INS549 The PCNet Project (A): Project Risk Management in an IT Integration Project 06/2014-5272 This case was written by Christoph H. Loch, Professor of Technology and Operations Management at INSEAD. It is based on a real situation, but the names of all companies and individuals in the case are disguised, and any similarity with any existing organization is accidental. The case is intended to be used as a basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate the effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Additional material about INSEAD case studies (e.g., videos, spreadsheets, links) can be accessed at cases.insead.edu. Copyright © 2005 INSEAD COPIES MAY NOT BE MADE WITHOUT PERMISSION. NO PART OF THIS PUBLICATION MAY BE COPIED, STORED, TRANSMITTED, REPRODUCED OR DISTRIBUTED IN ANY FORM OR MEDIUM WHATSOEVER WITHOUT THE PERMISSION OF THE COPYRIGHT OWNER. This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. On 18 September 2003, Jack Muller, the project manager of the PCNet project, was preparing for the Integration Management Committee Meeting scheduled that afternoon. The PCNet project involved the merging of the entire IT network infrastructure, including routers, telecom lines and 40,000 PCs, following the takeover of RBD Inc. by Metal Resources Co. The IT merger promised net present value (NPV) savings of $142 million over four years at a cost of $146 million. The team had carried out an extremely thorough planning exercise and felt that they had gained a good understanding of the drivers and contingencies. The project had got off to a good start, closely watched by upper management because it was so important for the entire merger and subject to a number of significant risks. But recent events were threatening to throw them off track. Unforeseen problems had dogged implementation, such as files lost in the migration to the new operating system, and unexpected requirements for “local content” in newly installed PCs by the authorities of several countries including Angola. Moreover, the plant manager of a major chemical plant was refusing to migrate (jeopardizing the migration of 900 seats), having originally agreed to the migration. One major partner, the Sri Lankan government, had suddenly decided to “further study the matter” before proceeding, threatening the migration of 2,000 seats. To top it all, the world economy was sliding into the severe post-9/11 crisis, and there was even talk that the combined company might not be able to afford to keep this very expensive IT migration project going to the end. Background The Acquisition of RBD Inc. by Metal Resources In 2002, Metal Resources Co., a first-tier diversified resource company headquartered in Austin, Texas, announced a cash offer for the Winnipeg-based metals company RBD Inc. The offer was recommended by the RBD board to its shareholders and then swiftly executed. The combined companies formed the second largest mining and resources company in the world. By 2004 Metal Resources Co. had activities in 28 countries, with $29 billion in sales, 40,000 employees, and leadership positions in aluminum, nickel, copper, uranium, gold, carbon steel metals, diamonds, manganese, and various specialty metals used in steel production. The integration of the two organizations (of which the acquirer was much the larger) emphasized speed (“Choose 80% solutions that you can execute quickly”), and followed four design principles: (1) Formal structures, processes and systems were quickly reviewed to reach a decision on either keeping the existing structures separate, merging them, or creating a new structure. (2) Strategic reviews selected a few processes to be significantly enhanced, for example, performance management. (3) Some product/market positions and brand identities were chosen to be reassessed. (4) Cultural integration was proactively tackled using broad programs to achieve rapid familiarization with the combined company’s values, such as diversity. The acquisition implementation placed heavy emphasis on synergies, that is, gross annual cost savings. Five top-level integration areas were established to capture the savings: IT infrastructure, HR systems and processes, financial systems and processes, operational Copyright © INSEAD 1 This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. integration (of operating procedures and policies), and organizational integration. The total synergy target amounted to a saving of $1.9 billion in annual gross operating costs. The IT Merger Project and the Planning Team An important aspect of the merger was the consolidation of the IT systems of the two companies, a huge undertaking involving 900 IT employees throughout the combined company. Not only had the IT integration its own target of $210 million of savings, but it also critically enabled the other merger areas by providing a transparent, integrated and reliable application platform. Max Schmeling, the enterprise CIO, was responsible for executing the IT integration. For the execution to succeed required close collaboration between the enterprise and operating companies’ IT staff. Each side, enterprise and operating company, controlled