2nd Semester 16/17 Financial StatementAnalysis Professor Cristina Neto de Carvalho TeachingAssistant:Sofia Pereira Group: Beatriz Loureiro Castelão–151116011 - S2 Maria Margarida Leal Barona Barreiros -151216004 - S2 Pedro Maria Rocha Moreira Teixeira Duarte – 151216008 - S2 ABOUT NOS The NOS Group was founded in 2014 after the merger of two of the biggest corporations in the Portuguese telecommunication sector: Zon and Optimus. The purpose of the creation of this company was to combine two mediumsized companies into a Portuguese giant in the sector. Given the size of both enterprises, after the fusion, NOS entered the restrict lot of one of three main suppliers of Telecom services in Portugal. Besides Telecommunications, NOS is alsodeeply acquainted within the cinema sector through its subsidiaries NOS Lusomundo Audiovisuais and NOS Lusomundo Cinemas, being, at the moment, the largest exhibitor of cinema in Portugal. Image 1 - NOS Corporate Structure Source: NOS 2015 Annual Report The fusion of Zon and Optimus, which had operations in similar markets, but had some subsidiaries performing its activities in different sub-industries, conceived a company with presence in a wide range of activities, making NOS one of the most prominent Portuguese companies in the field. Its business portfolio includes a vast range of operations that go from communications (both within and outside the country i.e. ZAP, NOS’ subsidiary in Angola), to cinemas and to music (NOS Alive and NOS Primavera Sound, two of the most beloved music festivals in the country). All of these prosperousbusinesses contribute to the brand’sreputation and to an ongoing increase in the number of new customers in the past years. 1 OWNERSHIP NOS, SGPS, S.A. is a public listed company, issuer of shares admitted to trading on the Euronext Lisbon – PSI 20 regulated market and it is firmly committed to creating sustainable value for its shareholders and other stakeholders. ZOPT: NOS’ largest shareholder is ZOPT, SGPS, S.A., with a qualified participation of 52.15% of the share capital and voting rights of NOS, SGPS, S.A in 2015.Sonaecom holds 50% ZOPT SGPS and the remainder 50% belong to Isabel dos Santos, through holdings like Kento and Unitel International. BANCO BPI, S.A., NORGES BANK AND BLACKROCK, INC: There are three entities who own qualified participations, besides ZOPT. These entities are Banco BPI, which holds 2,77% of share capital by its Pension Fund; Norges Bank (Norway’s Central Bank) holding 2,11%; and Blackrock, an American global investment management corporation that holds 2,01% of share capital. Major Shareholders 2014 Major Shareholders 2013 28,78% 41,02% 2,90% 3,00% 3,49% 7,28% 50,01% 50,01% 2,14% 4,53% 2,31% ZOPT, SGPS, PT Banco BPI, SA Sonaecom, SGPS, SA Fundação José Berardo e Metalgest Espírito Santo Irmãos, SGPS Joaquim Alves Ferreira de Oliveira 4,52% ZOPT, SGPS, PT Banco BPI, SA Morgan Stanley Sonaecom, SGPS, SA Free Float Free Float Major Shareholders 2015 Image 2 - NOS Ownership Structure 40,96% 52,15% Source: NOS 2013/14/15 Annual Report 2,01% 2,11% 2,77% ZOPT, SGPS, PT Banco BPI, SA Blackrock, Inc Free Float Norges Bank 2 INDUSTRY Given that Communications are NOS core business, Vodafone and PT Portugal are the only companies in Portugal similar enough to NOS’s business as whole; therefore, we can say that they are its biggest competitors. 2015 2014 2013 GR 13/14 Values Values Values Values (thousand % euros) (thousand % euros) (thousand % euros) GR 14/15 Values (thousand % euros) (thousand % euros) Sales NOS 1.444.000 100 1.384.000 100 1.427.000 100 -43.000 -3,0 60.000 4,2 973.864 67 978.799 71 1.051.860 74 -73.061 -6,9 -4.935 -0,5 2.533.000 175 Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. NOS 82.000 100 75.000 100 11.000 100 64.000 581,8 7.000 8,5 Vodafone PT 29.489 36 66.290 88 90.238 820 -23.948 -26,5 -36.801 -124,8 Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. NOS 2.976.000 100 2.955.000 100 2.929.000 100 26.000 0 21.000 0,7 Vodafone PT 1.291.627 43 1.136.805 38 989.971 34 -16.484 0 154.822 12,0 Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. 