Arctic Research and Operations at the Geophysical Institute Dr. Bob McCoy Director Geophysical Institute University of Alaska Fairbanks (907) 978-4075 rpmccoy@alaska.edu Gen. O’Shaughnessy: NORTHCOM Priorities Presence Infrastructure Communication Domain Awareness P O P E R AT I N G IN ARCTIC EXTREMES Geophysical Institute 4 Aurora & Geomagnetic Storms Geophysics in Ala ska Arctic Weather 54 Active Volcanoes 3 Eruptions/yr 43,000 Earthquakes/yr >M7 Every 2 Years Geophysical Institute 90% Permafrost M 7.1 Nov 30, 2018 100,000 Glaciers 40% surface water ICEX 2018 270,000 sq mi Sea Ice GEO PH Y SICAL INST IT UT E RESEARCH CONCENTRATIONS Created by Congress 1946 • Today: 330 Faculty. Staff & Students • $50M/yr • 7 Research Groups • 9 Major Operational Programs • 2018 GDNP UARC Snow, Ice & Permafrost Atmospheric Science Space Physics & Aeronomy Remote Sensing Tectonics & Sedimentation Seismology Volcanology GEO PH Y SICAL INST IT UT E Major Facilities/Operational Programs Alaska Volcano Observatory Alaska Earthquake Center Alaska Satellite Facility Poker Flat Research Range Alaska Center for Unmanned Aircraft System Integration Research Computing Services (former DoD HPCC) Wilson Alaska Technical Center (Infrasound) High frequency Active Auroral Research Program ACUASI Andy Mahoney Greg Walker Warming in the Arctic exceeds global change rate by more than 2x Utqiaġvik temperature: +0.53°C/Decade since 1949 Alaska Climate Research Center Trends in mean surface air temperature, 1960 to 2011. Arctic is red, indicating more than 2° C (3.6° F) temperature increase. Image source: NASA GISS Permafrost PERM AFRO ST M O DELS Construction in Utqiaġvik AK Construction at HAARP in Gakona AK I Alaska Earthquake Center • Report ~ 43,000 earthquakes/yr I,D • 50 earthquakes > M5; 6 > M6; M7 (every other year) • Publishes Tsunami hazard maps for Alaska EarthScope in Alaska & Western Canada is complete – 193 stations Alaska Earthquake Center Tsunami Inundation Maps I Kodiak Valdez Valdez Seward Volcano Monitoring & Forecasting Ash Cloud Movement 85% of air traffic from Asia ~70,000 passengers/day Currently Active Pavlof: March 2016 >600 km long ash plume canceled over 100 flights Wilson Alaska Technical Center (WATC) Geophysical Detection of Nuclear Proliferation (GDNP) UARC • Broad spectrum of seismic and acoustic signal detection – Infrasound – Wave propagation – Source localization and characterization – Natural and anthropogenic sources USCG Polar Scout 6U Cubesats 406 MHz emergency distress beacon ACUASI’s UAS Fleet PokerHerderFlat Research Burner Tank Range land-based rocket range 200’ x 200’Largest X 3’ Only rocket range owned by a university 35 miles from campus PF Incoherent Scatter Radar High frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) • • • • • • Gakona AK - 62.39 deg, 145.15 deg (West) 33 acre phased HF transmitter array; 2.8 to 10 MHz; Multiple beams & transmission to 30 elevation angle 5 x 3600 hp diesel engines; 3.6 MW; $290M (half Congressional earmarks + half AFRL, ONR & DARPA) 23 Radiation Belt Remediation Altitude km 250 200 150 100 0 Global Communication Ionospheric Effects on Comms/Nav HAARP 14 Mar 2013, 04:05 GMT Natural Ionosphere Artificial Layer 3 Hours 2 4 6 Plasma Frequency MHz 8 Chris Fallen Experiment: First simultaneous high-power HF radio aurora and SSTV broadcast, Sep 2017 Gakona, Alaska 05:44 UT 26 Alaska Geophysical Hazards Ice Free Arctic Ocean Space Weather & Aurora 90% Permafrost Arctic Impacts on DoD: • Buildings, Runways, Missile Silos • Earthquakes & Permafrost • Global Warming • Aviation • Volcanic Ash • Comm/Nav • Space Weather 43,000 Earthquakes/yr >M7 Every 2 years 52 Active Volcanoes 3 Eruptions/yr 80% Asian Air Traffic, 70,000 Passengers/day 100,000 Glaciers, 3.5M Lakes & 60% of US Surface Water Aerospace Facilities in Alaska High Arctic Research Center Suborbital Rocket Range DoD Relevance • Domain Awareness • Satellite Downlink • UAS, HAARP (OTHR) • Communication • HAARP, CubeSats • Comm/Nav Mitigation • HAARP, Sounding Rockets • Geophysical Detection of Nuclear Proliferation • Infrasound Precision Geolocation, HAARP Satellite Downlink Fairbanks HAARP UAS Spaceport Orbital Alaska Aerospace Corp Bob McCoy CO NTACT INFO Geophysical Institute University of Alaska Fairbanks (907) 474-7282 rpmccoy@alaska.edu