The role of textile industry in development and growth of Pakistan &its problems and solutions Chapter 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 1.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 1.2 Problem Statement .......................................................................................................... 1.3 Objective……………………………………………………………………………… .. 1.4 Literature review ............................................................................................................. 4 Textile sector having performance..................................................................................... 4 Ginning .............................................................................................................................. 6 Spinning ............................................................................................................................ 6Weaving ............................................................................................................................ 6 Processing ......................................................................................................................... 7 Garments ............................................................................................................................ 7 Liberalization of Textiles and Trade .................................................................................. 7 1.5 Theoretical framework ................................................................................................... 12 With International Trade (Open Economy) of Nation A ................................................. 12 With International Trade (Open Economy) of Nation B ................................................. 13 Gains from International Trade ........................................................................................ 14 Following are the Gains from International Trade in Each Nation ................................. 14 Equilibrium Relative Commodity Prices with Trade (ERCP) ......................................... 17 Equilibrium Relative Commodity Prices with Trade ....................................................... 17 Incomplete Specialization ................................................................................................ 18 Gains from Trade based on Different Tastes and Habits ................................................. 19 Demand & Supply and International Prices..................................................................... 20 Demand & Supply and International Prices of x commodity .......................................... 20 The Equilibrium Relative Commodity Prices with trade with Partial Analysis .............. 20 Export Performance of Developing Countries in Textile Sector ......................................... 21 Currency conversion rate ................................................................................................. 21 i Growth rate of GDP ......................................................................................................... 21 Quality and Cost factor .................................................................................................... 22 Technological factor ........................................................................................................ 22 Non-Tariff and Tariff Restriction .................................................................................... 22 Why do Countries Import?................................................................................................... 22 Exports affect the economy ................................................................................................. 23 2.1 Overview of Textile Industry ......................................................................................... 24 2.2 Imports of Pakistan ........................................................................................................ 26 2.3 Export goods and services ............................................................................................. 27 Free Trade ........................................................................................................................ 28 2.4 Textile industry's economic contribution 2011-12 ........................................................ 28 Total Production cotton cloth and cotton yarn ................................................................. 32 Cotton and Fibre .................................................................................................................. 34 Export Quantity & Value of raw cotton ............................................................................... 39 Major Imports Markets .................................................................................................... 40 Issues .................................................................................................................................... 41 Shortage of Modern Equipment’s .................................................................................... 42 Production Cost increasing .............................................................................................. 42 Energy Crisis .................................................................................................................... 42 Performance of exports of textile sector .......................................................................... 43 Inflation rate effect ........................................................................................................... 43 Chapter 3 .................................................................................................................................. 44 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................... 44 Bibliography ............................................................................................................................ 45 ii 1 2 Abstract In the economic development the textile industry plays very important role. Approximately ( fifteen M) individuals 38% in the industrial labor force works in the garment industry and approximately 20% work in the textile industry (in mills and places ) More than 0.15 million individuals are working (directly or indirectly) by the textile industry in Pakistan. In this project we will examines role of the textile industry & the clothing textile industries play an important in the growth & development strategies emerging countries. It mentions the textiles industry & clothing or garment industries are important for the economic and development in the social terms and also providing incomes for short-run incomes and jobs especially for women & export and import foreign receipts and also in the long run. Providing the opportunity for foreign currency receipts and in the long run by providing countries the opportunity for consent economic development in the development countries they adopted applicable policies and industrial groups to improve and they are self- motivated effects in the Textiles & Garment. The budding of the Textile & Garment industries to add to long has factory in Karachi. The purpose of this report is to formulate its problems and solutions of textile and clothing Industry exports, GDP, Employment and how to contribute growth of the Pakistan economy. 3 CHAPTER ONE: 1.1 INTRODUCTION Pakistan’s economy relies heavily on its cotton and textile sectors. The cotton-processing and textile industries make up almost half the country’s manufacturing base, while cotton is Pakistan’s principal industrial crop supplying critical income to rural households. Altogether the cotton-textile sectors account for 11%of GDP and 60% of export receipts. Textile clothing industries consequently a major part of manufacturing production (employment or labor force) and trade in Pakistan. This project is observe importance of textile and clothing industry in development and growth strategies in development of Pakistan. According to the economic survey of Pakistan 2008_09 the Pakistan textile industry contributes more than 60% to the country total exports, which amounts to around 5.2 billion US dollars. According to the 2012 economic survey of Pakistan, issued by the finance ministry, the textile industry itself constituted about 4%of the total size of the Pakistan economy. Top Buyers of Pakistan textile goods are USA,EU,Gulf region ,UK,Hong Kong. Korea, Saudi Arabia, Italy ,Turkey, Germany, Norway France Canada, Sweden, Australia, etc. 4 Role of textile industry in Pakistan development and growth The textile industry of Pakistan is an eldest and the largest global textile industry in world. Textile and garment industry is the typical starter for the different countries that are engaged in export and import –orientated industrialization (Graffiti 2003) or works force intensive. Textile industry created great opportunities within entry level employment for unskilled and skilled labor in emerging countries. The industrial features of the Pakistan textile industry have made it apporatite as the starter step of the industrialization ladder in developing countries some of them have experienced high outcomes and growth rate in the sector of industry such as Sir Lanka, Bangladesh, Vietnam and Egypt Mauritius and these since become inner income developing countries such( Brenton , Mauritius Vietnam ).