about 50% of the total IT budget, so management created a new position known as Operating Company Chief Information Officers. These CIOs were assigned to the leadership teams of the operating units, but reported to the enterprise CIO: 80% of their deliverables went to the operating units, while having them report to Max Schmeling helped ensure that the other 20% went to the corporation. A pre-integration team planned the integration project in detail over a period of nine months, up to October 2002. The team started from an overall vision (“get $210 million in annual savings by consolidating the IT structure”) and successively broke this down into more detailed tasks. To begin with there were six large consolidation areas (e.g., financial systems integration, desktops, network, operating companies’ technical applications). Within each area large projects were defined, then sub-projects, with every project defined down to detailed tasks that could be assigned. This work built on previous analyses carried out for the Y2K problem (“millennium bug”), which had identified the companies’ critical systems. The planning team could now focus on the challenges of migrating those critical systems. In total, 110 projects were defined, to be executed in parallel by project managers and subproject managers, supported by a central project office. The projects had to be carefully coordinated as some of them served as enablers for others, and all were competing for the same scarce staff time. The Planning Meeting After the acquisition had been officially enacted, CIO Max Schmeling brought his direct reports and operating company CIOs together (about a dozen people in all) in September 2002 and presented them with the breakdown of the work that the planning team had produced: “Nobody leaves this room before every one of the 110 savings opportunities has a name on it,” he said. As the first outcome of this marathon meeting – lasting two days – a project organization was put in place (see Exhibit 1) which set out the project accountabilities and assigned a corporate sponsor to each project manager to help them drive change through the organization. At the top were enterprise projects. Control of these was critical, and a project management office Copyright © INSEAD 2 This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. was to track them continuously – both in terms of schedules (on which other projects depended), and budgets. The key projects within the IT integration were General (including mainframe decommissioning and UNIX integration, and office consolidation at the various sites of the previous companies), Knowledge Management (including the consolidation of portals, intranets, yellow pages, instant messaging, collaboration tools and publishing), the ERP Program (moving to an enterprise-wide SAP installation encompassing HR systems and financial reporting across both companies), the Web Applications Center, IT Strategy (which was to connect the IT changes to headcounts and re-engineered processes, and strategic IT sourcing), and the PCNet Project, on which this case focuses. The last piece (not producing bankable savings but critical to the overall success), was the “Time Zero” project: IT systems were to be changed while simultaneously running the business. The IT merger organization had to guarantee that e-mails, global address lists, help desks and all business applications would work immediately (but not, for example, cross unit calendar lookup). Without this minimal functionality the business damage would have been too great, and resistance would have prevented a successful migration. The second outcome of the marathon meeting was a “Gantt Chart from hell” – a preliminary plan showing how the 110 projects would be sequenced, when they would reach their critical milestones, and ultimately completion. The full Gantt Chart filled a wall (Exhibit 2 shows an aggregated summary of key milestones). In addition to the large number of tasks, the planning job was made even harder because all 110 projects had to be coordinated with the other merger projects and with the activities of the operating companies who were responsible for carrying out so many activities. The PCNet Project The PCNet project was the key enabler of the whole merger, not just the IT integration. It encompassed the development of a global communications network, a standard network server infrastructure, an enterprise security and directory system, and a worldwide standard desktop environment (see Exhibit 3). The business case called for total NPV savings of $115 million, with a project budget of $149 million. The NPV figure was based on direct savings on infrastructure costs alone. In addition, the project enabled further savings, such as cutting 130 different applications in the finance area, and it later made the transition to an enterprisewide ERP system (SAP) much faster and smoother. The lion’s share, both in savings and budget, came from getting the 40,000 desktops (31,000 on the original Metal Resources side and 9,000 on the RBD side) to standardize on Windows XP desktops (HP) and laptops (IBM). The corporate network, previously centered