1.484 I.D. 1.434 I.D. 1.422 I.D. 10.696.000 I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. Non-Disclosed I.D. Vodafone PT MEO Net Profit MEO Insufficient Data I.D. Insufficient I.D. Data Asset Values MEO Insufficient Data I.D. Insufficient I.D. Data Nº Employees NOS Vodafone PT MEO Insufficient Data Insufficient Data Insufficient Data I.D. I.D. I.D. Insufficient I.D. Data Insufficient I.D. Data Insufficient I.D. Data The Portuguese telecommunications market, with a high level of penetration of telecommunications services and technological sophistication, has a very high level of investment in communications´ networks when compared with other international markets. Despite this, the total market revenue has seen a fall of 5.3% over the last 5 years, attributable to the existing great competitiveness, which made all the companies in the sector to lower prices in order to increase quantities sold. Nevertheless, NOS has been carrying out its market growth strategy more successfully than it was expected. They’ve reached 30% total revenue market-share1, a target that had initially been set to 2018, having grown, 1 on average, 1,4% annually while the market fell around 4% a year. Telecommunications sector 3 Regarding the different segments, namely the residential services and the personal mobile segments, NOS was able to counteract the ongoing downward tendencies, strengthen its position as leading operator (increasing its total mobile customer base to 4.123 million subscribers, corresponding to a market share of 25%, 10.2pp more than at the end of 2013), and recover its TV customer base. Concerning the business segment, NOS was able not only to convey to large companies, as well as to small and medium enterprises, their high quality services, but also to prove their competitiveness against the alternatives present in the market. Thus, NOS managed to increase the volume of services provided to this market segment. Revenue Market Share per Operator 2% 30% 48% 20% NOS Vodafone PT Others SALES Sales Thousands of euros 2015 2014 2013 Growth 2014/201 2013/201 5 4 Values % Values % Values % Telco 48,751 72.89% 40,576 70.38% 16,235 45.55% 20.15% 149.93% Audiovisuals and cinema exhibition 18,129 27.11% 17,077 29.62% 19,411 54.45% 6.16% -12.02% Total Sales 66,880 100.00 % 57,653 100.00 % 35,646 100.00 % 16.00% 61.74% In 2015, total sales amounted to 66,880 thousands of euros. 72.89% of this amount relates to Telco, namely with the sale of terminal equipment, telephones and mobile phones; 27.11% concerns to Audiovisuals and cinema exhibition, 4 which includes sales of bar products by NOS Cinemas as well as DVD sales. In 2013, Telco was responsible for almost 46% of Sales, whereas Audiovisuals represented around 54%. Since then, the scenario has changed. For the past two years Telco has had a more significant share in total sales (around 70%). In regards to total sales, this figure has shown a growing tendency: it grew 62% from 2013 to 2014 (due to the consolidation of Zon and Optimus), 16% from 2014 to 2015 resulting in an 88% growth in the two-year period between 2013 and 2015. INVESTMENTS Investments Thousands of euros 2015 2014 2013 Values % Values Tangible Assets 262,056 56.01% 251,790 53.64% 146,751 67.48% 3.92% 41.72% Intangible Assets 146,227 31.25% 134,802 28.72% 65,572 30.15% 7.81% 51.36% Financial Investments 59,589 12.74% 82,788 17.64% 5,138 2.36% -38.93% 93.79% Total 467,872 100.00% 469,380 % Values Growth % 100.00% 217,461 100.00% 14/15 -0.32% 13/14 53.67% As far as investments go, and regardless of the year, the major share is related to TangibleAssets. Being a company specially focused on telecommunications, NOS invests mainly in network and telecommunications infrastructure such as fiber optic network and cabling and network equipment, as well as terminal equipment installed on client premises. Furthermore, NOS invests in Intangibles, mostly in Industrial Property and other Rights. These include licensing deals, contracts, capitalized costs related to customers’ loyalty contracts and future rights to use movies and series. EMPLOYEES In NOS’ executive team, we can find Miguel Almeida (CEO); José Pedro Pereira da Costa (CFO); Ana Paula Marques; André Almeida andalso Manuel Ramalho Eanes. The number of employees is an information that is not disclosed in the financial statements. 