(2007) suggest that a number many reasons that a textile industry or sector plays such an bery important role in growth of the developing countries . The sector of textile industry provided large number of jobs for unskilled labour and drawings them from rural and agricultural families that are located rural locations. Regardless of relatively low start-up capital costs growth of the sector which created capital for more scientifically demanding activities in the other sector in the economy. Growth and development of the textile industry play an important role for imports and exports and created great revenues for country from the exports of the garments and textile product. However features textile of the industry (relatively low capital intensity low investment costs and use of low skilled labor) too mean that of textile industry is comparatively uncommitted & able to regulate the moving market circumstances rapidly (Nordas 2004). Export and import trade polices& regulations has taken a main impact on a pattern of the textile and clothing industry manufacture or a likely to do now & near future. China textile industry sector become a major player in the market of the textile in the world constraints on its trade of the china are gradually being lifted. This has intensified competition for traditional textile and clothing producer’s especially small and remote countries. The earnings of a country can be calculated in different ways. GDP abbreviation is Gross Domestic Product is such computation of indicator of country’s affluence indicates the value of goods and 5 services manufacture by one economy disregards of nationality with in a particular period of wealth the GDP growth percentage cannot be make as an indicator since it effects the business confidence in positive or in negative sense. Worldwide recession investment is the negative sign in economic growth for two or more successive quarter of any year. Imports considered as those international goods or services acquire by local people of a country. These people include inhabitants, different businesses and the government. This is not the matter of those products which are sent by different means. These goods can be sent through ship, alike hand carry in to some personal transport on a plane or official luggage. If those goods are manufactured outside any country or sales sold to local people that are considered as imports. Although tourist products or services are also imported globally. When someone travels outside the country they may importing some souvenirs with them. (Amadeo & Kimberly, 2017) Some countries used multivariate co-integration way and expected antecedents of imports three months data set in case of Bangladesh. They sort out that comparative income and rate have major influence on imports. The reciprocal of income is positive and higher than 1 that means earnings encourage people to send special products to other countries. The reciprocal prices was negative but less than 1 that means Bangladesh variation in prices which should not affects demand for import products. Importance of textile industry in Pakistan development and growth The textile industry of Pakistan is an eldest and the largest global textile industry in world. Textile and garment industry is the typical starter for the different countries that are engaged in export and import –orientated industrialization (Graffiti 2003) or works force intensive. Textile industry created great opportunities within entry level employment for unskilled and skilled labor in emerging countries. The industrial features of the Pakistan textile industry have made it apporatite as the starter step of the industrialization ladder in developing countries some of them have experienced high 6 outcomes and growth rate in the sector of industry such as Sir Lanka, Bangladesh, Vietnam and Egypt Mauritius and these since become inner income developing countries such( Brenton , Mauritius Vietnam ).(2007) suggest that a number many reasons that a textile industry or sector plays such an bery important role in growth of the developing countries . The sector of textile industry provided large number of jobs for unskilled labour and drawings them from rural and agricultural families that are located rural locations. Regardless of relatively low start-up capital costs growth of the sector which created capital for more scientifically demanding activities in the other sector in the economy. Growth and development of the textile industry play an important role for imports and exports and created great revenues for country from the exports of the garments and textile product. However features textile of the industry (relatively low capital intensity low investment costs and use of low skilled labor) too mean that of textile industry is comparatively uncommitted & able to regulate the moving market circumstances rapidly (Nordas 2004). Export and import trade polices& regulations has taken a main impact on a pattern of the textile and clothing industry manufacture or a likely to do now & near future. China textile industry sector become a major player in the market of the textile in the world constraints on its trade of the china are gradually being lifted. This has intensified competition for traditional textile and clothing producer’s especially small and remote countries. The earnings of a country can be calculated in different ways. GDP abbreviation is Gross Domestic Product is such computation of indicator of country’s affluence indicates the value of goods and services manufacture by one economy disregards of nationality with in a particular period of wealth the GDP growth percentage cannot be make as an indicator since it effects the business confidence in positive or in negative sense. Worldwide recession investment is the negative sign in economic growth for two or more successive quarter of any year. Imports considered as those international goods or services acquire by local people of a country. 7 These people include inhabitants, different businesses and the government. This is not the matter of those products which are sent by different means. These goods can be sent through ship, alike hand carry in to some personal transport on a plane or official luggage. If those goods are manufactured outside any country or sales sold to local people that are considered as imports. Although tourist products or services are also imported globally. When someone travels outside the country they may importing some souvenirs with them. (Amadeo & Kimberly, 2017) Some countries used multivariate co-integration way and expected antecedents of imports three months data set in case of Bangladesh. They sort out that comparative income and rate have major influence on imports. The reciprocal of income is positive and higher than 1 that means earnings encourage people to send special products to other countries. The reciprocal prices was negative but less than 1 that means Bangladesh variation in prices which should not affects demand for import products. History of Textile Industry in Pakistan 8 “The sector of textile in Pakistan established in past year 1957 and in short time it comes to the leading sector of the Pakistan. In these days the industry of textile is s base of Country’s economy. Apart from this, the sector if spinning becomes the only user of cotton which is the highly produced cash crop of the country. Allocation of policies become totally changed the worldwide patterns of trade and level of competitiveness has increased, that is why the result of distinct department was bring into existence on September, 2004 along with the allocation of different obligations to make plans or programs which hold up the sector of textile. Pakistan becomes the 4th among the cotton production in the world and 2nd in export ranking of yarn and 3rd in cloth exports. Pakistan’s produces the cotton and reached highest sales of 14.81 million cotton bales on April 31, 2012 which breaks all the pasts’ record of 14.31 million cotton bales in 2004-2005. The textile industry also break the record size as that are place up with more than 13.44 million cotton bales out of total which is 14.81 million cotton bales. Pakistan also imported about more than 1 million cotton bales of products quality from Brazil, USA and India for combining function during the period. Brazilian cotton is well known among Pakistani importers due to its better quality. In Brazil, cotton is picked up by using machines and in Pakistan cotton is picked up by using labor. That is why Brazilian cotton is extensively used when impure free cotton is required for production.”(Secom, 2012). Pakistan is the four largest producer of cotton with the third largest spinning capacity in Asia after china and India contributes 4 %to5 % to the global spinning capacity. At present, there are 1,221 ginning units, 442 spinning units, 124 large spinning units and 425, small units which produce textile. The origin of the Indian textiles is thought to be the Indus valley civilization, situated in modern Pakistan, where people used homespun cotton to weave garments. Historically, the Indus valley region engaged in significant trade with the rest of the world. The silk from the regions, for example, in the known to have been popular in Rome, Egypt, Britain, and Indonesia. In the 1950s, textile manufacturing emerged as a central part of Pakistan’s 9 Industrialization, shortly following independence from the British rule in the South Asia. In 1947, the Pakistan government established thee cotton Export Corporation of Pakistan (CEC). The CEC served as a barrier to private manufactures from participating in international trade. However, in the late 1980s, the CEC diminished and by 1988-89, private manufacturers were able to buy cotton from and sell in both domestics and foreign markets. Between1947 and 2000, the number of textile mills in Pakistan increased from 3 to 600. In the same time period spindles from 177,000 to 805 source of export earnings and employment. It also helps in value addition to the manufacturing sector of the economy. All through the six years between 1993and 1998, production of yarn in quantity terms quantity terms) registered a steady annual million Cotton textile industry has been primary industry in Pakistan and major growing rate of 302% in Bangladesh and 406% in India. On the contrary Pakistan listed growth rate of 101% per annum in yarn production while it rated third after China and India in the global yarn production during the same six years. In exports, while Taiwan ,India and there public of Korea listed an annual increase of 18.1% and 27.7% or 5.4% correspondingly during 19 cotton textile industry has been first industry in Pakistan and major basis of export earnings and employments. It also helps in value adding to the industrial sector of the economy. During the six years among 1993 and 1998, production of yarn in quantity terms registered a stable annuals growth. Pakistan registered a negative growth rate 7.5% one important. Factors of Production Textile Industry: Production Textile industry has six key sections of the textile production in Pakistan. Cotton Filament yarn manufacturing Spinning Processing Garment manufacturing Printing Cotton: Cotton is the largest section of textile production. Other fibers produced 10 Contain artificial fiber, yarn art silk, wool, and jute. Cotton spinning: Cotton spinning is maybe the most important sector in Pakistan textile industry with 521 set up and operational Units. Synthetic fibers: In synthetic fibers nylon polyester acrylic and polyolefin govern the market. There are currently five major producers of artificial fibers in Pakistan with a total capability of 636000 tons per annum Filament yarn manufacturing: Three types of thread yarn are shaped in Pakistan region. There are acetate rayon yarn polyester thread yarn and nylon filament yarn. There are now about 6 units in the country. Artificial fiber: This fiber look like the silk but costs less to produce. There are about 90,000 looms in country situated mainly in Karachi Gujranwala Faisalabad and Jalapur Jattan as well as some in FATA Wool: The main products artificial from wool holds woolen yarn acrylic yarn fabrics shawls carpets and blankets. JUTE: Jute sake and sacking cloth are commonly used for filling farming products such as gains and rice. The manufacture of jute crops was about 100,000 tons in 2009_10. Classification of textile industry: Department of these sectors These are the main classification of textile sector. Ginning Spinning Processing Weaving Garments Ginning: Ginning is the major step in the chain of Textiles. It splits cotton its seed and layers thus adding value to the textile industry. There are about 1221 Ginning units in Pakistan there distribution is 1078 in the Province of Punjab and in the Sindh province. 