on the bottlenecks in Austin and Winnipeg, was to be consolidated around three central hubs: Austin, Johannesburg and Singapore (see Exhibit 3), with added bandwidth to the rest of the network and added internal redundancy. The servers were standardized to Windows 2000. Previously, the network had had almost 900 routers, a number that was greatly reduced by the consolidation. Ultimately the goal was to go from 10 different directories and multiple security systems and firewalls down to one each. The multiple directories caused some Copyright © INSEAD 3 This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. headaches – for example, executives who had been re-assigned stopped receiving their emails until the IT staff could locate the directory in which they had been listed! The network integration involved reconciling outsourcing decisions that had been handled differently in the past by the two companies: Metal Resources had outsourced mainframe, telecoms and the help desk to EDS, while RBD Inc. had outsourced the server environment and the help desk to IBM. To move fast, IT management decided to shift the entire package to EDS (the provider who already had the bigger piece), and to take some server services back in house. In addition to the four integration areas, Jack Muller’s project organization included his own project management office, one group for implementation and operations, and a planning group with several analysts who compiled business cases, risk analyses, and maintained the tracking tools. Embedded in the master plan for IT integration, the PCNet planning group developed and maintained its own plan and milestones (Exhibit 4). Much of the actual work (such as physically installing routers in basements and desktops in offices) was performed by local staff in the operating companies; the central project organization coordinated, standardized, oversaw time plans, and centrally sourced the standardized components. Risk Management Risk Identification Great attention was paid to risk management from the beginning. Risk plans and reviews were formally included in all project plans. (An aggregate risk list is shown in Exhibit 5). The main risk areas were seen as operating company acceptance (they had to perform and pay for a lot of the detailed implementation work and loathed the distraction from their pressing priorities); “staying focused” when too many activities were competing for the same scarce resources; security breaches during the transition; and any change in business climate that could threaten the availability of funds to complete the merger. Risks were estimated with potential impacts (where possible), “mitigation” (or countermeasures) and “contingent action” (a prepared fast response when risks did occur). The aggregate risk list rested on many lower-level risk identification efforts (see Exhibit 6 which focuses on HR and personnel retention risks), showing where the impact would lie (e.g., in achieving synergies, or in continuing business), whether the impact would be financial, or on the schedule, or on solution quality, and how great it would be in financial terms. The list estimated the probability of the risk and indicated the impacted parties and the “owner” or party responsible for responding to it. A project of this size can never be executed without encountering adverse events or “hiccups”. The risk planning represented a thorough homework exercise that allowed the organization to be prepared in case adverse events struck – anticipating such events prevented any potential panic and the mitigation/contingent action exercise provided ready-made (rough-cut) solutions around which a team could develop a quick response. Copyright © INSEAD 4 This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. Risk Prioritization Hundreds of distinct risks were identified and listed in the risk planning which had to be prioritized in order to maintain focus (which itself was one of the risks!) and efficiency. Rather than classify the hundreds of risks themselves, the merger team chose to classify the sub-projects using a type of ABC analysis according to their value (that is, the amount at stake when a risk occurred) and the probability of failure (aggregated from individual risks affecting that project). The logic of this analysis is shown in Exhibit 7. The project management team aggressively intervened in high priority projects (high value and high risk), whereas projects with high risk but low value were delegated to the operating companies, with an offer to help them if requested. Well-running projects were either watched (high value) or let run (monitored only on a routine basis). For the larger sub-projects (from around $10 million), Max Schmeling went one step further: he demanded a scenario business plan with respect to the ultimate success measure (the NPV of savings): “With only 10% probability we will fail to deliver at least x, with 50% probability y, and with 90% probability we will not be able to deliver as much as (or more than) z in this project” (in other words, a pessimistic, medium, and optimistic scenario). The scenarios were called P10, P50 and P90 (a method and