Solution to Derivatives Markets : for Exam FM Yufeng Guo June 24, 2007 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° ii Contents Intro duction 1 vii Intro duction to derivatives 1 2 Intro duction to forwards and options 3 Insurance, collars, and other strategies 29 4 Intro duction to risk management 79 5 Financial forwards and futures 129 8 Swaps 141 iii 7 CONTENTS www.guo.coursehost.com CONTENTS c Yufeng Guo ° iv Preface This is Guo’s solution to Derivatives Markets (2nd edition ISBN 0-321-28030X) for Exam FM. Unlike the official solution manual published by AddisonWesley, this solution manual provides solutions to both the even-numbered and odd-numbered problems for the chapters that are on the Exam FM syllabus. Problems that are out of the scope of the FM syllabus are excluded. Please report any errors to yufeng_guo@m yufeng_guo@msn.com sn.com. This book is the excl exclusiv usivee proper property ty of Yufeng Guo. Redistrib Redistribution ution of this book in any form is prohibited. v PREFACE www.guo.coursehost.com PREFACE c Yufeng Guo ° vi Introduction Recommendations on using this solution manual: 1. Obviously Obviously,, you’ll need to buy Derivativ Derivatives es Markets (2nd edition) to see the problems. 2. Make sure you do download wnload the textbook errata from http://www.ke http://www.kellogg. llogg. northwestern.edu/faculty/mc northwestern.e du/faculty/mcdonald/htm/ty donald/htm/typos2e_01.html pos2e_01.html vii CHAPTER CHAPTE R 0. INTRO INTRODUCTIO DUCTION N www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° viii Chapter 1 Introduction to derivatives Problem 1.1. Derivatives on weather are not as farfetched as it might appear. Visit http: //www.cme.com/trading/ and you’ll find more than a dozen weather derivativ derivatives es currently traded at CME such as "CME U.S. Monthly Weather Heating Degree Day Futures" and "CME U.S. Monthly Weather Cooling Degree Day Futures." a. Soft drink drink sales greatly greatly depend on wea weather. ther. Generally Generally,, warm weather weather boosts soft drink sales and cold weather weather reduc reduces es sales. A soft drink producer can use weather futures contracts to reduce the revenue swing caused by weather and smooth its earnings. Shareholders of a company generally want the earnings to be steady. They don’t want the management to use weather as an excuse for poor earnings or wild fluctuations of earnings. b. The recreation recreational al skiing industry industry grea greatly tly dependents dependents on weat weather. her. A ski resort can lose money due to warm temperatures, bitterly cold temperatures, no snow, sno w, too little little snow, or too much snow. A resort can use weather weather derivativ derivatives es to reduce its revenue risk. c. Extremely hot or cold weather will result in greater demand for electricity. An electric utility company faces the risk that it may have to buy electricity at a higher spot price. d. Fewer ewer people will visit an amu amusemen sementt park under extrem extremee wea weather ther conditions. An amusement park can use weather derivatives to manage its revenue risk. How can we buy or sell weather? No one can accurately predict weather. No one can deliver deliver weather. weather. For people p eople to trade on wea weather ther deriv derivativ atives, es, weather indexes index es need to be invent invented ed and agree agreed d upon. Once we have weat weather her indexes indexes,, we can link the payoff of a wea weather ther deriv derivativ ativee to a weather weather index. For more information on weather derivatives, visit: • http://hometown.aol.com/gml http://hometown.aol.com/gml1000/wrms.htm 1000/wrms.htm • http://www.investopedia.com http://www.investopedia.com 1 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 1. INTRO INTRODUCTION DUCTION TO DERIVATIVES Problem 1.2. • Anyone (such as speculators and investors) who wants to earn a pro fit can enter weather futures. If you can better predict a weather index than does the market maker, you can enter weather futures and make a pro fit. Of course, it’s hard to predict a weather index and hence loss may occur. • Two companies with opposite risks may enter weather futures as counter parties. partie s. For exa exampl mple, e, a sof softt drink drink compan company y and a ski ski-re -resor sortt operato operatorr havee opposite hedging need hav needss and can enter a futures contract. contract. The soft drink company can have a positive payo ff if the weather is too cold and a negative payoff if warm. warm. This way, way, when the weather weather is too cold, the soft drink company can use the gain from the weather futures to o ffset its loss in sales. Since the soft drink company makes good money when the weather is warm, it doesn’t mind a negative payoff when the weather is cold.. On the other hand, the ski resort can have a negativ cold negativee payoff if the weather is too cold and a positive payoff if too warm. The ski resort can use the gain from the futures to o ffset its loss in sales. Problem 1.3. a. 100 × 41. 41.05 + 20 = 4125 b. 100 × 40. 40.95 − 20 = 4075 c. For each each stoc stock, k, you you bu buy y at $41. 41.05 and sell it an instant later for $40 $ 40..95. 95. The total loss due to the ask-bid spread: 100(41 100(41..05 − 40. 40.95) = 10. 10. In addition, you pay $20 twice. Your total transaction cost is 10 1000 (41. (41.05 − 40. 40.95) 95) + 2 (2 (20) 0) = 50 Problem 1.4. a. b. 100 × 41. 41.05 + 100 × 41. 41.05 × 0.003 = 4117. 4117. 315 100 × 40. 40.95 − 100 × 40. 40.95 × 0.003 = 4082. 4082. 715 c. For each each stoc stock, k, you you bu buy y at $41. 41.05 and sell it an instant later for $40 $ 40..95. 95. The total loss due to the ask-bid spread: 100(41 100(41..05 − 40. 40.95) = 10. 10. In addition, your pay commission 100 × 41. 41.05 × 0.003 + 100 × 40. 40.95 × 0.003 = 24. 24. 6. Your total transaction cost is 10 + 24. 24. 6 = 34. 34. 6 Problem 1.5. The market maker buys a security for $100 and sells it for $100 $100..12. 12. If the the market maker buys 100 securities and immediately sells them, his pro fit is 100(100..12 − 100) = 12 100(100 Problem 1.6. c ° www.guo.coursehost.com Yufeng Guo 2 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 1. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO DERIV DERIVA ATIVES Your sales proceeds: 300(30 300(30..19) − 300(30 300(30..19) 19) (0. (0.005) = 9011. 9011. 715 Your cost of buying 300 shares from the market to close your short position is: 300 (29. (29.87) + 300 300 (29. (29.87) 87) (0. (0.005) = 9005. 9005. 805 Your profit: 9011 9011.. 715 − 9005 9005.. 805 = 5. 5. 91 Problem 1.7. a. Consider Consider the bid-ask bid-ask spread but ignore commissi commission on and interest. interest. Your sales proceeds: 400(25 400(25..12) = 10048 Your cost of buying back: 40 400 0 (23 (23..06) = 9224 Your profit: 10048 − 9224 = 824 b. If the bid-ask spread and 0.3% commission Your sales proceeds: 400(25 400(25..12) − 400(25 400(25..12)(0 12)(0..003) = 10017. 10017. 856 Your cost of buying back: 40 400 0 (23 (23..06) + 400(23. 400(23.06) 06) (0 (0..003) = 9251. 9251. 672 Your profit: 10017 10017.. 856 − 9251 9251.. 672 = 766. 766. 184 Profit drops by: 824 766 766.. 184 = 57. 57. 816 − c. Your sales proceeds stay in your your marg margin in account, account, serving serving as a collater collateral. al. Since you earn zero interest on the collateral, your lost interest is If ignore commission: 1004 10048 8 (0. (0.03) = 301. 301. 44 If consider commission: 10017 10017.. 856 856 (0. (0.03) = 300. 300. 54 Problem 1.8. By signing the agreement, you allow your broker to act as a bank, who lends your stocks to someone else and possibly earns interest on the lent stocks. Short sellers typically leave the short sale proceeds on deposit with the broker,, along with additional ker additional capital called called a haircut. haircut. The short sale proceeds proceeds and the haircut serve as a collateral. The short seller earns interest on this collateral. This interest is called the short rebate in the stock market. The rebate rate is often often equal to the preva prevailin iling g mark market et interest interest rate. rate. HowHowever, if a stock is scarce, the broker will pay far less than the prevailing interest rate, in which case the broker earns the di fference between the short rate and the prevailing interest rate. This arrangement makes short selling easy. Also short selling can be used to hedge financ nancial ial risks, which which is good for the economy economy. By the wa way y, you are not hurt in any way by allowing your broker to lend your shares to short sellers. Problem 1.9. According to http://www. http://www.investorwords investorwords.com .com, the ex-dividend date was created to allow all pending transactions to be completed before the record date. If an investor does not own the stock before the ex-dividend date, he or she will www.guo.coursehost.com c ° Yufeng Guo 3 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 1. INTRO INTRODUCTION DUCTION TO DERIVATIVES be ineligible for the dividend payout. Further, for all pending transactions that have not been completed by the ex-dividend date, the exchanges automatically reduce red uce the pric pricee of the stock stock by the amoun amountt of the divide dividend. nd. This This is done because a dividend payout automatically reduces the value of the company (it comes from the company’s cash reserves), and the investor would have to absorb that reduction in value (because neither the buyer nor the seller are eligible for the dividend). If you borrow stock to make a short sale, you’ll need to pay the lender the dividend divi dend distrib distributed uted while you maintain maintain your short position. position. According According to the IRS, you can deduct these payments on your tax return only if you hold the short sale open for a minimum period (such as 46 days) and you itemize your deductions. In a perfect market, if a stock pays $5 dividend, after the ex-dividend date, the stock stock price price will be reduce reduced d by $5. Then Then you you could could buy back back stocks stocks from the market market at a reduc reduced ed price to close your short positi position. on. So you don’t need to worry whether the dividend is $3 or $5. However, in the real world, a big increase in the dividend is a sign that a compan company y is doing bette betterr tha than n expe expecte cted. d. If a compan company y pa pays ys a $5 dividen dividend d instead of the expected $3 dividend, the company’s stock price may go up after the announcement that more dividend will be paid. If the stock price goes up, you have have to buy back stocks stocks at a higher price to close your short position. position. So an unexpected increase increase of the dividend may hurt you. In addition, if a higher dividend is distributed, you need to pay the lender the dividend while you maintain your short position. This requires you to have more capital on hand. In the real world, as a short seller, you need to watch out for unexpected increases of dividend payout. Problem 1.10. http://www.investopedia.c http://www.i nvestopedia.com/articles/0 om/articles/01/082201.asp 1/082201.asp offers a good ex- planation of short interest: Short Interest Short interest is the total number of shares of a particular stock that have be been en sold short by investors investors but have not yet been been covered covered or closed closed out. This can be expressed as a number or as a percentage. When expresse expressed d as a pe perc rcenta entage, ge, short interest interest is the numb number er of shorte shorted shares shar es divi divide ded d by the numb number er of shares outstandin outstanding. g. For example, example, a stock stock with 1.5 million shares sold short and 10 million shares outstanding has a short interest of 15% (1.5 million/10 million = 15%). Most stock exchanges track the short interest in each stock and issue reports at month’s end. These reports reports are great great because because by showing showing what short sellers are doing, they allow investors to gauge overall market sentiment surrounding a pa partic rticular ular stock. stock. Or alternati alternatively, vely, most exchanges exchanges provide provide an online tool to calculate short interest for a particular security. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 4 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 1. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO DERIV DERIVA ATIVES Reading Short Interest A lar large ge increa increase se or de decr crea ease se in a stock’s stock’s short short intere interest st fr from om the previo previous us month mon th can be a very very telling telling in indic dicato atorr of invest investor or senti sentimen ment. t. Let’s et’s say that Microsoft’s (MSFT) short interest increased by 10% in one month. This means that there was a 10% increase in the amount of people who believe the stock will de decr crea ease. se. Such a significant shift provides good cause for us to find out more. We would need to check the current research and any recent news reports to see what is happening with the company and why more investors are selling its stock. A high short-int short-inter erest est stock stock should should be approache approached d for buying buying with extreme extreme caution but not necessarily avoided at all costs. Short sellers (like all investors) aren’t perfect and have been known to be wrong from time to time. In fact, many contrarian investors use short interest as a tool to determine the direc direction tion of the market. The rationa rationale le is that if everyone everyone is selling, then the stock stock is alr alreeady ady at its low and and can only only mov movee up up.. Thus, Thus, contr contrari arians ans feel feel that a high short-interest ratio (which we will discuss below) is bullish - because eventually there will be significant upward pressure on the stock’s price as short sellers cover cover their their short positi positions ons (i.e. buy back the stocks stocks they borrowe borrowed d to return to the lender). The more likely that investors can speculate on the stock, the higher the demand for the stock and the higher the short interest. A broker broker can short sell more than his existin existing g inv invent entory ory.. For example, if a broker has 500 shares of IBM stocks, he can short sell 600 shares of IBM stocks as long as he knows where to find the additional additional 100 shares of IBM stocks. If all the brokers simultaneously lend out more than what they have in their stock inventories, then the number of stocks sold short might exceed the total number of the stocks outstanding. NASDAQ short interest is available by issue for a rolling twelve months and is based based on a mid mid-mo -mont nth h settle settlemen mentt date. date. For more more inf inform ormati ation, on, vis visit it http://www.nasdaqtrader.co http://www.na sdaqtrader.com/asp/short_i m/asp/short_interest.asp nterest.asp. Problem 1.11. You go to a bank. The bank uses its custome customers’ rs’ deposit depositss and lends lends you an asset worth worth $100. Then 90 days later you buy back the asset at $102 from the open market market (i.e. you come up with $102 from whatev whatever er sources) sources) and return return $102 to the bank. Now your short position is closed. Problem 1.12. We need to borrow an asset called money from a bank (the asset owner) to pay for a new house. house. The asset owne ownerr faces credit risk (the risk that we may not be able to repay the loan). To protect itself, the bank needs collateral. The house is collateral. If we don’t pay back our loan, the bank can foreclose the house. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 5 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 1. INTRO INTRODUCTION DUCTION TO DERIVATIVES To protect against the credit risk, the bank requires a haircut (i.e. requires that the collateral collateral is great greater er than the loan). Typical Typically ly,, a bank lends only 80% of the purchase price of the house, requiring the borrower to pay a 20% down payment. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 6 Chapter 2 Introduction to forwards and options Problem 2.1. Long a stock=Own a stock (or buy a stock). If you own a stock, your payoff at any time is the stock’s market price because you can sell it any time at the market price. Let S represent the stock price at T = 1. 1. Your payoff at T = 1 is S . Your profit at T = 1 is: Payoff - FV(initial investment)= S − 50(1 50(1..1) = S − 55. 55. You can see that the pro fit is zero when the stock price S = 55. 55. Alternatively, set S − 55 = 0 → S = 55. 55. 7 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. Payoff=S INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS Profit= t=S S − 55 80 60 Payoff 40 20 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Stock Price -20 Profit -40 Payoff and profit: Long one stock www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 8 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTION OPTIONS S Problem 2.2. Short a stock=Short stock=Short sell a stock. If you short sell a stock stock,, your your payoff at any time after after the short sale is the negativ negativee of the stock’s stock’s market price. price. This is because to close your short position you’ll need to buy the stock back at the market mark et price and return it to the broker. Your payoff at T = 1 is − S . Your profit at T = 1 is: Payoff - FV(initial investment)= −S + 50(1. 50(1.1) = 55 − S You can see that the pro fit is zero when the stock price S = 55. 55. Alternatively, set 55 − S = 0 → S = 55. 55. Payoff or Profit 50 Profit 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 -10 40 50 60 Stock Price -20 -30 Payoff -40 -50 -60 Payoff and profit: Short one stock www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 9 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS Problem 2.3. The opposite of a purchased call is written call (or sold call). The opposite of a purchased put is written put (or sold put). The main idea of this problem is: = a purchased put • The opposite of a purchased call 6 • The opposite of a purchased put 6 = a purchased call Problem 2.4. a. Long forward means being a buyer in a forward contract. Payoff of a buyer in a forward at T is Payoff = S T − F = ST − 50 ST Payoff = ST − 50 40 45 50 55 60 −−105 0 5 10 b. Payoff of a long call (i.e. owning a call) at expiration T is: max (0 (0,, ST − 50) Payoff = max max (0, (0, ST − K ) = max ST 40 45 50 55 60 Payoff = ma max x (0, (0, ST 0 0 0 5 10 − 50) c. A call option is a privilege. You exercise a call and buy the stock only if your payoff is positive. In contrast, contrast, a forward is an obli obligatio gation. n. You need to buy the stock even if your payoff is negative. A privilege is better than an obligation. Consequently, a long call is more expensive than a long forward on the same underlying stock with the same time to expiration. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 10 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTION OPTIONS S Problem 2.5. a. Short forward = Enter into a forward as a seller Payoff of a seller in a forward at T is Payoff = F − ST = 50 − ST ST Payoff = 50 − ST 40 10 45 5 50 0 55 −5 60 −10 b. Payoff of a long put (i.e. owning a put) at expiration T is: Payoff = max max (0, (0, K − ST ) = max(0, max(0, 50 − ST ) ST Payoff = max max (0, (0, 50 − ST ) 40 45 50 55 60 10 5 0 0 0 c. A put option is a privi privilege lege.. You exerci exercise se a put and sell the stock only if your payoff is positive. In contrast, contrast, a forw forward ard is an oblig obligation ation.. You need to sell the stock stock even if your payoff is negative. A privilege is better than an obligation. Consequently, a long put is more expensive than a short forward on the same underlying stock with the same time to expiration. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 11 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS Problem 2.6. 91(1 + r ) = 100 → r = 0.0989 The effective annual interest rate is 9.89%. If you buy the bond at t = 0, your payoff at t = 1 is 100 Your profit at t = 1 is 100 − 91 (1 + 0.0989) = 0 regardless of the stock price at t = 1. If you buy a bond, you just earn the risk risk-fre -freee intere interest st rate. Beyond Beyond this, your profit is zero. Payoff 101.0 100.5 100.0 99.5 99.0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Stock Price Payoff: Long a bond www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 12 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. Profit INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTION OPTIONS S 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 -0.2 80 90 100 Stock Price -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 Profit of longing a bond is zero. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 13 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS If you sell the bond at t = 0, your payoff at t = 1 is −100 (you need to pay the bond holder 100). Your profit at t = 1 is 91 (1 + 0.0989) − 100 = 0 regardless of the stock price at tIf=you 1 sell a bond, you just earn the risk-free interest rate. Beyond this, your profit is zero. 0 Payoff 10 20 30 40 Stock Price 50 60 -99.0 -99.5 -100.0 -100.5 -101.0 Payoff: Shorting a bond www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 14 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. Profit INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTION OPTIONS S 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 -0.2 80 90 100 Stock Price -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 Profit of shorting a bond is zero. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 15 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS Problem 2.7. a. It costs nothi nothing ng for one to ent enter er a forward forward contract. contract. Hence Hence the payo payoff of a forward is equal to the profit. Suppose we long a forward (i.e. we are the buyer in the forward). Our payoff and profit at expiration is: ST − F = S T − 55 Payoff (Profit) 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Stock Price -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 Payoff (and profit) of a long forward www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 16 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTION OPTIONS S Suppose we short a forward (i.e. we are the seller in the forward), our payo ff and profit at expiration is: F − ST = 55 − ST Payoff (Profit) 50 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 -10 70 80 90 100 Stock Price -20 -30 -40 Payoff (and profit) of a short forward www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 17 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS b. If the stock doesn’t pay dividend, dividend, buying buying a stock outrigh outrightt at t = 0 and getting a stock at T = 1 through a forward are identical. There’s no benefit to owning a stock early. c. Suppose the stock pays dividend before the forward expiration date T = 1. 1. Please note that if you own a stock prior to the dividend date, you will receive the dividend. dividend. In contr contrast, ast, if you are a buyer in a forward contract contract,, at T = 1, you’ll get a stock but you won’t receive any dividend. • If the stock is expected to pay dividend, then the stock price is expected to drop after the dividend is paid. The forward price agreed upon at t = 0 already considers that a dividend is paid during (0 (0,, T ); the dividend will reduce the forward rate. There’s no advantage to buying a stock outright over buying a stock through a forward. Otherwise, there will be arbitrage opportunities. • If the stock is not expected to pay dividend but actually pays dividend (a surprise dividend), then the forward price F agreed upon at t = 0 was set without knowing knowing the surprise divide dividend. nd. So F is the forward price on a non-dividend paying stock. Since dividend reduces the value of a stock, F is higher than the forward price on an otherwise identical but dividendpa payin yingg stock stock.. If yo you u own a stock stock at t = 0, you’ll you’ll receive receive the windfall windfall divide div idend. nd. If you buy a stoc stock k thr throug ough h a for forwa ward, rd, you’ll you’ll pay F , which which is higher than the forward price on an otherwise identical but dividendpaying stock. Hence owning a stock outright is more beneficial than buying a stock through a forward. Problem 2.8. r =risk = risk free interest rate Under the no-arbitrage principle, you get the same pro fit whether you buy a stock outright or through a forward. Profit at T = 1 if you buy a stock at t = 0 is: S T 50 (1 + r) − ST − 53 Profit at T = 1 if you buy a stock through a forward: → ST − 50 (1 + r) = ST − 53 www.guo.coursehost.com 50 ((11 + r) = 53 ° c Yufeng Guo r = 0.06 18 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTION OPTIONS S Problem 2.9. a. Price of an index forward contract expiring in one year is: F Index = 1000 1000 (1. (1.1) = 1100 To see why: If the seller borrows 1000 at t = 0, buys an index, and holds it for one year, then he’ll have one stock to deliver at T = 1. The seller’s seller’s cost is 10000 (1 100 (1..1) = 1100. 1100. To avoid arbitrage, the forward price must be 1100 1100.. Profit at T = 1 of owning a forward on an index: ST − F Index = ST − 1100 If you buy an index at t = 0, your profit at T = 1 is ST ST − 1100 − 100 10000 (1 (1..1) = So you get the same profit whether you buy the index outright or buy the index inde x through a forward. forward. This should mak makee sense. If ownin owning g a stock outrigh outrightt and buying it through a forward have di fferent profits, arbitrage opportunities exist. b. The forward forward price price 1200 is greater than the fair forward price 1100 1100.. No rational rati onal person will want to ent enter er such an unfai unfairr forw forward ard contract. contract. Thus the seller seller need needss to pay the buy buyer er an up-fr up-fron ontt pre premi mium um to incite incite the buyer. buyer. The 1200 − 1100 buyer in the forward needs to receive = 90. 90. 91 at t = 0 to make 1.1 the forward forward contrac contractt fair fair.. Of course, the buy buyer er needs to pay the forward forward price price 1200 at T = 1. 1. c. No Now w the forward forward price price 100 1000 0 is low lower er tha than n the fair forw forward ard price price 1100. 1100. You can imagine thousands of bargain hunters are waiting in line to enter this forward contract. If you want to enter the forward contract, you have to pay the 1100 − 1000 seller a premium in the amount of = 90. 90. 91 at t = 0. In addition, addition, 1.1 you’ll need to pay the forward price 1000 at T = 11.. Problem 2.10. 95.68 a. Profit= t=ma max x (0, (0, ST − 1000) − 95. Set profit to zero: 95.68 = 0 max ma x (0 (0,, ST − 1000) − 95. → ST − 1000 − 95. 95.68 = 0 ST = 1000 + 95. 95.68 = 1095. 1095. 68 b. The profit of a long forward (i.e. being a buyer in a forward): S T 95.68 1020 0 = max (0, (0, ST − 1000) − 95. ST − 102 If S T > 1000 1000,, ther there’s e’s no solution solution If S T ≤ 1000 1000:: ST − 1020 = 0 − 95. 95.68 → ST = 1020 − 95. 95.68 = 924. 924. 32 www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo − 1020 19 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS Problem 2.11. a. Profit of a long (i.e. owning) put is max(0 max(0,, 1000 − ST ) − 75. 75.68 max ma x (0, (0, 1000 − ST ) − 75. 75.68 = 0 75.68 = 0 ST = 924. 924. 32 1000 − ST − 75. b. Profit of a short forward (i.e. being a seller in a forward) is 1020 − ST max (0, max (0, 1000 − ST ) − 75. 75.68 = 1020 − ST If 1000 ≥ ST 1000 − S − 75. 75.68 = 1020 − S If 1000 ≤ ST −75. 75.68 = 1020 − ST www.guo.coursehost.com no solution ST = 1020 + 75. 75.68 = 1095. 1095. 68 ° c Yufeng Guo 20 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTION OPTIONS S Problem 2.12. Table 2.4 is: Position Long Long for orw ward ard (bu (buyer in forw rwar ard) d) Short forward (seller in forward) Long call (own a call) Short call (sell a call) Long put (own a put) Sho Short put put (sel sell a put put) Maximum Loss -For -Forw ward ard pric pricee Unlimited -FV (premium) Unlimited -FV(premium) PV PV((prem premiium)um)-S Str trik ikee Pr Priice Maximum Gain Unl nliimite mited d Forward Price Unlimited FV(premium) Strike Price - FV(premium) FV(p FV(prremi emium) um) • If you are a buyer in a forward, the worst that can happen to you is ST = 0 (i.e. stock price price at T is zero). If this happens, you stil stilll have to pay the forward price F at T to buy the stock which is worth zero. You’ll lose F . Your best case is S T = ∞, where you have an unlimited gain. • If you are a seller in a forward, the worst case is that S T = unlimited unlim ited loss. loss. Your best case is that ST worthless asset for the forward price F . ; you’ll incur ∞ you sell a = 0, in which case • If you buy a call, your worst case is ST < K , where K is the strike price. If this happens, you just let the call expire worth worthless less.. You’ll ou’ll lose the future future value of your premium (if you didn’t buy the call and deposit your money in a bank account, you could earn the future value of your deposit). Your best case is that S T = ∞, where you’ll have an unlimited gain. • If you sell a call, your worst case is S T = ∞, in which case you’ll incur an unlimited loss. Your best case is ST < K , in which case the call expires unlimited worthless; the call holder wastes his premium and your profit is the future value of the premium you received from the buyer. ≥ K , in which case you’ll let your put expire worthless and you’ll lose the future value of the put premium. premi um. Your best case is ST = 0, in which case you sell a worthless stock for K . Your profit is K − F V (premium premium)). • If you buy a put, your worst case is that ST • If you sell a put, your worst case is S T = 0, in which case the put holder sells you a worthless stock for K ; your profit is F V (premium premium)) − K . Your best case is ST ≥ K , where the written put expires worthless and your profit is F V (premium premium)). www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 21 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS Problem 2.13. Let S represent the stock price at the option expiration date. I’ll draw a separate diagram for the payo ff and a separate diagram for the profit. a. Suppose you long a call (i.e. buy a call). ½ if S < 35 S − 35 if S ≥ 35 Your profit at expiration= Payoff - FV (premium) = max max (0, (0, S − 35) − 9.12(1 12(1..08) = max max (0 (0,, S − 35) − 9. 8496 0 if S < 35 −9. 8496 if S < 35 = 849 6 = − 9. 849 S − 35 if S ≥ 35 S − 44. 44. 8496 if 35 ≤ S (i) Payoff at expiration is max(0 max(0,, S − 35) = ½ 0 ½ 60 50 Payoff 40 30 Profit 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Stock Price -10 Payoff and Profit: Long a 35 strike call www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 22 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTION OPTIONS S ½ if S < 40 S − 40 if S ≥ 40 Your profit at expiration= Payoff - FV (premium) (ii) Payoff at expiration is max(0 max(0,, S − 40) = 0 − 6. 7176 = max(0, max(00, S − if40) S−< 6.22(1 22(1. max (0, (0, S − 40 .08) = max −640) . 7176 if S < 40 = − 6. 717 717 6 = S − 40 if S ≥ 40 S − 46. 46. 7176 if S ≥ 40 ½ ½ 60 50 Payoff 40 30 Profit 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Stock price at expiration Payoff and Profit: Long a 40 strike call www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 23 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS ½ 0 if S < 45 S − 45 if S ≥ 45 Your profit at expiration= Payoff - FV (premium) (iii) Payoff at expiration is max(0 max(0,, S − 45) = − 4. 4064 = max max (0, (0 4.08(1 08(1. max (0 (0,, S − 0, S − if45) S−< 45 .08) = max −445) . 4064 if S < 45 = − 4. 406 406 4 = S − 45 if S ≥ 45 S − 49. 49. 4064 if S ≥ 45 ½ ½ 50 Payoff 40 30 Profit 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Stock price at expiration Payoff and Profit: Long a 45 strike call b. The pa payo yoff of a long call is ma max x (0 (0,, S − K ). As K increases, the payoff gets worse worse and the option becomes less val valuable uable.. Everythi Everything ng else equal, the higher the strike price, the lower the call premium. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 24 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTION OPTIONS S Problem 2.14. Suppose we own a put (i.e. long put). 35 a. Payoff at expiration is ma max x (0, (0, 35 − S ) = S if S 35 if S ≤ > 35 0− ½ Your profit at expiration = Payoff - FV (premium) = max(0, max(0, 35 − S ) − 1.53(1 53(1..08) = max max (0, (0, 35 − S ) − 1. 6524 35 − S if S ≤ 35 33. 33. 3476 − S if S ≤ 35 = − 1. 652 652 4 = 0 if S > 35 −1. 6524 if S > 35 ½ ½ 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Stock price at expiration Payoff and profit: Long a 35 strike put The blue line is the payo ff. The black line is the pro fit. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 25 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS ½ 40 − S 0 Your profit at expiration = Payoff - FV (premium) b. Payoff at expiration is max(0 max(0,, 40 − S ) = if S ≤ 40 if S > 40 = max ma40 x (0, (0−, 40 3.26(1 26(1. max (0 (0,, 40 S ) −−3.S5208 36. 36.−4792 if S ≤ 40 S −ifS ) S−≤ 40 .08) = max − 3. 520 520 8 = = −3. 5208 if S > 40 0 if S > 40 ½ ½ 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Stock price at expiration Payoff and profit: Long a 40 strike put The blue line is the payoff. The black line is the profit. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 26 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTION OPTIONS S ½ 45 − S 0 Your profit at expiration = Payoff - FV (premium) c. Payoff at expiration is ma max x (0, (0, 45 − S ) = if S ≤ 45 if S > 45 = max(0, max(0 5.75(1 75(1. max (0, (0 , 45 38. 38 . 79−−SS) − if6. 21S ≤ 45 45 −, 45 S −ifS ) S−≤ 45 .08) = max − 6. 21 = = −6. 21 if S > 45 0 if S > 45 ½ ½ 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Stock price at expiration Payoff and profit: Long a 45 strike put The blue line is the payo ff. The black line is the pro fit. As the strik strikee pri price ce inc increa reases ses,, the pa payo yoff of a put goes up and the more valuab valuable le a put is. Everythi Everything ng else equal, the highe higherr the strike strike price, the more expensive a put is. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 27 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 2. INTR INTRODUCTIO ODUCTION N TO F FOR ORW WARDS AND OPTIONS OPTIONS Problem 2.15. If you borrow money from a bank to buy a $1000 S&R index, your borrowing cost is known at the time of borrowing. borrowing. Suppose the annual annual effective risk free interest rate is r. r . If you borrow $1000 at t = 0, then at T you just pay the bank 10000 (1 + r)T . You can slee 100 sleep p wel welll knowing that your borrowing borrowing cost is fixed in advance. In contrast, if you short-sell n number of IBM stocks and use the short sale proceeds to buy a $1000 S&R index, you own the brokerage firm n number of IBM stocks. stocks. If you wan wantt to close your short position position at time T , you need to buy n stocks at T . The cost of n stocks at T is nS T , where S T is the price of IBM stocks per share at T . Since S T is not known in advance, if you use short selling to fi nance your purchase of a $1000 S&R index, your borrowing cost nS T cannot cann ot be known known in adv advance. ance. This bring bringss additional additional risk to your position. position. As such, you can’t determine your profit. Problem 2.16. Skip this problem. problem. SOA SOA is unlikel unlikely y to ask you to design a spreadshee spreadsheett on the exam. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 28 Chapter 3 Insurance, collars, and other strategies Problem 3.1. The put premium is 74. 74 .201 201.. At t = 0, you • spend 1000 to buy an S&R index 74 .201 to buy a 1000-strike put • spend 74. 980..39 • borrow 980 74.201) • take out (1000 + 74. 980..39 = 93. 93. 811 out of your own pocket. − 980 So your total borrowing is 980 980..39 + 93. 93. 811 = 1074. 1074. 20. 20. The future value is 1074 1074.. 20(1 20(1..02) = 1095. 1095. 68 S&R S& R in inde dex x S& S&R R Pu Putt 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 100 50 0 0 0 0 0 Payoff -(Cost+I -(Cos t+Int ntere erest) st) 1000 1000 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 −1095 1095.. 68 −1095 1095.. 68 −1095 1095.. 68 1095.. 68 −1095 1095.. 68 −1095 1095.. 68 −1095 1095.. 68 −1095 29 Profit 1000 − 1095 1095.. 68 = −95. 95. 68 1000 − 1095 1095.. 68 = −95. 95. 68 1000 − 1095 1095.. 68 = −95. 95. 68 1050 − 1095 1095.. 68 = −45. 45. 68 1100 − 1095 1095.. 68 = 4. 4. 32 1150 − 1095 1095.. 68 = 54. 54. 32 1200 − 1095 1095.. 68 = 104. 104. 32 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Payoff. The payoff of owning an index is S , where S is the price of the index at the put expirati expiration on The payoff of owning a put is ma max x (0 (0,, 1000 − S ) at expiration. Total payoff: S +m +max ax (0, (0, 1000 − S ) = S + ½ Profit is: 1000 if S ≤ 1000 S if S > 1000 ½ Payoff (Profit) 1000 − S 0 − 1095 1095.. 68 = if S ≤ 1000 = if S > 1000 ½ 1000 if S ≤ 1000 S if S > 1000 ½− 95. 95. 68 if S ≤ 1000 S − 1095 1095.. 68 if S > 1000 2000 Payoff 1500 1000 Profit 500 0 20 200 0 40 400 0 60 600 0 80 800 0 10 1000 00 1 120 200 0 1400 1400 1 160 600 0 1800 1800 2 200 000 0 Stock price at expiration Payoff and Profit: index + put www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 30 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.2. At t = 0 you • short sell one S&R index, receiving $1000 $ 1000 • sell a 1000-strike put, receiving $74 $ 74..201 74.201 = 1074. 1074. 201 in a savings savings accoun account. t. This grows into into • deposit 1000 + 74. 1074.. 201(1 1074 201(1..02) = 1095. 1095. 68 at T = 1 The payoff of the index sold short is −S The payoff of a sold put: − max(0 max(0,, 1000 − S ) The total payoff at expiration is: ½ max x (0, (0, 1000 − S ) = −S − −S −ma 1000 − S 0 if S ≤ 1000 = if S > 1000 The profit at expiration is: ≤ 1000 1095.. 68 = 1000 if S 1000 + 1095 S if S> ½ −− S&R S& R in inde dex x −900 −950 −1000 −1050 −1100 −1150 −1200 S& S&R R Pu Putt −100 −50 0 0 0 0 0 www.guo.coursehost.com Payoff −1000 −1000 −1000 −1050 −1100 −1150 −1200 ½ 95. 95. 68. 68 − S 1095. 1095 -(Cost+ -(Cos t+In Inter terest est)) 1095. 68 1095. 68 1095. 68 1095. 68 1095. 68 1095. 