11 The overall volume is around 20 million cotton bales per year. Against all the capacity, the overall production of cotton ginning is 10.0 million cotton bales deliberated an extra capacity the country have in ginning sector. Departments of Ginning: Cotton ginning takes place throughout the area known as the Sunbelt. Four main production regions can be designated. Cotton fiber Man mad fiber wool Blow room figure 1:Department of ginning. In this table show the ginning steps fist separate the fibers from cotton seed. 12 Spinning: Spinning sector is the important progress and all the future value flourishes which is garments and processing and knitting are manufactured on spinning units. Any changes in character of straight production of spinning affect the total value chain of textile industry. The textile sector of Pakistan is attractive the oldest or many of the spinning plants have been there for the hurdle time. This is artificial to become the very valuable split within the chain of textile industry production . The key focus of the sector is in cities of Faisalabad, Karachi, Multan, Hyderabad and Lahore. Weaving means merging two different sets of yarns or clothes to make a fabric or Cloth. This may exist the easy and hard; easy way of weaving measured as the making cloth and the other items. Yarn or pieces of rare material are send below and overhead one another. Departments of spinning: These are the main departments of spinning. 13 Blowing and mixing Carding Combining Drawing Simplex Ring spinning Cone winding Spinning process flow Figure2: Textile industry Weaving Weaving means combining two different sets of yarns or threads to make a fabric or cloth. This may be the easy and hard; easy way of weaving considered as the making of cloth and the other items. Yarn or pieces of raw material are send below and above one another. 14 Departments of weaving Weaving process have seven departments Raw material Warping Drawing in Grey checking Mending Final checking Rolling folding Dispatch Figure2 15 Processing Processing sector in the textile industry clamps a important place with detail to Adding value. This sector won internationally respect to making better or lawn of different color that contracts with current trade needs of the local and international. Fashion and fabric which is mixture with cotton are linen, man-made and silk. Bleaching, printing, finishing and coloring carry as procedures of fabric etc. Garments in 70s, Pakistan garment sector was traditional and as time passed by and current industrialization, this industry has distended very quickly. More than 505 of the units producing fabrics of cotton are small and medium in terms of output, labors and machines but for less exemptions which are spread domestically. Liberalization of Textiles and Trade Textiles are still at top between manufacturing products created not later than some Industrializing public. These played a dangerous character the first stages of industrialization. Within the UK, some areas of North America as well as Japan, also further highlighting on exports development of the economies of East Asia (Yang with Zhong, 1998). Taiwan and Korea rely importantly resting to textile and cotton produce e on behalf of their exports first the 1950s on the road to the mid-1980s. (Syed Abdul Sattar, 2014) It has been immovable fact under economic literatures that generally happens after the crisis of East Asia 1997-98 where exports are vital conditions for continuous growth of economy of any Country. The principle purpose behind the growing economies to steady face foreign Exchange rate issue is failure of improving or diminishing their exports differentiate with Imports. Which leads to shortage BOP as well as extended trouble on the investment assets in the building of import bill. Pakistan, as a less open growing country, also treats some huddles in textile industry. 16 In 70s, Pakistan garment sector was established and as time passed by and continuing industthe UK, some areas of North America as well as Japan, also further emphasizing on this industry Resultantly, rapid growth of Chinese economy highly influences under developed countries of Asia. (Barry Eichengreen, 2004) Several things can be assessed from the environment and trade study under a critical viewpoint on leather and clothing production of Pakistan. Trade liberalization will lead to export through establishing countries of capital of environment. Secondly, the costs of lessening these malicious environmental affects in the South are large. It is found that, given the current position of following laws of environment in Pakistan, exports lured by trade liberalization can definitely have huge disastrous environmental influences. Nevertheless, no assistance for the costs of mitigation is found. Moreover, the mitigation benefits exceed the costs. (Shahrukh Rafi Khan, 2001) Under a study done on the long and short run antecedent of commerce loss referred to Pakistan through Johansen co-integration approach and Error correction model (ECM) it had been searched that FDI foreign income and local hold utilization and effective foreign rates have visible effects on the trade loss. In order to lighten short run dilemma the VECM (Vector Error correction model) was used. The results of VECM sorted out that there is no equilibrium in short run that will be adjusted within a year. (Muhammad S. D., 2012) In a study done by Donohue on the aftermaths of global decline on neighbor countries. Resultantly, rapid growth of Chinese economy highly influences under developed countries of Asia. (Barry Eichengreen, 2004) Several things can be assessed from the environment and trade study under a critical viewpoint on leather and clothing production of Pakistan. Trade liberalization will lead to export through establishing countries of capital of environment. Secondly the costs of lessening these malicious environmental affects ithe South are large. It is found that, given the current position of following laws of environment in Pakistan, exports lured by trade liberalization can definitely have huge disastrous environmental influences. 17 Nevertheless, no assistance for the costs of mitigation is found. Moreover, the mitigation benefits exceed the costs. (Shahrukh Rafi Khan, 2001) Under a study done on the long and short run antecedent of commerce loss referred to Pakistan through Johansen co-integration approach and Error correction model (ECM) it had been searched that FDI, foreign income and local hold utilization and effective foreign rates have visible effects on the trade loss. In order to lighten short run dilemma the VECM (Vector Error correction model) was used. The results of VECM sorted out that there is no equilibrium in short run that will be adjusted within a year. (Muhammad S. D., 2012) In a study done by Donohue on the aftermaths of global decline on Deprements of processing : These are the main deprements of processing. Figure4: 18 Garments: In 70s, Pakistan garment sector was established and as time passed by and continuing industrialization, this industry has enlarged very quickly. More than 505 of the units producing fabrics of cotton are small and medium in terms of output, workers and machines except for less exceptions which are spread domestically. Textile value chain 19 Management hierarchy for textile industry: Industries are the fast growing sector in developing and under develop countries. Different factors are responsible behind this reason. Anyhow textile industry he textile and apparel is a series of interrelated activities which originates with the manufacture of fiber and culminates in the delivery of a product into the hands of the consumer. The textile and fashion industry is a major contributor to several national economies including both small- and large-scale processes globally. Apparel manufacturing is labor intensive, which is characterized by low fixed capital investment; a wide range of product designs and hence input materials; variable production volumes; high competitiveness and often high demand on product quality. Although the manufacturing process is associated mainly with apparel and household linens, it is also used in a variety of industries and crafts such as upholstery, shoe-making, sail-making, bookbinding and the production of varieties of sporting goods. Sewing is the fundamental process, with ramifications into a variety of textile arts and crafts, including tapestry, quilting, embroidery, appliqué and patchwork. Further, it is a sector where comparatively modern technologies could be implemented even in poor countries at moderately low investment costs. With concern to the employment as well as production, the textile sector is one of the prime industries in the world. The textile and clothing sector also has the high potential market segment for value added products where design and research and development (R&D) are key competitive factors. The luxury fashion industry utilizes higher labor in design and marketing segments. The same applies to market sectors like sportswear where both design and material technology are vital. Structure of the Textiles and Clothing or Apparel Industry The clothing or garment industry is a labor-oriented, low wage industry but a vibrant, innovative sector, depending on the type of market segments upon which the industry focuses. The high-end fashion sector is considered modern technology, with comparatively well-paid workers and designers and a high degree of flexibility. There are wide varieties of clothing types that the apparel manufacturers have to handle, which can be broadly divided into two categories: outer clothing and inner clothing. 