terminology that comes from geology and exploration engineering), and were connected to a value-distribution curve (see Exhibit 8 for the entire PCNet project). Exhibit 8 indicates that they thought to have a 50% chance of achieving annual savings of $135 million, but virtually no chance of beating $180 million.1 The value distribution for the PCNet project rested on similar curves for the four major sub-projects. For example, the desktop migration was estimated to have a 10% chance of not achieving $81 million, 50% of not achieving $100 million, and a 90% chance of not achieving $117 million in annual savings. Each project value distribution curve offered two benefits. First, it forced the team and management to acknowledge that the outcome could not be planned exactly, as a number, but that many outcomes were possible with different probabilities. In other words the team could not offer a fixed target, only a “service level” (for example, “the probability of achieving $81 million in savings is 90%”). This gave them the same flexibility as project buffers used in other companies. Second, the value curve forced the project team to clearly identify the key value drivers (a small subset of the previously identified risks), to estimate their possible variance and to formulate a model of how that variance impacted the project’s savings value. The discipline of producing such value models was very useful in identifying key drivers, that is, the risk factors that were really important. Risk Monitoring and Management Risk prioritization allowed the merger team to be proactive and responsive. First, supervision concentrated on areas of high exposure. For example, the PCNet project came out as high priority (see the classification in Exhibit 7), the desktop and server subprojects were in the upper right quadrant (high value and high risk), and the network project, while not directly of high value, was of high strategic importance and thus classified as high risk. Jack Muller could not complain about any lack of attention from upper management. 1 Note that these numbers are not comparable to Exhibit 4, which shows the NPV of savings over four years. The numbers here, in contrast, refer to annual savings themselves, a more operational number. Copyright © INSEAD 5 This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. In addition, the identification of the most important risk drivers by the value distribution curves (Exhibit 8) allowed the project team to manage them proactively. Two examples illustrate this. For the desktop project the dominant risk lay in the prices set by the PC vendors (HP for the desktops and IBM for the laptops), so a team of project managers visited the vendors and aggressively negotiated in order to lock in prices at a low level. Not only did this reduce the savings variance (guaranteed prices for all countries were obtained), but the centralized negotiation also achieved prices that were even lower than hoped for, garnering additional savings. The second example relates to the schedule risk of actually delivering all the desktops to all countries on time for the “new” system to start. As Metal Resources Co. operated in countries such as Angola, Congo and Armenia, warfare might disrupt delivery and “gatekeepers”, “consultants”, or bureaucrats could block every move until their permission had been sought. (Sometimes they merely wanted to be shown attention and respect). Generally, the schedule risk was high in such countries – deployment might even be endangered entirely – so for countries with significant bureaucratic restrictions a plan was devised with countermeasures, emergency procedures and appropriate buffers to allow for disruption. Deployment was not started until any remaining uncertainty had been removed and a high level of confidence installed that it could be carried out within the buffers imposed. Project Execution Monitoring and Reporting In October 2002 work started in earnest, hitting multiple fronts at the same time: telecom lines were rented and connected, network equipment exchanged, security policies and software and directories set up, and PCs switched. Control of the larger projects was paramount to keep the integration on track and produce the savings. An integration management office was set up for the merger as a whole (the Integration Management Committee Meeting, of which Max Schmeling was a member), and ITC had its own integration office, the project management office. At monthly meetings progress was tracked using metrics summarized in a “deployment progress” monitoring tool (Exhibit 9) which reported on the status of PC deployment (for example, in January 2003, 1,447 of the 40,000 PCs had been migrated), sites with upgraded networks, reduced Internet access points to the global network, and reduced standard applications. The dashboard also showed the current budget status and included remarks about current events in the various regions of deployment. In addition to the progress tool which focused on operational figures, budgets and, of course, financial synergies (or savings) were reported. Savings were a matter of urgency: only when they had been achieved