68 −1095 1095.. 68 ° c Yufeng Guo ½− 1000 if S ≤ 1000 −S if S > 1000 if S S≤ 1000 if > 1000 Profit 1095. 68 = 95. 95. 68 −1000 + 1095. 1095. 68 = 95. 95. 68 −1000 + 1095. −1000 + 1095. 1095. 68 = 95. 95. 68 −1050 + 1095. 1095. 68 = 45. 45. 68 −1100 + 1095. 1095. 68 = −4. 32 −1150 + 1095. 1095. 68 = −54. 54. 32 −1200 + 1095. 1095. 68 = −104 104.. 32 31 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Payoff= ½− 1000 if S ≤ 1000 −S if S > 1000 ½− 1000 if S ≤ 1000 1095. 68 −S if S > 1000 + 1095. Profit= 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Index Price 1600 1800 2000 0 Profit -500 -1000 -1500 Payoff -2000 short index +sell put You can verify that the profit diagram above matches the textbook Figure 3.5 (d). www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 32 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.3. Option 1: Buy S&R index for 1000 and buy a 950 950-strike -strike put Option 2: Invest 931 931..37 in a zero-coupon bond and buy a 950 950-strike -strike call. Verify that Option 1 and 2 have the same payo ff and the same profit. Option 1: If you own an index, your payoff at any time is the spot price of the index S . The payoff of owning a 950-strike put is ma max x (0, (0, 950 − S ). Your total payoff at the put expiration is ½ S +m +max ax (0 (0,, 950 − S ) = S + 950 − S 0 if S ≤ 950 = if S > 950 ½ 950 if S ≤ 950 S if S > 950 To calculate the profit, we need to know the initial inves investmen tment. t. At t = 0, we spend 1000 to buy an index and 51. 51 .777 to buy the 950-strike put. The total investment is 1000 + 51. 51.777 = 1051. 1051. 777 777.. The future value of the investment is 1051.. 777 1051 777 (1 (1..02) = 1072. 1072. 81 So the profit is: 950 if S ≤ 950 S if S > 950 ½ www.guo.coursehost.com − 1072 1072.. 81 = ½ 122.. 81 −122 S − 1072 1072.. 81 ° c Yufeng Guo if S ≤ 950 if S > 950 33 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Payoff= ½ ½ 950 if S ≤ 950 S if S > 950 Profit= 950 if S ≤ 950 S if S > 950 1072.. 81 − 1072 2000 Payoff 1500 1000 500 Profit 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Index index + put www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 34 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Option 2: Payoff of the zero-coupon bond at T = 00..5 year is: 931. 931.37(1 37(1..02) = 950 Payoff of owning a 950-strike call: max(0 max(0,, S − 950) Total payoff: ½ 950+max 950+ max (0, (0, S − 950) = 950+ 0 if S ≤ 950 = S − 950 if S > 950 ½ 950 if S ≤ 950 S if S > 950 To calculate the profit, we need to know the initial inv investm estment ent.. We spend 931..37 to buy a bond and 120 931 120..405 to buy a 950-strike call. The future value of the investment is (931 (931..37 + 120. 120.405)1 405)1..02 = 1072. 1072. 81. 81. The profit is: ½ 950 if S ≤ 950 S if S > 950 − 1072 1072.. 81 = ½ 122.. 81 if S ≤ 950 −122 S − 1072 1072.. 81 if S > 950 Option 1 and 2 have the same payoff and the same profit. But But why? why? It’s It’s because the put-call parity: C ((K, K, T ) + P V (K ) = P (K, ( K, T ) + S0 Option 1 consists of buying S&R index and a 950 950-strike -strike put Option 2 consists of investing P V (K ) = 950 1.02−1 = 931. 931. 37 and buying a 950-st 950-strik rikee call. call. Due to the putput-cal calll par parit ity y, Option Option 1 and 2 ha have ve the same payoff and the same profit. ¡ www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo ¢ 35 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.4. Option 1: Short sell S&R index for 1000 and buy a 950 950-strike -strike call Option 2: Borrow 931 931..37 and buy a 950 950-strike -strike put Verify that Option 1 and 2 have the same payo ff and the same profit. Option 1: At t = 0.5, your payoff from the short sale of an index is − S , Option where S is the index price at T = 0.5. At T = 0.5, your payoff from owning a 0 if S < 950 call is max(0 max(0,, S − 950) = . S − 950 if S ≥ 950 ½ Your total payoff is −S + 0S − 950 ifif SS <≥ 950 = 950 ½ ½− S −950 if S < 950 if S ≥ 950 Please note that when calculating the payo ff, we’ll ignore the sales price of the index $1 $1, 000 and the call purchase price 120 120.. 405 405.. These two numbers affect your profit, but they don’t affect your payoff. Your payoff is the same no matter whether you sold index for $1 the 950-strike call your for $10 or $120 $120. . 41. 41or . $1000, and no matter whether you buy Next, let’s find the profit at T = 0.5. At t = 0, you sell an index for 1000 1000.. Of 1000 you get, you spend 120 120.. 405 ≈ 120. 120. 41 to buy a 950-st 950-strik rikee cal call. l. You have 1000 − 120 120.. 41 = 879. 879. 59 left left.. This will grow grow into 879. 879. 59 × 1.02 = 897. 897. 18 at T = 0. 0 .5 At T = 0. 0 .5, your profit is 897 897.. 18 plus the payoff: Profit =897 897.. 18 + ½ −S −950 www.guo.coursehost.com if S < 950 = if S ≥ 950 ° c Yufeng Guo ½ 897. 897. 18 − S −52. 52. 82 if S < 950 if S ≥ 950 36 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES ½− Payoff= S if S < 950 −950 if S ≥ 950 ½− S if S < 950 −950 if S ≥ 950 Profit =897 =897.. 18+ 800 Profit 600 400 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 -200 1800 2000 Index Price -400 -600 Payoff -800 Payoff and Profit: Short index + Long call www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 37 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Option 2 payoff. At t = 0.5, you need to pay the lender 931 931..37 × 1.02 = 950, 950, so, a payoff of −950 (you’ll write the lender a check of 950 950). ). At T = 0. 0 .5, the pay950 − S if S < 950 off from buying a 950-strike put is max(0 max(0,, 950 S ) = . − ≥ 0 if S 950 ½ Your total payoff at T = 00..5 is: −950 + ½ 950 − S 0 if S < 950 = if S ≥ 950 ½− S if S < 950 −950 if S ≥ 950 . This is the same as the payoff in Option 1. Option 2 profit. There are two ways to calculate the profit. Method 1. The total Method total profit is the sum of profit earned from borrowing 931 931..37 and the profit ear earned ned by buyin buying g a 950 950-st -strik rikee put. put. The profit from borrowing 931..37 is zero; you borrow 931 931 931..37 at t = 0. This grows into 931 931..37 × 1.02 = 950 at T = 0.5 in your savings savings acco account unt.. Then at T = 0.5, you take out 950 from your savings account and pay the lender. Now your savings account is zero. So the profit earned from borrowing 931 931..37 is zero. Next, let’s calculate the profit from buying buying the put. The put premium premium is $51.78. So your profit earned from buying the put option is −51. 51.78 × 1.02 + max max (0, (0, 950 − S ) = −52. 52. 82 + max (0 (0,, 950 − S ) = −52. 52. 82 + ½ 950 − S 0 if S < 950 = if S ≥ 950 ½ − ½− 897. 897. 18 − S 52. 52. 82 if S < 950 if S ≥ 950 if S < 950 . We just if S ≥ 950 need to deduct the future value of the initial investme investment. nt. At t = 0, you receive 931..37 from the lender and pay 51. 931 51.78 to buy the the put. So your your total total cash is 931..37 − 51. 931 51.78 = 879. 879. 59, 59, which grows into 879. 879. 59 × 1.02 = 897. 897. 18 at t = 0.5. Hence, your profit is: Method Meth od 2. We already know the payoff is ½− S if S < 950 897. 18 = −950 if S ≥ 950 + 897. ½ S −950 897. 897. 18 − S −52. 52. 82 if S < 950 if S ≥ 950 No matter whether you use Method 1 or Method 2, the Option 2 profit is the same as the Option 1 pro fit. You might wonder why Option 1 and Option 2 have the same payo ff and the same profit. The parity formula is Call (K, T ) − P ut (K, T ) = P V (F0,T − K ) = P V (F0,T ) − P V (K ) Rearranging this equation, we get: www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 38 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Call (K, T ) + P V (K ) = P ut (K, T ) + P V (F0,T ) Since P V (F0,T ) = S 0 , now we have: Call (K, T ) + | {z } own a call P V (K ) = P ut (K, T ) + own PV of strike price own a put | {z } | {z } S0 |{z} own one index The above equation can also be read as; P V (K ) = P ut (K, T ) + Call (K, T ) + | {z } buy a call | {z } invest inve st PV of strike price | {z } buy a put Rearranging the above formula, we get: Call (K, T ) + −S0 = P ut (K, T ) + | {z } |{z} own a call sell one index | {z } own a put S0 |{z} buy one index P V (K ) |− {z } borrow PV of strike price The above equation can also be read as: Call (K, T ) + −S0 = P ut (K, T ) + −P V (K ) sell one index | {z } borrow PV of strike price | {z } |{z} buy a call buy a put | {z } According to the parity equation, Option 1 and Option 2 are identical portfolios and should have the same payo ff and the same profit. In this this problem, problem, Option 1 consists of shorting an S&R index and buying a 950-str 950-strike ike call. call. Op− 1 tion 2 consists of borrowing P V (K ) = 950 1.02 = 931. 931. 37 and buying a 950-strike 950 -strike put. As a result, Option 1 and 2 have the same payo ff and the same profit. ¡ www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo ¢ 39 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.5. Option 1: Short sell index for 1000 and buy 1050-strike call Option 2: Borrow buy 1050-strike Verify that Option1029.41 1 and 2and have thea same payo ff put. and the same profit. Option 1: Payoff: 0 if S < 1050 −S if S < 1050 −S +m +max ax (0, (0, S − 1050) = −S + = S − 1050 if S ≥ 1050 −1050 if S ≥ 1050 ½ ½ Profit: Your receive 1000 from the short sale and spend 71.802 to buy the 1050-strike call. The future value is: (1000 − 71. 71.802) 802) 1.02 = 946. 946. 76 So the profit is: −S if S < 1050 + 946 −1050 if S ≥ 1050 946.. 76 = ½ www.guo.coursehost.com ½ 946. 946. 76 − S −103 103.. 24 ° c Yufeng Guo if S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 40 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES ½− Payoff= S if S < 1050 −1050 if S ≥ 1050 ½− Profit= S −1050 if S < 1050 + 946 946.. 76 if S ≥ 1050 800 Profit 600 400 200 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 -200 1800 2000 Index Price -400 -600 -800 Payoff -1000 Payoff and Profit: Short index + Long call www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 41 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Option 2: Payoff: If you borrow 1029 1029..41, 41, you’ll need to pay 1029 1029..41(1 41(1..02) = 1050 at T = 0. 0 .5 So the payoff of borrowing 1029 1029..41 is 1050 1050.. Payoff of the purchased put is ma max x (0 (0,, 1050 − S ) Total payoff is: 1050 − S = −1050 + 0 ½ if S < 1050 = if S ≥ 1050 ½− S −1050 if S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 Initially, you receive 1029 1029..41 from a bank and spend 101. 101.214 to buy a 950strik strikee put put.. So your net rece receipt ipt at t = 0 is 1029 1029..41 − 101 101..214 = 928. 928. 196 196.. Its future value is 928 928.. 196 196 (1. (1.02) = 946. 946. 76. 76. Your profit is: ½− S if S < 1050 946.. 76 = −1050 if S ≥ 1050 + 946 ½ 946. 946. 76 − S −103 103.. 24 if S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 Option 1 and 2 have the same payoff and the same profit. This is because the put-call parity: Call (K, T ) + −S0 = P ut (K, T ) + −P V (K ) | {z } |{z} buy a call sell one index www.guo.coursehost.com | {z } buy a put | {z } borrow PV of strike price ° c Yufeng Guo 42 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.6. (a) buy an index for 1000 (b) buythat a 950-strike call, sell the a 950-strike put, andthe lend 931.pro 931 .37 fit. Verify (a) and (b) have same payo same ff and (a)’s payoff is S . Profit is S − 100 1000 0 (1. (1.02) = S − 1020 (b)’s payoff: buy a 950-strike call sell a 950-strike put lend 931.37 Total Payoff max(0, S − 950) max(0, max x (0, (0, 950 − S ) − ma 931. 931.37(1 37(1..02) = 950 Initial receipt −120 120..405 51. 51.777 931..37 −931 120..405 + 51. 51.777 − 931 931..37 = −120 Total payoff: max ma x (0 (0,, S − 950) − max(0 max(0,, 950 − S ) + 950 = = 0 S ½ − ½− if S < 950 950 if S ≥ 950 − ½ 950 − S 0 if S < 950 + 950 if S ≥ 950 (950 − S ) + 950 if S < 950 =S S − 950 + 950 if S ≥ 950 Total profit: S − 100 1000 0 (1. (1.02) = S − 1020 (a) and (b) have the same payoff and the same profit. Why? Call (K, T ) + S0 | {z } |−{z} buy a call → S0 buy one index |{z} sell one index = = P ut (K, T ) + | {z } buy a put Call (K, T ) + buy a call P V (K ) |− {z } borrow PV of strike price −P ut (K, T ) + sell a put | {z } | {z } www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo P V (K ) lend PV of strike price | {z } 43 −1000 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES (a) and (b) have the following common payoff and profit. Payoff=S 2000 Profit= t=S S − 1020 Payoff 1000 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Index Price Profit -1000 www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 44 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.7. (a) short index for 1000 (b) sellthat 1050-strike buy athe 1050-strike andthe borrow Verify (a) and call, (b) have same payoput, same 1029.41 profit. ff and (a) Payoff is −S . Profit is −S + 1000 1000 (1. (1.02) = 1020 − S (b) Payoff: max ma x (0 (0,, 1050 − S ) − max(0 max(0,, S − 1050) − 1029 1029..41(1 41(1..02) = = ½ ½ 1050 − S 0 if S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 − ½ 0 if S < 1050 S − 1050 if S ≥ 1050 (1050 − S ) − 1050 if S < 1050 − (S − 1050) − 1050 if S ≥ 1050 = ½− S −S − 1050 if S < 1050 = −S if S ≥ 1050 We need to calculate the initial investment of (b). At t = 0, we 71 .802 from selling a 1050 1050-strike -strike call • Receive 71. 101..214 to buy a 1050 1050-strike -strike put • Pay 101 1029..41 from a lender • Receive 1029 Our net receipt is 71. 71 .802 − 101 101..214 + 1029. 1029.41 = 1000. 1000. The future value is 100 1000 0 (1. (1.02) = 1020 So the profit at T = 0. 0 .5 is −S + 1020 = 1020 − S. You see that (a) and (b) have the same payo ff and the same profit. Why? Why? From the put-call parity, we have: −S0 = P ut (K, T ) + −P V (K ) Call (K, T ) + buy a call sell one index buy a put borrow PV of strike price | {z } |{z} | {z } | {z } −| {z } → |−{z} | {z } |− {z } S0 = sell one index www.guo.coursehost.com Call (K, T ) + P ut (K, T ) + sell a call buy a put ° c Yufeng Guo P V (K ) borrow PV of strike price 45 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Payoff= −S . Profit= 1020 − S 1000 Profit 0 200 400 -1000 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Index Price Payoff -2000 www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 46 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.8. Put-call parity: Call (K, T ) + buy a call P V (K ) inv invest est PV of strike price | {z } | {z } 109.2 + P V (K ) = 60. 109. 60.18 + 1000 P V (K ) = 60. 60.18 + 1000 − 109 109..2 = 950. 950. 98 P V (K ) = K 1.02 = P ut (K, T )+ S0 buy a put buy one index | {z } |{z} K = 950. 950. 98(1 98(1..02) = 970 Problem 3.9. Buy a call (put) a lower strike + Sell an otherwise identical call (put) with a higher strike= strike=Bull call (put) spread Option 1: buy 950-strike call and sell 1000-strike call Option 2: buy 950-strike put and sell 1000-strike put. Verify that option 1 and 2 have the same profit. Option 1: Payoff=ma max x (0, (0, S − 950) − max(0 max(0,, S − 1000) 0 if S < 950 0 if S < 1000 = − S − 950 if S ≥ 950 S − 1000 if S ≥ 1000 ½ ½ ⎧⎨ 0 ⎧⎨ 0 if S < 950 if S < 950 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 − > S ≥ 950 = ⎩ SS −− 950 ⎩ 0S − 1000 ifif 1000 if S ≥ 1000 S ≥ 1000 ⎧⎨ 0 ⎧⎨ 0 if S < 950 if S < 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 = S − 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 = ⎩ SS −− 950 ⎩ 50 950 − (S − 1000) if S ≥ 1000 if S ≥ 1000 Initial cost: • Spend 120 120..405 to buy 950-strike call • Sell 1000-strike call receiving 93. 93 .809 Total initial investment: 120 120..405 − 93. 93.809 = 26. 26. 596 The future value is 26. 26 . 596(1 596(1..02) = 27. 27. 12792 Profit is: 0 if S < 950 = S − 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 50 if S ≥ 1000 ⎧⎨ ⎩ ⎧⎨ −27. 27.13 − 977 977.. 13 = ⎩ S22. 22. 87 ⎧⎨ −27. 27.13 27.13 = S − 950 − 27. 27.13 −27. ⎩ 50 − 27. 27.13 if S < 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 if S ≥ 1000 if S < 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 if S ≥ 1000 www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 47 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Payoff= ⎧⎨ 0 if S < 950 S − 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 50 if S ≥ 1000 ⎩ ⎧⎨ 0 Pro t= S − 950 ⎩ 50 if S < 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 if S ≥ 1000 fi 27.13 − 27. 50 Payoff 40 30 20 Profit 10 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Index Price -10 -20 www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 48 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Option 2: buy 950-strike put and sell 1000-strike put. The payoff: max ma x (0 (0,, 950 S ) max(0 max(0,, 1000 S ) = ½ − if − S < 950 950 − S 0 if S ≥ 950 −S − − 1000 0 ½ if S < 1000 if S ≥ 1000 ⎧⎨ 950 − S if S < 950 ⎧⎨ 1000 − S if S < 950 = if 1000 > S ≥ 950 − > S ≥ 950 ⎩ 00 ⎩ 01000 − S ifif 1000 if S ≥ 1000 S ≥ 1000 ⎧⎨ (950 − S) − (1000 − S) if S < 950 ⎧⎨ −50 if S < 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 = > S ≥ 950 = ⎩ −0 (1000 − S) ⎩ S0 − 1000 ifif 1000 S ≥ 1000 S ≥ 1000 Initial cost: • Buy 950-strike put. Pay 51. 51 .777 • Sell 1000-strike put. Receive 74. 74 .201 Net receipt: 74. 74 .201 − 51. 51.777 = 22. 22. 424 Future value: 22. 22. 424(1 424(1..02) = 22. 22. 87248 The profit is: −50 if S < 950 S − 1000 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 + 22. 22. 87 0 if S ≥ 1000 ⎧⎨ ⎩ ⎧⎨ −50 + 22. 22. 87 = S − 1000 + 22. 22. 87 ⎩ 22. 22. 87 www.guo.coursehost.com if S < 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 = if S ≥ 1000 ° c Yufeng Guo ⎧⎨ −27. 27. 13 − 977 977.. 13 ⎩ S22. 22. 87 if S < 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 if S ≥ 1000 49 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Payoff= ⎧⎨ −50 if S < 950 S − 1000 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 0 if S ≥ 1000 ⎩ ⎧⎨ −50 Pro t= S − 1000 ⎩0 if S < 950 if 1000 > S ≥ 950 + 22. 22. 87 if S ≥ 1000 fi Profit 20 10 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Index Price -10 -20 -30 -40 Payoff -50 www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 50 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES The payoff of the first option is $50 greater than the payoff of the second option. Howe However, ver, at t = 0, we pay 26. 26. 596 to set up option 1; we pay −22. 22. 424 (i.e.. we receive (i.e receive 22. 22. 424 424)) to set up option option 2. It cos costs ts us 26. 26. 596 ( 22. 22. 424) = − value 49. 49. 02 more initially initially to set up opti option on 1 than optio option n 2. The future v−alue of this initial set up cost is 49. 49. 02(1 02(1..02) = 50. 