20 Fig: Clothing or garment industry The core operations of industries servicing this market sector are mostly situated in developed nations and often in certain geographical locations within these nations. The other kind of major market sector is bulk production of standard products like t-shirts, uniforms, underwear, etc. Manufacturers for this type of standard product market sector are mostly seen in developing countries. For lower- to medium-priced products in the market, the responsibility of the retailer has become more and more important in the organization of the supply chain. The retail market sector has turned out to be more intense, leaving more market power to multinational retailers. Textiles are responsible for the key raw material input to the garment industry, developing vertical supply chain relationships between the two containing sales and distribution functions. The textile and clothing sectors involve: Acquiring and processing raw materials, that is, the preparation and production of textile fibers. Manufacturing of textile yarns and fabrics. Dyeing and finishing of textile materials, which provide visual, physical and aesthetic properties that consumers demand, such as bleaching, printing, dyeing and coating. Conversion of textiles into garments that can be either fashion or functional garments. Textiles industry: The textile industry is primarily concerned with the design and production of yarn, cloth, clothing, and their distribution. So in the textile business generally needs more investment compared to the garment sector and it is an extremely automated area. It comprises yarn manufacturing, fabric manufacturing and dyeing and finishing, and these three functions could be carried out in integrated plants. On the other hand, the textile sector suffers from the higher lead time as well as high investment cost, which results in relatively large minimum orders. 21 Fig: Yarn manufacturing industry Apparel industry: Garment industry starting with the textile industry (producers of cotton, wool, fur, and synthetic fiber) via fashion industry to fashion retailers. The fundamental manufacturing process of the apparel industry has not undergone much change over the past century, and is considered by the progressive bundle system. Work or operation is planned in a manner that each operator is specialized in one or a few operations. The fabric is first cut into various garment panels and then grouped by components of the garment, tied into bundles and sent to an assembling (sewing) section for making a garment. An operator receives a bundle of cut garment panels and executes his or her single operation and keeps the bundle in a buffer. A buffer of about one day’s work is common at each operation. It takes about 40 operations to finish a pair of pants, which entails about 40 days of in-process inventory. Though numerous advances in the industrial engineering segment for systematizing the operations and reducing the production time of each individual operation have taken place over a period of time, the basic method has remained the same. However, the apparel industry, especially sewing technology has remained significantly less automated compared to many other manufacturing industries. The new technologies, systems and innovations in the clothing sector have improved efficiency at each production stage and enhanced the harmonization between stages and provided a more seamless interface between them. The major breakthrough innovation was the use of computers in clothing manufacturing in areas like pattern making, marker planning and computerized automatic cutting machine. This machine has made it possible to cut increasingly thick layers of cloth accurately. These advancements are mainly associated with the preassembly phase of production, where technological developments have been more important than at the assembly stage. The organization structure of a medium-sized garment industry is shown in figure. 22 23 1.2 Problem Statement As world trade expands what is the volume of Pakistan textile exports as well as Pakistani textile imports and how does it impact on the economy growth &development of their produce nation. 1.3 objective 1. To analyze the impact of the (Imports and exports, employment, foreign reserves) of textile sector on GDP and economy growth of Pakistan 2. to world textile exports and imports countries position of Pakistan 1.4 Literature review Textile sector having performance Very high weight of 20.91 in Quantum Index Production remained downcast on account of uninspired performance of yarn 0.78% and cotton cloth 0.51% having a composite weight of 20.15 in textile industry. The manufacturing of cotton decreased by 29% during last year and recorded an increase of 7.6% in year 2017. Along with increase in cotton prices internationally and export financial assistance package known well for its production in future. (Shah, 2017) In 2011, massive procurements of cotton were carried out by China with the intention of encouraging its farmers to increase the production of the crop. Because of its large scale operations, this policy by China increased the worldwide demand and inflated world cotton prices which increased to a high of 229.7 US cents/lb. in 2011. After 11 million tones had been accumulated approximately the Chinese government altered its policy to pay the difference between target and prevailing market prices to the cotton growers. Following this reversal policy the world cotton prices fell significantly to as low as 67.5 US cents/lb in November 2014. Furthermore, China also discouraged imports by imposing strict quality standards and minimum dutyfree import quotas along-side import tariffs on cotton and cotton products. 24 China’s influence on the cotton market cannot be overstated since it is a major producer in the global market accounting for 22.8% of total world output. The buying behavior of China expanded the demand trajectories of its import partners and favorably affected their balance of trade. Similarly, the country’s policy shift resulted in loss of export revenue. This however, is indicative of a significant threat to the world cotton market and global cotton prices. In 2015 China sold around 63,412 tons of cotton (a meager 3.4% of the amount initially offered for sale). Even though the Chinese government aimed at selling as much as 1 million tons, the slow economy and the risk of pushing the market prices down further constrained the cotton sales for China. (Jazib Ahmed, 2016) An Analysis of the Impact of Imports and Exports on Textile Sector of Pakistan. 25 CHAPTER TWO An Analysis of impact of Imports and Exports on Textile Sector of Pakistan 2.1Overview of Textile Industry: Pakistan has very strong export align textile industry has a great influence on economy. Textile sector is the greatest sector of Pakistan and make the country’s high exports income about 58 percent. It also provides that immense rate of employment 39 percent largely underuse labor and add 8.5 percent to Gross Domestic Product. Now all the world’s famous brands produce textile items in Pakistan which give them high standard of global quality and meet their desire. The textile sector of the Pakistan established in 1957 and in short time it reached the leading sector of the country. In these days textile sector is the mother of Pakistan’s economy. Apart from this, spinning industry becomes the individual customer of cotton which is the largest cash crop of Pakistan. Policies of quota has totally changed the worldwide trade layout and level of rivalry has increased that is why a result of distinct Ministry was bring into existence on September 2nd 2004 with the allocation of duties to make programs and strategies to hold up the textile industry. Pakistan is the fourth largest producer of yarn and cloth worldwide and ranks 2nd in yarn exports and 3rd in cloth exports. Pakistan’s manufacturing of cotton gained highest aspect of 14.81 million bales of cotton on 31st April 2012 by eradicating all the old records of 14.31 million bales in the year 20042005. The textile organizations break the record volumes as place up more than 13.44 million out of 14.81 million bales. Pakistan also imported about more than 1 million bales of good quality from Brazil India and USA to combine objective during such period. Brazilian cotton is well known among Pakistani importers due to its better quality. In Brazil, cotton is picked up by using machines and in Pakistan cotton is picked up by using labor. That is why Brazilian cotton is extensively used when impure free cotton is required for production. (Secom, 2012) Pakistan textile sectors the major and significant industry of country’s economy that contributes 63 percent to export income and occupy 38 percent of labor work force. 26 Now Pakistan has third largest spinning capability in Asia next to India and China. The whole value chain represented production of ginning cotton weaving and printing, dyeing and finished goods production. Pakistan has declared as the one of the major cotton and yarn production industries that has market share of 28% in yarn production and 8% in cotton production. The importance to the textile industry reports for over 9% of GDP and its weight in quantity index of largest-scale production is 20%. (Memon D. N., 2011) In Pakistan (TCO) Textile Commission Organization accounts there are about 442 textile companies in working. 43 compound organizations and 399 conversion organizations with about 13.27 million spindles 190,000 motors placed around 11.08 million spindles and 160 thousands motors are in operating capacity consumption of 83 percent and 84 percent particularly during 20142015. (Memon D. N., 2016 2.1Tabl Source: APTMLS 27 Table2.2 Table: 2.3 Textile Machinery and Spare Parts Imports (US$ Million) 28 2.3 Export goods and services Exports are products that are manufactured in your own country or shipped to some other country for sale purpose; they may also be use for trade with some other country if that country needs goods from the country they are exporting. Exports are usually referred to that when considering about international trading or business which is normally the conversion of products and services with some other countries. Exports are the products or services manufactured in one country and buy by resident of some other country, it does not matter that what the products or services are. It does not concern how they are sent. It may be shipped, or carried out by personal or official luggage in a plane. If that are manufactured locally or sales from one foreign country, that is an export. (Amadeo, The Balance, 2017) Free Trade The capability of exporting products helps a country to grow by selling higher value of overall products or services which raise the earnings and living standards of the residents of any country. The main focuses of international policies in different countries is to motivate and find best solutions that promote free trade. Which reduces additional taxes or constraints on exported products such as tariffs and non-tariffs duties and quotas system. (Hill, 2012) 2.4 Textile industry's economic contribution 2011-12 This table shows figures of different factors like exports, manufacturing, Employment, GDP e.t.c Table 2.1 29 Figure 1.1 Factors in Textile Expots 3% 6% Manufacturing 34% 27% Employment GDP 30% Market Captilization (Listed Companies) The pie chart the percentage of factors which are mention in the previous table. Exports portion contains highest percentage 34%, second highest portion is taken by manufacturing 30%, employment contain 27% of total portion, GDP contain 6% and lowest percentage contain by market capitalization. Table2.1 Table contains year wise production, imports and total value of textile products. Amounts are in billions. 