and documented could they be incorporated into the accounting and book-keeping systems, and then reported to external financial analysts. Being able to report booked synergies is very important for a CEO after an acquisition. It soon became clear that the synergy progress reporting was causing misunderstandings and tensions. As Exhibit 10 shows, progress was not smooth but occurred in jumps. For example, a site had to be completely migrated (up to three months’ work) before savings really accrued, Copyright © INSEAD 6 This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. but then a large sum was saved at once. The gray bars in Exhibit 10 indicate internal progress targets, the dotted red line represents synergies captured at the day of the report (April 30), and the solid blue line the synergy forecast (top panel: all IT systems, bottom panel: ITC). As is usual practice, the forecast line had been smoothed. This caused a seeming deviation from the plan as for up to three months it looked as if synergy capture was lagging (before it caught up), although it was a reporting artifact. This required a lot of reassurance: “Although nothing has been booked, you have to trust us that the site migration is really on track and the savings will accrue as planned!” Reporting to and educating of the supervising committees had to go hand in hand. Unexpected Events The PCNet project had gotten off to a good start. After the huge initial effort to get things going, Jack had had the feeling that things were going well. But more recently problems had begun to arise, none of them catastrophic by itself but damaging overall, and Jack started to worry about continuing progress. For example, the IT organization had managed on day one of the merger to build connectors between the two corporate networks, but there were no standards in place across the entire merged corporation. Without rigorous change management processes in place, well-meaning people could (and did) introduce “tweaks” in, say, the e-mail system, unwittingly destabilizing an entire sector of the network. As a result, e-mail files were lost and messaging capabilities corrupted. There were frequent small outages in some areas (some of which persist to this day). Moreover, some of Metal Resources Co.’s partner national companies suddenly started to demand “local content” or “brokers” to be included in the channels of the hardware systems. These channel conflicts often caused delays and had to be mapped out and worked around, taking time and resources. A different kind of problem occurred in Sri Lanka: the government partner, who was paying for the migration of 2,000 seats, decided that it would need to study the proposal more thoroughly before giving its approval. This meant extra justification and a localized business case had to be submitted, again costing Joe time and resources. And problems not only came from the outside. Several times a business unit leader within Metal Resources would decide to slow the migration or postpone it from the original schedule to avoid business disruptions or to avoid the costs. One large European office threatened to delay a major deployment that had scheduling impacts on several other sub-projects. The 18 September 2003 Integration Management Meeting The overall merger progress status looked still OK. Of the six huge integration areas, none was seriously behind. IT integration had passed a major milestone in the summer and the next major one at this aggregate level was not until January. In that sense, the situation was not urgent. However, the string of unexpected events made Jack worry; hiding them was not an option. If the Integration Management Committee got the impression that progress was stalling in the linchpin PCNet project, they might panic and start breathing down his neck real hard. Copyright © INSEAD 7 This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. The economy had slipped into a severe crisis, and Metal Resources Co. (like all major industrial companies) had started a general belt-tightening and budget-cutting exercise. The IT migration project was very expensive; if top management started to doubt the benefits, they might take radical steps and stop the entire thing or major parts of it. Jack Muller gathered his slides and braced himself for a fierce discussion. How was he going to calibrate the progress hiccups to Max Schmeling and the Integration Management team? How would they react? Copyright © INSEAD 8 This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. Copyright © INSEAD PCNet Program Lead: Peter Lazonge Estimated Completion Date: 7/03 Knowledge Management Program Lead: Mike Wu Estimated Completion Date: 12/04 Web Applications Support Program Lead: Jeff Nales Estimated Completion Date: 9/04 ERP Implementation Program Lead: Chip Bales Estimated Completion Date: 1/04 General IT Strategy Program Lead: Nancy Lee Time Zero Program Lead: Jill Gross Estimated Completion Date: 9/04 Gwendolyn Myers Taka Nunaki Program Lead: Jack Muller Estimated Completion Date: 3/04 IT Strategy IT Delivery Max Schmeling IT CIO Exhibit 1 Organization Structure of the IT Merger Projects 9 