcare is
very low with
their life
expectancy
the shortest
the
population
will sure see
a decrease
over the
years
I think their
population is
going to decline
in a few years
because the
growth rate is
very low
alongside the
infant mortality
rate being the
lowest out of
the total five
countries in the
statistics
Pyramid: 2016 China
What reasons can you suggest for the pattern it shows (i.e. Why has this particular pyramid occurred?
What events may have shaped it?)
The DTM pyramid displays a contracting declining pattern because there were events in history such
as the one child policy that led to a decrease in population but the after effects of the event also shaped
the current population's mindset of pregnancy, which is affecting the infant mortality rate. The one child
policy was set inplace to decrease the rapid population growth the government was highly concerned
about, since the population had increased to 969 million in 1980 from past years which was 540 million
in 1949. In the 1970s China was facing a huge food shortage with shadows from the last massive
famine in 1967 killing 30 million people, finally in 1979 the government introduced the policy. The
pyramid displays that 25-30 year olds aren’t producing children like they used to since before it was
heavily discouraged to have more than one child, plus many people also want boys over girls. The one
child policy was only ended in 2016 while intergrating the two-child policy soon after and finally in 2021
where the three-child policy was inplace. All these problems lead to people contemplating parenthood
most of the time.
Describe possible consequences of this population structure. Consider social, economic, political and
environmental realms.
With China's population declining, the working age will also soon decline, having an impact
economically on the country. China’s overall economic growth and GDP will start to decline because
from 2022 to 2050 the estimated workforce population will reduce by 22 percent, that means fewer
people in factories, farms, business and services. This Leads to unemployment rates skyrocketing and
only people who save/invest money after passing the age of 64 will sustain a healthy living with enough
money to provide for themselves and their families. The people who couldn’t save or chose not to will
have a hard time financially later on with the population low and children and grandchildren not being
able to take care of the older generation focusing on finding jobs, will lead to long terms financial issues
for China, not bringing in GDP like past years since most people won’t be able to afford buying from
businesses.
What are possible solutions to the consequences you have identified above?
I think the government could offer a subsidy to businesses which is a tax break or a cash payment that
allows aid/support to help minimise the burden they’ll have in a declining economy. With businesses
slowly losing consumers, they will need help staying afloat. Without the subsidy they will also have to
let most of their workers go since they won’t be able to afford financing them leading to unemployment
rates being a big issue for the country. This will slowly help prolong the economic delince but not fully
terminate it.
Citations:
Mullen, A. (2021, June 1). What was China's one-child policy and why was it so controversial?
South China Morning Post. Retrieved October 24, 2022, from
https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3135510/chinas-one-child-policy-what-wa
s-it-and-what-impact-did-it
Pike, L. (2022, July 14). The end of China's population boom has arrived. how will the country's
changing demographics shape its future? Grid News. Retrieved October 24, 2022, from
https://www.grid.news/story/global/2022/07/12/the-end-of-chinas-population-boom-has-arrived-ho
w-will-the-countrys-changing-demographics-shape-its-future/