30 (Source: APTMA) 31 2 Production & Import 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Production Import Figure 1.3 The figure shows the production and import combination import of textile products are very less according to the production. The peak point of production is about 15,000 and the peak point of imports is about 5,000. This shows that the excess of production is exported to other countries. 4 Grey 700,000 600,000 498,095 504,899 500,000 582,819 561,695 553,551 566,020 572,575 400,000 300,000 317,247 295,791 332,361 200,000 Bleached 100,000 100,000 0 80,000 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 86,127 2009-10 87,292 2010-11 82,381 78,354 78,201 71,681 73,311 60,000 43,841 40,000 32,227 20,000 18,281 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 This figure shows the production of clothes in category wise. The figures are showing quantity in 000 sqmtrs. The highest production of grey cloth is between the year 2006-2007 i.e.582,819 thousand sqmtrs. Figure 1.5 This figure shows the bleached cloth production. The peak point of bleached cloth production is between the year 2010-2011 i.e. 87,292 thousand sq meters. Blended 120,000 101,687 100,000 92,612 80,000 77,039 Dyed & Printed 61,100 60,000 350,000 40,000 300,000 51,453 292,743 20,000 250,000 0 200,000 150,000 2001-02 155,869 2002-03 161,515 2001-02 2002-03 205,503 2003-04 2004-05 52,273 279,730 2005-06 297,318 2006-07 60,671 59,441 56,093 326,647 331,838 297,999 309,134 54,737 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 100,000 50,000 0 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 This figure shows the blended cloth production. The peak point of blended cloth production is between the years 2003-2004 i.e. 101,687 thousand sqmtrs. Figure 1.7 This figure shows the dyed and printed production of cloth. The peak point of dyed and printed production cloth is between the years 2008-2009 i.e. 326,647 thousand sqmtrs. Total Production cotton cloth and cotton yarn 2010-11 Table 2.3 Years cotton cloth (million sqmtr) 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 Source: Economic Survey of Pakistan cotton yarn (000 tones) 764.4 769.6 771.27 776.5 776.9 780.9 784.3 Figure 1.8 cotton cloth (million sq mtr) 790 785 780 775 770 765 760 755 750 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 This figure shows the cotton cloth production in million sqmtrs the graph shows the upward direction throughout the period. Cotton cloth production is increasing day by day. 2200.4 2225.31 2253.51 2293.2 2304.4 2552.6 2572.6 Figure 1.9 cotton yarn (000 tones) 2700 2600 2500 2400 2300 2200 2100 2000 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 This figure shows the little growth in 2011 to 2015 but high growth in next two years i.e above 2500 thousand tones. Cotton and Fibre Table 2.4 Source: APTMA Figure 2.1(Kg in 000) Cotton & Fibre 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 1 2 3 4 Cotton 5 6 7 8 9 10 FIbre This figure shows the production quantity of cotton and fibre. Figure 2.2 Total 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 0 2 4 6 Table 3.1 Shows the exported percentage of production. 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 29.67 27.28 26.52 22.74 31.2 25.64 21.18 8 10 12 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 18.38 21.26 18.23 Figure 3.1 EXPORTS 31.2 29.67 27.28 26.52 25.64 22.74 21.26 21.18 18.38 2001 - 02 2002 - 03 2003 - 04 2004 - 05 2005 - 06 2006 - 07 2007 -08 2008 - 09 18.23 2009 - 10 This figure shows the exported percentage of production. The peak point of exported percentage is between the years of 2005-2006 i.e. 31.2%. Table 3.2 Table shows the export quantity and value of raw cotton. Quantity (Million kg) 34,926 55,100 37,307 117,084 62,658 45,065 57,124 78,241 Rs(Million) 14,933 28,750 27,444 65,457 40,800 30,452 43,861 68,260 2010 - 11 160,136 142,239 163,660 307,400 Source: APTMA Table 3.3 Exported cotton and woolen textile woolen & woolen textile(million US$) Years cotton & cotton textile(millions US$) total textile exports(million US$) textile as % of exports 2010 9755 137 10338 54 2011 13147 132 13887 56 2012 11803 121 12470 53 2013 12628 122 13156 54 2014 13348 125 13856 55 2015 13139 119 13589 57 98 12553 60 2016 12168 Source: Economic Survey of Pakistan Figure 3.2 Cotton & Cotton Textile(million US$) 15000 10000 5000 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 This figure shows the export of cotton and cotton textile the graph shows the variations in the growth some time it shows upward direction and some time it shows the little downward direction. Highest growth is in 2014. Figure 3.3 2016 woolen & woolen textile(million US$) 150 100 50 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 This figure shows the export of woolen textile and the graph shows the little downward direction in the next years. Highest export is in 2010. Figure 3.4 total textile exports(million US$) 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 This figure shows the total textile exports and the graph shows the variations in the figures. Highest textile export is in 2010. Figure 3.5 textile as % of exports 62 60 58 56 54 52 50 48 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 This figure shows the percentage of exports as textile the graph shows the upward direction through 2012 to 2016. Highest rate is in 2016. Export Quantity & Value of raw cotton Figure 3.6 Quantity & Value 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 Quantity 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Value This figure shows the exported quantity and value of raw cotton. The peak point is in 2010-2011 i.e. above 300,000 thousand kg and amount in 2009-2010 i.e. about 163,660. 2010-11 Major Imports Markets Source: Economic Survey of Pakistan Issues Liberalization of Textiles and Trade Textiles are still at top amongst manufacturing products fashioned not later than some industrializing state. These played a critical character the first stages of industrialization indoors the UK, some areas of North America as well as Japan, also further emphasizing on exports progress of the economies of East Asia (Yang with Zhong, 1998). China, Taiwan and Korea rely greatly resting to textile and cotton produce on behalf of their exports starting the 1950s on the road to the mid-1980s. (Syed Abdul Sattar, 2014) It has been a rooted fact under economic writings that usually occurs after the crisis of East Asia 1997-98 where exports are crucial riders for continuous growth of economy of any country. The principle purpose behind the growing economies to consistent face foreign exchange rate issue is decline of enhancing or diminishing their exports differentiate with imports which leads to deficit BOP as well as expanded trouble on the investment assets in the structure of import bill. Pakistan, as a less open growing country, also treats such hurdles whilst maintaining its external performance. In order to cater to those issues, the monarchy has brought policies that provide incentives to build up exports with a step to market rate of exchange. As per estimates for 2013, Bangladesh and Pakistan, both economies have a population of 190 million. According to latest (WEO), Pakistan’s capita income was US$1275 in contrast to US$1033 of Bangladesh in 2013. Averagely, Economy of Pakistan grew to 4.5 percent in the last decade and 6.2 percent Bangladesh. In the words of World Development Indicators, owing to trade, the trade to GDP ratio in merchandize of Bangladesh increased to 54 percent in 2013 differentiate with 31 percent of Pakistan (Mehmood, 2015) Clothing and textile sector remains significant factor as an economic development of under developing countries and in Pakistan. It is the biggest sector with regards to exports, employment and investment. A study on the demand for textile and clothing in Pakistan highlights numerous deeds that upgraded the access of products of textile sector of Pakistan to numerous markets globally. It differentiates the export performance of developing countries and of Pakistan. USA is the dominant buyer of textile products of Pakistan. The export of Pakistan has risen to 1.1% and other countries had significant risen up to 5%. The study states the aspects of Pakistan’s textile industry that immense portion of yarn manufactured in the country, sold to international markets as raw cotton used for quality products’ production as fabric. In spite of the benefit of superior quality production of cotton and yarn, the industry has hurdles as a decline in skilled labor and investment. The study builds as a model of textile sector of Pakistan restructuring competitive and liberalized trade environment. The textile sector of Pakistan played a pivotal role in the development of economy of the country and according to this article the textile sector wants to be established upon must go through aggressive reshaping to be intensive in capital as it is in western countries. There is a want to improve finished products quality in spite of spinning sector. Finished products are mainly of production of good quality of cloth in textile sector. Owing to less innovation, power looms must be declined and shuttle looms must be grown that have capability to manufacture fine quality cloth for global market. (Factors Affecting Textile Industry, 2017) Some countries used multivariate co-integration way and expected antecedents of imports three months data set in case of Bangladesh. They sort out that comparative income and rate have major influence on imports. The reciprocal of income is positive and higher than 1 that means earnings encourage people to send special products to other countries. The reciprocal prices was negative but less than 1 that means Bangladesh variation in prices which should not affects demand for import products. It is experimented that demand of import products of Pakistan by applying Johansen multivariate co-integration approach in data range within 1975 to 2005. The results of research have stated that in high real income has important and positive influence on import whereas, there is a negative relationship between import rates and total