50. As a res result ult,, option option 1 and 2 have have the same profit at T = 00..5. Thiss should Thi should make make sense sense in a world world of no arb arbitr itrage age.. Consid Consider er two portportfolios A and B. If for any stock price Payoff (A (A) = Payoff ((B B ) + c, c , then InitialCost (A) = InitialCost (B ) + P V (c) to avoid arbitrage. Profit (A) = P ay ayoff off (A (A) − F V [InitialCost (A)] = P ay ayoff off (B (B ) + c − F V [InitialCost (B )] − c = P ay ayoff off (B (B ) − F V [InitialCost (B )] = P rofit rofit (B ) Similarly, if InitialCost (A) = I nitialCost nitialCost (B ) + P V (c) → Payoff (A (A) = P ayo ayoff ff (B (B ) + c → Profit (A) = P rofit rofit (B ) Finally, let’s see why option 1 is always $50 higher than option 2 in terms of the payoff and the initial set up cost. The put-call parity is: P V (K ) = P ut (K, T ) + S0 Call (K, T ) + | {z } buy a call | {z } invest inve st PV of strike price | {z } buy a put |{z} buy one index The timing of the put-call parity is at t = 0. The above equation means + P V (K ) Call (K, T ) | {z } | {z } | {z } |{z} Cost of buying a call at t=0 Cost of investing PV of strike price at t=0 = + P ut (K, T ) Cost of buying a put at t=0 S0 Cost of buying an index at t=0 If we are interested in the payoff at expiration date T , then the put-call parity is: = P ut (K, T ) + K S Call (K, T ) + Payo ff a call at T strikee price at T strik Payo ff of a put at T Index price at T | {z } |{z} | {z } |{z} Now we set up the initial cost parity for two strike prices K 1 < K2 Call (K1 , T ) + P V (K1 ) | {z } | {z } | {z } | {z } cost of buying a call Call (K2 , T ) cost of buying a call ⎡ → ⎢⎣ = P ut (K1 , T ) + = | {z } | {z } invest PV of K1 + P V (K2 ) invest PV of K2 Call (K1 , T ) | {z } cost of buying a call www.guo.coursehost.com − cost of buying one index at t=0 cost of buying a put P ut (K2 , T ) + | {z } cost of buying a call S0 cost of buying one index at t=0 cost of buying a put Call (K2 , T ) S0 |{z} |{z} ⎤ ⎥⎦ + [P [P V (K ) − P V (K )] ° c Yufeng Guo 1 2 51 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES ⎡ ⎢ = ⎣ ⎡ → ⎢⎣ P ut (K1 , T ) P ut (K2 , T ) − cost of buying a put cost of buying a put | {z } | {z } | ⎡ ⎢ =⎣ Call (K1 , T ) cost of buying a call | {z } cost of buying a call {z Call spread P ut (K1 , T ) | {z } P ut (K2 , T ) − | {z } cost of buying a put | Call (K2 , T ) − | {z } ⎤ ⎥ ⎦ ⎤ ⎥⎦ cost of buying a put {z ⎤ ⎥⎦ + [P [P V (K ) − P V (K )] Put spread ⎡ → ⎢⎣ | ⎡ ⎢ =⎣ + Call (K1 , T ) cost of buying a call | {z } {z | {z } + cost of buying a put | 2 1 } ⎤ |−Call{z(K , T}) ⎥⎦ 2 cost of selling a call } Call spread P ut (K1 , T ) } ⎤ |−P ut{z(K , T}) ⎥⎦ + [P[P V (K ) − P V (K )] 2 2 1 cost of selling a put {z } Put spread So the initial cost of setting up a call bull spread always exceeds the initial set up cost of a bull put spread by a uniform amount P V (K2 ) − P V (K1 ). In this problem, P V (K2 ) − P V (K1 ) = (1000 − 950)1 950)1..02−1 = 49. 49 . 02 Set up the payoff parity at T : = K1 Call (K1 , T ) + | {z } Payo ff a call at T |{z} strike price at T Call (K2 , T ) + | {z } Payo ff a call at T ⎡ → ⎢⎣ | strike price at T Call (K1 , T ) | {z } − Payo ff a long call at T P ut (K2 , T ) | {z } Payo ff of a put at T Call (K2 , T ) | {z } Payo ff a long call at T {z Call bull payo ff at T www.guo.coursehost.com + ° c Yufeng Guo S |{z} Index price at T Payo ff of a put at T = K1 |{z} P ut (K1 , T ) | {z } + S |{z} Index price at T ⎤ ⎥⎦ } 52 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES ⎡ ⎢ = |⎣ P ut (K2 , T ) Payo ff of a long put at T |⎡ | Payo ff of a long put at T Put spread payo ff at T Call (K1 , T ) | {z } + −Call (K2, T ) | {z } Payo ff short call at T Payo ff a long call at T ⎢⎣ 2 | {z } {z | {z } ⎡ → ⎢⎣ = P ut (K1 , T ) − {z Call spread payoff at T P ut (K2 , T ) | {z } Payo ff of a long put at T + ⎤ ⎥+K −K ⎦} ⎤ ⎥⎦ } −P ut (K1, T ) | {z } Payo ff of a short put at T {z 1 Put spread payo ff at T ⎤ ⎥⎦ + K − K 2 1 } In this problem, K 2 − K1 = 1000 − 950 = 50 So the payoff of a call bull spread at T = 00..5 always exceeds the payo ff of a put bull spread by a uniform amount 50. 50 . www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 53 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.10. Buy a call (put) a higher strike + Sell an otherwise identical call (put) with lowerr strike lowe strike= =Bear call (put) spread. In this problem, K 1 = 1050, 1050, K 2 = 950 (a bear spread) P V (K2 ) − P V (K1 ) = (950 − 105 1050) 0) 1.02−1 = ( −100)1 100)1..02−1 = −98. 98. 04 ⎡ → ⎢⎣ = |⎡ ⎢⎣ ⎤ −| Call{z(K , T }) ⎥⎦ + Call (K1 , T ) | {z } cost of buying a call 2 cost of selling a call {z }⎤ Call spread P ut (K1 , T ) + [P V (K2 ) − P V (K1 )] −P ut (K2, T ) ⎥⎦ + [P | {z } | {z } | {z } cost of buying a put cost of selling a put Put spread = ⎡⎢⎣ P ut (K1 , T ) −P ut (K2, T ) ⎤⎥⎦ − 98. 98. 04 + | {z } | {z } {z } | cost of buying a put cost of selling a put Put spread ⎡ → ⎢⎣ = |⎡ ⎢⎣ Call (K1 , T ) | {z } + Payo ff a long call at T −Call (K2, T ) | {z } Payo ff short call at T {z Call spread payo ff at T P ut (K2 , T ) + | {z } Payo ff of a long put at T ⎤ ⎥⎦ } P ut (K1 , T ) |− {z } Payo ff of a short put at T ⎤ ⎥⎦ + K − K 2 1 Put spread payo ff at T = ⎤} |⎡⎢ {z −| {z } ⎥⎦ − ⎣ | {z } {z } | P ut (K2 , T ) Payo ff of a long put at T + P ut (K1 , T ) 100 Payo ff of a short put at T Put spread payo ff at T For any index price at expiration, the payoff of the call bear spread is always 100 less than the payoff of the put bear spread. Consequently, as we have seen, to avoid arbitrage, the initial set-up cost of the call bear spread is less than the initial set-up cost of the put bear spread by the amount of present value of the 100 100.. The call bear spread and the put bear spread have the same pro fit at expiration. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 54 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Next, let’s draw the payoff and profit diagram for each spread. Payoff of the call bear spread: Payoff=ma max x (0, (0, S − 1050) − ma max x (0, (0, S − 950) = Buy 1050-strike call Sell 950-strike call Total ⎧⎨ 0 = −S ⎩ 950 −100 S < 950 0 0 0 950 ≤ S < 105 0500 0 950 − S 950 − S 105 0500 ≤ S S − 1050 950 − S −100 if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 The initial set-up cost of the call bear spread: 71 .802 • Buy 1050-strike call. Pay 71. • Sell 950-strike call. Receive 120 120..405 Net receipt: 120 120..405 − 71. 71.802 = 48. 48. 603 Future value: 48. 48 . 603(1 603(1..02) = 49. 49. 57506 So the profit of the call bear spread at expiration is ⎧⎨ 0 = −S ⎩ 950 −100 if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 +49 +49.. 58 = if S ≥ 1050 www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo ⎧⎨ 49. 49. 58 999.. 58 − S ⎩ 999 50. 42 −50. if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 55 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Payoff= ⎧⎨ 0 if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 if S 1050 950 − S 100 ⎩− ⎧⎨ 0 Pro t= −S ⎩ 950 −100 ≥ if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 + 49. 49. 58 if S ≥ 1050 fi 40 20 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Index Price -20 Profit -40 -60 -80 Payoff -100 Payoff and Profit: Call bear spread www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 56 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Payoff of the put bear spread: Payoff=ma max x (0, (0, 1050 − S ) − ma max x (0, (0, 950 − S ) Buy 1050-strike put = Sell 950-strike put Total ⎧⎨ 100 = ⎩ 01050 − S Payoff S < 950 1050 − S S − 950 100 950 ≤ S < 10 1050 50 1050 − S 0 1050 − S 10 10550 ≤ S 0 0 0 if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Index Price Payoff of the put bear spread www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 57 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES The initial set-up cost: • Buy 1050-strike put. Pay 101 101..214 • Sell 950-strike put. Receive 51. 51 .777 Net cost: 101 101..214 − 51. 51.777 = 49. 49. 437 Future value: 49. 49 . 437(1 437(1..02) = 50. 50. 42 The profit at expiration is: 100 if S < 950 1050 − S if 950 ≤ S < 1050 = 0 if S ≥ 1050 ⎧⎨ ⎩ ⎧⎨ 49. 49. 58 999.. 58 − S −50. 50. 42 = ⎩ 999 −50. 50. 42 if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 We see that the call bear spread and the put bear spread have the same profit. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 58 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.11. Buy S&R indexput Buy 950-strike Sell 1050-strike call Total FV (initial cost) Initial Cost Payoff 1000 51. 51.777 71.802 −71. 1000 + 51. 51.777 − 71. 71.802 = 979. 979. 975 979. 979. 975(1 975(1..02) = 999. 999. 5745 S max (0 (0,, 950 − S ) max (0,, S − 1050) − (0 The net option premium is: 51. 51 .777 − 71. 71.802 = −20. 20. 025 025.. So we receiv receivee 20. 20. 025 if we enter this collar. Payoff S < 950 950 ≤ S < 10 1050 50 10 10550 ≤ S Buy S&R index S S S Buy 950-strike put 950 − S 0 0 Sell 1050-strike call 0 0 1050 − S Total 950 S 1050 The payoff at expiration is: 950 if S < 950 S if 950 ≤ S < 1050 1050 if S ≥ 1050 ⎧⎨ ⎩ The profit at expiration is: 950 if S < 950 S if 950 ≤ S < 1050 1050 if S ≥ 1050 ⎧⎨ ⎩ ⎧⎨ −49. 49. 57 S − 999 999.. 57 = 50. 43 ⎩ 50. ⎧⎨ 950 − 999 999.. 57 S − 999. 999 . 57 −999 999.. 57 = ⎩ 1050 − 999 999.. 57 if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 if S 1050 www.guo.coursehost.com ≥ ° c Yufeng Guo 59 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Profit= Profit 50 ⎧⎨ −49. 49. 57 if S < 950 S − 999 999.. 57 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 50. 50. 43 if S 1050 ≥ ⎩ 40 30 20 10 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 -10 1400 1600 1800 2000 Index Price -20 -30 -40 -50 Profit: long index, long 950-strike put, short 1050-strike call The net option premium is −20. 20. 025 025.. So we receiv receivee 20. 20 . 025 if we enter this col collar lar.. To con constr struct uct a zer zero-c o-cost ost collar collar and keep 950-str 950-strik ikee put put,, we need to increase the strike price of the call such that the call premium is equal to the put premium of 51. 51 .777 777.. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 60 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.12. Buy S&R indexput Buy 950-strike Sell 1107-strike call Total FV (initial cost) Initial Cost Payoff 1000 51. 51.777 51.873 −51. 1000 + 51. 51.777 − 51. 51.873 = 999. 999. 904 999. 999. 904(1 904(1..02) = 1019. 1019. 90208 S max (0 (0,, 950 − S ) (0,, S − 1050) −max (0 The net option premium is: 51. 51 .777 − 51. 51.873 = −0.096 . So we receive 00..096 if we enter enter this this collar collar.. Thi Thiss is very close close to a zero-c zero-cost ost collar, collar, where the net premium is zero. Payoff Buy S&R index Buy 950-strike put Sell 1050-strike call Total S < 950 S 950 S 0 − 950 The profit is: 950 if S < 950 S if 950 ≤ S < 1107 1107 if S ≥ 1107 ⎧⎨ ⎩ www.guo.coursehost.com 950 ≤ S < 11 1107 07 S 0 0 S 11 11007 ≤ S S 0 1107 − S 1107 ⎧⎨ −69. 69. 9 − 1019 1019.. 90 −1019 1019.. 90 = ⎩ S87. 87. 1 ° c Yufeng Guo if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1107 if S ≥ 1107 61 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Profit= Profit ⎧⎨ −69. 69. 9 if S < 950 S − 1019 1019.. 90 if 950 ≤ S < 1107 87. 87. 1 if S 1107 ≥ ⎩ 80 60 40 20 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Index Price -20 -40 -60 Profit: long index, long 950-strike put, short 1107-strike call www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 62 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.13. a. 1050-strike S&R straddle Straddle = buy a call and put with the same strike price and time to expiration. Buy1050-strike call Buy 1050-strike put Total FV (initial cost) Initial Cost 71. 71.802 101 101..214 71. 71.802 + 101. 101.214 = 173. 173. 016 173 173.. 016(1 016(1..02) = 176. 176. 476 476 32 Payoff max (0 (0,, S − 1050) max (0 (0,, 1050 − S ) Payoff Buy1050-strike call Buy 1050-strike put Total S < 1050 0 1050 − S 1050 − S The profit is: 1050 − S if S < 1050 S − 1050 if S ≥ 1050 ½ Profit S ≥ 1050 S − 1050 0 S − 1050 − 176 176.. 48 = ½ 873 873.. 52 − S if S < 1050 S − 1226 1226.. 48 if S ≥ 1050 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 -100 Index Price Profit: long 1050-strike call and long 1050-strike put www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 63 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES b. written 950-strike S&R straddle Initial revenue short 950-strike call 120 120..405 short 950-strike put Total FV (initial cost) Payoff max (0 (0,, S 51. 51.777 120. 120.405 + 51. 51.777 = 172. 172. 182 172. 172. 182(1 182(1..02) = 175. 175. 62564 950) −max (0 −− S) (0,, 950 Payoff S < 950 0 S − 950 S − 950 sell 950-strike call sell 950-strike put Total S ≥ 950 950 − S 0 950 − S The profit is: S − 950 if S < 950 + 175 175.. 66 = 950 − S if S ≥ 950 ½ Profit ½ S − 774 774.. 34 1125. 66 − S 1125. if S < 950 if S ≥ 950 100 0 20 200 0 40 400 0 60 600 0 800 10 1000 00 1200 1200 14 140 00 1600 1600 18 180 00 200 000 0 22 2200 00 -100 Index Price -200 -300 -400 -500 -600 -700 -800 -900 -1000 Profit: short 950-strike call and short 950-strike put www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 64 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES c. simultaneous purchase of 1050-straddle and sale of 950-straddle Profit = Profit of purchase of 1050-straddle + Profit of Sale of 950-straddle Profit 873. 873. 52 − S if S < 1050 S − 774 774.. 34 if S < 950 + S − 1226 1226.. 48 if S ≥ 1050 1125.. 66 − S if S ≥ 950 1125 ½ ½ ⎧⎨ 873 873.. 52 − S 873.. 52 − S ⎩ S873 − 1226 1226.. 48 ⎧⎨ S − 774 774.. 34 1125.. 66 − S 1125 ⎩ 1125 1125.. 66 − S if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 + if S ≥ 1050 ⎧⎨ 873 873.. 52 − S + (S (S − 774 774.. 34) 873.. 52 − S + (1125. (1125. 66 − S ) = ⎩ 873 S − 1226 1226.. 48 + (1125. (1125. 66 − S ) ⎧⎨ 99. 99. 18 1999.. 18 − 2S = ⎩ 1999 100.. 82 −100 Profit if if if if if if if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 S < 950 950 ≤ S < 1050 S ≥ 1050 S < 950 950 ≤ S < 1050 S ≥ 1050 100 80 60 40 20 0 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 Index Price -20 -40 -60 -80 -100 Profit: long 1050-strike straddle and short 950 straddle www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 65 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.14. The put-call parity is: Call (K, T ) + P V (K ) = P ut (K, T ) + S0 buy a put buy one index | {z } | {z } | {z } |{z} → | {z } | {z } | {z } |{z} → | {z } | {z } | {z } |{z} buy a call invest inve st PV of strike price P V (K1 ) = P ut (K1 , T ) + S0 inv invest est PV of strike price buy a put buy one index P V (K2 ) = P ut (K2 , T ) + S0 inv invest est PV of strike price buy a put buy one index Call (K1 , T ) + buy a call Call (K2 , T ) + buy a call ⎤ ⎤ ⎡ ⎡ ⎥ ⎥ ⎢ (K , T ) − Call (K , T )⎦+P V (K − K ) = ⎣P ut (K , T ) − P ut (K , T )⎦ → ⎢⎣Call | {z } | {z } | {z } | {z } 2 1 buy a call 2 1 2 1 buy a call buy a put buy a put ⎡ ⎤ ⎤ ⎡ ⎥ ⎥ ⎢ → ⎢⎣Call (K , T ) + −Call (K , T )⎦+P V (K − K ) = ⎣P ut (K , T ) + −P ut (K , T )⎦ | {z } | {z } | {z } | {z } 1 2 buy a call 1 2 sell a call 2 1 buy a put sell a put ⎡ ⎤ ⎡ ⎤ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ (K , T ) + −Call (K , T )⎦−⎣P ut (K , T ) + −P ut (K , T )⎦ = P V (K − K ) → ⎢⎣Call | {z } | {z } | {z } | {z } 1 1 2 buy a call sell a call 2 2 buy a put 1 sell a put ⎤ ⎡ ⎤ ⎡ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ (K , T ) + −Call (K , T )⎦+⎣−P ut (K , T ) + P ut (K , T )⎦ = P V (K − K ) → ⎢⎣Call | {z } | {z } | {z } | {z } 1 2 1 buy a call sell a call sell a put 2 2 buy a put The initial cost is P V (K2 − K1 ) at t = 0. The payoff at expiration T = 0. 0 .5 is K2 − K1 . The transaction is equivalent to investing P V (K2 − K1 ) in a savings account at t = 0 and receiving K2 − K1 at T , regardless of the S&R price at expirati expi ration. on. So the trans transacti action on doesn’t have have any S&R price price risk. We just earn the risk free interest rate over the 6- month period. In this problem, K 1 = 950 and K 2 = 1000 ⎡ ⎤ ⎡ ⎤ ⎢⎣Call (K , T ) + −Call (K , T )⎥⎦ + ⎢⎣−P ut (K , T ) + P ut (K , T )⎥⎦ | {z } | {z } | {z } | {z } 1 buy a call 1 2 sell a call ¡ sell a put ¢ 2 buy a put = P V (1000 − 950) = P V (50) = 50 1.02−1 = 49. 49. 02 So the total initial cost is 49. 49 .02. 02. The payoff is 49. 49 .02(1 02(1..02) = 50. 50. The profit is 0. 0 . We earn a 2% risk-free interest rate over the 6-month period. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 66 1 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.15. a. Buy a 950-strik 950-strikee call and sell two 10501050-strik strikee call callss buy a 950-stri 950-strike ke call call sell two 1050-strike calls Total FV (initial cost) Initial cost 120 120..405 2(71..802) = −143 143.. 604 −2(71 120. 120.405 − 143 143.. 604 = −23. 23. 199 23. 199(1 199(1..02) = −23. 23. 66298 −23. Payoff max (0 (0,, S − 950) 2max(0,, S − 1050) −2max(0 Payoff buy a 950-strike call sell two1050-strike calls Total S < 950 0 0 0 950 ≤ S < 1050 S − 950 0 S − 950 The profit is: 0 if S < 950 S 950 if 950 S < 1050 +23 +23.. 66 = − ≤ − ≥ 1150 S if S 1050 ⎧ ⎨⎩ ⎧⎨ 23. 23. 66 926.. 34 = − 926 ⎩ S1173 1173.. 66 − S S ≥ 1050 S − 950 −2 (S − 1050) S − 950 − 2 (S − 1050) = 1150 − S ⎧ 23. 23. 66 950 + 23. 23. 66 ⎨⎩ S1150 − − S + 23. 23 . 66 if S < 950 if 950 S < 1050 if S ≥ ≤ 1050 if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 Profit 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 Index Price -20 long 950-strike call and short two1050-strike calls www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 67 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES b. Buy two 950-strike calls and sell three 1050-strike calls Initial cost Payoff buy two 950-strike calls 2(120..405) = 240. 2(120 240. 81 2 max (0, S 950) −− 1050) −3max(0 sell three 1050-strike calls −3(71 3(71..802) = −215 215.. 406 3max(0,, S Total 240. 240. 81 − 215 215.. 406 = 25. 25. 404 FV (initial cost) 25. 25. 404(1 404(1..02) = 25. 25. 91208 Payoff buy two 950-strike calls sell three 1050-strike calls Total S < 950 0 0 0 950 ≤ S < 1050 2 (S − 950) 0 2 (S − 950) S ≥ 1050 2 (S − 950) −3 (S − 1050) 2 (S − 950) − 3 (S − 1050) = 1250 − S ⎧⎨Pro0 t: ⎧⎨ −25. if S < 950 25. 91 2 (S − 950) if 950 ≤ S < 1050 −25. 2 (S − 950) − 25. 25. 91 25. 91 = ⎩ 1250 − S if S ≥ 1050 ⎩ 1250 − S − 25. 25. 91 ⎧⎨ −25. 25. 91 if S < 950 = 2S − 1925 1925.. 91 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 ⎩ 1224 1224.. 09 − S if S ≥ 1050 fi Profit if S < 950 if 950 ≤ S < 1050 if S ≥ 1050 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 950 1000 1050 1100 -20 1150 1200 125 Index Price long two 950-strike calls and short three1050-strike calls www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 68 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES c. Buy n 950-strike calls and short m 1050-strike calls such that the initial premium is zero. n 71. 71.802 120..405 = 00..5963 120..405 120 405n n = 71. 