This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. Dec 02 2 3 Feb 03 4 5 • Corporate IT Research • Consol. RBD SAP Financials into Metal Resources Copyright © INSEAD Oct 02 0• 1 • Knowledge Processes • Decommissioning Approval • Change Management & Communication • Common Yellow Pages • Winnipeg Office Apr 03 6 7 • Singap. Office • IBM-EDS Transition • Consolidation Technology Research • Austin Office • Portals Jun 03 8 9 • PCNet Server • Collab. Tools • Intranet • Webcasting • Integrate RBD Australia Marktg. • HR Reductions London Office Aug 03 10 Paris and Jo’burg Offices 11 Oct 03 12 13 • Integrate RBD into Metal Resources HR • Moscow Office Dec 03 14 15 17 18 19 Jun 04 20 21 23 27 10 Months Feb 05 28 Mainframe Decommissioning Dec 04 25 26 Oct 04 24 Define & Implement New Org. Structure Aug 04 22 Organization & Process Efficiency • Profess. Applications complete • E-purchasing Apr 04 Network Upgrade Feb 04 16 • Desktop Reductions • Telephone Reductions • Directory and Security Integration • Paris & Hong Kong Offices • Publishing • IT System Consol. Exhibit 2 Aggregate Summary of Key IT Merger Milestones 11 Copyright © INSEAD Exhibit 3 The PCNet Project and Projected Business Value This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. 12 Copyright © INSEAD Exhibit 4 The PCNet Project Key Milestones This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. 13 Copyright © INSEAD Exhibit 5 High Level Risk List with Contingent Action This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. All All All RESOURCE RISK - will not have enough IT staff to handle all the projects the functional groups have planned around CHANGE MANAGEMENT / COMMUNICATION - People / teams / mgmt may not align on what the priorities are (productivity, working on right things, etc) If CULTURE of IT people do not integrate then effort could dissolve into wars. Copyright © INSEAD All Financial Quality Time Financial Quality Time Financial Quality Time Quality Financial L M M M M M H H $ % Operations ATTRITION OF TECHNOLOGY TALENT could jeopardize exploration, operations and IT operations and transition H = > $5mm M = $5-$1mm L = < $1mm H = >80% M = 80% - 20% L = < 20% I I (IT) O,I O,I O,I O O = Owner I = Impacted I I I (IT) (IT) (IT) Project Team Impacted by Risk Exploration Time Financial Quality ONE YEAR FINANCIAL IMPACT Technology Synergy Day One Business - Local Business - Global PROBABILITY THAT RISK WILL OCCUR Finance Describe the Risk RISK TYPE IT/Systems (Tech Support & IT) RISK CATEGORY HR Integr. (Tech Support & IT) RISK DESCRIPTION Exhibit 6 Detail Risk List on Retention and HR Risks Corporate I Procuremt. I New Management CIO and project management IT Planning CTO and technology officers Person responsible for monitoring the risk and reporting it if it occurs. RESPONSIBLE RISK OWNER U U A A O O O O U U U U 14 Good communication and buy-in is essential. Good communication and buy-in is essential. Good project prioritization and planning will be needed. RETENTION RISK Medium" probability contingent upon absence of severance triggering event after the merger. OPERATIONAL RISK - spend more in long run to maintain competencies operating companies want VALUE RISK - 5-10 times operational risk in not capturing value by focusing on fewer, higher value projects General Notes A/U O/C U/M COMMENTS STATUS U - Unmitigated M - Mitigated O - Open C - Closed A - Assigned U - Unassigned Other This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. <1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 >10 Minor issues Significant issues High risk of failure Example: • Records management Implementation Risk Tracking Example: • Personnel file migration Delegate Provide assistance to help identify core issues and mitigate risks Let run Example: • Trading – trade capture system Identify core issues and aggressively pursue solutions and risk mitigation Engage Exhibit 7 Risk Prioritization Review status updates Example: • Desktop migration • Exploration technical application rationalization Review status updates and discuss process Watch Beyond expectations Copyright © INSEAD Value ($ million) 15 Provide additional support and guidance to projects in top quadrants Periodic status meetings to update risk information Risks along 3 dimensions: • Schedule • Technology • Business (cost and synergy capture) Risk Management Process: 16 250 NPV of Annual Savings ($MM) 200 Copyright © INSEAD 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 50 100 150 Exhibit 8 Probabilistic Business Impact of Risks on PCNet Project Cumulative Probability This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. 17 Copyright © INSEAD Exhibit 9 Summary Project Monitoring Tool This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021. 18 18 15 Months Post Close Synergy Actual/Forecast 21 12 11 IT Systems Captured To Date 24 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 Exhibit 10 Synergies Captured as of 4/30/2003 Synergy Target >24 3 2 Copyright © INSEAD 0 50 100 150 200 250 $MM 1 This document is authorized for use only in Professor Ma. Carmen L. Testa's SEELL - Project Management Course 2021-PMC 2021 at Asian Institute of Management from Mar 2021 to Sep 2021.