imports. It is further conducted that local rates have inverse effect on imports of the country. The research concludes that in the tenor of expectation, demand of imports is stable in Pakistan. (Muhammad, 2014) The following groups state the highest foreign exchange value in purchase of import products in Pakistan in 2016. Also shown that the percentage of share of products represent overall imports of Pakistan. Computers: US$6.4 billion (15.7 percent of total imports) • Electric equipment: $4.7 billion (11.6percent) • Steel and iron: $2.3 billion (5.5percent) • • Motor vehicles: $2 billion (5percent) Animal/vegetable fats, oils, waxes: $2 billion (4.9percent) • Plastics, plastic articles: $1.8 billion (4.4percent) • Organic chemicals: $1.6 billion (4percent) • Cotton: $1.1 billion (2.7percent) • Mineral fuels including oil: $1.1 billion (2.7percent) • Manmade filaments: $1 billion (2.5percent) Imported manmade filaments had the fastest-growing increase in value among the top 10 import categories, up by 197.3% for the 7-year period starting in 2009. (Workman, April 25, 2017) Numerous literatures have concluded the export trend and performance of organizations situated in an under developed country. Nevertheless, there is a limited literature on effects of regulations on conduct of under developed country that exporting organizations. In a research made to find the effects of ISO 9000 certification on sales of export products and exports’ shares for agrofood and textile sector it is found out that the performance of exports is correlated positively ISO 9000 certification. (Oliver Masakure, 2009) Another study on the effect of growth of China on the exports of different countries uses the gravity model to segregate commodity kinds by virtue of endogenity of exports of China. The results of study confirm the tendency for exports of China declines the exports of other states. But these influences are prominent mostly in perfect competitive markets and hence under developed countries, not in capital market of countries of Asia in which equipment and machineries are important aspect of exports. Likewise, there is perfect propensity for a fastly growing economy of China to attract in imported products from neighbor countries. Resultantly, rapid growth of Chinese economy highly influences under developed countries of Asia. (Barry Eichengreen, 2004) Several things can be assessed from the environment and trade study under a critical viewpoint on leather and clothing production of Pakistan. Trade liberalization will lead to export through establishing countries of capital of environment. Secondly, the costs of lessening these malicious environmental affects in the South are large. It is found that, given the current position of following laws of environment in Pakistan, exports lured by trade liberalization can definitely have huge disastrous environmental influences. Nevertheless, no assistance for the costs of mitigation is found. Moreover, the mitigation benefits exceed the costs. (Shahrukh Rafi Khan, 2001) Under a study done on the long and short run antecedent of commerce loss referred to Pakistan through Johansen co-integration approach and Error correction model (ECM) it had been searched that FDI, foreign income and local hold utilization and effective foreign rates have visible effects on the trade loss. In order to lighten short run dilemma the VECM (Vector Error correction model) was used. The results of VECM sorted out that there is no equilibrium in short run that will be adjusted within a year. (Muhammad S. D., 2012) In a study done by Donohue on the aftermaths of global decline on the Pakistan economy, results suggested that timeframe of 2007 and 2009 the poverty ratio is likely to be enhanced by almost 80%, from 22% to 40% points. Nevertheless, the conclusions show that this enhancement is traceable partially, to the food and fuel shortage which prior to the financial declines. The conclusions also indicated different influence, with salary enhances for farm labors and a decline in salaries for expert labor. (Donoghue2, 2010) The modern effect is quantified to the infusion amount compulsory to comprehend pollution. Between1997–2001 the paper reveals that the global utilization of fabric manufacturing requires 256 Gm3 of water per year, out of which about 42 percent is blue water, 39 percent green water and 19 percent dilution water. Impacts are generally crossborder. About 84 percent of the water footprint of cotton usage in the EU25 region is located outside Europe, with major impacts specifically in Uzbekistan and India. Given the common deficit of appropriate prices of water or other methods of communicating production information, cotton buyers have motivation to be accountable for the influences on water systems. (exposeA.Y.Hoekstra, 2006) Business dummies majorly connected with huge amount of production and sales. Although development of industry has shifted to lesser external effects, production and usage had risen to levels where advantages of innovative advancements have lessened. A change is hence required to reach a modern revolution, not in manufacturing but in utilization. The purpose of the research is to discuss about the gaps in opportunities that profound variation in this sector. The study presents paths to interpret and reconstruct businesses in cloth and textile sector by providing a summary on numerous designing techniques that can be found in niche markets. Moreover, we differentiate that how new consumers work under designing strategies to develop and enhance sustainable development through innovative ways. (Niinimäkia, 2011). Export Performance of Developing Countries in Textile Sector 1. Currency conversion rate The conversion price is that rate in which currency of one country buys currency of other countries. Similarly it is the buying powers of currency w.r.t other currency as external value of respective currency. The enhancement in conversion rates against other currency is called an appreciation the decline in rate known as depreciation. The increase of conversion rates imperfectly affects the exports and it decreases the profitability ratios of the exporters it is not only the increment but ups and downs of conversion has effect on the export resolution. 2. Growth rate of GDP The earnings of a country can be calculated in different ways. GDP abbreviation is Gross Domestic Product is such computation of indicator of country’s affluence indicates the value of goods and services manufacture by one economy disregards of nationality with in a particular period of wealth the GDP growth percentage cannot be make as an indicator since it effects the business confidence in positive or in negative sense. Worldwide recession investment is the negative sign in economic growth for two or more successive quarter of any year. 3. Quality and Cost factor The most important contribution to end cost to most of the products and services is raw product cost; the organizations mostly face the dilemma of cost and quality. It is very known that the quality and cost has connection but inverse relation to worth addition. The worth of the products can be increased by decreasing the price or enhancing the cost, sometimes the cost or presence of raw product is much influenced by the prices and presence of substitutes. (Jaganathan, 2013) 4. Technological factor The qualities of final goods are measured by different variables especially the antecedents that contribute more are raw product and machines. Mostly the exports competition of organizations depends on the capability to pay price of innovation and has access to that technology. Goods and manufacturing process innovations are the important factors in controlling export performance and firm earnings. (IT) Information technologies have also impact on the export production. There is a positive relation between technology and firms capability to attain greater ability in garment designs and manufacture globally quality products. 5. Non-Tariff and Tariff Restriction Tariff hurdle are considered as straight and perceivable restriction where as non-tariff hurdles are much difficult and invisible export sector in under develop countries is the mostly influenced by non-tariff measurement in international business of highly progressed countries. (Jaganathan, 2013) Why do Countries Import? Countries import products for many reasons it is important to consider that many countries are not completely independent and even if they want to be it will come at a higher cost that is not in their financial interest for this reason most of the countries choose to import goods and services at least some of the products or services. Products and services that are may be essential to economically welfare or highly interesting to end users but there availability in the local market may not possible. Oil & natural gas are best example for this for many countries. Most of the countries may do not have such natural manufacturing or not sufficient oil to meet the demand and lifestyle so that their residents require so they depend on buying these oil and gas resources from different countries who sales to these countries. Coal, nickel, copper and iron also are some common natural resources that most of the countries need but they do not have these resources. Products and services that are manufactured high inexpensively and efficiently to other countries and that is why sold at low prices. Exports affect the economy Most of economies need to raise exports and needs to sell more. They have sold entire the required products they will sold to their residents, then they need to sell abroad as well. The more they sold to abroad the more competitors and benefits. That is why because they required expertise in manufacturing the products or services. They can get expertise about what to sell internationally. (Amadeo, The Balance, 2017) An Analysis of the Impact of Imports and Exports on Textile Sector of Pakistan 2 China’s. The influence on the cotton market cannot be overstated since it is a major producer in the global market accounting for 22.8% of total world output. The buying behavior of China expanded the demand trajectories of its import partners and favorably affected their balance of trade. Garment Contribution in GDP and Economy of Pakistan Industry has enlarged very quickly. More than 505 of the units Trade Textiles are still at top amongst manufacturing products fashioned not later than some industrializing state. These played a critical character the first stages of producing fabrics of cotton are small and medium in terms of output, workers and machines except for less exceptions which are spread domestically. Liberalization of Textiles and industrialization indoors exports progress of the economies of