5 STRATEGY NOS presented its strategic plan for 2014 to 2018 in February 2014, in which they identified their main goals, which included both growth and efficiency targets. The following points represent a few highlights from the company’s strategic report: Strengthening the competitive market position in the residential segment Growing market share in the business segment Network expansion and technological strengthening Increasing the EBITDA margin as well as operating efficiency Reinforcing leadership in the Pay – TV segment Consolidating the leading position in the Audiovisual and Cinemas´ segment. To sum up, we can conclude that this company’s main strategic focus is on ensuring technological leadership and maximizing their efficiency as well as competitiveness while making full use of the entertainment and brand-awareness synergies to leverage the NOS brand in the targeted segments of their business. Analysis of NOS 2013-2015 Annual Reports Statement of Financial Position 1. Asset analysis 2015: Values, structure and changes At 31st December 2015, NOS reported a noteworthy value of total assets: 2 976 494 thousand euros. Non-current assets represented 84.33% of total assets. Tangible assets, as well, as Intangible assets were the main reason for such a large percentage. Tangible assets, which accounted for 39.23% of assets, were composed essentially by basic equipment, namely network and telecommunications infrastructure2; Intangible assets, which represented 39.60% of assets, were composed mainly by Goodwill (21.56% of assets), licenses, loyalty contracts and future rights to use movies and series3. 2 Fiber optic network and cabling, network equipment and also terminal equipment installed on client premises (Note 8 – Tangible Assets) 3 Note 9 - Intangible Assets 6 Current assets represented 15.67% of assets. Accounts receivable (from companies and individuals) regarding trade, prepaid expenses and Inventories were the most relevant items concerning Current assets. Accounts receivable (trade) accounted for 11.69% of assets. The Days Sales Outstanding in the period were steady in the 87/88 days; Prepaid expenses (2.17% of assets) were related to litigation costs, discounts to new customers under loyalty programmes, insurance; Inventories, which mainly included mobile phones, customer terminal equipment and DVDs, represented 1.03% of assets. In what concerns the changes regarding the years 2015, 2014 and 2013, their asset base has been virtually the same: registered a growth of 0.89% (+26 059 thousands of euros) from 2013 to 2014, a growth of 0.70% (+20 562 thousands of euros) from 2015 to 2014, resulting in a small growth of 1.59% from 2013 to 2015. This increase in the total amount of assets was primarily motivated by the increase in tangible assets, accounts receivable and prepaid expenses over the years. In terms of structure, it remained constant throughout the period under analysis, with Non-current assets representing about 84% of total assets whereas current assets represented roughly 16% of total assets. 2. Liabilities / Equity analysis 2015: Values, structure and changes In 2015, NOS financed their assets with both Liabilities (64.27%) and Equity (35.73%). Total equity amounted to 1 063 522 thousands of euros and total liabilities to 1 912 972 thousands of euros. Non-current liabilities financed 38.66% of total assets. It was mainly composed of borrowings (which represented 32.91% of total assets) and provisions (4.69% of total assets, mainly for litigations and for the dismantling and removal of assets regarding the space where there are telecommunication towers and cinemas). Current liabilities financed 25.61% of total assets. The main items were accounts payable (trade) which financed 11,00% of assets and were related to their suppliers; borrowings (5.98%) and accrued expenses (5.91% of assets) which relate mainly to invoices to be billed by operators, mainly international operators, regarding interconnection costs related with international traffic and roaming services amongst other items. In what concerns the changes regarding the of years 2015, 2014 and 2013, equity registered a growth of only 0.31% from 2013 to 2015, which was the result of a 0.32% growth from 2014 to 2015, preceded by a residual decrease of 0.01% from 2013 to 2014. 7 Despite the fact that Net Income has increased substantially in the period (665.22% over the course of three years), equity did not follow the same trend. That is an interesting fact, since it would be expectable that along with an augmentation of net profit, a growth in equity would follow. The main reasoning behind this lies in the company shareholders’ remuneration policies, which gave to shareholders (in the form of dividends), and to employees (in the form of bonuses) almost the entire profits for the period. Moreover, the weight of liabilities has also been increasing: in 2013, they represented 63.81% of assets, in 2014 64.14% and now in 2015 they represent 64.27%, which culminates in a growth of 2.32% over three years mainly due to an increase in non-current borrowings. To sum up, we may conclude that this company is financially stable, distributing most of its profits year