71.802 802m m → m = 120 Problem 3.16. A spread consists of buying one option at one strike price and selling an otherwise identical option with a different strike price. A bull spread consists of buying one option at one strike and selling an otherwise identical option but at a higher strike price. A bear spread spread con consis sists ts of buyi buying ng one option option at one strik strikee and sellin sellingg an otherwise identical option but at a lower strike price. A bull spread and a bear spread will never have zero premium because the two options don’t have the same premium. A butterfly spread might have a zero net premium. Problem 3.17. According to http://www.da http://www.daytradeteam.com ytradeteam.com/dtt/butterfl /dtt/butterfly-options-trading. y-options-trading. asp , a butterfly spread combines a bull and a bear spread. It uses three strike prices. The lower prices. lower two strike prices prices are used in the bull spread, and the highe higherr strikee price in the bear spread. Both puts and calls strik calls can be used. used. A very large large profit is made if the stock is at or very near the middle strike price on expiration day. When you enter a butterfly spread, you are entering 3 options orders at once. If the stock remains or moves into a de fined range, you profit, and if the stock moves mov es out of the desired desired range, you lose. The closer the stock is to the middle middle strike price on expiration day, the larger your profit. For the strike price K 1 < K2 < K3 K2 = λK1 + (1 − λ) K3 1 -strike So for each and K2 -strike sold, there needs to bought. be λ units of K options bought (1 − λ)option units of K 3 -strike options In this problem, K1 = 950, 950, K 2 = 1020, 1020, K 3 = 1050 1020 = 950λ 950λ + (1 − λ) 1050 1050 → λ = 0.3 For every ten 1020 1020-strike -strike calls written, there needs to be three 950 950-strike -strike calls purchased and seven 1050 1050-strike -strike calls purchased (so we buy three 950 − 1020 bull spreads and seven 1020 − 1050 bear spreads). sell ten 1020 1020-strike -strike calls three 950 950-strike -strike calls seven 1050 1050-strike -strike calls Total FV (initial cost) www.guo.coursehost.com Initial cost 10 (−84. 84.47) = −844 844.. 7 3(120..405) = 361. 3(120 361. 215 7(71..802) = 502. 7(71 502. 614 844.. 7 + 361. 361. 215 + 502. 502. 614 = 19. 19. 129 −844 19. 19. 129(1 129(1..02) = 19. 19. 51158 ° c Yufeng Guo Payoff 10max(0,, S − 1020) −10max(0 3 max (0, S − 950) 7 max (0, S − 1050) 69 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Payoff S < 950 950 ≤ S < 10 1020 20 950-strike 950 -strike calls 0 3 (S 950) 1020-strike 1020 -strike calls 0 0 − 1050-strike 1050 -strike calls 0 0 Total 0 3 (S − 950) 3 (S − 950) − 10 (S − 1020) = 7350 − 7S 3 (S − 950) − 10 (S − 102 1020) 0) + 7 (S − 1050) = 0 The payoff ⎧⎪ 0 ⎨ 3 (S − 950) = ⎪⎩ 7350 − 7S 0 if if if if 10 10220 ≤ S < 10 1050 50 3 ( S 950) −10 (−S − 1020) 0 7350 − 7S 105 0500 ≤ S 3 (S 950) −10 (−S − 1020) 7 (S − 1050) 0 S < 950 950 ≤ S < 1020 1020 ≤ S < 1050 1050 ≤ S A key point to remember is that for a butter fly spread K 1 < K2 < K3 , the payoff is zero if S ≤ K1 or S ≥ K3 . The profit is: ⎧⎪⎨ −19. ⎧⎪⎨ 0 51950) − 19. if 950 S <≤ 950 3 (19 S .− 19. 51 3 (S − 950) if S < 1020 − 19. 19. 51 = 19. 51 ⎪⎩ 7350 − 7S − 19. ⎪⎩ 7350 − 7S if 1020 ≤ S < 1050 −19. 19. 51 0 if 1050 ≤ S ⎧⎪ −19. if S < 950 ⎨ 3S19−. 512869 2869.. 51 if 950 ≤ S < 1020 = 7330.. 49 − 7S if 1020 ≤ S < 1050 ⎪⎩ 7330 −19. 19. 51 if 1050 ≤ S www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo if if if if 70 S <≤ 950 950 S < 1020 1020 ≤ S < 1050 1050 ≤ S CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Payoff ⎧⎪ 0 ⎨ 3 (S − 950) = 7S ⎪⎩ 7350 − 0 ⎧⎪ 0 ⎨ 3 (S − 950) Pro t= ⎪⎩ 7350 − 7S 0 fi if if if if if if if if S < 950 950 ≤ S < 1020 1020 S < 1050 1050 ≤ S S < 950 950 ≤ S < 1020 1020 ≤ S < 1050 1050 ≤ S − 19. 19. 51 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 850 900 950 1000 1050 -20 1100 1150 1200 Stock Price Butterfly spread K 1 = 950, 950, K 2 = 1020, 1020, K 3 = 1050 The black line is the profit line. The blue line is the payoff line. www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 71 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.18. The option price table is: Stri Strike ke 35 40 45 Call Call prem premiu ium m 6.13 2.78 0.97 Pu Putt prem premiu ium m 0.44 1.99 5.08 Time to expiration is T = 91 91/ /365 ≈ 0.25 The annual effective rate is 8. 8 .33% √ The quarterly effective rate is 1.0833 − 1 = 202% 4 a. Buy 35—stri 35—strike ke call, sell two 40-strik 40-strikee calls, and buy 45-strik 45-strikee call. Let’s Let’s reproduce repr oduce the text textbook book Figure Figure 3.14. buy a 35-strike 35 -strike call sell two 40-strike 40 -strike calls buy a 45-strike 45 -strike call Total FV (initial cost) Initial cost 6.13 2 (−2.78) = −5. 56 0.97 6.13 − 5. 56 + 0. 0.97 = 1. 1. 54 1. 54(1 54(1..0202) = 1. 1. 571108 Payoff S < 35 35 ≤ S < 40 35-strike 35-strike call 0 S − 35 40-strike 40-strike calls 0 0 45-strike 45-strike call 0 0 Total 0 S − 35 S − 35 − 2 (S − 40) = 45 − S S − 35 − 2 (S − 40) + S − 45 = 0 ⎧⎪The0 payo ⎨ S − 35 ⎪⎩ 45 − S 0 ff is: if if if if The profit is: 0 if S − 35 if 45 − S if 0 if ⎧⎪ ⎨ ⎪⎩ 40 ≤ S < 45 S − 35 −2 (S − 40) 0 45 − S 45 ≤ S S − 35 −2 (S − 40) S − 45 0 S < 35 35 ≤ S < 40 40 ≤ S < 45 45 ≤ S S < 35 35 ≤ S < 40 40 ≤ S < 45 45 ≤ S www.guo.coursehost.com ⎧⎪ −1. 57 ⎨ − 36. 36. 57 − 1. 57 = ⎪ S43. . 43 − S ⎩ 43 −1. 57 ° c Yufeng Guo if if if if S < 35 35 ≤ S < 40 40 ≤ S < 45 45 ≤ S 72 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES ⎧⎪ 0 ⎨ S − 35 = S ⎪⎩ 45 0 − Payoff if if if if S < 35 35 ≤ S < 40 40 S < 45 45 ≤ S ⎧⎪ 0 ⎨ S − 35 Pro t= ⎪⎩ 45 − S 0 if if if if S < 35 35 ≤ S < 40 40 ≤ S < 45 45 ≤ S fi − 1. 57 5 4 Black line is Payoff 3 Blue line is Profit 2 1 0 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Stock Price -1 Butterfly spread K 1 = 35, 35, K 2 = 40, 40, K 3 = 45 www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo 73 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES b. Buy a 35— 35—str strik ikee put put,, sell sell two two 4040-str strik ikee puts, puts, and buy a 45-str 45-strik ikee put. put. Let’s reprodu Let’s reproduce ce the text textbook book Figur Figuree 3.14. Initial cost buy a 35-strike 35 -strike put 0.44 sell two 40-strike 40 -strike puts 2 (−1.99) = −3. 98 buy a 45-strike 45 -strike put 5.08 Total 0.44 − 3. 98 + 5. 5.08 = 1. 1. 54 FV (initial cost) 1. 54(1 54(1..0202) = 1. 1. 571108 Payoff 35-strike 35-strike put 40-strike 40-strike puts 45-strike 45-strike put Total S < 35 35 − S −2(40 − S ) 45 − S 0 35 ≤ S < 40 0 −2(40 − S ) 45 − S S − 35 40 ≤ S < 45 0 0 45 − S 45 − S 45 ≤ S 0 0 0 0 35 − S − 2(40 − S ) + 45 − S = 0 −2(40 − S ) + 45 − S = S − 35 ⎧⎪ 0 S < 35 ⎨ S − 35 ifif 35 ≤ S < 40 The payo = ⎪⎩ 45 − S if 40 ≤ S < 45 0 if 45 ≤ S ⎧⎪ 0 ⎧⎪ −1. 57 if S < 35 ⎨ S − 35 if 35 ≤ S < 40 ⎨ S − 36. 36. 57 The pro t = 1. 57 = − 43. 43 − S ⎪⎩ 45 − S if 40 ≤ S < 45 ⎪⎩ 43. 0 if 45 ≤ S −1. 57 ff fi www.guo.coursehost.com ° c Yufeng Guo if if if if S < 35 35 ≤ S < 40 40 ≤ S < 45 45 ≤ S 74 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES ⎧⎪ 0 ⎨ S − 35 = ⎪⎩ 045 − S if if if if S < 35 35 ≤ S < 40 40 S < 45 45 ≤ S ⎧⎪ 0 ⎨ S − 35 Pro t = ⎪⎩ 45 − S 0 if if if if S < 35 35 ≤ S < 40 40 ≤ S < 45 45 ≤ S Payoff fi − 1. 57 5 4 3 2 1 0 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Stock Price -1 Butterfly spread K 1 = 35, 35, K 2 = 40, 40, K 3 = 45 The black line is the payoff; the blue line is the profit. www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 75 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES c. Buy one stock, buy a 35 put, sell two 40 calls, and buy a 45 call. The put-call parity is: Call (K, T ) + P V (K ) = P ut (K, T ) + S0 | {z } buy a call | {z } | {z } invest inve st PV of strike price buy a put |{z} buy one stock →Buy stock + buy 35 put= put=buy 35 call + PV(35) PV(35) Buy one stock, buy a 35 put, sell two 40 calls, and buy a 45 call is the same as: buy a 35 call , sell two 40 calls, and buy a 45 call, and deposit PV (35) in a savings account. We already know know from Part a. that "buy a 35 call , sell two 40 calls, and buy a 45 call" reproduces the textbook pro fit diagram diagram Figure 3.14. −1 Depositing PV(35) PV(35) = 35 1.0202 = 34. 34. 31 won’t change the pro fit because any deposit in a savings account has zero profit. Hence the profit diagram of "Buy one stock, buy a 35 put, sell two 40 calls, ¡ ¢ and buy a 45 call" is Figure 3.14. www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 76 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURANCE, INSURANCE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES Problem 3.19. a. The parity is: Call (K, T ) − P ut (K, T ) = P V (F0,T − K ) We are told that Call (K, T ) − P ut (K, T ) = 0 → P V (F0,T − K ) = 0 P V (F0,T ) = P V (K ) Since P V (F0,T ) = S 0 → P V (K ) = S 0 b. Buying a call and selling selling an other otherwise wise iden identica ticall put creates creates a syntheti syntheticc long forward. c. We buy the call at the ask price and sell the put at the bid price. So we have to pay the dealer a little more than the fair price of the call when we buy the call from the dealer; we’ll get less than the fair price of put when we sell a put to the dealer. To ensure that the call prem premium ium equals equals the put premium premium given there’s a bid-ask spread, we need to make the call less valuable and the put more valuable. valuable. To mak makee the call less valuab aluable le and the put more valuable valuable,, we can increase the strike strike price. In other words, if there’s no bid-ask spread, then K = F 0,T . If there’s bid-ask spread, K > F 0,T . d. A synthet synthetic ic short stock positi p osition on means "buy put and sell call." call." To have zero zer o net premium premium after after the bid-ask bid-ask spread, spread, we need to make make the call more valuab valuable le and the put less valuab valuable. le. To ach achiev ievee this, we can decrease the strike strike price.. In other words, price words, if there there’s ’s no bid-ask bid-ask spread, then K = F0,T . If there there’s ’s bid-ask spread, K < F 0,T . e. Transaction fees is not really a wash because there’s a bid-ask spread. We pay more if we buy an option and we get less if we sell an option. Problem 3.20. This problem is about building a spreadsheet. You won’t be asked to build a spreadsheet in the exam. Skip this problem. www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 77 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 3. INSURAN INSURANCE, CE, COLLARS, COLLARS, AND OTHER STRA STRATEGIES TEGIES www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 78 Chapter 4 Introduction to risk management Problem 4.1. Let • S = the price of copper per pound at T = 1 • P BH =Profit per pound of copper at T = 1 before hedging • P AH =Profit per pound of copper at T = 1 after hedging For each pound of copper produced, XYZ incurs $0.5 fixed cost and $0.4 variable cost. P BH = S − (0. (0.5 + 0. 0.4) = S − 0.9 XYZ sells a forward. The pro fit of the forward at T = 1 is: F0,T − S = 1 − S → P AH = (S ( S − 0.9) + (F (F0,T We are told that F 0,T = 1 → P AH = 1 − 0.9 = 00..1 − S ) = F0,T − 0.9 79 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P BH = S Profit − 0.9 P AH = 0. 0 .1 ing dg e eh r fo Be 0.3 0.2 After hedging 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper price -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 Profit: before hedging and after hedging www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 80 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.2. P AH = F 0,T 0.9 If F 0,T = 0. 0 .8 − → P AH = 0. 0 .8 − 0.9 = −0.1 If XYZ shuts down its production, its pro fit at T = 1 is −0.5 (it still has to pay the fixed cost) If XYZ contin continues ues its production, production, its after after hedging hedging pro fit at T = 1 is −0.1 −0.1 > −0.5 →XYZ should continue its production If F 0,T = 0. 0 .45 0 .45 − 0.9 = −0.45 → P AH = 0. If XYZ shuts down its production, its pro fit at T = 1 is −0.5 (it still has to pay the fixed cost) If XYZ contin continues ues its production, production, its after after hedging hedging pro fit at T = 1 is −0.45 −0.45 > −0.5 →XYZ should continue its production Problem 4.3. The profit of a long K -strike put at T = 11:: K −S max ma x (0 (0,, K − S )−F V (Premium Premium)) = 0 ½ → P AH =S = ½ = P BH + − 0.9 + K S ½ ½ K−S 0 K −S 0 if S < K if S ≥ K www.guo.coursehost.com if S < K if S ≥ K if S < K if S ≥ K if S < K if S ≥ K Premium)) −F V (Premium − F V (Premium Premium)) − F V (Premium Premium)) Premium)) − 0.9 − F V (Premium c Yufeng Guo ° 81 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT K = 0.95 F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.0178(1 0178(1..06) = 0. 0.02 AH →P Profit = ½ 0.95 if S < 0. 0.95 S if S ≥ 0.95 − 0.92 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price Long 0.95-strike put www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 82 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT K=1 → P AH F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.037 0376 6 (1. (1.06) = 0. 0.04 1 if S < 1 0.06 if S < 1 = 0.9 − 0.04 = − S if S 1 S 0.94 if S 1 ½ ½ ≥ Profit − ≥ 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price Long 1-strike put www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 83 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT K = 1.05 →P AH = F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.0665(1 0665(1..06) = 0. 0.07 ½ 1.05 if S < 1. 1.05 S if S ≥ 1.05 −0.9 −0.07 = ½ 0.08 if S < 11.. 05 S − 0.97 if S ≥ 1.05 Profit 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price Long 1.05-strike put www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 84 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.4. The profit of a short K -strike call at T = 11:: max(0,, S − K )+ )+F F V (Premium Premium)) = − − max(0 →P AH =S = =P BH ½ − ½ − 0.9 − ½ S K 0 S−K 0 S−K if S < K if S ≥ K www.guo.coursehost.com ½ 0 S−K if S < K +F V (Premium Premium)) if S ≥ K if S < K + F V (Premium Premium)) if S ≥ K if S < K + F V (Premium Premium)) if S ≥ K − 0.9 + F V (Premium Premium)) c Yufeng Guo ° 85 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT K = 0.95 → P AH = Profit F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.0649(1 0649(1..06) = 0. 0.07 ½ S if S < 0. 0.95 0.95 if S ≥ 0.95 S − 0.9 + 0.07 = ½ 0.83 if S < 00..95 if 0.95 ≤ S −0.12 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price -0.1 -0.2 Short 0.95-strike call www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 86 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT K=1 F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.037 0376 6 (1. (1.06) = 0. 0.04 → P AH = ½ S 1 if S < 1 if S ≥ 1 S − 0.9 + 0.0.04 = ½ 0.86 if S < 1 if 1 ≤ S −0.14 Profit 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price -0.1 -0.2 Short 1-strike call www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 87 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT K = 1.05 → P AH = F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.0194(1 0194(1..06) = 0. 0.02 ½ S if S < 1. 1.05 1.05 if S ≥ 1.05 S −0.9+ 0.02 = ½ 0.88 if S < 11.. 05 −0.17 if 1. 05 ≤ S Profit 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price -0.1 -0.2 Short 1.05-strike call www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 88 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.5. P AH = P BH + P Collar P BH = S − 0.9 Suppose XYZ buy a K 1 -strike put and sells a K 2 -strike call. The profit of the collar is: P Collar = P ay ayoff off − F V (Net Initial Premium) Premium) = [max(0 [max(0,, K1 − S ) − ma max x (0, (0, S − K2 )] − F V (Put Premium) Premium) + F V (Call Premium)) Premium a. Buy 0.95-strike put and sell 1-strike call The payoff is max(0 max(0,, 0.95 − S ) − max(0 max(0,, S − 1) S < 0. 0 .95 0.95 ≤ S < 1 long 0.95-strike put 0.95 − S 0 short 1-strike call Total 00.95 − S 00 S 0 ≥1 − SS 11 − −F V (P ut P remiu remium m) + F V (Call Premium) Premium) = ( −0.0178 + 0. 0.037 0376) 6) 1.06 = 0. 0.02 ⎧⎨ 0.95 − S if S < 0.0.95 P Collar = ⎩ 10 − S ifif S0.95≥ 1≤ S < 1 + 0.0.02 P AH = P BH + P Collar = S − 0.9 + ⎧⎨ 0.95 − S 0 1−S ⎧⎨ 0.07 ⎩ if = ⎩ S −0.120.88 ifif www.guo.coursehost.com if S < 0. 0.95 if 0.95 ≤ S < 1 + 0. 0.02 if S ≥ 1 S < 0. 0 .95 0.95 ≤ S < 1 1≤S c Yufeng Guo ° 89 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH = ⎧⎨ 0.07 if S < 0. 0.95 S − 0.88 if 0.95 ≤ S < 1 0.12 if 1 S ≤ ⎩ Profit 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price Long 0.95-strike put and short 1-strike call www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 90 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT b. Buy 0.975-strike put and sell 1.025-strike call The payoff is max(0 max(0,, 0.975 S ) max(0 max(0,, S 1.025) − − S < 0. 0.975 0.975 ≤−S < 11..025 long 0.975-strike put 0.975 − S 0 short 1-strike call 0 0 Total 0.975 − S 0 −F V (P ut P remiu remium m) + F V (Call Premium) Premium) = ( −0.0265 + 0. 0.027 0274) 4) 1.06 = 0. 0.000954 = 0. 0.001 ⎧⎨ 0.975 − S if S < 0.0.975 1.025 P Collar = ≤ S < 1. ⎩ 10.025 − S ifif S0.975 ≥ 1.025 S ≥ 1.025 0 1.025 − S 1.025 − S + 0. 0.001 P AH = P BH + P Collar ⎧⎨ 0.975 − S if S < 0.0.975 1.025 = S − 0.9 + ≤ S < 1. ⎩ 10.025 − S ifif S0.975 ≥ 1.025 ⎧⎨ 0.076 if S < 0. 0.975 S − 0.899 if 0.975 ≤ S < 1. 1.025 = ⎩ 0.126 if 1. 025 ≤ S www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° + 0. 0.001 91 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH = ⎧⎨ 0.076 S − 0.899 0.126 if S < 0. 0.975 if 0.975 ≤ S < 11..025 if 1. 025 S ≤ ⎩ Profit 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price Long 0.975-strike put and short 1.025-strike call www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 92 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT c. Buy 1.05-st 1.05-strik rikee put and sell 1.05-s 1.05-strik trikee call The payoff is max(0 max(0,, 1.05 S ) max(0 max(0,, S 1.05) − − − S < 1. 1.05 S ≥ 1.05 long 1.05-strike put 1.05 − S 0 short 1.05-strike call 0 1.05 − S Total 1.05 − S 1.05 − S −F V (P ut P remiu remium m) + F V (Call Premium) Premium) = ( −0.0665 + 0. 0.019 0194) 4) 1.06 = −0.05 P Collar = (1. (1 .05 − S ) − 0.05 = 1 − S AH BH P =P + P Collar = S − 0.9 + 1 − S = 0.1 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 93 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH = 0. 0 .1 Profit 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 -0.2 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 Long 1.05-strike put and short 1.05-strike call www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 94 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.6. a. Sell one 1.025-strik 1.025-strikee put and buy two 0.975-s 0.975-strik trikee puts The payoff is 2max(0 2max(0,, 0.975 − S ) − ma max x (0, (0, 1.025 − S ) S < 0. 0.975 0.975 ≤ S < 11..025 long two 0.975-strike puts 2 (0. (0.975 − S ) 0 short 1.025-strike put S − 1.025 S − 1.025 Total 0.925 − S S − 1.025 S 0 0 0 ≥ 1.025 Initial net premium paid=2 paid=2 (0. (0.0265) − 0.0509 = 0. 0.0021 Future value: 0.0021(1 0021(1..06) = 0. 0.0022 P Paylater AH P ⎧⎨ 0.925 − S = ⎩ 0S − 1.025 BH =P if S < 0. 0.975 if 0.975 ≤ S < 1. 1 .025 if S ≥ 1.025 − 0.0022 P aylater +P ⎧⎨ 0.925 − S if S < 0.0.975 ≤ S < 11..025 − 0.0022 = S − 0.9 + ⎩ S0 − 1.025 ifif 0S.975 ≥ 1.025 ⎧⎨ 0.0228 if S < 0. 0.975 = 2S − 1. 9272 if 0.975 ≤ S < 1. ⎩ S − 0.9022 if 1. 025 ≤ S 1.025 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 95 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH Profit ⎧⎨ 0.0228 2S − 1. 9272 = S ⎩ − 0.9022 if S < 0. 0 .975 if 0.975 ≤ S < 11..025 if 1. 025 S ≤ 0.3 0.2 0.1 Hedged Profit 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price -0.1 -0.2 Unhedged Profit -0.3 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 96 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT b. Sell two 1.034-stri 1.034-strike ke puts and buy three 1-strike 1-strike puts ff The payo is 3max(0 3max(0,, 1 − S ) − 2max(0, , 1.034 − S ) S 2max(0 <1 long three 1-strike puts 3 (1 − S ) short two1.034-strike puts 2 (S − 1.034) Total 3 (1 − S ) + 2 (S − 1.034) = 0. 0.932 −S 1 ≤ S < 11..034 0 2 (S − 1.034) 2 (S − 1.034) Initial premium paid: 3 (0. (0.0376) − 2 (0. (0.0563) = 0. 0.0002 Future value: 0. 0 .0002(1 0002(1..06) = 0. 0.000212 Profit: ⎧⎨ 0.932 − S ⎩ 2 (S −01.034) if S <1 if 1 ≤ S < 1. 