East Asia (Yang with Zhong, 1998). China, Taiwan and Korea rely greatly resting to textile and cotton produce on behalf of their exports starting the 1950s on the road to the mid-1980s. (Syed Abdul Sattar, 2014) It has been a rooted fact under economic writings that usually occurs the crisis of East Asia 1997-98 where exports are crucial riders for continuous growth of after economy of any country. The principle purpose behind the growing economies to consistent face foreign exchange rate issue is decline of enhancing or diminishing their exports differentiate with imports which leads to deficit BOP as well as expanded trouble on the investment assets in the structure of import bill. Pakistan, as a less open growing country, also treats such hurdles An Analysis of the Impact of Imports and Exports on Textile Sector of Pakistan 8 whilst maintaining its external performance. In order to cater to those issues, the monarchy has brought policies that provide incentives to build up exports with a step to market rate of exchange. As per estimates for 2013, Bangladesh and Pakistan, both economies have a population of 190 million. According to latest (WEO), Pakistan’s capita income was US$1275 in contrast to US$1033 of Bangladesh in 2013. Averagely, Economy of Pakistan grew to 4.5 percent in the last decade and 6.2 percent Bangladesh. In the words of World Development Indicators, owing to trade, the trade to GDP ratio in merchandize of Bangladesh increased to 54 percent in 2013 differentiate with 31 percent of Pakistan (Mehmood, 2015) Clothing and textile sector remains significant factor as an economic development of under developing countries and in Pakistan. It is the biggest sector with regards to exports, employment and investment. A study on the demand for textile and clothing in Pakistan highlights numerous deeds that upgraded the access of products of textile sector of Pakistan to numerous markets globally. It differentiates the export performance of developing countries and of Pakistan. USA is the dominant buyer of textile products of Pakistan. The export of Pakistan has risen to 1.1% and other countries had significant risen up to 5%. The study states the aspects of Pakistan’s textile industry that immense portion of yarn manufactured in the country, sold to international markets as raw cotton used for quality products’ production as fabric. In spite of the benefit of superior quality production of cotton and yarn, the industry has hurdles as a decline in skilled labor and investment. The stud builds as a model of textile sector of Pakistan restructuring competitive and liberalized trade environment. The textile sector of Pakistan played a pivotal role in the development of economy of the country and according to this article the textile sector wants to be established upon must go through aggressive reshaping to be intensive in capital as it is in western countries. There is a want to improve finished products quality in spite of spinning sector. An Analysis of the Impact of Imports and Exports on Textile Sector of Pakistan 9 Finished products are mainly of production of good quality of cloth in textile sector. Owing to less innovation, power looms must be declined and shuttle looms must be grown that have capability to manufacture fine quality cloth for global market. (Factors Affecting Textile Industry, 2017) Some countries used multivariate cointegration way and expected antecedents of imports three months data set in case of Bangladesh. They sort out that comparative income and rate have major influence on imports. The reciprocal of income is positive and higher than 1 that means earnings encourage people to send special products to other countries. The reciprocal prices was negative but less than 1 that means Bangladesh variation in prices which should not affects demand for import products. It is experimented that demand of import products of Pakistan by applying Johansen multivariate co-integration approach in data range within 1975 to 2005. The results of research have stated that in high real income has important and positive influence on import whereas, there is a negative relationship between import rates and total imports. It is further conducted that local rates have inverse effect on imports of the country. The research concludes that in the tenor of expectation, demand of imports is stable in Pakistan. (Muhammad, 2014) The following groups state the highest foreign exchange value in purchase of import products in Pakistan in 2016. Also shown that the percentage of share of products represent overall imports of Pakistan. Computers: US$6.4 billion (15.7 percent of total imports) Electronic tools: $4.7 billion (11.6percent) Steel and iron: $2.3 billion (5.5percent) Mechanical vehicles: $2 billion (5percent) Animal vegetable fats oils waxes: $2 billion (4.9percent) Plastics plastic articles: $1.8 billion (4.4percent) Biological chemicals: $1.6 billion (4percent) Cotton: $1.1 billion (2.7percent) Mineral oils including oil: $1.1 billion (2.7percent) Synthetic filaments: $1 billion (2.5percent) Imported manmade filaments had the fastest-growing increase in value among the top 10 import categories, up by 197.3% for the 7-year period starting in 2009. (Workman, April 25, 2017) Numerous literatures have concluded the export trend and performance of organizations situated in an under developed country. Nevertheless, there is a limited literature on effects of regulations on conduct of under developed country that exporting organizations. In a research made to find the effects of ISO 9000 certification on sales of export products and exports’ shares for agro-food and textile sector it is found out that the performance of exports is correlated positively ISO 9000 certification. (Oliver Masakure, 2009) Another study on the effect of growth of China on the exports of different countries uses the gravity model to segregate commodity kinds by virtue of endogenity of exports of China. The results of study confirm the tendency for exports of China declines the exports of other states. But these influences are prominent mostly in perfect competitive markets and hence under developed countries, not in capital market of countries of Asia in which equipment and machineries are important aspect of exports. Likewise, there is perfect propensity for a fastly growing economy of China to attract in imported products from neighbor countries. Resultantly, rapid growth of Chinese economy highly influences under developed countries of Asia. (Barry Eichengreen, 2004) Several things can be assessed from the environment and trade study under a critical viewpoint on leather and clothing production of Pakistan. Trade liberalization will lead to export through establishing countries of capital of environment. Secondly, the costs of lessening these malicious environmental affects in the South are large. It is found that, given the current position of following laws of environment in Pakistan, exports lured by trade liberalization can definitely have huge disastrous environmental influences. Nevertheless, no assistance for the costs of mitigation is found. Moreover, the mitigation benefits exceed the costs. (Shahrukh Rafi Khan, 2001) Under a study done on the long and short run antecedent of commerce loss referred to Pakistan through Johansen co-integration approach and Error correction model (ECM) it had been searched that FDI, foreign income and local hold utilization and effective foreign rates have visible effects on the trade loss. In order to lighten short run dilemma the VECM (Vector Error correction model) was used. The results of VECM sorted out that there is no equilibrium in short run that will be adjusted within a year. (Muhammad S. D., 2012) In a study done by Donohue on the aftermaths of global decline on neighbor countries. Resultantly, rapid growth of Chinese economy highly influences under developed countries of Asia. (Barry Eichengreen, 2004) Several things can be assessed from the environment and trade study under a critical viewpoint on leather and clothing production of Pakistan. Trade liberalization will lead to export through establishing countries of capital of environment. Secondly, the costs of lessening these malicious environmental affects in the South are large. It is found that, given the current position of following laws of environment in Pakistan, exports lured by trade liberalization can definitely have huge disastrous environmental influences. Nevertheless, no assistance for the costs of mitigation is found. Moreover, the mitigation benefits exceed the costs. (Shahrukh Rafi Khan, 2001) Under a study done on the long and short run antecedent of commerce loss referred to Pakistan through Johansen co-integration approach and Error correction model (ECM) it had been searched that FDI foreign income and local hold utilization and effective foreign rates have visible effects on the trade loss. In order to lighten short run dilemma the VECM (Vector Error correction model) was used. The results of VECM sorted out that there is no equilibrium in short run that will be adjusted within a year. (Muhammad S. D., 2012) In a study done by Donohue on the aftermaths of global decline on neighbor countries. Resultantly, rapid growth of Chinese economy highly influences under developed countries of Asia. (Barry Eichengreen, 2004) Several things can be assessed from the environment and trade study under a critical viewpoint on leather and clothing production of Pakistan. Trade liberalization will lead to export through establishing countries of capital of environment. Secondly the costs of lessening these malicious environmental affects ithe South are large. It is found that, given the current position of following laws of environment in Pakistan, exports lured by trade liberalization can definitely have huge disastrous environmental influences. Nevertheless, no assistance for the costs of mitigation is found. Moreover, the mitigation benefits exceed the costs. (Shahrukh Rafi Khan, 2001) Under a study done on the long and short run antecedent of commerce loss referred to Pakistan through Johansen co-integration approach and Error correction model (ECM) it had been searched that FDI, foreign income and local hold utilization and effective foreign rates have visible effects on the trade loss. In order to lighten short run dilemma the VECM (Vector Error correction model) was used. The results of VECM sorted out that there is no equilibrium in short run that will be adjusted within a year.