after year and with equity and liabilities keeping constant in financing the assets at the same rate (approximately 1/3 and 2/3, respectively). DEBT RATIOS 2015 2014 35,73% 64,27% 35,86% 64,14% 2013 36,19% 63,81% 100,00% 100,00% 100,00% 38,66% 25,61% 26,86% 37,28% 37,80% 26,02% 64,27% 64,14% 63,81% Non-current Interest Bearing Liabilities/ Total Assets Current Interest Bearing Liabilities/ Total Assets 32,91% 5,98% 20,86% 17,03% 31,68% 7,28% Interest Bearing Liabilities/ Total Assets Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities/ Total Assets 38,89% 25,38% 37,89% 26,24% 38,97% 24,85% Equity/ Total Assets Total Liabilities/ Total Assets Non-current liabilities/ Total Assets Current-liabilities/ Total Assets Analysis of NOS 2013-2015 Annual Reports Income Statement4 1. Total Operating Revenues and Net Profit – overview During 2015, NOS generated a Net profit of 82 492 thousand euros, which represented an increase of 9,87% when compared with the previous year. Total operating income was 1 444 305 thousand euros in 2015, which compares with 1 383934 thousand euros in 2014 and 990 259 thousand euros in 2013. 4 We will give focus on financial statement elements that we think that have not residual values (equal/above 5% of Op. Revenues), elements that we believe that will have a significant growth in the future 8 2. Structure Total operating revenues were 1 444 305 thousand euros in 2015. This value is mainly composed by: Services rendered=1 362 988 thousand euros; 94,37% of operating revenues. This item mainly includes revenue relating to basic and premium channel subscription packages, terminal equipment rental, box office revenue and publicity at the cinemas of NOS Cinemas, among other elements; Sales= 66 880 thousand euros; 4,63% of operating revenues. This component encompasses revenue relating to the sale of terminal equipment, telephones and mobile phones as well as sales of bar products by NOS Cinemas and DVD sales. Total operating expenses represented 89,59% of total operating revenues. These expenses are mainly: Direct costs =436 705 thousand euros; 30,24% of operating revenues. This item comprises mostly exhibition, traffic and capacity costs. Depreciation, amortisation and impairment losses =366 406 thousand euros; 25,37% of operating revenues. This relates mainly to basic equipment depreciation and Industrial property and Other Rights. Supplies and external services =183 719 thousand euros; 12,72% of operating revenues. This component takes into account maintenance and repair, rentals, electricity expenses amongst others Support services=93 721 thousand euros; 6,49% of operating revenues. This element is made up of call centres and customer support, information systems and administrative support Wages and salaries = 89 103 thousand euros; 6,17% of operating revenues. This comprises mainly Remuneration and Social Taxes expenses. These 5 items, represent 80,99% of operating revenues, and are the most significant part of total operating expenses. After deducting all the operating expenses to the operating revenues, it was obtained an Income Before Financial Results and Taxes in the value of 150 359 thousand euros (EBIT Margin=10,41%), which represented an increase of 2,01% when compared with the year before and an increase of 91,53% vs 2013. This can be explained by the fact that the continuous growth in total operating revenues has more than offset the simultaneous increase in operating expenses. Despite these changes, the weight of each expense in the scope of total operating expenses has remained quite similar over the years. Financial gains and losses and financial expenses Financial costs account for 24 057 thousand euros in 2015 and accounted for 36 299 thousand euros in 2014; these figures represented 1,67% and 2,62% of operating income in the respective years. The figures shown in this category are the net between interest expenses and interest earned: the interest expense relates essentially to borrowings and financial leases, whereas interest earned corresponds to default interests charged to customers. In comparison, with the year before, financial costs have registered a decrease of 33,73% which was caused by a reduction in almost every component that makes up this Income Statement item. With this being said, in 2015, Income before Taxes reached an amount of 114 630 thousand euros and the Profit before Tax Margin stood at 7,94%. Such value (Profit before tax margin) has been steadily increasing (vs 2,80% 2013 & 6,67% 2014) In the overall, and taking into account that Income taxes have been taking an increasingly larger proportion of the company’s operating revenues, NOS ended 2015 with a Net Consolidated Income of 82 492 thousand euros. The growth from 2014 to 2015 was not as significant as from 2013 to 2014, but it represented a slightly larger portion of the total operating revenues vis-à-vis the previous years. 