1 .034 if 1.034 ≤ S − 0.0002 P AH = P BH + P P aylater ⎧⎨ 0.932 − S if S < 1 S < 1. 1.034 − 0.0002 = S − 0.9 + ⎩ 2 (S −01.034) ifif 1 ≤1.034 ≤S ⎧⎨ 0.0318 if S < 1 . 9682 if 1 ≤ S < 1. 1 .034 = ⎩ 3SS−−02.9002 if 1. 034 ≤ S www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 97 S 0 0 0 ≥ 1.034 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH Profit ⎧⎨ 0.0318 3S − 2. 9682 = ⎩ S − 0.9002 if S < 1 if 1 ≤ S < 11..034 if 1. 034 S ≤ 0.3 0.2 0.1 Hedged Profit 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price -0.1 -0.2 Unhedged Profit -0.3 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 98 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.7. Telco buys copper wires from Wirco. Telco’s purchase price per unit of wire is $5 plus the price of copper. Telco collects $6.2 per unit of wire used. Telco’s unhedged profit is: P BH = 6. 6 .2 − (5 + S ) = 1. 2 − S If Telco buys a copper forward, the pro fit from the forward at T = 1 is S − F0,T The profit after hedging is P AH = P BH + S − F0,T = 1. 1 . 2 − S + S − F0,T = 1. 1 . 2 − F0,T F0,T = 1 1 . 2 − 1 = 0.2 → P AH = 1. www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 99 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH = 1. 1 . 2 − F0,T Profit P AH = 1. 1 . 2 − 1 = 0.2 0.6 Un hed ged P 0.5 rof it 0.4 0.3 0.2 Hedged Profit 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.7 www.guo.coursehost.com 0.8 0.9 c Yufeng Guo ° 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price 100 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.8. P BH = 1. 1. 2 S Telco buys a−K -strike call. The profit from the long call is: max ma x (0 (0,, S − K ) − F V (Premium Premium)) → P AH = 1. 1 . 2 − S + max max (0, (0, S − K ) − F V (Premium Premium)) 0 if S < K = 1. 1. 2 − S + − F V (Premium Premium)) S − K if S ≥ K ½ → P AH = 1. 1 . 2 − F V (Premium Premium)) − www.guo.coursehost.com ½ S K if S < K if S ≥ K c Yufeng Guo ° 101 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT a. K = 0.95 P AH F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.064 06499 (1 (1..06) = 0. 0.069 S if S < 00..95 1. 131 − S = 1. 1 . 2 0.069 = → − Profit − ½ 0.95 if S ≥ 0.95 ½ 0.181 if S < 00..95 if S ≥ 0.95 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.7 www.guo.coursehost.com 0.8 0.9 1.0 c Yufeng Guo ° 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Copper Price 102 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT b. K = 1 P AH P V (Premium Premium)) = 0.037 0376 6 (1. (1.06) = 0. 0.039 856 S if S < 1 1. 16 − S if S < 1 = 1. 1 . 2 0.04 = → − Profit − ½ 1 if S ≥1 ½ 0.16 if 1 ≤ S 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.7 www.guo.coursehost.com 0.8 0.9 1.0 c Yufeng Guo ° 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Copper Price 103 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT c. K = 1.05 P AH → F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.019 01944 (1 (1..06) = 0. 0.020564 S if S < 11..05 1. 18 − S if S < 11.. 05 = 1. 1 . 2 0.02 = − − 1.05 if S ≥ 1.05 0.13 if 1. 05 ≤ S ½ Profit ½ 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.7 www.guo.coursehost.com 0.8 0.9 1.0 c Yufeng Guo ° 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Copper Price 104 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.9. P BH = 1. 1. 2 S Telco sells a−put option with strike price K. The profit from the written put is: max x (0 (0,, K − S ) + F V (Premium Premium)) − ma → P AH = 1. 1 . 2 − S − ma max x (0, (0, K − S ) + F V (Premium Premium)) K − S if S < K = 1. 1. 2 − S − + F V (Premium Premium)) 0 if S ≥ K −K if S < K + 11.. 2 + F V (Premium = Premium)) −S if K ≤ S ½ ½ →P AH =− ½ K S if S < K + 11.. 2 + F V (Premium Premium)) if K ≤ S www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 105 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT a. K = 0.95 P AH = → − Profit ½ F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.017 01788 (1 (1..06) = 0. 0.018868 0.95 if S < 0. 0 .95 0.269 +1. +1. 2+0 2+0..019 = S if 0.95 ≤ S 1. 219 − S ½ if S < 00..95 if 0.95 ≤ S 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Copper Price -0.1 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 106 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT b. K = 1 P AH = → − Profit F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.037 0376 6 (1. (1.06) = 0. 0.039856 1 if S < 1 0.24 + 11.. 2 + 0. 0.04 = S if 1 ≤ S 1. 24 − S ½ ½ if S < 1 if 1 ≤ S 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Copper Price -0.1 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 107 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT c. K = 1.05 P AH = → Profit − ½ F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.066 06655 (1 (1..06) = 0 0..07049 1.05 if S < 1. 1 .05 0.22 +1. +1. 2+0 2+0..07 = S if 1.05 ≤ S 1. 27 − S ½ if S < 11.. 05 if 1. 05 ≤ S 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Copper Price -0.1 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 108 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.10. Suppose Telco sells a K 1 -strike put and buys a K 2 -strike call. The profit of the collar is: P Collar = P ay ayoff off − F V (Net Initial Premium) Premium) max (0, (0, S − K2 )] + F V (Put Premium) Premium) − F V (Call = [− ma max x (0, (0, K1 − S ) + max Premium)) Premium a. Sell 0.95-strik 0.95-strikee put and buy 1-strik 1-strikee call The payoff is − max(0 max(0,, 0.95 − S )+ max(0, max(0, S − 1) S < 0. 0.95 0.95 ≤ S < 1 S ≥ 1 short 0.95-strike put − (0. (0.95 − S ) 0 0 long 1-strike call 0 0 − (1 − S ) Total (0.95 − S ) 0 − (0. − (1 − S ) F V (P ut P remi remium um))−F V (Call P remium remium)) = (0. (0.0178 − 0.037 0376) 6) 1.06 = Collar P ⎧ S − 0.95 ⎨ =⎩ 0 S −1 −0.02 if S < 0. 0.95 if 0.95 ≤ S < 1 if S ≥ 1 − 0.02 P AH = P BH + P Collar ⎧⎨ S − 0.95 = 1. 1 . 2−S + 0 ⎩ S −1 www.guo.coursehost.com if S < 0. 0.95 if 0.95 ≤ S < 1 if S ≥ 1 c Yufeng Guo ° ⎧⎨ 0.23 −0.02 = ⎩ 1. 18 − S 0.18 if S < 00..95 if 0.95 ≤ S < 1 if 1 ≤ S 109 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH Profit ⎧⎨ 0.23 1. 18 − S = ⎩ 0.18 if S < 0. 0.95 if 0.95 ≤ S < 1 if 1 ≤ S 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Copper Price Short 0.95-strike put and long 1-strike call www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 110 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT b. Sell 0.975-strike put and buy 1.025-strike call The payoff is max(0 max(0,, 0.975 − S ) − max(0 max(0,, S − 1.025) short 0.975-strike put long 1-strike call Total S 0975 .975− S ) − <(0. (0.0. 0 − (0. (0.975 − S ) 00.975 ≤ S < 11..025 0 0 S 0 ≥ 1.025 − (1 (1..025 − S ) − (1 (1..025 − S ) F V (P ut P remi remium um))−F V (Call P remium remium)) = (0. (0.0265 − 0.027 0274) 4) 1.06 = S − 0.975 if S < 0. 0.975 0 if 0.975 ≤ S < 1. 1.025 − 0.001 P Collar = S − 1.025 if S ≥ 1.025 ⎧⎨ ⎩ −0.001 P AH = P BH + P Collar ⎧⎨ S − 0.975 if S < 0.0.975 0 if 0.975 S < 1. 1 .025 = 1. 1. 2 S + 0.001 ⎩ − − S − 1.025 if S ≥ 1.≤ 025 ⎧⎨ 0.224 if S < 0. 0 .975 = S + 1. 1. 199 if 0.975 ≤ S < 1. 1 .025 ⎩ 0−.174 if 1. 025 ≤ S www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 111 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH Profit ⎧⎨ 0.224 −S + 1. 1 . 199 = ⎩ 0.174 if S < 0. 0 .975 if 0.975 ≤ S < 11..025 if 1. 025 ≤ S 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Copper Price Short 0.95-strike put and long 1-strike call www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 112 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT c. Sell 0.95-s 0.95-strik trikee put and buy 0.95-st 0.95-strik rikee call The payoff is − max(0 max(0,, 0.95 − S ) + max max (0, (0, S − 0.95) short 0.95-strike put long 0.95-strike call Total S < 0. 0.95 − (0. (0.95 − S ) 0 S − 0.95 S ≥ 0.95 0 S − 0.95 S − 0.95 F V (P ut P remi remium um))−F V (Call P remium remium)) = (0. (0.0178 − 0.064 0649) 9) 1.06 = P Collar = (S ( S − 0.95) − 0.05 = S − 1 P AH = P BH + P Collar = 1. 1 . 2 − S + S − 1 = 0.2 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° −0.05 113 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH = 0. 0 .2 Profit 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 -0.2 1.0 1.1 1.2 Copper Price -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 Short 0.95-strike put and long 0.95-strike call www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 114 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.11. a. sell 0. 0 .975 975-strike -strike call and buy two 1. 1 .034 034-strike -strike calls The payoff is 2max(0 2max(0,, S − 1.034) − ma max x (0, (0, S − 0.975) S < 0. 0.975 0.975 ≤ S < 11..034 short 0.975-strike call 0 − (S − 0.975) long 1.034-strike calls 0 0 Total 0 − (S − 0.975) − (S − 0.975 975)) + 2 (S − 1.034) = S − 1. 093 ⎧⎨ 0 = −S ⎩ 0S.975 − 1. 093 The payoff S ≥ 1.034 − (S − 0.975) 2 (S − 1.034) S − 1. 093 if S < 0. 0.975 if 0.975 ≤ S < 1. 1.034 if S ≥ 1.034 Initial net premium paid=2 paid=2 (0. (0.0243) − 0.05 = −0.0014 Future value: − 0.0014(1 0014(1..06) = −0.001 484 ≈ −0.001 P Paylater ⎧⎨ 0 = −S ⎩ S0.975 − 1. 093 ⎧⎨ 0.001 −S = ⎩ S0.976 − 1. 092 if S < 0. 0.975 if 0.975 ≤ S < 1. 1 .034 + 0. 0.001 if S ≥ 1.034 if S < 0. 0.975 if 0.975 ≤ S < 1. 1.034 if 1. 034 ≤ S P AH = P BH + P P aylater 0.001 if S < 0. 0.975 = 1. 1. 2 − S + 0.976 − S if 0.975 ≤ S < 11..034 S − 1. 092 if 1. 034 ≤ S ⎧⎨ ⎩ 1. 201 S ⎨ ⎧ = 176 − 2S ⎩ 02..108 www.guo.coursehost.com if S < 0. 0.975 if 0.975 ≤ S < 1. 1.034 if 1. 034 ≤ S c Yufeng Guo ° 115 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH Profit ⎧⎨ 1. 201 − S 2. 176 − 2S = ⎩ 0.108 if S < 0. 0.975 if 0.975 ≤ S < 11..034 if 1. 034 ≤ S 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 Hedged Profit 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 -0.1 1.3 c Yufeng Guo ° 1.4 Copper Price Un hed ged -0.2 www.guo.coursehost.com 1.2 Pro fit 116 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT b. sell two 1-stri 1 -strike ke calls and buy three 1. 1 .034 034-strike -strike calls The payoff is −2max(0 2max(0,, S − 1) + 3 max max (0, (0, S − 1.034) S < 1 1 ≤ S < 1. 1 .034 sell two 1-strike 1 -strike calls 0 −2 (S − 1) buy three 1. 1 .034 034-strike -strike calls 0 0 Total 0 −2 (S − 1) −2 (S − 1) + 3 (S − 1.034) = S − 1. 102 ⎧⎨ 0 = ⎩ −S 2−(S1.−1021) The payoff S ≥ 1.034 −2 (S − 1) 3 (S − 1.034) S − 1. 102 if S < 1 if 1 ≤ S < 1. 1.034 if S ≥ 1.034 Initial net premium paid=3 paid=3 (0. (0.0243) − 2 (0. (0.0376) = −0.0023 Future value: − 0.0023(1 0023(1..06) = −0.002 438 ≈ −0.0024 P Paylater 0 ⎨ ⎧ = ⎩ S−2−(S1. −1021) P AH = P BH + P P aylater if S < 1 if 1 ≤ S < 1. 1.034 + 0. 0.0024 if S ≥ 1.034 ⎧⎨ 0 if S < 1 < 1. 1 .034 = 1. 1. 2 − S + ⎩ S−2−(S1. −1021) ifif S1 ≤≥ S1.034 ⎧⎨ 1. 2024 − S if S < 1 2024 − 3S if 1 ≤ S < 1. 1.034 = ⎩ 03..1004 if 1. 034 ≤ S www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° + 0. 0.0024 117 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH Profit ⎧⎨ 1. 2024 − S 3. 2024 − 3S = ⎩ 0.1004 0.5 if S < 1 if 1 ≤ S < 11..034 if 1. 034 ≤ S 0.4 0.3 0.2 Hedged Profit 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Copper Price -0.1 Unhe dge d -0.2 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° Pro fit 118 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.12. Wirco’s total profit per unit of wire produced: • Revenue. S + 5, 5, where S is the price of copper • Copper cost is S • Fixed cost is 3 • Variable cost 1.5 Profit before hedging: hedging: P BH = S + 5 − (S + 3 + 1. 1.5) = 0. 0.5 The profit is fixed regardless regardless of copper price price.. If Wirco buys a copper forward, this will introduce the copper price risk (i.e. Wirco’s profit will now depend on the copper price). Wirco buys a copper forward. The pro fit from the forward is S − F0,T The profit after hedging is P AH = P BH + S − F0,T = 0. 0 .5 + S − F0,T AH If F 0,T = 1 P = 0. 0 .5 + S 1 = S 0.5 fit depends on S . − Now you the pro→ If S goes−down, the profit goes down. Problem 4.13. The unhedged profit is P BH = 0. 0 .5. This doesn’t depend on the copper price at T = 1. 1 . However, if Wirco uses any derivatives (call, put, forward, etc.), this will make the hedged profit as a function of the copper price at T = 1. Using Using any derivatives will make the hedged profit fluctuate with the copper price, increasing the variability of the profit. Problem 4.14. The question "Did the firm earn $10 in pro fit (relative to accounting breakeven) or lose $30 in profit (relative to the profit that could be obtained by hedging?" portrays derivatives a way to make profit. However, most companies use derivatives to manage their risks, not to seek additional pro fit. If they have idle money, they would rather invest in their core business than buy call or put options options to make make money on stocks. This is all you need to know know about this question. Problem 4.15. Pre-tax operating income Tax at 40% After tax income Price=$9 Price=$9 −$1 (0.4) = −0.4 −1 (0. −1 − (−0.4) = −0.6 Because losses are fully tax deductible, we pay us a check of 0. 0 .4) Expected Expect ed profit is: 0. 0 .5 (−0.6 + 0. 0.72) = 0. 0.06 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° Price=$11..20 Price=$11 $1.2 1.2 (0 (0..4) = 0. 0.48 1.2 − 0.48 = 0. 0.72 −0.4 tax (i.e. (i.e. IRS will send 119 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT Problem 4.16. a. Expected pre-tax profit: Firm A: 0.5(1000 − 600) = 200 Firm B: 0.5 (300 + 100) = 200 b. Expected after-tax profit: Firm A Good State Bad State Pre-tax income 1000 −600 Tax at 40% 1000 100 0 (0. (0.4) = 400 −600(0 600(0..4) = −240 After tax income 1000 − 400 = 600 −600 − (−240) = −360 Expected after-tax profit: 0. 0 .5(600 − 360) = 120 Firm B Good State Bad State Pre-tax income 300 .4) = 120 110000(0 Tax at 40% 300(0. 300(0 0(0..4) = 40 After tax income 300 − 120 120 = 180 180 100 100 − 40 = 60 Expected after-tax profit: 0. 0 .5 (180 + 60) = 120 Problem 4.17. a. Expected pre-tax profit: Firm A: 0.5(1000 − 600) = 200 Firm B: 0.5 (300 + 100) = 200 b. Expected after-tax profit: Firm A Good State Bad State −600 Pre-tax income 1000 Ta Tax x 1000 100 0 (0. (0.4) = 400 0 After tax income 1000 − 400 = 600 −600 Expected after-tax profit: 0. 0 .5(600 − 600) = 0 Firm B Good State Bad State Pre-tax income 300 100 Tax at 40% 300(0..4) = 120 300(0 100(0 0(0..4) = 40 After tax income 300 − 120 120 = 180 180 100 100 − 40 = 60 Expected after-tax profit: 0. 0 .5 (180 + 60) = 120 c. This question is vague. I’m not sure to whom A or B might pay. This is what I guess the author wants us to answer: www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 120 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT The expected cash flow Company A receives depends on the taw law. 120 if loss loss iiss tax deduct deductibl iblee E ProfitA = 0 if loss loss is not tax deduct deductibl iblee ¡ ¢ ½ Suppose A is unsure about the IRS’s IRS’s tax policy (i. (i.e. e. not sure whether whether the loss is deductible or not next year). Then the present value of the di fference of the tax law is 120//1.1 = 109. 120 109. 09. 09. So the effect of the tax law has a present value 109.09. Compan Com pany y B does doesn’t n’t have have an any y loss. loss. Its after after tax profit doesn’t depend on whether a loss is tax deductible. So the e ffect of the tax law has a present value of zero. Problem 4.18. We are given: r = δ = 4.879% T =1 F0,T = S0 e−(r−δ)T = 420 → S0 = 420 Call strike price K C = 440; 440; put strike price K P = 400 First, find the call and put premiums premiums.. Instal Installl the CD contai contained ned in the textbook Derivatives Markets in your computer. computer. Open the spreadsheet spreadsheet titled "optbasic2." Enter: Inputs Stock Price 420 Exercise Price 440 Volatility 5.500% Risk-free interest rate 4.879% Time to Expiration (years) 1 Dividend Yield 4.879% You should get the call premium: C = 2.4944 Inputs Stock Price 420 Exercise Price 400 Volatility 5.500% Risk-free interest rate 4.879% Time to Expiration (years) 1 Dividend Yield 4.879% You should get the put premium: P = 22..2072 a. Buy 440-strike call and sell a 440-put Let S represent the gold price at the option expiration date T = 1. 1. www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 121 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT The payoff is: Buy 440-strike call Sell 400-strike put Total ⎧⎨ S − 400 Payo = ⎩ 0S − 440 ff S < 400 400 ≤ S < 440 −0 (400 − S ) S − 400 0 0 0 S ≥ 440 S − 440 0 S − 440 if S < 400 if 400 ≤ S < 440 if S ≥ 440 The initial cost of the collar is: Premium = 2.4944 − 2.2072 = 0. 0.2872 0 . 04879(1) F V (Premium Premium)) = 0.2872 2872ee = 0. 0 .30 So the profit from the collar is: P Collar S 400 ⎨ ⎧ = ⎩ S0 −− 440 if S < 400 if 400 ≤ S < 440 if S ≥ 440 − 0.30 The profit before hedging: • Auric sells sells eac each h widget fo forr $800 • It has fixed cost: $340 • Input (gold) cost: S Profit before hedgin hedging: g: P BH = 800 − (340 + S ) = 460 − S www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 122 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT So Auric’s profit after hedging: P AH = P BH + P Collar ⎧⎨ S − 400 = 460−S + 0 ⎩ S − 440 Profit if S < 400 if 400 ≤ S < 440 if S ≥ 440 ⎧⎨ 59. 59. 7 459.. 7 − S −0.30 = ⎩ 459 19. 19. 7 if S < 400 if 400 ≤ S < 440 if 440 ≤ S 60 50 40 30 20 360 360 370 38 380 0 390 390 400 41 410 0 42 420 0 43 430 0 440 440 450 46 460 0 470 470 48 480 0 490 50 500 0 Gold Price www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 123 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT b. We need to find C=P KC − KP = 30 Using the spreadsheet "optbasic2," after trial-and-error, we find that: KC = 435. 435.52 KP = 405. 405.52 C = 3.4264 P = 33..4234 →C≈P ½ Let K C and K P represent the strike price for the call and the put. Collar width 30 → K C − KP = 30 Let C and P represent the call and put premium calculated by the BlackScholes formula When we buy the call, we pay C = C + 0. 0 .25 When we sell the put, we get P = P − 0.25 Zero collar→ C = P C + 0. 0 .25 = P − 0.25 C = P − 0.5 So we need to find C and P such C = P 0.5 KC − K−P = 30 0 0 0 0 ½ This is all the concepts you need to know about this problem. Using the spreadsheet "optbasic2," after trial-and-error, we find that: KC = 436. 436.53 KP = 406. 406.53 C = 3.1938 P = 33..6938 Problem 4.19. a. Sell 440440-stri strike ke call and buy two K -strike calls such the net premium is zero. The 440-strike call premium is: C 440 = 2. 2 .4944 440 We need to find K such that C − 2C K = 0 K → 2.4944 − 2C K =0 C = 2. 2 .4944 4944//2 = 11.. 2472 We know that K > 440 (otherwise C K ≥ C 440 ) Using the spreadsheet "optbasic2," after trial-and-error, we find that: K = 448. 448.93 C K = 1. 1 .2469 ≈ 1. 2472 b. Profit before hedging: P BH = 800 − (340 + S ) = 460 − S Zero cost collar →Profit = Payoff The payoff is: S < 440 440 ≤ S < 448 448..93 S ≥ 448 448..93 sell 440 440-strike -strike call 0 − (S − 440) − (S − 440) buy two 448 448..93-strike 93-strike calls 0 0 2 (S − 448 448..93) Total 0 440 − S S − 457. 457. 86 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 124 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT − (S − 440 440)) + 2 (S − 448 448..93) = S − 457 457.. 86 P Collar ⎧⎨ 0 S = ⎩ S440−−457 457.. 86 if S < 440 if 440 ≤ S < 448 448..93 if S ≥ 448 448..93 So Auric’s profit after hedging: P AH = P BH + P Collar 0 if S < 440 if 440 ≤ S < 448 448..93 = = 460−S + 440 − S S − 457 457.. 86 if S ≥ 448 448..93 ⎧⎨ ⎩ www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° ⎧⎨ 460 − S − 2S ⎩ 900 2. 