(Muhammad S. D., 2012) In a study done by Donohue on the aftermaths of global decline on 2.2 Imports of Pakistan If any countries import products higher than it exports this country faces trade loss. Many countries would like to prefer low imports & more export. Likewise a country may prefers to be a supplier of different states. Government motivates exports-driven strategies. It is the way to boom up economic productivity which is measured by GDP and increases jobs and raise their salaries, in addition to this increases people living style. This makes more able to canvass votes for their domestic leaders in democracy. In different states where there is no democratic leader, it means that there is no chance of a resolution. The other aspect is that high number of imported products makes companies dependency. This is especially fair the imports goods i.e. Oil, food, and industrial products, then these countries relied on international power to keep up their citizens feed and their organizations bustle. States with highest imports must raise country reserves of foreign currency. That can be affected the local rupee value, inflation rate and interest rate. Local organizations must compete with imports that can ride lot of small enterprises to save from bankruptcy. (Amadeo & Kimberly, 2017) Issues and problems of textile industry Role of Government Textile sector is the heart of the economy of Pakistan with government always keenly interested in the textile sector. Its shares in economy of the country with contributions of exporter’s foreign exchange earnings value added and investment that made it only biggest producing sector of Pakistan. It contributed 9% to GDP, employs 41% of the total producing work force and devotes between 60% to 70% to entire produce according to the Economic Survey of Pakistan (2015). In 2011massive procurements of cotton were carried out by China with the intention of encouraging its farmers to increase the production of the crop. Because of its large scale operations this policy by China increased the worldwide demand and inflated world cotton prices which increased to a high of 229.7 US cents/lb. in 2011. After 11 million tonnes had been accumulated approximately the Chinese government altered its policy to pay the difference between target and prevailing market prices to the cotton growers. Following this reversal policy, the world cotton prices fell significantly to as low as 67.5 US cents/lb in November 2014. Furthermore, China also discouraged imports by imposing strict quality standards and minimum duty-free import quotas along-side import tariffs on cotton and cotton products. China’s influence on the cotton market cannot be overstated since it is a major producer in the global market, accounting for 22.8% of total world output. The buying behavior of China expanded the demand trajectories of its import partners and favorably affected their balance of trade. Similarly the country’s policy shift resulted in loss of export revenue. This however is indicative of a significant threat to the world cotton market and global cotton prices. In 2015 China sold around 63,412 tons of cotton (a meager 3.4% of the amount initially offered for sale). Even though the Chinese government aimed at selling as much as 1 million tonnes the slow economy and the risk of pushing the market prices down further constrained the cotton sales for China (Jazib Ahmed, 2016) The deficiency of Research and Development in the cotton industries of Pakistan have proceeded in less quality cotton in differentiation to rest areas of Asian continent, owing to the upcoming less earnings in crops of cotton. Farmer is changing to other crops like sugar canes. On account of not proper R&D that has leads to more profitability. Then further charge with high level and restricting competition specially the pesticide industry for making proper R&D. The pesticeiding industry for cotton crop alerts to beneficial from restricted local (R&D) as highest supply of cotton and is much proof against pesticide. Shortage of Modern Equipment’s Besides the arguments that the textile sector has an old equipment and machinery the incapability to suitable modernized equipment’s and machinery has leads to the reduction of Pakistani textile competition. Due to old technologies the price of manufacturing is high in Pakistan as compared with other countries such as like India Bangladesh & china. Production Cost increasing The price of manufacturing of textile products increases due to different reasons like rise in interest rate two-digit inflation rate and decline in value of Pakistani currency, the all reason in increasing the production cost of textile sector which generate problem for a textile sector to compete in global market. Energy Crisis As a result of load-shedding in Pakistan the textile manufacturing capacity of different sub-sectors has been decreased up to 30% the combine meeting of APTMA (All Pakistan Textile Members Association) and other related organization was held and they formulate a combine strategy to inscription of the alarming electricity shortfall which is being faced by the textile sector. APTMA decided to make a joint working group in which electricity manage for the textile industry in the higher interests in the worth of the textile industry. That joint working group will make shortly to plan a complete procedure to achieve the goals like quickly total exception from electricity load-shedding for the textile sector value chain rationalized and decrease in electricity duty. Performance of exports of textile sector From last two years, the country cannot meet annual textile export goal of 12 billion dollars by 20% due to highest production cost shortage of power and hard competition with local competitors. Federal government predicts that 15% growth is set to textile export to achieve the target of 12 billion dollars for year 2008-09 against 10.35 billion dollars for 2007- 08 but in 2008-09 the country not only drop its textile export target but also shows a decrease in percentage of 6% as related to 2007-08. The country has down fall of textile export figure by over 2 billion dollars due to the internationally breakdown and different hurdles faced by textile sector. Inflation rate effect Inflation rate is identifying as the difference in (CPI) consumer price index. Inflation is normally a general increase in the level of price. It is decrease in the actual value of money. Inflation can have different effect on Pakistan economy. Pakistan is one of intimidate of inflation it quiet faces highest twodigit inflation rate. The rise in inflation rate causes the rise in the production cost of textile products which return in downfall. The two-digit inflation rate causes decrease in exports of textile industry. (Aftab A. Khan, 2010) Very high initial investment: Woven projects are associated with very high investment, only large entrepreneurs are interested in woven projects. Government can encourage entrepreneurs by providing advantages like soft loans tax holiday stax free import of machinery etc. Other sectors like spinning dyeing printing and finishing and garment manufacturing sectors should not be comparable with this sector. This is required to manufacture woven fabric locally at lower price so that the cost of garments will be decreased and profit will be increased. Introduce blend processing: The main requirement of yarn for weaving is its strength. During weaving the yarns are subjected to various types of stretching forces. To counteract these forces yarns are sized. Yarn breaks during weaving due to low strength. Bangladesh processes 100% cotton yarns whose strength is much lower than blended yarns. Training for the operator BGMEA could run several training centers where the fresh operators will be trained up to get satisfactory performance by hiring some highly skilled instructors. BGMEA factories can recruit these people with confidence. In-service training for the freshly recruited technical personnel Apart from the operators, export-oriented textile and garment factories recruit various types of technical people having qualifications like diploma and degrees. These freshly recruited experts should be trained by skilled personnel (of the relevant field). At present none of the training institutes in Pakistan have this type of in-service training facility. Therefore a separate training institute can be set up to train freshly recruited graduates as well as in-service training necessary for improving performance. Develop Local Dye & Chemical Manufacturing Facility The cost of dyes and chemicals that are incurred in textile processing plants are substantial. We do not have any dyes, chemicals and auxiliaries manufacturing facility in Pakistan therefore we have to import them using foreign currency. Therefore, we should develop our own manufacturing facility to reduce our cost of production. Develop Facility for Machinery & Spare Parts Most of our competitors like China, India and Pakistan manufacture their own spare parts as well as some machinery. In general Pakistan does not produce less spare parts at all machinery except simple weaving machines like shuttle loom. Pakistan is heavily involved with textile business manufacturing of textile machinery could be a very big and profitable industrial sector. Lower Interest rates of banks: If the bank interest rate is lower like other developing countries it could be a big incentive for increasing industrial growth. Chapter 3 Conclusion Pakistan’s economy contains major contribution of textile sector. Textile sector may also call the back bone of Pakistan economy. Production in textile sector is more than the production in other sectors. Pakistan is 4th largest producer of cotton and 3 rd. largest producer of spinning. Pakistan contribute major portion of cotton production in the world. Cotton cloth production rapidly increases through the last number of years and in 2016 the production of cotton is on peak point i.e. 784 million sq meters. Pakistan has more potential in textile production sector if the energy crises will overcome by the government and give relief to the textile sector. Textile sector imports are minor. The analysis shoes that major portion of textile imports are machinery and chemicals used in textile sector. Power looms are also imported from different countries. Pakistan has highest imports of Pakistan also imports cotton from China and India in small quantity. Spare parts of machines are also imported. Major importers of Pakistan are China and UAE. China is very important to Pakistan because of many reasons the major one is Sea-Pack which facilitates Pakistan in many ways. Textile sector have huge export contribution in all products. Textile sector contributes 52% of total exports. Cotton yarn and cotton cloth are major exported products. The analysis shows that the in 2016 Pakistan has highest export percentage i. about 60%. Garments are also exported in large numbers. Export potential may increase by making trade policies and trade facilities.