9 Profitability Ratios 2015 2014 Ratios Formulas: 2013 EBITDA Margin = (Net Operating Profit + EBITDA Margin 35.78% 35.17% 32.47% Depreciations and Amortizations)/ (Operational EBIT Margin 10.41% 10.65% 7.93% Revenues) Margin Before Income Tax 7.94% 6.67% 2.80% Tax Rate 28.04% 18.62% 59.34% Net Profit 5.71% 5.43% 1.14% EBIT Margin = (Net Operating Profit)/ (Operational Revenues) Margin before Income Tax = (Profit before Taxes)/ (Operational Revenues) Tax Rate = (Income Tax)/ (Profit before Taxes) Net Profit Margin = (Net Profit)/ (Operational Revenues) I/S by nature was the guideline for our analysis STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW ANALYSIS 1. CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES: 552 461 thousand of euros From their clients, NOS was able to collect 1 712 123 thousand of euros (increasing 5,5% in 2014 and 40,8% in 2013), a value that compared to Sales + Services Rendered (1 429 868 thousand of euros) may mean that clients are reducing their debt towards NOS – reducing not only accounts receivable and Average Receivable Days, but also increasing Receivables Turnover. The Cash Flow from Operating Activities was significantly reduced by payments to suppliers, which amounted to 1 018 088 thousand of euros, having increased by 41,3% from 2013 to 2014 and 13,00% in the last year. Besides these figures, NOS also made payments towards employees (110 166 thousand of euros) and relating income taxes (3 011 thousand of euros), while in the previous year there was a positive cash flow relating income taxes (12 839 thousand of euros). 2. CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES: - 458 866 thousand of euros In what comes to investment, the negative balance results from higher cash payments (long term assets, which amounts to 471 982 thousand of euros) than receipts that include, in addition to the ones already mentioned, Interest and related income of 8 million euros, Available-for-sale financial assets and applications of 2 225 thousand euros. The figure regarding cash flows from investing activities in 2015 reveals a growth of 20,9% YoY, which indicates that the company is willing to invest in more projects. 3. CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES: -142 364 thousand of euros The cash receipts resulting from financing activities relate to Borrowings and subsidies (note that subsidies are only relevant in the year of 2013), in the value of 156 0708 thousand euros, a number that has seen a decrease of 36,1% from the previous year. By deducting the payments related to borrowings of 1 559 000 thousand euros to these cash receipts, we are left with 1 708 thousand euros of increasing debt. Apart from this, NOS has also paid dividends in the amount of 72 216 thousand euros (which have increased significantly since 2013), interest and related expenses of 40 817 thousand of euros, lease rentals of 23 017 thousand of euros and the acquisition of own shares by the price of 8 022 thousand of euros. 10 By summing these three figures, we reach a Change of Cash and Cash equivalents of -48 769 thousand of euros and, in consequence of this, to an ending position of -29 348 thousand of euros. 4. FREE CASH FLOW Free Cash Flow 2015 2014 2013 Change 13/14 GR 13/14 Change 14/15 GR 14/15 thousands of euros Cash-Flow from operating activities 552.461 527.142 329.253 197.889 60,10% 25.319 4,80% Dividends paid -72.216 -62.012 -37.273 -24.739 66,37% -10.204 16,45% Interest paid -40.817 -59.972 -46.269 -13.703 29,62% 19.155 -31,94% 0 0 3 -3 -100,00% 0 0,00% 8.000 7.846 5.066 2.780 54,88% 154 1,96% -366.397 -339.201 -243.070 -96.131 39,55% -27.196 8,02% 81031 73803 7710 66093 857,24% 7228 9,79% -107,81% Dividends received Interest received Replacement of tangible and intangible assets Free Cash flow Has been used to: Reduce debt (if negative) 1.708 -21.880 -324.745 302.865 -93,26% 23.588 -23.017 -24.424 -22.908 -1.516 6,62% 1.407 -5,76% -100.469 -48.263 124.316 -172.579 -138,82% -52.206 108,17% -8.022 -30.472 -5.354 -25.118 469,14% 22.450 -73,67% -48.769 -51.236 -220.981 169.745 -76,81% 2.467 -4,81% Lease rentals Expand Acquisitions of own shares Net changes in Cash and cash equivalents Free cash flow is