14 if S < 440 if 440 ≤ S < 448 448..93 if 448. 448. 93 ≤ S 125 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT P AH Profit ⎧⎨ 460 − S 900 − 2S = ⎩ 2. 14 if S < 440 if 440 ≤ S < 448 448..93 P BH = 460 − S if 448 448.. 93 ≤ S 60 50 40 30 20 10 Hedged profit 0 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 -10 -20 480 490 500 Gold Price Unhedged Profit -30 -40 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 126 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTRODUCTIO INTRODUCTION N TO RISK MANA MANAGEMENT GEMENT Problem 4.20. Ignore. Not on the FM syllabus. Problem 4.21. Ignore. Not on the FM syllabus. Problem 4.22. Ignore. Not on the FM syllabus. Problem 4.23. Ignore. Not on the FM syllabus. Problem 4.24. Ignore. Not on the FM syllabus. Problem 4.25. Ignore. Not on the FM syllabus. www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 127 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 4. INTR INTRODUCTI ODUCTION ON TO RISK MANAGEMENT MANAGEMENT www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 128 Chapter 5 Financial forwards and futures Problem 5.1. Description Sell asset outright Sell asset through loan Short prepaid forward Short forward Get paid at time 0 T 0 T Deliver asset at time 0 0 T T payment S0 at t = 0 S0 erT at T S0 at t = 0 S0 erT at T Problem 5.2. a. F P = S e−δT P V (Div Div)) 0,T −0.− 06(3/ 06(3 /12) 06(6/ /12) 06(9/ /12) 06(12/ /12) −0(1) 0 + e−0.06(6 + e−0.06(9 + e−0.06(12 = 50e 50 e −e = 46. 46 . 1467 £ 46 . 1467 1467ee0.06(1) = 49. 49 . 0003 b. F0,T = F0P,T erT = 46. Problem 5.3. a. F0P,T = S0 e−δT = 50e 50 e−0.08(1) = 46. 46 . 1558 46 . 1558 1558ee0.06(1) = 49. 49 . 0099 b. F0,T = F0P,T erT = 46. Problem 5.4. 129 ¤ CHAPTER 5. FINANCI FINANCIAL AL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES (0..05 05− −0)0 0)0..5 a. F0,T = S0 e(r−δ)T = 35e 35 e(0 = 35. 35 . 8860 35.5 = 0. b. 1 ln F 0,T = 1 ln 35. 0 .02837 T S0 0.5 35 c. F0,T = S0 e(r−δ)T www.guo.coursehost.com (0.05− 05−δ)0 )0..5 35. 35.5 = 35e 35e(0. c Yufeng Guo ° → δ = 2. 163% 130 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 5. FINANCIAL FINANCIAL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES Problem 5.5. (0.05 05− 0)9/ /12 −0)9 a. F0,T = S0 e(r−δ)T = 1100e 1100e(0. = 1142. 1142. 0332 b. As a buyer in a forward contract, we face the risk that the index may be worth zero at T (i.e. ST = 0), yet we still have to pay F0,T to buy it. This This is how to hedge our risk: Transactions t=0 T long a forward (i.e. be a buyer in forward) 0 ST − F0,T short sell an index S0 −ST deposit S 0 in savings account −S0 S0erT Total 0 S0 erT − F0,T For this problem: Transactions buy a forward short sell an index deposit S 0 in savings account Total t= 0 0 1100 1100 −110 0 T ST 1142 1142.. 03 −ST− (0..05)9 05)9/ /12 110 1100e(0 = 1142. 1142. 03 0 Afterr hedging, Afte hedging, our profit is zero. c. As a sel seller ler in the forward forward contra contract, ct, we face the risk that ST = ∞ . If ST = ∞ and we don’t already have an index on hand for delivery at T , we have to pay S T = ∞ and buy an index from the open market. We’ll be bankrupt. This is how to hedge: Transactions t=0 T sell a forward (i.e. be a seller in forward) 0 F0,T − ST buy an index −S0 ST borrow S 0 S0 −S0erT Total For this problem: Transactions sell a forward (i.e. be a seller in forward) buy an index borrow S 0 Total 0 t=0 0 −1100 1100 0 F0,T − S0 erT T 1142. 03 − ST ST (0.05)9 05)9/ /12 −1100 1100ee(0. = −1142 1142.. 03 0 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 131 CHAPTER 5. FINANCI FINANCIAL AL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES Problem 5.6. (0.05 05− 015)9/ /12 −0.015)9 a. F0,T = S0 e(r−δ)T = 1100e 1100e(0. = 1129. 1129. 26 b. Transactions long a forward (i.e. be a buyer in forward) short sell e −δT index deposit S 0 e−δT in savings account Total For this problem: Transactions buy a forward short sell e −δT index deposit S 0 e−δT in savings Total t= 0 0 S0 e−δT −S0e−δT 0 t=0 0 015)9/ /12 1100ee(−0.015)9 1100 = 1087. 1087. 69 1087.. 69 1087 0− c. Transactions short a forward (i.e. be a seller in forward) buy e −δT index borrow S 0 e−δT Total t=0 0 −S0e−δT S0 e−δT 0 For this problem: Transactions t=0 short a forward 0 015)9/ /12 1100e(−0.015)9 = −1087 1087.. 69 buy e −δT index −1100e −δT borrow S 0 e 1087.. 69 1087 Total 0 T ST − F0,T −ST S0 e(r−δ)T S0 e(r−δ)T − F0,T T ST − 1129 1129.. 26 −ST (0..05)9 05)9/ /12 1087. 69e 69e(0 = 1129. 1129. 26 0 T F0,T − ST ST −S0e(r−δ)T S0 e(r−δ)T − F0,T T 1129.. 26 − ST −1129 ST (0.05)9 05)9/ /12 1087.. 69e 69e(0. = −1129 1129.. 26 −1087 0 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° CHAPTER CHAPTE R 5. FINANCIAL FINANCIAL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES Problem 5.7. (0..05)0 05)0..5 F0,T = S0 erT = 1100e 1100e(0 = 1127. 1127. 85 a. The 6-month 6-month forward forward price in the mark market et is 1135 1135,, which is greater than the fair forward price 1127 1127.. 85. 85. So we have have two identical identical forwards forwards (one in the open market and one that can be synthetically built) selling at di fferent prices. To arbitrage, always buy low and sell high. Transactions t=0 T = 0. 0 .5 sell expensive forward from market 0 1135 − ST build cheap forward buy an index −1100 ST (0..05)0 05)0..5 borrow 110 1100 1100 100 −1100 1100ee(0 = −1127 1127.. 85 Total profit 0 1135 − 1127 1127.. 85 = 7. 7. 15 We didn’t pay anything at t = 0, but we have a pro fit 77.. 15 at T = 0. 0 .5. b. The 6-month forward price in the market is 1115 1115,, which is cheaper than the fair forward price 1127 1127.. 85. 85. So we have have two identical identical forwards forwards (one in the open market and one that can be synthetically built) selling at di fferent prices. To arbitrage, always buy low and sell high. Transactions t= 0 T = 0. 0 .5 buy cheap forward from market 0 ST − 1115 build expensive forward for sale short sell an index 1100 −ST (0..05)0 05)0..5 lend 1100 −1100 1100 110 1100e(0 = 1127. 1127. 85 Total profit 0 1127. 85 − 1115 = 12. 12. 85 We didn’t pay anything at t = 0, but we have a pro fit 12. 12 . 85 at T = 0. 0 .5. 132 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 133 CHAPTER 5. FINANCI FINANCIAL AL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES Problem 5.8. (0.05 05− 02)0..5 −0.02)0 F0,T = S 0 e(r−δ)T = 1100e 1100e(0. = 1116. 1116. 62 a. The 6-mon 6-month th forward forward price in the mark market et is 1120 1120,, which is greater than the fair forward price 1116 1116.. 62. 62. So we have tw two o identical identical forwards forwards (one in the open market and one that can be synthetically built) selling at different prices. To arbitrage, always buy low and sell high. Transactions t=0 T = 0. 0 .5 sell expensive forward 0 1120 − ST build cheap forward 02)0..5 buy e −δT index −1100 1100ee(−0.02)0 = −1089 1089.. 05 ST − δT ( − 0 . 02)0. 02)0 . 5 (0..05)0 05)0..5 = −1116 borrow S 0 e 1100ee 1100 = 1089. 1089. 05 1089.. 05e 05e(0 1116.. 62 −1089 Total profit 0 1120 − 1116 1116.. 62 = 3. 3. 38 We didn’t pay anything at t = 0, but we have a profit 33.. 38 at T = 0. 0 .5. b. The 6-month forward price in the market is 1110 1110,, which is cheaper than the fair forward price 1116 1116.. 62. 62. So we have two identical forwards (one in the open market and one that can be synthetically built) selling at di fferen erentt prices. To arbitrage, always buy low and sell high. Transactions t=0 T = 0. 0 .5 buy cheap forward from market 0 ST − 1110 build expensive forward for sale 02)0..5 short sell e −δT index 1100 1100ee(−0.02)0 = 1089. 1089. 05 −ST −δT (0.05)0 05)0..5 lend S 0 e −1089 1089.. 05 1089. 05e 05e(0. = 1116. 1116. 62 Total profit 0 1116. 62 − 1110 = 6. 6. 62 We didn’t pay anything at t = 0, but we have a profit 66.. 62 at T = 0. 0 .5. Problem 5.9. This is a poorly designed problem, more amusing than useful for passing the exam. Don’t waste any time on this. Skip. www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 134 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 5. FINANCIAL FINANCIAL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES Problem 5.10. (0.05 05− )0..75 −δ )0 a. F0,T = S0 e(r−δ)T → 1129 1129..257 = 1100e 1100e(0. 1129..257 1129 (0..05− 05−δ )0. )0.75 e(0 = 1100 1 1129..257 1129 0.05 − δ = ln = 3. 3 . 5% 0.75 1100 δ = 1.5% b. If you believe that the true dividend yield is 0. 0 .5% 5%,, then the fair forward price is: (0.05 05− −0.005)0 005)0..75 F0,T = 1100e 1100e(0. = 1137. 1137. 759 The market forward price is 1129 1129..257 257,, which is cheaper than the fair price. To arbitrage, buy low and sell high. Transactions t= 0 T = 0. 0 .5 1129..257 buy cheap forward from market 0 ST − 1129 build expensive forward for sale short sell e −δT index lend S 0 e−δT Total profit 005)0..75 1100e(−0.005)0 1100e = 1095. 1095. 883 −1095 1095.. 883 0 −ST (0..05)0 05)0..75 = 1137. 1095. 883 883ee(0 1137. 75 9 1137. 75 9 − 1129 1129..257 = 8. 8. 502 c. If you believe believe that the true dividend yield yield is 3%, 3%, then the fair forward price is: (0.05 05− −0.03)0 03)0..75 F0,T = 1100e 1100e(0. = 1116. 1116. 624 The market forward price is 1129 1129..257 257,, which is higher than the fair price. To arbitrage, buy low and sell high. Transactions t=0 T = 0. 0 .5 sell expensive forward 0 1129.257 − ST build cheap forward 03)0..75 = 1075 buy e −δT index 1100ee(−0.03)0 1100 1075.. 526 ST δT (0.05)0 05)0..75 − − − borrow S 0 e 1075.. 526 1075 1075.. 526 526ee(0. = −1116 1116.. 624 −1075 Total profit 0 1129.257 − 1116 1116.. 624 = 12. 12. 633 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 135 CHAPTER 5. FINANCI FINANCIAL AL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES Problem 5.11. a. One One cont contra ract ct is wor worth th 1200 1200 poin points ts.. Ea Eacch poin point is wort worth h $250 $250.. The The notional value of 4 S&P futures is: 4 × 1200 × 250 = $1, $1, 200 , 000 b. The value of the initial margin: $1, $1 , 200 , 000 × 0.1 = $120, $120, 000 Problem 5.12. a. Notional value of 10 S&P futures: 10 × 950 × 250 = $2, $2, 375 , 000 The initial margin: $2375 $2375 000 × 0.1 = $237, $237, 500 b. The maintenance margin: 237 237,, 500 500 (0 (0..8) = 190, 190, 000 At the end of Week 1, our initial margin grows to: 06(1/ /52) 237500ee0.06(1 237500 = 237774. 237774. 20 Suppose the futures price at the end of Week 1 is X . The future futuress price at t = 0 is 950 950.. After marking-to marking-to-market, -market, w wee gain ((X X − 950) points per contract. The notional gain of the 4 futures after marking-to-market is: (X − 950 950)) (10) (10) (25 (250) 0) After marking-to-market, our margin account balance is 237774.. 20 + (X 237774 (X − 950) 950)(10) (10) (250) = 2500 2500X X − 2137225 2137225.. 8 We get a margin call if 2500X 2500 X − 2137225 2137225.. 8 < 190000 → X < 930 930.. 89032 For example, X = 930. 930. 89 will lead to a margin call. Problem 5.13. a. Transactions buy forward lend S 0 Total t0 = 0 −S0 −S0 b. Transactions buy forward lend S 0 − P V (Div Div)) Total c. Transactions buy forward lend S 0 e−δT Total T ST − F0,T = S T S0 erT ST t=0 0 Div)) −S0 + P V (Div −S0 + P V (Div) Div ) t=0 0 −S0e−δT S0 e−δT − − S0erT T ST − F0,T = S T − S0 erT + F V (Div Div)) rT Div)) S0 e − F V (Div ST T ST − F0,T = S T S0 e(r−δ)T ST − S0e(r−δ)T c Yufeng Guo ° www.guo.coursehost.com 136 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 5. FINANCIAL FINANCIAL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES Problem 5.14. If the forward price F 0,T is too low, this is how to make some free money. 1. Buy low. low. At t = 0, enter a forw forward ard to buy one stock. Incur transacti transaction on cost k k.. 2. Sell Sell high. high. At t = 0, sell one stock short and receive S 0b − k 3. The net cash flow after 1 and 2 is S0b S0b − 2k er T at T ¢ ¡ l − 2k. Len Lend S0b − 2k and receive 4. At T , pay F 0,T and receive one stock. Return the stock to the broker. The net cash flow after 1 through 4 is zero. Your pro fit at T is: S0b − 2k er T − F0,T Arbitrage is possible if: ¡ ¡ ¢ ¢ l l l S0b − 2k er T − F0,T > 0 → F0,T < ¡ S0b − 2k er To avoid arbitrage, we need to have: F0,T ≥ F − = S0b − 2k er T To avoid arbitrage, we need to have: S0b − 2k er T = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = (S ( S0a + 22k k) er ¡ ¢ l ¡ ¢ ¢ T l b T Problem 5.15. a. k = 0 and there’s no bid-ask spread (so S 0a = S0b = 800) 800) So the non-arbitrage non-arbitrage bound is: (0..05)1 (0.055)1 800ee(0 800 = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = 800e 800e(0. → 841 841.. 02 = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = 845. 845. 23 Hence arbitrage is not profitable if 841 841.. 02 ≤ F0,T ≤ 845 845.. 23 800) b. k = 1 and there’s no bid-ask spread (so S 0a = S0b = 800) Please note that you can’t blindly copy the formula: k) er T ( S0a + 22k S0b − 2k er T = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = (S This is because the problem states that k is incurred for longing or shorting a forward and that k is not incurr incurred ed for buyin buying g or selling an index. Giv Given en k is incurred only once, the non-arbitrage bound is: ( S0a + k ) er T S0b − k er T = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = (S (0.05)1 = F − (800 − 1) e(0. ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = (800 + 1) e(0(0..055)1 → 839 839.. 97 = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = 846. 846. 29 ¢ ¡ ¡ ¢ b l b l c. Once again, you can’t blindly use the formula k) er T ( S0a + 22k S0b − 2k er T = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = (S The problem states that k 1 = 1 is incurred for longing or shorting a forward and k2 = 2.4 is inc incurr urred ed for buyi buying ng or selli selling ng an ind index. ex. The non-arb non-arbitr itrage age formula becomes: ¡ ¢ l b c Yufeng Guo ° www.guo.coursehost.com 137 CHAPTER 5. FINANCI FINANCIAL AL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES b l ( S0a + k1 + k2 ) er T S0b k1 k2 er T = F − F0,T F + = (S + = (800 + 1 + 2. (0.055)1 (0.05)1 = F≤ − ≤ F0≤ 2.4) e(0. (800−− 1 − 2.4) e(0. ,T ≤ F → 837 837.. 44 = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = 848. 848. 82 ¢ ¡ d. Once again, you can’t blindly use the formula S0b − 2k er T = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = (S ( S0a + 2k 2k ) e r T The problem states that k 1 = 1 is incurred for longing or shorting a forward; k2 = 2.4 is incurred twice, for buying or selling an index, once at t = 0 and the other at T . The non-arbitrage formula becomes: S0b − k1 − k2 er T − k2 = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = (S ( S0a + k1 + k2 ) er T + k2 (0.05)1 (0.055)1 (800 − 1 − 2.4) e(0. − 2.4 = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = (800 + 1 + 2. 2.4) e(0. + 2.4 → 837 837.. 44 − 2.4 = F − ≤ F0,T ≤ F + = 848. 848. 82 + 2. 2. 4 + − 851. 22 835.. 04 = F ≤ F0,T ≤ F = 851. → 835 ¡ ¡ ¢ l b ¢ l b e. The non-arbitrage higher bound can be calculated as follows: 1. At t = 0 sell a forward contract. Incur cost k 1 = 1. 2. At t = 0 buy 1.003 ind index. ex. Thi Thiss is wh why y we need need to buy 1.00 1.003 3 index. index. We pay 0.3% of the index value value to the brok broker. er. So if we buy one index, this index becomes becomes 1-0.3 1-0.3%=0. %=0.997 997 index after the fee. To have one index, index, we 1 1 need to have = ≈ 1 + 00..3% = 1.1.003 (remember we need 0.997 1 − 0.3% to deliver one index at T to the buyer in the forwar forward). d). To verify, verify, if we 1 1 have index, this will become (1 − 0.3%) = 1 index after the 0.997 0.997 1 fee is deduc deducted. ted. Notice Notice we use the Taylor Taylor series series ≈ 1 + x + x2 + ... 1−x for a small x 3. At t = 0 borrow 1.003 003S S0 + k1 = 1.003(800) + 1. 1. Repay Repay this this loan with with r T (1. (1.003 003S S0 + k1 ) e at T b 4. At T deliver the index to the buyer and receive F 0,T . Pay the settlement fee 0. 0 .3% 3%S S0 Your initial cost for doing 1 through 4 is zero. Your pro fit at T is: F0,T − (1. (1.003 003S S0 + k1 ) er T − 0.3% 3%S S0 b To avoid arbitrage, we need to have F0,T − (1. (1.003 003S S0 + k1 ) er T − 0.3% 3%S S0 ≤ 0 F0,T ≤ (1. (1.003 003S S0 + k1 ) er T + 0. 0.3% 3%S S0 (0.055)1 + 0. = (1. (1 .003 × 800 + 1) e(0. 0.003 × 800 = 851. 851. 22 The lower bound price can also be calculated as follows: b b www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 138 CHAPTER CHAPTE R 5. FINANCIAL FINANCIAL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES 1. Buy low low.. At t = 0, enter a forward to buy 1. 1 .003 index (why 1.003 index will be explained explained later later). ). Incu Incurr transacti transaction on cost k 1 = 1. 2. Sell high. high. At t = 0, sell 0. 0 .997 index short. Receive 00..997 (800) (800) − 1. This is why we need to short sell 0.997 index. If we short sell one index, the broker charges us 0.3% of the index value and we’ll owe the broker 1+0.3%=1.003 index.. In order to ow index owee the brok broker er exactly one index index,, we need to b borro orrow w 1 ≈ 1 − 0.003 = 0.0.997 index from the broker. 1.003 3. Lend Lend 00..997 (800) − 1 and receive (0 (0..997 (800) − 1) er l T at T 4. At T , pay 1. 1.003 003F F0,T and receive 1. 1.003 index. Pay settlement fee 00..3%(1 3%(1..003) 003).. After the settlement fee, we have (1. (1.003 003)) (1 − 0.3%) ≈ 1 in index dex left. We return this index to the broker. The net initial cash flow after 1 through 4 is zero. Your pro fit at T is: l (0 (0..997 (800) − 1) er T − 1.003 003F F0,T To avoid arbitrage, (0 (0..997 (800) − 1) er T − 1.003 003F F0,T ≤ 0 (0.05)1 (0. (0.997 × 800 − 1) e(0. (0.997 (80 (800) 0) − 1) er T = 834. 834. 94 = → F0,T ≥ (0. 1.003 1.003 The non-arbitrage bound is: 851.. 22 834.. 94 ≤ F0,T ≤ 851 → 834 Makee sure you understan Mak understand d part e, whi which ch pro provid vides es a framew framework ork for finding the non-arbit non-arbitrage rage bound for complex proble problems. ms. Once you understand understand this framework, you don’t need to memorize non-arbitrage bound formulas. l l Problem 5.16. Not on the syllabus. Ignore. Problem 5.17. Not on the syllabus. Ignore. Problem 5.18. Not on the syllabus. Ignore. Problem 5.19. Problem 5.20. 1 1 91 × × = 11.. 7113% 100 4 90 a. r91 = (100 − 93. 93.23) × b. $10 (1 + 0.017113) = $10. $10. 171 171 13 (million) www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 139 CHAPTER 5. FINANCI FINANCIAL AL FORW FORWARDS AND FUTURES c Yufeng Guo ° www.guo.coursehost.com 140 Chapter 8 Swaps Problem 8.1. time t annual interest during [0, [0 , t] fixed payment floating payments 0 1 6% R 22 2 6.5% R 23 PV fixed payments=PV floating payments 22 1.06 + 23 1.0652 = R 1.06 + R 1.0652 , R = 22. 22. 4831 Problem 8.2. a. time t annual interest during [0, [0 , t] fixed payment floating payments 0 1 6% R 20 2 6.5% R 21 3 7% R 2222 PV fixed payments=PV floating payments 20 1.06 + 21 1.0652 + 22 1.073 = R 1.06 + R 1.0652 + R , 1.073 R = 20. 20. 952 b. We are now standing at t = 1 P (0,ti )f0 (ti ) . recommend that initiall initially y you don’t memorize the complex formula R P (0,ti ) Draw a cash fl ow diagram and set up the equation PV fi xed payments = PV fl oating payments. Once you are familiar with the concept, you can use the memorized formula. 