the amount of cash that a company has left after paying for its obligations. The concept of obligation varies from company to company, or manager to manager, but generally this includes interest and dividends paid, the replacement of tangible and intangible assets – which reduce operating cash flows plus interest and dividends received, leaving what is left for the company to expand, reduce debt or another activity that they find pertinent. For NOS, in 2015, free cash flow was 81 031 thousand of euros. Nevertheless, this amount was not enough for the expansion they’re performing (-100 469 thousand of euros), and, in addition of paying lease rentals and acquiring own shares, this led to a negative change in Cash and cash equivalents. In the overall, NOS cash position is not the best. Even though their CFO is enough cover investment or their obligations separately (resulting in a positive free cash flow), it is not enough for both. Thus, ending cash and cash equivalents position, in 2015, was negative. This figure is different from the figure shown in the balance sheet for a simple reason: the accounting policy they report under, considers Bank Overdrafts as borrowings and, for that reason, they’re not discounted from Cash and Cash equivalents. From the previous year, Bank Overdrafts have seen a large rise of 2 556,9%. In 2014, cash and cash equivalents were 21070 thousand of euros discounted by bank overdrafts of -1 479 thousand of euros, resulting in 19591 thousand of years in the end of the year, while in 2015, cash and cash equivalents accounted for only 9948 thousand of euros and bank overdrafts for -39 296 thousand of euros, which made up for a negative ending balance of -29 348 thousand of euros. CASH-FLOW RATIOS thousands of euros Interest paid Dividends paid 2015 2014 2013 40.817 72.216 59.972 62.012 46.269 37.273 Interest coverage ratio 552.461 40.817 13,54 527.142 59.972 8,79 329.253 46.269 7,12 Interest and dividends coverage 552.461 113.033 4,89 527.142 121.984 4,32 329.253 83.542 3,94 0,38 527.142 1.383.934 0,38 329.253 990.259 0,33 0,29 1895801 0,28 1869660 Cash Flow to sales Debt Coverage 552.461 1.444.305 552.461 1912972 527.142 329.253 0,18 11 After the computations of some cash flow we may conclude the following: Interest Coverage Ratio=13,54 which means that the Cash flow from operations is sufficient to cover 13,54 times the interest expenses for the year. This ratio has been steadily increasing which was a reflection of the slight increase of CFO and the decrease of the average cost of debt Interest and Dividends Coverage=4,89 is the number of times that CFO, in 2015, covers interest expenses and dividends coverage. This item has also been on an upward trend, however at a lower rate than Interest Coverage Ratio because Dividends have been progressively increasing. Cash Flow to Sales=0,38 means that 38% of the Sales were generated into cash flow in 2015 Debt Coverage=0,29 representing that if all the CFO, in 2015, was employed into paying the Debt Outstanding then it would pay 29% of it Short-term Financial Equilibrium After computing NOS’ Working Capital, Working Capital Needs and Net Cash Position for 2015, one is able to conclude the following: Long-term funds were not enough to finance non-current assets, which left 295 867 thousand euros needing to be financed by permanent operating funding and/or cash; Permanent operating funds were larger than permanent operating needs, which meant that there were 127 793 thousand euros available to fund part of the non-current assets that required financial support; Since Working capital was not able to, alone, cover all the non-current assets’ needs for financing, this led to a negative cash position of -168 074 thousand euros. Therefore, not only does the company not fulfil the requirements to be considered in a situation of Short-term Financial Equilibrium, but it is also under a risky financial structure because long term-assets are being financed by sources that can suddenly disappear. Moreover, the analysis of the company’ Short-term Liquidity Ratios for 2015 supports the previous statement regarding the risk in which this company is in what concerns its financial structure: Current Ratio at 0,61 means that if NOS had to solve its short-term liabilities , with Current Assets, it would only be able to pay 61% of it; Quick Ratio at 0,57 means that if the company had to solve its short-term liabilities, with Current Assets minus Inventories, they would only be able to pay 57% of it; Cash Ratio at 0,01 means that if the company had to solve its short-term liabilities, with Cash and Cash Equivalents, it would only be able to pay 1% of it. 12 CurrentRatio = CurrentAssets CurrentAssets − Inventories CashandCashEquivalents QuickRatio = CashRatio = CurrentLiabilities CurrentLiabilities CurrentLiabilities A further look into NOS’ past financial records (2015, 2014 and 2013) reveals that the current short-term disequilibrium has been going on since the beginning of the period under analysis. Working capital has always been negative and its value ranged from -634 014 thousand euros in 2014 to -295 867 thousand euros in 2015. In order to cover that need for financing, the company had to resort to permanent operating funding as well as to short-term loans. In 2013, permanent operating funding financed the most part of the long-term assets that needed funding (working capital needs were larger than the net cash position in absolute terms). Conversely, in 2014 and 2015, short-term loans were the main responsible for covering the needs for funding generated by a negative working capital (net cash position was larger than working capital needs in absolute terms). On a different note, when discussing NOS’ Short-term Liquidity ratios there are two perspectives to take into account. Firstly, the creditors’ perspective, from which the above presented ratios are considered to be quite low, due to the fact that for these entities the Current Ratio, the Quick Ratio and the Cash Ratio are preferred to be high (somewhat above 1), because that would indicate that the company has enough liquidity to pay their liabilities. Secondly, it is also interesting to discuss the managers’ point of view: their main goal is to maximize the company’s profit and, one of the consequences of achieving such objective is that the short-term liquidity ratios are low. This will happen because cash, inventories, accounts receivables and other similar current assets will tend to be of a reduced nature. If one takes a further look into some other Liquidity Ratios and Operational Efficiency ratios, one can conclude the following: For NOS, on average, it takes 86 days to collect cash from its receivables. This ratio has been increasing over the last three years because average trade receivables rose faster than their sales per day. Average receivables were turned into cash 4 times a year in 2015, and this ratio has been quite constant throughout the last three years. NOS was able to sell its inventory, on average, 17 days after it was acquired. This company sells its average level of inventory 21 times during a year. On average, NOS takes 182 days to pay its suppliers. NOS’ accounts payable turnover has been 2 since 2013. This is a considered to be a low turnover, which means that the company is making full use of the credit terms extended by their creditors. 13 Finally, and as expected, the Cash Conversion Cycle is negative which means that NOS receives their money from customers before they have to pay to their suppliers. That is closely linked to the fact that Working Capital Needs are negative and therefore permanent operating funding is greater than permanent operating needs. Liquidity & Operational Efficiency Ratios Thousands of euros 2015 Average Trade receivable 339.682 Average collection Period Sales per day 3.957 (days) 86 Sales 1.444.305 Accounts Receivable turnover Average Trade receivable 339.682 (days) 4 Average Inventory 31.777 Average Inventory Period COGS per day 1.846 (days) 17 COGS 673.822 Inventory turnover Average Inventory 31.777 (days) 21 Average Trade Payable 334.103 Average Payment Period Aquisitions per day 1.839 (days) 182 Aquisitions 671.349 Accounts Payable turnover Average Trade Payable 334.103 (days) 2 Average Collection Period 86 Average Inventory period 17 Cash Conversion Cycle Average Payment Period 182 (days) -79 2014 304.079 3.792 80 1.383.934 304.079 5 32.796 1.777 18 648.673 32.796 20 318.772 1.778 179 649.107 318.772 2 80 18 179 -81 2013 197.889 2.713 73 990.259 197.889 5 32.080 1.189 27 434.156 32.080 14 227.478 1.192 191 435.154 227.478 2 73 27 191 -91 Return on Equity After computing NOS’ Return on Equity and its different components, it is possible to observe thefollowing: ROE indicator standing at 7,06% (vs 1,06% 2013). Low average cost of debt 2,27% (vs 3,19% 2013) Tax Rate of 28,04% (vs 59,34% 2013) 14 Looking through the components, which compose the computations of ROE, there were some factors we believe they are worth to emphasize. The ROA, which integrates the Profit Margin and the Asset Turnover, stood at 5,31%. Compared