1I = 141 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS time t annual interest during [1, [1 , t] fixed payment payments ts floating paymen 1 2 6.5% R 21 3 7% R 22 PV fixed payments=PV floating payments 21 + 1.22 = 1.R + 1.R , R = 21. 21. 482 1.065 07 065 07 2 2 Problem 8.3. The dealer pays fixed and gets floating. His risk is that oil’s spot price may drop significan cantly tly.. For examp example, le, if the spot price at t = 2 is $18 per barrel (as opposed to the expected $21 per barrel) and at t = 3 is $19 per barrel (as opposed to the expected $22 per barrel), the dealer has overpaid the swap. This is because the fixed swap rate R = 20. 20. 952 is calculated under the assumption that the oil price is $21 per barrel at t = 2 and $22 per barrel at t = 3. To hedge his risk, the dealer can enter 3 separate forward contracts, agreeing at t = 0 to deliver oil to a buyer at $20 per barrel at t = 1, at $21 per barrel at t = 2 , and at $22 per barrel at t = 3. Next, let’s verify that the PV of the dealer’s locked-in net cash flow is zero. time t annual interest during [0, [0 , t] fixed payment payments ts floating paymen net cash flow PV(net cash flows)= ows)= 0.952 1.06 + 0 −0.048 1.0652 1 6% 20. 20. 952 20 20. 20. 952 − 20 = 0. 0.952 + −1. 048 1.073 2 6.5% 20. 952 21 −0.048 3 7% 20. 952 22 −1. 048 =0 Problem 8.4. The fixed payer overpaid 0. 0 .952 at t = 1. The implied interest rate in Year 2 1.065 (from t = 1 to t = 2) is 1.06 − 1 = 0.070024 070024.. So the overpayment 00..952 at t = 1 will grow into 0. 0 .952(1 + 0. 0.070024) = 1. 1. 0187 at t = 2. Then at t = 2, the fi xed payer underpays 0.048 and his net overpayment is 1. 0187 − 0.048 = 0. 0.9707 9707.. 1.07 The implied interest rate in Year 3 (from t = 2 to t = 3) is 1.065 − 1 = 0.0 80071.. So the fixed payer’s net overpayment 0.9707 at t = 2 will grow into 80071 0.970 970 7 (1 + 00..080 08007 07 1) = 1. 1. 0484 0484,, which exactly offsets his underpayment 11.. 048 at = 3. now the accumulative net payment after the 3rd payment is zero. 2 3 2 c Yufeng Guo ° www.guo.coursehost.com 142 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS Problem 8.5. 5 basis points=5%% points=5%% = 0. 0.5% = 0. 0.0005 a. immediately after the swap contract is signed the interest rate rises 0.5% time t original annual interest during [0, [0 , t] updated annual interest during [0, [0 , t] fixed payment floating payments 20 1.065 0 1 6% 6.5% R 20 2 6.5% 7% 7% R 21 3 7% 7.5% R 22 22 R + 1.21 + 1.075 = 1.R + 1.R + 1.075 , R = 20. 20. 949 < 20. 20. 952 07 065 07 The fixed rate is worth 20. 20 . 949 949,, but the fixed payer pays 20. 20 . 952 952.. His loss is: 22 20 21 22 20 21 = 0 . 51063 + + − + + 1.075 1.065 1.07 1.07 1.06 1.065 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 ¢ ¡ b. immediately after the swap contract is signed the interest rate falls 0.5% time t 0 1 2 3 original annual interest during [0, [0 , t] 6% 6.5% 7% updated annual interest during [0, [0 , t] 5.5% 6% 6% 6.5% R R R fixed payment 20 21 22 floating payments 20 1.055 + 21 1.062 + 22 1.0653 = R 1.055 + R 1.062 + R 1.0653 R = 20. 20. 955 > 20. 20. 952 The fixed rate is worth 20. 20 . 955 955,, but the fixed payer pays only 20. 20 . 952 The fixed payer’s gain is: 20 1.055 + 21 1.062 + 20 1.065 22 1.0653 −¡ + 21 1.072 + 22 1.0753 = 1. 0293 ¢ c Yufeng Guo ° www.guo.coursehost.com 143 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS Problem 8.6. (1) calculate the per-barrel swap price for 4-quarter oil swap time t (quarter) 0 1 2 3 4 R R R R fixed payment payments ts 21 21.1 20. 20.8 20. 20.5 floating paymen − 1 − 2 − 3 discounting factor 1.015 1.015 1.015 1.015−4 P V of floating payments = P V of fixed payments 21 1.015−1 + 21. 21.1 1.015−2 + 20. 20.8 1.015−3 + 20. 20.5 1.015−4 −1 −2 −3 −4 = R 1.015 + 1. 1.015 + 1. 1.015 + 1. 1.015 R = 20. 20. 8533 ¡¡ ¢ ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢¢ ¡ (2) calculate the per-barrel swap price for 8-quarter oil swap time t (quarter) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 fi xed payment paymen payments ts R 21 floating R 21.1 R 20. 20.8 R 20. 20.5 R 20. 20.2 R 20 ¢ 7 8 R 19.9 R 19. 19.8 The discounting factor at t is 1. 1 .015−t (i.e. $1 at t is worth 11..015−t at t = 0) P V of floating payments = P V of fixed payments 21 1.015−1 +21 +21..1 1.015−2 +20 +20..8 1.015−3 +20 +20..5 1.015−4 +20 +20..2 1.015−5 + 20 1.015−6 + 19. 19.9 1.015−7 + 19. 19.8 1.015−8 = R 1.015−1 + 1. 1.015−2 + 1. 1.015−3 + 1. 1.015−4 + 1. 1.015−5 + 1. 1.015−6 + 1. 1.015−7 + 1. 1.015−8 R = 20. 20. 4284 ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢ ¡ ¡ ¡¢ ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢¢ ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢ (3) calculate the total cost of prepaid 4-quarter and 8-quarter swaps cost of prepaid 4-quarter swap 21 1.015−1 + 21. 21.1 1.03−1 + 20. 20.8 1.045−1 + 20. 20.5 1.06−1 = 80. 80. 41902 cost of prepaid 8-quarter swap 21 1.015−1 +21 +21..1 1.015−2 +20 +20..8 1.015−3 +20 +20..5 1.015−4 +20 +20..2 1.015−5 + 152. 925604 19.8 1.015−8 = 152. 19.9 1.015−7 + 19. 20 1.015−6 + 19. ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢ ¡ ¢ ¡ ¡ ¢ ¢ ¡ ¡ ¢ ¢ ¡¡ ¢¢ Total cost: 80. 80 . 419 02 + 152. 152. 9256 = 233. 233. 34462 ¡ ¡ ¢ ¢ ¡ ¢ ¢ c Yufeng Guo ° www.guo.coursehost.com 144 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS Problem 8.7. The calculation calculation is tedi tedious. ous. I’ll manually manually solv solvee the swap rates for the first 4 quarter but give you all the swaps. Final result quarter forward DiscFactor R 1 21 0.9852 21 2 21.1 0.9701 21.05 3 20. 20.8 0.9546 20. 97 4 20. 20.5 0.9388 20. 85 I’ll manually solve for the first 4 swap rates. quarter 1 2 forward price 21 21.1 R R fixed payment 2 zero coupon bond price 0.9852 0.9701 5 20. 20.2 0.9231 20.73 3 20. 20.8 R 0.9546 6 20 0.9075 20.61 7 19.9 0.8919 20.51 8 19. 19.8 0.8763 20.43 4 20. 20.5 R 0.9388 (1) if there’s only 1 swap occurring at t = 1 (quarter) PV fixed=PV float 21(0..9852) = R (0. 21(0 (0.9852) R = 21 (2) if there are two swaps occurring at t = 1 and t = 2 PV fixed=PV float 21(0..9852) + 21. 21(0 21.1 (0. (0.9701) = R (0. (0.9852 + 0. 0.9701) 21+21..1 21+21 = 21. 21 . 05 R = 21. 21. 0496 ≈ 2 (3) if there are 3 swaps occurring at t = 1 ,2 , 2,3 PV fixed=PV float 21(0. 21(0 9852) + 21. 21 .21+21 1 (0. (0.9701) += 2020. 20. .8 .(0. (0 .9546) = R (0 (0..9852 + 0. 0.9701 + 0. 0.9546) 21+21. .1+20 1+20..8 20 96667 R = .20. 20 . 9677 ≈ 3 (4)if there are 4 swaps occurring at t = 1 ,2 , 2,3,4 PV fixed=PV float 21(0..9852)+21 21(0 9852)+21..1 (0. (0.9701)+20 9701)+20..8 (0. (0.9546)+20 9546)+20..5 (0. (0.9388) = R (0 (0..9852 + 0. 0.9701 + 0. 0.9546 + 0. 0.9388) 21+21..1+20 1+20..8+20 8+20..5 3 = 20 20. . 85 R = 20. 20. 853 636 ≈ 21+21 4 2 Zero coupon bond price is also the discounting factor. 3 you run in the exam, just take oftenIfvery closeout to of thetime correct answer. R fl as the average oating payments. This is www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 145 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS By the way, please note that in the textbook Table 8.9, the gas swap prices are not in line with the forward forward price and discount discounting ing factor factors. s. This is because the swap prices in Table 8.9 are stand-alone prices made up by the author of Derivatives Markets so he can set up problems for you to solve: ti (quarter) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 R 2.25 2.4236 2.3503 2.2404 2.2326 2.2753 2.2583 2.2044 To av avoid oid conf confusion usion,, the author author of Deri Deriv vatives atives Markets Markets should should have have used multiple separate tables instead of combining separate tables into one. Problem 8.8. quarter forward price fixed payment zero coupon bond price 1 2 3 20. 20.8 R 4 20. 20.5 R 5 20. 20.2 R 6 20 R 0.9546 0.9388 0.9231 0.9075 20..8+20 8+20..5+20 5+20..2+20 If you run out of time, then R = 20 = 20 20.. 375 ≈ 20. 20.38 4 The precise calculation is: PV fixed=PV float 20. 20.8 (0. (0.9546)+20 9546)+20..5 (0. (0.9388)+20 9388)+20..2 (0. (0.9231) 9231)+20 +20 (0 (0..9075) = R (0 (0..9546 + 0. 0.9388 + 0. 0.9231 + 0. 0.9075) R = 20. 20. 38069 ≈ 20. 20.38 c Yufeng Guo ° www.guo.coursehost.com 146 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS Problem 8.9. If the problem didn’t give you R = 20. 20.43, 43, you can quickly estimate it as (21 + 21. 21.1 + 20. 20.8 + 20. 20.5 + 20. 20.2 + 20 + 19. 19.9 + 19. 19.8) /8 = 20. 20. 4125 Back to the problem. Please note that this problem implicitly assumes that the actual interest rates are equal to the expected interest rates implied in the zero-coupon bonds. If the actual interest rates turn out to be di fferent than the rates implied by the zero-coupon bonds, then you’ll need to know the actual interest rates quarter-by-quarter to solve this problem. So for the sake of solving this problem, problem, we assume that the interest interest rates implied implied by the zero-coupon zero-coupon bonds are the actual interest interest rates. rates. quarter 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 fwd price 21 21.1 20. 20.8 20. 20.5 20. 20.2 20 19.9 xed pay 20. 20 . 4 3 2 0 . 4 3 2 0 . 4 3 2 0 . 4 3 2 0 . 4 3 2 0 . 4 3 2 0.43 fi −0.57 −0.67 −0.37 −0.07 0.23 0.43 0.53 fixed−fwd disct factor 0.9852 0.9701 0.9546 0.9388 0.9231 0.9075 0.8919 8 19. 19.8 20.43 0.63 0.8763 Loan balance at t = 0 is 0 Loan balance at t = 1 is −0.57. 57. The implicit interest rate from t = 1 to t = 2 is solved by 0.9852 = 0.9701 9701.. So 1 + x = 00..9852 . The −0.57 loan will grow into 1+x 1+x 9701 0.9852 = −0.579 at t = 2. 0.9701 The loan balance at t = 2 is −0.579 − 0.67 = −1. 249 249.. −0.57 × = −1. 269 at t = 3. −1. 249 will grow into −1. 249 × 00..9701 9546 The loan balance at t = 3 is −1. 269 − 0.37 = −1. 639 639,, which grows into 0.9546 −1. 639 × 0.9388 = −1. 667 at t = 4. The loan balance at t = 4 is −1. 667 − 0.07 = −1. 737 −1. 737 grows into −1. 737 × 00..9388 9231 = −1. 767 at t = 5. So the loan balance at t = 5 is −1. 767 + 0. 0.23 = −1. 537 −1. 537 grows into −1. 537 × 00..9231 9075 = −1. 563 at t = 6 . The loan balance at t = 6 is −1. 563 + 0. 0.43 = −1. 133 = −1. 153 at t = 7. −1. 133 grows into −1. 133 × 00..9075 8919 The loan balance at t = 7 is −1. 153 + 0. 0.53 = −0.623 = −0.634 at t = 8. −0.623 grows into −0.623 × 00..8919 8763 So the loan balance at t = 8 is −0.634 + 0. 0.63 = −0.004 quarter loan bal 0 0 1 2 3 4 ≈ 5 0 6 7 −0.57 −1. 249 −1. 639 −1. 737 −1. 537 −1. 133 −0.623 8 0 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 147 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS You can also work backward from t = 8 to t = 0. You know that the loan loan balance at t = 8 is zero; overall the fi xed payer and the fl oating payer each have no gain and no loss if the expected yield curve turns out to the real yield curve. quarter fwd price fixed pay fixed−fwd disct factor 1 21 20. 20.43 −0.57 0.9852 2 21.1 20.43 −0.67 0.9701 3 20. 20.8 20.43 −0.37 0.9546 4 20. 20.5 20.43 −0.07 0.9388 5 20. 20.2 20.43 0.23 0.9231 6 20 20.43 0.43 0.9075 7 19.9 20.43 0.53 0.8919 Since the loan balance at t = 8 is zero and the fixed payer overpays 00..6344 = −0.623 623.. at t = 8, the loan balance at t = 7 must be −0.634 ÷ 00..8919 8763 Similarly, the loan balance at t = 7 must be ( −0.623 − 0.53) ÷ 133 . 0.9075 0.8919 = −1. And the loan balance at t = 6 must be ( −1. 133 − 0.43) ÷ 00..9231 = −1. 537 537.. 9075 So on and so forth. This method is less intuitive. However, if the problem asks you to only find the loan balance at t = 7, this backward method is lot faster than the forward method. 4I use 0.634 instead of 0.63 to show you that the backward method produces the same correct answer as the forward method. If you use 0.63, you won’t be able to reproduce the correct answer 0.634). calculated by the forward method due to rounding (because 0.63 is rounded from 8 19. 19.8 20.43 0.63 0.8763 c Yufeng Guo ° www.guo.coursehost.com 148 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS Problem 8.10. The fl oating payer delivers 2 barrels at even numbered quarters and 1 barrel at odd quarters. The cash flow diagram is: quarter fwd price fixed pay disct factor 1 21 R 0.9852 2 21.1 (2 (2) 2R 0.9701 3 20.8 R 0.9546 4 20. 20.5 (2 (2) 2R 0.9388 5 20.2 R 0.9231 6 20 (2) 2R 0.9075 7 19.9 R 0.8919 8 19. 19.8(2) 2R 0.8763 7 19.9 R 0.8919 8 19. 19.8(2) R 0.8763 PV float =PV fixed 21(0..9852) + 21. 21(0 21.1(2)(0 1(2)(0..9701) + 20. 20.8 (0. (0.9546) + 20. 20.5(2)(0 5(2)(0..9388) +20..2 (0 +20 (0..923 9231) 1) + 20(2) (0. (0.9075) + 19. 19.9 (0. (0.8919) + 19. 19.8(2)(0 8(2)(0..8763) = R (0 (0..9852 + 2 × 0.9701 + 0. 0.9546 + 2 × 0.9388) +R (0 (0..9231 + 2 × 0.9075 + 0. 0.8919 + 2 × 0.8763) R = 20. 20. 40994 Please note that the cash flow diagram is not: quarter 1 2 3 4 fwd price 21 21.1 (2 (2) 20.8 20. 20.5 (2 (2) xed pay R R R R fi disct factor 0.9852 0.9701 0.9546 0.9388 5 20.2 R 0.9231 6 20 (2) R 0.9075 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 149 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS Problem 8.11. The key formula is the textbook equation 8.13: R= P n (0,, ti ) f0 (t (ti ) i=1 P (0 n (0,, ti ) i=1 P (0 P From Table 8.9, we get: ti (quarter) 1 2 R 2.25 2.4236 P (0 (0,, ti ) 0.9852 0.9701 3 2.3503 0.9546 4 2.2404 0.9388 5 2.2326 0.9231 6 2.2753 0.9075 7 2.2583 0.8919 8 2.2044 0.8763 Notation: • P (0 (0,, ti ) is the present value at t = 0 of $1 at the t i . • R is the swap rate. For exampl example, e, for a 4-quarter 4-quarter swap, swap, the swap rate is 2.2404 • f0 (t (ti ) is the price of the forward contract signed at ti−1 and expiring at ti The 1-quarter swap rate is P (0 (0,, t1 ) f0 (t (t 1 ) R (1) = P (0 (0,, ti ) → f0 (t(t1) = R (1) = 2.2.2500 The 2-quarter swap rate is: P (0 (0,, t1 ) f0 (t (t1 ) + P (0 (0,, t2 ) f0 ((tt2 ) R (2) = P (0 (0,, t1 ) + P (0 (0,, t2 ) 0.9852(2 9852(2..25) + 0. 0.9701 9701ff0 ((tt2 ) → 2.4236 = f0 ((tt2 ) = 2.5999 0.9852 + 0. 0.9701 The 3-quarter swap rate is: P (0 (0,, t1 ) f0 (t (t1 ) + P (0 (0,, t2 ) f0 ((tt2 ) + P (0 (0,, t3 ) f0 ((tt3 ) R (3) = P (0 (0,, t1 ) + P (0 (0,, t2 ) + P (0 (0,, t3 ) 0.985 9852 2 (2. (2.25) + 0. 0.970 9701 1 (2 (2..60) + 0. 0.9546 9546ff0 ((tt3 ) → 0. 0 .9546 = 0.9852 + 0. 0.9701 + 0. 0.9546 → f0 (t(t3) = 2.2002 So on and so forth. The result is: ti 1 2 3 R 2.25 2.4236 2.3503 P (0 (0,, ti ) 0.9852 0.9701 0.9546 f0 (t (ti ) 2.2500 2.5999 2.2002 4 2.2404 0.9388 1.8998 5 2.2326 0.9231 2.2001 6 2.2753 0.9075 2.4998 7 2.2583 0.8919 2.1501 8 2.2044 0.8763 1.8002 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS Problem 8.12. ti R (8) f0 ((tti ) P (0 (0,, ti ) i(ti−1 , ti ) 1 2.2044 2.2500 0.9852 1.5022% 2 2.2044 2.5999 0.9701 1.5565% 3 2.2044 0.9546 0.9546 1.6237% 4 2.2044 0.9388 0.9388 1.6830% ti 5 6 7 8 R (8) 2.2044 2.2044 2.2044 2.2044 f0 ((tti ) 0.9231 0.9075 0.8919 0.8763 P (0 (0,, ti ) 0.9231 0.9075 0.8919 0.8763 i(ti−1 , ti ) 1.7008% 1.7190% 1.7491% 1.7802% First, let’s calculate the quarterly forward interest rate i(ti−1 , ti ), which is the interest during[ during[ti−1 , ti ]. By the way, please note the di fference between f 0 ((tti ) and ii((ti−1 , ti ). f0 ((tti ) is the price of a forward contract and i( i (ti−1 , ti ) is the forward interest rate. The interest rate during the first quarter is i(t0 , t1 ). This This is is the the effective int interest erest per quarter quarter from t = 0 to t = 0.25 (y (year). ear). Because P (0 (0,, t1 ) represents the present value of $1 at t = 0.25 1 P (0 (0,, t1 ) = 1 + i(t0 , t1 ) 1 1 0.9852 = i(t0 , t1 ) = − 1 = 1. 5022% 1 + i(t0 , t1 ) 0.9852 The 2nd quarter quarter interest interest rate i( i (t1 , t2 ) satisfies the following equation: 1 1 P (0 (0,, t1 ) P (0 (0,, t2 ) = = × 1 + i(t0 , t1 ) 1 + i(t1 , t2 ) 1 + i(t1 , t2 ) 0.9852 i(t1 , t2 ) = 1. 5566% 0.9701 = 1 2 1 + i(t , t ) Similarly, 1 1 1 P (0 (0,, t2 ) = × × 1 + i(t0 , t1 ) 1 + i(t1 , t2 ) 1 + i(t2 , t3 ) 1 + i(t2 , t3 ) 0.9701 → 0.9546 = 1 + i(t , t ) i(t2, t3) = 1.6237% 2 3 P (0 (0,, t3 ) = Keep doing Keep doing this, this, you you sho should uld be abl ablee to calcul calculate ate all the forward forward in inter terest est rates. 150 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 151 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS Next, let’s calculate the loan balance. ti 1 2 R (8) 2.2044 2.2044 f0 (t (ti ) 2.2500 2.5999 f0 (t (ti ) − R (8) 0.0456 0.3955 Loan balance 0.0456 0.4418 i(ti−1 , ti ) 1.5022% 1.5565% ti R (8) f0 (t (ti ) f0 (t (ti ) − R (8) Loan balance i(ti−1 , ti ) 5 2.2044 0.9231 −0.0043 0.1451 1.7008% 6 2.2044 0.9075 0.2954 0.4430 1.7190% 3 2.2044 0.9546 −0.0042 0.4444 1.6237% 4 2.2044 0.9388 −0.3046 0.1470 1.6830% 7 2.2044 0.8919 −0.0543 0.3963 1.7491% 8 2.2044 0.8763 −0.4042 0.0009 −1.7802% At t = 0, the the loan loan bal balan ance ce is zero zero.. A sw swap ap is a fa fair ir deal deal and and no money money changes hands. At t = 1 (i. (i.e. e. the end of the first quarter), the floating payer lends 2.25 − 2.2044 = 0. 0.0456 to the fixed paye payer. r. Had th thee floating payer signed a forward contract at t = 0 agreeing to deliver the oil at t = 1, he would have received 2.25 at t = 1. How Howeve ever, r, by ent enterin ering g into into an 8-quarter 8-quarter swap, the floating payer receives only 2.2044 at the t = 1. So the the floating payer lends 2.25 − 2.2044 = 0.0456 to the fixed payer. The 0. 0 .0456 at t = 1 grows to 0. 0 .045 045 6 (1 + 0. 0.015022) = 0. 0.0463 The total loan balance at t = 2 is 0. 0 .0463 + 0. 0.3955 = 0. 0.4418 The loan balance 0. 0.4418 at t = 2 grows into 00..441 441 8 (1 + 0. 0.015565) = 0. 0.4487 at t = 3 The total loan balance at t = 3 is 0. 0 .4487 − 0.0042 = 0. 0.4444 I used Excel to do the calculation. Due to rounding, I got 00..4487 − 0.0042 = 0.4444 instead of 0. 0 .4445 4445.. So on and so forth. The final loan balance at t = 8 is: 0.396 39633 (1 + 0. 0.017491) − 0.4042 = −0.0009 ≈ 0 The loan balance at the end of the swap t = 8 should be zero. We didn’t get zero due to rounding. www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 152 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS Problem 8.13. ti P (0 (0,, ti ) i(ti−1 , ti ) P (0 (0,, ti ) i(ti−1 , ti ) R= P 6 i=2 P 2 0.9701 1.5565% 0.0151 (0 (0,, ti ) r (ti−1 , ti ) 6 (0,, ti ) i=2 P (0 P 3 0.9546 1.6237% 0.0155 = 4 0.9388 1.6830% 0.0158 0.0777 = 11.. 655 655 3% 4.6941 Problem 8.14. ti 1 2 3 4 Total P (0 (0,, ti ) 0.9852 0.9701 0.9546 0.9388 3.8487 i(ti−1 , ti ) 1.5022% 1.5565% 1.6237% 1.6830% P (0 (0,, ti ) i(ti−1 , ti ) 0.0148 0.0151 0.0155 0.0158 0.0612 Calculate the 4-quarter swap rate. R= P 4 i=1 P (0 (0,, ti ) r (ti−1 , ti ) 4 (0,, ti ) i=1 P (0 P = 0.0612 = 11.. 5901% 3.8487 Calculate the 8-quarter swap rate. ti P (0 (0,, ti ) i(ti−1 , ti ) P (0 (0,, ti ) i(ti−1 , ti ) 1 0.9852 1.5022% 0.0148 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total R= 0.9701 0.9546 0.9388 0.9231 0.9075 0.8919 0.8763 7.4475 P 8 i=1 P 1.5565% 1.6237% 1.6830% 1.7008% 1.7190% 1.7491% 1.7802% (0 (0,, ti ) r (ti−1 , ti ) P 5 i=1 P (0 (0,, ti ) 0.0151 0.0155 0.0158 0.0157 0.0156 0.0156 0.0156 0.1237 = Problem 8.15. Not on the FM syllabus. Skip. 0.1237 = 11.. 6610% 7.4475 5 0.9231 1.7008% 0.0157 6 0.9075 1.7190% 0.0156 Total 4.6941 0.0777 www.guo.coursehost.com c Yufeng Guo ° 153 CHAPTE CHA PTER R 8. SW SWAPS APS Problem 8.16. Not on the FM syllabus. Skip. Problem 8.17. Not on the FM syllabus. Skip. Problem 8.18. Not on the FM syllabus. Skip.