with other industries this may be a very low figure, however in the Telecommunication Portuguese economic environment this figure is in line with the industry. Between the 2013 and 2015 this item improved 2,33% which allows us to conclude that after the merger with Optimus the assets were given better use. The Profit Margin was 10,95% in 2015. This figure is very well above the ROA, meaning it is one of the main contributors to the profitability of the company. Between the three years, this figure increased 2,13%. The Asset Turnover, although increasing, stood at 0.485 which is a low figure comparing with its peers (i.e. Vodafone Portugal 0.754). Nevertheless, the turnover was improved during the financial periods in the value of 0.147. Regarding the leverage impact: 1. Dupont Method: the impact in 2015 was of 2.03 (vs 0.88 2013) The amount of assets compared with equity is large, which means that a substantial part of the assets are financed by creditors, thus enhancing the company’ capability to present a better ROE number The share of profit that was paid in interest expenses in 2015 decreased to 27,52% 2. ROE: the impact in 2015 was of 5,5% (vs -0,4% 2013) The average cost of debt has been decreasing reflecting the good economic and financial indicators that the company has presented to the market. The number of liabilities compared with the equity is also high with a ratio of 1,80 in 2015 The fiscal impact has been different from year to year (28,04% 2015 vs 59.34% 2013) caused by the innumerous transformations that the company has been through since the consolidation of Optimus SGPS and also due to the inherent variability that this industry is being subject. To sum up, we believe that, the important conclusion we get from this figures is that the company is increasing its profitability. Investment Impact, Leverage Impact and Fiscal Impact have all shown better results and consequently the future perspectives are good. 15 Dividend Policy and Market Ratios DividendPayout Ratio (DPR) 2015 87,23% 2014 80% 400% 2013 Market Ratios EPS (Earnings per Share) BVP (Book Value per Share) PBV (Price to Book Value) PER (Price-Earnings Ratio) 2015 2014 2013 0,16 € 0,15 € 0,03 € 2,07 2,06 2,79 3,50 2,54 1,93 45 35 180 It is possible to conclude from the tables above shown that NOS’ management has in the past years provided its shareholders’ some hefty dividends. The greatest share of Net Profit (82 429 thousand euros) was allocated towards the shareholders’. These developments may be seen as a positive sign from the company to investors, since it demonstrates that the company can transform its profits into cash, in other words, it can generate cash from its operations, however it may give can also be perceived as a company without growth possibilities, this being, it is returning cash to its shareholders. However, as we can see from the PER Ratio, the investors are willing to pay a big premium for NOS’ shares compared with its current ability to generate profits, thus they are expecting that Net Profit will increase in the future. Conclusion After all the analysis that has been conducted, the main strengths and weaknesses that the company has revealed are the following: NOS has shown to be a big player in the industry, revealing great competitiveness through an increasing market share, a growing tendency regarding profitability, a clear strategy with well-defined goals, some of which they have already managed to achieve. Besides, their cash flow from operations is increasing year on year and their cash flow from investing activities reveals a high propensity to keep innovating through new investments. Moreover, their profit margins have shown to be way above their peers. On the other hand, there are also some aspects that we consider not so encouraging. The analysis of the statements revealed that this company relies a lot on short-term loans in order to finance some of their long-term assets. That translated into a negative working capital witch had to the covered mainly through a negative cash position. Since this situation has been going on since 2013, it seems that this will not be a sustainable situation for NOS. Moreover, the fact that they are distributing a large share of Net Profit has dividends with such a risky financial structure appears to be an aggressive way of handling their business in the long run. Finally, we have noticed some lack of transparency, namely in the disclosure of the number of employees and the data related to the disposable of tangible and intangible assets. 16